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	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-25:/294375</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/149478/future-international-criminal-court/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=future-international-criminal-court" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">The Future of the Int’l Criminal Court: What Follows After Removal of the Prosecutor</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>On Friday, the Assembly of States Parties (ASP) of the International Criminal Court (ICC) voted 82-1...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>On Friday, the Assembly of States Parties (ASP) of the International Criminal Court (ICC) voted 82-13, with 15 abstentions, to remove Karim Khan from his position as Prosecutor of the ICC. Khan was removed for sexual misconduct against a junior staff member in his immediate office (see details <a href="https://apnews.com/article/icc-court-prosecutor-karim-khan-united-nations-5a9490e98b74f3bf13f5eae26fb3c3d7" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">here</a>) and his dismissal is effective immediately (Rule 31 of the <a href="https://www.icc-cpi.int/sites/default/files/2023-02/Rules-of-Procedure-and-Evidence-Dec-2022.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">ICC Rules of Procedure and Evidence</a>). Mr. Khan&rsquo;s lawyers have <a href="https://x.com/tayab_ali_/status/2080744813218123955?s=20" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">pledged</a> to challenge the outcome &ldquo;through all available legal mechanisms,&rdquo; though neither the Rome Statute nor any of the other governing ICC legal texts provides any avenue to do so.</p>
<p>The vote by the states to remove Mr. Khan was decisive and based on an extensive and lengthy investigation. That said, the episode has exposed deep problems within the Court&rsquo;s internal governance structure and fractured its various constituencies, all amid the most challenging period in the Court&rsquo;s existence. If the Court is going to fulfil its mission of justice for victims and survivors of the gravest crimes, much hard work lies ahead.</p>
<h2><strong>Moving Beyond the ASP Vote</strong></h2>
<p>The process leading to Mr. Khan&rsquo;s removal became highly politicized and contested. Some of Mr. Khan&rsquo;s supporters <a href="https://www.middleeasteye.net/big-story/exclusive-karim-khan-israel-war-crimes-probe-derailed-threats-leaks-sex-claims" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">claimed</a> or <a href="https://x.com/GissouNia/status/2076713801953747102" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">clearly suggested</a>, without evidence, that the sexual misconduct allegations were an Israeli-sponsored fabrication, concocted to destroy Mr. Khan for seeking an arrest warrant for Israeli Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu. <a href="https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/icc-karim-khan-details-dangerous-attempt-states-remove-him-position" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Others,</a> by portraying Mr. Khan as someone uniquely prepared to fight for justice in Gaza, suggested that states were seeking to remove Mr. Khan because he brought warrants in the Palestine case. Putting aside the fact that these warrants were approved by three ICC judges and remain in place, there is no evidence that the ultimate outcome was driven by the cases brought by Mr. Khan. At a different moment in time, such a narrative may not have taken hold. Yet it landed in a context where, not only is the Israeli government opposing the Court&rsquo;s arrest warrants against its officials, but the United States is seeking to dismantle the Court entirely. The result is that for some, the internal workplace complaint by a junior staff member was conflated with attacks on the Court by states.</p>
<p>In the end though, states focused on the actual allegations against Mr. Khan &ndash; which were serious and well-grounded &ndash; and concluded that he could no longer lead the Office of the Prosecutor. The overwhelming vote of the states should now be given respect and accepted. Here, <a href="https://x.com/PalMissionNL/status/2080734964623040967?s=20" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Palestine&rsquo;s Mission to The Netherlands</a> provides a strong, early example of a measured and appropriate response, stating: &ldquo;The vote by the Assembly of States Parties to remove the Prosecutor was not a political proxy vote on any Situation before the ICC, an assessment on prosecutorial strategy, or a broad institutional referendum. It was a statutory vote based on the Rome Statute.&rdquo; This is exactly the approach that will be essential for the Court to move past this period and resume work on its core mission.</p>
<h2><strong>The Work Ahead for the ICC and International Community</strong></h2>
<p>First, states must concretize the process for adjudicating allegations of misconduct, especially against senior court officials. At the end of the day, the allegations against Mr. Khan were thoroughly investigated, he and his lawyers were given more than ample opportunities to challenge the evidence, and the states voted to remove him following the process set forth in Article 46 of the Rome Statute. That is what is required, and it was done. Yet, the process was not clearly set out from the beginning, and procedures were improvised mid-course. Further, the court failed to communicate clearly on the processes at each step of the way. These shortcomings created opportunities for Mr. Khan and his supporters to try to turn the tables and claim that he was being victimized by the process and further that the procedural missteps could only be explained by a nefarious political campaign. This defense strategy caused real and lasting harm, both to the complainant as an individual, and to the Court as an institution. In light of this experience, states should urgently appoint a committee to clarify, strengthen, and streamline the process for reporting, investigating, and deciding on such complaints.</p>
<p>Second, and relatedly, this episode underscores the significant work still to be done to improve workplace culture at the court. Before Mr. Khan was elected, the states commissioned a group of experts to review the workings of the court, and that body concluded that bullying and sexual harassment were <a href="https://asp.icc-cpi.int/sites/asp/files/asp_docs/ASP19/IER-Final-Report-ENG.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">significant problems</a> within the Office of the Prosecutor. In his campaign for prosecutor and after being elected, Mr. Khan <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tDldr2ma1S0" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">pledged</a> to address these problems and to enforce a policy of zero tolerance, stating at his swearing in, &ldquo;This office should be the best place in the world for anybody who believes in the rule of law, human rights, international relations to work, and you have a right to work in a harassment-free working environment.&rdquo; To be sure, Mr. Khan took steps within the Office to address these issues, but he did not go far enough and his own behavior on multiple levels undermined the effort. Changing workplace culture is tough. It starts from the top and requires sustained commitment from the entire leadership of the Office.</p>
<p>Third, Mr. Khan&rsquo;s removal now requires the election of a new Prosecutor. <a href="https://www.icc-cpi.int/news/icc-statement-asp-decision-regarding-disciplinary-proceedings-involving-icc-prosecutor" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">The statement</a> of the ASP on Mr. Khan&rsquo;s removal says that the Deputy Prosecutors will continue to run the Office, but the Court will need to start the process of electing a new Prosecutor without significant delay. Given what has just unfolded, it will be important to ensure that the new Prosecutor is unimpeachably a person of &ldquo;high moral character,&rdquo; as required by the Statute. Moreover, in addition to ensuring that any prospective candidate would be highly competent as a prosecutor in a complex geopolitical environment, states would be wise to consider whether candidates have the skills and temperament to establish and maintain a strong and healthy working environment inside the Office.</p>
<p>Further, the election of a new prosecutor is an opportunity for the states to take stock. Since Mr. Khan was elected, the Office has brought arrest warrants against Vladimir Putin and other senior Russian officials in the Ukraine case and against Benjamin Netanyahu and Yoav Gallant in the Palestine case (as well as Hamas leaders who have since been killed). Rodrigo Duterte, the former President of the Philippines, has been surrendered to the court and trial is set to start in November. Four states (<a href="https://www.icc-cpi.int/news/statement-presidency-assembly-states-parties-withdrawals-rome-statute-burkina-faso-mali-and" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Mali, Niger, Burkino Faso</a>, and now <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/24/world/europe/karim-khan-icc.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Venezuela</a>) have announced their intention to leave the court, and the United States has imposed <a href="https://www.icc-cpi.int/news/icc-strongly-rejects-new-us-sanctions-against-judges-and-deputy-prosecutors" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">severe sanctions</a> on the then-Prosecutor, Deputy Prosecutors, and eight judges, and announced a campaign to <a href="https://www.state.gov/releases/office-of-the-spokesperson/2026/07/state-department-launches-campaign-to-dismantle-international-criminal-courts-threat-to-american-sovereignty" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">dismantle</a> the court. Around the world, states are turning away from international institutions and solutions, creating a challenging environment for the ICC, which is dependent on state cooperation to conduct its work.</p>
<p>In other words, both the ICC and the world have changed dramatically since Mr. Khan became prosecutor four years ago. These new realities require the states to face many difficult questions as they choose a new Prosecutor, but the overarching one is simple: How can the ICC keep the flame of international justice burning through these difficult times? In the coming weeks and months, we and others will debate visions for the future of the Court. But in truth, the Court always has, and always will face political pressure by those states who seek impunity for their nationals or others. It is also true that the Court always has, and always will, rely on other states to support the pursuit of accountability in the face of these pressures. To bend the arc in favor of justice, the Court needs states who support its mission to redouble their efforts to assist the Court. This means funding it, cooperating in its investigations, executing its warrants, and speaking out in favor of the rule of law. The next Prosecutor will shape the future direction of the court in these challenging years ahead, but it is not something that person can do alone.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/149478/future-international-criminal-court/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">The Future of the Int&rsquo;l Criminal Court: What Follows After Removal of the Prosecutor</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-25T12:51:19+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Rebecca Hamilton</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-25T12:51:19+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="accountability"/>

	<category term="diplomacy"/>

	<category term="gender"/>

	<category term="icc prosecutor"/>

	<category term="international criminal court (icc)"/>

	<category term="international criminal law"/>

	<category term="international law"/>

	<category term="international legal order"/>

	<category term="karim khan"/>

	<category term="oversight"/>

	<category term="rule of law"/>

	<category term="sexual assault"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-24:/294269</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148991/counting-votes-supreme-court-birthright-citizenship-decision/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=counting-votes-supreme-court-birthright-citizenship-decision" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Counting the Votes in the Supreme Court’s Birthright Citizenship Decision</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>On the first day of his second term, President Trump issued Executive Order No. 14160, which directe...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p><span>On the first day of his second term, President Trump issued </span><a href="https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/executive-order-14160-protecting-the-meaning-and-value-american-citizenship" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Executive Order No. 14160</span></a><span>, which directed federal officials not to treat two categories of U.S.-born persons as United States citizens if their fathers weren&rsquo;t citizens or lawful permanent residents: (i) those whose mothers were &ldquo;unlawfully present in the United States &hellip; at the time of said person&rsquo;s birth&rdquo; and (ii) those whose mothers were in the U.S. on a &ldquo;lawful but temporary&rdquo; basis when they gave birth.</span></p>
<p><span>On June 30, in </span><a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Trump v. Barbara</span></i></a><span>, the Supreme Court held that the Citizenship Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment establishes U.S. citizenship for both of the categories of U.S.-born persons whom Trump targeted.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Most commentators have described the Court as having split 5-4 on the constitutional question. Some have even </span><a href="https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/07/birthright-citizenship-dissents/687799/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>warned</span></a><span> that &ldquo;conservatives now know they are only one vote away from eliminating birthright citizenship by judicial fiat.&rdquo; Emboldened by the closeness of the vote, and by a suggestion in Justice Brett Kavanaugh&rsquo;s separate opinion, President Trump and others have urged Congress to amend the federal birthright citizenship </span><i><span>statute </span></i><span>to parallel the Trump executive order, hoping that such legislative action might tip the scales with the Court.</span></p>
<p><span>On July 9, Representative John McGuire (R-VA) took up that invitation. He introduced </span><a href="https://www.congress.gov/119/bills/hr9633/BILLS-119hr9633ih.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>H.R. 9633,</span></a><span> the &ldquo;Birthright Citizenship Clarification Act of 2026,&rdquo; which would amend federal law to preclude birthright citizenship for both categories of U.S.-born persons identified in the Trump executive order. In McGuire&rsquo;s </span><a href="https://mcguire.house.gov/media/press-releases/rep-john-mcguire-introduces-birthright-citizenship-clarification-act-2026" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>press</span></a> <span>release, spokesman Fred McGrath announced that &ldquo;[w]e are confident the Court&rsquo;s six conservative justices would find that [the legislation] meets the constitutional standard if challenged.&rdquo; (Five days later, on July 14, at least two additional bills were introduced in Congress&mdash;</span><a href="https://www.congress.gov/119/bills/hr9662/BILLS-119hr9662ih.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>H.R. 9662</span></a><span> and </span><a href="https://www.congress.gov/119/bills/s4973/BILLS-119s4973is.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>S.4973</span></a><span>&mdash;that would purport to amend the federal statute to similar effect. In this article I focus on H.R. 9633, but the analysis applies as well to the similar introduced bills.)</span></p>
<p><span>As I explain in this piece, the alleged 5-4 headcount in </span><i><span>Barbara </span></i><span>isn&rsquo;t as clear&mdash;and certainly not as categorical&mdash;as it might appear at first blush. In fact, if one takes at face value the reasoning in the various dissenting opinions, the more accurate headcount is at least 7-2, and perhaps even 8-1, against the constitutionality of the central provision of the Trump order and H.R. 9633, which would deny birthright citizenship to children whose mothers had entered or remained in the U.S. unlawfully.</span></p>
<p><span>To be sure, one of the four Justices in question&mdash;Justice Samuel Alito&mdash;offered a reading of the Fourteenth Amendment, and of the Supreme Court&rsquo;s landmark decision in </span><a href="https://tile.loc.gov/storage-services/service/ll/usrep/usrep169/usrep169649/usrep169649.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>United States v. Wong Kim Ark</span></i></a><span> (1898), that would establish the constitutionality of the Trump order as to </span><i><span>both</span></i><span> categories of U.S.-born persons it describes&mdash;those whose mothers had entered or remained in the U.S. unlawfully, as well as those whose mothers gave birth while legally but temporarily in the country. Justice Alito therefore would clearly uphold the constitutionality of both prongs of H.R. 9633. Two of the other three dissenting Justices, however&mdash;Justices Clarence Thomas and Neil Gorsuch&mdash;adopted an alternative reading of the Constitution that </span><i><span>would</span></i><span> guarantee birthright citizenship for the vast majority of the children in the first Trump category, i.e., those born in this country to a woman who had entered (or remained in) the U.S. unlawfully. And although the fourth Justice, Justice Brett Kavanaugh, endorsed a more limited reading of the Fourteenth Amendment, akin to Justice Alito&rsquo;s, he appears to agree with the majority of the Court that the Trump order is unconstitutional under the binding precedent of </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark</span></i><span>, and Kavanaugh did </span><i><span>not </span></i><span>argue that it would be appropriate for the Court to disregard </span><i><span>stare decisis </span></i><span>to overturn that precedent (a precedent the Court has now reaffirmed 128 years later, thereby further entrenching the strength of its </span><i><span>stare decisis </span></i><span>status).&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Therefore, based simply upon what the Justices themselves wrote in </span><i><span>Barbara</span></i><span>, it&rsquo;s far from clear that there would be even three or four votes on the Court, let alone the six that Rep. McGuire is prognosticating, in favor of the constitutionality of the centerpiece provision of H.R. 9633.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Part I of this article describes the Court&rsquo;s holding in </span><i><span>Barbara </span></i><span>and offers some important context for understanding the dissenting Justices&rsquo; opinions&mdash;including, in particular, why none of them relied upon the &ldquo;original public meaning&rdquo; of the constitutional text as the basis for endorsing the constitutionality of some or all of the Trump executive order.</span></p>
<p><span>In Part II, I discuss the rationales that each of the four dissenting Justices embraced and I explain, in particular, why the test that Justices Thomas and Gorsuch articulated would </span><i><span>not </span></i><span>deny birthright citizenship to most children born in the U.S. to women who had entered or remained in the country unlawfully. Part II also includes some discussion of why the dissenters&rsquo; views are wrong on the merits, although that&rsquo;s not my principal focus here.&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><span>I.</span></h2>
<p><i><span>Barbara</span></i><span> should have been an easy case resulting in a unanimous decision, as a simple matter of </span><i><span>stare decisis</span></i><span>. As Chief Justice John Roberts explained in his majority opinion (pp.14-16), the constitutional question was asked and answered almost 130 years ago. In </span><a href="https://tile.loc.gov/storage-services/service/ll/usrep/usrep169/usrep169649/usrep169649.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>United States v. Wong Kim Ark</span></i></a><span>, 169 U.S. 649 (1898), the parties agreed that the Citizenship Clause largely codified the rule for U.S. citizenship that existed before 1868 (with the exception that it guaranteed citizenship for U.S.-born persons of African descent, </span><i><span>contra </span></i><span>the Court&rsquo;s infamous holding in </span><i><span>Dred Scott</span></i><span>), but they disagreed on what the pre-1868 citizenship law was. In particular, they disagreed about whether the law of the United States had incorporated the &ldquo;</span><i><span>jus soli</span></i><span>&rdquo; (&ldquo;right of the soil&rdquo;) principle from the British common law. Solicitor General Holmes Conrad&mdash;like SG John Sauer in the </span><i><span>Barbara </span></i><span>case&mdash;argued to the Court that the U.S. had </span><i><span>not</span></i><span> adopted the English </span><i><span>jus soli </span></i><span>principle; Wong Kim Ark argued, by contrast, that it had.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>In a meticulous, </span><a href="https://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/169/649/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>53-page opinion</span></a><span> for a 6-2 majority of the Court, Justice Horace Gray rejected Conrad&rsquo;s argument and, on the basis of Gray&rsquo;s analysis, the Court held that Wong Kim Ark had become a U.S. citizen by virtue of his birth in San Francisco in 1873, even though his parents were not U.S. citizens but were, instead, &ldquo;subjects of the Emperor of China.&rdquo;</span></p>
<p><span>For 127 years, from 1898 until the first day of President Trump&rsquo;s second term, all three branches of the federal government&mdash;and state governments, and the American people&mdash;understood the landmark </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark </span></i><span>decision to have settled the question and acted accordingly: Everyone treated the persons in the two categories identified in the Trump executive order as United States citizens by virtue of their birth in the United States.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The Trump order therefore is unconstitutional as a matter of </span><i><span>stare decisis</span></i><span>, and Solicitor General Sauer did not ask the Court to overrule </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark</span></i><span>. That </span><i><span>ought </span></i><span>to have made the Court&rsquo;s decision in </span><i><span>Barbara </span></i><span>quite easy, even for Justices who might be more sympathetic to the argument offered by SG Conrad&mdash;and by the two dissenting Justices&mdash;in </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark</span></i><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Unfortunately, however, four of the Justices in </span><i><span>Barbara</span></i><span>&mdash;Justices Thomas, Alito, Gorsuch, and Kavanaugh&mdash;did not join the majority opinion, and each of the four purported to &ldquo;dissent&rdquo; on the constitutional question. (Justice Kavanaugh concurred in the judgment on statutory grounds.<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn1" name="_ftnref1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[1]</a></span><span>)</span></p>
<p><span>In Part II, I&rsquo;ll closely examine the opinions of the four (nominally) dissenting Justices in </span><i><span>Barbara</span></i><span>, because they didn&rsquo;t agree among themselves on the rationales for their constitutional conclusions.</span> <span>Before doing that, however, it&rsquo;s useful to explain why neither the dissenting Justices nor the majority believed the constitutional </span><i><span>text</span></i><span>, standing alone,</span> <span>resolves the question (as some commentators had argued it does).&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The text of the Citizenship Clause is relatively straightforward and unambiguous&mdash;and the Trump executive order can&rsquo;t be reconciled with it:</span></p>
<p><span>&ldquo;All persons born or naturalized in the United States, and subject to the jurisdiction thereof, are citizens of the United States and of the State wherein they reside.&rdquo;</span></p>
<p><span>The persons described in the Trump order were all &ldquo;born in the United States&rdquo; and, when they were born, they were all &ldquo;subject to&rdquo; the United States&rsquo; &ldquo;jurisdiction,&rdquo; both in the sense that they were duty-bound to comply with federal law and in the sense that the federal government was obligated to protect them. Indeed, putting aside the idiosyncratic case of an occupation of U.S. territory (which thankfully hasn&rsquo;t occurred for more than 200 years), </span><i><span>everyone </span></i><span>born in this country is subject to the federal government&rsquo;s jurisdiction on their date of birth.</span></p>
<p><span>To be sure, as Justice Alito noted in his dissenting opinion (pp. 11-12), the Court has often said that &ldquo;jurisdiction&rdquo; is &ldquo;a term of many meanings.&rdquo; That adage, however, is inapposite in </span><i><span>this </span></i><span>case because the text of the Citizenship Clause refers to the </span><i><span>United States&rsquo; </span></i><span>jurisdiction (rather than to the jurisdiction of a federal court), and</span> <span>no matter which meaning of &ldquo;jurisdiction&rdquo; one might apply when it comes to a sovereign state&rsquo;s jurisdiction, all children in the United States would be &ldquo;subject to&rdquo; it.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>All four of the dissenting Justices profess to be &ldquo;textualists&rdquo; and each has, on at least one occasion or another, insisted that the Constitution (and statutes) should be interpreted and applied based upon the &ldquo;original public meaning&rdquo; of the text, rather than by assessing, e.g., the framers&rsquo; intent or any original expected </span><i><span>applications </span></i><span>of the clause in question. Indeed, in </span><i><span>Barbara </span></i><span>itself, Justice Clarence Thomas repeatedly asserted that he was trying to identify the &ldquo;original public meaning&rdquo; of the Citizenship Clause&rsquo;s text (see pp. 5, 57, 59, 70, 72; see also Justice Neil Gorsuch&rsquo;s opinion at 1).&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>If those Justices were truly committed to &ldquo;original public meaning&rdquo; originalism, they wouldn&rsquo;t have dissented in </span><i><span>Barbara </span></i><span>because there&rsquo;s no serious argument that the original public meaning of the Citizenship Clause does not confer citizenship upon the newborns defined in the Trump order. It&rsquo;s noteworthy that none of the four Justices disputed the common understanding that a person is &ldquo;subject to&rdquo; U.S. jurisdiction if she is bound to comply with federal law and the federal government is obligated to protect her. Indeed, none of the four offered any </span><i><span>alternative </span></i><span>meaning of the word &ldquo;jurisdiction&rdquo; in the Fourteenth Amendment, nor any alternative account of what it means for someone to be &ldquo;subject to&rdquo; a nation&rsquo;s jurisdiction. Instead, as I explain in Part II, each of those Justices would either add an implicit </span><i><span>modifying </span></i><span>adverb to the textual phrase (Justice Alito&rsquo;s view, shared by Justice Kavanaugh, that the Citizenship Clause requires </span><i><span>exclusive</span></i><span> U.S. jurisdiction), or add an additional, implied condition (the Thomas/Gorsuch view that there&rsquo;s an implied exception for children who are not domiciled at birth in the United States). In other words, because the plain text, standing alone, would guarantee citizenship for virtually everyone born in this country, each of those four Justices had little choice but to disregard the original public meaning of the text and to rely, instead, solely upon what they see as the framers&rsquo; intent or the original expected applications of the Citizenship Clause.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>In fairness, neither the majority of the Court in </span><i><span>Barbara </span></i><span>nor the six-Justice majority in </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark </span></i><span>relied exclusively on the plain meaning of the text, either.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>This might come as a surprise to some readers of the Fourteenth Amendment, because the text itself doesn&rsquo;t appear to admit of any exceptions. Because the federal government has jurisdiction over everyone in U.S. territory (no matter which sense of &ldquo;jurisdiction&rdquo; one might employ), the Citizenship Clause appears to guarantee citizenship for virtually everyone born in this country, outside perhaps the rare case where the U.S. is occupied by a foreign nation and U.S. law does not govern.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Nevertheless, it&rsquo;s been universally understood since the framing, including by the Court in </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark </span></i><span>and in </span><i><span>Barbara</span></i><span>, that the framers did not intend to guarantee citizenship to children born in the U.S. to foreign diplomats or to persons who were born as Native American tribal members, even though (as I explained in </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/119104/taking-stock-birthright-citizenship-cases-part-ii/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>a piece last summer</span></a><span>) such children </span><i><span>are </span></i><span>&ldquo;subject to&rdquo; U.S. jurisdiction at birth in the sense that they have a legal duty to comply with at least some federal laws and the federal government has an obligation to &ldquo;protect&rdquo; them (just as it must protect virtually everyone who is present in the United States).&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>It&rsquo;s only because of those children-of-diplomats and children-of-tribal-members exceptions&mdash;rather than the constitutional text&mdash;that there&rsquo;s even been a debate about the constitutional citizenship of the two categories of U.S.-born persons described in the Trump executive order. Without those exceptions, there never would have been any litigation, let alone a divided Supreme Court decision.</span></p>
<p><span>Not surprisingly, then, the four dissenting Justices in </span><i><span>Barbara </span></i><span>placed a good deal of weight on those exceptions in the course of their analyses. They also emphasized two other things about the Nineteenth Century history:&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>First, in the three decades between ratification of the Fourteenth Amendment and the decision in </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark</span></i><span> (1868-1898), some officials and commentators asserted that the Citizenship Clause was not designed to confer citizenship upon persons (such as U.S. World Cup striker Folarin Balogun) who were born in the U.S. to itinerant foreign visitors, or &ldquo;sojourners.&rdquo; And the </span><i><span>dissenting</span></i><span> Justices in </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark&mdash;</span></i><span>Chief Justice Melville Fuller and Justice John Marshall Harlan&mdash;would have adopted that view. As Chief Justice Roberts noted in his opinion for the Court in </span><i><span>Barbara </span></i><span>(p.25), Fuller and Harlan would have &ldquo;resisted the application of the English common law rule because it &lsquo;recognized no exception in the instance of birth during the mere temporary or accidental sojourn of the parents&rsquo;&rdquo; (quoting 169 U.S. at 718). (Harlan&rsquo;s vivid hypothetical, which he offered to students at the Columbian College of Law &mdash; which later became the George Washington Law School &mdash; shortly after the Court issued </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark</span></i><span>, was a case in which &ldquo;an English father and mother went down to Hot Springs to get rid of the gout, or rheumatism,&rdquo; and the mother gave birth to a child while at the spa, before all three of them returned to England.) The six-Justice Court majority in </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark</span></i><span>, however,</span><i><span> rejected</span></i><span> that view: as Fuller lamented&mdash;and as Harlan acknowledged to his students&mdash;the Court&rsquo;s holding did not recognize such an exception. Nevertheless, Solicitor General Sauer&rsquo;s argument in </span><i><span>Barbara</span></i><span> relied heavily upon that claim of a nontextual intended exception for children of visitors, as did the opinions of some of the dissenting Justices.</span></p>
<p><span>Second, in the decades preceding the 1868 ratification of the Fourteenth Amendment, few, if any, children were born in the United States as a result of their mother having unlawfully entered the country (or having unlawfully disregarded an obligation to leave), and therefore the framers did not specifically consider that sort of case. Some proponents of a newfound limit on the Citizenship Clause have suggested that if the framers </span><i><span>had </span></i><span>contemplated such a phenomenon, they would have excluded those children from the birthright citizenship guarantee. Indeed, that&rsquo;s the express basis of Justice Kavanaugh&rsquo;s constitutional analysis in his separate opinion (p.8):</span></p>
<blockquote><p><span>&nbsp;&ldquo;[T]he Framers likely would not have anticipated (and presumably would not have intended) the odd result of granting a substantial birthright citizenship benefit to &hellip; those foreign citizens who violate U.S. immigration law and illegally enter or overstay and then have children in the United States.&rdquo;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p></blockquote>
<p><span>Whether or not that assumption is correct, it&rsquo;s not a claim about the meaning of the text, nor even about the framers&rsquo; actual intent, but instead a claim about a </span><i><span>counterfactual</span></i><span> original intent, i.e., about what the framers &ldquo;</span><i><span>would &hellip; have </span></i><span>intended&rdquo;</span> <span>had they considered a class of U.S.-born persons that were uncommon in the years preceding 1868.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><span>II.</span></h2>
<p><span>With that context in mind&mdash;namely, that the debate among the </span><i><span>Barbara </span></i><span>Justices was about the framers&rsquo; original intent (actual or counterfactual) or the way in which they expected the Citizenship Clause to be applied, rather than the original public meaning of the text&mdash;we can examine the rationales of each of the four Justices who didn&rsquo;t join the Court&rsquo;s majority opinion.</span></p>
<h4><b><i>Justice Alito</i></b></h4>
<p><span>Justice Alito&rsquo;s reasoning was the most straightforward (if also the least plausible): In his view (see pp. 16-17), if a person born in the United States is at that time &ldquo;subject to any </span><i><span>foreign</span></i><span> power&rdquo;&mdash;in the sense of having any legal duties to comply with that other sovereign&rsquo;s law&mdash;then their birth in the U.S. does not entitle them to U.S. citizenship. As Alito notes (p.24), &ldquo;many aliens within our territorial limits are also &lsquo;subject to [a] foreign power,&rsquo; i.e., their home country, because they must follow that country&rsquo;s laws when they are abroad.&rdquo; Alito is wrong to assume (p.16) that the foreign state&rsquo;s authority over the person in the U.S. &ldquo;limit[s]&rdquo; the United States&rsquo; own jurisdiction in such cases. That&rsquo;s not so: To the extent the law of the person&rsquo;s home state requires her to do something that U.S. law prohibits, she must comply with U.S. law while she&rsquo;s here. Alito is right, however, that some persons in the United States have legal duties to comply with the law of their home state (i.e., the law of the country of which they are a citizen) where it does </span><i><span>not </span></i><span>conflict with U.S. law. For example, foreign nationals may have to pay taxes to the state in which they are citizens, even while they are living in the U.S. And &ldquo;[s]ome countries&mdash;Mexico, for example&mdash;even mandate military service by those [nationals] living abroad&rdquo; (p.24).&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>According to Justice Alito, if someone living in, or visiting, the United States has such a duty to comply with the law of her state of citizenship, the Fourteenth Amendment does not confer U.S. citizenship upon her children who are born in the United States.</span></p>
<p><span>Justice Alito&rsquo;s theory is in obvious and stark tension with the constitutional text. The Citizenship Clause does not say, or even suggest, that it does not apply to a person born in the United States when they are &ldquo;subject to a </span><i><span>foreign </span></i><span>power.&rdquo; The Clause instead expressly provides that it applies if the newborn child is subject to the jurisdiction </span><i><span>of the United States</span></i><span>&mdash;and the persons Alito describes </span><i><span>are </span></i><span>subject to U.S. jurisdiction while they&rsquo;re in the U.S., even if they might also</span> <span>have a duty to comply with another nation&rsquo;s laws in some discrete situations in which that foreign law doesn&rsquo;t conflict with U.S. law.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Alito&rsquo;s response to this problem is to insist that the Clause contains an </span><i><span>implied</span></i><span> condition: The phrase &ldquo;subject to the jurisdiction thereof,&rdquo; he contends (p.16), &ldquo;refers to a form of jurisdiction </span><i><span>that is exclusive</span></i><span>.&rdquo;</span></p>
<p><span>The Department of Justice offered a similar argument early in the litigation challenging the Trump executive order. I </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/107321/doj-brief-birthright-citizenship/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>explained at the time</span></a><span> why it was untenable. Soon thereafter, DOJ wisely abandoned the &ldquo;exclusive jurisdiction&rdquo; argument, and Solicitor General Sauer chose not to offer it to the Supreme Court&mdash;and for good reason, even apart from the fact that it contradicts the text.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>For one thing, it would have radical implications, far beyond the four corners of the Trump order. For example, lawful permanent residents of the U.S. (LPRs) also remain subject to their home nations&rsquo; laws that extend extraterritorially, as do their children, yet everyone (including Trump) agrees that children born to LPRs in the United States are U.S. citizens. So, too, are children born in the U.S. to nondiplomatic </span><i><span>employees </span></i><span>of foreign states (such as consular officials), even though they obviously owe legal duties to their home nations.<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn2" name="_ftnref2" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[2]</a></span><span>&nbsp;Moreover, as Barbara&rsquo;s counsel Cecillia Wang </span><a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/oral_arguments/argument_transcripts/2025/25-365_l6gn.pdf#page=110" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>explained to Justice Alito at oral argument</span></a><span>, if his view about &ldquo;exclusive&rdquo; jurisdiction were correct then &ldquo;that would have meant that the children of Irish, Italian, and other immigrants [at the time of the framing and throughout the Nineteenth Century] &hellip; would not have been citizens, either,&rdquo; a result that would clearly contravene the framers&rsquo; intent. (See also the </span><a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/oral_arguments/argument_transcripts/2025/25-365_l6gn.pdf#page=118" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>transcript at 117-118</span></a><span>, where Wang noted that the framers intended to guarantee citizenship to the U.S.-born children of Irish immigrants.)&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Thus, as Chief Justice Roberts put it in his opinion for the Court in </span><i><span>Barbara </span></i><span>(p.24), Justice Alito&rsquo;s condition is &ldquo;a test that every child born to a foreign parent fails.&rdquo; In </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark</span></i><span>, the </span><i><span>dissenting </span></i><span>Justices would have established precisely that test, notwithstanding its effect on the children of countless European nationals. The Court rejected that view in no uncertain terms, however, in part </span><i><span>because of </span></i><span>its ramifications for so many U.S.-born children of European visitors (169 U.S. at 694): &ldquo;To hold that the Fourteenth Amendment of the Constitution excludes from citizenship the children, born in the United States, of citizens or subjects of other countries, would be to deny citizenship to thousands of persons of English, Scotch, Irish, German or other European parentage, who have always been considered and treated as citizens of the United States.&rdquo;</span><span><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn3" name="_ftnref3" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[3]</a></span></p>
<p><span>&nbsp;The most significant obstacle to Justice Alito&rsquo;s view, however&mdash;and presumably the reason not even Justices Thomas and Gorsuch adopted it&mdash;is that, if it were correct, </span><i><span>even Wong Kim Ark </span></i><span>himself would not have been a U.S. citizen. As the Court in </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark </span></i><span>repeated at least five times (169 U.S. at 652, 653, 694, 696, 705), Wong Kim Ark&rsquo;s parents were &ldquo;subjects of the Emperor of China&rdquo; when Wong was born in San Francisco and, as Justice Fuller noted (</span><i><span>id. </span></i><span>at 725), they therefore were &ldquo;bound to him [the Emperor] by every conception of duty and by every principle of their religion, of which filial piety is the first and greatest commandment.&rdquo; That was true of Wong Kim Ark himself, too. </span><i><span>See id. </span></i><span>(&ldquo;the children of aliens, whose parents have not only not renounced their allegiance to their native country, but are forbidden by its system of government, as well as by its positive laws, from doing so, and are not permitted to acquire another citizenship by the laws of the country into which they come, </span><i><span>must necessarily remain themselves subject to the same sovereignty as their parents, and cannot, in the nature of things, be, any more than their parents, completely subject to the jurisdiction of such other country</span></i><span>&rdquo;) (emphasis added). (Neither Wong Kim Ark nor the Court majority took issue with this fact&mdash;i.e., they did not suggest that Wong Kim Ark was not a subject of China, thereby bound to comply with its laws to the extent they did not conflict with U.S. law. </span><i><span>See also id. </span></i><span>at 650 (statement of the case) (recounting the U.S.&rsquo;s view that Wong Kim Ark was &ldquo;a subject of the Emperor of China&rdquo;).)</span></p>
<p><span>Justice Alito recognizes (p.23) that the decision in </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark</span></i><span> is a serious problem for his position. To circumvent that problem, Alito offered a novel reading of the Court&rsquo;s holding in that case (p.27): &ldquo;</span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark</span></i><span> is &hellip; best understood as holding that people who are lawfully present here, establish the United States as their intended permanent home, and do everything within their power to become United States citizens </span><i><span>can be seen as no longer subject to any foreign power</span></i><span>.&rdquo;<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn4" name="_ftnref4" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[4]</a></span></p>
<p><span>Alito&rsquo;s effort to distinguish </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark </span></i><span>on this basis doesn&rsquo;t fly, however. There&rsquo;s nothing in the many pages of the majority opinion</span> <span>to suggest that its holding depended upon the notion &ldquo;that people who are lawfully present here, establish the United States as their intended permanent home, and do everything within their power to become United States citizens </span><i><span>can be seen as no longer subject to any foreign power</span></i><span>.&rdquo; To the contrary, Justice Gray went to great lengths to explain that the Citizenship Clause depended upon whether the U.S.-born children of foreign nationals were subject to </span><i><span>U.S. </span></i><span>law on their date of birth, regardless of any duties they or their parents might simultaneously have owed to another nation, i.e., regardless of the fact that the parents and Wong Kim Ark were, as Gray repeatedly noted, subjects of the Chinese Emperor. Indeed, Chief Justice Fuller and Justice Harlan dissented precisely </span><i><span>because </span></i><span>Wong Kim Ark was a subject of the Chinese Emperor&mdash;those Justices believed that the majority erred in concluding that that fact was immaterial. As far as I know, no one in the Wong Kim Ark litigation itself, or in the subsequent 128 years, ever asserted, or read </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark </span></i><span>to hold, that Wong Kim Ark was a U.S. citizen because he or his parents could be &ldquo;seen as no longer subject to any foreign power&rdquo; when he was born in 1873.</span></p>
<p><span>Be that as it may, and as bad as Justice Alito&rsquo;s argument might be, it&rsquo;s plain that application of Alito&rsquo;s test would deny citizenship to </span><i><span>both </span></i><span>categories of children described in Trump&rsquo;s executive order&mdash;a conclusion to which Justice Alito appears to be deeply committed in light of his speculation (p.38) about the dire &ldquo;national security implications&rdquo; of the Court&rsquo;s decision in </span><i><span>Barbara</span></i><span>, &ldquo;a mistake that will seriously affect the country&rsquo;s future.&rdquo;&nbsp; (Alito feverishly imagines (pp. 38-39) women from enemy nations who come to the U.S. &ldquo;just long enough to give birth,&rdquo; whose children then are &ldquo;inculcated with hatred of this country&rdquo; and thereafter &ldquo;plot[] to harm this country,&rdquo; comforted by the guarantee that they won&rsquo;t lose their U.S. citizenship if they do so.)&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>So that&rsquo;s certainly one dissenting vote on the constitutional question.</span></p>
<h4><b><i>Justice Kavanaugh</i></b></h4>
<p><span>Justice Kavanaugh agreed with Justice Alito about what the proper constitutional test should be: According to Kavanaugh, the Fourteenth Amendment does not confer citizenship upon persons born in the U.S. if their </span><i><span>parents</span></i><span>, on the date of birth, &ldquo;were not U.S. citizens and were citizens of other nations, whether tribal or foreign&rdquo; (p.9). That test, by its terms, would preclude birthright citizenship for both categories of persons in the Trump executive order and in H.R. 9633.</span></p>
<p><span>Despite this shared test, Kavanaugh differs from Alito in two respects.</span></p>
<p><span>First, he arrived at their common interpretation via a different analytical route. Justice Kavanaugh reasons as follows:</span></p>
<p><span>i. Everyone agrees that the framers of the Fourteenth Amendment intended the Citizenship Clause to have &ldquo;four disparate exceptions,&rdquo; including for the U.S.-born children of foreign diplomats and members of Native American tribes, even though the text does not mention those exceptions. </span></p>
<p>ii. The Court in both <i>Wong Kim Ark </i>and in <i>Barbara </i>has treated those four exceptions as a &ldquo;closed set.&rdquo;&nbsp; [I question whether the Court actually did so, in either case; but that&rsquo;s how Kavanaugh reads those decisions.]</p>
<p><span>iii.&nbsp; The eleven Justices in the </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark </span></i><span>and </span><i><span>Barbara</span></i><span> majorities, however, didn&rsquo;t understand or apply the &ldquo;basic tenets of constitutional interpretation,&rdquo; which are that &ldquo;other exceptions can be recognized when the new exceptions (i) are based on subsequent developments or circumstances that are new, i.e., largely unknown or unanticipated by the Framers of the Fourteenth Amendment, and (ii) are relevantly similar to the four previously recognized </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark</span></i><span> exceptions&rdquo; (p.7). </span></p>
<p>iv. According to Justice Kavanaugh (p.9), &ldquo;[t]he only apparent principle unifying the four disparate exceptions listed by the Court in <i>Wong Kim Ark</i>&mdash;especially in light of the exception for tribal American Indians&rdquo;&mdash; is that &ldquo;<b>the parents in all of those varied circumstances were not U.S. citizens and were citizens of other nations, whether tribal or foreign</b>.&rdquo; [For what it&rsquo;s worth, I think this is incorrect: As I&rsquo;ve explained <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/119104/taking-stock-birthright-citizenship-cases-part-ii/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">elsewhere</a> and summarize in a footnote below, the established exceptions have a different &ldquo;unifying&rdquo; explanation&mdash;one that&rsquo;s consistent with the Court&rsquo;s opinion in <i>Wong Kim Ark </i>and that <i>doesn&rsquo;t</i> extend to the children in the Trump order<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn5" name="_ftnref5" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[5]</a>; but, for present purposes, what matters is that Kavanaugh disagrees about the basis for the exceptions.]</p>
<p>v. &ldquo;An exception for those born in the United States to foreign parents unlawfully or temporarily in the country&rdquo;&mdash;i.e., the children identified in the Trump order&mdash;&ldquo;is consistent with [Kavanaugh&rsquo;s identified &lsquo;unifying&rsquo;] principle and therefore with the Fourteenth Amendment.&rdquo; <i>Id.</i></p>
<p><span>Kavanaugh&rsquo;s preferred construction of the Citizenship Clause thus dovetails with Alito&rsquo;s, even if they used different reasoning to reach that result.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The second difference between those two Justices, however, is more important for purposes of this article: In contrast to Alito, Kavanaugh appears to acknowledge that </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark </span></i><span>resolved the question </span><i><span>against</span></i><span> the constitutionality of the Trump order. Kavanaugh doesn&rsquo;t contend (as does Alito) that the holding in </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark </span></i><span>was limited to persons who are indistinguishable from Wong Kim Ark himself; instead, Kavanaugh concludes that, as long as </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark </span></i><span>remains the governing precedent, all persons born in the United States are birthright citizens </span><i><span>unless </span></i><span>they fall within one of what he refers to as the &ldquo;closed set&rdquo; of the four recognized, established exceptions.</span></p>
<p><span>Moreover, and of particular importance, in his opinion Kavanaugh didn&rsquo;t contend that it would be proper for the Court to </span><i><span>overrule Wong Kim Ark</span></i><span>, despite his doubts about the Court&rsquo;s method of constitutional interpretation in that 1898 decision.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>In several recent cases, Justice Kavanaugh has opined that &ldquo;[t]he history of </span><i><span>stare decisis</span></i><span> in this Court establishes that a constitutional precedent may be overruled only when (i) the prior decision is not just wrong, but is egregiously wrong, (ii) the prior decision has caused significant negative jurisprudential or real-world consequences, and (iii) overruling the prior decision would not unduly upset legitimate reliance interests.&rdquo; </span><i><span>Dobbs</span></i><span>, 597 U.S. at 342 (Kavanaugh, J., concurring); </span><i><span>see also, e.g.</span></i><span>, Kavanaugh&rsquo;s separate opinions in cases such as </span><i><span>Erlinger </span></i><span>(2024) and </span><i><span>Ramos </span></i><span>(2020).&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>To be sure, Justice Kavanaugh doesn&rsquo;t think this test makes it impossible for the Court to overrule a precedent: his vote in </span><i><span>Dobbs</span></i><span>; his vote in the recent </span><a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-332_new_geil.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Slaughter</span></i></a> <span>case (overruling </span><i><span>Humphrey&rsquo;s Executor</span></i><span>);</span> <span>and his opinion for the Court in </span><a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/24-621_h315.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>National Republican Senatorial Committee</span></i></a><span> demonstrate as much. Nevertheless, Kavanaugh does </span><i><span>not </span></i><span>argue in his </span><i><span>Barbara </span></i><span>opinion that any of the three conditions for overcoming </span><i><span>stare decisis</span></i><span>, let alone all of them, applies to the Court&rsquo;s decision in </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark</span></i><span>. That omission is all the more striking when contrasted with Kavanaugh&rsquo;s </span><i><span>NRSC </span></i><span>opinion, issued the very same day, in which he explained at length why the three conditions were satisfied in </span><i><span>that </span></i><span>case, thereby justifying overruling the Court&rsquo;s 2001 ruling in </span><i><span>FEC v. Colorado Republican Federal Campaign Comm.</span></i><span>&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>When it comes to </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark</span></i><span>, none of Kavanaugh&rsquo;s three preconditions for overcoming </span><i><span>stare decisis </span></i><span>is present. For starters, even if one agreed with Kavanaugh</span> <span>that it was wrongly decided, </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark</span></i><span> &ldquo;</span><span>certainly is not egregiously wrong.&rdquo; </span><i><span>Erlinger</span></i><span>, 602 U.S. at 862 (Kavanaugh, J., dissenting). Nor has </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark</span></i><span> caused significant negative jurisprudential or real-world consequences&mdash;to the contrary, for well over a century, all three branches complied with it, and treated hundreds of thousands or millions of persons as citizens who would not be citizens under Justice Kavanaugh&rsquo;s test, without anyone raising any serious objections or concerns. And finally, replacing </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark</span></i><span> with Justice Kavanaugh&rsquo;s test not only would &ldquo;unduly upset legitimate reliance interests&rdquo;&mdash;including stripping citizenship from hundreds of thousands or more U.S. residents who have lived their lives as citizens, including the children of LPRs and foreign employees&mdash;but would also (as I explain in the Alito discussion above) contradict the undisputed intent of the Fourteenth Amendment framers that countless &ldquo;persons of English, Scotch, Irish, German or other European parentage&rdquo; in the Nineteenth Century would be treated as U.S. citizens, the way they &ldquo;have always been.&rdquo; 169 U.S. at 694.</span></p>
<p><span>No wonder, then, that Justice Kavanaugh&rsquo;s </span><i><span>Barbara </span></i><span>opinion does not advocate overruling </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></i></p>
<p><span>On the other hand, at the end of his opinion (p.9) Justice Kavanaugh did include the sentence that Representative McGuire seizes upon in his new bill (H.R. 9633) that would amend the federal birthright citizenship statute: &ldquo;If Congress amends &sect; 1401(a) or otherwise enacts a statute creating new exceptions along the lines of the Executive Order for children born to foreign citizens unlawfully or temporarily in the country,&rdquo; Kavanaugh wrote, &ldquo;such a statute, as I see it, would pass constitutional muster.&rdquo;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>How can that sentence in Kavanaugh&rsquo;s opinion be reconciled with the binding precedent of </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark</span></i><span>?</span> <span>It might be fair to assume Kavanaugh would be open to considering </span><i><span>whether </span></i><span>the Court should overrule </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark</span></i><span> if Congress were to enact such a statute. I don&rsquo;t think it&rsquo;s plausible, however, to read Kavanaugh&rsquo;s remark about Congress to suggest that the conditions for such an overruling are currently satisfied&mdash;particularly because, as I explain in the previous paragraph, I think it&rsquo;s fairly clear that they aren&rsquo;t. And, at a minimum, on Kavanaugh&rsquo;s view it would be unconstitutional for the Executive Branch to implement such legislation unless and until five or more Justices were to conclude that </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark </span></i><span>can and should be overruled&mdash;and that </span><i><span>Barbara </span></i><span>itself should be overruled, too. For that reason, I think it&rsquo;s premature, at best, to count Justice Kavanaugh as a vote in favor of the constitutionality of legislation, such as the McGuire bill, that would purport to deny citizenship to persons described in the Trump order.</span></p>
<p><span>I don&rsquo;t want to overstate the point, however. After all, Justice Kavanaugh went out of his way to invite Congress to act. It&rsquo;s therefore entirely possible he would vote to sustain the constitutionality of something like H.R. 9633. My point is simply that such a vote would require a justification for disregarding the </span><i><span>stare decisis </span></i><span>effect of </span><i><span>two </span></i><span>Supreme Court precedents (</span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark </span></i><span>and </span><i><span>Barbara</span></i><span>);</span> <span>and, on Kavanaugh&rsquo;s own understanding of </span><i><span>stare decisis</span></i><span>, the predicates for such an overruling aren&rsquo;t satisfied.</span></p>
<p><span>In sum, then, Justice Kavanaugh is a </span><i><span>possible</span></i><span>, but far-from-certain, second vote in favor of the constitutionality of H.R. 9633.&nbsp;</span></p>
<h4><b><i>Justices Thomas and Gorsuch</i></b></h4>
<p><span>Justice Thomas wrote a 91-page dissenting opinion. Justice Gorsuch joined the Thomas opinion and added a three-page dissenting opinion of his own. Those two Justices did not agree with Justice Alito&rsquo;s and Justice Kavanaugh&rsquo;s reading of the Fourteenth Amendment. Instead, they adopted the Solicitor General&rsquo;s argument that if a U.S.-born person&rsquo;s parents are foreign nationals, then the Fourteenth Amendment only guarantees U.S. citizenship if that newborn child is </span><i><span>domiciled </span></i><span>in the United States at the time of birth. (Justice Thomas invokes a variation of the term &ldquo;domicile&rdquo; almost 350 times in his opinion, even though that term doesn&rsquo;t appear even once in the Constitution.)&nbsp; Moreover, according to Justices Thomas and Gorsuch, that is </span><i><span>all</span></i><span> the Court decided in </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark</span></i><span>, given that the parties in that case stipulated that Wong Kim Ark&rsquo;s parents </span><i><span>were </span></i><span>domiciled in California when he was born in 1873. Therefore, imposing a domicile requirement would not require overruling </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark</span></i><span> (though it would, of course, now require overcoming the </span><i><span>stare decisis </span></i><span>effect of </span><i><span>Barbara </span></i><span>itself).</span></p>
<p><span>Thomas&rsquo; conclusion</span> <span>about a domicile precondition is mistaken, for reasons my colleague John Mikhail and I </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/120152/birthright-citizenship-domicile/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>canvassed in detail here</span></a><span> last September, some of which I summarize in a footnote below.<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn6" name="_ftnref6" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[6]</a> </span><span>Accordingly, Chief Justice Roberts has much the better of the argument on this question in Part V of the majority opinion, where he explains why U.S. domicile at birth is not a necessary condition for birthright citizenship.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Moreover, numerous aspects of Thomas&rsquo; long historical account in his opinion are incomplete, inaccurate and/or misleading&mdash;including, most significantly:</span></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1"><span>his description of the law of U.S. citizenship before the Fourteenth Amendment;&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>his assertions concerning the legal effects of being &ldquo;domiciled&rdquo; in a jurisdiction in pre-Fourteenth Amendment law;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>his failure to identify </span><i><span>any</span></i><span> cases in the years between 1776 and 1868 in which the federal government (or any state government) refused to treat U.S.-born persons as citizens because they weren&rsquo;t domiciled in the nation at birth;&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>his misleading characterization of what the Chief Justice calls (p.6) &ldquo;the antebellum era&rsquo;s foremost case on the topic, </span><i><span>Lynch v. Clarke</span></i><span>, 1 Sand. Ch. 583 (N. Y. Ch. 1844)&rdquo;</span><span>;<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn7" name="_ftnref7" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[7]</a></span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>his selective account of how the Citizenship Clause was understood in the three decades between ratification and </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark</span></i><span>;&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>his mistaken insistence that the holding in </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark </span></i><span>depended upon Wong Kim Ark&rsquo;s domicile in the United States;&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>his mischaracterization of much of the majority opinion in </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark </span></i><span>as &ldquo;dicta&rdquo;&mdash;including those passages where Justice Gray rejected domiciliation as a precondition of being &ldquo;subject to the jurisdiction&rdquo; of the United States&mdash;rather than as the binding, </span><i><span>ratio decidendi </span></i><span>of the Court&rsquo;s decision</span><span>;<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn8" name="_ftnref8" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[8]</a>&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>his characterization of the views of the dissenting Justices in </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark</span></i><span>;</span><i><span>&nbsp;</span></i></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>his failure to explain why U.S.-born children of foreign employees (such as consular officials) </span><i><span>other than </span></i><span>diplomats are birthright citizens even where their parents and the children were not domiciled here; and&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>his extremely misleading description of how the three branches understood and applied </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark </span></i><span>in the first few decades after it was decided (see </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/121397/birthright-citizenship-cases-iv/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>this article of mine</span></a><span> for a more accurate account, especially concerning the view within, and practices of, the Executive Branch).&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></li>
</ul>
<p><span>This isn&rsquo;t the time or place, however, for a detailed dissection of the many problems in Thomas&rsquo; analysis; such a project isn&rsquo;t immediately pressing given that only one other Justice joined his opinion. For purposes of this piece&mdash;and for assessing how the Court might evaluate H.R. 9633 if Congress were to enact it&mdash;the important point is that even if Justices Thomas and Gorsuch were </span><i><span>right</span></i><span> that the Citizenship Clause incorporates an implied &ldquo;domicile at birth&rdquo; requirement for children born to foreign nationals, the vast majority of the persons described in the first category of the Trump Citizenship Order, and in H.R. 9633&mdash;i.e., children whose mothers entered or remained in the United States unlawfully&mdash;</span><i><span>would be </span></i><span>birthright citizens because they were (or, for future newborns, will be) domiciled in the U.S. at birth under the traditional test for domiciliation.</span></p>
<p><span>To see why that&rsquo;s so, it&rsquo;s important to understand what it means to be &ldquo;domiciled&rdquo; in a particular jurisdiction&mdash;here, in the United States. As it happens, because federal benefits, duties, or statuses have rarely if ever turned on whether someone is domiciled in this country, there is no uniform federal law prescribing the conditions for being domiciled in the United States.&nbsp; Historically, &ldquo;domicile&rdquo; has, instead, been relevant primarily for purposes of certain questions under </span><i><span>international </span></i><span>law, for choice-of-law questions relevant to </span><i><span>state </span></i><span>law, and to determine whether a plaintiff is a citizen of a particular </span><i><span>state </span></i><span>for purposes of federal court diversity jurisdiction. In those contexts, the traditional, common-law definition of &ldquo;domicile&rdquo; is a person&rsquo;s &ldquo;&lsquo;residence at a particular place accompanied with positive or presumptive proof of an intention to remain there for an unlimited time.&rsquo;&rdquo; </span><i><span>Mitchell v. United States</span></i><span>, 88 U.S. 350, 352 (1875) (quoting </span><i><span>Guier v. O&rsquo;Daniel</span></i><span>, 1 Binney 349, 352 (note) (Philadelphia Orphan&rsquo;s Court, 1806)). Or, as Justice Alito put it in his </span><i><span>Barbara </span></i><span>dissent (p.26), &ldquo;[a] person&rsquo;s domicile is the place where he or she intends to live indefinitely.&rdquo; Justice Thomas, too, accepts something like this (p.10) as the definition of &ldquo;domicile&rdquo; that he believes the framers of the Fourteenth Amendment meant to implicitly incorporate as a precondition for birthright citizenship.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Moreover, courts have long applied a legal fiction that a newborn child shares the intent of her parents for purposes of assigning a domicile to the child. </span><i><span>See, e.g.</span></i><span>, Joseph Story, </span><i><span>Commentaries on the Conflict of Laws, Foreign and Domestic</span></i><span> ch. III, &sect; 46; </span><i><span>Lamar v. Micou</span></i><span>, 112 U.S. 452, 470 (1884).</span></p>
<p><span>It is almost certainly the case that the vast majority of women who give birth in the United States after having entered or remained in the U.S. unlawfully both (i) reside here </span><i><span>and</span></i><span> (ii) intend to stay indefinitely. Those women and their children thus are domiciled in the United States at the time of the birth, according to the age-old criteria for assessing domiciliary status that Thomas and Gorsuch would read into the Fourteenth Amendment.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Justice Gorsuch emphasizes precisely this point in his separate opinion. He would have ruled against the plaintiffs&rsquo; facial challenge because, on his view, children born in the U.S. to foreign </span><i><span>visitors </span></i><span>are not domiciled in the U.S. at birth (p.2): &ldquo;By definition, temporary visitors to this country do not choose to make a permanent home here, and their children thus cannot claim the privilege of citizenship.&rdquo; [It&rsquo;s important to note that Justice Gorsuch&rsquo;s assumption here is too categorical, even as to the second category of persons in the Trump order&mdash;those born to foreign visitors. For example, some women who are G4 visa holders might well intend to remain indefinitely in the United States, </span><i><span>see Elkins v. Moreno</span></i><span>, 435 U.S. 647, 666-668 (1978), in which case their U.S.-born children would be domiciled here.]&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Gorsuch notes, however, that the Trump order &ldquo;also denies the benefits of citizenship to children born in this country to parents who make their permanent home here, but do so in defiance of federal immigration laws&rdquo; (p.3), and he suggests that such children therefore would be domiciled in the U.S., in which case they&rsquo;d be birthright citizens, even on the Thomas/Gorsuch understanding of the Fourteenth Amendment.</span></p>
<p><span>In footnote 10 of his opinion (pp. 57-58), Justice Thomas flags this same point, but he doesn&rsquo;t resolve the question because of an argument Solicitor General Sauer had made about domicile. According to Sauer, one can&rsquo;t be domiciled in a jurisdiction without the state&rsquo;s &ldquo;permission to remain&rdquo;&mdash;which would, </span><i><span>if </span></i><span>true, mean that all persons living in the U.S. who lack the legal right to remain in the country, and their newborn children, could not satisfy the legal requirements for domicile. Thomas proceeds to acknowledge, however&mdash;citing Gorsuch&rsquo;s opinion&mdash;that &ldquo;many others understandably have suggested that long-term resident illegal aliens satisfy the elements of domicile because they reside here with the intent to permanently remain.&rdquo; Thomas does not himself express a view on who&rsquo;s got the better of this argument (&ldquo;[s]uch questions are best resolved in the context of as-applied challenges&rdquo;), but he agrees that </span><i><span>if </span></i><span>such persons are domiciled in the U.S., then the Citizenship Clause applies to them.</span></p>
<p><span>And on the merits of that question, Solicitor General Sauer was simply wrong. As the Court itself has explained, </span><span>&ldquo;illegal entry into the country would not, under traditional criteria, bar a person from obtaining domicile within a State.&rdquo; </span><i><span>Plyler v. Doe</span></i><span>, 457 U.S. 202, 227 n.22 (1982); </span><i><span>see also </span></i><span>Clement Bouv&eacute;, </span><i><span>Treatise on the Laws Governing the Exclusion and Expulsion of Aliens in the United States </span></i><span>340 (1912) (&ldquo;An alien who, &hellip; entering in violation of the Immigration acts, &hellip; takes up his residence here with intent to remain has done all that is necessary for the acquisition of a domicile.&rdquo;).<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn9" name="_ftnref9" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[9]</a></span></p>
<p><span>Several state courts have addressed this question in recent years, and they&rsquo;ve agreed that a person&rsquo;s unlawful entry into the United States, or unlawful failure to comply with the durational terms of a visa, does not preclude their state domiciliary status for purposes of applying state laws that turn on such status. </span><i><span>See, e.g.</span></i><span>,&nbsp;</span><i><span>Munoz-Hoyos v. de Cortez</span></i><span>, 207 P.3d 951, 953 (Colo. App. 2009);&nbsp;</span><i><span>Garcia v. Angulo</span></i><span>, 644 A.2d 498, 507&ndash;10 (Md. 1994) (Chasanow &amp; Bell, JJ., concurring) (collecting cases); </span><i><span>In re Marriage of Quijada &amp; Dominguez</span></i><span>, 550 P.3d 153, 161 (Ariz. 2024). At least three state attorneys general have concluded likewise. </span><i><span>See</span></i><span> Op. Att&rsquo;y Gen. No. 07-03 (Colo. Aug. 14, 2007), 2007 WL 2670297; Op. Att&rsquo;y Gen. No. 14-84 (Tenn. Sept. 16, 2014), 2014 WL 4799142; Op. Att&rsquo;y Gen. No. 2025-007 (Ala. Oct. 21, 2024), 2024 WL 4756549. And, notably, so did the Department of Justice itself in the first Trump administration.&nbsp; </span><i><span>See</span></i><span> Appellees&rsquo; Answering Brief, </span><i><span>Park v. Sessions</span></i><span>, No. 18-55914, at 12-13 &amp; n.4 (9th Cir.) (2019), 2019 WL 1311809 </span><span>(</span><span>DOJ brief arguing that whereas an alien present in the U.S. on a tourist visa is required to maintain a residence in his or her home country with no intention of abandoning it&mdash;thereby precluding the intent to remain that&rsquo;s necessary for domicile under California law&mdash;Park&rsquo;s &ldquo;decision to overstay her tourist visa and continue to reside in California well past the expiration of her visa&rdquo; was evidence that she </span><i><span>did</span></i><span> intend to remain in California indefinitely, which made her a domiciliary of California).<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn10" name="_ftnref10" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[10]</a></span></p>
<p><span>Accordingly, even under Thomas&rsquo; and Gorsuch&rsquo;s interpretation, the Fourteenth Amendment would guarantee birthright citizenship to most or all of the larger category of U.S.-born persons covered by the Trump Citizenship Order and H.R. 9633&mdash;and to some children of temporary visa-holders, as well, </span><i><span>see Elkins v. Moreno</span></i><span>, 435 U.S. 647, 666-668 (1978) (explaining that Congress did not place restrictions on a nonimmigrant&rsquo;s intent to remain in the U.S. as a condition of receiving a </span><span>&ldquo;G&ndash;4 visa&rdquo; &mdash; a nonimmigrant visa granted to officers or employees of international treaty organizations and members of their immediate families &mdash; and thus that &ldquo;Congress, while anticipating that permanent immigration would normally occur through immigrant channels, was willing to allow [such] nonrestricted nonimmigrant aliens to adopt the United States as their domicile&rdquo;).</span></p>
<p><span>* * * *</span></p>
<p><span>In sum, then, Justice Alito is the only current Justice who would unquestionably uphold the constitutionality of each of the two components of H.R. 9633. Justice Kavanaugh might join him; but, in order to do so, it appears that Kavanaugh would have to disregard his views about the standards for overcoming </span><i><span>stare decisis</span></i><span>. And, most importantly, </span><i><span>if </span></i><span>Justices Thomas and Gorsuch were to adhere to the views they expressed in </span><i><span>Barbara</span></i><span>, they would conclude that the Trump order, and H.R. 9633, are unconstitutional as applied to the vast majority of children born in the U.S. to women who entered or remained in the country unlawfully.</span></p>
<p>&ndash; &ndash; &ndash; &ndash; &ndash; &ndash; &ndash; &ndash; &ndash; &ndash; &ndash; &ndash;</p>
<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref1" name="_ftn1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[1]</a> <span>Some have suggested that the Court majority itself likewise should have ruled on statutory grounds and reserved the constitutional question. For reasons I offered in a </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/121397/birthright-citizenship-cases-iv/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>piece</span></a><span> here last year, I agree that the Trump order violates a statute</span> <span>establishing birthright citizenship, 8 U.S.C. &sect; 1401(a), in addition to the Fourteenth Amendment. See also, especially, the comprehensive treatment of the statutory question in the amicus brief filed on behalf of </span><a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/25/25-365/396656/20260218161439117_25-365%20bsac%20Citizenship%20Law%20Scholars.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Professors Collins, Neuman, and Rosenbloom</span></a><span>. </span><i><span>Barbara</span></i><span> was not a case, however, in which it would have been appropriate for the Court to adhere to the general </span><a href="https://tile.loc.gov/storage-services/service/ll/usrep/usrep297/usrep297288/usrep297288.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Ashwander</span></i></a><span> rule (derived from Justice Brandeis&rsquo; concurrence in that case) that &ldquo;if a case can be decided on either of two grounds, one involving a constitutional question, the other a question of statutory construction or general law, the Court will decide only the latter.&rdquo; The Court applies that rule in cases where the answer to the constitutional question is uncertain. Here, however, </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark </span></i><span>had</span> <span>resolved the constitutional question&mdash;something all three branches had agreed upon for over a century&mdash;and therefore the government had treated persons described in the Trump order as citizens for 128 years. A purely statutory holding in </span><i><span>Barbara </span></i><span>would have suggested to the political branches, inaccurately, that they might be free to amend the statute in a way that would deviate from the binding precedent of </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark</span></i><span>, and would have upset that well-established understanding and practice. The Court therefore did the right thing by reaffirming </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark</span></i><span>.</span></p>
<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref2" name="_ftn2" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[2]</a> <i><span>See, e.g.</span></i><span>, </span><i><span>Moncada v. Rubio</span></i><span>, 153 F.4th 733, 737 (9th Cir. 2025) (noting that the government had treated the plaintiff as a Fourteenth Amendment birthright citizen for decades when it understood his father to have been a foreign-born Nicaraguan consul at the time of the plaintiff&rsquo;s birth); </span><a href="https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1938v02/d274" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Letter of Assistant Secretary of State George Messersmith, for the Secretary of State, to the French Charg&eacute; (Henry)</span></a><span> (Mar. 3, 1938) (explaining that a French consul&rsquo;s child born in New York was a U.S. citizen because &ldquo;[i]t has long been the view of the Department that under [the Citizenship Clause] persons born in the United States of fathers who are in the employ of a foreign government other than in a diplomatic capacity&rdquo;&mdash;including &ldquo;[c]onsular officers&rdquo;&mdash;are &ldquo;considered to be born subject to the jurisdiction of the United States and consequently acquire at birth the status of citizens of the United States&rdquo;); </span><a href="https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1938v02/d275" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Letter from the French Ambassador to the Secretary of State</span></a><span> (May 5, 1938) (responding that the &ldquo;American authorities have a sound basis in considering as being their national any Frenchman born in the United States to one of our consuls exercising his duties there </span><i><span>even when the person concerned does not possess any domicile</span></i><span> in America&rdquo; (emphasis added)).</span></p>
<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref3" name="_ftn3" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[3]</a> <span>In his dissenting opinion in </span><i><span>Barbara</span></i><span>, Justice Thomas argues (p.13) that, under pre-1868 law, &ldquo;[o]nce a person became domiciled in a place, he was considered no longer subject to any foreign power&rdquo;&mdash;a claim that, if correct, might exclude the children of LPRs and many European nationals in the Nineteenth Century from the scope of Justice Alito&rsquo;s limitation. </span><i><span>See also id. </span></i><span>at 14 (&ldquo;When a person moved to a country permanently, &hellip; he was no longer subject to the power of the country from which he originated&rdquo;); </span><i><span>id. </span></i><span>at 87 (&ldquo;[T]he Court is wrong about domiciliaries&rsquo; remaining &lsquo;subject to&rsquo; the foreign power of their country of birth.&nbsp; Although their nation of origin might purport to exercise jurisdiction over them, the United States would not have had to recognize that authority as lawful once those persons were domiciled here.&rdquo;).&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>As Chief Justice Roberts noted, however (majority op. at 23-24), Thomas is simply wrong about whether such foreign nationals continue to have a duty to comply with the laws of their home states (such as tax, conscription and treason laws) while they&rsquo;re domiciled in the U.S. but remain foreign subjects. </span><i><span>See </span></i><span>Joseph Story</span><span>, Commentaries on the Conflict of Laws, Foreign and Domestic, at 22 (1834) (&ldquo;[E]very nation has a right to bind its own subjects by its own laws in every other place.&rdquo;); </span><i><span>id.</span></i><span> at 451 (&ldquo;[N]ations generally assert a claim to regulate the rights, duties, obligations, and acts of their own citizens, </span><b>wherever they may be domiciled</b><span>. And, so far as these rights, duties, obligations, and acts afterwards come under the cognizance of the tribunals of the sovereign power of their own country, either for enforcement, or for protection, or for remedy, there may be no just ground to exclude this claim.&rdquo;); </span><i><span>see also, e.g.</span></i><span>, </span><i><span>Commonwealth v. Gaines</span></i><span>, 4 Va. 172, 176 (1819) (&ldquo;the Law of Nations recognizes the right of a State to punish its own citizens for the commission of crimes either of </span><i><span>lesae majestatis</span></i><span>, or of other dangerous and injurious tendencies, out of its own territorial limits&rdquo;); </span><i><span>State ex rel. Chandler v. Main</span></i><span>, 16 Wis. 398, 419 (1863) (&ldquo;it seems to be well established, that every nation has the right to punish its own citizens for the violation of its laws, wherever committed&rdquo;).</span></p>
<p><span>In support of his contrary view, Thomas cited three things: (i) page 278 of the Court&rsquo;s decision in </span><i><span>The Venus</span></i><span>, 12 U.S. 253 (1814); (ii) page 120 of </span><i><span>Murray v. Schooner Charming Betsy</span></i><span>, 6 U.S. 64 (1804); and (iii) a statement by Senator McDougall in an 1863 floor debate, Cong. Globe, 37th Cong., 3d Sess., at 992. None of those sources, however, supports Thomas&rsquo; assertion that a citizen of Nation A no </span><span>longer has a duty to comply with Nation A&rsquo;s laws when he is domiciled in Nation B.</span></p>
<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref4" name="_ftn4" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[4]</a> <span>The parties in </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark </span></i><span>stipulated that Wong Kim Ark&rsquo;s parents were domiciled in the U.S. when he was born in 1873&mdash;which, if true, would imply that they intended the U.S. to be their &ldquo;permanent home&rdquo; as of that date. For what it&rsquo;s worth, there&rsquo;s reason to believe that the stipulation might not have been accurate. Indeed, by the time Wong Kim Ark initiated the litigation, his parents had already moved back to China (in 1890), as Justice Gray pointed out in the first paragraph of his opinion (169 U.S. at 652).</span></p>
<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref5" name="_ftn5" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[5]</a> <span>The throughline connecting the well-established exceptions is that in each case, </span><span>for various &ldquo;&lsquo;peculiar&rsquo;&rdquo; reasons involving the accommodation of inter-sovereign relations (</span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark</span></i><span>, 169 U.S. at 659 (in turn quoting Justice Story&rsquo;s separate opinion in </span><i><span>Inglis v. Sailors&rsquo; Snug Harbor</span></i><span> (1830)), the federal government has chosen not to significantly exercise or to significantly enforce its regulatory power as to a particular category of children. For example, t</span><span>he exception for children of &ldquo;occupying forces&rdquo;&nbsp;applies when a foreign entity has&nbsp;</span><i><span>displaced&nbsp;</span></i><span>the federal government in the United States.&nbsp;The &ldquo;children of&nbsp;diplomats&rdquo;&nbsp;exception&nbsp;applies because states&mdash;including the U.S.&mdash;have uniformly granted diplomats and their families a form of immunity from </span><i><span>enforcement </span></i><span>of the host state&rsquo;s law&mdash;&ldquo;personal inviolability&rdquo;&mdash;as an accommodation for the visiting state itself, not for its representatives (which is why the state can waive such inviolability). And the uniquely American&nbsp;exception&nbsp;for persons born as members of Indian tribes developed as a result of the federal government&rsquo;s treatment of tribes as &ldquo;distinct, independent political communities&rdquo; (</span><i><span>Worcester v. Georgia&nbsp;</span></i><span>(1832)) within U.S. territory, which Congress permitted to govern their own populations without the significant intervention of federal law.</span></p>
<p><span><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref6" name="_ftn6" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[6]</a> Those reasons include, inter alia, the following:</span></p>
<p><span>&mdash; It would have been very simple for the framers of the Fourteenth Amendment to include a domicile requirement expressly, just as they included a state residency requirement for purposes of constitutionally guaranteed </span><i><span>state </span></i><span>citizenship later in the same clause. But they didn&rsquo;t do so. Instead, they adopted a text that refers to the person being &ldquo;subject to&rdquo; the United States&rsquo; &ldquo;jurisdiction&rdquo;&mdash;textual terms that have nothing to do with domicile.</span></p>
<p><span>&mdash; There would have been compelling </span><i><span>practical </span></i><span>reasons for the framers to have rejected a domicile test had anyone actually proposed it. It would have been very difficult for Nineteenth Century officials and judges to ascertain, often decades after the fact and without the aid of meaningful documentary evidence, whether a person&rsquo;s parents intended to remain in the U.S. indefinitely on the date of the claimant&rsquo;s birth. And, as Justice Barrett noted at oral argument in </span><i><span>Barbara</span></i><span>, in a significant number of cases the government wouldn&rsquo;t even be able to ascertain who the child&rsquo;s parents were, let alone what their future plans had been when the child was born.</span></p>
<p><span>&mdash; The English common law did not include any such domicile requirement for application of the </span><i><span>jus soli </span></i><span>rule. Therefore, if the antebellum law of the United States incorporated the English rule&mdash;as the Court in </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark </span></i><span>correctly held that it did&mdash;then there wasn&rsquo;t any domicile requirement under the U.S. law of citizenship before 1868, in which case the Fourteenth Amendment doesn&rsquo;t establish such a condition, either.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>&mdash; There&rsquo;s no evidence that anyone in the federal government (or a state government) during the first 92 years of the nation&rsquo;s history denied anyone the benefits and duties of U.S. citizenship because they weren&rsquo;t domiciled in the U.S. at birth. Therefore, to impose such a requirement now would be to read the Citizenship Clause to </span><i><span>contract</span></i><span> the citizenship rights that were in place before 1868&mdash;something everyone agrees the framers did not intend to do.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>&mdash; And, most important of all, as Mikhail and I explained, the Court in </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark </span></i><span>had already </span><i><span>rejected </span></i><span>the view that being &ldquo;subject to the jurisdiction&rdquo; of the United States depends upon whether a person is domiciled in the United States, </span><i><span>see, e.g.</span></i><span>, 169 U.S. at 693 (quoting with approval Secretary of State Daniel Webster&rsquo;s 1851 well-known report in </span><i><span>Thrasher&rsquo;s Case</span></i><span>, in which Webster explained that the requisite allegiance is established &ldquo;independently of a residence with intention to continue such residence; </span><i><span>independently of any domiciliation</span></i><span>; [and] independently of the taking of any oath of allegiance or of renouncing any former allegiance&rdquo; (emphasis added)).</span></p>
<p><span><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref7" name="_ftn7" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[7]</a> Thomas tries to diminish </span><i><span>Lynch</span></i><span> by noting (p.79) that it was decided by a New York assistant vice-chancellor &ldquo;in a court of equity&rsquo;s equivalent to a trial court.&rdquo; </span><i><span>Lynch </span></i><span>is significant, however, not because of its </span><i><span>precedential </span></i><span>value (or lack thereof), but instead because it was widely agreed that Vice Chancellor Sandford&rsquo;s extensive examination of uniform U.S. practice was so thorough and persuasive. (For example, as the court in </span><i><span>Lynch </span></i><span>noted, &ldquo;when at an election, the inquiry is made whether a person offering to vote is a citizen or an alien, if he answers that he is a native of this country, it is received as conclusive that he is a citizen. No one inquires farther.&nbsp; No one asks whether his parents were citizens or were foreigners. It is enough that he was born here, whatever were the status of his parents.&rdquo; 1 Sand. Ch. at 663-664.) Of perhaps greatest significance, in an opinion published in 1862, Lincoln&rsquo;s Attorney General Edward Bates wrote that &ldquo;I am quite clear in the opinion that children born in the United States of alien parents, who have never been naturalized, are native-born citizens of the United States, and, of course, do not require the formality of naturalization to entitle them to the rights and privileges of such citizenship.&rdquo; </span><i><span>Citizenship of Children Born in the United States of Alien Parents</span></i><span>, 10 Op. A.G. 328, 328 (1862). Bates noted that the authority for, and proof of, this proposition was extensive: &ldquo;I might sustain this opinion by a reference to the well settled principle of the common law of England on this subject; to the writings of many of the earlier and later commentators on our Constitution and laws; to the familiar practice and usage of the country in the exercise of the ordinary rights and duties of citizenship; to the liberal policy of our Government in extending and recognizing these rights, and enforcing these duties; and, lastly, to the dicta and decisions of many of our national and State judicial tribunals.&rdquo; </span><i><span>Id. </span></i><span>at 328-329. Bates concluded, however, that such an elaboration was unnecessary because &ldquo;all this has been well done by Assistant Vice Chancellor Sandford, in the case of </span><i><span>Lynch vs. Clarke</span></i><span>,&rdquo; and thus Bates simply &ldquo;refer[red] to [Sandford&rsquo;s] opinion [in </span><i><span>Lynch</span></i><span>] for a full and clear statement of the principle, and of the reasons and authorities in its support.&rdquo; </span><i><span>Id.</span></i><span> at 329; </span><i><span>see also </span></i><span>James Kent, </span><i><span>Commentaries on American Law</span></i><span> 38 n.a (1848) (noting that the court in </span><i><span>Lynch </span></i><span>had properly described the U.S. law&rsquo;s adoption of the English </span><i><span>jus soli </span></i><span>rule); </span><i><span>In re Look Tin Sing</span></i><span>, 21 F. 905, 909-910 (C.C.D. Cal. 1884) (Field, J.) (explaining that Vice Chancellor Sandford&rsquo;s account of the antebellum U.S. law in </span><i><span>Lynch </span></i><span>was correct).</span></p>
<p><span><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref8" name="_ftn8" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[8]</a> The pages of Justice Gray&rsquo;s opinion that the </span><i><span>Barbara </span></i><span>Justices would dismiss as &ldquo;meandering&rdquo; or &ldquo;dubious&rdquo; dicta (Thomas at 45; Alito at 23, 25) were anything but. Instead, Justice Gray in those pages thoroughly and carefully resolved the central point of contention between the parties, and among the Justices themselves.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>In his briefs in </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark</span></i><span>, Solicitor General Holmes Conrad&rsquo;s central argument was &ldquo;that citizenship of the United States can not be maintained or ascertained by any reference to the common law of England&rdquo; and that, instead, &ldquo;recourse must be had to the principles of international law&rdquo; (Reply Br. 5). Similarly, Chief Justice Fuller, dissenting in </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark</span></i><span>, </span><i><span>agreed</span></i><span> with Justice Gray and the majority of the Court that </span><i><span>if </span></i><span>the U.S. common law (and thus the Citizenship Clause) incorporated the British rule, then Wong Kim Ark was a birthright citizen, seeing as how &ldquo;[t]he English common law rule recognized no exception in the instance of birth during the mere temporary or accidental sojourn of the parents. As allegiance sprang from the place of birth regardless of parentage and supervened at the moment of birth, the inquiry whether the parents were permanently or only temporarily within the realm was wholly immaterial.&rdquo; 169 U.S.</span> <span>at 718 (Fuller, dissenting). For that reason, Fuller and Justice Harlan went to great lengths to argue, in accord with Solicitor General Conrad, that the U.S. law before the Fourteenth Amendment did </span><i><span>not </span></i><span>accept the English </span><i><span>jus soli </span></i><span>rule, and that the U.S. had, instead, adopted principles of citizenship drawn from the law of nations.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Much to Fuller&rsquo;s and Harlan&rsquo;s dismay, however, the other six Justices specifically disagreed, for the detailed reasons offered in Justice Gray&rsquo;s comprehensive and scholarly opinion. The Court concluded that the U.S. law before 1868 </span><i><span>had</span></i><span> incorporated the </span><i><span>jus soli </span></i><span>rule, and that, under that rule, citizenship did </span><i><span>not </span></i><span>depend upon domiciliation at birth (169 U.S. at 693).&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Because those pages of Gray&rsquo;s opinion directly addressed the legal issue on which the parties disagreed for purposes of assessing Wong Kim Ark&rsquo;s claim to citizenship, they were not dicta, but rather the </span><i><span>ratio decidendi</span></i><span> of the case, and therefore are binding precedent, regardless of whether one thinks that Justice Gray or Chief Justice Fuller had the better view of the history of U.S. citizenship law. </span><i><span>See, e.g.</span></i><span>, </span><i><span>Seminole Tribe of Fla. v. Florida</span></i><span>, 517 U.S. 44, 67 (1996) (&ldquo;When an opinion issues for the Court, it is not only the result but also those portions of the opinion necessary to that result by which we are bound.&rdquo;); </span><i><span>Bucklew v. Precythe</span></i><span>, 587 U.S. 119, 136 (2019) (&ldquo;just as binding as [a] holding is the reasoning underlying it&rdquo;); </span><i><span>National Institutes of Health v. American Pub. Health Ass&rsquo;n</span></i><span>, 145 S. Ct. 2658, 2663&ndash;64 (2025) (Gorsuch, J., concurring in part and dissenting in part, joined by Kavanaugh, J.); </span><i><span>see also</span></i> <i><span>Capital Traction Company v. Hof</span></i><span>, 174 U.S. 1, 12 (1899) (written by Justice Gray one year after </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark</span></i><span>) (describing the binding </span><i><span>ratio decidendi</span></i><span> of a case as &ldquo;the line of thought pervading and controlling the whole opinion&rdquo;).&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The</span> <span>Supreme Court itself understood as much in the years following </span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark</span></i><span>.</span> <span>As Chief Justice Taft wrote in </span><i><span>Weedin v. Chin Bow</span></i><span>, 274 U.S. 657, 660 (1927), &ldquo;[t]he very learned and useful opinion of Mr. Justice Gray, speaking for the Court in </span><i><span>United States v. Wong Kim Ark</span></i><span>, 169 U. S. 649, establishes that, at common law in England </span><i><span>and the United States</span></i><span>, the rule with respect to nationality was that of the </span><i><span>jus soli</span></i><span>,&mdash;that birth within the limits of the jurisdiction of the Crown, and of the United States, as the successor of the Crown, fixed nationality &hellip; .&rdquo; (emphasis added); </span><i><span>see also Perkins v. Elg</span></i><span>, 307 U.S. 325, 329 (1939) (referring to Justice Gray&rsquo;s &ldquo;comprehensive review of the principles and authorities </span><i><span>governing the decision</span></i><span> in [</span><i><span>Wong Kim Ark</span></i><span>]&rdquo; (emphasis added)).&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref9" name="_ftn9" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[9]</a> <span>In footnote 10 of his opinion, Justice Thomas offers several &ldquo;cf.&rdquo; citations to cases and other sources with respect to the SG&rsquo;s argument that &ldquo;domicile requires permission to remain&rdquo; and that &ldquo;an alien who wishes to remain in the United States in violation of federal law cannot be &lsquo;domiciled&rsquo; here.&rdquo; Those cases and sources, however, don&rsquo;t establish those propositions (or, in some cases, even discuss the standards for domicile). Thomas also quotes from the court of appeals&rsquo; opinion in </span><i><span>Carlson v. Reed</span></i><span>, 249 F. 3d 876, 881 (9th Cir. 2001), in support of his assertion that &ldquo;some courts [sic] have concluded that an alien who wishes to remain in the United States in violation of federal law cannot be &lsquo;domiciled&rsquo; here because he &lsquo;lacks the legal capacity to establish domicile.&rsquo;&rdquo; In </span><i><span>Carlson</span></i><span>, however, the Canadian student in question had had to </span><i><span>disclaim</span></i><span> any intent to establish permanent residence in the U.S. as a condition of receiving her visa, </span><i><span>see id. </span></i><span>at 877, which is why the court remarked in passing (the decision didn&rsquo;t turn on this point) that she &ldquo;lack[ed] the legal capacity to establish domicile in the United States,&rdquo; </span><i><span>id. </span></i><span>at 881.&nbsp; The court in </span><i><span>Carlson </span></i><span>did not discuss whether persons who had </span><i><span>not</span></i><span> disclaimed such an intent to remain in the U.S. can be domiciled here, let alone issue a categorical holding, in conflict with the Supreme Court&rsquo;s understanding in </span><i><span>Plyler </span></i><span>and the views of many other courts, about the lack of domiciliary status of any and all &ldquo;alien[s] who wish[] to remain in the United States in violation of federal law&rdquo; (something that would have been far afield from the question presented in the case, which was whether Carlson &ldquo;resided&rdquo; in California for purposes of a state tuition statute).</span></p>
<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref10" name="_ftn10" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[10]</a> <span>In the </span><i><span>Park </span></i><span>case, the court of appeals panel, in a </span><i><span>per curiam</span></i><span> opinion, rejected DOJ&rsquo;s argument and concluded that the federal immigration statutes precluded domicile for purposes of determining whether California law governed the validity of Park&rsquo;s marriage&mdash;in other words, the court held not that Park wasn&rsquo;t a California domiciliary under </span><i><span>California </span></i><span>law, but that federal law had effectively pre-empted state domicile law. </span><i><span>See Park v. Barr</span></i><span>, 946 F.3d 1096, 1099-1100 (9th Cir. 2020). The Court of Appeals in </span><i><span>Park </span></i><span>did not even cite the Supreme Court&rsquo;s contrary view in </span><i><span>Plyler</span></i><span>, however; and, even assuming </span><i><span>arguendo </span></i><span>that Congress has the power to preempt state domicile laws for certain purposes, I&rsquo;m not aware of any evidence that Congress has intended to do so. The position of the Trump DOJ on this question in </span><i><span>Park </span></i><span>was correct, as have been the decisions of the state courts and attorneys general cited in the text.</span></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148991/counting-votes-supreme-court-birthright-citizenship-decision/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Counting the Votes in the Supreme Court&rsquo;s Birthright Citizenship Decision</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-24T14:30:53+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Marty Lederman</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-24T14:30:53+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="14th amendment"/>

	<category term="citizenship"/>

	<category term="congress"/>

	<category term="constitution"/>

	<category term="constitutional law"/>

	<category term="courts &amp; litigation"/>

	<category term="department of justice (doj)"/>

	<category term="executive branch"/>

	<category term="executive orders"/>

	<category term="featured articles"/>

	<category term="immigration"/>

	<category term="supreme court (scotus)"/>

	<category term="trump administration second term"/>

	<category term="us v. wong kim ark"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-24:/294270</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/143209/the-pentagons-autonomous-weapons-definitions-dont-need-an-overhaul-they-need-an-update/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=the-pentagons-autonomous-weapons-definitions-dont-need-an-overhaul-they-need-an-update" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">The Pentagon’s Autonomous Weapons Definitions Don’t Need an Overhaul, They Need an Update</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>The White House recently published a National Security Presidential Memorandum directing the executi...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>The White House recently published a National Security Presidential Memorandum <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2026/06/national-security-presidential-memorandum-nspm-11/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">directing</a> the executive branch to &ldquo;responsibly accelerate the use of AI across intelligence and warfighting domains in line with American values.&rdquo; A key part of this memorandum instructs the Pentagon to review and update <a href="https://www.esd.whs.mil/portals/54/documents/dd/issuances/dodd/300009p.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">DoD Directive 3000.09</a> within 90 days. That Directive sets the guidelines for the use of autonomous weapons systems in part by defining different levels of autonomy of these platforms. These definitions have made their way into mainstream debates, including the <a href="https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/IN12669" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">dispute</a> in February between the Pentagon and AI company Anthropic over the use of its AI model, Claude, in fully autonomous weapons (among other topics).</p>
<p>Amidst the clashes over its application, this new memorandum highlights a critical problem: the term &ldquo;autonomous weapons&rdquo; has <a href="https://disarmament.unoda.org/en/our-work/emerging-challenges/lethal-autonomous-weapon-systems" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">no settled</a> meaning. Different groups use competing definitions, and the same term can mean different things in different battlefield contexts or when applied to different weapons systems. More specific classifications&mdash;&ldquo;semi-autonomous weapons systems,&rdquo; &ldquo;operator-supervised systems,&rdquo; &ldquo;lethal autonomous weapons systems,&rdquo; and the emerging concept of &ldquo;agentic warfare&rdquo;&mdash;are routinely conflated. Using these terms interchangeably to describe any weapon operating without constant human control is imprecise at best and can lead to dangerous oversights in deployment at worst.</p>
<p>DoD Directive 3000.09 does not require a wholesale overhaul, but the pending update provides an opportunity to further tighten up its definitions to better reflect the current environment of autonomy in warfighting. It&rsquo;s currently not clear that the DoD&rsquo;s classifications provide adequate nuance when stress tested against different kinds of target groups or new platforms that use AI in new ways. <a href="https://theaviationist.com/2022/01/07/iai-loitering-munitions/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Some weapons</a> can now operate fully autonomously, for instance, but are fielded as semi-autonomous systems by doctrine and policy alone. Defense contractors are also developing new approaches to AI warfare, and whatever the reality, they will often describe their products in whatever terms win procurement contracts, even if that comes at the expense of operational clarity for military personnel. Militaries, meanwhile, will have to balance strategic advantage with legal and policy mandates, which requires definitions that are both precise and broadly understood.</p>
<p>The Pentagon is now <a href="https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4376420/war-department-launches-ai-acceleration-strategy-to-secure-american-military-ai/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">pushing</a> hard to integrate AI into a range of weapons systems and other aspects of warfighting, which will likely require establishing an unambiguous blueprint for the future of autonomous weapons systems&mdash;one that fosters clear and nuanced public understanding of what they are and how they operate on the battlefield.</p>
<h2><strong>The Autonomy Spectrum</strong></h2>
<p>Autonomy runs along a spectrum determined by the level of control that an operator has over how a weapon identifies, tracks, and engages a target&mdash;the so-called &ldquo;kill chain.&rdquo; Different communities divide up this spectrum in different ways. The Pentagon talks about <a href="https://www.esd.whs.mil/portals/54/documents/dd/issuances/dodd/300009p.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">three levels of autonomy</a>: semi-autonomous weapons, operator-supervised autonomous weapons, and autonomous weapons. Academic <a href="https://lieber.westpoint.edu/reentering-the-loop/#:~:text=Conceptualizing%20the%20decision%2Dmaking%20process,without%20a%20human%20observing%20the" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">discussions</a>, meanwhile, center on a continuous &ldquo;loop&rdquo; of decision-making, splitting weapon types between &ldquo;human-in-the-loop&rdquo; and &ldquo;human-on-the-loop.&rdquo; Human-in-the-loop roughly matches to the Pentagon&rsquo;s semi-autonomous category, while human-on-the-loop is closest to the operator-supervised type. Still <a href="https://blogs.icrc.org/law-and-policy/2018/08/15/autonomous-weapons-operationalizing-meaningful-human-control/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">other terms exist</a> to describe the extent of human agency over weapons systems: &ldquo;meaningful human control,&rdquo; &ldquo;effective human control,&rdquo; and &ldquo;appropriate human judgment.&rdquo; Some of these expressions are about technical capacity, others are about military policy. And they are often used interchangeably, confusing what any of them mean in practice. The table that I have developed below briefly defines these.</p>
<p><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" src="https://i0.wp.com/www.justsecurity.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/dod_directive_3000_09_table.png?resize=1500%2C684&amp;ssl=1" alt="" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/www.justsecurity.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/dod_directive_3000_09_table.png?w=1500&amp;ssl=1 1500w,https://i0.wp.com/www.justsecurity.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/dod_directive_3000_09_table.png?resize=300%2C137&amp;ssl=1 300w,https://i0.wp.com/www.justsecurity.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/dod_directive_3000_09_table.png?resize=1024%2C467&amp;ssl=1 1024w,https://i0.wp.com/www.justsecurity.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/dod_directive_3000_09_table.png?resize=768%2C350&amp;ssl=1 768w,https://i0.wp.com/www.justsecurity.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/dod_directive_3000_09_table.png?w=1500&amp;ssl=1 1500w,https://i0.wp.com/www.justsecurity.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/dod_directive_3000_09_table.png?resize=300%2C137&amp;ssl=1 300w,https://i0.wp.com/www.justsecurity.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/dod_directive_3000_09_table.png?resize=1024%2C467&amp;ssl=1 1024w,https://i0.wp.com/www.justsecurity.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/dod_directive_3000_09_table.png?resize=768%2C350&amp;ssl=1 768w" sizes="(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px" referrerpolicy="no-referrer" loading="lazy"></p>
<p>The Pentagon <a href="https://www.esd.whs.mil/portals/54/documents/dd/issuances/dodd/300009p.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">describes</a> an <em>autonomous weapons system</em> as one that, &ldquo;once activated, can select and engage targets without further intervention by an operator.&rdquo; In this context, a human operator relinquishes control of a weapons system when it is deployed and before it selects a target. Such weapons are not theoretical. In February 2025, Russia deployed what <a href="https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2025/06/ukrainian-intelligence-details-russias-new-v2u-autonomous-loitering-munition.php" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Ukrainian intelligence</a> called an autonomous loitering munition, the V2U. Its onboard sensors and software let it operate even in radio control-denied environments, and it <a href="https://www.csis.org/analysis/how-russia-building-sovereign-drone-ecosystem-ai-driven-autonomy" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">can </a>reportedly use AI to perceive, select, and engage targets, performing an end-to-end kill chain without any operator control, authority, or intervention.</p>
<p>The same Pentagon directive describes a <em>semi-autonomous weapons system</em> as one that can &ldquo;only engage individual targets or specific target groups that have been selected by an operator.&rdquo; The line between autonomous and semi-autonomous weapons systems thus turns on target judgment. If the weapons system is able and authorized to select targets and engage without human intervention, it is fully autonomous under the Pentagon&rsquo;s definition.</p>
<p>This is not to say semi-autonomous weapons systems are limited to engaging individual targets selected by humans or following terminal guidance systems to pre-determined coordinates in practice. They can also hit <em>specific target groups, </em>which the Pentagon describes as a &ldquo;discrete group of potential targets.&rdquo; It&rsquo;s unclear how DoD interprets this language, but in theory it could mean a drone&rsquo;s computer vision identifying a particular formation of enemy battleships or tanks.</p>
<p>As an example, consider <a href="https://www.csis.org/analysis/how-ukraines-spider-web-operation-redefines-asymmetric-warfare#:~:text=According%20to%20open%2Dsource%20intelligence,to%20identify%20precise%20weak%20points." rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Operation Spiderweb</a>, a June 2025 Ukrainian mission that used quadcopter drones to strike airfields deep in Russian territory. While operators still manually selected the final target groups on their screens, each drone was <a href="https://lieber.westpoint.edu/operation-spider-web-instrumentalizing-civilian-objects/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">equipped with enough AI technology</a> to adjust its flight path even after losing radio signal with the pilot, identify and prioritize targets through its onboard computer vision, and autonomously detonate on impact.</p>
<p>Therefore, the line between autonomous and semi-autonomous is not always clear. A 2021 United Nations Security Council <a href="https://docs.un.org/en/s/2021/229" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">report</a> detailed the potential use of autonomous weapons in the Second Libyan Civil War, including the Libyan Government&rsquo;s use of the STM Kargu-2, a Turkish precision strike drone. The manufacturer <a href="https://www.stm.com.tr/en/kargu-autonomous-tactical-multi-rotor-attack-uav" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">states</a> that Kargu-2&rsquo;s precision strike missions are meant to be fully performed by a human operator. But its use in Libya to identify logistics convoys and retreating rival forces and engage them without data connectivity between the operator and the munition has led some analysts to <a href="https://www.newscientist.com/article/2278852-drones-may-have-attacked-humans-fully-autonomously-for-the-first-time/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">suggest</a> that this weapons system was fully autonomous. STM has <a href="https://asia.nikkei.com/business/aerospace-defense-industries/turkish-defense-company-says-drone-unable-to-go-rogue-in-libya" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">disputed</a> this characterization.</p>
<p>Debates like this show that technical capacity alone doesn&rsquo;t necessarily determine whether a weapons system is autonomous. Deployment policies, which are shaped by risk tolerance and laws of armed conflict, matter too. The Pentagon&rsquo;s directive attempts to address these aspects as well.</p>
<h2><strong>Military Restraints Matters Just as Much as Technical Capacity</strong></h2>
<p>Often, the technical capabilities of autonomous weapons systems outpace how comfortable humans are with deploying them to their full extent. Earlier versions of AeroVironment&rsquo;s <a href="https://www.avinc.com/lms/switchblade-600" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Switchblade 600</a> loitering munition, for instance, carried terminal guidance systems that could autonomously pursue a selected target even if data connectivity is lost, but they were still largely piloted by human operators who had to relinquish control only at the final dive.</p>
<p>The capacity of these platforms is shaped as much by militaries&rsquo; choices as by engineering. Take Anduril&rsquo;s <a href="https://www.anduril.com/altius" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Altius</a> 600 and 700 drones. By some metrics, they could plausibly be classified as autonomous weapons. Synchronized on Anduril&rsquo;s <a href="https://www.anduril.com/lattice/mission-autonomy" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Lattice</a> AI platform, these systems can autonomously recognize and track targets and coordinate hunter-killer swarm behaviors in what the company describes as &ldquo;teams of low-cost autonomous systems under the command of a single human operator.&rdquo;</p>
<p>But it seems as though these types of systems are deliberately constrained. Anduril has marketed the Altius as having an &ldquo;<a href="https://www.anduril.com/altius" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">operator on the loop</a>.&rdquo; The drone can execute the entire mission cycle by itself, but the operator maintains a supervisory role and can intervene if something goes wrong. The Pentagon <a href="https://www.esd.whs.mil/portals/54/documents/dd/issuances/dodd/300009p.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">calls</a> these <em>operator-supervised autonomous weapon systems</em>. However, in practice these weapons have been deployed in the field with even more human intervention. According to a 2023 interview with Anduril&rsquo;s CEO, when the Altius has identified a potential target, the operator must still <a href="https://automatedresearch.org/weapon/area-i-anduril-altius-600m-and-700m/#:~:text=If%20something%20of%20interest%20is,take%20out%20the%20launch%20position." rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">make the final call</a> on whether to engage or abort&mdash;a <a href="https://lieber.westpoint.edu/reentering-the-loop/#:~:text=Conceptualizing%20the%20decision%2Dmaking%20process,without%20a%20human%20observing%20the" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">human &ldquo;in,&rdquo; not merely &ldquo;on,&rdquo; the loop</a>. This would mean the drone cannot engage a target or target group without explicit operator consent. By system design and standard operating procedure, what could be an autonomous weapon is reportedly run as a semi-autonomous one. What makes a weapon autonomous, then, is not only the technical capacity of the system to act on its own but the choice to let it do so.</p>
<p>That said, those policies do often derive from remaining technical limitations. The capacity to field fully autonomous weapons systems is older than many realize. The Israeli Harpy drone, which from the early-1990s <a href="https://autonomousweaponswatch.org/weapon/israel-aerospace-industries-harpy-uav" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">was able to</a> &ldquo;detect[], attack[], and destroy[] enemy radar emitters,&rdquo; was arguably an autonomous weapons system under the Pentagon&rsquo;s technical definition. But autonomous systems still have <a href="https://s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com/files.cnas.org/hero/documents/CNAS_Autonomous-weapons-operational-risk.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">vulnerabilities</a>&mdash;unanticipated interactions with the environment, adversarial hacking, and unintended engagement, among others. DoD policy attempts to address these risks by <a href="https://www.esd.whs.mil/portals/54/documents/dd/issuances/dodd/300009p.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">requiring</a> that all weapons systems allow operators to exercise &ldquo;appropriate levels of human judgment.&rdquo; This standard does not require operators to be in constant control of a weapon, but it does <a href="https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/IF11150" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">mandate</a> that human authorizers and operators act in accordance with the rules of war, safety regulations, and military doctrine.</p>
<p>Defining what constitutes &ldquo;appropriate levels of human judgment&rdquo; is perhaps where much of the confusion manifests. This standard recurs in <a href="https://www.esd.whs.mil/portals/54/documents/dd/issuances/dodd/300009p.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Pentagon directives</a>, <a href="https://geneva.usmission.gov/2016/04/12/u-s-delegation-statement-on-appropriate-levels-of-human-judgment/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">international organizations</a>, and <a href="https://lieber.westpoint.edu/how-meaningful-is-meaningful-human-control-laws-regulation/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">policy circles</a>, but it does not have a formal or agreed definition. In a 2016 <a href="https://geneva.usmission.gov/2016/04/12/u-s-delegation-statement-on-appropriate-levels-of-human-judgment/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">statement</a>, the U.S. Mission to the United Nations described the definition as deliberately vague because the right level of human judgment changes depending on the environment in which the weapons system operates. <a href="https://www.files.ethz.ch/isn/189786/Ethical_Autonomy_Working_Paper_031315.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Similar terms</a> like <em>meaningful human control</em> are equally ambiguous. The upshot is that criteria for appropriate levels of human judgment are a context-dependent calculation of risk based on numerous factors, such as the function of the weapons system, the time available to engage, the operating environment, and the ways it might fail.</p>
<p>A natural reading of the official Pentagon <a href="https://www.esd.whs.mil/portals/54/documents/dd/issuances/dodd/300009p.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">directive</a> says that the U.S. military does not currently authorize the deployment of any offensive fully autonomous weapons systems, and there have been no reports that state otherwise. But there is also no direct statement from the DoD that these systems are <em>not</em> being deployed. Furthermore, there are reportedly weapons projects under development that could eventually cross the threshold into fully autonomous weapons systems, such as <a href="https://carnegieendowment.org/podcasts/the-world-unpacked/inside-americas-ai-war-machine" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Project Whiplash</a>, an effort to create autonomous armed jet skis.</p>
<p>What DoD directives on AI use in the military show is that questions over definitions like these will recur, and they will be more likely to lead to enduring agreements between national militaries and defense companies on development standards if they can build on a shared public vocabulary for what autonomy actually looks like in the field.</p>
<h2><strong>Why Definitions Matter, and Where They Can Improve</strong></h2>
<p>Until recently, discussions of AI and autonomy in weapons systems were largely confined to specialist policy and advocacy circles. But as the Anthropic-Pentagon fallout demonstrates, these issues are increasingly going to spark public debate. If democratic oversight is to work, everyone involved, from political commentators to the congressional Armed Services Committees, will need to use clearer definitions and understand what the other players mean. Imprecise language will prevent companies and citizens from understanding the consequences of the positions they take, and even within the military, ambiguity risks undermining decision-making on the battlefield and in Washington.</p>
<p>Unclear definitions will also cause problems on the international stage. The international community has been debating the governance of lethal autonomous weapons systems for well over a decade. In 2013, for instance, the Meeting of State Parties to the Convention on Certain Conventional Weapons <a href="https://dig.watch/processes/gge-laws" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">concluded a mandate</a> on lethal autonomous weapons systems and instructed its chairperson to convene a group of experts to discuss the implications of this emerging technology. A decade later, the United Nations New Agenda for Peace <a href="https://www.un.org/sites/un2.un.org/files/our-common-agenda-policy-brief-new-agenda-for-peace-en.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">publicly announced</a> its desire to conclude a legally binding instrument that would prohibit the use of fully autonomous weapons systems by 2026. And beginning in 2016, an open-ended Group of Governmental Experts on the topic was <a href="https://dig.watch/processes/gge-laws" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">convened</a> to meet annually, with draft text (including definitional issues) under continuing <a href="https://docs-library.unoda.org/Convention_on_Certain_Conventional_Weapons_-Group_of_Governmental_Experts_on_Lethal_Autonomous_Weapons_Systems_(2025)/CCW-GGE.1-2025-WP.9_-_Chair's_summary.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">discussion</a> as recently as 2025. Yet despite modest progress, the core goals of the agenda have not been met, not least of which because of <a href="https://www.netherlandsandyou.nl/web/pr-geneva-disarmament/w/ggelaws-briefingundc" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">disagreements</a> over how lethal autonomous weapons should be defined.</p>
<p>If countries mean different things by the same words, or disagree internally about what they&rsquo;re saying, they&rsquo;ll struggle to create common rules to govern the use of autonomous weapons&mdash;or even to agree on what&rsquo;s going on. Just as international bodies have had to define the boundaries of chemical and biological weapons, or the meaning of the use of force (although even now there remain disagreements on this), eventually they will have to seek to hammer out joint understandings of autonomy. That process will be even tougher if governments continue to participate without coherent definitions they can agree on internally.</p>
<p>As the Pentagon reviews and updates DoDD 3000.09 within the ongoing 90-day window, it should prioritize a few specific ways that existing definitions of autonomy can be clarified.</p>
<p>First, the Pentagon would benefit from clarifying how its definitions apply to current systems. Current policy attempts to elaborate on its <em>specific target group </em>definition <a href="https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/senate-bill/4697/text#id90f58b54479c4d8fb807ee9b2f0f68a1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">by describing some weapons that would fall under such classifications</a>, such as a &ldquo;particular flight of enemy aircraft, a particular formation of enemy tanks, or a particular flotilla of enemy vessels.&rdquo; These moderately bounded examples, and their repeated use of the word &ldquo;particular,&rdquo; could suggest that very broad target classifications&mdash;like &ldquo;any armored vehicle&rdquo; or &ldquo;any hostile soldier&rdquo;&mdash;would not have sufficient specificity for use in semi-autonomous weapons. But the DoD does not clearly outline how tightly bound a specific target group must be.</p>
<p>Consider, for instance, an operation where a brigade launches a drone swarm to strike a &ldquo;particular formation of enemy tanks&rdquo; detected by aerial reconnaissance 20 minutes prior. This would seem to satisfy the bounds of a &ldquo;specific target group.&rdquo; However, by the time the swarm has reached the engagement zone, the formation has broken apart to seek cover. It is uncertain whether the swarm should be authorized to then search for individual tanks in the area that supposedly belong to that original formation, even if geographically bounded by the area the swarm was deployed to search in the first place. Such a scenario would arguably break the chain of human judgment innate to the original target group. In the event that the swarm then engages the tanks in a manner that violates the laws of armed conflict, it is unclear whether or how command responsibility could be assigned to the commander who approved the initial target package (although this remains an area of active <a href="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2734900" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">consideration</a> and <a href="https://www.hrw.org/report/2025/04/28/a-hazard-to-human-rights/autonomous-weapons-systems-and-digital-decision-making" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">debate</a>). The Pentagon would benefit from expounding upon the <em>specific target group</em> definition to circumscribe potential edge cases.</p>
<p>Second, the Pentagon should think ahead to how its terminology will stay relevant as technology evolves. The company Scale AI, for example, has <a href="https://static.scale.com/uploads/6691558a94899f2f65a87a75/Agentic%20Warfare%201_9-interactive.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">described</a> what it calls &ldquo;agentic warfare,&rdquo; in which AI systems will go beyond &ldquo;ingesting and correlating information&rdquo; and instead use that data to &ldquo;plan, test, and execute, multi-step actions.&rdquo; Under this scenario AI agents would act as teammates with their human counterparts by synthesizing incoming data to provide commanders with proposed courses of action to give militaries a &ldquo;decision advantage at every echelon of command.&rdquo; It is not clear where this kind of AI use would fall on the Pentagon&rsquo;s autonomy definitions or policy. Updates to the Directive would do well to reflect these new AI integrations into the kill chain, and to clearly compartmentalize which weapons systems belong in which categories, depending on their operational context.</p>
<p>In fact, the war in Iran <a href="https://theconversation.com/us-military-leans-into-ai-for-attack-on-iran-but-the-tech-doesnt-lessen-the-need-for-human-judgment-in-war-277831" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">illustrates</a> that AI is already automating or advising on elements of the kill chain that arise before and after weapons are aimed and fired. And in the future, the &ldquo;weapon system&rdquo; may not be the primary place that autonomy lies; rather, individual weapons could be parts of a larger mesh of intelligent, interconnected platforms. This could place pressure on definitions and policies that focus on the weapon system itself. The White House memorandum provides an opening for the Pentagon to clarify these emerging issues.</p>
<p>Disputes over lethal autonomy will only grow. As AI becomes more deeply embedded in weapons platforms, command systems, and battlefield planning, arguments over where to draw the line will multiply. Decisions on how to develop and deploy these systems will rely not just on the opinions of experts in the bowels of the DoD and defense tech companies. They will require a broader democratic debate over what these systems can, and should, do. That debate will go more smoothly if the public understands what these systems actually are&mdash;and if the Pentagon, defense contractors, and outside experts can agree on definitions that keep pace with both the technology and the battlefield conditions in which it operates.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/143209/the-pentagons-autonomous-weapons-definitions-dont-need-an-overhaul-they-need-an-update/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">The Pentagon&rsquo;s Autonomous Weapons Definitions Don&rsquo;t Need an Overhaul, They Need an Update</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-24T13:15:36+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Noah Tan</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-24T13:15:36+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="ai &amp; emerging technology"/>

	<category term="anthropic"/>

	<category term="armed conflict"/>

	<category term="arms control"/>

	<category term="artificial intelligence (ai)"/>

	<category term="artificial intelligence and emerging technologies initiative"/>

	<category term="department of defense (dod)"/>

	<category term="drones"/>

	<category term="international law"/>

	<category term="law of armed conflict/ihl"/>

	<category term="lethal autonomous weapons systems (laws)"/>

	<category term="military"/>

	<category term="oversight"/>

	<category term="pentagon"/>

	<category term="russia-ukraine war"/>

	<category term="trump administration second term"/>

	<category term="un security council (unsc)"/>

	<category term="white house"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-24:/294259</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148927/hungary-election-anticorruption-lessons/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=hungary-election-anticorruption-lessons" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">What Hungary’s Anti-Corruption Election Can Teach U.S. Democracy Advocates</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>In Hungary in February 2024, P&eacute;ter Magyar, then a little-known insider in the ruling Fidesz party, g...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>In Hungary in February 2024, P&eacute;ter Magyar, then a little-known insider in the ruling Fidesz party, <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8cJulnczg2E" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">gave an interview</a> to a leading independent YouTube channel called <em>Partiz&aacute;n</em> in which he accused Viktor Orb&aacute;n&rsquo;s government of systemic corruption. Hungary had become a &ldquo;family-owned business,&rdquo; he declared, in what rapidly became a viral video. Within weeks of recording the exchange, Magyar began building an opposition campaign essentially from scratch. Just over two years later, in the April 2026 elections, he was elected prime minister by a wide margin, and the party he built, the Tisza party, gained nearly 70 percent of parliamentary seats in a record-turnout election.</p>
<p>Magyar constructed his campaign around broad, non-ideological themes of inclusive nationalism and patriotism, telling Hungarians over and over that they should believe in the possibility of creating a &ldquo;humane&rdquo; Hungary. Rooting out corruption and restoring the rule of law were central planks of his message. His focus on fighting corruption gained deep traction in a society roiled by a steady stream of shocking stories from credible independent sources about staggering levels of corruption among those in the Fidesz ruling circle and their families.</p>
<p>In the United States, pro-democracy activists and politicians also are increasingly seeking to make corruption a primary focus, to blunt the Trump administration&rsquo;s executive overreach and to highlight its disregard for the rule of law. House Democrats have launched <a href="https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/house-democrats-attempt-anti-corruption-message-to-gain-traction-against-trump" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">a new task force</a> to overhaul ethics rules and highlight the Trump family&rsquo;s business deals. Several <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/video/opinion/100000010952666/jon-ossoffs-anti-authoritarian-playbook.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">prominent</a> <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2026-election/democrats-think-secret-sauce-2026-targeting-trump-republicans-corrupti-rcna346706" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Democratic politicians</a> have made fighting corruption core to their political message.</p>
<p>With the Hungarian election standing as a startling example of unexpected success for democratic forces, some U.S. activists and politicians are asking if they can and should emulate Magyar&rsquo;s anti-corruption playbook. Various pro-democracy groups <a href="https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2026/04/viktor-orban-democrats-end-trump-presidency.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">have</a> <a href="https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/house-democrats-attempt-anti-corruption-message-to-gain-traction-against-trump" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">highlighted</a> the Hungarian election as a potential model.</p>
<p>Can Magyar&rsquo;s heavily anti-corruption focused political campaign be a successful model for those seeking to defend U.S. democracy?</p>
<h2><strong>From Anti-Corruption Crusader to Mafia Boss</strong></h2>
<p>Orb&aacute;n first came to power in 2010 as an anti-corruption crusader, <a href="https://www.courthousenews.com/orbans-legacy-his-hungarian-illiberal-revolution-lives-on-despite-loss/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">accusing</a> the ruling center-left government of having established an &ldquo;oligarchy&rdquo; based on &ldquo;lies, propaganda and corruption.&rdquo; He capitalized on widespread popular discontent with the country&rsquo;s ruling elites, fueled by a leaked recording that featured Prime Minister Ferenc Gyurcs&aacute;ny berating his colleagues for enriching the &ldquo;upper ten thousand&rdquo; with public money. Orb&aacute;n and Fidesz <a href="https://www.journalofdemocracy.org/articles/explaining-eastern-europe-orbans-laboratory-of-illiberalism/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">promised</a> to deliver more just and efficient governance and to purge state institutions of ex-communist holdover elites.</p>
<p>Yet after 16 years of Fidesz rule, the political landscape looked decidedly different. Hungary ranked as the worst-performing member of the European Union on Transparency International&rsquo;s <a href="https://www.transparency.org/en/countries/hungary" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Corruption Perceptions Index</a>, with its score dropping 15 points between 2012 and 2025. Individuals in Orb&aacute;n&rsquo;s inner circle raked in the riches. His childhood friend L&#337;rinc M&eacute;sz&aacute;ros had accumulated as much as $5 billion, while his son-in-law <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/156c3ab4-9998-411d-b1bd-60b51482d9d3?syn-25a6b1a6=1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">had become</a> one of the richest people in Hungary. Using credit, tax inspections, and health and safety requirements, the government <a href="https://www.cato.org/policy-analysis/how-viktor-orbans-hungary-eroded-rule-law-free-markets#our-eight-ten-capitalists" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">pushed independent businesses</a>, including media outlets, to sell their assets to Fidesz allies, and <a href="https://www.crcb.eu/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/2022_research_notes_03_220307_02.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">passed</a> vast amounts of public contracts and EU subsidies on to favored businesses.</p>
<p>Over time, this system of cronyism and personal enrichment had punishing consequences for Hungarians&rsquo; daily lives. The healthcare system, for instance, was chronically underfunded: <a href="https://www.direkt36.hu/en/ennyire-reszletesen-meg-soha-nem-latszott-hogyan-epul-le-a-magyar-egeszsegugy-kiverzo-korhazak-i/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">one investigation</a> found that since 2020, there were 770 cases of hospital departments being closed or suspending services due to staffing shortages, faulty equipment, and infrastructure problems requiring repairs. Another <a href="https://corruptionanonymous.org/blog/hungary-exposing-bribery-in-return-for-healthcare/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">report</a> uncovered that 18 percent of people using Hungarian public hospitals and clinics had to pay a bribe in the preceding 12 months. While ordinary people were struggling to get adequate healthcare and dealing with the lowest ratios of doctors per resident in the EU, the Orb&aacute;n government was building <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2019/10/26/world/europe/viktor-orban-soccer-health-care.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">massive new soccer stadiums</a>.</p>
<p>Systemic corruption was not only channeling public money into private coffers&mdash;it was also depriving the country of valuable external resources. The EU <a href="https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2025/07/08/eu-will-keep-18-billion-frozen-for-hungary-after-no-progress-on-rule-of-law-concerns" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">froze</a> approximately 18 billion euros in economic support funds due to the country&rsquo;s deteriorating rule of law, after the country <a href="https://www.dw.com/en/eu-denies-hungary-a-billion-euros-after-reform-failures/a-71196557" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">had already lost</a> more than 1 billion euros in EU funds due to its failure to implement anti-corruption reforms. Heading into the 2026 election, Hungary&rsquo;s economy was stagnant, with investment falling rapidly, housing costs rising, and education quality declining.</p>
<h2><strong>An Effective Messenger</strong></h2>
<p>This situation created fertile ground for an anti-corruption movement. And Magyar proved to be an unusually effective figure to channel public frustration with Orb&aacute;n&rsquo;s governance failures.</p>
<p>As a former Fidesz activist and official, he had credibility when he described Orb&aacute;n&rsquo;s regime as a &ldquo;<a href="https://www.atalayar.com/en/opinion/pedro-gonzalez/peter-magyar-sweeps-to-victory-and-puts-an-end-to-the-mafia-state-in-hungary/20260413005736224732.html?utm_source=chatgpt.com" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">mafia state</a>.&rdquo; He was able to present himself as someone who had once bought into Orb&aacute;nism and had seen how it functioned from within, thereby reaching a wider set of citizens than those traditionally aligned with the opposition. Because of his identity as a former insider with conservative and nationalist credentials, Fidesz struggled to smear him as a cosmopolitan liberal or EU stooge.</p>
<p>Magyar was also highly disciplined in his message, steering clear of divisive ideological battles. His key message was simple: <a href="https://www.democracy-international.org/sites/default/files/2026-06/Beyond%20Election%20Day%20Hungary%E2%80%99s%202026%20Parliamentary%20Elections%20and%20the%20Democratic%20Landscape%20Behind%20the%20Vote.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">corruption has a cost</a>. He continuously linked corruption and economic stagnation to Hungarians&rsquo; everyday concerns, focusing on worsening healthcare, inflation, and declining living standards. This message reached voters due to the Tisza party&rsquo;s relentless, innovative <a href="https://theloop.ecpr.eu/explaining-tiszas-hungarian-breakthrough/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">grassroots mobilization</a>, with thousands of volunteers campaigning across the country and Magyar holding multiple rallies per day that were assiduously disseminated online.</p>
<h2><strong>Mounting Corruption Concerns in the United States</strong></h2>
<p>Americans, too, are fed up with corruption. A <a href="https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/poll-voters-want-solutions-government-corruption" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">June 2026 poll conducted by the Brennan Center for Justice</a> found that 9 in 10 voters, including supermajorities of Republicans, Democrats, and Independents, believe that corruption is a big problem in U.S. politics, and that it results in worse governance and public services. In fact, an August 2025 YouGov survey found that Americans ranked corruption as their <a href="https://yougov.com/en-us/articles/52825-republicans-much-less-likely-to-see-inflation-election-fraud-very-serious-problems-than-year-ago-poll" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">top concern</a>, edging out inflation, poverty, and violent crime.</p>
<p>They are right to be worried. While bribery is relatively uncommon in the United States, other challenges have abounded already for years: <a href="https://www.opensecrets.org/dark-money/basics" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">dark money</a> has flooded American elections, members of Congress routinely <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/09/13/us/politics/congress-stock-trading-investigation.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">trade stocks</a> in companies that their committees oversee, Supreme Court justices <a href="https://www.propublica.org/article/clarence-thomas-scotus-undisclosed-luxury-travel-gifts-crow" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">have accepted</a> undisclosed gifts from political donors, and <a href="https://campaignlegal.org/sites/default/files/2026-04/Former%20Lobbyists%20Now%20Have%20Unlimited%20Access%20to%20Lead%20the%20Agencies%20They%20Lobbied_4.27.26.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">a revolving door spins</a> between Washington policymakers and the lobbying industry.</p>
<p>The second Trump administration has compounded these problems with new &mdash; and, in many ways, unprecedented &mdash; abuses of power. Investigative reporting has uncovered a repeated pattern of &ldquo;<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/12/22/us/politics/trump-donors-fundraising-benefits.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">pay to play</a>&rdquo;: the apparent granting of pardons, appointments, favorable regulatory moves, government contracts, and access to powerful insiders in exchange for financial contributions from wealthy individuals. President Donald Trump and his family have also apparently used his presidency for <u><a href="https://issueone.org/articles/the-corruption-chronicles/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">self-enrichment</a></u>, eroding the boundary between government action and private business activity. For example, recent <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/dab0dd71-2d95-4838-b0df-e942f9cc5dec?syn-25a6b1a6=1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">financial disclosures show</a> that Trump made $1.16 billion in crypto sales and royalties from memecoins in his first year back in office. At the same time, the administration has <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/2ea2b35b-e009-42ed-b4d3-6b21aa9b2a13?syn-25a6b1a6=1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">deregulated</a> the crypto industry and rolled back its enforcement of existing rules, while also <a href="https://www.brookings.edu/articles/us-democracy-at-risk-as-corruption-threats-grow/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">weakening offices, removing personnel, and disbanding initiatives</a> focused on combating corruption across government agencies. To those already opposed to Trump, it can seem almost unthinkable that corruption this brazen would not carry a significant electoral cost.<strong>&nbsp;</strong></p>
<h2><strong>Polarization and System Mistrust</strong></h2>
<p>Like Hungarians, Americans thus seem ready for a political campaign focused on an anti-corruption message. But there are also important differences between the U.S. and Hungarian political landscapes.</p>
<p>For one, Trump has been in continuous power for significantly less time than Orb&aacute;n, who became deeply intertwined with every aspect of Hungarian governance during his 16 years in office (and that was after returning to office following his ouster after a first four-year term from 1998 to 2002). So in Hungary, voters frustrated with public services and corruption could be mobilized around a single, clear target, namely the man who had built and then embodied the system itself. In the United States, that fusion is far less complete. Trump has served two non-consecutive terms, and often still positions himself as an outsider <em>challenging </em>the system rather than the person running it.</p>
<p>While many Americans thus experience the political and economic system as rigged against them, the link to Trump himself is more contested and shaped by partisanship. For example, a <a href="https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2026/05/01/trump-loses-ground-on-several-personal-traits-as-approval-rating-slips/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">2026 Pew Research survey</a> found that 88 percent of Democrats believed ethics and honesty in the federal government had declined under Trump, compared with only 23 percent of Republicans. Similarly, the <a href="https://www.brennancenter.org/media/15709/download/corruption-survey-toplines-2026-06-01-final.pdf?inline=1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">May 2026 Brennan Center survey</a> found that while 68 percent of respondents considered Trump corrupt, 63 percent said the same of Biden. Fully 85 percent deemed Congress as a whole to be corrupt and 52 percent said the same about their own U.S. representative.</p>
<p>Those findings show not only deep partisan divisions, but also that a significant share of Americans <a href="https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/poll-voters-want-solutions-government-corruption" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">believe</a> that &ldquo;all&rdquo; or &ldquo;most&rdquo; government officials are focused on personal gain, and that &ldquo;all&rdquo; or &ldquo;most&rdquo; prioritize billionaires and big corporations over ordinary people. In other words, they believe that both political parties and the political class as a whole, not just the Trump administration, are tainted and have failed to live up to their promises to citizens.</p>
<p>This cynicism poses a potential problem for pro-democracy advocates. When corruption is understood as a feature of the entire political class rather than a specific set of abuses by a specific administration, it becomes harder to make the case that Trump represents something different and worse than previous administrations. And that, in turn, makes it easier for voters to disengage entirely. In a two-party system, it also makes it harder for Democratic Party politicians to assume the mantle of change agents, as they may struggle to reach voters who view the Democrats as equally corrupt or who have lost faith in the political establishment as a whole. In Hungary, Magyar was convincing precisely because he was a former regime insider rather than a conventional opposition figure. In the United States, where system distrust runs high, the most effective messenger for a broad anti-corruption coalition might be someone who can credibly claim distance not only from the Trump administration, but also from Democratic party elites and the latter&rsquo;s brand and governing track record. So far, it is not clear who that figure might be.</p>
<p>The U.S. economic picture also differs. In Hungary, the Tisza Party could trace failing public services and frozen EU funds directly back to Orb&aacute;n&rsquo;s system of cronyism, making corruption a tangible explanation for citizens&rsquo; declining living standards. In the United States, economic grievances are real and widespread: majorities of Americans are <a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-news-poll-stress-uncertainty-economy-views-decline/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">frustrated with rising living costs</a>. Yet the connection between Trump&rsquo;s personal enrichment and affordability issues is less evident: Trump&rsquo;s abuses of power, though brazen, do little, if at all, to explain the soaring costs of groceries or housing. The challenge for a pro-democracy movement is thus to connect these bread-and-butter issues to both a broader system of elite capture and Trump&rsquo;s self-dealing. Otherwise, there is a risk that focusing on the Lincoln Memorial&rsquo;s Reflecting Pool renovation, the administration&rsquo;s staff firings, or the Trump family&rsquo;s crypto-earnings become a distraction from the economic issues that remain front-of-mind for most voters.</p>
<h2><strong>What Comes Next After an Electoral Victory?</strong></h2>
<p>Translating Hungary&rsquo;s anti-corruption playbook to the United States raises a final challenge: having a realistic plan to act on campaign promises.</p>
<p>Magyar and his party won 55.26 percent of the vote, and now hold 141 out of 199 seats in parliament. This supermajority makes it easier for him to enact his anti-corruption agenda. On June 23, the parliament <a href="https://www.dw.com/en/magyar-hungary-fight-orban-corruption-system-return-democracy/a-77726207" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">passed a first large package of laws</a> to this effect, abolishing public interest asset management foundations that had become channels for shifting public assets into private hands. The parliament also approved the reorganization of public-service media, restricted political hate campaigns, and laid the groundwork for a National Asset Recovery and Protection Office, a <a href="https://www.occrp.org/en/news/hungarys-new-leader-promises-to-dismantle-industrial-scale-corruption" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">new anti-corruption institution</a> charged with identifying, tracing, and recovering stolen public funds.</p>
<p>In the United States, meanwhile, even significant opposition support is <a href="https://www.vox.com/21541942/democrats-path-senate-majority-explained" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">unlikely to translate</a> into a legislative supermajority, given increasing geographic sorting of voters combined with a first-past-the-post electoral system and a Senate designed to give equal weight to states regardless of population. As a result, without stronger incentives for bipartisan cooperation, any politicians or administration strongly committed to a transformative anti-corruption agenda will likely struggle to implement the <a href="https://represent.us/policy-platform/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">ambitious and systemic reforms</a> that U.S. anti-corruption advocates say <a href="https://campaignlegal.org/update/lack-ethics-enforcement-government-provides-blueprint-reform" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">are needed</a>, such as mandatory dark-money disclosure requirements for federal campaign spending, a <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/137399/pioneering-plunder-profiteering-public-office/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">ban on presidential profiteering</a>, and a federal ethics enforcement agency with rule-making and lawsuit authority. Some reforms would, in fact, <a href="https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/research-reports/nine-solutions-political-corruption" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">require constitutional amendments</a>, including restoring campaign finance limits or limiting the president&rsquo;s pardoning power.</p>
<p>Yet ramping up public communications on corruption without robust subsequent action <a href="https://carnegieendowment.org/research/2025/08/forging-effective-corruption-narratives-to-counter-democratic-erosion" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">risks fueling</a> further disenchantment and cynicism, particularly among those who already have low trust in government. Pro-democracy advocates therefore need to be clear-eyed about where reform energy is most likely to bear fruit. They could, for instance, highlight openings like the congressional stock trading ban &mdash; which commands <a href="https://campaignlegal.org/update/congressional-stock-trading-and-stock-act" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">86 percent support</a> across party lines and has bipartisan legislation already introduced &mdash; as well as <a href="https://act.represent.us/sign/reflecting-on-2024" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">successful anti-corruption ballot initiatives</a>.</p>
<h2><strong>Not Just Rhetoric</strong></h2>
<p>The desire to learn from and emulate the Hungarian pro-democracy playbook to defend U.S. democracy is understandable. There are clearly important lessons for democracy advocates to glean: that abstract problems like corruption need to be connected to people&rsquo;s daily concerns, for example, and that pro-democracy politicians running against illiberal opponents need strong message discipline, relentless grassroots organizing, and a clear, solid plan for follow-through.</p>
<p>But it would be wrong to draw the lesson that simply shining a spotlight on the government&rsquo;s corruption is enough to mobilize a pro-democracy electoral coalition. Magyar&rsquo;s anti-corruption message worked because of a specific set of conditions: an incumbent leader who had become fused with the country&rsquo;s governance system, corruption that visibly degraded people&rsquo;s living standards, a stagnating economy, and a credible messenger carrying out a relentless, well-organized campaign.</p>
<p>The deeper lesson, then, is that a successful anti-corruption campaign in the United States cannot simply be a re-branding effort. In the United States, frustrations with elite capture are real but politically diffuse, shaped by partisanship and general system distrust. Many see corruption as systemic, and a message that treats it as a Trump problem alone will fail to connect with those who believe the entire system is rigged. Reaching them will likely require messengers who can credibly claim distance from both parties, and it is not yet clear who those figures might be. And because anti-corruption messaging can just as easily fuel fatalism, advocates must also articulate a credible pathway to reform, offering both a longer-term vision and concrete near-term wins.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148927/hungary-election-anticorruption-lessons/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">What Hungary&rsquo;s Anti-Corruption Election Can Teach U.S. Democracy Advocates</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-24T13:05:31+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Saskia Brechenmacher</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-24T13:05:31+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="accountability"/>

	<category term="corruption"/>

	<category term="democracy"/>

	<category term="democracy &amp; rule of law"/>

	<category term="democratic backsliding &amp; solutions"/>

	<category term="elections"/>

	<category term="ethics"/>

	<category term="european union"/>

	<category term="executive branch"/>

	<category term="featured articles"/>

	<category term="house"/>

	<category term="hungary"/>

	<category term="international and foreign"/>

	<category term="nationalism"/>

	<category term="pardons"/>

	<category term="peter magyar"/>

	<category term="political appointments"/>

	<category term="series"/>

	<category term="transparency"/>

	<category term="trump administration second term"/>

	<category term="viktor orban"/>

	<category term="when guardrails erode: an anti‑corruption series"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-24:/294260</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148504/expert-qa-decoding-the-treasury-departments-actions-on-iran/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=expert-qa-decoding-the-treasury-departments-actions-on-iran" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Expert Q&amp;A: Decoding the Treasury Department’s Actions on Iran</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>In conjunction with the recently entered and now apparently obsolete&nbsp;U.S.-Iran Memorandum of Underst...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p><span>In conjunction with the recently entered and now apparently obsolete&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.npr.org/2026/06/18/nx-s1-5863027/us-iran-trump-memorandum-of-understanding-full-text" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>U.S.-Iran Memorandum of Understanding</span></a><span>&nbsp;(the MOU), the U.S. Department of the Treasury&rsquo;s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) issued and then revoked Iran-related sanctions relief. First, on&nbsp;June 21, 2026, Treasury issued&nbsp;</span><a href="https://ofac.treasury.gov/media/936206/download?inline" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>General License (GL) X</span></a><span>, and just a few weeks later, on July 7, it issued&nbsp;</span><a href="https://ofac.treasury.gov/media/936446/download?inline" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>GL X1</span></a><span>, which revoked GL X. This comes about a decade after the Treasury and State Departments had provided limited sanctions relief under the Iran Nuclear Deal (JCPOA), which was revoked a few years after it went into effect when President Donald Trump withdrew the United States from the JCPOA during his first administration. This article explains the impacts and limits of GL X and GL X1 in the context of the Iran war and intermittent negotiations.</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The upshot of the recent Iran GL is that it appeared the Trump administration wanted to spur negotiations by providing immediate, concrete sanctions relief removing key barriers to transactions involving Iran&rsquo;s oil sector. In practice, however, the lack of a carve-out for IRGC-related transactions and lack of public State Department waivers made it difficult to use. What&rsquo;s more, as borne out by the quick change in policy, industry was rightfully wary of relying on such quick relief.</span></p>
<p><span>If, as the sides appear to still contemplate, negotiations can resume and a ceasefire can&nbsp;eventually&nbsp;hold, these basic elements of the bargain&nbsp;&ndash;&nbsp;incremental&nbsp;sanctions relief by the United States in exchange for security&nbsp;and&nbsp;nuclear commitments from Iran &ndash; will play an important part of any negotiated resolution.</span></p>
<h2><strong><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN"><span>1. What is a General License?</span></span><span>&nbsp;</span></strong></h2>
<p><a href="https://ofac.treasury.gov/faqs/7" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>OFAC issues general licenses</span></a><span>&nbsp;(GLs) &ldquo;to authorize certain transactions that would otherwise be prohibited pursuant to a particular sanctions program.&rdquo; These licenses, which OFAC issues under delegated International Emergency Economic Powers Act (</span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/tag/international-emergency-economic-powers-act/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>IEEPA</span></a><span>) authority, are self-executing, meaning that anyone who meets the criteria of the license can rely on it to carry out a licensed transaction that would otherwise be prohibited under U.S. sanctions. General licenses are publicly available on OFAC&rsquo;s website and are published (eventually) in the Code of Federal Regulations.</span></p>
<p><span>Relying on a GL does not require any specific notification to OFAC or the U.S. government unless a notification requirement is specified in the license. For example, many of the recent&nbsp;</span><a href="https://ofac.treasury.gov/sanctions-programs-and-country-information/venezuela-related-sanctions" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Venezuela-related general licenses</span></a><span>&nbsp;include requirements to report activities under the license to the Departments of State and Energy.</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>A GL specifies the sanctions program(s) under which it is issued, the activities it authorizes, limitations on the scope of the authorization, and the duration of time it is in effect. While some GLs are not time limited, others specify a number of days or a specific end date. Regardless of duration, OFAC can revoke a GL at any time with no requirement to provide advanced notice.</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>In general, a broadly scoped GL &ndash; covering a wider swath of otherwise prohibited activity &ndash; that is valid for a longer time period (or not strictly time bound) will be more likely to incentivize companies to start engaging in the transactions that rely on the GL. Accompanying such a GL with concrete diplomatic progress and industry engagement to affirmatively encourage authorized activities, as the U.S. government has done recently </span><a href="https://ve.usembassy.gov/actions-to-implement-president-trumps-vision-for-venezuelan-oil/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>with respect to Venezuela</span></a><span>,&nbsp;can also help to promote GL reliance despite continuing political uncertainty.&nbsp;In contrast, a GL that is limited in scope, includes multiple conditions, and lasts for only a short period of time will be less likely to provide actionable sanctions relief, especially if there is lack of apparent political will&nbsp;to support it and a track record of flip-flopping on the relief.&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2>2. <span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN"><span>Why did OFAC issue GL X?</span></span><span>&nbsp;</span></h2>
<p><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN"><span>The Iran-U.S. MOU included a&nbsp;</span></span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/143274/repeal-inara-iran-move-mou/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN"><span>commitment</span></span></a><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN"><span> that:</span></span></p>
<blockquote><p><span lang="EN-US" xml:lang="EN-US"><span>&ldquo;</span><span>immediately</span><span>&nbsp;upon the signing of this MoU, and until the termination of sanctions, the U.S. Department of Treasury [sic] will issue waivers for the export of Iranian crude oil, petroleum products and derivatives, and all associated services including banking transactions, insurances, transportation, etc.&rdquo;&nbsp;</span></span></p></blockquote>
<p><span>General License X effectuated this commitment.</span></p>
<p><span>The MOU also contained two other sanctions-related provisions: (a) a commitment that the United States would not issue new sanctions pending a final deal; and (b) an undertaking to terminate all sanctions against Iran in a future agreed-upon schedule as part of a final deal. GL X does not implicate these separate sanctions-related commitments, the latter of which requires&nbsp;congressional action to fully effectuate.</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2>3. <span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN"><span>What did GL X do?</span></span><span>&nbsp;</span></h2>
<p><span>General License X was broad, like the commitment in the MOU it was intended to effectuate. It authorized all transactions &ldquo;ordinarily incident and necessary to the production, sale, delivery, or offloading of crude oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products of Iranian origin.&rdquo; Since Iran relies on a shadow fleet of sanctioned vessels to transport its oil and petroleum products, the authorization extended to vessels blocked under a range of sanctions programs, including Russia, terrorism, and weapons of mass destruction-related sanctions, in addition to Iran sanctions.</span></p>
<p><span>Authorized activities extended to vessel docking, registration, flagging, and insurance, which are all necessary as a practical matter to transport oil. Of note, the license also allowed the import&nbsp;</span><i><span>into the United States</span></i><span> of Iranian crude oil, petrochemical, and petroleum products as well as the payment for such products in U.S. dollars.</span></p>
<p><span>GL X&nbsp;was due to expire at 12:01 am EDT on&nbsp;August 21, but&nbsp;presumably would&nbsp;have been extended if negotiations had continued.&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><strong>4. <span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN"><span>What didn&rsquo;t GL X do?</span></span><span>&nbsp;</span></strong></h2>
<p><span>While GL X authorized activity that would have been prohibited under a number of sanctions programs, it did not include authorization with respect to the&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.ecfr.gov/current/title-31/subtitle-B/chapter-V/part-597" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) sanctions</span></a><span>&nbsp;program or provide any exception from risk of&nbsp;</span><a href="https://uscode.house.gov/view.xhtml?req=granuleid:USC-prelim-title18-section2333&amp;num=0&amp;edition=prelim" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>civil suit</span></a><span>&nbsp;or prosecution under the&nbsp;</span><a href="https://uscode.house.gov/view.xhtml?req=(title:18%20section:2339B%20edition:prelim)" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Material Support Statute</span></a><span>&nbsp;for providing material support or resources to an FTO. As such, the license did not authorize transactions involving the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps or other&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.state.gov/foreign-terrorist-organizations" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>designated FTOs</span></a><span>. This FTO-related prohibition presumably extends to the Persian Gulf Strait Authority (PGSA), which OFAC sanctioned in May, </span><a href="https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sb0507" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>cautioning that</span></a><span> &ldquo;Anyone cooperating with the so-called strait authority may be providing support to and receiving services from the IRGC&hellip;&rdquo; Practically, this made it difficult to take advantage of the GL X authorization given the PGSA&rsquo;s role regulating shipments through the Strait of Hormuz and the significant role the IRGC plays in the Iranian oil sector. For example, OFAC has designated the National Iranian Oil Company, which is involved&nbsp;</span><a href="https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sm1165" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>throughout Iran&rsquo;s oil sector</span></a><span>, as an&nbsp;</span><a href="https://ofac.treasury.gov/faqs/234" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>agent or affiliate of the IRGC</span></a><span>. </span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Nor did GL X remove risks of sanctions designation for non-U.S. entities or individuals engaging with the Iranian energy, petroleum, petrochemical sector, and other similar activities, that are based in statute, rather than OFAC regulation. These statutes, which include mandatory sanctions designation authorities, include the&nbsp;</span><a href="https://ofac.treasury.gov/media/933896/download?inline" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Stop Harboring Iranian Petroleum Act</span></a><span>,&nbsp;</span><a href="https://ofac.treasury.gov/media/5746/download?inline" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Iran Freedom and Counter-Proliferation Act of 2012</span></a><span>, and the&nbsp;</span><a href="https://ofac.treasury.gov/media/5691/download?inline" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Comprehensive Iran Sanctions, Accountability, and Divestment Act of 2010</span></a><span>. They&nbsp;contain&nbsp;waiver authorities, which have been delegated to the Secretary of State, but there is no&nbsp;indication&nbsp;that State exercised those authorities in conjunction with OFAC GL X.</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>And, of course, the GL did not&nbsp;impact&nbsp;sanctions imposed on Iran by other&nbsp;jurisdictions, such as&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/iran-sanctions-guidance/iran-sanctions-guidance" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>the United Kingdom</span></a><span>&nbsp;and the&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/policies/sanctions-against-iran/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>European Union</span></a><span>, which impose their own restrictions&nbsp;impacting&nbsp;Iran&rsquo;s oil sector and shadow fleet vessels.&nbsp;In the absence of&nbsp;multilateral coordination &ndash; as with the&nbsp;JCPOA&nbsp;or&nbsp;previous&nbsp;Russia oil&nbsp;</span><a href="https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/it/ip_22_7468" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>price cap&nbsp;coordination</span></a><span>&nbsp;&ndash;global&nbsp;companies must&nbsp;continue to navigate a web of complicated&nbsp;Iran sanctions&nbsp;prohibitions,&nbsp;even with&nbsp;U.S. sanctions relief.&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2>5. <span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN"><span>Why did OFAC issue GL X1, and what did it do?</span></span><span>&nbsp;</span></h2>
<p><span>The MOU-based rapprochement with Iran was short-lived. On July 7, after&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-launches-fresh-attacks-after-sixth-day-us-strikes-2026-07-17/#:~:text=Last%20month%27s%20interim%20agreement%20to,own%20blockade%20of%20Iranian%20ports." rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Iran struck ships</span></a><span>&nbsp;in the Strait of Hormuz and the United States responded with air strikes, OFAC issued GL X1, which revoked GL X. Absent authorization, U.S. persons are&nbsp;generally&nbsp;prohibited from engaging in any transactions involving Iran, sanctioned vessels, or Iranian-origin products, even to terminate existing relationships. For this reason, GL X1 included a limited wind down authorization, which allowed for the termination of transactions previously authorized by GL X, through 12:01 am EDT on July 17. The license required any payment to a sanctioned person as part of the wind down to be made into a blocked account located in the United States, and it did not allow for any new transactions, such as purchases or loading of Iranian-origin products.</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>As a practical matter, ten days is&nbsp;a very short&nbsp;window to wind down&nbsp;complicated commercial&nbsp;transactions, especially when the transaction parties expected to have at least a 60-day window to complete them. Additionally, when funds are placed in a blocked account, the counterparty does not receive their expected payment, which can lead to legal challenge&nbsp;for breach of contract, especially outside of U.S.&nbsp;jurisdiction.</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><strong>6. <span lang="EN-US" xml:lang="EN-US"><span>What can we expect&nbsp;</span><span>going</span><span>&nbsp;forward?</span></span></strong></h2>
<p><span>The rapid, yet incomplete, sanctions relief provided via GL X and then removed via GL X1 serves to underscore the risks and uncertainty associated with relying in any meaningful way on efforts to alleviate Iran sanctions during such a politically uncertain time. The current Iran &ldquo;Economic Fury&rdquo; sanctions blitz exemplifies these risks. Since the revo</span><span>c</span><span>ation of GL X, OFAC has issued three rounds of sanctions designations (on&nbsp;</span><a href="https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sb0558" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>July 10</span></a><span>,&nbsp;</span><a href="https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sb0562" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>July 14</span></a><span>, and&nbsp;</span><a href="https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sb0564" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>July 15</span></a><span>) targeting Iran and its supporters, including designations of vessels and companies engaging in the very activities previously authorized under GL X.</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>In practice, therefore, GLs X and X1 provide a cautionary tale to companies&nbsp;seeking&nbsp;to&nbsp;operate&nbsp;in previously sanctioned environments &ndash; especially when those environments relate to Iran. It is&nbsp;</span><span>imperative</span><span> to understand what the authorization covers, what it&nbsp;doesn&rsquo;t, to assess the broader geopolitical risk environment, and to build in&nbsp;appropriate transactional&nbsp;and contractual protections.</span></p>
<p><span>In sum, p</span><span>urported sanctions relief issued in times of uncertainty, when the underlying issues that gave rise to the sanctions remain, can create significant sanctions-based hurdles and headaches down the road for those who do not fully consider the context of their business decisions.</span></p>
<p><span>If the current escalation between the United States and Iran can be reversed, and serious negotiations resume, the U.S. government will need to be prepared to re-issue a version of GL X, although companies will be rightfully gun-shy of relying on it. Accompanying multilateral engagement, statutory sanctions waivers, explicit policies of non-prosecution for those who engage with the IRGC, and promises of a longer wind-down period if revoked, would help address some of the barriers companies faced to relying on the original GL X. As a practical matter, however, a future Iran oil GL will not be viable unless it is accompanied by meaningful behavioral change by Iran and associated diplomatic progress among Iran, the United States and international partners.</span></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148504/expert-qa-decoding-the-treasury-departments-actions-on-iran/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Expert Q&amp;A: Decoding the Treasury Department&rsquo;s Actions on Iran</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-24T12:50:13+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Rachel Alpert</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-24T12:50:13+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="armed conflict"/>

	<category term="armed conflicts"/>

	<category term="counterterrorism"/>

	<category term="diplomacy"/>

	<category term="executive branch"/>

	<category term="featured articles"/>

	<category term="foreign terrorist organization (fto)"/>

	<category term="iran"/>

	<category term="iran nuclear deal (jcpoa)"/>

	<category term="islamic revolutionary guard corps (irgc)"/>

	<category term="law enforcement"/>

	<category term="middle east wars"/>

	<category term="office of foreign assets control (ofac)"/>

	<category term="operation epic fury/operation roaring lion"/>

	<category term="sanctions"/>

	<category term="terrorism &amp; violent extremism"/>

	<category term="treasury department"/>

	<category term="trump administration second term"/>

	<category term="united states (us)"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-24:/294261</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/149344/early-edition-july-24-2026/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=early-edition-july-24-2026" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Early Edition: July 24, 2026</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Signup to receive the Early Edition in your inbox&nbsp;here.
A curated weekday guide to major news and de...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Signup to receive the Early Edition in your inbox&nbsp;<a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/newsletter-signup/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">here</a>.</p>
<p>A curated weekday guide to major news and developments over the last 24 hours. Here&rsquo;s today&rsquo;s news:</p>
<p><b><i>IRAN WAR</i></b></p>
<p><b>The U.S. military completed its latest round of strikes on Iran overnight, marking a 13th consecutive night of attacks, </b><span>according to U.S. Central Command. Iranian state media reported that U.S. missiles had struck several locations around the capital of Iran&rsquo;s oil-rich Khuzestan Province. The Iranians retaliated this morning with strikes against U.S. military targets in Bahrain, Kuwait, and Jordan. Kanishka Singh reports for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-military-says-it-completed-13th-consecutive-night-strikes-iran-2026-07-24/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>; Qasim Nauman reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/07/23/world/iran-war-strikes-oil-trump/bb5cf5c7-0de1-5655-b120-0daafe18f003?smid=url-share" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Iranian and Iraqi officials said yesterday that Iran had rejected a cease-fire proposal from President Trump that was presented by Iraqi Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi. </b><span>Iran&rsquo;s top negotiator, Brig. Gen. Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, told local reporters that there was no need for another mediator. &ldquo;The problem is not passing messages,&rdquo; Ghalibaf said. &ldquo;The problem is America&rsquo;s outlook.&rdquo; Farnaz Fassihi and Erika Solomon report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/23/world/middleeast/iran-iraq-cease-fire-proposal.html?smid=url-share" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Trump told </b><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/23/trump-axios-iran-interview" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>Axios</b></a><b> yesterday that he is considering restarting major combat operations in Iran, including strikes that would be bigger than those carried out during &ldquo;Operation Epic Fury.&rdquo;</b><span> Trump stressed that he had not yet made a decision. Two U.S. officials confirmed that no new orders have been given to the military. Trump added that Israel &ldquo;would join in two minutes if I ask them to,&rdquo; but added that &ldquo;we don&rsquo;t need anybody&rdquo; to launch a new operation against Iran. Barak Ravid reports.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Two of Iraq&rsquo;s border crossings were attacked yesterday during the latest round of U.S.-Iranian hostilities, </b><span>according to officials and videos on social media verified by the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/23/world/middleeast/iraq-border-crossings-struck.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>. I</span><span>ranian and Iraqi media outlets reported that U.S. airstrikes had struck a rest station for police officers at the Shalamcheh border crossing.</span> <span>In what appeared to be a retaliatory strike, the Abdali border crossing between Kuwait and Iraq was also hit yesterday afternoon. The Iraqi government has not issued a statement on either attack. </span><span>James McManagan and Sanjana Varghese report.</span></p>
<p><b>The United Kingdom said yesterday that its armed forces were ready to protect the country from any attacks after Iran&rsquo;s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps issued a warning over allowing U.S. bombers to fly from U.K. bases.</b> <a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/uk-says-armed-forces-ready-defend-country-after-iran-warning-over-us-bombers-2026-07-23/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>IRAN WAR &ndash; YEMEN&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Trump yesterday promised &ldquo;major military punishment&rdquo; for Iran and its Houthi allies after the Houthis struck two Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea, </b><span>adding that the United States will hold Iran responsible for Houthi actions. The price of oil hit $100 a barrel yesterday for the first time since May following the Houthi strikes. Kanishka Singh reports for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-military-says-it-completed-13th-consecutive-night-strikes-iran-2026-07-24/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>; Max Bearak, Shirin Hakim, and Farnaz Fassihi report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/07/23/world/iran-war-strikes-oil-trump" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>; Gregory Svirnoskiy reports for </span><a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2026/07/23/donald-trump-iran-war-houthis-attacks-01009389" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>POLITICO</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Iran flew IRGC commanders, military advisers, and missile- and drone-related equipment into Yemen this month,</b><span> according to four sources. Two Iranian sources told</span> <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-flew-irgc-commanders-missile-gear-yemens-houthis-sources-say-2026-07-23/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> that between 10 and 21 IRGC personnel, including senior commanders, were on a July 13 flight from Tehran to Yemen. A Houthi media official, who said he was aboard the plane, denied that Iran had sent military experts to Yemen, adding that all passengers aboard the plane were civilians. Maggie Michael and Parisa Hafezi report.</span></p>
<p><b><i>IRAN WAR &ndash; OTHER DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>The Defense Department yesterday lowered the number of casualties on its website from a total of 18 U.S. service members killed during the Iran war to 14. </b><span>Three military officials said that one reason for the change was that the Trump administration decided to remove the four service members killed last week from the total because their deaths occurred after Trump declared a ceasefire in April. The Pentagon&rsquo;s acting press secretary attributed the change to &ldquo;temporary data disruptions&rdquo; on the website, adding that it would be fixed soon. Helene Cooper, Lara Jakes, and John Ismay report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/23/us/politics/iran-troop-deaths.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The House of Representatives yesterday voted a second time to direct Trump to end the war in Iran or seek explicit congressional authorization to continue it. </b><span>The measure passed on a vote of 214 to 208.</span><span> Soon after, Republicans blocked a similar measure from consideration in the Senate. Robert Jimison reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/23/us/politics/house-iran-war-powers-vote-trump.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>RUSSIA-UKRAINE WAR&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Ukraine&rsquo;s former Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov said yesterday that he has rejected Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy&rsquo;s efforts to persuade him to rejoin the government in a different role.</b><span> Zelenskyy had said earlier in the day that he had offered Fedorov the position of deputy prime minister for military innovation. Hanna Arhirova reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-fedorov-defense-minister-fired-ed6749fb32359ae4d9281676da32eaf0" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>ISRAEL-HAMAS WAR&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>An Israeli airstrike yesterday killed two Palestinians in northern Gaza, </b><span>medics said. </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israeli-strike-west-bank-violence-kill-five-palestinians-officials-say-2026-07-23/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters </span></a><span>reports.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>WEST BANK VIOLENCE&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Four Palestinians and one Israeli were killed in a shooting incident in the occupied West Bank today, </b><span>according to Israeli and Palestinian health officials. The Israeli military said it had been dispatched to the area, southwest of the Palestinian city of Nablus, after reports of an attack on &#8203;Israeli civilians who were hiking there. Palestinian officials said Palestinians had been attacked by the Israeli civilians and that four had been shot dead and four wounded by both civilians and Israeli soldiers. </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/one-killed-two-injured-shooting-incident-west-bank-2026-07-24/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>An Israeli military official said that an Israeli civilian yesterday killed two Palestinians in the occupied West Bank after they stabbed and wounded an Israeli during a dispute. </b><span>The Palestinian Authority&rsquo;s official news agency WAFA said the military and settlers attacked a group of Palestinians from the village of Beit Furik as they were attempting to put out a fire. </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israeli-strike-west-bank-violence-kill-five-palestinians-officials-say-2026-07-23/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters </span></a><span>reports.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>OTHER GLOBAL DEVELOPMENTS</i></b><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Bangladesh President Mohammed Shahabuddin, a former ally of ousted premier Sheikh Hasina, will resign today,</b><span> his spokesperson told </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/bangladesh-president-backed-by-ousted-pm-hasina-resign-friday-say-sources-2026-07-23/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>. The spokesperson &#8203;did not give a reason for Shahabuddin&rsquo;s resignation, but three sources said the &#8288;government had pressed him to step aside because of his longstanding ties to Hasina and after she announced that she planned to return to Bangladesh. Krishna N. Das and Ruma Paul report.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>International Criminal Court member states are set to vote today on whether to dismiss the court&rsquo;s chief prosecutor Karim Khan for alleged sexual misconduct. </b><span>For Khan to be fired, an absolute majority of at least 63 of the court&rsquo;s 125 member states will have to agree in the secret ballot to be held at a meeting at the U.N. headquarters in New York. The vote is due &#8203;around 3 p.m. (1900 GMT).</span> <span>Stephanie van den Berg reports for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/international-criminal-court-members-vote-dismissing-prosecutor-khan-2026-07-24/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Judges at the International Criminal Court yesterday terminated proceedings against the former leader of an armed group in Darfur after prosecutors withdrew the charges against Abdallah Banda Abakaer Nourain. </b><span>The prosecution said the evidence against Banda, who had been charged with war crimes over a 2007 attack on African Union peacekeepers, &#8203;had deteriorated in the time since the charges were confirmed in 2011. Stephanie van den Berg reports for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/international-criminal-court-drops-case-against-darfur-militia-leader-2026-07-23/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Philippine Coast Guard today accused its Chinese counterpart of firing water cannon &zwnj;at government vessels near a disputed shoal for a second day</b><span>, in the third confrontation between the two countries in the South China Sea this week. </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/china/philippines-accuses-china-using-water-cannon-its-vessels-second-day-2026-07-24/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. FOREIGN AFFAIRS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>The United States will impose tariffs ranging from 10% to 12.5% on its major trading partners under a new set of duties designed to combat forced labor at 12:01 a.m. ET,</b><span> U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer&rsquo;s office announced yesterday. </span><span>The new levies target 60 economies, or more than 80 countries, that Greer&rsquo;s office says represent about 99% of U.S. trade.</span><span> Gavin Bade reports for the </span><a href="https://www.wsj.com/economy/trade/trump-unveils-new-tariffs-designed-to-withstand-legal-scrutiny-21ef4093" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Wall Street Journal</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Trump said yesterday that the new U.S.-Saudi nuclear deal &ldquo;is totally subject to Saudi Arabia joining the very respected and successful Abraham Accords,&rdquo;</b><span> referring to a series of agreements that normalized relations between Israel and other states, including Bahrain and the UAE. There was no mention of any such condition in the administration&rsquo;s announcement on Wednesday that the deal had been signed. When asked by reporters, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt was definitive on Trump&rsquo;s terms. &ldquo;If they don&rsquo;t join the Abraham Accords, the deal is off.&rdquo; David. E. Sanger and Karoun Demirjian report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/23/us/politics/saudi-nuclear-deal-israel.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. IMMIGRATION DEVELOPMENTS</i></b></p>
<p><b>Internal documents obtained by the </b><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/23/us/winton-nc-ice-detention-center.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>New York Times</b></a><b> show that ICE plans to open a detention center at the long-dormant Rivers Correctional Institution in Winton, North Carolina, by the end of the year.</b><span> While ICE has been retreating from plans to buy up warehouses around the country, it continues to partner with private companies like GEO Group to repurpose existing prison complexes for immigration detention. Eduardo Medina and Hamed Aleaziz report.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. DOMESTIC DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>A 51-year-old man stabbed two people near Central Park in Manhattan yesterday afternoon,</b><span> the police said. The first victim was a 57-year-old Asian man and the second victim was a 50-year-old Jewish man. It remains unclear what led to the midday attack, but Police Commissioner Jessica Tisch said that Raul Morales shouted &ldquo;Allahu akbar&rdquo; as he attacked both men, according to witness accounts. Tisch added that his mental state might have played a role in the attacks and said the department was evaluating whether the attacks had been intended as hate crimes. Maia Coleman, Chelsea Rose Marcius, Stella Raine Chu, and Yair Rosenberg report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/23/nyregion/nyc-central-park-west-stabbing.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b>A federal judicial panel yesterday allowed Tennessee to use a new congressional map that divides a majority-Black district in Memphis, </b><span>rejecting an effort to block the plan ahead of the state&rsquo;s primary elections in August. Finya Swai reports for </span><a href="https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5987641-memphis-district-split-federal-judges/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>The Hill</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Justice Department on Tuesday asked New Jersey to provide the identities of about 6,600 noncitizens mistakenly added to the state&rsquo;s voter rolls, and said it is considering criminal prosecutions for those who illegally voted.</b><span> A spokesperson for New Jersey Governor Mikie Sherrill (D) said that she will &ldquo;use all the legal tools available to her to protect New Jerseyans&rsquo; personal information.&rdquo; Daniel Han reports for </span><a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2026/07/23/new-jersey-noncitizen-voting-01009141" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>POLITICO</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>TRUMP ADMINISTRATION ACTIONS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>The Office of the Director of National Intelligence has let go of more than 200 personnel since June 1, </b><span>according to data shared with Congress this week. </span><span>The ODNI had about 2,000 employees at the start of Trump&rsquo;s second term. It is now little more than half that size, according to congressional aides.</span><span> Warren P. Strobel reports for the </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2026/07/23/us-intelligence-agency-quietly-cut-about-200-jobs-since-june-1/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Washington Post</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Education Department yesterday ended decades-old rules that have allowed statistical disparities to be used as proof of racial discrimination. </b><span>The department said that eliminating the data analysis will ensure that schools can address discipline problems without fear of drawing a federal investigation. </span><span>A statement signed yesterday by 60 civil rights and education groups predicted the change will enable discrimination against students of color to go unaddressed.</span><span> Laura Meckler reports for the </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/education/2026/07/23/education-dept-eliminates-tool-used-prove-racial-discrimination/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Washington Post</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>TRUMP ADMINISTRATION LITIGATION&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>The Trump administration yesterday withdrew subpoenas that would have compelled three New York Times reporters to testify about their sources for articles about Trump&rsquo;s new Air Force One. </b><span>The move came after a federal judge sharply criticized the Justice Department for failing to follow legal procedures and treating subpoenas as a first rather than a last resort. </span><span>Michael R. Sisak, Eric Tucker, and Larry Neumeister report for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/usmediatimesair-force-one-42429e4d4da8accc42b6c3ddf3f4fed5" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Trump administration yesterday dropped its attempts to subpoena a list of Jewish people at the University of Pennsylvania, </b><span>according to a </span><a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.ca3.127799/gov.uscourts.ca3.127799.18.2.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>court filing</span></a><span>. The documents show that the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission and the university reached an agreement that the agency will not enforce its subpoena and the university will file a stipulation of dismissal. Cheyanne M. Daniels reports for </span><a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2026/07/23/university-of-pennsylvania-jewish-employees-subpoena-01010416" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>POLITICO</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>A coalition of mostly Democratic-led states yesterday asked a federal judge to block the Department of Homeland Security from withholding certain disaster-related funds until states adopt election administration practices favored by the Trump administration.</b><span> DHS announced on July &#8203;10 that it would withhold 20% of FEMA grant awards meant to help states prepare for potential &#8203;terrorist attacks and other threats until those states submit plans to use equipment that accepts hand-marked paper &#8288;ballots rather than electronic voting systems that use bar codes and QR codes to count votes. Luc Cohen reports for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/legal/government/us-states-sue-trump-administration-conditioning-disaster-funds-election-changes-2026-07-23/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
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<p><strong>ICYMI: Yesterday on<em>&nbsp;Just Security</em></strong></p>
<div>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148907/civilian-infrastructure-becomes-lawful-target/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">When Civilian Infrastructure Becomes a Lawful Target</a></p>
<p>By <span>Michael Schmitt</span></p>
<div>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148735/genocide-and-intent-to-kill-revisited/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Genocide and Intent to Kill Revisited</a></p>
<p>By <span>Adil Ahmad Haque</span></p>
<div>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148665/trump-cant-withhold-antiterrorism-funds/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">No, Trump Can&rsquo;t Withhold Anti-Terrorism Funds to Pressure States to Change Their Election Rules</a></p>
<p>By Reed Shaw</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/149344/early-edition-july-24-2026/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Early Edition: July 24, 2026</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-24T12:07:39+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Elisabeth Jennings</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-24T12:07:39+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="daily news roundup"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-23:/294198</id>
	<link href="https://blogdroitadministratif.net/2026/07/23/anef-condamnation-de-letat-pour-dysfonctionnement-dun-service-public-entrainant-des-ruptures-dans-le-droit-au-sejour-ce-10eme-9eme-ch-reunies-5-mai-2026-n/" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">ANEF : condamnation de l’État pour dysfonctionnement d’un service public entraînant des ruptures dans le droit au séjour. (CE, 10ème- 9ème ch. réunies, 5 mai 2026, n° 502 860 Fédération des Acteurs de la Solidarité et autres)</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>1. &mdash;&nbsp;La pr&eacute;sente d&eacute;cision s&rsquo;inscrit dans une s&eacute;quence contentieuse d&eacute;sormais bien identifi&eacute;e, ...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p><strong>1. &mdash;&nbsp;</strong>La pr&eacute;sente d&eacute;cision s&rsquo;inscrit dans une s&eacute;quence contentieuse d&eacute;sormais bien identifi&eacute;e, celle de la d&eacute;mat&eacute;rialisation<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[1]</a> des services publics et plus pr&eacute;cis&eacute;ment du contentieux de l&rsquo;Administration num&eacute;rique pour les &eacute;trangers en France (ANEF)<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn2" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[2]</a>, t&eacute;l&eacute;service cr&eacute;&eacute; par d&eacute;cret du 24&nbsp;mars 2021 pour centraliser le d&eacute;p&ocirc;t des demandes de titres de s&eacute;jour. Cette s&eacute;quence avait connu un premier &eacute;pisode jurisprudentiel majeur avec l&rsquo;arr&ecirc;t du 3&nbsp;juin 2022<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn3" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[3]</a> par lequel le Conseil d&rsquo;Etat, saisi par la Cimade et d&rsquo;autres associations, avait partiellement annul&eacute; le d&eacute;cret fondateur en ce qu&rsquo;il ne pr&eacute;voyait pas de solution de substitution pour les usagers se heurtant &agrave; l&rsquo;impossibilit&eacute; technique d&rsquo;utiliser le t&eacute;l&eacute;service. Cet arr&ecirc;t avait contraint le pouvoir r&eacute;glementaire &agrave; combler la lacune par un arr&ecirc;t&eacute; du 1er&nbsp;ao&ucirc;t 2023, qui organise l&rsquo;accompagnement des usagers et la solution de substitution<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn4" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[4]</a>.</p>



<p><strong>2. &mdash;&nbsp;</strong>Mais l&rsquo;arr&ecirc;t&eacute; du 1<sup>er</sup>&nbsp;ao&ucirc;t 2023 pris pour l&rsquo;application de l&rsquo;article R.&nbsp;431-2 du Code de l&rsquo;entr&eacute;e et du s&eacute;jour des &eacute;trangers et du droit d&rsquo;asile fixant les modalit&eacute;s d&rsquo;accueil et d&rsquo;accompagnement et les conditions de recours &agrave; la solution de substitution des usagers du t&eacute;l&eacute;service ANEF n&rsquo;a pas suffi &agrave; faire taire le contentieux. Loin d&rsquo;&ecirc;tre r&eacute;siduels, les dysfonctionnements<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn5" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[5]</a> signal&eacute;s<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn6" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[6]</a> depuis lors dans la gestion des d&eacute;livrances des titres de s&eacute;jour et r&eacute;cemment depuis le lancement de l&rsquo;ANEF ont fait l&rsquo;objet d&rsquo;un rapport circonstanci&eacute; du D&eacute;fenseur des droits en d&eacute;cembre 2024, faisant &eacute;tat d&rsquo;atteintes &laquo;&thinsp;massives&thinsp;&raquo;<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn7" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[7]</a> aux droits des usagers et formulant quatorze recommandations<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn8" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[8]</a>. Dans ce contexte, dix associations de solidarit&eacute; et de d&eacute;fense des &eacute;trangers, f&eacute;d&eacute;r&eacute;es derri&egrave;re la F&eacute;d&eacute;ration des Acteurs de la Solidarit&eacute;, avaient adress&eacute; au ministre de l&rsquo;Int&eacute;rieur une demande tendant &agrave; ce qu&rsquo;il prenne toutes mesures utiles pour mettre fin &agrave; l&rsquo;ensemble des carences affectant le syst&egrave;me. Face au silence<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn9" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[9]</a> gard&eacute; par le ministre, une d&eacute;cision implicite de rejet est n&eacute;e le 21&nbsp;f&eacute;vrier 2025, formant l&rsquo;objet du pr&eacute;sent recours. Soulignons que le silence gard&eacute; par l&rsquo;administration en mati&egrave;re de demande de titre de s&eacute;jour a d&eacute;j&agrave; fait l&rsquo;objet d&rsquo;une grande observation par la doctrine<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn10" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[10]</a>.</p>



<p><strong>3. &mdash;&nbsp;</strong>Cependant,la d&eacute;cision comment&eacute;e pr&eacute;sente un triple int&eacute;r&ecirc;t. D&rsquo;abord, sur le fond du droit du service public num&eacute;rique, elle &eacute;tend le contr&ocirc;le juridictionnel des dysfonctionnements op&eacute;rationnels du t&eacute;l&eacute;service, l&agrave; o&ugrave; le pr&eacute;c&eacute;dent de 2022 s&rsquo;&eacute;tait cantonn&eacute; au contr&ocirc;le de la l&eacute;galit&eacute; des textes normatifs instituant l&rsquo;obligation de recours au t&eacute;l&eacute;service. Ensuite, sur le plan contentieux, cette d&eacute;cision salutaire affine la grille d&rsquo;appr&eacute;ciation propre au recours pour exc&egrave;s de pouvoir adoss&eacute; &agrave; une demande d&rsquo;injonction, que la doctrine a propos&eacute; de qualifier de &laquo;&thinsp;REP-injonction&thinsp;&raquo;<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn11" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[11]</a>, en distinguant finement l&rsquo;ill&eacute;galit&eacute; caract&eacute;ris&eacute;e du refus d&rsquo;agir, la modulation de l&rsquo;injonction selon la nature de la mesure, et la r&eacute;serve tir&eacute;e de la s&eacute;paration des pouvoirs. Enfin, le juge administratif, par le truchement de cette jurisprudence, confirme son office face aux carences d&rsquo;un service public num&eacute;rique obligatoire<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn12" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[12]</a>.</p>



<p><strong>4. &mdash;&nbsp;</strong>Ces deux apports sont indissociables&nbsp;: c&rsquo;est la nature m&ecirc;me de l&rsquo;obligation pesant sur l&rsquo;administration du service public num&eacute;rique (I) qui conditionne les modalit&eacute;s de l&rsquo;injonction prononc&eacute;e par le juge (II).</p>



<p></p>



<h1>I. &mdash;&nbsp;L&rsquo;ANEF au prisme des obligations du service public num&Eacute;rique&nbsp;: une exigence d&rsquo;effectivit&Eacute; &Eacute;tendue aux dysfonctionnements op&Eacute;rationnels</h1>



<h2>&nbsp;</h2>



<p>Avant d&rsquo;examiner les modalit&eacute;s selon lesquelles le juge contraint l&rsquo;administration, encore faut-il identifier la norme dont il sanctionne la m&eacute;connaissance. Or, sur ce terrain, la d&eacute;cision proc&egrave;de en deux temps. Elle r&eacute;affirme dans un premier temps le socle normatif d&eacute;gag&eacute; en 2022&nbsp;: un acc&egrave;s normal au service et l&rsquo;exercice effectif des droits, conditions de l&eacute;galit&eacute; de tout t&eacute;l&eacute;service rendu obligatoire (A). Elle en d&eacute;place dans un second temps le point d&rsquo;application avec notamment le fait que ce n&rsquo;est plus seulement le texte instituant l&rsquo;obligation de recourir au t&eacute;l&eacute;service qui est soumis &agrave; ce double test, mais le fonctionnement quotidien de l&rsquo;outil lui-m&ecirc;me, le Conseil d&rsquo;Etat distinguant &agrave; cet &eacute;gard les carences que la solution de substitution peut absorber au cas par cas de celle qui, par leur gravit&eacute; ou leur syst&eacute;micit&eacute;, &eacute;chappent &agrave; ce filet de s&eacute;curit&eacute; (B).</p>



<h2>&nbsp;</h2>



<h2>A. &mdash;&nbsp;La confirmation du cadre normatif fondateur&nbsp;: l&rsquo;acc&egrave;s normal et l&rsquo;exercice effectif des droits comme conditions de l&eacute;galit&eacute; du t&eacute;l&eacute;service obligatoire</h2>



<h2>&nbsp;</h2>



<p><strong>5. &mdash;&nbsp;</strong>La d&eacute;cision confirme et approfondit, aux points&nbsp;4 &agrave; 9, le cadre normatif d&eacute;gag&eacute; en 2022. Elle pose d&rsquo;abord, au point&nbsp;4, une formule d&rsquo;une port&eacute;e g&eacute;n&eacute;rale qui m&eacute;rite d&rsquo;&ecirc;tre soulign&eacute;e. Le gestionnaire d&rsquo;un service public doit &laquo;&thinsp;<em>veiller &agrave; garantir le droit d&rsquo;acc&egrave;s, dans des conditions normales, des usagers au service dans le respect du principe d&rsquo;&eacute;galit&eacute;, d&rsquo;assurer la continuit&eacute; du service et de proc&eacute;der aux adaptations rendues n&eacute;cessaires par l&rsquo;exigence de mutabilit&eacute;</em><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn13" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[13]</a><em>&thinsp;&raquo;</em>, et &laquo;&thinsp;<em>corriger les dysfonctionnements (&hellip;) de nature &agrave; limiter de fa&ccedil;on anormale le droit d&rsquo;acc&egrave;s des usagers ou &agrave; compromettre l&rsquo;exercice (&hellip;) des droits qui leur sont reconnus par la loi</em><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn14" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[14]</a>&thinsp;&raquo;. On reconna&icirc;t ici la trilogie classique des lois de Rolland&nbsp;: continuit&eacute;, &eacute;galit&eacute;, mutabilit&eacute;, enrichie d&rsquo;une quatri&egrave;me obligation de correction des dysfonctionnements qui proc&egrave;de directement de l&rsquo;exigence d&rsquo;effectivit&eacute; des droits. Si la formule n&rsquo;est pas enti&egrave;rement nouvelle, son application &agrave; un service public exclusivement num&eacute;rique est significative&nbsp;: les lois de Rolland s&rsquo;adaptent au contexte de la d&eacute;mat&eacute;rialisation.</p>



<p><strong>6. &mdash;&nbsp;</strong>Les points&nbsp;8 et 9 pr&eacute;cisent ensuite les obligations propres au t&eacute;l&eacute;service obligatoire, en une formule que la d&eacute;cision de 2022 avait d&eacute;j&agrave; consacr&eacute;e et que la pr&eacute;sente affaire reproduit quasi litt&eacute;ralement<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn15" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[15]</a>. Le pouvoir r&eacute;glementaire ne peut rendre obligatoire le recours &agrave; un t&eacute;l&eacute;service &laquo;&thinsp;<em>qu&rsquo;&agrave; la condition de permettre l&rsquo;acc&egrave;s normal des usagers au service public et de garantir aux personnes concern&eacute;es l&rsquo;exercice effectif de leurs droits&thinsp;</em>&raquo;. Il doit aussi tenir compte de &laquo;&thinsp;<em>l&rsquo;objet du service, du degr&eacute; de complexit&eacute; des d&eacute;marches administratives en cause et de leurs cons&eacute;quences pour les int&eacute;ress&eacute;s, des caract&eacute;ristiques de l&rsquo;outil num&eacute;rique mis en &oelig;uvre ainsi que de celles du public concern&eacute;</em><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn16" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[16]</a><em>&thinsp;&raquo;.</em> Ce double test acc&egrave;s normal/exercice effectif constitue d&eacute;sormais une norme de contr&ocirc;le consolid&eacute;e qui joue tant &agrave; l&rsquo;&eacute;gard des textes instituant l&rsquo;obligation que des carences dans l&rsquo;ex&eacute;cution du service.</p>



<p><strong>7. &mdash;&nbsp;</strong>Cette continuit&eacute; jurisprudentielle n&rsquo;est pas anodine. Elle r&eacute;v&egrave;le que le contentieux de l&rsquo;ANEF ob&eacute;it &agrave; une logique cumulative&nbsp;: le premier arr&ecirc;t (2022) a pos&eacute; le principe que l&rsquo;obligation de recourir &agrave; un t&eacute;l&eacute;service ne peut &ecirc;tre l&eacute;galement impos&eacute;e sans solution de substitution&thinsp;; le pr&eacute;sent arr&ecirc;t pose que, m&ecirc;me apr&egrave;s la mise en place de cette solution de substitution par l&rsquo;arr&ecirc;t&eacute; du 1er&nbsp;ao&ucirc;t 2023, l&rsquo;administration ne saurait se r&eacute;fugier derri&egrave;re ce m&eacute;canisme pour tol&eacute;rer des dysfonctionnements op&eacute;rationnels qui, par leur gravit&eacute; ou leur syst&eacute;micit&eacute;, compromettent l&rsquo;exercice effectif des droits. La solution de substitution est un filet de s&eacute;curit&eacute;, non un blanc-seing.</p>



<h2>&nbsp;</h2>



<h2>B. &mdash;&nbsp;L&rsquo;extension du contr&ocirc;le aux dysfonctionnements op&eacute;rationnels&nbsp;: la distinction entre carences rattrapables et carences irr&eacute;ductibles</h2>



<h2>&nbsp;</h2>



<p><strong>8. &mdash;&nbsp;</strong>La partie la plus novatrice de la d&eacute;cision r&eacute;side dans la qualification juridique des diff&eacute;rents dysfonctionnements all&eacute;gu&eacute;s. Le Conseil d&rsquo;Etat op&egrave;re une distinction subtile, mais d&eacute;terminante, entre les dysfonctionnements que la solution de substitution peut pallier cas par cas (et qui, &agrave; ce titre, n&rsquo;engagent pas la responsabilit&eacute; syst&eacute;mique de l&rsquo;administration), et ceux qui, par leur nature ou leur ampleur, ne sauraient &ecirc;tre r&eacute;par&eacute;s par ce seul m&eacute;canisme.</p>



<p><strong>9. &mdash;&nbsp;</strong>Dans la premi&egrave;re cat&eacute;gorie relative aux carences non constitutives d&rsquo;ill&eacute;galit&eacute; figurent notamment l&rsquo;impossibilit&eacute; de tenir compte de certaines situations individuelles complexes (num&eacute;ros d&rsquo;identification multiples, jeunes majeurs, cas des personnes malades), ainsi que divers incidents techniques dont la syst&eacute;micit&eacute; n&rsquo;est pas &eacute;tablie (points&nbsp;14 et 19). Sur ces points, le Conseil d&rsquo;&Eacute;tat prend acte de ce que la solution de substitution est effectivement op&eacute;rationnelle, comme en t&eacute;moignent les donn&eacute;es statistiques communiqu&eacute;es par le minist&egrave;re&nbsp;: d&eacute;lai moyen de prise en charge de onze jours par le Centre de contact citoyens, de huit jours par les Points d&rsquo;accueil num&eacute;rique (point&nbsp;45). La solution de substitution remplit ici son r&ocirc;le d&rsquo;ultime recours.</p>



<p><strong>10. &mdash;&nbsp;</strong>Dans la seconde cat&eacute;gorie que sont les carences constitutives d&rsquo;ill&eacute;galit&eacute; figurent sept manquements dont le Conseil d&rsquo;Etat constate, avec une rigueur analytique remarquable, qu&rsquo;ils exc&egrave;dent la capacit&eacute; de r&eacute;paration du m&eacute;canisme de substitution<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn17" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[17]</a>, ou que leur persistance, malgr&eacute; les instructions r&eacute;p&eacute;t&eacute;es du ministre, r&eacute;v&egrave;le une d&eacute;faillance structurelle. L&rsquo;impossibilit&eacute; de pr&eacute;senter plusieurs demandes simultan&eacute;es ou successives<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn18" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[18]</a> est particuli&egrave;rement topique&nbsp;: le fait que le demandeur puisse mentionner dans un champ &laquo;&thinsp;observations&thinsp;&raquo; son &eacute;ligibilit&eacute; &agrave; un autre titre ne saurait suppl&eacute;er l&rsquo;absence de toute possibilit&eacute; de produire les pi&egrave;ces justificatives correspondantes<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn19" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[19]</a>. La logique de l&rsquo;exercice effectif des droits, coupl&eacute;e au risque que le refus de la premi&egrave;re demande fonde une OQTF, rendait l&rsquo;ill&eacute;galit&eacute; incontournable.</p>



<p><strong>11. &mdash;&nbsp;</strong>Les blocages li&eacute;s &agrave; une erreur d&rsquo;enregistrement de remise du titre (point&nbsp;13) illustrent quant &agrave; eux un dysfonctionnement imputable non au design du t&eacute;l&eacute;service, mais &agrave; la pratique des agents. Le Conseil d&rsquo;Etat retient cependant l&rsquo;ill&eacute;galit&eacute;, non en raison de la difficult&eacute; technique, mais parce qu&rsquo;il &laquo;&thinsp;<em>ne ressort pas (&hellip;) que les &eacute;trangers confront&eacute;s &agrave; de telles erreurs seraient effectivement mis en mesure, par la t&eacute;l&eacute;proc&eacute;dure, d&rsquo;en alerter l&rsquo;administration et d&rsquo;en obtenir la correction</em>&thinsp;&raquo;<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn20" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[20]</a>.</p>



<p>La solution de substitution, organis&eacute;e autour d&rsquo;une impossibilit&eacute; de d&eacute;p&ocirc;t de demande, n&rsquo;est pas con&ccedil;ue pour corriger une erreur survenant en cours d&rsquo;instruction.</p>



<p><strong>12. &mdash;&nbsp;</strong>Les ill&eacute;galit&eacute;s relatives aux attestations m&eacute;ritent un d&eacute;veloppement particulier, car elles t&eacute;moignent de l&rsquo;incoh&eacute;rence normative induite par la d&eacute;mat&eacute;rialisation. L&rsquo;attestation de prolongation d&rsquo;instruction et l&rsquo;attestation de d&eacute;cision favorable, cr&eacute;atures de la d&eacute;mat&eacute;rialisation, se retrouvent en porte-&agrave;-faux avec les textes r&eacute;glementaires existants r&eacute;gissant les droits des &eacute;trangers. Le retard dans la d&eacute;livrance des attestations (point&nbsp;31), source de ruptures dans le droit au s&eacute;jour malgr&eacute; les mesures prises par le ministre<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn21" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[21]</a>, r&eacute;v&egrave;le une insuffisance quantitative. L&rsquo;absence des attestations dans la liste des documents valant r&eacute;gularit&eacute; du s&eacute;jour pour l&rsquo;acc&egrave;s aux prestations sociales (point&nbsp;38) r&eacute;v&egrave;le une insuffisance qualitative &mdash; un simple arr&ecirc;t&eacute; de mise &agrave; jour, dont le groupe de travail interminist&eacute;riel promettait l&rsquo;adoption depuis 2023, aurait suffi &agrave; y rem&eacute;dier<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn22" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[22]</a>. Quant &agrave; l&rsquo;absence de mention des droits ouverts sur l&rsquo;attestation de d&eacute;cision favorable (point&nbsp;40), elle est d&eacute;nonc&eacute;e avec une s&eacute;v&eacute;rit&eacute; particuli&egrave;re, au regard notamment de la dur&eacute;e parfois prolong&eacute;e entre la d&eacute;cision favorable et la remise du titre.</p>



<p><strong>13. &mdash;&nbsp;</strong>En miroir, le Conseil d&rsquo;Etat prend acte, au point&nbsp;36, des efforts du ministre en mati&egrave;re d&rsquo;adaptation des mod&egrave;les d&rsquo;attestation pour les b&eacute;n&eacute;ficiaires du dispositif talent, et exclut l&rsquo;ill&eacute;galit&eacute; sur ce point, au moins &agrave; la date de la d&eacute;cision. Cette solution, qui r&eacute;serve implicitement un contr&ocirc;le ult&eacute;rieur si les travaux annonc&eacute;s n&rsquo;aboutissent pas, illustre la temporalit&eacute; particuli&egrave;re du REP-injonction. La l&eacute;galit&eacute; de l&rsquo;inaction s&rsquo;appr&eacute;cie, conform&eacute;ment &agrave; la r&egrave;gle g&eacute;n&eacute;rale, &agrave; la date &agrave; laquelle le juge statue<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn23" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[23]</a>.</p>



<h1>II. &mdash;&nbsp;Le REP-injonction au service de la l&Eacute;GALIT&Eacute; effective du service public num&Eacute;rique&nbsp;: un office du juge finement calibr&eacute;</h1>



<h2>&nbsp;</h2>



<p>La qualification de l&rsquo;ill&eacute;galit&eacute; ne dit encore rien de ce que le juge peut ordonner. C&rsquo;est le second apport de la d&eacute;cision, qui d&eacute;ploie l&rsquo;office du juge du REP-injonction sur deux registres compl&eacute;mentaires. Le Conseil d&rsquo;Etat pr&eacute;cise d&rsquo;abord le grille au terme de laquelle un refus d&rsquo;agir devient ill&eacute;gal&nbsp;: une m&eacute;connaissance caract&eacute;ris&eacute;e, des mesures aptes &agrave; y rem&eacute;dier de fa&ccedil;on directe, certaine et appropri&eacute;e, et une appr&eacute;ciation concr&egrave;te des efforts d&eacute;j&agrave; consentis par l&rsquo;administration, le tout sous la r&eacute;serve constante de la s&eacute;paration des pouvoirs (A). Il module ensuite l&rsquo;injonction dans son objet comme dans ses d&eacute;lais afin de laisser &agrave; l&rsquo;administration la ma&icirc;trise des moyens tout en verrouillant l&rsquo;exigence de r&eacute;sultat (B).</p>



<h2>&nbsp;</h2>



<h2>A. &mdash;&nbsp;La grille tripartite de l&rsquo;ill&eacute;galit&eacute; du refus d&rsquo;agir&nbsp;: un contr&ocirc;le exigeant, mais r&eacute;aliste</h2>



<h2>&nbsp;</h2>



<p><strong>14. &mdash;&nbsp;</strong>Le Conseil d&rsquo;Etat pr&eacute;cise, aux points&nbsp;5 &agrave; 7, le cadre proc&eacute;dural et substantiel du contr&ocirc;le du refus d&rsquo;agir dans le contexte du REP-injonction, confirmant une &eacute;volution contentieuse que la doctrine a baptis&eacute;e de fa&ccedil;on suggestive<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn24" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[24]</a>. &Agrave; mi-chemin entre le recours pour exc&egrave;s de pouvoir classique et le contentieux de pleine juridiction, ce recours tend &agrave; obtenir non seulement l&rsquo;annulation d&rsquo;un refus, mais encore l&rsquo;injonction &agrave; l&rsquo;administration de prendre des mesures d&eacute;termin&eacute;es<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn25" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[25]</a>. La d&eacute;cision comment&eacute;e y consacre plusieurs paragraphes de principe dont la port&eacute;e d&eacute;passe l&rsquo;esp&egrave;ce.</p>



<p><strong>15. &mdash;&nbsp;</strong>La grille d&rsquo;appr&eacute;ciation du refus d&rsquo;agir est tripartite. Il faut d&rsquo;abord une m&eacute;connaissance caract&eacute;ris&eacute;e d&rsquo;une r&egrave;gle de droit, appr&eacute;ci&eacute;e &agrave; l&rsquo;aune de <em>&laquo;&thinsp;la gravit&eacute; ou (&hellip;) la r&eacute;currence des d&eacute;faillances relev&eacute;es&thinsp;</em>&raquo;<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn26" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[26]</a>. Il faut ensuite que des mesures administratives soient &laquo;&thinsp;<em>de fa&ccedil;on directe, certaine et appropri&eacute;e, de nature &agrave; en pr&eacute;venir la poursuite ou la r&eacute;it&eacute;ration</em>&thinsp;&raquo;. Enfin, l&rsquo;ill&eacute;galit&eacute; ne peut &ecirc;tre retenue que si &laquo;&thinsp;<em>au regard de la port&eacute;e de l&rsquo;obligation (&hellip;), des mesures d&eacute;j&agrave; prises, des difficult&eacute;s inh&eacute;rentes &agrave; la satisfaction de cette obligation, des contraintes li&eacute;es &agrave; l&rsquo;ex&eacute;cution des missions dont elle a la charge et des moyens dont elle dispose (&hellip;) [l&rsquo;administration] est tenue de mettre en &oelig;uvre des actions suppl&eacute;mentaires&thinsp;</em>&raquo;<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn27" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[27]</a>. Ce troisi&egrave;me crit&egrave;re introduit une appr&eacute;ciation globale et concr&egrave;te des efforts d&eacute;j&agrave; consentis, qui &eacute;vite d&rsquo;&eacute;riger le juge en censeur de la seule inertie.</p>



<p><strong>16. &mdash;&nbsp;</strong>L&rsquo;application de ce standard aux faits de l&rsquo;esp&egrave;ce est p&eacute;dagogiquement pr&eacute;cieuse. Pour les retards dans la d&eacute;livrance des attestations (points&nbsp;30-31), le Conseil d&rsquo;Etat prend acte des mesures d&eacute;j&agrave; prises, notamment la hausse substantielle des effectifs, circulaire aux pr&eacute;fets du 5&nbsp;avril 2026, annonce d&rsquo;un renouvellement automatique sous &laquo;&thinsp;quelques semaines&thinsp;&raquo;, mais constate que leur &laquo;&thinsp;calendrier de mise en &oelig;uvre n&rsquo;est qu&rsquo;en partie pr&eacute;cis&eacute;&thinsp;&raquo; et qu&rsquo;il est &laquo;&thinsp;impossible (&hellip;) de mesurer avec une pr&eacute;cision suffisante les effets qui peuvent en &ecirc;tre raisonnablement attendus&thinsp;&raquo;. Ce passage r&eacute;v&egrave;le que le crit&egrave;re des efforts consentis n&rsquo;est pas un crit&egrave;re de pure bonne volont&eacute; administrative&nbsp;: il exige un programme d&rsquo;action mesurable et cr&eacute;dible. La d&eacute;monstration que les mesures annonc&eacute;es suffiront &agrave; rem&eacute;dier &agrave; l&rsquo;ill&eacute;galit&eacute; ne saurait reposer sur des promesses aux contours flous.</p>



<p><strong>17. &mdash;&nbsp;</strong>La limite pos&eacute;e au point&nbsp;5 &mdash; le juge ne peut &laquo;&thinsp;<em>se substituer aux pouvoirs publics pour d&eacute;terminer une politique publique</em>&thinsp;&raquo;<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn28" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[28]</a> &mdash; est, en l&rsquo;esp&egrave;ce, respect&eacute;e avec rigueur. Aucune des ill&eacute;galit&eacute;s retenues ne conduit le Conseil d&rsquo;Etat &agrave; trancher des choix politiques sur le droit des &eacute;trangers ou sur le volume du traitement des demandes. Il s&rsquo;agit uniquement d&rsquo;exiger que l&rsquo;administration rectifie des carences techniques ou normatives pr&eacute;cises, sans remettre en cause les choix de fond sur l&rsquo;architecture du syst&egrave;me ou les crit&egrave;res d&rsquo;octroi des titres. Cette limite, connue depuis l&rsquo;affaire Grande-Synthe dans laquelle le Conseil d&rsquo;Etat r&eacute;affirme l&rsquo;insuffisance des mesures de r&eacute;duction des &eacute;missions de GES<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn29" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[29]</a> et ordonne au Gouvernement de prendre des mesures suppl&eacute;mentaires pour acc&eacute;l&eacute;rer le rythme de r&eacute;duction, trouve ici une application paradigmatique dans un contentieux &agrave; fort enjeu politique.</p>



<h2>B. &mdash;&nbsp;La modulation de l&rsquo;injonction&nbsp;: entre souplesse m&eacute;thodologique et fermet&eacute; sur le r&eacute;sultat</h2>



<h2>&nbsp;</h2>



<p><strong>18. &mdash;&nbsp;</strong>La d&eacute;cision propose, au point&nbsp;7, une architecture de l&rsquo;injonction en trois niveaux, qui affine la technique de l&rsquo;injonction dans le REP-injonction<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn30" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[30]</a>. Le principe est d&rsquo;enjoindre &agrave; l&rsquo;administration de prendre &laquo;&thinsp;toutes mesures utiles&thinsp;&raquo; &mdash; injonction g&eacute;n&eacute;rale, laissant aux autorit&eacute;s comp&eacute;tentes le choix des mesures. Une exception au principe est &agrave; admettre tout de m&ecirc;me. En effet, lorsque l&rsquo;instruction a r&eacute;v&eacute;l&eacute; des mesures sp&eacute;cifiques appropri&eacute;es, le juge peut &laquo;&thinsp;circonscrire le champ de son injonction&thinsp;&raquo; &agrave; ces domaines particuliers, tout en permettant &agrave; l&rsquo;administration de justifier de mesures d&rsquo;un autre domaine ayant un effet &eacute;quivalent<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn31" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[31]</a>. De plus, une exception &agrave; l&rsquo;exception se caract&eacute;rise lorsqu&rsquo;une mesure d&eacute;termin&eacute;e est &laquo;&thinsp;indispensable&thinsp;&raquo; au respect de la r&egrave;gle et que l&rsquo;abstention de l&rsquo;autorit&eacute; rendrait le respect de cette r&egrave;gle &laquo;&thinsp;exclu&thinsp;&raquo;, le juge ordonne directement cette mesure.</p>



<p><strong>19. &mdash;&nbsp;</strong>En pratique, les injonctions prononc&eacute;es au dispositif de cette d&eacute;cision se situent essentiellement au niveau de l&rsquo;injonction g&eacute;n&eacute;rale &laquo;&thinsp;prendre toutes mesures utiles&thinsp;&raquo; assortie de d&eacute;lais diff&eacute;renci&eacute;s, sans que le juge prescrive de mesure technique pr&eacute;cise. Cette retenue se montre coh&eacute;rente, puisqu&rsquo;&agrave; l&rsquo;exception de la modification de l&rsquo;arr&ecirc;t&eacute; du 10&nbsp;mai 2017 (mesure de mise &agrave; jour r&eacute;glementaire directement identifiable), les autres ill&eacute;galit&eacute;s supposent des choix de d&eacute;veloppement informatique, d&rsquo;organisation des services ou de conduite des processus internes. Ces choix rel&egrave;vent de la comp&eacute;tence exclusive de l&rsquo;administration. Le Conseil d&rsquo;Etat s&rsquo;en tient ainsi &agrave; d&eacute;finir le r&eacute;sultat attendu, qui correspond &agrave; la correction effective de la carence, sans toutefois empi&eacute;ter sur les modalit&eacute;s de son obtention.</p>



<p><strong>20. &mdash;&nbsp;</strong>La diff&eacute;renciation des d&eacute;lais m&eacute;rite une attention particuli&egrave;re. Le d&eacute;lai de douze mois accord&eacute; pour la demande multi-fondements (point&nbsp;12) contraste avec le d&eacute;lai de six mois retenu pour les six autres mesures<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn32" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[32]</a>. Cette modulation, que l&rsquo;article L.&nbsp;911-1 du code de justice administrative ne pr&eacute;voit pas express&eacute;ment, souligne<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn33" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[33]</a> que &laquo;&thinsp;<em>Lorsque sa d&eacute;cision implique n&eacute;cessairement qu&rsquo;une personne morale de droit public ou un organisme de droit priv&eacute; charg&eacute; de la gestion d&rsquo;un service public prenne une mesure d&rsquo;ex&eacute;cution dans un sens d&eacute;termin&eacute;, la juridiction, saisie de conclusions en ce sens, prescrit, par la m&ecirc;me d&eacute;cision, cette mesure assortie, le cas &eacute;ch&eacute;ant, d&rsquo;un d&eacute;lai d&rsquo;ex&eacute;cution. La juridiction peut &eacute;galement prescrire d&rsquo;office cette mesure&thinsp;</em>&raquo;. Toutefois, cette modulation constitue une pratique constante du juge de l&rsquo;injonction, consacr&eacute;e d&egrave;s les premi&egrave;res applications du contentieux climatique dont il a d&ucirc; conna&icirc;tre. Cette d&eacute;cision du Conseil d&rsquo;Etat participe &agrave; un contr&ocirc;le efficace des d&eacute;lais. En effet, si le d&eacute;lai s&rsquo;av&egrave;re trop court, il deviendrait illusoire&thinsp;; de m&ecirc;me, s&rsquo;il s&rsquo;&eacute;tire trop longtemps, l&rsquo;injonction perdrait son autorit&eacute; coercitive. En retenant douze mois pour la refonte d&rsquo;une architecture informatique complexe et six mois pour des corrections normatives ou documentaires, le Conseil d&rsquo;Etat calibre son injonction en fonction de la faisabilit&eacute; technique r&eacute;elle des mesures prescrites. Reste &agrave; l&rsquo;administration de se conformer et de mettre en &oelig;uvre des changements afin de garantir les droits des usagers de ce service public.</p>



<p><strong>21. &mdash;&nbsp;</strong>La port&eacute;e syst&eacute;mique de la d&eacute;cision doit enfin &ecirc;tre soulign&eacute;e. En effet, la Haute Juridiction enjoint &agrave; l&rsquo;Etat de prendre, dans un d&eacute;lai de 6 mois suivant la notification de la d&eacute;cision, les mesures mentionn&eacute;es aux points&nbsp;13, 15, 16, 31 et 38 et 40. Dans un d&eacute;lai de 12&nbsp;mois, l&rsquo;Etat doit prendre celle mentionn&eacute;e au point&nbsp;12, &agrave; savoir la possibilit&eacute; de pr&eacute;senter simultan&eacute;ment ou successivement plusieurs demandes. Le Conseil d&rsquo;Etat traite simultan&eacute;ment des dysfonctionnements de conception du t&eacute;l&eacute;service, de la pratique des agents pr&eacute;fectoraux, des retards administratifs et de l&rsquo;incoh&eacute;rence des textes r&eacute;glementaires annexes. Il inscrit r&eacute;solument l&rsquo;ANEF dans une logique de service public int&eacute;gr&eacute;. Toutes ses composantes techniques, organisationnelles, normatives doivent satisfaire de fa&ccedil;on coh&eacute;rente &agrave; l&rsquo;exigence d&rsquo;acc&egrave;s normal et d&rsquo;exercice effectif des droits. Cette vision syst&eacute;mique du service public num&eacute;rique repr&eacute;sente certainement l&rsquo;apport le plus durable de la d&eacute;cision, appel&eacute;e &agrave; irriguer le contentieux de la d&eacute;mat&eacute;rialisation bien au-del&agrave; du seul droit des &eacute;trangers<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn34" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[34]</a>. Cette d&eacute;cision, si elle semble sonner le tocsin, ouvre le d&eacute;bat pour la recherche de solutions et propositions<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn35" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[35]</a> durables afin de simplifier<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn36" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[36]</a> le contentieux des &eacute;trangers dans l&rsquo;int&eacute;r&ecirc;t de tous<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn37" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[37]</a>.</p>



<hr>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[1]</a> Def. Droits, D&eacute;mat&eacute;rialisation des services publics : trois ans apr&egrave;s, o&ugrave; en est-on ? f&eacute;vr. 2022 ; <em>JCP A</em> 2022, act. 167 ; sur le contentieux d&rsquo;acc&egrave;s des &eacute;trangers &agrave; l&rsquo;ANEF, v. TA Lyon, 29 juin 2022, n&deg; 2107149, C + : <em>JCP A</em> 2022, 2258, note H. Habchi.</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref2" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[2]</a> V. CHAMPEIL-DESPLATS et S. SLAMA, L&rsquo;administration num&eacute;rique des &eacute;trangers ne r&eacute;pond plus : des vies en suspens, tribune, <em>AJDA</em> 2024. 2241&nbsp;; V. BEAUDET-CAILLE, &laquo;&nbsp;&Eacute;trangers &ndash; Titre de s&eacute;jour &ndash; Le recours au r&eacute;f&eacute;r&eacute; &laquo; mesures utiles &raquo; pour obtenir la remise effective du titre&nbsp;&raquo;, <em>JA</em> 2026, n&deg;733, p.11&nbsp;; N. COUDURIER, &laquo;&nbsp;Droit des &eacute;trangers &ndash; Proc&eacute;dures administratives &ndash; Tour de passe-passe avec la d&eacute;mat&eacute;rialisation&nbsp;&raquo;, <em>JA</em> 2025, n&deg;719, p.13.</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref3" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[3]</a> CE 3 juin 2022, n&deg; 452798, Conseil national des barreaux, La CIMADE et autres, Lebon ; Lebon avec les concl. ; <em>AJDA</em> 2022. 1127 ; et 1509, chron. D. Pradines et T. Janicot ; D. 2022. 1094, et les obs. ; et 2023. 200, obs. O. Boskovic, S. Corneloup, F. Jault-Seseke, N. Joubert et K. Parrot ; JA 2022, n&deg; 662, p. 12, obs. X. Delpech ; <em>AJ fam</em>. 2022. 355 et les obs&nbsp;; <em>AJCT</em> 2022. 390, obs. V. Etame Sone ; <em>RFDA</em> 2022. 761, concl. L. Domingo, <em>JCP A</em> 2022, act. 403&nbsp;; CE, avis, 3 juin 2022, n&deg; 461694, 461695 et 461922, La Cimade et a. : Lebon : JCP A 2022, 2213, note G. Koubi&nbsp;; <em>AJDA</em> 2022. 1127 ; et 1509, chron. D. Pradines et T. Janicot ; <em>JA</em> 2022, n&deg; 662, p. 12, obs. X. Delpech ; <em>AJCT</em> 2022. 390, obs. V. Etame Sone ; RFDA 2022. 761, concl. L. Domingo.</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref4" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[4]</a> Arr&ecirc;t&eacute; du 27 avril 2021 pris pour l&rsquo;application de l&rsquo;article R. 431-2 du CESEDA, modifi&eacute; par l&rsquo;arr&ecirc;t&eacute; du 19 mai 2021 puis successivement &eacute;tendu &agrave; la quasi-totalit&eacute; des cat&eacute;gories de titres de s&eacute;jour. L&rsquo;annulation partielle prononc&eacute;e par le CE en 2022 a contraint le gouvernement &agrave; introduire le m&eacute;canisme de substitution par d&eacute;cret modificatif, puis &agrave; l&rsquo;encadrer par l&rsquo;arr&ecirc;t&eacute; du 1 ao&ucirc;t 2023.</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref5" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[5]</a> Voir en ce sens&nbsp;: J. SALENNE-BELLET, &laquo;&nbsp;Qualification juridique d&rsquo;un message de cl&ocirc;ture de la demande d&rsquo;un titre de s&eacute;jour en raison d&rsquo;un probl&egrave;me technique&nbsp;&raquo;, <em>AJDA</em> 2026. 737.</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref6" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[6]</a> Rapport de la mission permanente &laquo; Expertise et contr&ocirc;le des modalit&eacute;s de d&eacute;livrance des titres r&eacute;glementaires &raquo; de l&rsquo;IGA, sept. 2012 ; Rapport IGA, &laquo; L&rsquo;accueil des ressortissants &eacute;trangers par les pr&eacute;fectures et sous-pr&eacute;fectures &raquo;, d&eacute;c. 2014 ; D&eacute;fenseur des droits, &laquo; Les droits fondamentaux des &eacute;trangers en France &raquo;, mai 2016 ; A. SPIRE, Accueillir ou reconduire. Enqu&ecirc;te sur les guichets de l&rsquo;immigration, Raisons d&rsquo;agir, 2008 ; CIMADE, &laquo; Devant la loi. Enqu&ecirc;te sur l&rsquo;accueil des &eacute;trangers dans les pr&eacute;fectures, l&rsquo;information du public et l&rsquo;instruction des dossiers &raquo;, 2008 ; GISTI et autres, &laquo; &Eacute;trangers : conditions d&rsquo;accueil et traitement des dossiers &agrave; la pr&eacute;fecture de Bobigny : l&rsquo;indignit&eacute; ! &raquo;, 2010.</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref7" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[7]</a> Voir par exemple, N. LUYCKX, &laquo;&nbsp;Instruction des demandes de titre de s&eacute;jour et refus implicites. La fin d&rsquo;un long silence&nbsp;?&nbsp;&raquo;, <em>AJDA</em> 2025. 1630.</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref8" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[8]</a>Rapport du D&eacute;fenseur des droits, &laquo; L&rsquo;Administration num&eacute;rique pour les &eacute;trangers en France (ANEF) : une d&eacute;mat&eacute;rialisation &agrave; l&rsquo;origine d&rsquo;atteintes massives aux droits des usagers &raquo;, 11 d&eacute;cembre 2024, 14 recommandations. Sur le rapport annuel 2025 (pr&eacute;sentant une hausse de 17 % des r&eacute;clamations, dont 41 % relatives au droit des &eacute;trangers), v. Communiqu&eacute; du D&eacute;fenseur des droits, 10 avril 2026.</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref9" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[9]</a> J. ROBBE, &laquo;&nbsp;Les effets du silence gard&eacute; par le pr&eacute;fet sur une demande de titre de s&eacute;jour&nbsp;&raquo;, <em>RFDA</em> 2025. 481&nbsp;; voir S. NIQUEGE, &laquo; Les demandes adress&eacute;es &agrave; l&rsquo;administration &raquo;, <em>RFDA</em> 2011. 1165.</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref10" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[10]</a>J-G. SORBARA, 2012. Le silence de l&rsquo;administration. <em>Revue du droit public</em>, 2012/4 Juillet, p.1078-1088&nbsp;; J-M. PASTOR, &laquo;&nbsp;Effets du silence grad&eacute; par le pr&eacute;fet sur une demande de titre de s&eacute;jour&nbsp;&raquo;, <em>Actualit&eacute; Dalloz</em>, 24 octobre 2024&nbsp;; Le Foll [Br&egrave;ves] Effets du silence de l&rsquo;administration face &agrave; l&rsquo;&eacute;tranger pr&eacute;sentant plusieurs demandes de titre de s&eacute;jour, <em>Le Quotidien</em>, octobre 2024.</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref11" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[11]</a>A. PERRIN, &laquo; Le REP-injonction &raquo;, <em>AJDA</em> 2023, n&deg; 12, p. 596-605. V. aussi du m&ecirc;me auteur : L&rsquo;injonction en droit public fran&ccedil;ais, &Eacute;d. Panth&eacute;on-Assas, 2009, 917 p. ; &laquo; Au-del&agrave; du cadre l&eacute;gislatif initial : le pouvoir d&rsquo;injonction en dehors de la loi du 8 f&eacute;vrier 1995 &raquo;, <em>RFDA</em> 2015, p. 643.</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref12" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[12]</a> A. PELCRAN, &laquo;&nbsp;L&rsquo;ANEF au pied du mur : le juge administratif contraint l&rsquo;&Eacute;tat &agrave; r&eacute;parer son t&eacute;l&eacute;service d&eacute;faillant&nbsp;&raquo;, <em>La Semaine Juridique Administrations et Collectivit&eacute;s territoriales</em> n&deg; 19-20, 11 mai 2026, act. 234.</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref13" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[13]</a> https://www.conseil-etat.fr/fr/arianeweb/CE/analyse/2026-05-05/502860.</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref14" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[14]</a> CE, 5 mai 2026, n&deg; 502860, point 4 (soulign&eacute; par nous). On reconna&icirc;t ici la trilogie classique des lois de Rolland : continuit&eacute;, &eacute;galit&eacute;, mutabilit&eacute;. V. R. CHAPUS, Droit administratif g&eacute;n&eacute;ral, t. 1, 15e &eacute;d., Montchrestien, 2001, nos 619 s&nbsp;; J. RIVERO et J. WALINE, Droit administratif, 21e &eacute;d., <em>Dalloz</em>, 2006, p. 448 s.</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref15" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[15]</a> Le Conseil d&rsquo;&Eacute;tat formule le test de la fa&ccedil;on suivante au point 9 : &laquo; <em>il incombe au pouvoir r&eacute;glementaire (&hellip;) de pr&eacute;voir les dispositions n&eacute;cessaires pour que b&eacute;n&eacute;ficient d&rsquo;un accompagnement les personnes qui ne disposent pas d&rsquo;un acc&egrave;s aux outils num&eacute;riques ou qui rencontrent des difficult&eacute;s soit dans leur utilisation, soit dans l&rsquo;accomplissement des d&eacute;marches administratives. Il lui incombe, en outre (&hellip;), de garantir la possibilit&eacute; de recourir &agrave; une solution de substitution</em> &raquo;. Cette formulation reproduit quasi litt&eacute;ralement les points 10 et 11 de CE sect. 3 juin 2022, n&deg; 452798.</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref16" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[16]</a> CE, 5 mai 2026, n&deg; 502860, point 8 : &laquo; <em>Le pouvoir r&eacute;glementaire ne saurait rendre obligatoire le recours &agrave; un t&eacute;l&eacute;service pour accomplir une d&eacute;marche administrative (&hellip;) qu&rsquo;&agrave; la condition de permettre l&rsquo;acc&egrave;s normal des usagers au service public et de garantir aux personnes concern&eacute;es l&rsquo;exercice effectif de leurs droits. Il doit tenir compte de l&rsquo;objet du service, du degr&eacute; de complexit&eacute; des d&eacute;marches administratives en cause et de leurs cons&eacute;quences pour les int&eacute;ress&eacute;s, des caract&eacute;ristiques de l&rsquo;outil num&eacute;rique mis en &oelig;uvre ainsi que de celles du public concern&eacute;</em> &raquo;.</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref17" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[17]</a> Sur l&rsquo;obligation de proposer des solutions de substitution, v. CE, 3 juin 2022, n&deg; 452798, 452806 et 454716, Conseil national des barreaux, La Cimade et a. : Lebon ; <em>JCP A</em> 2022, act. 403, A.-L. YOUHNOVSKI SAGON ; CE, avis, 3 juin 2022, n&deg; 461694, 461695 et 461922, La Cimade et a. : Lebon ; <em>JCP A</em> 2022, 2213, note G. Koubi).</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref18" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[18]</a> CE, 5 mai 2026, n&deg; 502860, point 12. La formule est nette : &laquo; <em>l&rsquo;impossibilit&eacute;, pour des motifs techniques, de pr&eacute;senter de telles demandes, est de nature &agrave; compromettre l&rsquo;exercice effectif de leurs droits par les &eacute;trangers susceptibles de se voir d&eacute;livrer un titre de s&eacute;jour de plein droit sur plusieurs fondements</em> &raquo;.</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref19" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[19]</a> Art. L. 432-1-1 du CESEDA, dans sa r&eacute;daction issue de la loi n&deg; 2024-42 du 26 janvier 2024 : un refus de d&eacute;livrance de titre peut fonder un OQTF, lui-m&ecirc;me pouvant faire obstacle &agrave; une nouvelle demande. Ce cercle vicieux aggrav&eacute; &eacute;tait in&eacute;dit dans le contentieux ANEF.</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref20" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[20]</a> CE, 5 mai 2026, n&deg; 502860, point 13. Le Conseil d&rsquo;Etat retient express&eacute;ment que &laquo; <em>le recours &agrave; la solution de substitution pr&eacute;vue par l&rsquo;article R. 431-2 (&hellip;) pourrait permettre, au cas par cas, d&rsquo;y porter rem&egrave;de</em>&nbsp;&raquo; sans pour autant exon&eacute;rer l&rsquo;administration de son obligation d&rsquo;agir, eu &eacute;gard &agrave; &laquo; <em>la gravit&eacute; de ses cons&eacute;quences</em> &raquo;. Voir &eacute;g&nbsp;: https://www.conseil-etat.fr/fr/arianeweb/CE/analyse/2026-05-05/502860.</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref21" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[21]</a> CE, 5 mai 2026, n&deg; 502860, point 31. Le Conseil d&rsquo;&Eacute;tat rel&egrave;ve que les mesures annonc&eacute;es (500 ETP suppl&eacute;mentaires, instruction du 5 avril 2026, renouvellement automatique &agrave; venir) &laquo; <em>sont susceptibles d&rsquo;avoir une incidence significative &raquo; mais qu&rsquo;&laquo; il est impossible, &agrave; la date de la pr&eacute;sente d&eacute;cision, de mesurer avec une pr&eacute;cision suffisante les effets qui peuvent en &ecirc;tre raisonnablement attendus</em> &raquo;.</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref22" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[22]</a> Sur la liste de l&rsquo;arr&ecirc;t&eacute; du 10 mai 2017 (s&eacute;curit&eacute; sociale) et celle de l&rsquo;arr&ecirc;t&eacute; du 20 avril 2022, modifi&eacute; le 21 janvier 2026 (logement HLM), v. les points 37-39 de la d&eacute;cision. Le Conseil d&rsquo;&Eacute;tat rel&egrave;ve la mise &agrave; jour insuffisante de l&rsquo;arr&ecirc;t&eacute; de s&eacute;curit&eacute; sociale, contrairement &agrave; l&rsquo;arr&ecirc;t&eacute; logement d&eacute;j&agrave; modifi&eacute;.</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref23" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[23]</a> CE, 5 mai 2026, n&deg; 502860, point 36. Le ministre avait invoqu&eacute; l&rsquo;engagement de travaux d&rsquo;adaptation des mod&egrave;les d&rsquo;attestation ; le juge en prend acte et exclut l&rsquo;ill&eacute;galit&eacute; &agrave; la date de la d&eacute;cision, sous r&eacute;serve implicite que ces travaux aboutissent.</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref24" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[24]</a> D. TABUTEAU, &laquo; Le Conseil d&rsquo;&Eacute;tat et la juridiction administrative sont de plus en plus au contact du citoyen &raquo;, <em>AJDA</em> 2023. 1580&nbsp;; C. FRACKOWIAK, &laquo;&nbsp;L&rsquo;acc&egrave;s normal au service public et la d&eacute;mat&eacute;rialisation : l&rsquo;exemple de la DGFiP&nbsp;&raquo;, AJDA 2023. 2324&nbsp;; S. SERENO, &laquo;&nbsp;L&rsquo;acc&egrave;s au(x) droit(s), pierre angulaire de l&rsquo;action du D&eacute;fenseur des droits&nbsp;&raquo;, <em>Droit social</em> 2024. 125&nbsp;; A. de LAUBADERE &eacute;crivait : &laquo; Lorsqu&rsquo;un service public a &eacute;t&eacute; cr&eacute;&eacute; et organis&eacute;, les administr&eacute;s peuvent faire valoir un v&eacute;ritable droit au fonctionnement du service public [&hellip;] : droit d&rsquo;acc&egrave;s au service, droit au fonctionnement correct du service, droit &agrave; l&rsquo;&eacute;galit&eacute; des usagers &raquo; (Trait&eacute; de droit administratif, Tome 1, n&deg; 1119 ; v. aujourd&rsquo;hui Y. GAUDEMET, Trait&eacute;, Tome 1, n&deg; 1553).</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref25" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[25]</a> CE, <em>Commune de Grande-Synthe</em>, 1er juillet 2021, n&deg; 427301, publi&eacute; au Lebon ; CE, 10e-9e ch. r&eacute;unies, 11 octobre 2023, n&deg; 454836 et n&deg; 498453 (pr&eacute;cisions sur la &laquo; clause de politique publique &raquo;), sur laquelle v. T. JANICOT, concl. sur CE, 1er oct. 2025, n&deg; 489511 et n&deg; 498453.</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref26" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[26]</a> CE, 5 mai 2026, n&deg; 502860, point 6. La formule &laquo; m&eacute;connaissance caract&eacute;ris&eacute;e &raquo; est emprunt&eacute;e au contentieux climatique (CE, Ass., 1er juillet 2021, <em>Commune de Grande-Synthe</em>, point 12) et au contentieux des conditions de d&eacute;tention (CE, sect., 22 d&eacute;cembre 2012, Section fran&ccedil;aise de l&rsquo;OIP, n&deg; 363961, Lebon).</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref27" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[27]</a> CE, 5 mai 2026, n&deg; 502860, point 6 <em>in fine</em> : l&rsquo;ill&eacute;galit&eacute; &laquo; <em>ne peut &ecirc;tre regard&eacute;e comme constitu&eacute;e que s&rsquo;il appara&icirc;t au juge qu&rsquo;au regard de la port&eacute;e de l&rsquo;obligation qui p&egrave;se sur l&rsquo;administration, des mesures d&eacute;j&agrave; prises, des difficult&eacute;s inh&eacute;rentes &agrave; la satisfaction de cette obligation, des contraintes li&eacute;es &agrave; l&rsquo;ex&eacute;cution des missions dont elle a la charge et des moyens dont elle dispose (&hellip;), celle-ci est tenue de mettre en &oelig;uvre des actions suppl&eacute;mentaires</em> &raquo;. Voir &eacute;g&nbsp;: https://www.conseil-etat.fr/fr/arianeweb/CE/analyse/2026-05-05/502860</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref28" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[28]</a> CE, 5 mai 2026, n&deg; 502860, point 5 <em>in fine </em>: &laquo; <em>il ne lui appartient pas, dans le cadre de cet office, de se substituer aux pouvoirs publics pour d&eacute;terminer une politique publique ou de leur enjoindre de le faire</em> &raquo;.</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref29" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[29]</a> V. Conseil d&rsquo;&Eacute;tat, 6&egrave;me &ndash; 5&egrave;me chambres r&eacute;unies, 01/07/2021, 427301, Publi&eacute; au recueil Lebon.</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref30" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[30]</a> Sur la distinction entre les injonctions &agrave; port&eacute;e g&eacute;n&eacute;rale et les injonctions d&eacute;termin&eacute;es, v. A. PERRIN, &laquo; Le REP-injonction&nbsp;&raquo;, <em>AJDA</em> 2023, p. 596, sp&eacute;c. p. 603-604 ; D.-R. TABUTEAU, &laquo; 60 ans d&rsquo;ex&eacute;cution des d&eacute;cisions du juge administratif &raquo;, Discours, Conseil d&rsquo;&Eacute;tat, 2023, [en ligne], disponible sur www.conseil-etat.fr.</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref31" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[31]</a> CE, 5 mai 2026, n&deg; 502860, point 7 : &laquo; <em>le juge peut circonscrire le champ de son injonction aux domaines particuliers dans lesquels l&rsquo;instruction a r&eacute;v&eacute;l&eacute; l&rsquo;existence de mesures qui seraient de nature &agrave; pr&eacute;venir la survenance des ill&eacute;galit&eacute;s constat&eacute;es, le d&eacute;fendeur conservant la possibilit&eacute; de justifier de l&rsquo;intervention, dans le d&eacute;lai qui lui a &eacute;t&eacute; imparti, de mesures relevant d&rsquo;un autre domaine mais ayant un effet au moins &eacute;quivalent</em>&nbsp;&raquo;.</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref32" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[32]</a> CE, 5 mai 2026, n&deg; 502860, point 49. Le d&eacute;lai de douze mois accord&eacute;s pour la demande multi-fondements (point 12) contraste avec le d&eacute;lai de six mois retenus pour les autres mesures, refl&eacute;tant la complexit&eacute; technique de la refonte du t&eacute;l&eacute;service. On observera que l&rsquo;article L. 911-1 du CJA ne pr&eacute;voit pas explicitement de modulation des d&eacute;lais selon la nature de la mesure ; cette pratique jurisprudentielle est constante (v. CE, <em>Commune de Grande-Synthe</em>, 1er juill. 2021, point 20).</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref33" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[33]</a><em> Ibid</em>.</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref34" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[34]</a> En ce sens, D.-R. TABUTEAU, art. pr&eacute;c. : &laquo; [le REP-injonction] pousse les magistrats aux confins de la s&eacute;paration des pouvoirs, faisant planer le spectre du juge-administrateur &raquo;. Sur la l&eacute;gitimit&eacute; du juge &agrave; prononcer des injonctions en mati&egrave;re de politique migratoire, v. A. PERRIN, &laquo; Forces et limites du pouvoir d&rsquo;injonction dans le contentieux de la responsabilit&eacute; environnementale &raquo;, <em>AJDA</em> 2024, n&deg; 29, p. 1589.</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref35" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[35]</a> G. DARMANIN et O. DUSSOPT sur le projet de loi &laquo; immigration &raquo; : &laquo; nous proposons de cr&eacute;er un titre de s&eacute;jour m&eacute;tiers en tensions &raquo; : <em>Le Monde</em>, 2 nov. 2022.</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref36" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[36]</a> Q. RICORDEL, La simplification des contentieux des &eacute;trangers dans la loi du 26 janvier 2024 : <em>JCP A</em> 2024, 2083.</p>



<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref37" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">[37]</a><a> Voir en ce sens&nbsp;: J.-H. STAHL, Vingt propositions pour simplifier le contentieux des &eacute;trangers dans l&rsquo;int&eacute;r&ecirc;t de tous, 2020, propositions n&deg; 5 et 6 ; F.-N. BUFFET, Services de l&rsquo;&Eacute;tat et immigration : retrouver sens et efficacit&eacute;, 10 mai 2022, n&deg; 626, p. 44-49.</a></p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-23T14:02:20+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Williams Ahite</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>http://blogdroitadministratif.net</id>
		<link rel="self" href="http://blogdroitadministratif.net"/>
		<updated>2026-07-23T14:02:20+00:00</updated>
		<title>Le blog Droit administratif</title></source>

	<category term="contentieux administratif"/>

	<category term="droit des étrangers"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-23:/294201</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148907/civilian-infrastructure-becomes-lawful-target/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=civilian-infrastructure-becomes-lawful-target" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">When Civilian Infrastructure Becomes a Lawful Target</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>On July 18, reports emerged that Ukrainian long-range drones struck two Wildberries warehouses in Ru...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p><span>On July 18, </span><a href="https://www.wsj.com/world/ukraine-escalates-air-war-with-deadly-strikes-on-russias-amazon-163ba241" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>reports</span></a><span> emerged that Ukrainian long-range drones struck two Wildberries warehouses in Russia. Wildberries is Russia&rsquo;s largest online retailer, roughly equivalent to Amazon. The attacks killed eight warehouse employees and injured many others. Given that both of the warehouses were located far from the front (one only 30 miles from Moscow), the strikes brought the war home to Russian citizens in a very real sense. So too did the fact that they were civilian facilities with no apparent connection to the conflict. It seemed plausible, at least based on the initial information available, that Ukraine had adopted Russia&rsquo;s tactic of direct attacks on the civilian population in order to sow terror. If so, it had violated the law of armed conflict (LOAC) by attacking civilian infrastructure, and those involved may have committed war crimes.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>But Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky quickly </span><a href="https://www.cnn.com/2026/07/18/europe/eight-killed-in-ukrainian-drone-attacks-on-russian-warehouses" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>countered</span></a><span> that the Russian warehouses were important logistics facilities used to &ldquo;supply sanctioned components for drone production and navigation equipment.&rdquo; That assertion complicated legal assessments of the attacks. If true (and as explained below), the warehouses were so-called &ldquo;dual-use objects,&rdquo; and therefore lawful targets under LOAC.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>As this </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/tag/russia-ukraine-war/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>war</span></a><span> has progressed over the four years since Russia&rsquo;s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, attacks on targets other than those that are clearly military in nature have become ever more commonplace. Russia appears to have </span><a href="https://www.dw.com/en/russia-is-targeting-civilian-infrastructure-in-ukraine/video-77352542" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>abandoned</span></a><span> any pretense of limiting its attacks to military targets. For its part, Ukraine has been targeting Russian oil facilities, ports, merchant vessels, and other ostensibly civilian targets in a strategy that appears designed to impose costs on Russia beyond the battlefield. U.S. government officials, at least in the last administration, were concerned, and rightly so, that it would no longer be only the Russian side attacking civilian objects. For instance, in 2024 testimony before the House Committee on Armed Services, the Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs Celeste Wallander </span><a href="https://www.congress.gov/index.php/event/118th-congress/house-event/117114/text" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>acknowledged</span></a><span> that the United States had raised the issue of targeting critical infrastructure with Ukraine. In some circumstances, such attacks can be lawful. But Ukraine is pushing the envelope.</span></p>
<p><span>The trend is unfortunately </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/141981/destruction-civilian-infrastructure-ihl/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>not unique</span></a><span> to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. In the ongoing international armed conflicts between Iran, on one side, and the United States, Israel, Jordan, and Gulf Arab States on the other, infrastructure attacks occur regularly. For instance, since the collapse of the interim ceasefire and the resumption of hostilities, U.S. strikes have </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2026/07/17/us-hits-bridges-energy-targets-iran-says-strikes-widen/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>hit</span></a><span> Iranian bridges, railways, energy sites, telecommunications networks, and port facilities. Iran has answered in kind, for example, by attacking power and water desalination plants in Kuwait, a country that draws roughly 90 percent of its drinking water from desalination. It is also striking petrochemical and petroleum facilities throughout the Gulf States. And, of course, Iranian </span><a href="https://www.imo.org/en/mediacentre/secretarygeneral/pages/new-attacks-on-ships-in-the-strait-of-hormuz.aspx?utm_source=chatgpt.com" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>strikes</span></a><span> against merchant vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz off Oman&rsquo;s waters ignited this round of exchanges. Although at least some of these targets had military significance, each also served civilian functions.</span></p>
<p><span>One challenge in discussing these strikes in public discourse is that characterizations of their legality tend to be overbroad. On the one hand, some believe any strike on a facility that continues to serve the civilian population is unlawful. That is not the law. But on the other hand, some claim that any nexus to military action, no matter how attenuated, renders a civilian entity subject to attack. It does not.</span></p>
<p><span>Proper assessments of strikes on facilities used by civilians are highly contextual. Complicating matters is the fact that the boundaries between lawful and unlawful targets can be ambiguous. In this primer, I review how LOAC applies to the targeting of civilian infrastructure in an effort to dissuade those in both camps from jumping to flawed conclusions. It is a subject about which I have written before (see, e.g., </span><a href="https://lieber.westpoint.edu/attacking-power-infrastructure-under-international-humanitarian-law/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>here</span></a><span> and </span><a href="https://lieber.westpoint.edu/targeting-dual-use-structures-alternative/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>here</span></a><span>), </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/135050/expert-faq-targeting-primer-iran-war/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>including</span></a><span> with my </span><i><span>Just Security</span></i><span> colleagues Tess Bridgeman and Ryan Goodman. But in light of the most recent hostilities in both theatres, and the growing tendency to strike such targets, it is a topic to which a return is merited.</span></p>
<h2><b>The Baseline Rule</b></h2>
<p><a href="https://ihl-databases.icrc.org/en/ihl-treaties/api-1977/article-48" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Article 48</span></a><span> of Additional Protocol I to the 1949 Geneva Conventions (AP I) sets forth the principle of distinction:&nbsp;</span></p>
<blockquote><p><span>&ldquo;the Parties to the conflict shall at all times distinguish between the civilian population and combatants and between civilian objects and military objectives and accordingly shall direct their operations only against military objectives.&rdquo;&nbsp;</span></p></blockquote>
<p><span>Although the treaty binds only its Parties, like Russia and Ukraine, there is universal agreement with the International Court of Justice&rsquo;s conclusion that distinction is a &ldquo;cardinal principle&rdquo; of LOAC that binds all States (</span><a href="https://www.icj-cij.org/sites/default/files/case-related/95/095-19960708-ADV-01-00-EN.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Nuclear Weapons Advisory Opinion</span></i></a><span>, &para; 78).&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>This principle has been operationalized in LOAC&rsquo;s so-called &ldquo;conduct of hostilities&rdquo; rules, the most important for our purposes being </span><a href="https://ihl-databases.icrc.org/en/ihl-treaties/api-1977/article-52" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Article 52(1)</span></a><span> of AP I: &ldquo;Civilian objects shall not be the object of attack or of reprisals. Civilian objects are all objects which are not military objectives.&rdquo; The rule, including the definition of military objectives, reflects customary law in both international and non-international armed conflict (ICRC </span><i><span>Customary IHL study</span></i><span>, rules </span><a href="https://ihl-databases.icrc.org/en/customary-ihl/v1/rule7" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>7</span></a><span>, </span><a href="https://ihl-databases.icrc.org/en/customary-ihl/v1/rule8" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>8</span></a><span>, </span><a href="https://ihl-databases.icrc.org/en/customary-ihl/v1/rule9" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>9</span></a><span>, and </span><a href="https://ihl-databases.icrc.org/en/customary-ihl/v1/rule10" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>10</span></a><span>; DoD </span><a href="https://media.defense.gov/2023/Jul/31/2003271432/-1/-1/0/DOD-LAW-OF-WAR-MANUAL-JUNE-2015-UPDATED-JULY%202023.PDF" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Law of War Manual</span></i></a><span>, &sect; 5.6.3).</span></p>
<p><span>Two points regarding the definition of civilian objects merit emphasis. First, civilian objects are defined negatively. There is no agreed-upon list of protected objects to consult, nor is there a threshold of civilian significance that triggers the rule. Thus, terms such as &ldquo;critical,&rdquo; &ldquo;essential,&rdquo; &ldquo;only,&rdquo; and the like do no legal work despite their prominence in public commentary. For purposes of the rule of distinction, a refinery, airport, rail line, port, warehouse, desalination plant, and so forth is either a targetable military objective or protected from attack under LOAC.&nbsp;The options are binary.</span></p>
<p><span>Second, the entity to be assessed is the individual target, not sectors, systems, industries, or networks. Ukraine may not, for instance, conclude that Russia&rsquo;s energy &ldquo;sector&rdquo; or Iran&rsquo;s transportation &ldquo;network&rdquo; is a military objective. The conclusion that one bridge qualifies as a military objective does not relieve an attacker of the obligation to conduct a military objective assessment for the next.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>To be clear, and as discussed below, whether an object is military or civilian in character is only one of several assessments that must be made to determine whether an attack on that object is lawful. Rules like </span><a href="https://casebook.icrc.org/a_to_z/glossary/proportionality" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>proportionality</span></a><span> (which generally prohibits attacking even a </span><i><span>military objective</span></i><span> when the expected civilian harm is excessive compared to the military advantage anticipated to be gained), and the requirement to take all </span><a href="https://casebook.icrc.org/a_to_z/glossary/precautions-attack" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>feasible precautions</span></a><span> to spare the civilian population must also be considered in every attack. But unless the object at issue is a &ldquo;military objective,&rdquo; none of the other rules come into play &ndash; do not pass go, do not conduct further analysis, the attack is unlawful.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>All of which means that the controversy over targeting what appears to be civilian infrastructure in both the Russia-Ukraine and U.S.-Iran conflicts often boils down to a single question: has the enemy done something with an indisputably civilian object to make it lawfully targetable, that is, a &ldquo;military objective?&rdquo;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>My concern about &ldquo;pushing the envelope&rdquo; in this context is that the question sometimes becomes: where can flexibility in the rules be exploited to treat civilian infrastructure as a military objective even when a good faith assessment would likely come out the other way? In short, can we make that case based on ambiguous or speculative versions of the facts or stretch the definition of &lsquo;military objective&rsquo; far enough to make it so?</span></p>
<h2><b>The Military Objective Definition</b></h2>
<p><span>Additional Protocol I defines military objectives in Article 52(2), text that is universally accepted as also setting forth the customary law definition (ICRC </span><i><span>Customary IHL study</span></i><span>, rule </span><a href="https://ihl-databases.icrc.org/en/customary-ihl/v1/rule8" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>8</span></a><span>; DoD </span><a href="https://media.defense.gov/2023/Jul/31/2003271432/-1/-1/0/DOD-LAW-OF-WAR-MANUAL-JUNE-2015-UPDATED-JULY%202023.PDF" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Law of War Manual</span></i></a><span>, &sect; 5.6.5).</span></p>
<blockquote><p><span>In so far as objects are concerned, military objectives are limited to those objects which by their nature, location, purpose or use make an effective contribution to military action and whose total or partial destruction, capture or neutralization, in the circumstances ruling at the time, offers a definite military advantage.</span></p></blockquote>
<p><span>As the International Law Association&rsquo;s </span><a href="https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/ils/vol93/iss1/12/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Study Group</span></a><span> on the conduct of hostilities (of which I was part) </span><a href="https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/ils/vol93/iss1/12/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>concluded</span></a><span>, there is &ldquo;no reason to believe that States not party to API have greater latitude of discretion&rdquo; than that set forth in Article 52 (p. 342).</span></p>
<p><span>Two features of the definition structure the analysis of whether a civilian object has become a targetable military objective. First, it sets out a two-pronged, cumulative test. An object is a military objective only if it both contributes to military action in an &ldquo;effective&rdquo; manner </span><i><span>and</span></i><span> attacking it will yield a &ldquo;definite&rdquo; military advantage. Both prongs must be satisfied; neither may be presumed from the other.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Second, the definition is temporal. Status is assessed &ldquo;in the circumstances ruling at the time&rdquo; of the attack, not by reference to what an object was or might someday be in the abstract. An object that is civilian today can become a military objective tomorrow, and one that is a military objective now may revert to civilian status once the circumstances that made it targetable no longer hold (see below).&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>The effective-contribution prong</i></b><b>: </b><span>The first prong requires that the contribution be &ldquo;effective.&rdquo; There has to be an actual nexus between the object and the enemy&rsquo;s military action. The contribution may not be remote or speculative, although it need not be indispensable or direct. Importantly, an object that sustains or supports military operations qualifies even if there is no direct tie to combat. Second, the contribution must be to &ldquo;military action&rdquo; &ndash; the war-fighting and war-supporting activity of the enemy&rsquo;s forces, including the logistics and materiel that enable it. Political or economic ends, whether domestic or international, do not suffice. The focus is on the military capability of each party to a conflict. (This distinction raises the so-called &ldquo;war-sustaining&rdquo; debate, to which I return below.)</span></p>
<p><span>The effective contribution requirement can be satisfied by an object&rsquo;s nature, location, purpose, or use. An object makes an effective contribution by its nature when its inherent character supports military action (</span><a href="https://ihl-databases.icrc.org/en/ihl-treaties/api-1977/article-52/commentary/1987?activeTab=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP I Commentary</span></a><span>, &para; 2020; DoD </span><a href="https://media.defense.gov/2023/Jul/31/2003271432/-1/-1/0/DOD-LAW-OF-WAR-MANUAL-JUNE-2015-UPDATED-JULY%202023.PDF" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Law of War Manual</span></i></a><span> (&sect; 5.6.6.1). Paradigmatic examples include military aircraft, integrated air defense systems, and weapons systems used to attack vessels. The category is defined by what an object </span><i><span>is</span></i><span>, even when not in use. Accordingly, civilian infrastructure cannot qualify as a military object by nature &ndash; a warehouse, refinery, or power plant has no inherent military character.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>This point is sometimes muddled. For instance, it has been suggested that oil installations and main transportation arteries qualify as military objectives by nature (</span><a href="https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/hpcr-manual-on-international-law-applicable-to-air-and-missile-warfare/EB28F7A1701637CA2390B25FB4840629" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>AMW Manual</span></i></a><span>, rule 23). However, the better view, reflected in the ILA </span><a href="https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/ils/vol93/iss1/12/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Study Group</span></a><span>&rsquo;s conclusions, is that such facilities become military objectives, if at all, through use or purpose (more on each of those below). This is a critical distinction because qualification by nature is permanent &ndash; it is inherent in the object &ndash; while use and purpose are contingent and can lapse (pp. 330&ndash;31).</span></p>
<p><span>An object can also make an effective contribution when its location is of military importance (</span><a href="https://ihl-databases.icrc.org/en/ihl-treaties/api-1977/article-52/commentary/1987?activeTab=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP I Commentary</span></a><span>, &para; 2021). An example would be a bridge, the destruction of which would, because of its location, bar resupply of enemy forces. However, such a bridge could also qualify as a military objective by use or purpose</span><span>.</span></p>
<p><span>That leaves use and purpose &ndash; the primary criteria through which civilian objects become military. &ldquo;Use&rdquo; refers to an object&rsquo;s present function; &ldquo;purpose&rdquo; concerns its intended future use. An object makes an effective contribution by use when supporting military action now (</span><a href="https://ihl-databases.icrc.org/en/ihl-treaties/api-1977/article-52/commentary/1987?activeTab=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP I Commentary</span></a><span>, &para; 2023; DoD </span><a href="https://media.defense.gov/2023/Jul/31/2003271432/-1/-1/0/DOD-LAW-OF-WAR-MANUAL-JUNE-2015-UPDATED-JULY%202023.PDF" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Law of War Manual</span></i></a><span> &sect; 5.6.6.1). Examples include a bridge over which the enemy&rsquo;s military supplies are passing or a storage tank currently holding POL (petroleum, oil, and lubricants) for the enemy forces. President Zelensky invoked this as the justification for the Wildberries warehouse attacks, stating they were being used to supply components for drone production and navigation equipment. If accurate, that use makes an effective contribution to Russia&rsquo;s military action, and the warehouses were military objectives when struck (subject to satisfaction of the second &ldquo;definite military advantage&rdquo; criterion discussed below). Whether the factual predicate was accurate is a separate question, one depending on the quality of the intelligence and the reasonableness of relying on it. But assuming it was accurate, the first prong was clearly satisfied.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Importantly, the extent of civilian use is legally irrelevant to whether an object qualifies as a military objective (though it may come into play in a proportionality or precautions analysis, discussed below). Once an object makes an effective contribution to military action, the first prong is satisfied; that it also performs substantial civilian functions has no bearing on its qualification as a military objective for distinction purposes. A power plant supplying a command and control node contributes effectively to military action even if an overwhelming percentage of its output is for civilian consumption (</span><a href="https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/ils/vol93/iss1/12/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Study Group</span></a><span>, pp. 335&ndash;36; DoD </span><a href="https://media.defense.gov/2023/Jul/31/2003271432/-1/-1/0/DOD-LAW-OF-WAR-MANUAL-JUNE-2015-UPDATED-JULY%202023.PDF" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Law of War Manual</span></i></a><span> &sect; 5.6.1.2). This is the sense in which the term &ldquo;</span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/136882/ambassador-waltz-law-war-crimes/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>dual-use</span></a><span>&rdquo; is often used, although it is not a legal term of art.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>A common concern is partial use. To illustrate, consider (1) a POL storage facility in which only certain tanks are used to store military fuel, and (2) a large warehouse where military equipment ready for shipment is stored in a particular area. In the case of the POL tanks, only those serving the military make the requisite effective contribution. Whether a collective noun exists for a grouping &ndash; compound, facility, center, etc. &ndash; is legally irrelevant. Where a facility comprises several distinct structures, only those put to military use are candidates for military objective status; the rest remain civilian objects. They may not be attacked, and any incidental harm to them must be considered when assessing the proportionality of the strike and whether the attacker can take precautions to minimize harm to them (see below). Applied to the Wildberries strikes, each warehouse had to be assessed individually; a finding that one of them forwards drone components had no determinative legal bearing on whether other Wildberries facilities might qualify as military objectives.</span></p>
<p><span>As to the hypothetical warehouse, by the majority approach, the entire structure is a military objective, one defined by its physical integrity. Once any part contributes effectively to military action, the entire object is the objective; LOAC does not carve it into targetable and non-targetable parts (DoD </span><a href="https://media.defense.gov/2023/Jul/31/2003271432/-1/-1/0/DOD-LAW-OF-WAR-MANUAL-JUNE-2015-UPDATED-JULY%202023.PDF" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Law of War Manual</span></i></a><span> &sect; 5.6.4.2; </span><a href="https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/ils/vol93/iss1/12/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Study Group</span></a><span>, p. 334). A minority position, one I endorse, is that where an attacker can identify and surgically strike only the portion of a structure that is in military use, the remainder retains civilian character (pp. 334&ndash;35; my </span><a href="https://lieber.westpoint.edu/targeting-dual-use-structures-alternative/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>article</span></a><span>). In both approaches, civilians inside the facility retain their protected status and harm to them is subject to the proportionality rule and the precautions requirement.</span></p>
<p><span>Whereas use looks to what an object is doing now, purpose looks to its intended future use (</span><a href="https://ihl-databases.icrc.org/en/ihl-treaties/api-1977/article-52/commentary/1987?activeTab=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP I Commentary</span></a><span>, &para; 2022; DoD </span><a href="https://media.defense.gov/2023/Jul/31/2003271432/-1/-1/0/DOD-LAW-OF-WAR-MANUAL-JUNE-2015-UPDATED-JULY%202023.PDF" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Law of War Manual</span></i></a><span> &sect; 5.6.6.1). From a military perspective, the criterion is indispensable. The key idea is that one should not have to wait for an object to be used for military purposes when there is a high degree of confidence it will be. But this criterion is easily abused, because the future is a matter of inference rather than observation. If the mere possibility that a civilian object </span><i><span>might someday</span></i><span> serve a military end sufficed, the number of targetable objects would be astronomical.</span></p>
<p><span>Accordingly, the law provides that qualification as a military objective by purpose necessitates evidence of intended enemy military use that is reliable enough for a reasonable commander, based on the information reasonably available at the time, to conclude that the object will in fact be so used &ndash; not speculation, worst-case assumptions, or mere capacity for conversion to military use (</span><a href="https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/ils/vol93/iss1/12/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Study Group</span></a><span>, pp. 332&ndash;333).&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The Wildberries warehouses attacks illustrate the distinction. If the warehouse held commercially available, off-the-shelf electronic components that </span><i><span>could</span></i><span> be used for drone assembly but had not yet been purchased by the military or otherwise definitively committed to military production, those items and the warehouse retained their civilian object status. The mere possibility that stock might later enter the military supply chain amounts to speculative future use that the purpose criterion excludes. But if the facilities were functioning as a node in that supply chain, regularly channeling components to military end-users, the warehouse&rsquo;s current use would qualify it as making an effective contribution, and any items in it destined for use by the military but not yet delivered would satisfy the first prong of the military objective test.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>The Definite Military Advantage Prong</i></b><b>:</b><span> Satisfaction of the effective contribution prong is a necessary condition for transforming a civilian object into a military objective, but not a sufficient one. An object constitutes a lawful target only if its total or partial destruction, capture, or neutralization &ldquo;offers a definite military advantage in the circumstances ruling at the time.&rdquo; The adjective &ldquo;definite&rdquo; denotes &ldquo;a concrete and perceptible military advantage, rather than one that is merely hypothetical or speculative&rdquo; (DoD </span><a href="https://media.defense.gov/2023/Jul/31/2003271432/-1/-1/0/DOD-LAW-OF-WAR-MANUAL-JUNE-2015-UPDATED-JULY%202023.PDF" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Law of War Manual</span></i></a><span> &sect; 5.6.7.3).&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>And the advantage gained must be a &ldquo;military advantage&rdquo;; an advantage that is merely political, economic, financial, or psychological does not suffice, nor would the generalized aim of pressuring an adversary to abandon the fight (</span><a href="https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/ils/vol93/iss1/12/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Study Group</span></a><span>, pp. 342&ndash;44). Unfortunately, in the context of the current conflicts, the Eritrea-Ethiopia Claims Commission somewhat blurred this line when it reasoned that &ldquo;there can be few military advantages more evident than effective pressure to end an armed conflict&rdquo; (</span><a href="https://pcacases.com/web/sendAttach/757" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Partial Award, Western Front</span></a><span>, &para; 121). But to be clear, the fact that attacking a civilian target might coerce the enemy to the bargaining table reads the term &ldquo;military&rdquo; out of &ldquo;military advantage.&rdquo;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>In paradigmatic cases, the second prong of the military objective test will be readily satisfied once the first is fulfilled, as when destroying a warehouse will interrupt the imminent delivery of military drone components or where disabling a refinery will disrupt fuel supplies to enemy forces. But the second prong remains indispensable because it is a mechanism by which military objectives return to civilian status. Because status is assessed &ldquo;in the circumstances ruling at the time,&rdquo; a civilian object that becomes a military objective reverts to civilian status when that use ends, and there is no reasonable basis for concluding it will be used for military purposes in the future. In a protracted conflict fought with intelligence that can quickly become stale, this is an important limitation on finding otherwise civilian infrastructure targetable.</span></p>
<h2><b>The War-Sustaining Debate</b></h2>
<p><span>The so-called &ldquo;war-sustaining&rdquo; controversy mentioned above is at its heart a dispute about whether revenue makes an &ldquo;effective contribution&rdquo; to military action (the first prong), although it implicates the &ldquo;definite military advantage&rdquo; requirement (the second) as well (on the subject, see the careful </span><a href="https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/ils/vol108/iss1/10/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>treatment</span></a><span> by Casey Biggerstaff). The United States interprets the definition of military objectives as extending to objects that make an effective contribution to the enemy&rsquo;s &ldquo;war-fighting </span><i><span>or war-sustaining</span></i><span> capability,&rdquo; a claim the DoD </span><a href="https://media.defense.gov/2023/Jul/31/2003271432/-1/-1/0/DOD-LAW-OF-WAR-MANUAL-JUNE-2015-UPDATED-JULY%202023.PDF" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Law of War Manual</span></i></a><span> defends on the ground that &ldquo;it is not necessary that the object provide immediate tactical or operational gains</span> <span>or that the object make an effective contribution to a specific military operation.&rdquo; (&sect; 5.6.6.2; see also the </span><a href="https://www.jstor.org/stable/10.5305/amerjintelaw.110.4.0663?seq=1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>analysis</span></a><span> by Ryan Goodman). By this view, infrastructure whose economic output finances the war (oil destined for export being the paradigmatic example) may be attacked because the revenue it generates &ldquo;sustains&rdquo; the enemy&rsquo;s capacity to fight.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Most States and commentators reject the interpretation, and rightly so (</span><a href="https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/ils/vol93/iss1/12/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Study Group</span></a><span>, pp. 340&ndash;41; </span><a href="https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/hpcr-manual-on-international-law-applicable-to-air-and-missile-warfare/EB28F7A1701637CA2390B25FB4840629" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>AMW Manual</span></i></a><span>, rule 24 commentary). In their estimation, the connection between sources of government revenue and military action is too attenuated to constitute an &ldquo;effective contribution.&rdquo; Indeed, nearly every productive activity in a belligerent&rsquo;s economy could, on the same logic, be said to sustain the war effort. Moreover, the military advantage anticipated from destroying a revenue-generating facility is not only remote, but sometimes far from &ldquo;definite,&rdquo; as it is subject to markets, national budgets, procurement decisions, and a myriad of other factors that may never materialize during the conflict at hand.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>But the absence of a war-sustaining justification does not foreclose attacks on revenue-generating infrastructure that </span><i><span>independently</span></i><span> satisfies the definition. A refinery that provides fuel for the enemy armed forces is a military objective by use, regardless of any revenue it generates (or anything else it does).</span></p>
<h2><b>Protections That Survive Conversion to &ldquo;Military Objective&rdquo; Status</b></h2>
<p><span>Two categories of objects of particular relevance to the ongoing conflicts remain protected even if they satisfy the requirements for a military objective. Objects </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/81209/legal-frameworks-for-assessing-the-use-of-starvation-in-ukraine/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>indispensable</span></a><span> to the survival of the civilian population receive special protection under </span><a href="https://ihl-databases.icrc.org/en/ihl-treaties/api-1977/article-54" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Article 54</span></a><span> of Additional Protocol I. They may not be attacked to deny their sustenance value to civilians, although there are limited exceptions for objects used solely by enemy forces or in direct support of military action. Even then, an attack is prohibited if it may be expected to leave the civilian population with food or water so inadequate as to cause starvation or forced movement.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The ICRC views this prohibition, which is particularly relevant to the desalination strikes against Kuwait, as generally customary in character, an assertion with which I agree (</span><i><span>Customary IHL study</span></i><span>, </span><a href="https://ihl-databases.icrc.org/en/customary-ihl/v1/rule54" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>rule 54</span></a><span>). The United States accepts the underlying prohibition on the starvation of civilians but does not regard every element of Article 54 as customary in character (DoD </span><a href="https://media.defense.gov/2023/Jul/31/2003271432/-1/-1/0/DOD-LAW-OF-WAR-MANUAL-JUNE-2015-UPDATED-JULY%202023.PDF" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Law of War Manual</span></i></a><span> &sect; 5.20.4).</span></p>
<p><span>Works containing dangerous forces &ndash; dams, dykes, and nuclear electrical generating stations &ndash; enjoy heightened protection against attacks that may release those forces and cause severe civilian losses; the protection ceases only in very narrow circumstances (AP I, </span><a href="https://ihl-databases.icrc.org/en/ihl-treaties/api-1977/article-56" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>art. 56</span></a><span>). Note that the treaty prohibition reaches generating stations, but not enrichment or research facilities. Additionally, the rule binds Protocol parties like Russia and Ukraine; non-Parties need only comply with the less rigorous customary law requirement of &ldquo;particular care&rdquo; captured in </span><a href="https://ihl-databases.icrc.org/en/customary-ihl/v1/rule42" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Rule 42</span></a><span> of the ICRC&rsquo;s </span><i><span>Customary IHL study</span></i><span> (on the subject see the pieces by Tom Dannenbaum </span><a href="https://lieber.westpoint.edu/attack-zaporizhzhia-nuclear-plant/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>here</span></a><span> and </span><a href="https://lieber.westpoint.edu/escalating-military-use-zaporizhzhia-nuclear-plant/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>here</span></a><span>).&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><b>Can Reprisals be Lawful Attacks Against Civilian Objects?&nbsp;</b></h2>
<p><a href="https://casebook.icrc.org/a_to_z/glossary/reprisals" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reprisals</span></a><span> are actions taken by a belligerent against the enemy that would otherwise be unlawful, such as attacking civilian objects, but for the fact that they are intended to coerce the enemy into desisting from its own unlawful conduct. Additional Protocol I expressly bars such reprisals against civilian objects for Parties to the instrument, such as Russia and Ukraine (</span><a href="https://ihl-databases.icrc.org/en%2Fihl-treaties%2Fapi-1977/article-52" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>art. 52(1)</span></a><span>). The United States disputes the customary status of the prohibition as applied to civilian objects (DoD </span><a href="https://media.defense.gov/2023/Jul/31/2003271432/-1/-1/0/DOD-LAW-OF-WAR-MANUAL-JUNE-2015-UPDATED-JULY%202023.PDF" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Law of War Manual</span></i></a><span> &sect; 18.18), and the ICRC has not asserted that such attacks are altogether banned as a matter of customary law (</span><i><span>Customary IHL study</span></i><span>, </span><a href="https://ihl-databases.icrc.org/en/customary-ihl/v1/rule147" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>rule 147</span></a><span>).&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>However, even under customary law, reprisals against civilian objects are generally not lawful. To pass muster, they must be preceded by a demand that the enemy cease its unlawful action; may be taken only after other means of convincing the enemy to comply with LOAC have been exhausted; the enemy has been warned about reprisals and afforded an opportunity to comply; must be proportionate; and can be authorized only at a very senior level &ndash; conditions that the tit-for-tat exchanges we are seeing between Iran and its enemies have not met. Moreover, reprisals apply only to the State responsible for the original violations. For instance, Iran cannot claim to be engaging in a reprisal against alleged U.S. LOAC violations by attacking targets in Kuwait, such as the desalination facility.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>And reprisals can only be taken by the victim State. Yesterday, President Trump </span><a href="https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/116963738416841583" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>threatened</span></a><span> that &ldquo;From this point forward, any time the Islamic Republic of Iran shoots at a ship in the Strait of Hormuz, whether it be by Missile, Rocket, Drone, or any other device or weapon, the United States will bomb and destroy ONE BRIDGE OR POWER PLANT, including those located next to, or in, the Capital City of Tehran.&rdquo; This appears to be a threat of reprisal. But taking the action would be unlawful unless the bridges or power plants first qualified as military objectives. This is because the U.S. may not launch reprisals unless </span><i><span>it </span></i><span>were the victim of Iran&rsquo;s unlawful action &ndash; it is not &ndash; and all of the other requirements listed above had been met.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><b>Conversion to Military Objective Status Does Not Alone Justify Attack: Proportionality and Precautions</b></h2>
<p><span>Establishing that an object is a military objective is only the first step in the lawfulness assessment. The attacker must still determine whether any expected incidental injury to civilians and any collateral damage to civilian objects are &ldquo;excessive&rdquo; relative to the concrete and direct military advantage anticipated from the strike (AP I, </span><a href="https://ihl-databases.icrc.org/en/ihl-treaties/api-1977/article-51?activeTab=1949GCs-APs-and-commentaries" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>art. 51(5)(b)</span></a><span>; </span><i><span>Customary IHL study</span></i><span>, </span><a href="https://ihl-databases.icrc.org/en/customary-ihl/v1/rule14" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>rule 14</span></a><span>). If so, the strike is prohibited under the rule of </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/136882/ambassador-waltz-law-war-crimes/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>proportionality</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The proportionality assessment must also consider so-called &ldquo;reverberating effects.&rdquo; Infrastructure attacks can cause civilian harm well beyond the immediate blast radius. Disabling electricity, for example, may interrupt hospital care, water purification, sewage treatment, and emergency response. To the extent that resulting civilian death, injury, illness, or damage to civilian objects is reasonably foreseeable, those effects must be factored into proportionality and precautions in attack assessments. The outer limits of the obligation remain unclear, but it is beyond dispute that an attacker may not confine its analysis to the immediate kinetic effects of an attack.</span></p>
<p><span>An attacker must also take &ldquo;all feasible precautions&rdquo; to avoid harming civilians and civilian objects, in particular by using available means to verify the target&rsquo;s status and by considering alternative targets, weapons, and tactics that can produce the desired military effect with less risk to protected persons and objects (AP I, </span><a href="https://ihl-databases.icrc.org/en/ihl-treaties/api-1977/article-57?activeTab=1949GCs-APs-and-commentaries" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>art. 57</span></a><span>; </span><i><span>Customary IHL study</span></i><span>, </span><a href="https://ihl-databases.icrc.org/en/customary-ihl/v1/rule15" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>rules 15&ndash;21</span></a><span>). For instance, in the case of the Wildberries warehouse strikes, the presence of a night shift did not shield the warehouses from attack if they were in fact military objectives and striking them would yield a sufficient military advantage. But the decision to strike in the early morning hours may well have been made, and rightly so, because fewer civilians would be present.</span></p>
<h2><b>Concluding Thoughts</b></h2>
<p><span>The bottom line is crystal clear. Civilian infrastructure is not targetable merely because it is economically significant, broadly associated with the war effort, or politically useful to strike. It becomes a military objective only when, in the circumstances at the time, it makes an effective contribution to military action and attacking it offers a definite military advantage. That judgment must be made object by object, not sector by sector, and may change as the facts on the ground change. Even then, qualification as a military objective is only the first step; the rule of proportionality and the requirement to take precautions in attack to minimize civilian harm, among others, must independently be satisfied.</span></p>
<p><span>In the present conflicts, the parties seem tempted to stretch the definition of a military objective; some have simply discarded it. This is a dangerous slippery slope, not only because doing so forfeits often valuable international support, but also because the law is designed to provide a moral compass for what is the most brutal of human endeavors. Abandoning that compass will benefit no one.</span></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148907/civilian-infrastructure-becomes-lawful-target/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">When Civilian Infrastructure Becomes a Lawful Target</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-23T13:30:04+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Michael Schmitt</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-23T13:30:04+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="additional protocol i"/>

	<category term="armed conflict"/>

	<category term="civilian harm"/>

	<category term="collection: iran"/>

	<category term="featured articles"/>

	<category term="international humanitarian law (ihl)"/>

	<category term="international law"/>

	<category term="iran"/>

	<category term="israel and the united states at war (2025-2026 operations)"/>

	<category term="law of armed conflict (loac)"/>

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	<category term="military objective"/>

	<category term="russia-ukraine"/>

	<category term="targeting"/>

	<category term="united states (us)"/>

	<category term="use of force"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-23:/294202</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148735/genocide-and-intent-to-kill-revisited/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=genocide-and-intent-to-kill-revisited" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Genocide and Intent to Kill Revisited</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>The International Court of Justice (ICJ) will soon issue a judgment in the case brought by the Gambi...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p><span>The International Court of Justice (ICJ) will soon issue a judgment in the case brought by the Gambia against Myanmar involving serious allegations of genocide committed against the Rohingya group. This article revisits a technical issue that the ICJ may wish to clarify in its final judgment. Genocide involves the commission of an underlying act both with the </span><i><span>general intent</span></i><span> to commit the underlying act itself and with the </span><i><span>specific intent</span></i><span> to thereby contribute to the destruction of a group in whole or in part. This article concerns the general intent involved in the underlying act of &ldquo;killing members of the group&rdquo; under article 2(a) of the Genocide Convention.</span></p>
<p><span>In </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/128222/elements-genocide-intent-kill/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>a previous article</span></a><span>, I argued that general intent to kill is a broad concept that includes direct intent (</span><i><span>dolus directus</span></i><span> in the first degree), oblique intent (</span><i><span>dolus directus</span></i><span> in the second degree), and extreme recklessness (</span><i><span>dolus eventualis</span></i><span>). In other words, general intent to kill includes the aim or purpose to cause death, awareness that death will result in the ordinary course of events, as well as conscious disregard of a serious risk of death manifesting extreme indifference to human life. This interpretation is well-established in the jurisprudence of the International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia (ICTY) and the Extraordinary Chambers in the Courts of Cambodia (ECCC). This somewhat technical point of law may be practically important when leaders intend to destroy a substantial part of a group by steering soldiers toward committing indiscriminate or disproportionate attacks. In such cases, soldiers may act with extreme indifference to life rather than with direct intent to kill.</span></p>
<p><span>In their written submissions and oral arguments, the Gambia and Myanmar approach the issue of general intent to kill from a different direction. Myanmar put forward two propositions. First, Myanmar </span><a href="https://www.icj-cij.org/sites/default/files/case-related/178/178-20230824-wri-01-00-en.pdf#page=155" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>writes</span></a><span> that &ldquo;an act will not fall within Article II (a) unless the killing is unlawful&rdquo; and </span><a href="https://www.icj-cij.org/sites/default/files/case-related/178/178-20241230-wri-01-00-en.pdf#page=122" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>rejects</span></a><span> the view &ldquo;that Article II (a) of the Convention includes any killing of any civilian in an armed conflict, even when lawful under international humanitarian law (for instance, in the case of legitimate collateral civilian casualties in an armed conflict).&rdquo; Second, Myanmar </span><a href="https://www.icj-cij.org/sites/default/files/case-related/178/178-20230824-wri-01-00-en.pdf#page=154" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>writes</span></a><span> that article 2(a) &ldquo;does not extend to civilian deaths caused by a military attack, if the military attack was exclusively directed at military targets, and the civilian casualties were not caused deliberately.&rdquo; The Gambia does not dispute these two propositions (see </span><a href="https://www.icj-cij.org/sites/default/files/case-related/178/178-20240523-wri-01-00-en.pdf#page=38" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>here</span></a><span>, </span><a href="https://www.icj-cij.org/sites/default/files/case-related/178/178-20240523-wri-01-00-en.pdf#page=42" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>here</span></a><span>, and </span><a href="https://www.icj-cij.org/sites/default/files/case-related/178/178-20240523-wri-01-00-en.pdf#page=293" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>here</span></a><span>). Instead, the Gambia </span><a href="https://www.icj-cij.org/sites/default/files/case-related/178/178-20240523-wri-01-00-en.pdf#page=38" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>argues</span></a><span> that &ldquo;Myanmar&rsquo;s attacks were not exclusively directed at military targets and were undertaken with knowledge and intent that they would cause serious civilian casualties among the Rohingya.&rdquo;</span></p>
<p><span>This article revisits the Court&rsquo;s caselaw on general intent to kill in the context of armed conflict. It confirms that general intent to kill is a broad concept which applies to attacks committed with direct intent to kill civilians, oblique intent to kill civilians, or reckless disregard for civilian life. It shows that attacks which violate international humanitarian law typically involve general intent to kill, while attacks which conform to international humanitarian law typically do not involve general intent to kill. Importantly, it clarifies that article 2(a) does not typically extend to attacks which are both &ldquo;exclusively directed at military targets&rdquo; </span><i><span>and</span></i><span> otherwise consistent with international humanitarian law. In contrast, attacks which are directed at military targets but which violate other rules of international humanitarian law, and which consciously disregard grave risk of avoidable or excessive civilian harm, typically fall under article 2(a). Some exceptional cases will be discussed later. First, the Court&rsquo;s caselaw will be revisited and explained.</span></p>
<h2><b>The Caselaw</b></h2>
<p><span>In </span><a href="https://www.icj-cij.org/sites/default/files/case-related/91/091-20070226-JUD-01-00-EN.pdf#page=82" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Bosnia v. Serbia</span></i></a><span>, the Court held that </span></p>
<blockquote><p><span>&ldquo;Killing&rdquo; must be intentional &hellip; The acts, in the words of the [International Law Commission], are by their very nature conscious, intentional or volitional acts.</span></p></blockquote>
<p><span>Here are the words of </span><a href="https://legal.un.org/ilc/publications/yearbooks/english/ilc_1996_v2_p2.pdf#page=50" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>the International Law Commission</span></a><span>, cited by the Court:&nbsp;</span></p>
<blockquote><p><span>The prohibited acts &hellip; are by their very nature conscious, intentional or volitional acts which an individual could not usually commit without knowing that certain consequences were likely to result. These are not the type of acts that would normally occur by accident or even as a result of mere negligence. However, a general intent to commit one of the enumerated acts combined with a general awareness of the probable consequences of such an act with respect to the immediate victim or victims is not sufficient for the crime of genocide. The definition of this crime requires a particular state of mind or a specific intent with respect to the overall consequences of the prohibited act&hellip;. an individual incurs responsibility for the crime of genocide only when one of the prohibited acts is &ldquo;committed with intent to destroy, in whole or in part, a national, ethnic, racial or religious group, as such&rdquo;.</span></p></blockquote>
<p><span>The first half of this passage establishes that general intent is a broad concept. At a minimum, general intent includes intentionally engaging in conduct (such as shooting or shelling) with knowledge or awareness of the likely or probable consequences (death) but excludes accident and negligence. The second half of the passage clarifies that the breadth of the general intent requirement is offset by the narrowness of the specific intent requirement. General awareness of the probable consequences for immediate victims must be shown to co-exist with the specific intent to destroy their group in whole or in part. The Court presumably intended to adopt the ILC&rsquo;s broad notion of general intent.</span></p>
<p><span>In the remainder of its judgment, the Court did not expressly analyze general intent to kill. No doubt, the execution-style killings committed in Srebrenica and other localities were committed with general intent to kill on any understanding. Importantly, the Court found that the shelling of Sarajevo resulted in the killing of many Bosnian Muslim civilians. The Court cited the ICTY Trial Chamber&rsquo;s finding in </span><a href="https://www.refworld.org/jurisprudence/caselaw/icty/2003/40194" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Prosecutor v. Gali&#263;</span></i></a><span> that civilians were &ldquo;directly or indiscriminately attacked.&rdquo; In that case, the ICTY understood &ldquo;indiscriminate attacks&rdquo; primarily as &ldquo;attacks which strike civilians or civilian objects and military objectives without distinction&rdquo; (</span><i><span>Gali&#263;</span></i><span>, para. 57), referring at times to &ldquo;indiscriminate or random shelling&rdquo; (</span><i><span>Gali&#263;</span></i><span>, para. 584) with &ldquo;inaccurate weapons&rdquo; (</span><i><span>Gali&#263;</span></i><span>, para. 644). The ICTY found that indiscriminate shelling satisfied the elements of the war crime of attacks on civilians. As the ICTY explained, &ldquo;these acts were wilfully directed against civilians, that is, either deliberately against civilians or through recklessness&rdquo; (</span><i><span>Gali&#263;</span></i><span>, para. 596). Direct intent was not required, and recklessness was enough. In two cases, an attack was found to be &ldquo;indiscriminate as to its target (which nevertheless was primarily if not entirely a residential neighborhood), and was carried out recklessly, resulting in civilian casualties&rdquo; (</span><i><span>Gali&#263;</span></i><span>, paras. 345, 410). The simplest explanation for the Court&rsquo;s reliance on </span><i><span>Gali&#263;</span></i><span> is that the Court considered that &ldquo;killing&rdquo; members of a group under the Genocide Convention involves substantially the same mental state as the war crime of attacks on civilians, namely wilfullness (direct intent and recklessness).</span></p>
<p><span>The Court also found that &ldquo;the shelling which hit the Markale market on 5 February 1994, resulting in 60 persons killed and over 140 injured, came from behind Bosnian Serb lines, and was deliberately aimed at civilians,&rdquo; again citing </span><i><span>Gali&#263;</span></i><span>. In that case, the ICTY noted that a nearby building had &ldquo;manufactured uniforms for the police and the army&rdquo; but concluded that &ldquo;in any case it is not reasonable to consider that the employees of such a manufacturing plant would be considered legitimate targets&rdquo; (</span><i><span>Gali&#263;</span></i><span>, para. 495). In other words, even if the attackers aimed at the building, not the market, they would still be guilty of the war crime of attack on civilians because they would have been reckless in disregarding the risk that the employees were civilians. As the ICTY repeatedly found, wilful attacks on civilians include sniper attacks directed at individuals in reckless disregard of the possibility that the individuals are civilians (see </span><i><span>Gali&#263;</span></i><span>, paras. 317, 355, 523, 543, 743). The Court&rsquo;s repeated reliance on </span><i><span>Gali&#263;</span></i><span> indicates that such wilful attacks are committed with general intent to kill.</span></p>
<p><span>To sum up, the Court in </span><i><span>Bosnia v. Serbia</span></i><span> appeared to endorse the broad concept of general intent to kill of the ILC and the ICTY, one which includes recklessness while excluding negligence and accident.</span></p>
<p><span>In </span><a href="https://www.icj-cij.org/sites/default/files/case-related/118/118-20150203-JUD-01-00-EN.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Croatia v. Serbia</span></i></a><span>, the Court found that article 2(a) involves &ldquo;intentionally killing members of the group,&rdquo; citing the passage of </span><i><span>Bosnia v. Serbia</span></i><span> discussed above as well as the ICTY Trial Chamber&rsquo;s judgment in </span><a href="https://www.refworld.org/jurisprudence/caselaw/icty/2005/en/91971" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Prosecutor v. Blagojevi&#263; and Joki&#263;</span></i></a><span>. As I discussed in </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/128222/elements-genocide-intent-kill/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>my previous article</span></a><span>, the ICTY found that &ldquo;killing&rdquo; as an element of genocide means the same thing as &ldquo;murder&rdquo; as an element of crimes against humanity. Murder, in turn, can be committed with either </span><i><span>dolus directus</span></i><span> or </span><i><span>dolus eventualis</span></i><span>. Presumably, the Court intended to adopt the ICTY&rsquo;s broad concept of general intent.</span></p>
<p><span>In its consideration of Croatia&rsquo;s claims against Serbia, the Court made no express findings of general intent. The many execution-style killings of Croat civilians were committed with general intent on any plausible interpretation. The Court also found that the shelling of Vukovar resulted in the killing of Croat civilians. The Court relied on the ICTY Trial Chamber Judgment in </span><a href="https://www.refworld.org/jurisprudence/caselaw/icty/2007/66072" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Prosecutor v. Mrk&scaron;i&#263; et al.</span></i></a><span> to find that &ldquo;the attack &hellip; was not confined to military objectives; it was also directed at the then predominantly Croat civilian population.&rdquo; It is important to understand that, in</span><i><span> Mrk&scaron;i&#263;</span></i><span>, the ICTY found that the siege and shelling of Vukovar, taken as a whole, constituted a widespread or systematic attack against a civilian population within the definition of crimes against humanity. The ICTY accepted that the &ldquo;system of attack&rdquo; involved &ldquo;shelling for several days, mostly aimed at the Croatian parts of the village,&rdquo; often hitting churches, to pressure the population to turn over any weapons in their possession prior to the entry of ground forces (para. 43). However, the ICTY did not find that specific acts of shelling were committed with the direct intent to kill. On the contrary, the ICTY found that the shelling was carried out &ldquo;in an indiscriminate way, contrary to international law&rdquo; (para. 472). This suggests that specific acts of shelling may have been committed with direct intent, oblique intent, or </span><i><span>dolus eventualis</span></i><span>, combined with knowledge of the broader attack on the civilian population (para. 439). The Court favorably quoted the ICTY&rsquo;s finding, indicating that indiscriminate shelling that causes death constitutes &ldquo;killing&rdquo; under the Genocide Convention.</span></p>
<p><span>In its consideration of Serbia&rsquo;s counter-claims against Croatia, the Court expressly found, for the first time, that general intent to kill had not been established. Serbia&rsquo;s primary argument was that &ldquo;Croatian armed forces indiscriminately shelled several towns and villages in the Krajina, an area with a majority Serb population,&rdquo; and that the shelling &ldquo;aimed both at military targets &mdash; where these existed &mdash; and the civilian population, causing a large number of deaths among civilians.&rdquo; The Court rejected Serbia&rsquo;s primary argument, writing that it was &ldquo;unable to find that there was any indiscriminate shelling of the Krajina towns deliberately intended to cause civilian casualties&rdquo; as Serbia alleged.</span></p>
<p><span>Serbia argued in the alternative that, even if the shelling was &ldquo;not indiscriminate, and thus lawful under international humanitarian law,&rdquo; it would still fall under the Genocide Convention. In </span><a href="https://www.icj-cij.org/sites/default/files/case-related/118/118-20140328-ORA-02-00-BI.pdf#page=15" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>oral proceedings</span></a><span>, Serbia framed the issue as follows:</span></p>
<blockquote><p><span>Let us assume, for the sake of argument, that the artillery bombardment of the four towns was entirely consistent with the laws or customs of war. Let us assume that only military objectives were targeted, and that the choice of weapons was proportionate, aimed at minimizing collateral damage, in particular towards non-combatants.&nbsp;</span></p></blockquote>
<p><span>According to Serbia, &ldquo;&rsquo;[t]here is nothing inconsistent in the proposition that the law of armed conflict was observed, the </span><i><span>jus in bello</span></i><span>, and yet that the attack itself was unlawful in that it sought to destroy the Serb population of the Krajina, in whole or in part.&rdquo; Simply put, Serbia argued that attacks that fully comply with international humanitarian law can nevertheless constitute &ldquo;killing&rdquo; under the Genocide Convention.</span></p>
<p><span>In response, Croatia </span><a href="https://www.icj-cij.org/sites/default/files/case-related/118/118-20140401-ORA-01-00-BI.pdf#page=12" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>agreed</span></a><span> that &ldquo;[t]he issue&rdquo; before the Court was &ldquo;whether the artillery attacks were legitimate and thus lawful, or indiscriminate and thus unlawful.&rdquo; Croatia </span><a href="https://www.icj-cij.org/sites/default/files/case-related/118/118-20140318-ORA-01-00-BI.pdf#page=44" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>maintained</span></a><span> that &ldquo;killing&rdquo; as an element of genocide presupposed that &ldquo;the death must have resulted from an </span><i><span>unlawful</span></i><span> act or omission.&rdquo; Croatia </span><a href="https://www.icj-cij.org/sites/default/files/case-related/118/118-20140318-ORA-01-00-BI.pdf#page=27" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>insisted</span></a><span> that &ldquo;[t]he shelling was carried out in compliance with applicable international rules. Artillery was used to engage legitimate and pre-determined military targets&rdquo; and any munitions that missed their targets fell within an acceptable margin of error.</span></p>
<p><span>The Court rejected Serbia&rsquo;s alternative argument. The Court wrote that &ldquo;killing&rdquo; under the Genocide Convention&nbsp;</span></p>
<blockquote><p><span>presupposes the existence of an intentional element &hellip; namely the intent to cause death. It follows that, if one takes the view that the attacks were exclusively directed at military targets, and that the civilian casualties were not caused deliberately, one cannot consider those attacks, inasmuch as they caused civilian deaths, as falling within the scope of Article II (a) of the Genocide Convention. (citation omitted)</span></p></blockquote>
<p><span>In context, the meaning of this passage is clear. The Court accepted Croatia&rsquo;s position that the shelling fully complied with all applicable rules of international humanitarian law. Among other things, this meant that Croatian forces exclusively directed their attacks at specific military objectives, using reasonably accurate weapons. If some munitions missed their targets and struck civilians instead then any civilian deaths were the result of accident, or at most negligence, and not of direct intent, oblique intent, or </span><i><span>dolus eventualis</span></i><span>. In this light, the passage is consistent with the broad view of general intent shared by the ILC and the ICTY and with the Court&rsquo;s other findings regarding artillery shelling committed with general intent to kill.</span></p>
<p><span>Out of context, the meaning of the passage is ambiguous and easily misunderstood. Is an attack &ldquo;exclusively directed at military targets&rdquo; if the attackers use highly inaccurate weapons, forego feasible precautions to minimize civilian harm, or foreseeably cause disproportionate civilian harm? Are civilian casualties &ldquo;caused deliberately&rdquo; if the attackers recklessly disregard the possibility that targeted individuals are civilians, or indiscriminately shell a populated area hoping to hit any military targets it may contain (albeit by sheer luck) but foreseeing that civilians will be killed? In such cases, attacking forces may be virtually certain to cause avoidable or excessive civilian death, or may consciously disregard the risk of causing civilian deaths out of indifference to civilian life. There is no evidence that the Court intended to exclude such unlawful attacks, committed with the level of criminal intent the ICTY accepted for war crimes, from the scope of article 2(a). No party argued for such a narrow interpretation, and there is no indication that the Court intended to adopt such a narrow interpretation on its own initiative.</span></p>
<p><span>Instead, the Court simply meant that </span><i><span>if one accepts Croatia&rsquo;s version of events and rejects Serbia&rsquo;s version of events</span></i><span>, then the shelling was not committed with general intent to kill. The Court referred to attacks &ldquo;exclusively directed at military targets&rdquo; as a shorthand for Croatia&rsquo;s version of events and referred to civilian casualties &ldquo;caused deliberately&rdquo; as a shorthand for Serbia&rsquo;s version of events. Croatia&rsquo;s version of events was that the shelling was both exclusively directed at military targets and conducted &ldquo;in compliance with applicable international rules&rdquo; in all other respects. Serbia&rsquo;s version of events was that the shelling was directed at civilians as well as military targets. There was no need for the Court to expressly consider other ways in which attacks might violate international humanitarian law or manifest general intent to kill because none were presented to it by the parties.</span></p>
<p><span>In her </span><a href="https://www.icj-cij.org/sites/default/files/case-related/118/118-20150203-JUD-01-07-EN.pdf#page=4" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>declaration</span></a><span>, Judge Donoghue wrote that:</span></p>
<blockquote><p><span>I have no quarrel with the Court&rsquo;s conclusion that it is unable to find that the civilian deaths in Knin were the result of indiscriminate shelling. However, I disagree with the suggestion that the term &ldquo;killing&rdquo;, as used in subparagraph (a) of Article II [of the Genocide Convention], does not extend to deaths resulting from attacks that are directed exclusively at military targets and that do not deliberately target civilians. It is certainly possible for the deaths resulting from such attacks to be intentional killings, even if the attack did not deliberately target civilians. Depending on the particulars, such killings may or may not be lawful under the law of armed conflict and that distinction could bear on the evaluation of evidence as to genocidal intent. At the stage of examining whether deaths comprise the </span><i><span>actus reus</span></i><span> of genocide, however, I consider it sufficient for the Court to decide whether the killings were intentional. (citations omitted)</span></p></blockquote>
<p><span>Notably, Judge Donoghue considered that intentional killings include some deaths resulting from attacks that are entirely lawful under the law of armed conflict. On this view, it seems that artillery shelling that carries a substantial risk of striking civilians may amount to intentional killing under the Genocide Convention, whether or not it constitutes an indiscriminate attack under international humanitarian law. At the same time, Judge Donoghue notes that her broad understanding of general intent to kill is offset by the narrow requirement of specific intent to destroy a group. While an attack that is entirely lawful under the law of armed conflict may result in intentional killing, it is unlikely to be committed with genocidal intent.</span></p>
<p><span>To sum up, the Court in </span><i><span>Croatia v. Serbia</span></i><span> appeared to endorse the broad notion of general intent to kill of the ICTY, which includes </span><i><span>dolus eventualis</span></i><span>. Lawful attacks are presumptively not committed with general intent to kill (though Judge Donoghue disagreed). These include attacks directed at military objectives with reasonably accurate weapons that unexpectedly miss and kill civilians. Unlawful attacks are presumptively committed with general intent to kill. These include attacks directed at civilians, indiscriminate attacks likely to strike civilians or military objectives without distinction, and attacks directed at individuals in reckless disregard of the possibility that they are civilians. In such cases, an inference of direct intent to kill civilians is not necessary; </span><i><span>dolus eventualis</span></i><span> is sufficient.</span></p>
<h2><b>General Intent and &ldquo;Incidental&rdquo; Deaths</b></h2>
<p><span>In its prior cases, the Court examined artillery shelling that struck civilians rather than military targets, as well as sniper fire directed at individuals with reckless disregard for the possibility that the individuals are civilians. The Court did not examine attacks that struck military targets and also caused the deaths of civilians inside or nearby. Such attacks violate international humanitarian law when they are expected to cause civilian harm which would be excessive in relation to the concrete and direct military advantage anticipated, or when feasible precautions could have been taken to avoid or minimize civilian harm. Logically, such unlawful attacks also fall under article 2(a) of the Genocide Convention when they are committed with the general intent to kill, which includes recklessness or </span><i><span>dolus eventualis</span></i><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>As we have seen, when the Court wrote that attacks &ldquo;exclusively directed at military targets&rdquo; which do not &ldquo;deliberately&rdquo; cause civilian casualties fall outside the scope of article 2(a), it had in mind attacks that are in all other respects fully compliant with international humanitarian law. The Court did not mean to exclude attacks that are both unlawful and reflect a conscious choice to kill civilian members of a group. In addition, the Court </span><a href="https://www.icj-cij.org/sites/default/files/case-related/118/118-20150203-JUD-01-00-EN.pdf?__cf_chl_f_tk=cOAjtckHjNZkk6HvAncCBebyVn7ktkkJSv8kqWyQBQs-1783358678-1.0.1.1-VjR_Wnwxj7egNIdtvosLAyElDqzlh__MojtNT1JOTfw#page=122" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>wrote</span></a><span> that &ldquo;the fact that [&hellip;] attacks are said to have caused casualties and damage far in excess of what was justified by military necessity&rdquo; can be an important indicator of genocidal intent. It is implausible that the Court viewed such attacks as potential evidence of genocidal intent but not as predicate acts of killing under the Genocide Convention.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>At the same time, Judge Donoghue&rsquo;s view that even lawful attacks may result in intentional killings should not be lightly dismissed. Consider an attacker who takes feasible precautions to minimize civilian harm and makes a reasonable judgment that the remaining risk to civilians is proportionate given the important military advantage anticipated. If the attacker views civilian deaths as a matter of substantial but justifiable risk, then it is possible to argue that the attacker does not act with </span><i><span>dolus eventualis</span></i><span> or the corresponding common law concepts of implied malice or recklessness manifesting extreme indifference to life. However, if the attacker views civilian deaths as virtually certain to occur in the ordinary course of events, then the attacker arguably acts with oblique intent to kill. On Judge Donoghue&rsquo;s view, such attacks are committed with general intent to kill, but not with the specific intent to destroy a group. This approach has the virtue of simplicity.</span></p>
<p><span>To exclude </span><i><span>lawful</span></i><span> attacks which are </span><i><span>certain</span></i><span> to cause civilian deaths from the scope of article 2(a), the Court would have to find that general intent to kill always involves a volitional, emotional, or normative element, even when death is virtually certain to result. On this view, an attacker acts with general intent to kill only if they manifest indifference for civilian life, including by choosing not to take feasible precautions in attack or by choosing to kill civilians out of proportion to the military advantage anticipated. This approach harmonizes article 2(a) with other relevant rules of international law, and ensures that only morally culpable acts fall under the Genocide Convention.</span></p>
<p><span>In closing, it is important to emphasize that the Court has never found that the </span><i><span>unlawfulness</span></i><span> of an attack is a legal element of general intent to kill or an independent legal requirement of article 2(a). Instead, the Court has consistently found that the </span><i><span>facts</span></i><span> that render an attack unlawful will typically also establish general intent to kill and bring an attack within the scope of article 2(a). The Court&rsquo;s approach is correct. International humanitarian law has evolved since the Genocide Convention was adopted, expanding and refining its protections in both international and non-international armed conflict. It continues to evolve today, responding to gaps in protection that persist. It remains logically possible that a lawful attack could fall within the scope of article 2(a) or that an unlawful attack could fall outside the scope of article 2(a). Whether such cases exist in practice, and how many such cases exist in practice, depends on the correct interpretation of contemporary international humanitarian law, which is a large topic for another day. For now, it is enough to say that attacks that violate international humanitarian law will typically involve general intent to kill, while attacks that fully comply with international humanitarian law will typically not involve general intent to kill. To this extent, Myanmar&rsquo;s submissions are not entirely wrong.</span></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148735/genocide-and-intent-to-kill-revisited/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Genocide and Intent to Kill Revisited</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-23T13:15:04+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Adil Ahmad Haque</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-23T13:15:04+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="atrocities"/>

	<category term="burma/myanmar"/>

	<category term="gambia"/>

	<category term="gambia v. myanmar"/>

	<category term="genocide"/>

	<category term="humanitarian"/>

	<category term="international court of justice (icj)"/>

	<category term="international criminal law"/>

	<category term="international criminal tribunal for the former yugoslavia (icty)"/>

	<category term="international human rights law"/>

	<category term="international humanitarian law (ihl)"/>

	<category term="international law"/>

	<category term="rohingya"/>

	<category term="un charter"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-23:/294183</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148665/trump-cant-withhold-antiterrorism-funds/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=trump-cant-withhold-antiterrorism-funds" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">No, Trump Can’t Withhold Anti-Terrorism Funds to Pressure States to Change Their Election Rules</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>In his July 16 address to the nation, President Trump repeated his previously debunked claims about ...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p><span>In his July 16 address to the nation, President Trump </span><a href="https://www.cnn.com/interactive/2026/07/politics/annotated-transcript-trump-speech-us-election-vis/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>repeated</span></a><span> his previously </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/07/16/us/trump-speech-election/heres-the-latest?smid=url-share" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>debunked</span></a><span> claims about malign interference in American elections. His speech was but one part of a larger campaign, pursued through </span><a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2026/03/ensuring-citizenship-verification-and-integrity-in-federal-elections/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>executive</span></a> <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/03/preserving-and-protecting-the-integrity-of-american-elections/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>orders</span></a><span>, high profile </span><a href="https://www.democracydocket.com/news-alerts/fbi-reportedly-seeking-milwaukee-cops-for-2020-election-probe/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>investigations</span></a><span>, and legislative </span><a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/saveamerica/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>proposals</span></a><span>, designed to make it harder for Americans to vote and to undermine trust in election outcomes. Congress, for its part, has been surprisingly resistant to the President&rsquo;s entreaties, so far </span><a href="https://www.democracydocket.com/news-alerts/senate-rejects-another-gop-push-to-revive-save-america-act/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>blocking</span></a><span> the so-called SAVE America Act, which would </span><a href="https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>impose</span></a><span> a nationwide voter-identification law and force election administrators to obtain documentary proof of citizenship from those registering to vote. Courts, too, have generally been unwilling to go along with the President&rsquo;s election-related end-runs around Congress, </span><a href="https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/LSB11368" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>enjoining</span></a><span> several of his executive orders on the subject and </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146665/courts-grand-juries-reject-trump-investigations/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=courts-grand-juries-reject-trump-investigations" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>blocking</span></a><span> the government&rsquo;s attempts to obtain voter rolls from at least 16 states. </span><span><br>
</span><span><br>
</span><span>The administration&rsquo;s most recent attempt to interfere in the administration of federal elections comes in a somewhat more obscure form: a </span><a href="https://www.fema.gov/sites/default/files/documents/fema_gpd_hsgp-nofo-fy2026.pdf#page=9" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>notice of funding opportunity</span></a><span> (NOFO) for FEMA&rsquo;s terrorism-prevention grant programs. In June, the agency added requirements for the roughly $1 billion Homeland Security Grant Program (HSGP)&ndash;composed of the State Homeland Security Grant Program (SHSP), Urban Area Security Initiative (UASI), and Operation Stonegarden (OPSG)&ndash;that condition funding on states&rsquo; willingness to adopt drastic and burdensome changes to their election-administration policies. Recipients would be required to:</span></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1"><span>submit a plan for transitioning from voting systems that use bar codes or QR codes to count votes (i.e., ballot-marking devices) to equipment that accepts hand-marked paper ballots;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>&ldquo;[d]emonstrate proof of compliance with a post-election 5% manual audit, conducted according to the guidelines established by the Secretary, to ensure that electronic voting systems accurately count votes&rdquo;;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>&ldquo;[e]nsure that each election jurisdiction reconciles the number of voters who voted in each federal election to the number of ballots cast, using the methodology established by the Secretary&rdquo;;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>use the Systematic Alien Verification for Entitlements (SAVE) system to verify the citizenship of the entire state&rsquo;s voter registration database and remove verified non-U.S. citizens from the database within 120 days of accepting the grant award; and&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>use the SAVE system (or another authorized government system) to verify the citizenship of poll workers, election administrators, and vendors.&nbsp;</span></li>
</ul>
<p><span>And the penalty for noncompliance is severe: &ldquo;FEMA will withhold 20% of the grant recipient&rsquo;s total HSGP award until they submit proof of compliance with these requirements and the Department verifies that proof,&rdquo; as DHS put it in a July 10, 2026 </span><a href="https://www.dhs.gov/news/2026/07/10/dhs-requires-states-adopt-common-sense-election-security-measures-receiving-federal" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>press release</span></a><span>. The NOFO itself specifies that the 20 percent holdback spans a recipient&rsquo;s entire award across all three programs &mdash; SHSP, UASI, and OPSG alike.</span></p>
<p><span>As </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/07/climate/fema-grants-states-election-changes.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>commentators</span></a><span> and Democratic members of the House Homeland Security Committee (in a July 9, 2026 </span><a href="https://democrats-homeland.house.gov/imo/media/doc/dhs-07092026.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>letter</span></a><span> to Secretary Mullin) have argued, these conditions will severely hamper election administration and voting access by creating impracticable burdens and timelines. Moreover, the SAVE system is notoriously inaccurate; a federal court recently </span><a href="https://ecf.dcd.uscourts.gov/cgi-bin/show_public_doc?2025cv3501-111" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>enjoined</span></a><span> a separate administration action requiring its use for voters&rsquo; citizenship eligibility verification.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>But these conditions are not only a bad idea&ndash;they are unlawful and, indeed, </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/07/climate/fema-grants-states-election-changes.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>likely</span></a><span> to be challenged in court. As I explain below, they suffer from three principal defects: the Trump administration lacks authority to impose them; they conflict with the Constitution&rsquo;s Spending Clause; and they are the product of arbitrary-and-capricious decisionmaking. And although the Trump administration has had some relative </span><a href="https://www.courthousenews.com/supreme-court-lets-trump-gut-800-million-in-health-grants/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>success</span></a><span> convincing the Supreme Court to channel challenges to grant termination decisions to the Court of Federal Claims, it has had </span><a href="https://governingforimpact.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/Challenging-Grant-Policies-and-Terminations-After-NIH.pdf#page=3" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>far worse luck</span></a><span> defending unlawful grant conditions, which courts have enjoined </span><a href="https://governingforimpact.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/Funding-Conditions-Issue-Brief-final.pdf#page=19" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>repeatedly </span></a><span>over the last eighteen months. These efforts to manipulate federal elections should meet a similar fate.</span></p>
<h2><b>A Lack of Statutory Authority</b></h2>
<p><span>The first reason these grant conditions are unlawful is a simple one: federal agencies are &ldquo;</span><a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/21pdf/21a244_hgci.pdf#page=5" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>creatures of statute</span></a><span>,&rdquo; and there is no law that authorizes FEMA to weaponize its terrorism-prevention funding in this way. The only statute FEMA </span><a href="https://www.fema.gov/sites/default/files/documents/fema_gpd_hsgp-nofo-fy2026.pdf#page=30" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>cites</span></a><span> as authority for the NOFO is 6 U.S.C. &sect; 603, the provision of the Homeland Security Act that creates the umbrella grant program. That provision does little more than direct FEMA to run the program&rsquo;s two main components&mdash;the grants to states and the grants to high-risk urban areas&mdash;according to rules Congress spelled out in neighboring sections of the statute. Nothing in any of those provisions says a word about election administration, let alone authorizes conditions like these.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Nor does Section 2007 of the Homeland Security Act (</span><a href="https://uscode.house.gov/view.xhtml?req=granuleid:USC-prelim-title6-section608&amp;num=0&amp;edition=prelim" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>codified</span></a><span> at 6 U.S.C. &sect; 608), which establishes the factors that FEMA must consider when allocating funds under any of the terrorism-prevention grant programs, authorize these conditions. To the contrary, the statute directs FEMA to consider things like a state or metropolitan area&rsquo;s &ldquo;relative threat, vulnerability, and consequences from acts of terrorism, including&rdquo; factors like their population, history of threats, and the proximity to an international border or waters. Although it doesn&rsquo;t explicitly state as much, FEMA would likely argue that its election-administration conditions are authorized by &sect; 608&rsquo;s consideration of threats to &ldquo;critical infrastructure&rdquo;&mdash;which, as of 2017, </span><a href="https://www.p2016.org/integrity/dhs010617pr.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>includes</span></a><span> election infrastructure&mdash;and buttressed by two &ldquo;catchall&rdquo; provisions that confer some amount of discretion on the Administrator to consider &ldquo;other factors&rdquo; and &ldquo;other types of threat&rdquo; when allocating funding.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>But using these provisions to justify far-reaching conditions on states&rsquo; election-administration policies would impermissibly erase the statute&rsquo;s focus on terrorism prevention. Under the clear language of the statute, FEMA may only </span><a href="https://uscode.house.gov/view.xhtml?req=granuleid:USC-prelim-title6-section608&amp;num=0&amp;edition=prelim" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>consider</span></a><span> factors that help to determine a state&rsquo;s &ldquo;relative threat, vulnerability, and consequences from </span><i><span>acts of terrorism</span></i><span>,&rdquo; (emphasis added), even those factors that relate to critical-infrastructure protection or created by FEMA under its catchall authorities. While the catchalls enlarge the list of terrorism-related factors FEMA may consider, they do not enlarge the subject matter of the program.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>For the purposes of these grant programs, &ldquo;terrorism&rdquo; is </span><a href="https://uscode.house.gov/view.xhtml?req=(title:6%20section:101%20edition:prelim)" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>defined</span></a><span> as &ldquo;any activity that &hellip; involves an act that,&rdquo; among other things, is &ldquo;potentially destructive of critical infrastructure,&rdquo; is a crime, and &ldquo;appears to be intended&rdquo; to &ldquo;intimidate or coerce a civilian population&rdquo; or &ldquo;influence the policy of a government by intimidation or coercion.&rdquo; This definition, combined with the HSGP&rsquo;s focus on cyber threats, plausibly does&mdash;as the designation of election infrastructure </span><a href="https://www.p2016.org/integrity/dhs010617pr.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>acknowledged</span></a><span>&mdash;permit steering HSGP funds toward preventing attacks, cyber and otherwise, on voting-related facilities and network technology.</span></p>
<p><span>But the designation of election infrastructure as critical infrastructure was </span><a href="https://www.p2016.org/integrity/dhs010617pr.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>never</span></a><span> meant to &ldquo;change the role state and local governments have in administering and running elections.&rdquo; That designation&mdash;announced by then- Secretary of Homeland Security Jeh Johnson in the wake of Russian cyber intrusions during the 2016 election&mdash;covers the physical and digital machinery of voting: storage facilities, polling places, vote-tabulation locations, voter registration databases, and voting machines. Its practical effect was to prioritize federal cybersecurity assistance to election officials who need it, not to hand DHS a role in deciding who may vote or how ballots must be counted.</span></p>
<p><span>The mandate to verify voter citizenship through the SAVE system is a voter-eligibility screening requirement, untethered from network security. The same is true of the manual 5 percent post-election audit requirement&mdash;which is </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/07/climate/fema-grants-states-election-changes.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>simultaneously</span></a><span> so burdensome that it is likely to cause delays in counting and too narrow to be useful in conducting a genuine audit to confirm results in a close election&mdash;and the reconciliation requirement. These are general-purpose &ldquo;election integrity&rdquo; measures, not ways to prevent attacks on voting-related facilities and technology. None of them defends a facility, a database, or a tabulation system against intrusion; they instead regulate how states count and verify votes, which is a different project altogether, as evidenced by the administration&rsquo;s other, failed efforts to implement similar requirements.</span></p>
<p><span>FEMA could plausibly argue that its requirement for states to begin a transition to paper ballots is a way&mdash;albeit a blunt one&mdash;to eliminate one vector through which a cyberattack on election infrastructure could occur. But such a move introduces a variety of </span><i><span>new</span></i><span> complications left unaddressed (an arbitrary-and-capricious problem&mdash;more on that later).&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The NOFO&rsquo;s structure makes it even clearer that the election-related conditions are extra-statutory. The NOFO contemplates FEMA&rsquo;s consideration of the programs&rsquo; more typical factors to determine grant allocation in the first instance and then layers on an after-the-fact withholding of 20% of the total award based on these additional, election-related conditions until a recipient proves compliance. Further, nothing in the statute authorizes FEMA to withhold a full fifth of a state&rsquo;s total award pending certification of compliance with a condition unrelated to the statute&rsquo;s purpose.</span></p>
<p><span>Lest we get lost in the weeds, remember the </span><a href="https://www.riaclu.org/app/uploads/2020/07/1st_Circuit_Opinion_Providence_v_Barr_032420.pdf#page=16" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>context</span></a><span> surrounding the statute FEMA is purporting to implement: the HSGP was created following the attacks on September 11,2001, to prevent other terror attacks in various forms. To use those authorities as a third- or fourth-line attempt to implement the President&rsquo;s anti-voting agenda is quite the statutory stretch.</span></p>
<p><span>And even if FEMA had identified a &ldquo;plausible&rdquo; statutory basis for one or more of its new election-related conditions, that would not be enough to justify such a &ldquo;novel,&rdquo; &ldquo;unheralded,&rdquo; and politically significant assertion of authority under the Supreme Court&rsquo;s </span><a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/21pdf/20-1530_n758.pdf#page=25" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>major questions doctrine</span></a><span>. Never before has FEMA purported to regulate states&rsquo; conduct of elections. Such a &ldquo;transformative&rdquo; change to its authority beyond its typical bounds&mdash;and into areas of law </span><a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/21pdf/20-1530_n758.pdf#page=48" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>traditionally</span></a><span> subject to state and local control&mdash;likely requires an agency to point to &ldquo;clear congressional authorization,&rdquo; which FEMA cannot.</span></p>
<h2><b>A Violation of the Spending Clause</b></h2>
<p><span>The NOFO&rsquo;s conditions also likely violate the Constitution&rsquo;s Spending Clause&mdash;and the Supreme Court&rsquo;s seminal </span><a href="https://tile.loc.gov/storage-services/service/ll/usrep/usrep483/usrep483203/usrep483203.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>South Dakota v. Dole</span></i></a><span> (1987)</span><span> decision establishing limitations on funding conditions&mdash;for at least two reasons.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>First, for essentially the same reasons that they run afoul of the statutory provisions authorizing the grant programs, the conditions are likely not sufficiently related to the federal interest in the programs to pass muster under </span><i><span>Dole</span></i><span>&rsquo;s</span> <a href="https://tile.loc.gov/storage-services/service/ll/usrep/usrep483/usrep483203/usrep483203.pdf#page=5" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>third</span></a><span> limitation. Although the government might make plausible arguments that individual pieces of the conditions are related to terrorism-style cyberattacks on election infrastructure, the more burdensome and far-reaching aspects of the conditions represent general-purpose election integrity requirements that have no &ldquo;</span><a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.cand.444175/gov.uscourts.cand.444175.126.0_1.pdf#page=51" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>nexus</span></a><span>&rdquo; to terrorism prevention. Even crediting the administration&rsquo;s most generous reading of election infrastructure threats, conditioning specifically the funds designated to enhance border security (OPSG funding) on election-administration compliance is likely beyond the bounds of germaneness.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Second, and as members of Congress </span><a href="https://democrats-homeland.house.gov/imo/media/doc/dhs-07092026.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>noted</span></a><span> in their recent letter to FEMA, several of the conditions the NOFO purports to impose are ambiguous, leaving states without adequate notice of their obligations as they decide whether to apply for or accept funds from the grant programs. For example, the agency has not disclosed the methodology that jurisdictions must use to reconcile voter and ballot counts, nor the guidelines governing the 5 percent manual audit. Both are left to be &ldquo;established by the Secretary&rdquo; at some undefined future point. Further, as mentioned above, a federal court recently </span><a href="https://www.npr.org/2026/06/22/nx-s1-5866719/save-voter-data-trump-judge-unlawful" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>enjoined</span></a><span> the administration from using the SAVE system for voter citizenship screening, leaving it unclear how states are meant to comply. (FEMA recently tried to address this in a </span><a href="https://www.dhs.gov/news/2026/07/10/dhs-requires-states-adopt-common-sense-election-security-measures-receiving-federal" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>press release</span></a><span>, noting that states may submit &ldquo;any person who is registered to vote but for whom a State does not have records of citizenship&rdquo; to USCIS for an immigration records search.)</span></p>
<h2><b>Arbitrary-and-Capricious Policymaking</b></h2>
<p><span>The Administrative Procedure Act requires that agencies </span><a href="https://governingforimpact.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/Arbitrary-and-Capricious-Challenges.pdf#page=20" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>exhibit</span></a><span> &ldquo;reasoned decisionmaking,&rdquo; rather than act arbitrarily and capriciously. There are many different ways </span><a href="https://governingforimpact.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/Arbitrary-and-Capricious-Challenges.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>to challenge a government action</span></a><span> as arbitrary-and-capricious, and the FY2026 NOFO is vulnerable to several of them.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>To start, FEMA&rsquo;s new conditions are predicated on factors &ldquo;</span><a href="https://tile.loc.gov/storage-services/service/ll/usrep/usrep565/usrep565042/usrep565042.pdf#page=23" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>unmoored</span></a><span> from the purposes and concerns&rdquo; that led Congress to create the grant programs at issue. The NOFO offers no condition-specific rationale connecting its first three new conditions and terrorism prevention. And its explanation for using the SAVE system to verify citizenship of voters contains only a vague nod to &ldquo;mitigat[ing] operational vulnerabilities exploitable by terrorist or foreign actors and advanc[ing] HSGP counterterrorism objectives,&rdquo; without claiming any plausible, evidence-based causal chain between the evidence before it and the action that it took.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>FEMA&rsquo;s decisionmaking suffers from still other defects. FEMA did not even attempt to refute reputable </span><a href="https://www.brennancenter.org/series/voting-and-citizenship" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>sources</span></a><span> (</span><a href="https://electionfraud.heritage.org/search?combine=citizenship&amp;state=All&amp;year=&amp;case_type=All&amp;fraud_type=All&amp;page=0" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>including</span></a><span> the conservative Heritage Foundation) finding no evidence of widespread noncitizen voting, nor did FEMA explain how centralizing voter citizenship eligibility through the SAVE system would prevent acts of terrorism. FEMA also overlooks other &ldquo;</span><a href="https://governingforimpact.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/Arbitrary-and-Capricious-Challenges.pdf#page=5" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>important aspect[s]</span></a><span> of the problem,&rdquo; including the fact that these conditions would require expensive, time-intensive changes on the part of recipients, placing large, unexpected burdens on already overstretched states in the run-up to the 2026 elections. Finally, to the extent that this change is a thinly-veiled attempt to implement a broader anti-voter agenda under the guise of terrorism prevention, the conditions could represent the kind of </span><a href="https://governingforimpact.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/Challenging-Agency-Action-Based-on-Pretextual-Reasons.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>pretextual</span></a><span> rationale of which courts have been skeptical.</span></p>
<p><span>More broadly, the conditions contained in the NOFO represent a wholesale, unexplained </span><a href="https://governingforimpact.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Change-in-Position-Doctrine.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>change</span></a><span> in how FEMA interprets its mandate to protect election infrastructure. FEMA&rsquo;s FY2025 </span><a href="https://www.fema.gov/sites/default/files/documents/fema_gpd_homeland-security-grant-program-nofo_fy2025.pdf#page=17" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>NOFO</span></a><span> required jurisdictions to certify their voting systems against federal technical standards&mdash;compliance with the Election Assistance Commission&rsquo;s Voluntary Voting System Guidelines 2.0 and testing through an accredited Voting System Test Laboratory&mdash;alongside citizenship screening limited to poll workers. Whatever one thinks of that approach, it reflected a coherent theory: FEMA&rsquo;s mandate is limited to creating barriers to potential intrusion into election infrastructure itself&mdash;an approach the 2017 critical-infrastructure </span><a href="https://www.p2016.org/integrity/dhs010617pr.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>designation</span></a><span> arguably supports. The FY2026 NOFO drops both technical-certification requirements entirely. In their place, it substitutes a mandatory transition to paper ballots, a post-election manual audit, a voter-ballot reconciliation requirement, and citizenship screening of a state&rsquo;s entire voter registration database. This represents a change from a theory focused on hardening infrastructure against attack, to one assuming responsibility for general election administration and alleged voter-fraud concerns that Congress never assigned to FEMA. And FEMA backs this new theory with dramatically higher stakes: a jump from </span><a href="https://www.fema.gov/sites/default/files/documents/fema_gpd_homeland-security-grant-program-nofo_fy2025.pdf#page=18" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>3 percent</span></a><span> of HSGP funds withheld in 2025 to </span><a href="https://www.fema.gov/sites/default/files/documents/fema_gpd_hsgp-nofo-fy2026.pdf#page=9" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>20 percent</span></a><span> in 2026. New York, for example, is </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/07/climate/fema-grants-states-election-changes.html#:~:text=New%20York%20is%20set%20to%20receive%20about%20%24204%20million%20in%20fiscal%20year%202026%2C%20according%20to%20the%20office%20of%20Gov.%20Kathy%20Hochul." rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>set</span></a><span> to receive roughly $204 million in HSGP dollars in 2026, of which nearly $41 million is at risk as a result of FEMA&rsquo;s new, unlawful conditions. For a sense of where these funds flow: </span><a href="https://www.osc.ny.gov/reports/budget/fed-funding-ny/homeland-security-grant-program" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>over half</span></a><span> of New York City&rsquo;s 2025 HSGP allocation went to the New York City Police Department.</span></p>
<p><span>The 2026 NOFO does nothing to acknowledge, much less justify, this shift, as required by the Supreme Court&rsquo;s &ldquo;change-in-position doctrine.&rdquo; In fact, its scant justificatory </span><a href="https://www.fema.gov/sites/default/files/documents/fema_gpd_hsgp-nofo-fy2026.pdf#page=16" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>paragraph</span></a><span> in the 2026 NOFO is virtually identical to </span><a href="https://www.fema.gov/sites/default/files/documents/fema_gpd_homeland-security-grant-program-nofo_fy2025.pdf#page=17" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>that</span></a><span> in the 2025 NOFO. A verbatim recitation of an old rationale to support a materially different and substantially more burdensome set of requirements, without acknowledging what changed and why, is precisely the kind of &ldquo;</span><i><span>sub silentio</span></i><span>&rdquo; shift that the Supreme Court has </span><a href="https://governingforimpact.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Change-in-Position-Doctrine.pdf#page=7" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>forbidden</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>* * *&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The FY2026 NOFO is the Trump administration&rsquo;s latest vehicle in its search to take over state and local election administration. As with the many other efforts that have been blocked by the courts or languished in Congress, this attempt through obscure funding documents should come up empty given the statutory, constitutional, and APA defects above.</span></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148665/trump-cant-withhold-antiterrorism-funds/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">No, Trump Can&rsquo;t Withhold Anti-Terrorism Funds to Pressure States to Change Their Election Rules</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-23T13:05:05+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Reed Shaw</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-23T13:05:05+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="congress"/>

	<category term="countering violent extremism"/>

	<category term="counterterrorism"/>

	<category term="democracy"/>

	<category term="democracy &amp; rule of law"/>

	<category term="democratic backsliding &amp; solutions"/>

	<category term="department of homeland security (dhs)"/>

	<category term="donald trump"/>

	<category term="elections"/>

	<category term="executive branch"/>

	<category term="fema"/>

	<category term="immigration"/>

	<category term="midterm elections"/>

	<category term="rule of law"/>

	<category term="terrorism &amp; violent extremism"/>

	<category term="trump administration second term"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-23:/294184</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148702/haiti-specialized-courts-vetting/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=haiti-specialized-courts-vetting" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Haiti’s New Courts Could Change Everything — Or Nothing At All</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>In November 2018, armed gangs entered the Port-au-Prince neighborhood of La Saline, which was known ...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p><strong><span>In November 2018, armed gangs entered the Port-au-Prince neighborhood of La Saline, which was known for its anti-government organizing, and carried out a horrific massacre. Gang members killed at least 70 people, including children and an infant. Some of the attackers wore police uniforms and arrived in government vehicles.</span></strong><b></b></p>
<p>My organization, the National Human Rights Defense Network in Haiti (RNDDH), interviewed witnesses who said state officials had helped make the attacks possible. The witnesses, who participated in the meeting, <a href="https://web.rnddh.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/10-Rap-La-Saline-1Dec2018-Ang1.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">reported</a> that Richard Duplan, then-President Jovenel Mo&iuml;se&rsquo;s delegate for the capital region, and Fednel Monch&eacute;ry, who was then director-general of the Interior Ministry, had met with a gang leader, Jimmy &ldquo;Barbecue&rdquo; Ch&eacute;rizier, who spearheaded the attack. They reported that the officials provided the gang leader with weapons, police uniforms, and government vehicles including police trucks to attack La Saline.</p>
<p>All those men are still free. A Haitian investigative judge <a href="https://www.miamiherald.com/news/nation-world/world/americas/haiti/article290253054.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">charged both officials</a> and the gang leader, among dozens of others, with crimes related to the attack &mdash; but none has ever stood trial, despite a <a href="https://minujusth.unmissions.org/en/news/minujusth-and-ohchr-release-report-violent-events-13-and-14-november-la-saline-0" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">United Nations investigation</a> and <a href="https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sm1208" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">U.S. sanctions</a>. In Haiti, even the most brazen and public of crimes rarely lead to justice.</p>
<p>Now, with international support, the Haitian government is creating two <a href="https://www.unodc.org/unodc/en/frontpage/2026/June/haiti-opens-two-new-judicial-poles-to-fight-corruption--money-laundering--arms-trafficking-and-more.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">specialized courts</a> designed to prosecute complex crimes like the massacre at La Saline, including corruption, money laundering, gang financing, gang massacres, and rape. These courts offer Haiti a chance to begin breaking the networks of corruption and gang violence that have fueled the country&rsquo;s crisis, creating a rare opportunity to change its trajectory. This effort is especially urgent as the new <a href="https://news.un.org/en/story/2026/06/1167732" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">U.N.-backed Gang Suppression Force deploys</a>, because arresting gang members is futile without a justice system capable of detaining, trying, and convicting them.<strong>&nbsp;</strong></p>
<p>But even before the new specialized courts have been established, they face two fundamental obstacles. A recent government decree could strip them of jurisdiction over Haiti&rsquo;s top leaders. And some of the judges and prosecutors named to staff the courts have been linked with the very corruption, gang collusion, and illegal exchanges of favors they are expected to root out. The danger is that these new courts will never hold powerful Haitians accountable &ndash; producing yet another internationally backed failure.</p>
<p>It&rsquo;s possible to avoid that by confronting both problems now.</p>
<h2><strong>Clarify Jurisdiction and Vet Judges Properly</strong></h2>
<p>The first challenge is jurisdiction. The previous transition government <a href="https://www.scribd.com/document/972904493/Decret-Fonctionnement-Haute-Cour-de-Justice" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">passed a decree</a> in December requiring current and former high-level officials to be tried before a High Court of Justice. The problem is that this court does not currently exist; nor is there a parliament, whose vote is needed to initiate prosecutions. If the decree stands, cases against the country&rsquo;s most powerful officials could be diverted away from the specialized courts and disappear into legal limbo.</p>
<p>To show he is serious about fighting corruption and impunity, Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aim&eacute; should revoke the decree. As long as it remains in place, the kinds of cases that these new courts are intended to try could remain beyond their reach.<strong>&nbsp;</strong></p>
<p>The second challenge is ensuring that the people entrusted with the new courts are fit for the job. The judicial oversight body is now vetting the judges and prosecutors who were originally named to staff the courts by the minister of justice, the prime minister, and the judicial oversight body, the Superior Council of the Judiciary. The vetting process deserves close scrutiny, especially as some of the appointees have been linked to impropriety.</p>
<p>Bernard Saint-Vil&rsquo;s tenure as chief judge of Port-au-Prince, for instance, has included cases involving government corruption and gang violence that repeatedly stalled. RNDDH found that <a href="https://www.haitilibre.com/en/news-32351-haiti-justice-theft-of-evidences-at-the-palais-de-justice.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">more than 23 thefts of evidence and case files</a> occurred <a href="https://www.juno7.ht/23-vols-de-dossiers-au-palais-de-justice-selon-rnddh/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">in his court</a> between 2018 and 2020, with signs of insider involvement; Saint-Vil <a href="https://lenouvelliste.com/article/212078/cinq-millions-de-gourdes-evaporees-dans-le-bureau-du-doyen-du-tribunal-civil-de-port-au-prince" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">failed to investigate or bring the culprits to justice</a>.</p>
<p>Another judge named to the new courts, Raymond Jean Michel, was Saint-Vil&rsquo;s predecessor as chief judge of Port-au-Prince until he was <a href="https://www.haitilibre.com/en/news-13679-haiti-flash-layoff-of-dean-of-tpi-for-administrative-negligence.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">suspended by the judiciary&rsquo;s governing body for administrative negligence</a>. He was found to have improperly handled the case of a <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2015/03/17/world/americas/haitian-president-tightens-grip-as-scandal-engulfs-circle-of-friends.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">politically connected alleged kidnapper</a>, leading to the man&rsquo;s release. More recently, Jean Michel presided over the appellate panel that <a href="https://lenouvelliste.com/en/article/266818/appeal-court-overturns-charges-against-romel-bell-grants-discharge?utm_source=chatgpt.com" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">dismissed corruption charges</a> against former Customs Director-General Romel Bell on procedural grounds.</p>
<h2><strong>Addressing Impunity</strong></h2>
<p>These men are leading figures in an existing system that has repeatedly avoided justice. RNDDH has documented more than 60 gang massacres since 2018, but no one has been convicted for these atrocities. In fact, my staff has not identified any gang member convicted of any kidnapping, killing, or rape in that period.</p>
<p>A decade after the first report by the Haitian Senate on the massive PetroCaribe corruption scandal, involving the squandering of billions of dollars of public funds, <a href="https://www.vancecenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/Haiti-The-Rule-of-Law-in-Peril-.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">no one</a> has been <a href="https://www.elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/019/2025/039/019.2025.issue-039-en.xml?cid=566014-com-dsp-crossref" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">convicted</a>. In a separate study, <a href="https://ecc-haiti.org/etat-davancement-des-dossiers-de-corruption-transferes-aux-instances-judiciaires-et-administrative-par-lulcc-et-lucref/?utm_source=chatgpt.com" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">RNDDH</a> found that, of 166 corruption cases transferred to the courts between 2006 and 2024, only four resulted in judgments.</p>
<p>To give these new courts a fighting chance, Haiti&rsquo;s minister of justice and the Superior Council of the Judiciary, as well as the country&rsquo;s international partners, should insist on appointing judges and prosecutors whose records show results.</p>
<p>The vetting committee of the Superior Council of the Judiciary, which assesses the fitness of judges to hold office, previously documented serious concerns about Saint-Vil in a 2023 report obtained by RNDDH. The report noted that back in 2006, the Ministry of Justice found that Saint-Vil had released two suspects &ldquo;under questionable circumstances,&rdquo; and the committee recommended that he be stripped of all cases pending a deeper review and a formal corruption investigation. The committee also documented allegations made over six years by judges, litigants, and RNDDH that Saint-Vil manipulated cases by steering them to favored judges and attempting to influence outcomes.</p>
<p>Despite these findings, the Superior Council of the Judiciary recertified Saint-Vil and he remains the chief judge today.</p>
<p>This time around, anyone found to have ties to corruption and criminality must be disqualified. And replacements should be identified based on demonstrated integrity and effectiveness.</p>
<p>International partners are investing in these courts, and they should help ensure that they can achieve their goals. U.S. and other officials should press for revocation of the High Court decree, demand transparent appointments and rigorous vetting, and ensure that credible evidence of misconduct among judges and prosecutors leads to their disqualification. They should also support a formal role for Haitian civil society in overseeing the vetting process and the functioning of the courts.</p>
<p>The success of these new courts will be measured by whether they prosecute the people who have long appeared untouchable, including the architects of the massacre at La Saline. Whether that happens depends on the choices made now.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148702/haiti-specialized-courts-vetting/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Haiti&rsquo;s New Courts Could Change Everything &mdash; Or Nothing At All</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-23T12:50:03+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Pierre Espérance</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-23T12:50:03+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="accountability"/>

	<category term="armed attack"/>

	<category term="armed groups/organized armed groups"/>

	<category term="atrocities"/>

	<category term="atrocities/mass atrocities"/>

	<category term="corruption"/>

	<category term="courts"/>

	<category term="courts &amp; litigation"/>

	<category term="crime"/>

	<category term="criminal trial"/>

	<category term="diplomacy"/>

	<category term="featured articles"/>

	<category term="foreign aid/foreign assistance"/>

	<category term="haiti"/>

	<category term="human rights"/>

	<category term="impunity"/>

	<category term="international and foreign"/>

	<category term="international criminal law"/>

	<category term="local voices"/>

	<category term="special tribunal"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-23:/294185</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/149109/early-edition-july-23-2026/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=early-edition-july-23-2026" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Early Edition: July 23, 2026</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Signup to receive the Early Edition in your inbox&nbsp;here.
A curated weekday guide to major news and de...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Signup to receive the Early Edition in your inbox&nbsp;<a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/newsletter-signup/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">here</a>.</p>
<p>A curated weekday guide to major news and developments over the last 24 hours. Here&rsquo;s today&rsquo;s news:</p>
<p><b><i>IRAN WAR</i></b></p>
<p><b>President Trump threatened yesterday to destroy an Iranian bridge or power plant, including in Tehran, each time Iran attacks a ship in the Strait of Hormuz. </b><span>The United States has already bombed bridges in southern Iran over the last 12 days of fighting, but targeting power plants and striking Tehran would mark another escalation. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi responded that Iran&rsquo;s defense doctrine is an &ldquo;eye for an eye&rdquo; and threatened countries that actively support U.S. attacks against Iran. Barak Ravid reports for </span><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/22/trump-iran-bridges-power-plants-hormuz" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Axios</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>U.S. Central Command said it launched another wave of strikes overnight to degrade Iran&rsquo;s ability to threaten commercial shipping. </b><span>The targets of the attacks included Iranian drone and missile storage sites and air defenses, Central Command said. Iran&rsquo;s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said today that it had launched attacks on U.S. military targets in Kuwait and Jordan, including a communications tower, as retaliation for U.S. attacks on similar infrastructure in Iran. Eric Schmitt, Shirin Hakim, Alan Yuhas, and Pranav Baskar report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/07/22/world/iran-war-strikes-trump-hormuz" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The IRGC also said this morning that one of three oil tankers trying to pass through a &ldquo;mined route south of the Strait of Hormuz&rdquo; caught fire after an explosion, </b><span>prompting the other two to turn back, in a statement carried by Iranian state media. Shirin Hakim reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/07/22/world/iran-war-strikes-trump-hormuz/27d758c8-0379-56ed-a7fe-7ab5fce06012?smid=url-share" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Oil prices continued to rise today, with Brent crude reaching $97 a barrel.</b><span> As fighting has intensified, Brent has gained about $13 over the past week. Laura Stevens reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/23/business/iran-crude-oil-gas-stock-prices.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The U.S. military used a B-1 long-range bomber on Tuesday to strike IRGC targets in Iran,</b><span> according to U.S. officials. This was the first time that the United States conducted a B-1 mission since fighting with Iran resumed. B-1 bombers can carry two dozen 2,000-lb bombs or dozens of cruise missiles, signalling an escalation and expansion of the U.S. military campaign. It remains unclear what the B-1 attacked and whether the mission caused more damage than other strikes over the last few days. Barak Ravid reports for </span><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/23/b-1-bomber-iran-war" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Axios</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>IRAN WAR &ndash; YEMEN&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>The Houthis yesterday announced that they had targeted two Saudi oil tankers with missiles and drones in the Red Sea as part of a naval blockade on Saudi Arabia,</b><span> adding that they also </span><span>forced around &ldquo;10 ships to retreat and return.&rdquo;</span><span> Pranav Baskar reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/22/world/middleeast/houthis-saudi-oil-tankers-red-sea.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Secretary of State Marco Rubio told reporters today that the Houthis had been smart earlier to stay out of the war.</b><span> &ldquo;I hope that will de-escalate because I think the Houthis, frankly, got snookered into this thing by the Iranians,&rdquo; he said. &ldquo;They should stay out of it.&rdquo;</span><span> Edward Wong reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/07/22/world/iran-war-strikes-trump-hormuz/85b0e07b-702f-5f8c-8719-4c7281461c46?smid=url-share" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>IRAN WAR &ndash; LEBANON</i></b></p>
<p><b>Lebanon and Israel are scheduled to hold their next round of U.S.-brokered talks on Aug. 4 in Italy, </b><span>a Lebanese official told </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/lebanon-israel-hold-next-talks-italy-august-4-lebanese-official-says-2026-07-22/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> yesterday. Reuters reports.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>IRAN WAR &ndash; OTHER DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>The new director of Israel&rsquo;s Mossad spy agency, Roman Gofman, visited Washington two weeks ago for talks about the war in Iran and the Iranian nuclear program, </b><span>according to two sources. The sources said Gofman met with CIA director John Ratcliffe as well as White House officials. Barak Ravid reports for </span><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/22/mossad-director-gofman-ratcliffe-iran" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Axios</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>A </b><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/22/world/middleeast/iran-war-us-bases-images.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>New York Times</b></a><b> visual analysis of U.S. military bases and other sites found that Iranian strikes in the last two weeks have caused damage to living quarters and working areas, drone shelters, radar systems, and other structures.</b><span> Iranian attacks on nine U.S. locations show that Iran maintains the ability to inflict damage on precise targets, despite the Trump administration&rsquo;s repeated claims that Iran&rsquo;s military capabilities have been diminished. Aric Toler and Christoph Koettl report.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Iranian drone attacks on CIA facilities in the Gulf have prompted U.S. intelligence analysts to investigate whether Russia assisted by providing targeting information or advanced drone technology,</b><span> four sources told </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-strikes-cia-facilities-prompt-questions-about-possible-russian-role-2026-07-22/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>. At least two CIA sites were struck in March &ndash; one was the CIA station in Saudi Arabia, and the other was a separate site in eastern Iraq. Some sources said additional CIA sites have been hit, but they did not disclose details. Jonathan Landay, Gram Slattery, and Timour Azhari report.</span></p>
<p><b><i>RUSSIA-UKRAINE WAR&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>EU diplomats have agreed on a 21st sanctions package against Russia,</b><span> targeting 94 financial institutions, Moscow&rsquo;s stock exchange, shadow fleet vessels, and additional crypto platforms, while freezing the Russian oil price cap at $44.10 per barrel for another year, four sources said yesterday. The package also includes a compromise granting a renewable one-year exemption allowing EU companies to transfer Russian LNG to third countries after Jan. 1, securing Greece&rsquo;s support. Julia Payne, Philip Blenkinsop, and Andrew Gray report for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/eu-ambassadors-agree-21st-sanctions-package-against-russia-eu-diplomats-say-2026-07-23/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Ukraine has agreed to export drones to the United States to participate in the Pentagon&rsquo;s Drone Dominance program,</b><span> a source told </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/ukraine-agrees-export-drones-us-pentagon-plan-source-says-2026-07-22/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> yesterday. Drone Dominance is a billion-dollar competition run by the U.S. Department of Defense, &#8203;in which small attack drones from dozens &#8203;of &#8288;manufacturers participate in challenges designed to simulate battlefield adversity. Max Hunder reports.</span></p>
<p><b><i>OTHER GLOBAL DEVELOPMENTS</i></b><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Two Ghanaian nationals have petitioned the International Criminal Court to open a preliminary investigation into attacks against foreign nationals in South Africa,</b><span> which they said could constitute crimes against humanity, according to the petition seen by </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/ghanaian-nationals-ask-icc-probe-xenophobic-violence-south-africa-2026-07-22/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>. The petition alleges a &ldquo;pattern of widespread and systematic attacks&rdquo; against migrants in South Africa and accuses South African President Cyril Ramaphosa&rsquo;s government of failing to prevent or punish those crimes. Reuters reports.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Amnesty International said yesterday that a Pakistani airstrike that hit a drug treatment center in Kabul, Afghanistan, in March should be investigated as a possible war crime. </b><span>The rights group said it had &ldquo;found no evidence to support&rdquo; Pakistan&rsquo;s claims that the Omid drug rehabilitation center was being used for military purposes or to store ammunition and weapons. </span><span>Afghanistan has said the strike killed about 400 civilians in the facility. Pakistan has disputed the death toll, and has insisted it was targeting a military facility.</span><span> Abdul Qahar Afghan and Elena Becatoros report for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/afghanistan-pakistan-amnesty-airstrike-drug-treatment-kabul-dc7f0286a02c9764040c1add158ea6c2" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. FOREIGN AFFAIRS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>The Trump administration is weighing military action in Mali to target an al-Qaeda affiliated group known as JNIM, </b><span>current and former U.S. officials told the </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2026/07/22/trump-administration-weighs-military-options-mali-officials-say/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Washington Post</span></a><span>. The sources said that there is disagreement among senior U.S. officials over whether to proceed with strikes, noting that Sebastian Gorka, the National Security Council&rsquo;s senior director for counterterrorism, is a particularly vocal advocate. John Hudson and Rachel Chason report.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Energy Department announced yesterday that Energy Secretary Chris Wright and Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman have officially signed a deal to cooperate on civilian nuclear power</b><b>.</b><span> Brad Plumer reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/22/us/trump-saudi-nuclear-deal.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Trump administration approved broader U.S. technology exports to the UAE despite internal Commerce Department warnings that the move could increase the risk of sensitive U.S. AI chips and other technologies reaching China through UAE-linked companies such as G42, </b><span>according to three former officials and two other sources. Ari Hawkins and Ben Johansen report for </span><a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2026/07/21/uae-tech-security-risks-white-house-01006866" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>POLITICO</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Rubio and Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi yesterday discussed Chinese President Xi Jinping&rsquo;s state visit to Washington scheduled for September during their meeting in Manila.</b><span> Rubio told reporters that he and Wang did not talk about Trump&rsquo;s recent accusations that China had tried to interfere in U.S. elections. Edward Wong reports for the</span> <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/22/us/politics/trump-xi-rubio-manila-china.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Trump and Rubio are not planning to block the extradition to the United Kingdom of Andrew and Tristan Tate,</b><span> a senior administration official told </span><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/22/trump-rubio-tate-brothers-extradition" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Axios</span></a><span>. Marc Caputo reports.</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. IMMIGRATION DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>The Trump administration has sharply expanded the use of civil fines to pressure undocumented immigrants with final deportation orders to leave the United States. </b><span>According to the</span> <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/22/us/immigration-civil-fines-self-deportation.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>, more than 100,000 people have received letters from the Department of Homeland Security informing them that they owe $998 for each day that they remain in the country after receiving a final removal order. Miriam Jordan reports.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>ICE officials repeatedly warned about dangerous overcrowding at New York&rsquo;s 26 Federal Plaza, </b><span>where dozens of detainees were kept for days in rooms designed for stays no longer than 12 hours, the </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/immigration/interactive/2026/07/22/ice-officials-warned-dangerous-crowding-see-how-they-kept-packing-people/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Washington Post</span></a><span> reports. The conditions at 26 Federal Plaza were unsafe, with detainees being held in small rooms with no beds, showers, or full-time medical staff, according to internal government emails, text messages, and detainee testimonies. Douglas MacMillan, Aaron Steckelberg, N. Kirkpatrick, and Leslie Shapiro report.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Only one ICE officer has been referred for discipline over a use-of-force incident since the beginning of the Trump administration, </b><span>Democratic members of the House Homeland Security Committee said yesterday after a briefing with ICE officials. Rebecca Santana reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/border-immigration-ice-policy-force-trump-deportations-98671c5205e8b50054eb87d308a08786" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. DOMESTIC DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>House Republicans yesterday won narrow approval of their $95 billion budget plan to fund the war in Iran and impose stricter voting rules backed by Trump in a 216-to-214 vote.</b><span> The package includes $73 billion in funding for the Iran war, $12 billion in farm aid, and a $10 billion fund aimed at incentivizing states to adopt elements of the SAVE America Act. Catie Edmondson reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/22/us/politics/house-republicans-iran-budget-pentagon.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>; Kate Santaliz reports for </span><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/22/house-republicans-reconciliation-iran-funding-save-act" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Axios</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Six Democratic House lawmakers crossed the aisle yesterday to join a majority of Republicans in passing a nearly $1.15 trillion annual defense policy bill.</b><span> Most Democrats opposed the legislation, citing opposition to the Iran war and concerns about a provision in the bill that would establish the United States-Israel Defense Technology Cooperation Initiative. </span><span>Sarah David and Filip Timotija report for </span><a href="https://thehill.com/homenews/house/5984555-democrats-join-gop-vote-ndaa/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>The Hill</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Rep. Jim Jordan (R-OH), chairman of the House Judiciary Committee, yesterday asked the Justice Department to investigate whether former special counsel Jack Smith perjured himself when he testified about his inquiry into Trump&rsquo;s efforts to overturn the 2020 election. </b><span>Glenn Thrush reports for the</span> <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/22/us/politics/jack-smith-jim-jordan-charges.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b>The Justice Department&rsquo;s National Fraud Enforcement Division, established by Vice President JD Vance, is creating a public corruption team exploring how politicians and state officials facilitate the misuse of taxpayers&rsquo; dollars,</b><span> three sources said. The move has sparked concerns among former DOJ officials that the initiative could be used to politically target Democratic state leaders. Ben Penn reports for </span><a href="https://news.bloomberglaw.com/us-law-week/trump-targets-state-officials-via-new-doj-public-corruption-team" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Bloomberg</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>TRUMP ADMINISTRATION ACTIONS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Trump&rsquo;s science advisor, Michael Kratsios, told lawmakers yesterday that the Trump administration intended to drastically overhaul the country&rsquo;s approach to scientific research, </b><span>including by shifting funding away from universities toward individual researchers and private companies. Kratsios also proposed greater focus on AI, robotics, and nuclear energy. Christopher Flavelle and Sheryl Gay Stolberg report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/22/us/politics/trump-research-funding-artificial-intelligence.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
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	<updated>2026-07-23T12:07:21+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Elisabeth Jennings</name></author>
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	<category term="daily news roundup"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-23:/294186</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148713/icc-prosecutor-removal-vote/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=icc-prosecutor-removal-vote" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Before the Assembly: The Removal Vote and the Question of Fitness for Office</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>A note on perspective, in the interest of full transparency: we write as authors with longstanding t...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p><i><span>A note on perspective, in the interest of full transparency: we write as authors with longstanding ties to the Court and its work &mdash; between us, we have served as members of the Office of the Prosecutor, advocated before the ICC on behalf of victims, represented the U.S. government at the Assembly of States Parties, and belong to the Association of International Criminal Law Prosecutors (AICLP). Each of these vantage points inevitably colors our perspective, and readers should weigh what follows accordingly.</span></i></p>
<p><span>On Friday, at a special session at United Nations headquarters in New York, the nations who comprise the Assembly of States Parties (ASP) to the Rome Statute will vote on whether the Prosecutor of the International Criminal Court (ICC), Karim Khan, should be removed, following sexual misconduct </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/17/world/europe/karim-khan-icc-accusations.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>allegations</span></a><span> against him by a junior member of his staff. The vote comes after an investigative process that has spanned nearly two years, and been marred by ad hoc procedures that have harmed the complainant, Mr. Khan, and the Court. Our shared view is that Mr. Khan should not resume his duties. In ordinary institutional circumstances, a resignation would likely have come long ago. But whatever position one takes on the outcome, it is worth being precise about what the ASP is, and is not, being asked to decide, because much of the public debate has conflated two distinct questions.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The first relates to the substantive standard, under the Statute, for the ASP to remove a Prosecutor. The second relates to due process concerns arising from the procedures used to investigate the allegations against Mr. Khan in this situation.&nbsp; We address the due process concerns below, but we urge clarity on the point that under the Rome Statute, the ASP is not an appellate court; purported procedural defects in the handling of the matter should not be dispositive of the removal question.&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><b>What Article 46 Asks</b></h2>
<p><span>Article 46 of the Rome Statute assigns the decision to remove a Prosecutor to the states parties as a matter of institutional judgment, not criminal adjudication. Removal is not a punishment; it is a determination about the institution&rsquo;s capacity to function. The nearest analogy is not a disciplinary hearing, where the inquiry is structured around the rights of the accused official, but an impeachment vote. It is a judgment entrusted to the states about the institution itself, constrained by the criteria the Statute supplies, but ultimately theirs to make. The argument made by some that the ASP should defer to the judicial panel misses this point entirely; the Statute itself gives the decision to the ASP. This is, it bears noting, entirely unremarkable as a matter of comparative practice.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>In no domestic setting that we are aware of, are employment decisions of this kind rendered by asking only whether the original allegation could be proven to a criminal standard: a national prosecutor, judge, chief executive, or senior civil servant facing comparable findings would be assessed on the totality of the record &mdash; the underlying conduct, the workplace consequences, the effect on institutional trust, and the official&rsquo;s own behavior during the proceedings. Domestic systems routinely remove senior officials on such holistic judgments, and no one mistakes those decisions for criminal convictions.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>To be sure, the Office of the Prosecutor is not an ordinary senior post. Its independence is the point of the design, and, as with independent prosecutors and judges in domestic systems, its particularities warrant more procedural care than an ordinary employment decision. But Article 46 provides that additional rigor, and the way to add more would be through establishing a competent, independent mechanism whose absence this episode has exposed. It does not, however, warrant treating an improvised process as though it were a criminal trial or leaving the office beyond accountability in the interim.</span></p>
<p><span>Reasonable people can disagree about how much weight procedural irregularity should carry in the ASP&rsquo;s judgment. A plausible argument runs that a removal through a flawed process damages the Court regardless of the merits, and some states may vote on that basis. But the converse argument also has force: the fitness question exists independently of the process by which it arrived before the ASP, and states cannot avoid answering it by pointing to missteps in the process.&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><b>The Procedural Record</b></h2>
<p><span>The procedural objections raised by Mr. Khan&rsquo;s defense must be stated fairly, though we ultimately find fewer of them persuasive than their proponents do. In June, the Bureau (a 21-member steering committee of the ASP) departed from its own procedures paper, issued in March, by collapsing a two-stage process (the ASP would first determine whether serious misconduct occurred, then vote separately on removal) into a single vote. This deviation was made mid-process and, </span><a href="https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/exclusive-icc-bureau-moves-scrap-misconduct-vote-and-lower-threshold-khans-removal" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>per Mr. Khan&rsquo;s counsel</span></a><span>, without notice to them.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>According to public reporting, the Bureau had previously convened a panel of judicial experts to advise them, and that panel </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/25/world/europe/sexual-harassment-international-criminal-court-khan.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>concluded</span></a><span> that the evidence did not establish the allegations against Mr. Khan to the standard of &ldquo;beyond a reasonable doubt.&rdquo; Nonetheless, the Bureau reached a contrary </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/08/world/europe/internal-file-finds-icc-prosecutor-engaged-in-sexual-harassment.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>conclusion</span></a><span> on the basis of its own reading of the U.N. Office of Internal Oversight Services (OIOS) investigation and the underlying record.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Two points about the panel&rsquo;s report bear emphasis. First, through no fault of the panel&rsquo;s, the exercise was structurally compromised from the start. The OIOS report appears to have compiled a substantial evidentiary record without itself making findings of fact, and the panel was then asked to apply a &ldquo;beyond a reasonable doubt&rdquo; standard of proof to that raw record without hearing a single witness. A body placed in that position cannot genuinely assess credibility or resolve disputed facts. Second, and in any event, whatever the panel concluded could only have been advisory. Article 46(2)(b) of the Rome Statute assigns the removal decision to the states parties, and no report commissioned to assist the Bureau can relieve them of that authority and duty. The suggestion that the panel&rsquo;s conclusion should be treated as dispositive therefore sits uneasily with the Court&rsquo;s statutory scheme, for it would ask the ASP to defer to a body that was never positioned, structurally or legally, to decide the question.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Mr. Khan&rsquo;s defense has, entirely within its rights, contested the process vigorously at every stage. But the cumulative effect of that approach has been threefold: (1) the debate around the proceedings has become consumed by disputes over which rules apply and when; (2) attention has shifted from the underlying allegations to the treatment of the accused; and (3) each purported irregularity has become an occasion for suggesting that political motives must explain it. A recent example illustrates the difficulty. According to public reporting, after reviewing the OIOS report and the underlying record, the Bureau found that Mr. Khan engaged in a sexual relationship with a subordinate that could not be meaningfully consensual, given the power differential. Mr. Khan&rsquo;s defense team claims this amounts to a &ldquo;new allegation&rdquo; never charged.&nbsp; Yet this erroneously treats the Bureau&rsquo;s characterization of the conduct that was subject to investigation as though it were a fresh accusation in a criminal case &mdash; here there are no &ldquo;charges&rdquo; to amend.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Even within the standards of international criminal law (which do not apply here), international tribunals, including the ICC itself, have often operated with procedures that were improvised, contested, and revised mid-course, and the touchstone has consistently been whether the proceedings, viewed as a whole, were fair. On that measure, it is not easy to identify how Mr. Khan has ultimately been prejudiced when the allegations were investigated at length by an external body, he has had repeated opportunities to respond at every stage, and the decision now rests where the Statute places it, with the states parties.</span></p>
<p><span>Other key objections concerning the process deserve direct answers.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The first, pressed most forcefully by </span><a href="https://opiniojuris.org/2026/06/18/the-bureau-cannot-bind-the-asp-to-a-finding-of-serious-misconduct/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Kevin Jon Heller</span></a><span>, is that the Bureau cannot lawfully bind the ASP to a single removal vote (which, all agree, is made by an absolute majority), because the </span><a href="https://www.icc-cpi.int/sites/default/files/2024-05/Rome-Statute-eng.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Rome Statute</span></a><span> and ASP </span><a href="https://asp.icc-cpi.int/sites/default/files/asp_docs/RulesOfProcedureASP-ENG.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Rules of Procedure</span></a><span> require the ASP first to determine whether &ldquo;serious misconduct&rdquo; occurred, and such decision must be subject to a two-thirds majority vote under Rule 63 of the </span><a href="https://asp.icc-cpi.int/sites/default/files/asp_docs/RulesOfProcedureASP-ENG.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>ASP Rules of Procedure</span></a><span>. That premise, however, is difficult to sustain.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Rule 63 provides that &ldquo;[s]ubject to rule 61, and </span><i><span>except as otherwise provided in the Statute</span></i> <i><span>and as reflected in these Rules</span></i><span>, decisions on matters of substance must be approved by a two-thirds majority of States Parties present and voting.&rdquo; (italics added)&nbsp; A finding of serious misconduct is almost certainly a &ldquo;matter of substance.&rdquo; But the rule&rsquo;s opening proviso does the work here because the Statute does provide otherwise.&nbsp; Article 46(2)(b) of the Statute assigns removal of the Prosecutor to &ldquo;an absolute majority of the States Parties,&rdquo; and the ASP&rsquo;s rules specific to removal and suspension from office, Rules 81 and 82, nowhere impose a preliminary two-thirds vote. To read one in would be to amend the statutory scheme by procedural rule. And once the two-thirds premise falls away, the case for a two-stage vote falls with it. The Statute permits removal only on the grounds it specifies, so a vote to remove is necessarily a vote that those grounds are met.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>A related concern, developed by </span><a href="https://opiniojuris.org/2026/07/18/the-institutional-process-against-the-prosecutor-what-states-must-do-at-the-asp-part-i/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Terje Einarsen</span></a><span>, points to an asymmetry within the Rome Statute concerning the removal of judges versus the Prosecutor. Before states can vote to remove a judge, they must receive a removal recommendation by two-thirds of the other judges. By contrast, the Prosecutor may be removed by an absolute majority of states, with no prior professional screen. The thinness of that safeguard, the argument runs, invites a troubling precedent in which the ASP can remove a Prosecutor for indicting the officials of a powerful state. This concern proves less than its proponents suggest in relation to this case. Here, we have a complaint raised internally in 2024, a year-long external U.N. investigation generating thousands of pages of evidence, an advisory judicial panel, and more than two years of process. In other words, this is not the summary political defenestration the hypothetical imagines. The durable protection against that hypothetical is the structural reform this episode has made unavoidable &mdash; pre-established, independent adjudication of complaints against elected officials &mdash; not the retention of a particular official to avoid setting an example. Retaining an unfit Prosecutor to preserve the office&rsquo;s independence would spend the substance of that independence to protect its form.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The second objection, advanced by </span><a href="https://opiniojuris.org/2026/06/19/removing-the-icc-prosecutor-a-roadmap-for-what-comes-next/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Ezequiel Jimenez Martinez</span></a><span> and pressed publicly by Mr. Khan&rsquo;s </span><a href="https://x.com/tayab_ali_/status/2079417128143200604" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>legal team</span></a><span>, is that Article 46(4) entitles the Prosecutor to present his defense before the plenary ASP, not merely the Bureau. That point is far less compelling than it sounds. Mr. Khan has had an extensive opportunity to present his defense, to the OIOS investigators, to the judicial panel, and to the Bureau, over more than two years. Article 46(4) guarantees an opportunity to present and receive evidence and to make submissions, not a plenary appearance in whatever forum Mr. Khan prefers. At this stage, it is reasonable to ask what a further hearing would add to what two years of submissions have already provided. Nor is a plenary appearance the only channel through which Mr. Khan&rsquo;s position has reached the states parties. He and his representatives have, throughout this period, engaged states directly and via the media in support of his case, and the ASP will not come to the vote unacquainted with his defense.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>That said, nothing in the case for removal requires denying Mr. Khan the chance to address the body that decides his fate, and if the states parties choose to hear him, they should be confident that the fitness question survives it. Concretely, the defect, if it is one, remains remediable: the Assembly can offer Mr. Khan the opportunity to address the special session, or to circulate a written statement to delegations, before any vote is taken. And if it does not &mdash; a real prospect given the compressed timetable &mdash; the omission would not invalidate what follows. The substance of Article 46(4)&rsquo;s guarantee, the opportunity to present and receive evidence and to make submissions, has been afforded over two years and before every body that has examined the matter. The cost of a refusal would be prudential, rather than legal: it would add a further ground of objection in any subsequent litigation, which is itself a practical reason for states to grant the request.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>With all that said, the objections to the procedural process do point to a genuine institutional failure. The Court began this process without a credible, independent, pre-established mechanism for investigating allegations against its most senior elected officials, and procedures were improvised mid-crisis. Had such a mechanism existed in 2023, this episode might have been resolved with the speed, confidentiality, and legitimacy the situation demanded, sparing the complainant, the accused, and the institution alike. Whatever the ASP decides on Friday, governance reform along these lines should be its next and most immediate order of business.</span></p>
<h2><b>The Record of the Past Year</b></h2>
<p><span>On the fitness question, the record since the allegations became public is relevant evidence in its own right, separate from the underlying allegations, and it has received less attention than it deserves.</span></p>
<p><span>Over the past year, the sexual misconduct allegations have been litigated extensively in public. Mr. Khan and his representatives and supporters have given interviews and briefings, and documents from the confidential process have repeatedly leaked to the press. Mr. Khan&rsquo;s most vocal academic defenders (a group to be distinguished from the many scholars whose objections concern the process more than the individual) have leveraged their platforms extensively to target his critics. His counsel have </span><a href="https://www.linkedin.com/posts/tayabali_big-vote-for-the-icc-on-24-july-so-we-share-7475860922402680832-fpM7/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>publicly criticized</span></a><span> the civil society organizations that expressed concern about the allegations and the treatment of the complainant, organizations whose work the Office of the Prosecutor relies upon across its situation countries. The Bureau has been </span><a href="https://x.com/kevinjonheller/status/2079464997164659052" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>characterized</span></a><span> by the Prosecutor&rsquo;s allies as politically compromised; states parties have been </span><a href="https://x.com/kevinjonheller/status/2079213645620289765" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>accused</span></a><span> of acting in bad faith. Many of these attacks have been relentless and </span><i><span>ad hominem</span></i><span> rather than substantive &mdash; directed at the motives and integrity of individuals and institutions, at times carrying an unmistakably misogynistic tone &mdash; and their vehemence has been striking, visceral, and deployed with little apparent regard for their impact on the complainant or for the message they send to anyone else who might come forward with similar allegations. Some of the underlying criticisms may contain elements of truth, and the external pressures on the Court, including U.S. sanctions targeting the Prosecutor, his deputies, and ICC judges, are well-documented, and form a legitimate part of the context. But the cumulative effect of the campaign has been to place the Prosecutor in open conflict with civil society organizations, the Court&rsquo;s governing organs, ICC staff, and member states, all of whose cooperation the Office of the Prosecutor requires to function.</span></p>
<p><span>A central element of that campaign merits separate attention: the claim, advanced repeatedly by Mr. Khan&rsquo;s supporters </span><a href="https://x.com/GissouNia/status/2076713801953747102" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>implicitly</span></a><span> or </span><a href="https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/icc-karim-khan-details-dangerous-attempt-states-remove-him-position" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>explicitly</span></a><span>, that the allegations themselves are fabrications engineered by foreign governments in </span><a href="https://www.middleeasteye.net/big-story/exclusive-karim-khan-israel-war-crimes-probe-derailed-threats-leaks-sex-claims" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>retaliation</span></a><span> for the arrest warrant applications against Israeli officials. It is a serious charge that has been dismissed by the </span><a href="https://edition.cnn.com/2026/07/16/europe/icc-prosecutor-allegations-interview-un-investigation-amanpour-intl" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>complainant</span></a><span>, almost every reputable news agency reporting on the matter, and </span><a href="https://www.cnn.com/2026/07/16/europe/icc-prosecutor-allegations-interview-un-investigation-amanpour-intl" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>reportedly</span></a><span> by the OIOS. And no such evidence has been publicly produced. Aggressive interference with the Court from the United States and others is real, and genuinely concerning, but in the absence of any evidence to the contrary it must remain analytically distinct from sexual misconduct allegations. Conflating the two allows U.S. sanctions to serve as proof of the fabrication theory, which they are not, and allows the allegations to serve as proof concerning the </span><a href="https://x.com/netanyahu/status/2064711376061235448" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>motive </span></a><span>behind arrest warrants against Israeli officials, which they are also not.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The framing that has been built atop this claim of state-sponsored fabrication &mdash; casting the proceedings as a contest of East versus West, Global North versus Global South, or a referendum on the validity of the Israel arrest warrants &mdash; is both toxic and inaccurate. Toxic, because it invites states parties to vote their geopolitical alignments rather than assess the record as it pertains to this specific allegation of individual misconduct, and because it recasts a complaint brought by a staff member as a proxy in a great-power struggle, with predictable consequences for whether future complainants inside international institutions come forward at all. Inaccurate, because the Israeli arrest warrants remain before the Court&rsquo;s judges regardless of who holds the position of Prosecutor.&nbsp; And there is a quieter implication worth naming. If these tactics were rewarded, they would offer a ready blueprint for any powerful official facing accusation: a campaign of public shaming and misinformation sufficient to silence a complainant and deter the next one.</span></p>
<p><span>A further element of the record is what has not occurred. There has been no public assurance from Mr. Khan or his team that staff of the Office of the Prosecutor who cooperated with the OIOS investigation will face no reprisal, and no public statement addressing the position of the staff complainants (the victim of sexual assault and those who claim they were retaliated against), their supporters, or the working environment of the Office should he return. For an institution whose staff have carried its mandate through his absence, under sanctions and under considerable strain, that silence is not a peripheral detail. An office cannot easily function where staff must weigh the professional consequences of having given truthful testimony concerning its leadership.</span></p>
<p><span>There are also practical dimensions to the question of fitness for office that are straightforward. Mr. Khan has been absent from the Office since taking voluntary leave in May 2025, more than 14 months in which its work has been carried by his deputies, through the most operationally hostile environment in the Court&rsquo;s history. He is now suspended twice over: by the Bureau pending Friday&rsquo;s vote, and, on an interim basis, by his own professional regulator, the </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2026/07/14/international-criminal-court-karim-khan-uk/edabaabe-7f76-11f1-8a16-393bd03340b0_story.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Bar Standards Board of England and Wales</span></a><span>. A Prosecutor under suspension by the bar of his home jurisdiction, absent from his office for well over a year, and facing years of further litigation over his status is not, in any practical sense, available to lead. The Office, confronting sanctions against its officials, active investigations on four continents, and a budget and cooperation crisis, cannot be led part-time from the trenches of its Prosecutor&rsquo;s personal legal defense. Even a vote in Mr. Khan&rsquo;s favor on Friday would not resolve his bar suspension, restore his standing with the Court&rsquo;s governing organs, or reverse the reported and clear erosion of confidence within his own Office.</span></p>
<p><span>Finally, fitness must be measured against the specific functions of this office. A Prosecutor&rsquo;s principal currency is credibility: with judges, with cooperating states, and above all with the victims and witnesses the Office asks to assume real risk on its behalf. The Office of the Prosecutor investigates sexual and gender-based crimes as a core element of its mandate; it asks survivors of such crimes to trust its processes, its protections, and its people. Whether that trust can survive the return of a Prosecutor whom the Bureau, on its assessment of the record, found to have engaged in a sexual relationship with a subordinate, and whose staff have </span><a href="https://www.linkedin.com/posts/fidh-received-this-letter-from-concerned-share-7445853305718669312-TzHV/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>publicly warned</span></a><span> that his return would damage confidence in the institution while expressing fear of retaliation, is a question states parties cannot responsibly set aside.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>None of this resolves the underlying factual dispute, which the confidentiality of the record makes difficult for outside observers to assess definitively. But the ASP is not being asked to resolve it definitively. It is being asked whether, on the totality of what is before it &mdash; the OIOS report, the Bureau&rsquo;s determination, the judicial panel&rsquo;s report (read in light of the constraints under which it was produced), the practical realities of a leader suspended by his own bar and absent for more than a year, and the conduct of all parties over the intervening period &mdash; the Office of the Prosecutor can credibly be led by Mr. Khan going forward.</span></p>
<h2><b>The Stakes of the Framing</b></h2>
<p><span>How states parties frame the question on Friday may matter as much as how they vote. If the vote is understood as a referendum on the Bureau&rsquo;s process, a vote to remove will be portrayed as a procedural injustice and a vote to retain as a vindication, neither of which the record supports in full. If it is understood as what the Statute makes it, a judgment about the institution&rsquo;s capacity to carry out its mandate, then the decision can be grounded in the interests of the Court rather than the fortunes of any individual. Those interests are considerable: the Office&rsquo;s cases in Palestine, Ukraine, Sudan, Afghanistan, Myanmar, and elsewhere depend on state cooperation, NGO partnership, and the confidence of victims and witnesses. Some argue removal would reward the Court&rsquo;s external adversaries. The counterargument is that in this case, a Prosecutor suspended by his own bar regulator, at odds with the Court&rsquo;s governing bodies, and unable to offer assurances to his own staff is a greater vulnerability than any vacancy.</span></p>
<p><span>Our assessment is that the fitness question now admits of only one realistic answer, and that the damage of the past two years is, at this point, difficult to see as reparable. But the more important point for Friday is analytical rather than advocative: the due process debate, however legitimate, is not a substitute for the question Article 46 puts to the states parties. They should answer the question they have actually been asked.</span></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148713/icc-prosecutor-removal-vote/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Before the Assembly: The Removal Vote and the Question of Fitness for Office</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-23T12:00:44+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Rebecca Hamilton</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-23T12:00:44+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="accountability"/>

	<category term="discrimination"/>

	<category term="gender"/>

	<category term="icc prosecutor"/>

	<category term="international criminal court (icc)"/>

	<category term="international criminal law"/>

	<category term="international law"/>

	<category term="international legal order"/>

	<category term="karim khan"/>

	<category term="oversight"/>

	<category term="rule of law"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-22:/294156</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/141175/doj-splc-civil-rights-funders/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=doj-splc-civil-rights-funders" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">If Federal Courts Don’t Trust Trump’s DOJ, Should Civil Rights Funders?</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Within days after the Department of Justice indicted the Southern Poverty Law Center (SPLC) in April...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p><span>Within days after the Department of Justice indicted the Southern Poverty Law Center (SPLC) in April, three of the largest charitable giving platforms </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/29/business/fidelity-southern-poverty-law-center.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>froze</span></a> <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/01/business/schwab-donations-southern-poverty-law-center.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>donations</span></a><span> to the organization. Other platforms did not follow suit. The SPLC has not been convicted of any crime, and the IRS has not revoked the organization&rsquo;s tax-exempt status. The decisions of those platforms to freeze the civil rights organization&rsquo;s funding rest solely on the DOJ&rsquo;s indictment and, presumably, their longstanding trust that the DOJ acted with a legitimate law enforcement purpose, in good faith, and in accordance with its own professional standards.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>But the federal judiciary has increasingly refused to extend that same trust to the DOJ under the Trump administration. Federal courts and even grand juries across the country and across the ideological spectrum have found they </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146665/courts-grand-juries-reject-trump-investigations/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>cannot credit</span></a><span> the DOJ&rsquo;s representations, with judges citing false statements, pretextual justifications, retaliatory prosecutions, and other serious departures from longstanding norms.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The SPLC indictment did not arise in a vacuum. It is the DOJ&rsquo;s latest move in the administration&rsquo;s sustained campaign against the nation&rsquo;s civil rights infrastructure. That campaign has progressed from dismantling federal enforcement, to turning civil rights law against their purpose, and now to targeting the private organizations that carry on the mission of civil rights enforcement.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Charitable giving platforms should not become agents of that effort by continuing to place automatic trust in Trump&rsquo;s DOJ where the federal judiciary has </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/01/us/justice-department-lawyers-judges-trump.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>repeatedly and emphatically</span></a><span> declined to do the same. Doing so exposes civil society and civil rights groups to a loss of funding the moment the government levels an accusation, regardless of its merits. Indeed, the accusation becomes the punishment, imposed by private institutions rather than courts. The indictment against the SPLC illustrates why that trust is no longer warranted.&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><b>An Indictment Built for Headlines&nbsp;</b></h2>
<p><span>On April 21, 2026, Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche and FBI Director Kash Patel </span><a href="https://www.justice.gov/opa/video/acting-ag-blanche-fbi-director-patel-announce-charges-against-southern-poverty-law-center" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>announced</span></a><span> that the DOJ had obtained a criminal </span><a href="https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1437146/dl" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>indictment</span></a><span> against SPLC, a nonprofit organization that has spent 55 years fighting poverty and racial discrimination and tracking and exposing violent hate groups. SPLC orchestrated landmark civil litigation that dismantled major Klan organizations by holding them financially liable for their members&rsquo; violence. It also operated a domestic extremism monitoring program, generating intelligence that the FBI </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/us/fbi-cuts-ties-with-civil-rights-group-southern-poverty-law-center-2025-10-03/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>relied on</span></a><span> for decades.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Months before the indictment, in the wake of Charlie Kirk&rsquo;s killing, senior administration officials publicly vowed to crack down on what President Donald Trump calls the &ldquo;</span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/trump-charlie-kirk-radical-left-political-opposition-3875efd0674ed2a22a719dfb42ace6ab" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>radical left</span></a><span>,&rdquo; baselessly linking nonprofit organizations with violence. Some Republican </span><a href="https://roy.house.gov/sites/evo-subsites/roy.house.gov/files/evo-media-document/roy_select_committee_letter_v2-3.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>members of Congress</span></a><span>, a prominent conservative </span><a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2026/06/20/capital-research-center-conservative-watchdog-nonprofits-trump-00968002" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>organization</span></a><span>,</span> <span>and </span><a href="https://thefederalist.com/2025/09/12/congress-must-root-out-leftist-funding-that-created-climate-ripe-for-kirk-assassination/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>media allies</span></a> <a href="https://www.alabamagazette.com/story/2025/09/20/news/southern-poverty-law-center-under-fire-after-charlie-kirks-assassination/8183.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>named</span></a><span> SPLC and other nonprofit organizations as targets. Soon thereafter, the administration formalized that campaign by issuing a National Security Presidential Memorandum entitled &ldquo;</span><a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/09/countering-domestic-terrorism-and-organized-political-violence/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Countering Domestic Terrorism and Organized Political Violence</span></a><span>,&rdquo; which </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/139553/domestic-terrorism-nspm-7-counterterrorism-strategy/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>directed</span></a><span> the FBI, DOJ, and IRS to </span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-n4aqR1uTyk" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>investigate nonprofits</span></a><span> and funding sources whose viewpoints it opposes. Director Patel also cut the FBI&rsquo;s ties with SPLC, </span><a href="https://x.com/FBIDirectorKash/status/1974111441671123293" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>calling</span></a><span> it a &ldquo;partisan smear machine&rdquo; that had &ldquo;inspired violence.&rdquo;</span></p>
<p><span>The flaws in the DOJ&rsquo;s indictment and the irregularities surrounding it were </span><a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/southern-poverty-law-center-justice-department-indictment-legal-flaws/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>immediately apparent</span></a><span>. The government&rsquo;s central theory&mdash;that SPLC defrauded donors by covertly supporting the very hate groups it existed to dismantle&mdash;drew condemnation from </span><a href="https://joycevance.substack.com/p/whats-wrong-with-the-splc-indictment" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>former federal prosecutors</span></a><span>. The former head of DOJ&rsquo;s Fraud Section, Andrew Weissmann, </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/137171/indictment-southern-poverty-law-center-splc/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>called</span></a><span> it &ldquo;exceedingly far-fetched,&rdquo; and a former leader in the DOJ&rsquo;s National Security Division, Christopher Hardee, </span><a href="https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/the-politically-motivated-indictment-of-southern-poverty-law-center" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>described</span></a><span> it as &ldquo;one of the most cynical criminal cases ever brought by the Department of Justice.&rdquo; Both noted that the indictment contains allegations flatly inconsistent with the government&rsquo;s own theory. The </span><a href="https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1437146/dl" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>indictment</span></a><span> and </span><a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.almd.90264/gov.uscourts.almd.90264.51.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>superseding indictment</span></a><span> also omit the basic elements of a donor fraud case. It identifies no donor who claims to have been misled and, although it quotes from SPLC&rsquo;s fundraising appeals which pledge to &ldquo;dismantle&rdquo; white supremacy and to &ldquo;monitor and expose&rdquo; hate groups, it never alleges that any of those statements were false.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Former prosecutors also quickly identified defects in the indictment&rsquo;s false statement charges, which allege that the SPLC misled banks by opening accounts under &ldquo;fictitious&rdquo; company names to conceal itself as the source of informant payments. The charges, they noted, are </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/137171/indictment-southern-poverty-law-center-splc/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>conclusory</span></a><span>. The indictment never explains </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/137171/indictment-southern-poverty-law-center-splc/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>what was actually false</span></a><span> about the account paperwork, why the companies qualify as &ldquo;fictitious,&rdquo; or how the statements were made to &ldquo;</span><a href="https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/the-politically-motivated-indictment-of-southern-poverty-law-center" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>influence the bank</span></a><span>,&rdquo; as the statute requires. That gap is telling, because the indictment itself alleges that the bank investigated the accounts in 2020 and that, the following year, SPLC&rsquo;s chief executive and board chair confirmed to the bank in writing that the accounts were opened for SPLC operations and operated under its authority. A </span><a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/tax-probe-southern-poverty-law-center/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>prior federal investigation</span></a><span> reportedly also found that at least some bank employees knew the accounts were connected to SPLC and had helped set them up. Given the chance to shore up the charges in a </span><a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.almd.90264/gov.uscourts.almd.90264.51.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>superseding indictment</span></a><span>, the DOJ left these problems unaddressed. It did, however, delete language that had </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/137171/indictment-southern-poverty-law-center-splc/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>disregarded</span></a><span> a 2025 Supreme Court </span><a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/24pdf/23-1095_8mjp.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>ruling</span></a><span> that the statute criminalizes false statements, not merely misleading ones.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The scale of the charged conduct is also striking. As Andrew Weissmann </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/137171/indictment-southern-poverty-law-center-splc/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>observed</span></a><span>, although the indictment&rsquo;s introduction describes more than $3 million flowing to informants over nearly a decade, the six wire fraud counts amount to a total of $13,905, consisting of six transfers made on a single day in April 2023. No explanation has been offered for this gap.</span></p>
<p><span>A whistleblower </span><a href="https://www.ms.now/news/doj-rushed-indictment-of-splc-according-to-whistleblower-reports" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>reportedly</span></a><span> claimed, despite concerns about the weakness of the case, that DOJ leadership ordered federal prosecutors to &ldquo;rush through&rdquo; the indictment.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The SPLC has </span><a href="https://www.splcenter.org/presscenter/splc-denies-charges-vows-fight-court/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>denied</span></a><span> the charges, vowing to vigorously defend itself.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Within days of the announcement, administration officials began making and amplifying claims that had no basis in the indictment or the facts. In violation of </span><a href="https://www.justice.gov/jm/jm-1-7000-media-relations#1-7.530" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>DOJ</span></a> <a href="https://www.justice.gov/jm/jm-1-7000-media-relations#1-7.540" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>policies</span></a><span> governing public statements on pending matters, Blanche, for example, </span><a href="https://newrepublic.com/post/209601/splc-trump-doj-secret-informant-program" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>falsely claimed</span></a><span> on Fox News that the government had &ldquo;</span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/04/28/southern-poverty-law-center-criminal-investigation/5487341c-4302-11f1-b19d-32431046b5b4_story.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>no information</span></a><span>&rdquo; suggesting that SPLC shared what it learned from informants with law enforcement. In a </span><a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.almd.90264/gov.uscourts.almd.90264.27.0.pdf#page=2" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>court filing</span></a><span>, the DOJ did not dispute that the statement was false, and Blanche later </span><a href="https://www.aol.com/articles/feds-hit-back-splc-claims-233615299.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>walked it back</span></a><span>&mdash;conceding that SPLC had, in fact, shared its informants&rsquo; intelligence with law enforcement. He also </span><a href="https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/federal-grand-jury-charges-southern-poverty-law-center-wire-fraud-false-statements-and" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>accused</span></a><span> SPLC of &ldquo;manufacturing racism to justify its existence,&rdquo; a statement the indictment does not support.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The White House amplified these falsehoods. Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt </span><a href="https://www.breitbart.com/clips/2026/04/24/leavitt-southern-poverty-law-center-criminal-organization-run-by-fraudsters/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>called</span></a><span> SPLC &ldquo;a criminal organization run by fraudsters who are paying for and inciting this very racism that they claim to stand against.&rdquo; President Trump </span><a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/read-the-full-transcript-of-norah-odonnells-interview-with-president-trump-60-minutes/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>went further</span></a><span>, blaming the SPLC for supposedly &ldquo;financing the KKK&rdquo; and funding the 2017 Unite the Right rally in Charlottesville to make him &ldquo;look bad,&rdquo; calling the event a &ldquo;total fake.&rdquo; At that rally, a neo-Nazi drove a car into a crowd, </span><a href="https://www.justice.gov/archives/opa/pr/ohio-man-sentenced-life-prison-federal-hate-crimes-related-august-2017-car-attack-rally" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>killing</span></a><span> Heather Heyer and injuring many others. A federal jury in Charlottesville later found the rally&rsquo;s organizers </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2021/11/23/charlottesville-verdict-live-updates/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>liable</span></a><span> for the violence, ordering them to pay the victims millions in damages.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The DOJ&rsquo;s indictment occurs in the broader context of the Trump administration&rsquo;s systematic and ongoing dismantling of civil rights protections. As documented by </span><a href="https://redlinecivilrights.org/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Red Line for Civil Rights</span></a><span>, which two of us lead, DOJ&rsquo;s Civil Rights Division has, since January 20, 2025, shut down at least 35 cases, investigations, and settlements it previously brought related to racial discrimination. It has </span><a href="https://redlinecivilrights.org/project/united-states-v-minnesota/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>worked</span></a><span> to </span><a href="https://redlinecivilrights.org/a-fundamental-reversal-in-federal-civil-rights-enforcement-racial-discrimination/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>dismantle</span></a><span> longstanding tools that address systemic racial discrimination, despite Congress&rsquo;s </span><a href="https://static1.squarespace.com/static/67f14b136c5a8838cca88ae0/t/6a447620de89f70a7e22455e/1782871585287/EEO+Leaders+Response+to+DOJs+Disparate+Impact+Opinion.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>deliberate expansion of those protections</span></a><span>. Where career lawyers once used civil rights laws to expand equal opportunity in </span><a href="https://redlinecivilrights.org/education/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>education</span></a><span>, </span><a href="https://redlinecivilrights.org/housing/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>housing</span></a><span>, and </span><a href="https://redlinecivilrights.org/employment/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>employment</span></a><span>, and to ensure </span><a href="https://redlinecivilrights.org/voting/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>access to the ballot</span></a><span>, the DOJ&rsquo;s Civil Rights Division now uses those same laws to </span><a href="https://redlinecivilrights.org/a-fundamental-reversal-in-federal-civil-rights-enforcement-racial-discrimination/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>attack efforts</span></a><span> to do so, undercutting its </span><a href="https://redlinecivilrights.org/history-of-the-civil-rights-division/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>original mandate</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>After spending decades advancing precisely the kind of civil rights work the Trump administration is now moving to reverse, SPLC finds itself in the crosshairs.&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><b>Taking DOJ at Its Word&nbsp;</b></h2>
<p><span>Within days of the SPLC indictment becoming public, three of the largest donor-advised fund (DAF) platforms, Fidelity Charitable, Vanguard Charitable, and DAFgiving360 (associated with Charles Schwab), suspended grants to SPLC. Together, these three platforms distributed over $30 billion for charitable causes in 2025, and SPLC has </span><a href="https://www.fidelitycharitable.org/about-us/news/donors-recommend-a-record-5-2-billion-in-grants-in-2018.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>previously</span></a> <a href="https://www.vanguardcharitable.org/news/vanguard-charitable-donors-build-record-charitable-giving-year-granting-total-over-178-billion" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>ranked</span></a><span> among the top ten recipients on at least two of them. For an organization dependent on donations, losing that pipeline is no small matter.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>A DAF contribution is, as a legal matter, a completed gift to the sponsoring organization, itself a public charity, which then owns and controls the funds. In exchange, the donor takes an immediate income-tax deduction and retains what the Internal Revenue Code calls &ldquo;advisory privileges&rdquo;&mdash; the ability to recommend grants from the account to qualifying 501(c)(3) organizations over time. In practice, sponsors follow those recommendations almost without exception when the recipient is a recognized public charity. Contributions to DAFs are irrevocable: Donors cannot withdraw assets once transferred; they can only recommend them to charities eligible under their DAF&rsquo;s policies. As a result, many donors who front-loaded years of giving to maximize their tax deduction for a given year will now find that recommendations to support the SPLC will not be honored on three of the largest charitable giving platforms.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The suspensions by these three platforms are ultimately discretionary, </span><a href="https://www.fidelitycharitable.org/content/dam/fc-public/docs/programs/fidelity-charitable-program-guidelines.pdf#page=9" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>governed</span></a><span> by </span><a href="https://www.vanguardcharitable.org/sites/default/files/2026-03/vanguard-charitable-policies-and-guidelines-031226.pdf#page=19" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>internal</span></a> <a href="https://www.dafgiving360.org/resource/dafgiving360-program-policies" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>policies</span></a><span> rather than legal obligations. Indeed, DAFs offered through Merrill Lynch and J.P. Morgan were not publicly reported to have suspended donations to SPLC. Under </span><a href="https://www.taxnotes.com/research/federal/irs-guidance/revenue-procedures/guidance-streamlined-for-contributors-to-tax-exempt-organizations/2820w" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>federal tax law</span></a><span>, donors can rely on an organization&rsquo;s public charity status unless the IRS issues a public notice of revocation. No such notice has been issued regarding SPLC. Its 501(c)(3) status, the qualification SPLC needs to receive grants from DAFs, remains fully intact.</span></p>
<p><span>What the suspensions rest on, then, is not any legal requirement, but the assumption that a federal indictment is a reliable enough signal of wrongdoing to override the IRS&rsquo;s own determination of an organization&rsquo;s charitable purpose. Whether that judgment holds turns on how much trust this DOJ has earned&mdash;a question the federal courts and grand juries have been answering with increasing skepticism and serious doubt.</span></p>
<h2><b>&ldquo;There&rsquo;s No Credibility Left&rdquo;&nbsp;</b></h2>
<p><span>The </span><a href="https://harvardlawreview.org/print/vol-131/the-presumption-of-regularity-in-judicial-review-of-the-executive-branch/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>presumption of regularity</span></a><span> is a legal doctrine built on a foundational assumption: that the government can generally be trusted to properly discharge its duties. Absent clear evidence to the contrary, the presumption leads courts to take the government at its word and shifts the burden of proving otherwise to the opposing party. The doctrine applies with particular force to prosecutorial decisions, a deference the DOJ built with the courts through generations of professional, good-faith conduct, backed by rigorous internal review and, since Watergate, its Office of Professional Responsibility.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Under the Trump administration, however, the DOJ&rsquo;s guardrails and expertise have all but collapsed. Career prosecutors have been </span><a href="https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/how-the-trump-administration-erased-centuries-of-justice-department-experience" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>purged</span></a><span>, the Department&rsquo;s top </span><a href="https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/jan/03/pam-bondi-doj-joseph-tirell-fired" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>ethics officer</span></a><span> and the head of its Office of Professional Responsibility were both </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2025/03/07/justice-department-trump-firings/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>terminated</span></a><span>, and U.S. Attorneys were </span><a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2026/01/08/john-sarcone-ruling-us-attorney-00716067" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>installed</span></a><span> without Senate confirmation.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The consequences are increasingly visible in federal court. For instance, after the U.S. Attorney&rsquo;s office for D.C. dismissed &ldquo;an unprecedented number of cases&rdquo; in the span of ten days, U.S. Magistrate Judge Zia M. Faruqui, a former federal prosecutor, </span><a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.283924/gov.uscourts.dcd.283924.16.0_1.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>questioned</span></a><span> whether the office was still adhering to DOJ&rsquo;s </span><a href="https://www.justice.gov/jm/jm-9-27000-principles-federal-prosecution#9-27.220" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>policy</span></a><span> requiring prosecutors to charge only when they believe the evidence is sufficient to obtain and sustain a conviction. </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2025/09/04/judge-criticizes-trump-surge-pirro/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Faulting</span></a><span> the office for needlessly holding people and bringing charges that do not belong in federal court, he </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/jeanine-pirro-trump-judge-faruqui-ca18c324dbf904d929a7377576b3ba8f" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>concluded</span></a><span>: &ldquo;there&rsquo;s no credibility left.&rdquo;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Across the federal judiciary, judges have </span><a href="https://www.dcd.uscourts.gov/sites/dcd/files/ECF%20Doc%20No.%2010.pdf#page=8" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>observed</span></a><span> DOJ&rsquo;s norms erode. A </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/120547/presumption-regularity-trump-administration-litigation/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>comprehensive study</span></a><span> published by </span><i><span>Just Security</span></i><span> documented 90 instances since January 20, 2025, in which courts </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/120547/presumption-regularity-trump-administration-litigation/#post-134271-_Toc224729318" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>found</span></a><span> they could not trust the government&rsquo;s information and representations across a range of civil and criminal cases, identifying false sworn declarations, pretextual justifications, and contradictions between the record and what the DOJ told courts. Courts </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/120547/presumption-regularity-trump-administration-litigation/#post-134271-_Toc224729275" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>found</span></a><span> the government had not complied with judicial orders in 34 cases, often prompting contempt warnings. These numbers do not include the more than 750 </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/133928/immigration-habeas-tracker/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>immigration habeas cases</span></a><span> in which courts identified these same issues. This trend extends to the government&rsquo;s use of investigative and charging tools. As one of us has </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146665/courts-grand-juries-reject-trump-investigations/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>documented</span></a><span>, since January 2025, grand juries&mdash;for which refusal is ordinarily nearly unheard of&mdash;have refused to indict in at least 18 publicly reported instances, and at least 16 grand jury subpoenas have been quashed or withdrawn when challenged.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>These concerns are not confined to politically charged cases. In one case, a federal court </span><a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.txwd.1172853522/gov.uscourts.txwd.1172853522.64.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>dismissed</span></a><span> a felony indictment after a DOJ prosecutor conceded that a sworn statement by an officer had &ldquo;misrepresented what was going on.&rdquo; The court criticized the &ldquo;largely fictional&rdquo; affidavit and the government&rsquo;s &ldquo;ever-shifting positions,&rdquo; concluding that prosecutors had &ldquo;manufactur[ed] a felony&rdquo; and that this was &ldquo;the rare case in which the Government&rsquo;s conduct is so &lsquo;shocking to the universal sense of justice&rsquo; that it should be deprived of the opportunity to prosecute the Defendant.&rdquo;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The courts&rsquo; skepticism has been especially pronounced where the DOJ has exercised its prosecutorial powers against individuals or institutions that the Trump administration has identified as political adversaries or obstacles to its agenda. In May, for example, a federal judge </span><a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.tnmd.104622/gov.uscourts.tnmd.104622.312.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>dismissed</span></a><span> criminal charges against Kilmar Armando Abrego Garcia, ruling that Blanche had reopened a closed investigation to punish Abrego Garcia for challenging his wrongful deportation. The court highlighted the government&rsquo;s &ldquo;narrow, self-serving interpretation&rdquo; of the evidence and rejected the government&rsquo;s assertion that the decision to prosecute was made without political influence because &ldquo;the persuasive, credible, objective evidence shows otherwise.&rdquo;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>A recent </span><i><span>New York Times</span></i> <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/18/us/ice-assaults-protesters.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>review</span></a><span> of more than 550 assault prosecutions arising from the administration&rsquo;s immigration enforcement found that nearly half of the resolved cases collapsed, with juries acquitting, judges dismissing, or prosecutors withdrawing the charges. Judges criticized prosecutors or agents in more than 30 instances for conduct including destroying or withholding evidence and making false or exaggerated claims, some of them disproved by video.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Courts have also refused to afford the substantial deference typically extended to the DOJ&rsquo;s subpoena power. Quashing subpoenas issued to investigate Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, Chief Judge James Boasberg </span><a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.288962/gov.uscourts.dcd.288962.23.0_6.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>concluded</span></a><span> that there was &ldquo;a mountain of evidence&rdquo; the subpoenas were intended not to advance a legitimate criminal investigation, but to pressure Powell into lowering interest rates or resigning. The court found the government&rsquo;s asserted justifications to be &ldquo;mere pretexts,&rdquo; observing: &ldquo;the President spent years essentially asking if no one will rid him of this troublesome Fed Chair. He then suggested a specific line of investigation into him &hellip; The President&rsquo;s appointed prosecutor promptly complied.&rdquo;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>SPLC has long been a target of President Trump and his allies, making this precisely the type of case in which those concerns are most acute.&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><b>When Trust Is Gone, Deference Becomes Complicity</b></h2>
<p><span>Automatically suspending donor-directed grants based solely on government action against groups it has </span><a href="https://www.ag.state.mn.us/Office/Communications/2026/docs/SPLC_Donor-Advised-Fund_Ltr.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>politically targeted</span></a><span> risks conscripting independent stewards of charitable giving into the administration&rsquo;s campaign against its perceived enemies.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>That risk is especially acute because DAFs are not deciding how to spend their own charitable dollars. They hold funds that donors irrevocably dedicated to charitable purposes, often years earlier, with the expectation that those funds could be directed to qualified public charities. As Harvey Dale, Daniel Hemel, and Jill Manny </span><a href="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=6898498" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>explain</span></a><span>, donors could move their accounts to sponsors &ldquo;with more coherent grantmaking criteria.&rdquo; But ultimately, suspending grants based solely on an indictment allows the DOJ, at least in the first instance, to determine where those charitable dollars may go.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>From documenting Jim Crow-era abuses to litigating the landmark civil rights cases that reshaped American law, civil society organizations have held the government to account because they remained financially independent of the public institutions they challenged. Any DAF policy that automatically treats government enforcement action as disqualifying for charitable giving should be changed. Otherwise, DAFs surrender that independence at precisely the point where it matters most.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>SPLC is the first civil rights organization to face a federal indictment by this DOJ. But, as others have </span><a href="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=6898498" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>warned</span></a><span>, policies like these hand prosecutors a tool that works whether or not their cases do: bringing charges, even charges that ultimately fail, is enough to dry up an organization&rsquo;s funding for the years a case takes to resolve. Blanche has already </span><a href="https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/federal-grand-jury-charges-southern-poverty-law-center-wire-fraud-false-statements-and" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>vowed</span></a><span> to go after &ldquo;every other&rdquo; purportedly &ldquo;fraudulent&rdquo; group the DOJ claims is &ldquo;operating with the same deceptive playbook.&rdquo; If DAFs allow prosecution alone to sever access to donor-directed charitable funding, the government no longer needs to prove guilt to inflict debilitating penalties. Private institutions will have recklessly imposed them first.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/141175/doj-splc-civil-rights-funders/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">If Federal Courts Don&rsquo;t Trust Trump&rsquo;s DOJ, Should Civil Rights Funders?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-22T13:15:16+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Regan Rush</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-22T13:15:16+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="corporations"/>

	<category term="courts"/>

	<category term="courts &amp; litigation"/>

	<category term="democracy &amp; rule of law"/>

	<category term="department of justice (doj)"/>

	<category term="executive branch"/>

	<category term="federal bureau of investigation (fbi)"/>

	<category term="federal courts"/>

	<category term="indictment"/>

	<category term="litigation"/>

	<category term="non-governmental organizations (ngos)"/>

	<category term="racial justice"/>

	<category term="rule of law"/>

	<category term="trump administration second term"/>

	<category term="white house"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-22:/294122</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146977/gold-threatens-peace-south-sudan/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=gold-threatens-peace-south-sudan" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Why Gold Threatens Peace in South Sudan</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>As South Sudan&rsquo;s political crisis deepens and the risk of renewed civil war grows, the country...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>As South Sudan&rsquo;s political crisis deepens and the risk of renewed civil war grows, the country&rsquo;s leaders are betting on gold as the next engine of economic growth. But across the border in Sudan, gold has become a <a href="https://www.chathamhouse.org/2025/03/gold-and-war-sudan/04-how-sudans-gold-sector-connects-regional-conflict-ecosystem?utm_source=chatgpt.com" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">financial lifeline</a> for a devastating war instead. Control over mines and over smuggling networks bankrolls armed actors and enriches regional profiteers, perpetuating the world&rsquo;s worst humanitarian crisis. Gold is helping fuel the conflict.</p>
<p>South Sudan now risks following a similar path. The country&rsquo;s efforts to commercialize gold production by opening new gold refineries and gold-backed infrastructure deals could generate much-needed revenue. But there are critical variables to consider: armed groups control mining areas, oversight is weak, and the sector is dominated by politically connected elites. Without robust safeguards, corruption, money laundering, and conflict will increase, turning gold into the latest fuel for a growing war economy.</p>
<p>Gold is found in five of South Sudan&rsquo;s 10 states, but mining is dominated by artisanal and small-scale miners, resulting in limited data about the volume of gold produced. Calculations using <a href="https://comtradeplus.un.org/TradeFlow" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">United Nations trade data</a> show that, between 2019 and 2023, only 4 tons of gold was mined, most of which was sent to the United Arab Emirates. But given <a href="https://www.radiotamazuj.org/en/news/article/south-sudans-ghost-gold-trade-worth-millions-study-reveals" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">significant</a> smuggling to Kenya and Uganda, these numbers are likely underreported.</p>
<p>Recently, the Ministry of Mining approved gold refineries in the country for the first time, permitting two facilities &mdash; one operated by an <a href="https://www.radiotamazuj.org/en/news/article/first-gold-refinery-launched-in-south-sudan" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Egyptian firm</a> and the <a href="https://aurumrefineryssd.com/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">other</a> by local investors. The refineries, if operational, could change the game for the country&rsquo;s gold industry, moving the sector to commercialization. The government is also pursuing projects using gold as collateral, recently announcing a $2 billion road infrastructure <a href="https://www.radiotamazuj.org/en/news/article/cabinet-approves-2-bln-gold-backed-roads-deal-amid-graft-concerns" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">deal</a> with a South African company, backed by gold.&nbsp;Given the many issues with illicit gold in South Sudan, however, the new refineries and deals present very high risks for money laundering and conflict gold flows.</p>
<p>These ventures are occurring in a weak regulatory environment. The <a href="https://www.ohchr.org/sites/default/files/documents/hrbodies/hrcouncil/cohrsouthsudan/a-hrc-60-crp-5.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">U</a><a href="https://www.ohchr.org/sites/default/files/documents/hrbodies/hrcouncil/cohrsouthsudan/a-hrc-60-crp-5.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">.</a><a href="https://www.ohchr.org/sites/default/files/documents/hrbodies/hrcouncil/cohrsouthsudan/a-hrc-60-crp-5.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">N</a><a href="https://www.ohchr.org/sites/default/files/documents/hrbodies/hrcouncil/cohrsouthsudan/a-hrc-60-crp-5.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">.</a><a href="https://www.ohchr.org/sites/default/files/documents/hrbodies/hrcouncil/cohrsouthsudan/a-hrc-60-crp-5.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"> Commission on Human Rights in South Sudan</a>, for example, reported in September 2025 that oversight institutions &mdash; such as the Anti-Corruption Commission, the National Audit Chamber, the judiciary, and the legislature &mdash; do not function effectively, at least in part because, to varying degrees, they lack the funding, independence, or political support they need. According to the <a href="https://globalinitiative.net/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/Marcena-Hunter-and-Ken-Opala-Tarnished-hope-Crime-and-corruption-in-S-Sudans-gold-sector-GI-TOC-May-2023-.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Global Initiative Against Transnational Organized Crime</a>, mining companies often are even co-owned by senior government officials who ignore conflict-of-interest regulations, leading to corruption, impunity, and ongoing disputes. These high-ranking officials frequently use their power to undercut laws and secure concessions in return for stakes in mining ventures.</p>
<h2><strong>The Links to Violence</strong></h2>
<p>While South Sudan desperately needs foreign currency, and gold could possibly provide the necessary funds, expanding gold production without robust accountability and regulatory reforms is likely to intensify existing corruption and tensions. The risk of violence is particularly high between large corporations and small-scale artisanal miners, who often lack protection under the law and face displacement from their livelihoods by companies connected to political elites. Rapid expansion of the gold mining sector also threatens to exacerbate environmental degradation, as violations are likely to increase in the absence of effective oversight.</p>
<p>Even more concerning is the fact that the gold trade is inextricably linked to conflict. Many of the country&rsquo;s mining sites are controlled by <a href="https://docs.un.org/en/S/2025/442?_gl=1*1owo40n*_ga*MTc5MzYxMDU4NS4xNzMzMTQ4MDQw*_ga_TK9BQL5X7Z*czE3NTUwNzEwNDgkbzEkZzAkdDE3NTUwNzEwNDgkajYwJGwwJGgw" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">rebel groups</a>, including armed local communities, the national army, the National Security Service, and rebel groups of the Sudan People&rsquo;s Liberation Movement-Army in Opposition (SPLM/A-IO), and the National Salvation Front. Formalizing and expanding mining operations in these contested areas could spark further armed clashes and undermine prospects for peace in South Sudan. Conflict-linked gold from Sudan is also being funneled through South Sudan via the political networks that dominate the sector, the <em>New York Times</em> <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/11/world/africa/sudan-gold-rush-heart-civil-war.html?searchResultPosition=1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">wrote</a> recently, drawing the country into regional conflict.</p>
<p>This illicit flow of Sudanese gold deepens instability on both sides of the border. Against this backdrop, the United States is working to pursue a peace deal in Sudan with Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE, a grouping known as &ldquo;the Quad,&rdquo; although the trail has gone cold recently. If profits from conflict gold keep weapons in the hands of armed groups, these peace efforts will be at risk, prolonging the region&rsquo;s cycle of violence that has reached the level of atrocities, including <a href="https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2026/07/sudan-rsf-atrocities-in-el-fasher-a-stain-on-the-conscience-of-humanity-new-report/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">crimes against humanity</a><a href="https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2026/07/sudan-rsf-atrocities-in-el-fasher-a-stain-on-the-conscience-of-humanity-new-report/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">.</a></p>
<p>More broadly, an unstable South Sudan presents the risk of regional contagion. Renewed conflict, such as an escalation earlier this year that <a href="https://news.un.org/en/story/2026/02/1167020" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">forced 280,000 people from their homes</a>, may erupt again as the country&rsquo;s elections approach in December. That may trigger further refugee flows, illicit arms trafficking, and economic disruption across neighboring countries such as Ethiopia, Uganda, and Kenya, important U.S allies in an already fragile region.</p>
<p>South Sudan also sits within a wider geopolitical contest in East Africa and the Horn of Africa regions. The war in Sudan has already drawn in <a href="https://newlinesinstitute.org/global-security-mil-priorities/the-case-for-u-s-involvement-in-the-sudanese-civil-war/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">regional powers</a> Egypt and Ethiopia. Furthermore, the involvement of <a href="https://www.state.gov/releases/office-of-the-spokesperson/2026/03/designation-of-the-sudanese-muslim-brotherhood" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Islamist factions</a>, <a href="https://www.ispionline.it/en/publication/expanding-influence-russias-involvement-in-sudan-amid-the-war-in-ukraine-238002" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Russian mercenaries</a>, the <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/may/17/the-uae-must-be-held-responsible-for-its-part-in-sudans-crisis" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">UAE</a>, and overall expanding Chinese and <a href="https://www.foxnews.com/world/irans-killer-drones-increase-slaughter-sudan-amid-worlds-forgotten-war" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Iranian </a>influence in the wider Red Sea and Horn of Africa region are issues that affect U.S. interests. If South Sudan deteriorates further, that crisis could spread, rather than remain contained.</p>
<p>Thus, Washington has a strategic interest in keeping South Sudan and its neighbors stable. U.S engagement &mdash; via diplomacy or financial and economic pressure if needed &ndash; also would give Washington leverage over South Sudan&rsquo;s leaders to respect peace deals, good governance, and democracy. Past <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/74596/changing-the-calculus-to-support-peace-in-south-sudan/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">U.S. pressure,</a> including sanctions in 2018, helped push the belligerent parties in the country&rsquo;s war toward a peace settlement. Sustained U.S. involvement can therefore support both conflict prevention and governance reforms, reducing the risk that South Sudan becomes another front in a broader regional crisis.</p>
<h2><strong>What the U.S. and Its Allies Could Do</strong></h2>
<p>The United States, especially if it can work with other international allies of South Sudan such as the U.K. and the European Union, should focus on three steps.</p>
<p>First, the United States should create a high-level, interagency task force on illicit gold, spearheaded by Secretary of State Marco Rubio in close coordination with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. As a U.S. senator, Rubio described the illegal gold trade as a &ldquo;direct threat&rdquo; to U.S. <a href="https://www.postguam.com/the_globe/nation/rubio-illegal-gold-poses-direct-threat-to-national-security/article_10233918-17dc-11ea-a0c8-ffd8dc1aab15.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">national security</a> and urged the first Trump administration to take action against it. Today, that threat is growing on an unprecedented scale and demands attention. Coordinating such U.S. government efforts with industry bodies, financial institutions, and regional and international organizations holds the greatest chance of generating impact.</p>
<p>The task force could coordinate and press for increases in U.S. resources to track, investigate, and sanction both corrupt officials and criminal organizations behind the illicit gold trade across the globe. It should also support the legitimate artisanal mining sector and foster greater collaboration with the private sector, ensuring real-time intelligence sharing on bad actors and reinforcing the integrity of the global gold market. The U.S. Treasury Department&rsquo;s Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) could play a leading role in issuing alerts, facilitating information exchange with banks and refiners regarding tracking methods, and urging the submission of reports by trading entities concerning suspicious transactions. This would build on actions by the United Kingdom, which recently established a public-private partnership on illicit gold.</p>
<p>Second, it is imperative to establish consequences for illicit gold networks. Sanctions that are fully enforced are one critical step, such as those imposed by the U.K. and the United States that have <a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/us-imposes-sanctions-several-hong-kong-uae-firms-dealing-with-russian-origin-2024-06-12/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">already</a> targeted a <a href="https://www.lbkmlaw.com/news-events-US-sanctions-UAE-trading-companies-sudanese-rebels.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">handful</a> of UAE-based firms, and U.S. and EU restrictions on a <a href="https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sb0543" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Rwandan gold refinery</a>. But these actions must be broader and more closely coordinated. The U.S. and U.K. have sought closer ties in recent months with the UAE because of the Iran war, but smaller-scale sanctions specifically targeting certain criminal networks should still be possible.</p>
<p>Third, it is time for a consolidated, effective international process to monitor and validate international gold trading hubs, as illicit gold from South Sudan &mdash; as well as from Sudan, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, and other countries &mdash; is almost exclusively smuggled to the UAE. This process, which should involve the 12 major gold refining hubs from the UAE to India to Singapore, should standardize gold import verification procedures, publish significantly improved gold trade and production data, and evaluate whether key gold bullion trading centers are doing effective checks to combat illicit gold.&nbsp;The gold industry body London Bullion Market Association recently initiated a <a href="https://www.lbma.org.uk/articles/responsible-sourcing-newsletter-lbma-deepens-international-bullion-centre-engagement" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">dialogue</a> with these gold refining centers, and the UK and other key governments should collaborate with industry and civil society to produce outcomes that would change the game for conflict gold traffickers and refiners.</p>
<p>At the regional level, South Sudan should conduct multi-stakeholder mine inspections, consistent with the International Conference of the Great Lakes Region <a href="https://icglr-cirgl.org/index.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">regional minerals certification process</a>, to independently certify gold mines as conflict-free prior to the export of gold.&nbsp;This would require amending South Sudan&rsquo;s Mining Act to legally incorporate internationally recognized due diligence procedures, including those established by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). It would also require validating mine sites through joint committees comprising government, civil society, local communities, and industry representatives to ensure they do not finance armed groups, while establishing clear chain-of-custody procedures and independent third-party audits.</p>
<p>With responsible management, both private and governmental, of valuable resources such as gold, real peace &ndash; and even economic prosperity &ndash; could be possible in South Sudan. But that will happen only through concerted policy initiatives involving coordinated actions.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146977/gold-threatens-peace-south-sudan/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Why Gold Threatens Peace in South Sudan</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-22T13:05:10+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Brian Adeba</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-22T13:05:10+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="armed conflict"/>

	<category term="armed conflicts"/>

	<category term="armed groups/organized armed groups"/>

	<category term="atrocities"/>

	<category term="conflict"/>

	<category term="corruption"/>

	<category term="democracy &amp; rule of law"/>

	<category term="democratic backsliding &amp; solutions"/>

	<category term="department of state"/>

	<category term="diplomacy"/>

	<category term="executive branch"/>

	<category term="financial crimes enforcement network (fincen)"/>

	<category term="illicit finance"/>

	<category term="money laundering"/>

	<category term="rule of law"/>

	<category term="south sudan"/>

	<category term="sudan"/>

	<category term="treasury department"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-22:/294123</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148444/ai-warrantless-foreign-intelligence-surveillance/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=ai-warrantless-foreign-intelligence-surveillance" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">AI and Warrantless Foreign Intelligence Surveillance</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>My earlier piece on &ldquo;AI and the Commercial Data Loophole&rdquo; focused on the risks of operating LLMs on ...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>My <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148430/ai-surveillance-commercial-data-loophole/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">earlier piece</a> on &ldquo;AI and the Commercial Data Loophole&rdquo; focused on the risks of operating LLMs on the government&rsquo;s purchases of Americans&rsquo; data from commercial brokers. But the Pentagon&rsquo;s commercial purchases are only one part of the picture. Foreign intelligence surveillance programs also sweep up vast volumes of Americans&rsquo; communications without a warrant. The government does not treat these programs as &ldquo;mass domestic surveillance&rdquo; because they are not targeted at U.S. persons. But these programs result in the accumulation of enormous quantities of Americans&rsquo; information, including the content of their communications. Large language models deployed against this data would expand what the government can do with it, erode the rules meant to constrain it, and undermine the tradecraft standards that are supposed to ensure it produces reliable intelligence.</p>
<p>Two foreign intelligence authorities do most of this work. The best known is <a href="https://www.congress.gov/bill/110th-congress/house-bill/6304/text" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Section 702</a> of the FISA Amendments Act, which authorizes the targeting of specific foreign persons and entities overseas but inevitably sweeps up the communications of Americans who are in contact with them. The Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court (<a href="https://www.fisc.uscourts.gov/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">FISC</a>) approves the procedures governing the program but plays no role in deciding whom the NSA actually targets. Section 702 <a href="https://www.npr.org/2026/06/12/nx-s1-5856291/fisa-702-surveillance-expiration-bill-pulte" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">lapsed</a> in June 2026, due to some lawmakers&rsquo; concerns over an intelligence-community nomination and longstanding differences among lawmakers on the extent to which the law needed reforms. Efforts are underway to reauthorize the law; in the meantime, the program <a href="https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/research-reports/section-702-surveillance-will-continue-until-march-2027-even-if-statute" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">continues</a> to operate under earlier approvals from the FISC. The second, <a href="https://www.odni.gov/files/NCSC/documents/Regulations/EO_12333.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Executive Order 12333</a>, is less well-known, but is broader still. It permits bulk collection of communications and data overseas without identifying any specific target, and the collection it authorizes is not subject to any judicial supervision whatsoever.</p>
<p>LLMs amplify both programs in ways that pose grave risks to Americans&rsquo; privacy and civil liberties, while eroding the efficacy of rules that were supposed to constrain those risks.</p>
<h2><strong>FISA Section 702</strong></h2>
<p>The NSA labels the collection of Americans&rsquo; communications under Section 702 &ldquo;incidental.&rdquo; It has steadfastly refused to quantify the volume of American communications swept up, which may be so large as to strain the &ldquo;incidental&rdquo; characterization. 702 information does not stay in the foreign intelligence realm, but seeps into domestic law enforcement through the Federal Bureau of Investigation. The Bureau has <a href="https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/truth-behind-section-702-query-statistics" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">queried</a> databases that include 702 communications for information about U.S. persons millions of times, often <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/66605/the-fisa-courts-section-702-opinions-part-ii-improper-queries-and-echoes-of-bulk-collection/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">ignoring</a> rules meant to constrain the scope of such searches. The FISC <a href="https://www.intelligence.gov/assets/documents/702-documents/declassified/21/2021_FISC_Certification_Opinion.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">found</a> the FBI&rsquo;s violations to be &ldquo;persistent and widespread,&rdquo; including searches for people arrested during protests and checks on political donors.</p>
<p>Congress has not addressed the integration of AI into 702 surveillance programs, and to the extent the FISC has done so, its analysis remains classified. But as with commercial data, LLMs could magnify the reach and intrusiveness of this surveillance program.</p>
<p>First, AI-assisted targeting could be used to greatly expand the NSA&rsquo;s pool of foreign targets (which in 2025 <a href="https://www.dni.gov/files/CLPT/documents/2026_ASTR_for_CY2025.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">approached</a> 350,000 individuals) and thus the volume of incidentally collected Americans&rsquo; communications. The scale of the NSA&rsquo;s collection of Americans&rsquo; information in the context of Section 215 (the bulk phone-records program) and in the context of &ldquo;<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2017/04/28/us/politics/nsa-surveillance-terrorism-privacy.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">abouts</a>&rdquo; collection (a subset of Section 702 surveillance which captured communications that merely <a href="https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/how-fbi-violated-privacy-rights-tens-thousands-americans" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">mentioned</a> a target) contributed to the discontinuation of those programs. But because Congress has <a href="https://www.eff.org/deeplinks/2024/10/eff-and-23-organizations-odni-how-many-us-persons-does-section-702-spy" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">allowed</a> the agency to refuse to quantify the extent of its U.S. person collection, the NSA&rsquo;s collection of even exponentially more information about Americans would not necessarily come to light.</p>
<p>Second, AI adds to the already substantial civil liberties risks of the Section 702 program. As early as <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/jul/31/nsa-top-secret-program-online-data" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">2013</a>, the NSA was using sophisticated tools to search and analyze the communications it intercepted. LLMs add the ability to synthesize thousands of documents and interpret colloquial or allusive language, bringing knowledge gained from their training data to bear on communications that prior tools could read only in isolation. A model&rsquo;s interpretations could prove valuable to the agency&rsquo;s foreign intelligence mission. The problem is that the NSA&rsquo;s database also includes a vast volume of Americans&rsquo; emails and phone calls. And as <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148430/ai-surveillance-commercial-data-loophole/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">explained</a> in my earlier piece on &ldquo;AI and the Commercial Data Loophole,&rdquo; the foreign intelligence purpose requirement may not serve as an effective safeguard. Rules limiting the purposes for which this database may be queried are supposed to protect Americans but have been repeatedly violated by the FBI. And minimization procedures of the type that the FISC has approved to protect Americans&rsquo; privacy are, as with the rest of the procedures discussed in this piece, substantially undermined by LLMs.</p>
<h2><strong>Executive Order 12333 </strong></h2>
<p>As with Section 702, the government places certain E.O. 12333 programs outside the envelope of &ldquo;domestic&rdquo; surveillance because they are not targeted at U.S. persons. Section 702 is visible to the public. It must be periodically reauthorized, generating Congressional debate and press coverage. Some additional information about the program comes from declassified FISC opinions and regularly published transparency reports. In contrast, the Defense Department&rsquo;s collection of foreign intelligence under E.O. 12333 remains firmly in the grip of the executive branch. These programs are rarely debated in Congress and are not subject to any judicial supervision or transparency reporting. What is known comes largely from the <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/jun/06/nsa-phone-records-verizon-court-order" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Snowden</a> documents and the occasional disclosure elicited from the government by persistent senators.</p>
<p>Despite this dearth of information, it is almost certain that the volume of information collected under E.O. 12333 <a href="https://www.aclu.org/news/national-security/new-documents-shed-light-one-nsas-most-powerful-tools" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">dwarfs</a> the scale of the Section 702 program. This is because, unlike Section 702, E.O. 12333 <a href="https://www.intelligence.gov/assets/documents/702-documents/declassified/Redacted%20Annex%20DODM%205240.01-A(1).pdf#page=9" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">permits</a> <a href="https://www.intelligence.gov/assets/documents/702-documents/declassified/Redacted%20Annex%20DODM%205240.01-A(1).pdf#page=39" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">bulk collection</a>. Section 702 surveillance starts with a specific foreign target, using a &ldquo;selector&rdquo; such as a phone number or email address. E.O. 12333 doesn&rsquo;t require a specific target or selector. Agencies can collect without a target &ldquo;when necessary due to technical or operational considerations.&rdquo; &nbsp;And they have, vacuuming up entire datasets, often from internet and telecommunications infrastructure, such as all calls into and out of a country or all data transiting a foreign data center. Under a program codenamed <a href="https://theintercept.com/2014/05/19/data-pirates-caribbean-nsa-recording-every-cell-phone-call-bahamas/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">SOMALGET</a>, the NSA recorded and stored the content of virtually every mobile phone call made in the Bahamas for a rolling 30-day window. The Central Intelligence Agency has run <a href="https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/how-cia-acting-outside-law-spy-americans" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">bulk collection</a> programs that swept up Americans&rsquo; <a href="https://documents.pclob.gov/prod/Documents/OversightReport/f01950e2-75ff-4fb4-9b2e-9e7d6937ae3a/PCLOB%20Report%20on%20CIA%20Activities%20-%20508,%20Mar%2022,%202022%201305.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">financial records</a> as well as information about Americans in contact with <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2022/02/10/politics/cia-data-collection-americans/index.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">foreign nationals</a>.</p>
<p>Bulk collection under E.O. 12333 has long been criticized by civil society groups (including the <a href="https://www.brennancenter.org/sites/default/files/publications/Overseas_Surveillance_in_an_Interconnected_World.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Brennan Center</a>) and former <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/meet-executive-order-12333-the-reagan-rule-that-lets-the-nsa-spy-on-americans/2014/07/18/93d2ac22-0b93-11e4-b8e5-d0de80767fc2_story.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">government officials</a> for lack of transparency, its impact on Americans&rsquo; privacy, and the lack of any judicial supervision. Because E.O. 12333 collection operates at such scale, applying LLMs to that data exposes more Americans to their analytical capabilities. And the rules meant to minimize the impact of this collection of information on Americans&rsquo; privacy are weakened when these models are deployed.</p>
<p>The minimization rules agencies have adopted for information collected under E.O. 12333 broadly parallel the rules approved by the FISC for Section 702: limits on how long unreviewed data can be retained, masking of U.S. person identities, access controls, and limits on the purposes for which searches can be carried out. But these protections are generally less robust. For instance, unlike in the Section 702 context, the FBI is not subject to specific querying rules when searching for Americans in E.O. 12333 data. It must only abide by a <a href="https://www.justice.gov/archive/opa/docs/guidelines.pdf?inline=1#page=13" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">general admonition</a> that its activities serve a &ldquo;valid purpose&rdquo; and comply with applicable law, including the Constitution. Moreover, E.O. 12333 rules are <a href="https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/how-fix-us-surveillance-law" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">written and supervised</a> entirely by the executive branch. They vary from agency to agency and are subject to no judicial oversight, a vulnerability that becomes especially clear when those agencies are headed by appointees <a href="https://www.eff.org/deeplinks/2026/06/pulte-appointment-underscores-need-reform-section-702-spying" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">inclined</a> to use them aggressively. The concerns described below apply to minimization under both authorities, but they are most acute under E.O. 12333, where the rules are thinnest and the oversight is weakest.</p>
<p>Minimization rules&mdash;which were already <a href="https://www.brennancenter.org/sites/default/files/analysis/Goitein-Testimony.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">quite weak</a> and <a href="https://www.brennancenter.org/sites/default/files/publications/Overseas_Surveillance_in_an_Interconnected_World.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">riddled</a> with exceptions&mdash;are rendered even weaker by LLMs.</p>
<h4><strong><em>Retention</em></strong></h4>
<p>To start, limits on retention operate on the assumption that most information about Americans picked up in foreign intelligence surveillance will be deleted after five years with some exceptions. The information may be <a href="https://www.eff.org/files/2013/11/21/20131119-odni-united_states_signals_intelligence_directive_18_jan_25_2011.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">kept longer</a> if a senior official determines in writing that it serves an authorized foreign intelligence requirement.</p>
<p>LLMs put pressure on this limit in several ways. They dramatically lower the practical processing ceiling that constrained retention. A model can process enormous quantities of collected communications and generate foreign intelligence justifications at a scale no human workforce (or even earlier generations of processing tools) could match. So long as the designated official signs off on the foreign intelligence justifications put forward by the model, the underlying information can be kept indefinitely. But vast numbers of foreign intelligence justifications may dilute the efficacy of the sign-off requirement as a check. Even if LLMs are not used to generate foreign intelligence justifications, analysts may be more inclined to mark material as having potential foreign intelligence value on the theory that the model may be able to extract connections that a human reviewer would not see. Together, these dynamics undercut the privacy protective function of retention limits. The five-year clock would still run. But far less data may ever reach it because it would be marked as reviewed and of potential foreign intelligence value.</p>
<h4><strong><em>Masking</em></strong></h4>
<p>Minimization rules assume that masking Americans&rsquo; identities in disseminated reports will protect their privacy. In intelligence reports, an American&rsquo;s identity is typically replaced with a generic designator (e.g., USP1). An analyst who wants to learn the identity of such a person must <a href="https://www.dni.gov/files/documents/ICPG/ICPG-107.1.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">formally request</a> unmasking from the originating agency, which evaluates whether the requestor has a legitimate need to know the identity of the person referenced. The request is documented and the decision is logged, providing some procedural protection.</p>
<p>LLMs can circumvent this process by the same kind of re-identification demonstrated in the studies highlighted in my <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148430/ai-surveillance-commercial-data-loophole/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">earlier piece</a> on &ldquo;AI and the Commercial Data Loophole&rdquo;: A model asked to analyze a set of intelligence reports can recover a masked identity with no specific request and no obvious paper trail. Despite this lack of safeguards, the LLM&rsquo;s inference may shape what happens next: which databases get queried, which leads get followed, which information finds its way into an FBI investigation or an immigration proceeding.</p>
<h4><strong><em>Querying</em></strong></h4>
<p>The possibility of contextual inferences and incomplete paper trails also puts pressure on querying-based restrictions. In the Section 702 context, for instance, restrictions on retrieving Americans&rsquo; information are triggered when analysts run <a href="https://www.nsa.gov/Portals/75/U_S_%20Person%20Query%20Terms%20Explained.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">U.S.-person search terms</a>. Someone must type an identifier (e.g., a name or email) to reach a particular American and each term is recorded, creating an auditable trail. But an LLM <a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.07298" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">matches</a> on <a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2304.06588" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">meaning</a>, not exact words: asked who is organizing a protest, it can surface a person whose own messages never use the word &ldquo;protest&rdquo; and without anyone entering that person&rsquo;s identifier. It <a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.18959" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">can even</a> generate and refine its own search terms, or run them through an agent. In sum, a model can effectively evade limitations on accessing <em>specific</em> Americans&rsquo; information by accessing <em>all</em> Americans&rsquo; information.</p>
<h4><strong><em>Reliability</em></strong></h4>
<p>The problems with the rules are compounded by a problem that runs across every use described in this piece: the tools themselves are unreliable. It is well-established that LLMs <a href="https://www.project-syndicate.org/magazine/generative-ai-fundamentally-unreliable-and-with-no-apparent-solution-by-gary-marcus-2025-06" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">hallucinate</a>, producing confident, plausible-sounding outputs that are factually wrong and even fabricated. It is equally well-established that LLM&rsquo;s outputs <a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.10915" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">reflect biases</a> in their training data that cannot always be identified or corrected.</p>
<p>Risk and impact assessments of the kind contemplated by the rescinded <a href="https://bidenwhitehouse.archives.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2024/10/24/memorandum-on-advancing-the-united-states-leadership-in-artificial-intelligence-harnessing-artificial-intelligence-to-fulfill-national-security-objectives-and-fostering-the-safety-security/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Biden</a> <a href="https://data.aclum.org/storage/2025/01/WhiteHouse_ai_gov_wp-content_uploads_2024_10_NSM-Framework-to-Advance-AI-Governance-and-Risk-Management-in-National-Security.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">framework</a>&mdash;and likely to feature in whatever replaces it&mdash;are meant to address these concerns. They may not, however, be sufficient for high-stakes predictive uses. Verifying a model by seeing how it operates in the field may work when there is an objective truth against which to measure its performance (e.g., the model correctly identifies a military facility for targeting during a training exercise). But if an LLM flags someone as a potential threat who never carries out an attack, we can&rsquo;t know whether the model generated a false positive or intervening events prevented an attack. Conversely, if the model doesn&rsquo;t flag someone who subsequently carries out an attack, we can&rsquo;t know if it produced a false negative or whether the behavior was genuinely <a href="https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.1145/3636509#sec-3-4" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">unforeseeable</a>. There is <a href="https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/fp_20201130_uncomfortable_ground_truths.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">no fully observed ground truth</a> against which to validate predictions about human behavior.</p>
<p>Another way to evaluate reliability is by examining training data and model weights. When an LLM generates erroneous outputs, whether in testing or the real world, access to this information can help a customer agency understand what went wrong and how to fix the model or system. Ideally, the <a href="https://arxiv.org/pdf/1803.09010" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">provenance and sourcing</a> of the training data should also be available, so that any biases and gaps in the data could be examined. But commercial vendors generally treat this data as proprietary and may not be willing to share it&mdash;even with the government. Even where such data is available a more fundamental limit remains. As AI companies concede, there is currently no reliable way to look <a href="https://www.anthropic.com/research/mapping-mind-language-model" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">inside the model</a> when it is performing a task and <a href="https://transformer-circuits.pub/2025/attribution-graphs/biology.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">check</a> that it is reasoning correctly. As a result, agencies may not be able to reliably detect where the model breaks down or predict where it might err in the future and generate inaccurate outputs.</p>
<p>The Intelligence Community has acknowledged that LLMs may strain the tradecraft standards meant to ensure the reliability of intelligence products, <a href="https://www.dni.gov/files/documents/ICD/ICD-505-Artificial-Intelligence.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">directing</a> that these tools should be designed to let personnel adhere to standards including Intelligence Community Directive (ICD) <a href="https://www.dni.gov/files/documents/ICD/ICD-203.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">203</a> and ICD <a href="https://www.dni.gov/files/documents/ICD/ICD-206.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">206</a>. This high-level admonition does little to address the actual problem. Those directives require analysts to document the provenance of each claim in finished intelligence reports, describe the quality and credibility of underlying sources, and distinguish what is known from what is inferred. ICD 206 goes even further. It requires that a finished intelligence report include sourcing information so that a reader can independently pull and check sources. It is hard to see how an LLM can meet these standards. Because an LLM generates outputs from statistical patterns across an enormous training corpus rather than drawing on discrete sources, a given statement cannot be reliably traced back to the material that produced it. LLM outputs are also unstable. Asked the same question more than once, a model may give materially different answers. There may be no fixed result to trace back to sources. Its statements therefore may not be tied to specific, credibility-rated sources in the way intelligence tradecraft standards require.</p>
<p>Even where an LLM is used only to generate inputs&mdash;drafts, leads, candidate hypotheses to be checked&mdash;analysts may over-rely on what it produces. Automation bias studies suggest that analysts <a href="https://academic.oup.com/isq/article/68/2/sqae020/7638566" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">may be inclined</a> to place too much credence in LLM outputs, which are <a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.08554" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">presented</a> in a confident and reasoned register even when the underlying evidence is weak.</p>
<p>A number of technical measures might mitigate some of these concerns (retrieval-augmented generation, for example, lets a model draw on and cite a curated set of sources rather than generating from its training data alone) but their effectiveness in this setting remains unproven, and the government has not disclosed whether it has adopted any.</p>
<h2><strong>Conclusion</strong></h2>
<p>As with its purchases of commercial data, the government places its collection of Americans&rsquo; information and communications under foreign intelligence surveillance authorities outside the &ldquo;mass domestic surveillance&rdquo; envelope. But these authorities, too, allow the government to sweep up vast quantities of Americans&rsquo; information. And unlike the commercial purchases, which are largely metadata, they routinely capture the substance of communications. The introduction of LLMs heightens the risks of this accumulation of data in the hands of the Pentagon because it can be used to create detailed profiles of beliefs, associations, and behavior at scale, which could be turned on the administration&rsquo;s perceived foes. LLMs further compound those risks by eroding the rules&mdash;on retention, masking, and querying&mdash;that are supposed to protect Americans.</p>
<p>The Government Surveillance Reform Act, which the Brennan Center <a href="https://www.brennancenter.org/media/15109/download/2026-01-28_testimony_goitein.pdf?inline=1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">supports</a>, would remedy many of the serious and longstanding failures of the current framework for foreign intelligence. But lawmakers must also address the use of LLMs against Americans&rsquo; data. Executive branch policies are easily rescinded, as was the case with the Biden administration&rsquo;s National Security AI framework. In any event, even that framework did not grapple with how rules meant to protect Americans are undermined by LLMs. At a minimum, Congress should require agencies to <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/94113/bringing-transparency-to-national-security-uses-of-artificial-intelligence/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">disclose</a> how these models are trained, how they perform, and how they impact Americans and to demonstrate how retention limits, masking, and querying rules continue to function when these models are in use. Otherwise, the safeguards meant to protect Americans will exist only on paper, describing rules that no longer constrain the surveillance actually being conducted.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148444/ai-warrantless-foreign-intelligence-surveillance/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">AI and Warrantless Foreign Intelligence Surveillance</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-22T12:50:14+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Faiza Patel</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-22T12:50:14+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="ai &amp; emerging technology"/>

	<category term="artificial intelligence (ai)"/>

	<category term="artificial intelligence and emerging technologies initiative"/>

	<category term="civil liberties"/>

	<category term="counterterrorism"/>

	<category term="courts &amp; litigation"/>

	<category term="department of defense (dod)"/>

	<category term="domestic surveillance"/>

	<category term="emerging technology"/>

	<category term="executive branch"/>

	<category term="executive orders"/>

	<category term="federal bureau of investigation (fbi)"/>

	<category term="fisa section 702"/>

	<category term="foreign intelligence surveillance act (fisa)"/>

	<category term="foreign surveillance"/>

	<category term="intelligence &amp; surveillance"/>

	<category term="international and foreign"/>

	<category term="large language models (llms)"/>

	<category term="rule of law"/>

	<category term="surveillance"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-22:/294124</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148692/early-edition-july-22-2026/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=early-edition-july-22-2026" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Early Edition: July 22, 2026</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Signup to receive the Early Edition in your inbox here.
A curated weekday guide to major news and de...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Signup to receive the Early Edition in your inbox <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/newsletter-signup/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">here</a>.</p>
<p>A curated weekday guide to major news and developments over the last 24 hours. Here&rsquo;s today&rsquo;s news:</p>
<p><b><i>IRAN WAR</i></b></p>
<p><b>The U.S. military carried out its 11th consecutive night of strikes on Iran, with the latest wave lasting about 75 minutes overnight, </b><span>according to the U.S. Central Command. Iran&rsquo;s army said it targeted U.S. military facilities in Kuwait, Jordan, and Bahrain with drones early this morning. The army said it struck accommodation buildings and equipment storage facilities at Al Azraq air base in Jordan, and later targeted equipment warehouses and aircraft maintenance hangars at Sheikh Isa Air Base in Bahrain using Arash suicide drones. Kanishka Singh and Jasper Ward report for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-military-says-it-has-ended-its-latest-strikes-iran-2026-07-22/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>; </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/rubio-says-us-still-willing-negotiate-over-iran-crisis-2026-07-22/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>President Trump yesterday threatened to accelerate the war in Iran by striking Pickaxe Mountain,</b><span> a deep underground site that the United States and Israel suspect could be used for nuclear activity. &ldquo;We&rsquo;ll be hitting that area probably pretty soon,&rdquo; Trump said during a visit from Lebanon&rsquo;s president, Joseph Aoun. &ldquo;And there&rsquo;s not a thing they can do about it.&rdquo; He went on to threaten military action against the Houthis if they go ahead with their announced plan to block Saudi shipping from exiting the Red Sea. </span><span>David E. Sanger reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/21/us/politics/trump-iran-threats.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>; Barak Ravid reports for </span><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/21/trump-iran-pickaxe-mountain-bomb" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Axios</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Secretary of State Marco Rubio said today that the United States is willing to negotiate an end to the war with Iran, but Tehran is not serious about talks.</b><span> Speaking in a meeting of Southeast Asian foreign ministers, Rubio stressed that Iran could not be allowed to control the Strait of Hormuz, arguing it would create a dangerous precedent for the world, including Southeast Asian countries</span>.<span> Iran&rsquo;s Interior Minister Eskandar Momeni yesterday visited &#8203;mediators in Pakistan and asked Islamabad to continue its efforts. </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/rubio-says-us-still-willing-negotiate-over-iran-crisis-2026-07-22/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> reports; Jon Gambrell reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-hormuz-strait-war-july-21-2026-1664f6a4dad005a99771b2ad15213585" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b><i>IRAN WAR &ndash; LEBANON</i></b></p>
<p><b>Israeli forces yesterday fired shots near Lebanese Army troops, both sides said, as Lebanese troops began deploying in a village in southern Lebanon after a planned Israeli withdrawal. </b><span>The Lebanese military issued a statement, saying, &ldquo;this act of aggression could hinder the implementation of deployment steps in the pilot areas.&rdquo; </span><span>The Israeli military said Lebanese forces entered an area outside of the designated &ldquo;pilot zone,&rdquo; adding Israeli soldiers &ldquo;operating in the area fired warning shots into the air only.&rdquo; </span><span>Abdi Latif Dahir reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/21/world/middleeast/lebanon-israel-ceasefire-plan.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>IRAN WAR &ndash; OTHER DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said yesterday during a Senate Appropriations Committee hearing that the Defense Department&rsquo;s latest estimate of the cost of the Iran war was $37.5 billion. </b><span>Hegseth requested up to $70 billion in emergency funding for the conflict, weapons production, and military modernization. Lawmakers from both parties questioned the need for the additional spending, while Hegseth argued it was necessary because of changing warfare and what he described as shortcomings inherited from the previous administration. Greg Jaffe reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/21/us/politics/iran-war-cost-estimate.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>YEMEN&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Six vessels reversed course yesterday as the Iran-backed Houthi rebels began enforcing their Red Sea blockade against Saudi Arabia, </b><span>according to ship-tracking data and analysis by the maritime firm Lloyd&rsquo;s List. </span><span>No attacks on commercial vessels in the Red Sea or Bab el-Mandeb Strait have been reported since the Houthis announced the blockade. I</span><span>mogen Piper reports for the </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2026/07/21/ships-bound-saudi-arabia-turn-around-sign-new-red-sea-blockade/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Washington Post</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>RUSSIA-UKRAINE WAR&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy yesterday dismissed his top general, Oleksandr Syrskyi, amid public protests.</b><span> This was a major reversal for Zelenskyy, who just days earlier sided with Syrskyi and fired Ukraine&rsquo;s defense minister, Mykhailo Fedorov. </span><span>Zelenskyy announced last night that he was replacing Syrskyi with Maj. Gen. Mykhailo Drapatyi, the commander of the Joint Forces. The choice is likely to please the protesters, as Drapatyi publicly sided with Fedorov</span><span> in his clash with Syrskyi over warfighting strategy. Marc Santora reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/21/world/europe/ukraine-syrskyi-russia-war-fedorov-zelensky-protest.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Ukrainian drones again hit warehouses belonging to Russia&rsquo;s biggest online retailer, Wildberries, injuring 15 people, </b><span>according to the company&rsquo;s founder and regional governors. Zelenskyy said today that Ukraine had hit logistics hubs in the Krasnodar and Stavropol regions &ldquo;involved in providing the Russian army with drone components, navigation equipment and other gear.&rdquo; Dan Sales reports for </span><a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c36de9n4pxpo" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>BBC News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Civilian injuries and deaths increased by more than a third in Ukraine in the first half of the year, &#8203;driven by rising drone attacks</b><span>, the U.N. human rights &zwnj;office said yesterday. The office recorded a total of 1,396 deaths and 7,978 injuries in the first six months &#8203;of 2026, representing a 37% increase from the same &#8203;period last year. </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/un-reports-jump-ukraine-civilian-toll-driven-by-drone-attacks-2026-07-21/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>OTHER GLOBAL DEVELOPMENTS</i></b><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Anti-immigrant activists in South Africa have taken the law into their own hands by harassing, intimidating, and even forcibly evicting foreign nationals,</b><span> claiming immigrants are responsible for crime, unemployment, and pressure on public services despite evidence showing otherwise, the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/21/world/africa/south-africa-migrants.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span> reports. John Eligon and Zimasa Matiwane report.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>UNHCR said yesterday that 144 people have been reported dead or missing off the coast of Mauritania in an effort to reach Europe, following three rescue operations between July 14-18. </b><span>Arrivals of migrants and refugees to Europe by sea on the major routes are down by more than a third this year, &#8288;with &#8203;just over 40,000 arrivals compared with 65,407 &#8203;in the first half of 2025, U.N. data showed. But the number of deaths and disappearances &#8203;remains at &ldquo;alarming levels,&rdquo; UNHCR said. </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/un-refugee-agency-says-144-dead-or-missing-off-mauritania-2026-07-21/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>TECH DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>OpenAI said yesterday that two AI systems it was testing broke out of their test environment, accessed the internet, and hacked Hugging Face, a provider of open-source AI tools.</b> <span>The software had been configured &ldquo;for evaluation purposes&rdquo; to be less likely to refuse hacking commands, OpenAI said.</span><span> &ldquo;We consider this incident to be an unprecedented cyber incident, involving state-of-the-art capabilities.&rdquo; Robert McMillan and Amrith Ramkumar report for the </span><a href="https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/openai-models-escaped-and-hacked-a-company-in-cybersecurity-test-gone-wrong-ee388506?mod=hp_lead_pos6" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Wall Street Journal</span><span>. </span></a><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The United States and China are expected to hold their first official AI talks under the Trump administration in September, </b><span>with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent leading the U.S. delegation to discuss the risks, regulation, and security implications of advanced AI models, sources told </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/china/us-china-hold-ai-talks-september-sources-say-2026-07-21/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>. Laurie Chen reports.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. FOREIGN AFFAIRS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Trump has formally approved a 30-year civilian nuclear agreement with Saudi Arabia that could allow uranium enrichment in the kingdom, </b><span>according to administration officials. The deal is designed to give U.S. companies a central role in developing Saudi nuclear infrastructure while shutting out foreign competitors. </span><span>A key provision of the new accord would have U.S. companies build a uranium enrichment facility in Saudi Arabia if a joint U.S.-Saudi study determines that such a step is warranted. The deal is expected to be submitted to Congress for review in the coming days.</span><span> Michael R. Gordon and Stephen Kalin report for the </span><a href="https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/trump-approves-landmark-nuclear-deal-with-saudi-arabia-in-big-win-for-kingdom-2ed77584" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Wall Street Journal</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Trump announced yesterday on social media that he was &ldquo;directing his administration to allow U.S. airline carriers to fly directly to Lebanon so that Americans can easily visit this beautiful land.&rdquo; </b><span>Trump&rsquo;s announcement, which came after he met with Lebanese President Joseph Aoun, ends a prohibition that has been in place since Hezbollah hijacked a flight in 1985. Karoun Dermijian reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/21/us/politics/trump-lebanon-flights-ban.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The United States sent a humanitarian flight to Cuba yesterday, </b><span>the State Department said, the first part of a new $100 million assistance commitment. The State Department said the aid was being delivered by &#8203;Catholic Relief Services. </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/us-sends-first-humanitarian-flight-cuba-under-new-aid-package-2026-07-21/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Two studies have found that cuts by the Trump administration to U.S. funding for the global H.I.V. aid program PEPFAR led to the closure of at least 1,700 treatment sites,</b><span> disruptions to prevention and care services, and reduced access for high-risk groups and children, including a 14% decline in children receiving HIV treatment in 2025. The results are scheduled to be presented next week at a large international AIDS conference in Rio de Janeiro.</span><span> Apoorva Mandavilli reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/21/health/hiv-trump-cuts-pepfar.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani said yesterday that New York does not have the independent legal authority to arrest Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, but urged the federal government to do so.</b> <a href="https://apnews.com/article/new-york-mamdani-israel-netanyahu-arrest-warrant-5d2dc3bed6a30a2ee8b4e7fbaaa66603" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>U.S. officials have prepared options to allow Trump to launch new tariffs on dozens of countries as the president&rsquo;s 10 percent global duties expire this week, </b><span>sources told the </span><a href="https://www.ft.com/content/c31cdab6-b2cf-4754-9c84-73c3c848bcb3?syn-25a6b1a6=1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Financial Times</span></a><span>. Aime Williams reports.</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. IMMIGRATION DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>A federal judge issued an order on Monday blocking immigration authorities from deporting Jose Trinidad Rojas Pliego, </b><span>one of the witnesses in the fatal shooting of Lorenzo Salgado Araujo by ICE agents in Houston earlier this month. </span><span>The judge also barred ICE from transferring Rojas Pliego away from the Southern District of Texas without prior approval.</span><span> Camilo Montoya-Galvez reports for </span><a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/houston-ice-shooting-judge-blocks-deportation-witness/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>CBS News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. DOMESTIC DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>A federal appeals court on Monday rejected former President Joe Biden&rsquo;s effort to stop the Justice Department from releasing tapes and transcripts of interviews he had with his ghostwriter for his 2017 memoir. </b><span>The court said the decision would not take effect until Aug. 3 to allow Biden time to appeal. Karoun Dermijian reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/21/us/politics/biden-recordings.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>A federal appeals court yesterday </b><a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.cadc.40540/gov.uscourts.cadc.40540.01208871018.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>upheld</b></a><b> the criminal conviction of longtime Trump White House aide Peter Navarro for defying a subpoena from the congressional committee that investigated the Jan. 6, 2021 attack on the Capitol.</b><span> Kyle Cheney reports for </span><a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2026/07/21/appeals-court-upholds-peter-navarros-contempt-conviction-01006503" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>POLITICO</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Senate Intelligence Committee yesterday advanced Jay Clayton&rsquo;s nomination for director of national intelligence in a 9&ndash;8 party-line vote, sending it to the Senate floor,</b><span> Sen. Tom Cotton (R-AR) announced. Kaia Hubbard reports for </span><a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/jay-clayton-director-of-national-intelligence-senate-intelligence-committee/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>CBS News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>A software error in New Jersey mistakenly registered about 6,600 non-citizens as voters between 2023 and 2024, and fewer than 400 of them were found to have cast ballots,</b><span> Governor Mikie Sherrill (D) said yesterday. Sherrill added that there was no evidence the votes affected election outcomes. &ldquo;This latest incident underscores the absolute necessity of the SAVE America Act,&rdquo; White House spokeswoman Abigail Jackson said. Joseph Ax and Doina Chiacu report for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/us/hundreds-non-citizens-voted-new-jersey-due-software-error-governor-says-2026-04-13/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>TRUMP ADMINISTRATION ACTIONS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>The Trump administration announced yesterday that it was withholding an additional $1 billion in Medicaid funds from California and Minnesota as a result of suspected fraud in their public health insurance programs.</b><span> Sarah Kliff reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/21/us/politics/trump-administration-medicaid-california-minnesota-fraud.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>TRUMP ADMINISTRATION LITIGATION</i></b></p>
<p><b>The former U.S. attorney in Seattle who was fired from his post soon after federal judges in the area selected him filed a </b><a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.wawd.366075/gov.uscourts.wawd.366075.1.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>lawsuit</b></a><b> yesterday against the Trump administration,</b><span> arguing that his removal was unlawful. Melissa Quinn reports for </span><a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/roger-rogoff-us-attorney-seattle-trump-firing-lawsuit/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>CBS News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>A federal judge yesterday temporarily blocked the Trump administration from removing work permits for thousands of asylum seekers and immigrants with Temporary Protected Status. </b><span>The ruling pauses policies that would restrict employment authorization, with a decision on a longer-term block expected by August 5. Nate Raymond reports for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/legal/government/us-judge-blocks-trump-administration-stripping-immigrants-work-permits-2026-07-21/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
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<p><strong>ICYMI: Yesterday on<em>&nbsp;Just Security</em></strong></p>
<div>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146230/trust-but-verify-three-grand-jury-reforms-to-hold-the-government-accountable/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Trust, But Verify: Three Grand Jury Reforms to Hold the Government Accountable</a></p>
<p>By <span>Nathan Reilly</span></p>
<div>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148430/ai-surveillance-commercial-data-loophole/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">AI and the Commercial Data Loophole</a></p>
<p>By <span>Faiza Patel</span></p>
<div>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/147675/clausewitz-operation-epic-fury/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Clausewitz on Operation Epic Fury</a></p>
<p>By Michael Schmitt</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148692/early-edition-july-22-2026/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Early Edition: July 22, 2026</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-22T11:52:07+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Elisabeth Jennings</name></author>
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		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
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		<updated>2026-07-22T11:52:07+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="daily news roundup"/>

	<category term="other"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-21:/294082</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146230/trust-but-verify-three-grand-jury-reforms-to-hold-the-government-accountable/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=trust-but-verify-three-grand-jury-reforms-to-hold-the-government-accountable" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Trust, But Verify: Three Grand Jury Reforms to Hold the Government Accountable</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>No person shall be held to answer for a capital, or otherwise infamous crime, unless on a presentmen...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<blockquote><p><i><span>No person shall be held to answer for a capital, or otherwise infamous crime, unless on a presentment or indictment of a grand jury &hellip;</span></i></p>
<p><span>&mdash; Amendment V, United States Constitution</span></p></blockquote>
<p><span>Two hundred and fifty years since the nation&rsquo;s founding, and almost as many since the adoption of the Bill of Rights, the role of the grand jury in the American criminal justice system continues to spark debate. Recently, scrutiny of the grand jury and renewed calls to strengthen it as a bulwark against government overreach have grown more intense as courts have determined that federal prosecutors have engaged in misconduct in seeking indictments. Although the calls to amend and improve the grand jury process are not </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/29/opinion/carroll-comey-trump-blanche.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>new</span></a><span>, the Department of Justice&rsquo;s (DOJ) recent practices make plain the need for changes that will ensure fairer outcomes, impose accountability, and protect the rule of law.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>As outlined below, three targeted changes to Rules 5, 6 and 16 of the </span><a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/rules/frcrmp" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Federal Rules of Criminal Procedure</span></a><span> would give courts and defense counsel the necessary tools to verify that prosecutors have instructed grand juries correctly with respect to the law, and to hold them accountable when they have not. These proposed reforms would require disclosure of the complete grand jury transcript to the court in every indicted case, give defendants access to the legal instructions delivered to the grand jury, and require prosecutors to confirm on the record that the legal instructions they provided to the grand jurors were legally accurate.</span></p>
<h2><b>The Federal Grand Jury</b></h2>
<p><span>The grand jury is an institutional unicorn. Not a part of the legislative, executive, or judicial branches, it is, as the Supreme Court has noted, a </span><a href="https://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/504/36/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>&ldquo;constitutional fixture in its own right</span></a><span>.&rdquo; As U.S. District Judge William Ray recently </span><a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.gand.359862/gov.uscourts.gand.359862.37.0_3.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>observed</span></a><span>, the grand jury &ldquo;operates under the auspices&rdquo; of federal district courts, which summon and select individuals to serve as grand jurors and receives the grand jury&rsquo;s &ldquo;work product&rdquo; in the form of indictments and, simultaneously, the grand jury &ldquo;is an independent entity in many respects.&rdquo;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Federal grand juries are composed of 16 to 23 individuals who hear testimony and receive evidence in presentations orchestrated by federal prosecutors. The proceedings are not public and are governed by strict secrecy rules. No judge is present, nor is counsel for witnesses or for any target of an investigation. The grand jury conducts its business without judicial oversight and its work &ldquo;</span><a href="https://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/370/375/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>is generally free of judicial review</span></a><span>.&rdquo; Prosecutors alone are responsible for marshaling the evidence for the grand jurors and instructing them on applicable laws.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>After presenting evidence, prosecutors ask the grand jurors to vote on whether the evidence establishes probable cause &ndash; is it more likely than not &ndash; that an individual has committed the crimes the government is seeking to charge. If at least 12 grand jurors concur that probable cause exists, an indictment is issued (also called issuing a &ldquo;true bill&rdquo;) and the criminal case begins. If fewer than 12 concur, the indictment does not issue. Save for rare instances when a defendant waives indictment, the federal government cannot charge an individual with a felony absent grand jury approval. At its core, the grand jury&rsquo;s ultimate purpose is &ldquo;</span><a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.gand.359862/gov.uscourts.gand.359862.37.0_3.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>to help the prosecutor indict valid criminal charges.</span></a><span>&rdquo;&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><b>Grand Juries and the Trump DOJ</b></h2>
<p><span>The Trump Justice Department&rsquo;s use of the grand jury process to target the administration&rsquo;s perceived adversaries under aggressive charging theories has brought the grand jury back into the public eye in two distinct, yet interrelated ways. First, grand juries have taken the highly unusual step of refusing to approve proposed indictments. Second, where the DOJ has secured indictments, courts have taken the extraordinary step of dismissing indictments due to misconduct by DOJ attorneys in the grand jury proceedings.</span></p>
<h4><strong>Refusing to Indict</strong></h4>
<p><span>In pursuing individuals the president has publicly singled out as targets, the DOJ has sought indictments that grand juries, even in non-adversarial proceedings with no defense counsel present, have found wanting. Presented with proposed indictments, grand juries have refused to issue true bills.</span></p>
<p><span>The DOJ&rsquo;s high-profile failures to secure indictments have come in districts across the country. In the Eastern District of Virginia, federal prosecutors made </span><a href="https://www.ms.now/deadline-white-house/deadline-legal-blog/letitia-james-trump-doj-no-indictment" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>two unsuccessful attempts</span></a><span> to indict New York Attorney General Letitia James on charges of mortgage fraud. In Washington, D.C., the U.S. Attorney was</span> <a href="https://time.com/7377620/doj-grand-jury-slotkin-goodlander-kelly-indictment-illegal-orders-trump/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>unable to secure an indictment</span></a><span> for six federal lawmakers for calling on members of the armed services and intelligence community not to comply with unlawful orders. Additionally, DOJ&rsquo;s efforts to target individuals protesting government action have been turned back across the country, with grand juries declining to return indictments against individuals in </span><a href="https://www.cnn.com/2025/08/26/politics/pirro-grand-jury-alleged-fbi-agent-attacker" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Washington, D.C.</span></a><span>, </span><a href="https://news.bloombergtax.com/legal-ops-and-tech/grand-jury-declines-to-indict-two-chicago-area-ice-protesters" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Chicago</span></a><span>, and </span><a href="https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2025-07-23/protester-charges-essayli" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Los Angeles</span></a><span>. Remarkably, in one instance when faced with a grand jury&rsquo;s refusal to indict a protester, the U.S. Attorney in Los Angeles is </span><a href="https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2025-07-23/protester-charges-essayli" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>reported</span></a><span> to have directed his prosecutors to ignore DOJ&rsquo;s </span><a href="https://www.justice.gov/jm/jm-9-27000-principles-federal-prosecution#9-27.220" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>policy</span></a><span> and re-present the indictment even if they did not believe the case could be won at trial.</span></p>
<p><span>As grand jury proceedings are not open to the public and the transcripts of those proceedings are typically sealed, the total number of instances where a grand jury has rejected DOJ&rsquo;s proposed charges in recent years remains unknown. Aggregate numbers in state courts are similarly difficult to calculate, as jurisdictions typically do not systematically track no true bills. Nonetheless, DOJ&rsquo;s recent failures have been remarkable precisely because, historically, such refusals have been extremely rare. The DOJ&rsquo;s Bureau of Justice Statistics </span><a href="https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2026/02/27/what-to-know-about-federal-grand-juries/#how-often-do-federal-grand-juries-decline-to-indict-someone" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>last published</span></a><span> nationwide aggregate data about the number of &ldquo;no true bill&rdquo; votes by grand juries for the 2016 fiscal year. In that year and the three that preceded it, the number of instances in which grand juries issued no true bill was extraordinarily small, occurring in less than 1 out of 25,000 cases in the last year the totals were reported.</span></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1"><span>5 out of 196,969 concluded criminal matters (0.003%) </span><a href="https://bjs.ojp.gov/content/pub/pdf/fjs13st.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>(FY 2013)</span></a></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>14 out of 170,161 concluded criminal matters (0.008%) </span><a href="https://bjs.ojp.gov/content/pub/pdf/fjs14st.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>(FY 2014)</span></a></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>19 out of 163,005 concluded criminal matters (0.012%) </span><a href="https://bjs.ojp.gov/content/pub/pdf/fjs15st.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>(FY 2015)</span></a></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>6 out of 155,615 concluded criminal matters (0.004%) </span><a href="https://bjs.ojp.gov/content/pub/pdf/fjs16st.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>(FY 2016)</span></a></li>
</ul>
<h4><strong>Dismissed Indictments &ndash; DOJ Misconduct in the Grand Jury</strong></h4>
<p><span>Additionally, in recent months, federal judges in various districts have determined that federal prosecutors engaged in misconduct in grand jury proceedings and, as a result, have taken the extraordinary step of dismissing pending indictments. While, as noted above, courts do not oversee the day-to-day operations of grand juries, judges have the </span><a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.wyd.72796/gov.uscourts.wyd.72796.49.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>authority and duty</span></a><span> to dismiss indictments obtained in violation of a defendant&rsquo;s constitutional rights.</span></p>
<p><span>In November 2025, U.S. District Judge Cameron Currie </span><a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/rcna244775" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>dismissed</span></a><span> indictments against former FBI Director James Comey and Attorney General Letitia James because the individual who presented the cases to the grand jury, Lindsey Halligan, had no lawful authority to do so. Notably, although the Comey indictment was dismissed due to Ms. Halligan&rsquo;s lack of authority, the magistrate judge who </span><a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.vaed.582136/gov.uscourts.vaed.582136.191.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>examined</span></a><span> the grand jury record found additional instances of misconduct, including: (1) misstatements of the applicable law and (2) the filing of an indictment that was never presented to the grand jury. In May 2026, federal prosecutors in Chicago dismissed misdemeanor charges against protesters in the wake of a hearing before the Honorable April Perry. At the hearing, Judge Perry&rsquo;s inquiries revealed </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/21/us/chicago-ice-protesters-charges-dropped.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>multiple instances </span></a><span>of misconduct by prosecutors during the grand jury proceedings, including conducting inappropriate &ldquo;off the record&rdquo; contact with individual grand jurors, removing a grand juror who dissented from deliberations, and improperly vouching for the strength of the government&rsquo;s evidence.</span></p>
<p><span>Also in May 2026, a three-judge panel of federal district court judges </span><a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.wyd.72796/gov.uscourts.wyd.72796.49.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>dismissed</span></a><span> nine grand jury indictments, which charged a variety of crimes, due to misconduct by the U.S. Attorney for the District of Wyoming before the grand jury. The court determined that the U.S. Attorney for Wyoming effectively tainted the grand jury by improperly characterizing the defendants as &ldquo;murderers&rdquo; (although only one of the indictments charged murder) and vouching for the strength of the evidence against them. The judges also found that the government had eroded the independence of the grand jury when the U.S. Attorney</span> <span>handed out his business card and invited the grand jurors to reach out to him. Finding that the government&rsquo;s &ldquo;</span><a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.wyd.72796/gov.uscourts.wyd.72796.49.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>misconduct began with some of the first words spoken to the grand jurors by the U.S. Attorney</span></a><span>&rdquo; and that the &ldquo;misconduct continued to permeate the proceedings,&rdquo; the court dismissed the indictments that the grand jury had returned.</span></p>
<h2><b>Increasing Oversight and Accountability</b></h2>
<p><span>Calls to reform the grand jury process are not new. In 2000, the National Association of Criminal Defense Lawyers (NACDL) published ten proposed reforms in its &ldquo;</span><a href="https://www.nacdl.org/getattachment/0aebc59b-b21b-49ea-b7f9-7d3b1ea60255/federal-grand-jury-reform-report-and-bill-of-rights.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Bill of Rights for the Federal Grand Jury</span></a><span>,&rdquo; noting that grand jury reform efforts had been pending for decades with relatively few changes. </span><span>Broadly speaking, the proposed changes have focused on three categories of changes: (1) having the grand jury impose a more rigorous standard of review; (2) additional controls on the type of evidence the grand jury can (or must) receive; and (3) strengthening oversight of legal instructions the grand jury receives.</span></p>
<p><span>There is no need to repeat here the well-documented proposals with respect to the first two categories. Andrew Weissmann, a law professor and a former senior DOJ official, recently articulated a </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/29/opinion/carroll-comey-trump-blanche.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>proposal</span></a><span> to codify a &ldquo;higher factual standard&rdquo; that would allow grand juries to issue indictments only where they found &ldquo;clear and convincing&rdquo; evidence (as opposed to mere probable cause) that a crime had occurred. Similarly, the NACDL and others have advocated reforms to the type of evidence a grand jury can consider. Proposals include barring prosecutors from introducing evidence that the government knows would be inadmissible at trial and requiring prosecutors to disclose evidence that would tend to exonerate the target of the indictment.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Yet the reforms of the applicable standard of review and governing evidentiary issues will only be impactful if there is a meaningful oversight mechanism to ensure that government attorneys are complying with the law. As noted above, in the past year, courts have determined that DOJ&rsquo;s prosecutors acted improperly in a myriad of different ways, from providing incorrect instructions on the law and impermissibly &ldquo;vouching&rdquo; for the caliber of the evidence to dismissing skeptical grand jurors and providing judges with misleadingly redacted transcripts. As federal judges feel compelled by events </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/120547/presumption-regularity-trump-administration-litigation/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>to set aside </span></a><span>the long-held belief that federal prosecutors can be trusted to be taken at their word, the need to impose mechanisms that embody President Ronald Reagan&rsquo;s admonition to &ldquo;trust, but verify&rdquo; has never been greater.</span></p>
<p><span>Individual district courts have started to take steps to increase grand jury transparency:&nbsp;</span></p>
<ol>
<li aria-level="1"><span>In March 2026, the Chief Judge of the U.S. District Court for Washington, D.C. issued a </span><a href="https://www.dcd.uscourts.gov/sites/dcd/files/SO-No.%2026-09.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>standing order</span></a><span> requiring the grand jury foreperson to inform (in writing) the duty magistrate judge when the grand jury fails to return an indictment. The duty magistrate judge must, in turn, promptly inform the district&rsquo;s Chief Judge.&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>In May 2026, the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Illinois amended its local rules by adding </span><a href="https://www.ilnd.uscourts.gov/rules.php#Local_Criminal_Rules1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>LCR 6.2.1</span></a><span>, which requires the grand jury&rsquo;s foreperson to report in writing when the grand jury does not return an indictment against a defendant for whom a criminal complaint or information has been filed. A redacted copy of the report will ultimately be filed on the public docket.&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>In July 2026, the U.S. District Court for the District of Massachusetts proposed changes to its local rules which would (1) require the government to </span><a href="https://www.mad.uscourts.gov/general/pdf/announce/070826%20Public%20Notice%20re%20LR%20116.2.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>disclose</span></a><span> to a defendant any instance in which the grand jury had not returned a true bill, and (2) </span><a href="https://www.mad.uscourts.gov/general/pdf/announce/070826%20Public%20Notice%20re%20106.1.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>require</span></a><span> the grand jury&rsquo;s foreperson to report in writing when the grand jury does not return an indictment against a defendant for whom a criminal complaint or information has been filed. The government is required to provide a copy of this report to the defendant and defense counsel, if and when a complaint or information charging the defendant is unsealed.</span></li>
</ol>
<p><span>While the changes initiated by individual district courts are important steps towards transparency, this is an area where a uniform national approach should be adopted. Three amendments to the Federal Rules of Criminal Procedure (the &ldquo;Rules&rdquo;) would be easily implementable steps to ensure that grand juries are being properly instructed and to hold government attorneys accountable for their conduct.</span></p>
<ol>
<li aria-level="1"><span>&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/rules/frcrmp/rule_6" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>Rule 6</b></a><b>, which governs the grand jury, should be amended to require the disclosure, in every indicted case, of an unredacted copy of the entire grand jury transcript to the district court and magistrate judges assigned to a criminal matter. </b><span>This would enable the court to review the government&rsquo;s interactions with the grand jury and the sufficiency of legal instructions provided to the grand jury. Requiring production of the complete transcript would prevent the government from making selective redactions and, more generally, disincentivize government attorneys from having any inappropriate communications with grand jurors.</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/rules/frcrmp/rule_16" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>Rule 16</b></a><b>, which governs the parties&rsquo; discovery obligation, should be amended to require that, as part of pre-trial discovery, criminal defendants receive grand jury minutes that reflect the legal instructions (and any other commentary or recommendations) provided to the grand jury by the government&rsquo;s attorney. </b><span>This will enable defense counsel to provide well-informed advice to their client as to whether or not there is a basis to challenge the validity of a grand jury proceeding.</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/rules/frcrmp/rule_5" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>Rule 5</b></a><b> should be amended to provide that, at the first post-indictment proceeding when both the prosecutor and defense counsel are present, the court will issue a written and oral order (i) confirming the prosecutor&rsquo;s discovery obligations relating to grand jury proceedings and (ii) requiring the prosecutor to confirm on the record that the grand jury was provided with legally correct instructions prior to commencing its deliberations. </b><span>Such an amendment would track recent precedent. In 2020, Congress passed the </span><a href="https://www.congress.gov/116/plaws/publ182/PLAW-116publ182.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Due Process Protections Act</span></a><span>, which amended </span><a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/rules/frcrmp/rule_5" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Rule 5</span></a><span> by requiring each court, at the parties&rsquo; initial appearance, to issue an order reminding the government of its duty to disclose exculpatory information consistent with its obligations under </span><i><span>Brady v. Maryland</span></i><span>.</span></li>
</ol>
<h2><b>Conclusion</b></h2>
<p><span>A system predicated on customs and best practices is doomed to be viewed with suspicion when those playing a leading role have repeatedly demonstrated a willingness to disregard those norms. The grand jury is a venerable institution that, in recent times, has risen to the occasion to serve as a check on unrestrained government not because of how the system is designed, but in spite of it. We should now take steps to strengthen the grand jury as an institution by giving the courts and defense counsel additional tools to serve as a much-needed check on prosecutors&rsquo; authority.</span></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146230/trust-but-verify-three-grand-jury-reforms-to-hold-the-government-accountable/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Trust, But Verify: Three Grand Jury Reforms to Hold the Government Accountable</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-21T13:15:14+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Nathan Reilly</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-21T13:15:14+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="civil liberties"/>

	<category term="courts"/>

	<category term="courts &amp; litigation"/>

	<category term="democracy &amp; rule of law"/>

	<category term="democratic backsliding &amp; solutions"/>

	<category term="department of justice (doj)"/>

	<category term="executive branch"/>

	<category term="featured articles"/>

	<category term="federal courts"/>

	<category term="indictment"/>

	<category term="law enforcement"/>

	<category term="rule of law"/>

	<category term="trump administration second term"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-21:/294066</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148430/ai-surveillance-commercial-data-loophole/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=ai-surveillance-commercial-data-loophole" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">AI and the Commercial Data Loophole</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>In May 2026, the Pentagon announced that it had reached deals with eight AI companies&mdash;SpaceX, OpenAI...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>In May 2026, the Pentagon <a href="https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4475177/classified-networks-ai-agreements/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">announced</a> that it had reached deals with eight AI companies&mdash;SpaceX, OpenAI, Google, NVIDIA, Reflection, Microsoft, Amazon Web Services, and Oracle&mdash;to &ldquo;deploy their advanced AI capabilities on the Department&rsquo;s classified networks for lawful operational use.&rdquo; These deals came amid a public dispute between another top AI company, Anthropic, and the Department of Defense. Anthropic&rsquo;s Claude large language model (LLM) had been integrated into the military&rsquo;s classified systems as part of a pilot program. That contract had incorporated usage restrictions that <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/23/us/politics/pentagon-anthropic-ai.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">prohibited</a> the use of Claude for mass domestic surveillance and fully autonomous weapons systems. The Pentagon wanted to eliminate these restrictions and allow the deployment of Claude for &ldquo;any lawful use.&rdquo; When Anthropic refused, the Pentagon moved to blacklist the company from defense contracting; Anthropic has sued.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/pentagon-anthropic-feud-ai-military-says-it-made-compromises/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">According</a> to the Pentagon&rsquo;s Chief Technology Officer, no further restriction was needed, because mass surveillance of Americans is already barred by law and Pentagon policies. Except for Anthropic, AI companies have mostly gone along with this construction, with some (e.g., <a href="https://openai.com/index/our-agreement-with-the-department-of-war/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">OpenAI</a>) stating that their deals with the Defense Department ban mass domestic surveillance.</p>
<p>These reassurances obscure the central question: what counts as mass domestic surveillance? They rest on the unstated assumption that communications metadata and other forms of commercially available information&mdash;the detailed records of Americans&rsquo; movements, communications, and associations that the government (including the military) purchases from commercial data brokers&mdash;are outside the envelope of what counts as surveillance. The government also does not count foreign intelligence programs as mass domestic surveillance even though they sweep up Americans&rsquo; communications without a warrant. Yet both types of collection result in the acquisition of vast quantities of Americans&rsquo; information, posing serious risks to their privacy and civil liberties. Large language models only increase these risks by making it faster and easier to analyze data across large populations and generate inferences about Americans&rsquo; beliefs, associations, and behavior.</p>
<p>Before digging into the details, it is worth emphasizing that the danger of misuse is not hypothetical. The Trump administration has made no secret of its intention to use the government&rsquo;s <a href="https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/research-reports/trumps-orders-targeting-antifascism-aim-criminalize-opposition" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">full powers</a> against Americans who <a href="https://pod.wave.co/podcast/the-glenn-beck-program/glenns-tough-message-to-the-ice-shooters-mom-guests-todd-lyons-dr-jay-bhattacharya-92525" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">oppose</a> its policies. Thus far, the <a href="https://www.fema.gov/sites/default/files/documents/fema_gpd_ib-566-signed.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Department</a> of <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/06/30/ice-free-speech-new-york/3a1b39e4-74cf-11f1-b665-5f8be87f3787_story.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Homeland Security</a> and the <a href="https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/26371599-bondi-memo-on-countering-domestic-terrorism-and-organized-political-violence-1/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Department of Justice</a> have been the key agencies implementing this objective. At the same time, the administration has moved to bring foreign intelligence authorities to bear on domestic political activity. It has designated foreign groups as terrorist organizations, creating openings to investigate U.S. persons and organizations with any connection to them, however attenuated. The invocation of a foreign nexus could allow the Pentagon&rsquo;s surveillance capabilities to reach domestic actors.</p>
<p>The military has exploited the mantle of foreign intelligence for domestic political purposes before. During the Vietnam war, the Army&rsquo;s Continental US (CONUS) Intel program monitored and infiltrated civil rights organizations, anti-war demonstrators, and women&rsquo;s liberation groups. It ran some 1,500 agents and kept files on at least 100,000 Americans. And President Trump has shown an appetite for inserting the military into domestic matters. In 2025, he <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2026/02/11/national-guard-los-angeles-chicago-portland/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">deployed</a> more than 8,000 National Guard troops and active-duty Marines to six American cities to police protests. The Pentagon&rsquo;s new deals to deploy commercial LLMs on its classified networks provide his administration with a new and powerful surveillance capability that could be turned on Americans.</p>
<p>This post will analyze the risks LLMs pose in the context of commercially available information and a forthcoming second piece will address how they manifest in the context of foreign intelligence surveillance.</p>
<h2><strong>A Backgrounder on Metadata and Commercially Available Information</strong></h2>
<p>Metadata first burst into public debate when Edward Snowden <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/jun/06/nsa-phone-records-verizon-court-order" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">revealed</a> that the National Security Agency had been using its authority under Section 215 of the Patriot Act to collect records of Americans&rsquo; phone calls&mdash;including the phone numbers on either end of each call, along with the times the call started and ended&mdash;in bulk. Until then, most surveillance debates had focused on controlling government access to the content of communications. Snowden&rsquo;s revelations forced policymakers and the public to grapple with what metadata could reveal at scale. Former NSA and CIA director Michael Hayden went so far as to <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/10318/video-clip-director-nsa-cia-we-kill-people-based-metadata/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">declare</a> that &ldquo;we kill people based on metadata,&rdquo; an apparent allusion to certain <a href="https://www.thebureauinvestigates.com/stories/2014-01-23/more-than-2-400-dead-as-obamas-drone-campaign-marks-five-years" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">drone strikes</a> carried out by the Obama administration. Congress too recognized the threat to Americans&rsquo; privacy posed by bulk collection of metadata, first reforming and then <a href="https://www.congress.gov/bill/114th-congress/house-bill/2048/text/statute" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">shuttering</a> the program.</p>
<p>Around the same time, courts started to grapple with digital data held by third parties (such as banks or phone companies), which was traditionally considered <a href="https://tile.loc.gov/storage-services/service/ll/usrep/usrep425/usrep425435/usrep425435.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">outside</a> <a href="https://tile.loc.gov/storage-services/service/ll/usrep/usrep442/usrep442735/usrep442735.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">the scope</a> of Fourth Amendment protections. In 2018, the Supreme Court issued a landmark decision in <a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/17pdf/16-402_h315.pdf?inline=1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><em>Carpenter v. United States</em></a>, breaking from this doctrine. The Court held that seven days of historical location data from cell phone towers could be so revealing that the government needed a probable cause warrant to compel disclosure by phone companies. Such data, Chief Justice Roberts wrote, constitutes &ldquo;a detailed chronicle of a person&rsquo;s physical presence compiled every day, every moment, over several years.&rdquo; In June 2026, in <a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-112_0am4.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><em>Chatrie v. United States</em></a>, the Court <a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-112_0am4.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">extended</a> this rationale to the compelled disclosure of location history for even a short time, reasoning that it could reveal a person&rsquo;s visit to a psychiatrist, an abortion clinic, or a political rally.</p>
<p>By and large, the government has side-stepped this requirement. Agencies simply <a href="https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/research-reports/closing-data-broker-loophole" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">buy up</a> information on swaths of Americans&rsquo; movements, associations, and behavior on the commercial data marketplace, without any warrant, court order, or subpoena. They <a href="https://www.wyden.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/011521%20CTD%20Discussion%20RFI%20Response_redaction.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">take</a> the <a href="https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/hamedaleaziz/ice-dhs-cell-phone-data-tracking-geolocation" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">position</a> that the <em>Carpenter&nbsp;</em>warrant requirement does not apply to commercial purchases (e.g., data harvested by apps), but only to the compelled production of records (e.g., from a phone company). The result is that bulk collection of the type that Section 215 made controversial, including the collection of information (like location data) that would otherwise require a warrant to obtain, is now ubiquitous and accomplished at far greater scale via the private sector.</p>
<p>The Department of Defense has <a href="https://www.wyden.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/signed_wyden_letter_to_dni_re_nsa_purchase_of_domestic_metadata_and_ftc_order_on_data_brokers_with_attachments.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">acknowledged</a> that it is a customer in this market for commercial data but has not revealed the scope of its purchases and has only provided the most general justifications for acquiring this information. Documents disclosed by lawmakers and in the press suggest that these purchases are vast in scale. In 2020, <a href="https://www.vice.com/en/article/us-military-location-data-xmode-locate-x/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Motherboard reported</a> that U.S. Special Operations Command had bought access to location data harvested from a Muslim prayer app that had more than 98 million downloads worldwide along with other consumer apps with millions of users in the United States. In 2021, the New York Times <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2021/01/22/us/politics/dia-surveillance-data.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">reported</a> that the Defense Intelligence Agency <a href="https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/dni-to-wyden-on-commercially-available-smartphone-locational-data/5d9f9186c07993b6/full.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">receives</a> &ldquo;commercially available geolocation metadata aggregated from smartphones,&rdquo; including location data about devices and users in the United States. Multiple branches of the military have reportedly purchased access to a <a href="https://www.vice.com/en/article/us-military-bought-mass-monitoring-augury-team-cymru-browsing-email-data/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">database</a> of global internet traffic, updated with over 100 billion new records each day, including in some cases individuals&rsquo; browsing history and even the contents of their communications. According to the Pentagon, these large-scale warrantless purchases of information do not count as mass domestic surveillance.</p>
<p>Members of Congress have tried to close this gap. The <a href="https://www.congress.gov/bill/118th-congress/house-bill/4639" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Fourth Amendment Is Not For Sale Act</a>, which would prohibit federal agencies including the Defense Department from purchasing certain types of sensitive data they would otherwise need a warrant to obtain, <a href="https://clerk.house.gov/Votes/2024136" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">passed the House</a> in 2024 with bipartisan support, but the Senate failed to take it up. Similar legislation, including the bipartisan <a href="https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/senate-bill/4082/text" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Government Surveillance Reform Act</a>, remains pending.</p>
<p>What this means, <a href="https://www.anthropic.com/news/statement-department-of-war" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">according to</a> Anthropic&rsquo;s CEO, is that &ldquo;under current law, the government can purchase detailed records of Americans&rsquo; movements, web browsing, and associations from public sources without obtaining a warrant.&rdquo; Layering AI on this information would make it possible &ldquo;to assemble this scattered, individually innocuous data into a comprehensive picture of any person&rsquo;s life&mdash;automatically and at massive scale.&rdquo;</p>
<h2><strong>Increased Risks Raised by LLMs in the Context of Commercially Available Information</strong></h2>
<p>Section 215 of the Patriot Act involved the collection of a single type of information: phone metadata. The information the government now purchases spans dozens of channels, including location, browsing history, financial transactions, social media posts, and app usage. Well before the advent of LLMs, intelligence agencies fused these data streams into consolidated analytical environments, using tools like Palantir&rsquo;s <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/palantir-what-the-company-does/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Gotham</a> platform. The combined data could be used to surface a person&rsquo;s daily routines, networks of association, and recurring movements. It could produce what is called &ldquo;pattern of life&rdquo; analysis, creating an even more comprehensive picture than the one the Supreme Court found so concerning in the <em>Carpenter</em> case.</p>
<p>LLMs&mdash;even off-the-shelf products&mdash;can do more, and faster. Pre-LLM platforms built pattern-of-life analyses by matching datasets. They typically linked one dataset to another to find shared identifiers within them, such as a name or a telephone number. For example, ICE has used a Palantir tool, <a href="https://www.dhs.gov/sites/default/files/publications/privacy_pia_ice_falconsa_january2014.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">FALCON-SA</a>, to link records across government and commercial databases, surfacing previously unknown connections among individuals and organizations. LLMs, however, can identify a person from the substance and style of what they wrote or said, even in the absence of specific identifiers attached to the data. Several recent studies bear this out. LLM agents have <a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.16800" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">matched</a> pseudonymous accounts to public LinkedIn profiles. They have also <a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.05918" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">re-identified</a> some participants in a released interview dataset whose identifying details had been redacted.</p>
<p>These models also scale. Earlier tools required analysts to sort information into categories (e.g., name, telephone number) before analysis could begin. As the studies linked above show, however, LLMs can directly absorb unstructured material (e.g., reports, transcripts, posts) and extract facts and infer attributes. The result is that they have the capacity to process more data with fewer people, enabling mass profiling.</p>
<p>Conversely, an intelligence analyst can start with a characteristic and use an LLM to search the dataset for everyone who shares that characteristic. This capability may well be useful for intelligence work, but it can also be used to target people based on their political views. Indeed, studies have shown that LLMs can accurately infer <a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.11253" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">political</a> <a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2304.06588" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">ideology</a> and <a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.07298" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">demographic</a> attributes from text that does not explicitly disclose those attributes. An analyst can ask the system open-ended questions: Who in this dataset holds &ldquo;<a href="https://www.uscis.gov/newsroom/news-releases/uscis-to-consider-anti-americanism-in-immigrant-benefit-requests" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">unAmerican</a>&rdquo; views? Who is likely to take part in an ICE protest? Who is likely to organize an anti-abortion rally?</p>
<p>As developers themselves have recognized, the model&rsquo;s outputs can also be wrong, triggering serious consequences for individuals. OpenAI&rsquo;s report on a 2023 model <a href="https://cdn.openai.com/papers/gpt-4.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">warns</a> that it &ldquo;can be confidently wrong in its predictions&rdquo; and cautions that great care is warranted in high-stakes contexts. This is not an isolated flaw. One <a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.02151" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">study</a> of five LLMs found that they &ldquo;overestimate the probability that their answer is correct between 20% and 60%.&rdquo; Despite these inherent limitations, analysts may succumb to <a href="https://openscholarship.wustl.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1166&amp;context=law_lawreview" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">automation bias</a>, treating a system&rsquo;s output as presumptively correct. Institutional incentives only compound this tendency. Depending on the context, an analyst may reasonably fear blame for failing to act on a missed flag more than for acting on a false one. The consequences could be serious: a denial of immigration benefits on security grounds, a spot on a watchlist that is near impossible to challenge, extra scrutiny at the border, or a visit from a law enforcement officer.</p>
<h2><strong>The Current Rules are Inadequate</strong></h2>
<p>Existing rules and policies do not meaningfully address these risks. The activities of intelligence agencies are governed primarily by <a href="https://www.odni.gov/files/NCSC/documents/Regulations/EO_12333.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Executive Order 12333</a> and procedures implementing the order. These authorize the Defense Department to conduct a broad range of defense-related foreign intelligence and counterintelligence activities, including the collection of information about foreign governments, organizations, and persons, including international terrorists and <a href="https://policy.defense.gov/Portals/11/Documents/DoD%20Framework%20to%20Counter%20Drug%20Trafficking%20and%20Other%20Illicit%20Threat%20Networks%20May%202019.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">drug traffickers</a>. Some foreign intelligence information may also be used for <a href="https://www.congress.gov/bill/118th-congress/house-bill/7888/text#y410005a2-e80b-11f0-a1e4-69761a48a15a" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">immigration vetting</a>.</p>
<p>The types of foreign-linked activity that can be treated as a justifying collection for a foreign intelligence purpose may be stretched even further: the Trump administration has moved to investigate domestic civil society groups and their funders for their purported foreign ties. In 2025, it issued <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/09/countering-domestic-terrorism-and-organized-political-violence/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">National Security Presidential Memorandum 7</a> with the stated aim of combatting domestic terrorism. The memorandum is so broadly framed as to allow the government to target <a href="https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/research-reports/trumps-orders-targeting-antifascism-aim-criminalize-opposition" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">U.S. civil society entities and individuals</a> who engage in activities or support views that are adversarial to the administration. For example, even though the administration has generally <a href="https://www.justice.gov/ag/media/1388541/dl" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">limited</a> implementation of the Foreign Agents Registration Act, NSPM-7 <a href="https://www.federalregister.gov/d/2025-19141/p-13" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">calls for</a> investigations under this law of non-governmental institutions and funders that support a range of supposedly anti-fascist views, including anti-American, anti-capitalist, and anti-Christian. It also has deployed terrorism designations against groups in its crosshairs&mdash;such as <a href="https://www.state.gov/releases/office-of-the-spokesperson/2025/11/designations-of-antifa-ost-and-three-other-violent-antifa-groups" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">alleged antifa affiliates</a> in Europe and <a href="https://ofac.treasury.gov/recent-actions/20260121" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Palestinian non-profits</a>&mdash;creating an opening to use foreign intelligence authorities to <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/36826/designate-muslim-brotherhood-foreign-terrorist-organization/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">investigate U.S. organizations</a> with any connection to the designated entities, however attenuated.</p>
<p>The malleability of the foreign intelligence framework is compounded by the weakness of rules designed to prevent abuse. The 2024 <a href="https://www.dni.gov/files/ODNI/documents/CAI/Commercially-Available-Information-Framework-May2024.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Policy Framework for Commercially Available Information</a> contemplates heightened protections for &ldquo;sensitive&rdquo; commercially available information (CAI). But it notably fails to specify even the most obvious categories of sensitive CAI, such as data that allows location tracking. As noted above, the Supreme Court in <em>Carpenter </em>held that the government must obtain a warrant to obtain cell phone data that allows sustained location tracking, a holding that it recently extended to short-term location tracking in <em>Chatrie</em>. Instead, each agency must decide on the sensitivity of datasets, based on whether the data: 1) contain a &ldquo;substantial&rdquo; volume of Americans&rsquo; personally identifiable information; or 2) contain a greater than &ldquo;de minimis&rdquo; volume of Americans&rsquo; activities that establish a &ldquo;pattern of life&rdquo; over an extended period. By doing so, as my Brennan Center colleagues have <a href="https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/intelligence-communitys-policy-commercially-available-data-falls-short" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">explained</a>, the framework lets each agency decide contested issues such as what counts as a &ldquo;substantial volume&rdquo; of Americans&rsquo; information or whether data reveals a &ldquo;pattern of life.&rdquo; Similarly, although the framework identifies several potentially useful controls (e.g., restricting access, requiring written justification and approval, deleting U.S. person information from datasets), agencies get to decide which of these are needed. Many of these, as I will explain in my forthcoming piece on AI and Warrantless Foreign Intelligence Surveillance, may be rendered less effective with the deployment of LLMs. The CAI Framework does not address this possibility.</p>
<p>In 2024, President Biden issued a <a href="https://bidenwhitehouse.archives.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2024/10/24/memorandum-on-advancing-the-united-states-leadership-in-artificial-intelligence-harnessing-artificial-intelligence-to-fulfill-national-security-objectives-and-fostering-the-safety-security/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">National Security Memorandum on AI</a> and accompanying <a href="https://data.aclum.org/storage/2025/01/WhiteHouse_ai_gov_wp-content_uploads_2024_10_NSM-Framework-to-Advance-AI-Governance-and-Risk-Management-in-National-Security.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">framework</a> to regulate the use of AI systems across national security data holdings, including CAI. As I have previously explained, the memorandum and framework were an important step forward but left agencies with too much discretion to decide on whether to apply safeguards and was almost <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/104242/memorandum-ai-national-security/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">entirely dependent</a> on internal oversight. On June 5, 2026, the Trump administration rescinded the Biden memorandum and framework, replacing it with National Security Presidential <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2026/06/national-security-presidential-memorandum-nspm-11/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Memorandum 11</a>. The new Trump AI memorandum broadly states that the use of AI for national security &ldquo;must always be&nbsp;consistent with United States civil liberties and protections afforded by the Constitution and laws and regulations safeguarding the privacy of American citizens,&rdquo; but provides no details on how this mandate is to be executed. A policy framework for national security AI governance and safeguards is slated to be issued in September 2026. As it stands though, the rules are far from adequate to address the risks posed by CAI amplified by LLMs.</p>
<h2><strong>Conclusion</strong></h2>
<p>Whether the Pentagon&rsquo;s collection and use of Americans&rsquo; data counts as &ldquo;mass domestic surveillance&rdquo; turns on how the term is defined. The government places its purchases of commercial information about Americans outside the surveillance envelope because it is not compelling production. But what should concern us is the outcome: the collection and analysis of vast quantities of Americans&rsquo; information, regardless of how the information is acquired. By that measure, LLMs increase the civil liberties risks of the Defense Department&rsquo;s data holdings, and the rules meant to address those risks do not meaningfully mitigate them.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148430/ai-surveillance-commercial-data-loophole/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">AI and the Commercial Data Loophole</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-21T13:05:04+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Faiza Patel</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-21T13:05:04+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="ai &amp; emerging technology"/>

	<category term="artificial intelligence (ai)"/>

	<category term="civil liberties"/>

	<category term="congress"/>

	<category term="data"/>

	<category term="democracy &amp; rule of law"/>

	<category term="department of defense (dod)"/>

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</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-21:/294067</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/147675/clausewitz-operation-epic-fury/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=clausewitz-operation-epic-fury" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Clausewitz on Operation Epic Fury</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>The ceasefire that temporarily halted major combat operations in Operation Epic Fury, the U.S. campa...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p><span>The ceasefire that temporarily halted major combat operations in </span><a href="https://www.centcom.mil/OPERATIONS-AND-EXERCISES/EPIC-FURY/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Operation Epic Fury</span></a><span>, the U.S. campaign against Iran that began on Feb. 28, has now collapsed. Just weeks after the </span><a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4gy700j0eko" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Memorandum of Understanding</span></a><span> (MOU) was signed in mid-June, Iran began attacking commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz, the United States struck Iranian targets in retaliation, and President Donald Trump </span><a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/clyw8w1g409o" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>declared</span></a><span> the ceasefire &ldquo;over.&rdquo; Iran&rsquo;s subsequent shutdown of the Strait triggered a shift from tit-for-tat exchanges to sustained combat. The United States has now blockaded Iranian ports; Iran has attacked Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Jordan, and Qatar; oil prices have spiked; and markets have plunged. Iranian Supreme Leader </span><a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c78xxg05w0zo" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Mojtaba Khamenei</span></a><span> &ndash; son of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who was killed in Operation Epic Fury&rsquo;s opening hours &ndash; has </span><a href="https://kayhan.ir/en/news/151689/leader-revenge-for-martyred-imam-%E2%80%98inevitable%E2%80%99" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>declared</span></a><span> that &ldquo;revenge is the will of the nation.&rdquo; This war is starting to take on the feel of a &ldquo;forever war.&rdquo;</span></p>
<p><span>The post-mortems that began when the fighting paused have now grown urgent as the United States tries to understand what went wrong and where to go from here. Much of the commentary has focused on whether Operation Epic Fury destroyed enough of Iran&rsquo;s nuclear infrastructure and missile capability to justify its human and material costs; whether the Strait of Hormuz will open and, if so, under what conditions; and whether any negotiated settlement can be salvaged. Such outcome-based assessments are both inevitable and necessary. But the deeper question about Operation Epic Fury is whether the decision to go to war, and the strategic design that governed its prosecution, satisfied the foundational requirements of sound strategy. Answering it, as every war college graduate knows, requires turning to </span><a href="https://www.britannica.com/biography/Carl-von-Clausewitz" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Carl von Clausewitz</span></a><span>&rsquo;s masterwork, </span><a href="https://www.amazon.com/War-Indexed-Carl-von-Clausewitz/dp/0691018545" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>On War</span></i></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><span>Clausewitz, the 19</span><span>th</span><span>-century Prussian strategist, wrote about war in the aftermath of the Napoleonic campaigns. His goal was to explain why earlier theories of war proved inadequate during those campaigns, which for the first time involved the mobilization of a nation. But the questions he posed are the same as those that Operation Epic Fury raises today. Did the use of force serve a clearly defined political purpose? Was the right kind of war being fought with the right means? Were the conditions for termination set before the operation began?&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Here, I apply six of Clausewitz&rsquo;s core principles to this U.S. &ldquo;war of choice&rdquo;: war as the continuation of political intercourse, matching ends to means, the center of gravity, the culminating point, friction and uncertainty, and the paradoxical trinity. There is little doubt that in </span><i><span>purely</span></i><span> military terms, Operation Epic Fury has been impressive, for it has measurably </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-strikes-iran-strengthen-trumps-options-new-escalation-officials-say-2026-07-15/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>degraded</span></a><span> Iranian military capabilities with negligible, albeit tragic, casualties. But the strategic design &ndash; the architecture linking military action to political purpose &ndash; was deficient from the start. That deficiency is evidenced by Ali Khameni&rsquo;s replacement by hard-liners, the </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/why-has-iran-us-ceasefire-memorandum-frayed-2026-07-13/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>failed</span></a><span> diplomatic efforts to resolve the conflict, the continued uncertainty surrounding Iran&rsquo;s enriched uranium stockpile and nuclear ambitions, uncertainty over the future of passage through the Strait of Hormuz, the hemorrhaging of U.S. soft power in what many international law experts and global leaders believe to be an unlawful use of force under </span><a href="https://legal.un.org/repertory/art2.shtml" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Article 2(4)</span></a><span> of the United Nations Charter, and, most tellingly, continued fighting. In other words, Operation Epic Fury was a limited military success in the service of a strategic failure. Clausewitz&rsquo;s framework explains why.</span></p>
<h2><b>War as the Continuation of Political Intercourse</b></h2>
<p><span>Clausewitz&rsquo;s most well-known proposition is that &ldquo;war is not merely an act of policy but a true political instrument, a continuation of political intercourse, carried on with other means.&rdquo; In other words, &ldquo;the political object is the goal, war is the means of reaching it, and means can never be considered in isolation from their purpose&rdquo; (</span><a href="https://www.usmcu.edu/Portals/218/EWS%20On%20War%20Reading%20Book%201%20Ch%201%20Ch%202.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>On War</span></i></a><span>, p. 87 &ndash; all citations are to the 1984 </span><a href="https://www.amazon.com/War-Indexed-Carl-von-Clausewitz/dp/0691018545" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Howard and Paret</span></a><span> edition). Thus, he explains, war&rsquo;s &ldquo;grammar . . . may be its own, but not its logic&rdquo; (p. 605). Should war become &ldquo;divorced from political life . . . the many links that connect the two elements are destroyed and we are left with something pointless and devoid of sense&rdquo; (p. 605).&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The point is simple but fundamental. Before any operational planning occurs, political leadership must clearly articulate the political condition(s) the use of force is intended to produce &ndash; not which targets to strike, but rather the change in the adversary&rsquo;s behavior and the state of affairs sought. Only then will an operational plan, meant to map military means onto political ends, make sense.</span></p>
<p><span>Operation Epic Fury will likely be studied in war colleges for decades to come as a paradigmatic </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2026/03/07/why-us-fighting-iran-trump-administration/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>failure</span></a><span> of this foundational premise. The initial political objective appeared to be regime change, implied by the decapitation strike and Trump&rsquo;s </span><a href="https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2026/06/15/us-launched-13000-air-strikes-on-iran-for-what/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>exhortation</span></a><span> to Iranians to &ldquo;take over your government&rdquo; &ndash; a flight of fancy given the limited scope of the military operations, especially the lack of a ground component to the U.S.-Israeli operation. Within days, Vice President JD Vance </span><a href="https://www.npr.org/2026/03/05/nx-s1-5684975/iran-war-jd-vance-trump-minnesota" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>characterized</span></a><span> regime change as &ldquo;incidental&rdquo; to the primary nuclear denial objective. At the same time, Secretary of State Marco Rubio framed the operation around ballistic missiles and the Iranian navy. The White House eventually </span><a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2026/03/operation-epic-fury-decisive-american-power-to-crush-irans-terror-regime/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>settled</span></a><span> on four stated objectives: obliterating Iran&rsquo;s ballistic missile arsenal, annihilating its navy, severing proxy support, and ensuring Iran would never acquire a nuclear weapon. The political objective now includes opening the Strait of Hormuz, which was, of course, open when Operation Epic Fury was launched. And the nuclear objective has been toned down to securing an agreement constraining Iran&rsquo;s capability rather than eliminating it.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>These shifting sands reflect a chaotic lack of strategic clarity about the war&rsquo;s purpose(s). Each shift in the central political objective undermined the planning assumptions that governed the preceding phase. This war has become a testament to Clausewitz&rsquo;s insight that mistaking means for ends leaves the statesman with something &ldquo;pointless and devoid of sense.&rdquo;</span></p>
<h2><b>The Kind of War</b></h2>
<p><span>Clarity in setting the political objectives of war, the ends, permits shaping the use of force to achieve them, the means. Accordingly, Clausewitz emphasizes that the &ldquo;first, the supreme, the most far-reaching act of judgment that the statesman and commander have to make is to establish by that test the kind of war on which they are embarking; neither mistaking it for, nor trying to turn it into, something that is alien to its nature.&rdquo; (p. 88). He explains,</span></p>
<blockquote><p><span>No one starts a war&ndash;or rather, no one in his senses ought to do so&ndash;without first being clear in his mind what he intends to achieve by that war and how he intends to conduct it. The former is its political purpose; the latter its operational objective. This is the governing principle which will set its course, prescribe the scale of means and effort which is required, and make its influence felt throughout down to the smallest operational detail. (p. 579)</span></p></blockquote>
<p><span>For Clausewitz, war can be &ldquo;limited,&rdquo; in the sense of pursuing bounded aims, or &ldquo;absolute,&rdquo; in which the goal is the &ldquo;enemy&rsquo;s overthrow&rdquo; (pp. 610, 578). The political objectives determine which kind of war is required to achieve them, and therefore, </span><i><span>inter alia,</span></i><span> the scale and composition of forces, the geographical scope of operations, the likely duration of the fighting, coalition architecture, the diplomatic maneuvering required to terminate the conflict, and any post-conflict resources that may be needed. Absent a match between the political objective and the type of war planned, success is unlikely, no matter how well the military executes its operations.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Moreover, war is a two-way proposition. Clausewitz points out that the &ldquo;degree of force that must be used against the enemy depends on the scale of political demands on </span><i><span>either</span></i><span> side&rdquo; (emphasis added). Thus, &ldquo;We must gauge the strength and situation of the opposing state. We must gauge the character and abilities of its government and people&rdquo; (pp. 585-586). Without knowing one&rsquo;s own political objective, it is difficult to assess how hard the enemy will fight to protect it. Without knowing that, the plan becomes speculative, based on hope. And, as every military planner knows, &ldquo;hope is not a plan.&rdquo;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Operation Epic Fury pursued a range of objectives simultaneously, each requiring different force structures and operational approaches. To the extent that the end state was the weakening of Iran&rsquo;s regional military capabilities, the forces available to U.S. Central Command were well-positioned to conduct a limited offensive war to do so.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>That said, they </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2026/05/07/cia-intelligence-iran-trump-blockade-missiles/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>proved insufficient</span></a><span> to deprive Iran of significant residual military capabilities, as evidenced by Iran&rsquo;s continued ability to close the Strait of Hormuz and to mount attacks against U.S. forces and partners in the region. And regime change was an altogether different proposition, one requiring Clausewitz&rsquo;s absolute war. It required a force and operational plans (including non-military lines of effort) capable not only of decapitating Iran but also of ensuring a suitable successor authority. Effective regime change would also require a plan to stabilize the situation internationally and diplomatically. The point that seems to have been missed is that regime change in and of itself is never sufficient; it is the &ldquo;day after&rdquo; that matters.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Moreover, regime change was the likeliest way to ensure Iran severed ties with its proxy terrorist groups. Without the means to secure regime change, it is difficult to see how that end could be accomplished. In fact, Operation Epic Fury only deepened Iran&rsquo;s reliance on asymmetric means, such as proxy operations, to compensate for the degradation of its conventional forces.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>And the plan appears to have failed to account for the likely Iranian reaction, which did not treat the conflict as a limited operation against its military infrastructure, certainly not after its supreme leader was killed. For Iran, the conflict appeared existential, one that would justify absorbing high costs. It responded, predictably, with the full toolkit of assets available to it &ndash; missile and drone attacks on regional oil facilities and commercial hubs, activation of proxies in Lebanon and Iraq, Houthi operations in the Red Sea, and closure of the Strait of Hormuz.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Clausewitz had warned of precisely this dynamic: &ldquo;[U]ncertainties . . . make it difficult to gauge the amount of resistance to be faced and, in consequence, the means required and the objectives to be set. Since in war too small an effort can result not just in failure but in positive harm, each side is driven to outdo the other, which sets up an interaction&rdquo; (pp. 585&ndash;586). The failure to account for Iranian political objectives and the means Iran would deploy to pursue them produced an asymmetry between U.S. planning assumptions and Iranian strategic behavior, a predictable consequence of ends-means confusion at the outset.</span></p>
<h2><b>The Center of Gravity</b></h2>
<p><span>Among Clausewitz&rsquo;s most important operational concepts is how military force should be directed. He explains,&nbsp;</span></p>
<blockquote><p><span>[O]ne must keep the dominant characteristics of both belligerents in mind. Out of these characteristics a certain center of gravity develops, the hub of all power and movement, on which everything depends. That is the point against which all our energies should be directed&rdquo; (pp. 595&ndash;596).&nbsp;</span></p></blockquote>
<p><span>The center of gravity is not necessarily the adversary&rsquo;s strongest military capability. Rather, it is the element of the enemy&rsquo;s political, military, or social structure that, if placed at risk, neutralized, or destroyed, is most likely to cause the enemy to stop resisting. That result may follow either because the enemy no longer has the capacity to continue or because it loses the will to do so after concluding that the costs of further resistance outweigh the expected gains. Clausewitz offers the examples, depending on what the enemy values and the attendant circumstances, of the enemy&rsquo;s army, capital, alliances, or, of particular significance here, the &ldquo;personalities of the leaders and public opinion&rdquo; (p. 596).&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Pinpointing the center of gravity determines where the decisive blow must land. Effort directed elsewhere, however destructive, can be helpful, but standing alone is unlikely to produce the strategic effect sought. Importantly, the center of gravity depends in part on the attacker&rsquo;s political objective. The center of gravity for one aim may not serve that purpose for another.</span></p>
<p><span>Operation Epic Fury illustrates Clausewitz&rsquo;s point about the center of gravity with particular resonance. If the political objective was nuclear denial, the optimal center of gravity was Iran&rsquo;s highly enriched uranium stockpile and nuclear facilities infrastructure. But the exact location, extent, and accessibility of enriched uranium were uncertain; indeed, the IAEA has been </span><a href="https://vifa-recht.de/blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>unable</span></a><span> to verify the stockpile&rsquo;s current size, composition, and whereabouts. The very fact that negotiations about Iran&rsquo;s nuclear capabilities were underway pursuant to the June </span><a href="https://arabcenterdc.org/resource/memorandum-of-understanding-between-the-united-states-of-america-and-the-islamic-republic-of-iran/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>MOU</span></a><span> (para. 8) demonstrated that the stockpile was not a vulnerable center of gravity. Therefore, a different center of gravity had to be identified. On the contrary, Operation Epic Fury had the countervailing effect of highlighting the utility of a nuclear deterrent against future attack.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>But if the political objective was regime change, the center of gravity was the Islamic Republic as a governing system. The decapitation strike was a logical move, but it rested on the assumption that Ali Khamenei was somehow irreplaceable, that his removal would break the Iranian leadership&rsquo;s will to resist. The opposite </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2026/03/05/iran-regime-top-leadership/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>happened</span></a><span>. A successor, </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2026/03/08/iran-supreme-leader-ali-khamenei-son-mojtaba/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>his son</span></a><span>, was quickly in place, and nationalist sentiment only grew.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>But the core center of gravity dilemma has been the failure to resolve which objective the United States was then, and is now, pursuing. Without that, it is nearly impossible to identify the vulnerable center of gravity to achieve that objective. After all, when the Clausewitzian &ldquo;hub&rdquo; is ill-defined, military force will be dispersed across competing targets, each operationally significant, none of them decisive. The result, as in this case so far, is a campaign that destroys a great deal and settles little.</span></p>
<h2><b>The Culminating Point</b></h2>
<p><span>Clausewitz understood that timing was essential, especially for recognizing when hostilities have reached the &ldquo;culminating point of victory&rdquo; &ndash; the moment when continued offensive action shifts from generating advantage to producing disadvantage (p. 566). The premise is that operations will eventually exhaust themselves. According to Clausewitz, &ldquo;a continued advance in an offensive campaign will usually swallow up the superiority with which one began&rdquo; (p. 570). As the attacker advances, its strength diminishes while the defender&rsquo;s relative position improves. A point is reached at which continued action no longer produces gains, and instead risks triggering an enemy response that generates consequences disproportionate to any remaining potential military advantage. The goal is to avoid crossing that point: &ldquo;one must know the point to which it can be carried in order not to overshoot the target; otherwise instead of gaining new advantages, one will disgrace oneself&rdquo; (p. 570).</span></p>
<p><span>To avoid overshooting the culminating point, the attacker must identify it in advance so it knows when its advantage has peaked. At the same time, the diplomatic instrument must be well prepared to exploit the situation once the culminating point is reached. This is essential because military coercion constitutes leverage only if the enemy knows which action will cause it to stop. Without clear settlement terms on the table at the culminating point, the operation is mere force, not a coercive strategy.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Operation Epic Fury starkly illustrates how failing to identify and act on the culminating point can drive an attacker into a mire from which it is difficult to extricate oneself. The surest evidence that the United States has crossed the culminating point is the current strategic situation. The United States now must negotiate for Iranian concessions that were in place before the conflict began, such as transit passage through the Strait of Hormuz. The pre-conflict sanctions regime will likely be dismantled, at least in part. And any conditions regarding enrichment and disposal of enriched uranium are likely to be no better than those under the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (</span><a href="https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/docs/jcpoa_what_you_need_to_know.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>JCPOA</span></a><span>) framework from which the first Trump administration withdrew in 2018.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>It is quite simple. Wherever the culminating point lay (if there ever was one), the United States has already passed it, as the initiative seems to have shifted to Iran despite continued U.S. military superiority. Indeed, in some limited respects, Iran is arguably in a stronger position than before the conflict, with the obvious exception of military wherewithal. Meanwhile, the risks of Iranian retaliation, regional escalation, disruption of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, and an indefinite U.S. commitment are seemingly increasing. This is precisely what Clausewitz predicted would follow from crossing the culminating point without converting military advantage into political result.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>But even if the culminating point had been correctly identified, the diplomatic instrument was ill-prepared to exploit it. The evidence lies in the sequential collapse of settlement attempts &ndash; the March ceasefire proposal, </span><a href="https://nsdsitrep.substack.com/p/sitrep-9" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>rejected</span></a><span> by Iran as Washington &ldquo;negotiating with itself&rdquo;; the </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2026/04/09/iran-war-ceasefire-trump-negotiations/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>fragile</span></a><span> April </span><a href="https://www.britannica.com/event/2026-Iran-war" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>ceasefire</span></a><span> that left the Strait of Hormuz contested and the nuclear question unresolved; and the June MOU, which lasted three weeks before Iran began attacking commercial shipping in the waterway the agreement was, in part, supposed to open. Now, serious fighting has resumed, and Trump has declared the maritime blockade is back in place. This is not the pattern of a diplomatic strategy pre-positioned to exploit military leverage at its peak. Rather, it is the pattern of a diplomatic strategy assembled reactively, under pressure, in an </span><i><span>ad hoc </span></i><span>manner, after most of the leverage that did exist had already been spent.</span></p>
<p><span>The timeline tells the story. The day after Operation Epic Fury began, Trump </span><a href="https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/a-timeline-of-trumps-shifting-statements-about-how-long-the-iran-war-will-last" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>described</span></a><span> the conflict as a &ldquo;four- to five-week&rdquo; operation. Days later, he labeled it a &ldquo;little excursion&rdquo; and declared that the United States was &ldquo;very far ahead of schedule.&rdquo; Over four months later, it is clear that if there ever was a culminating point, it has long since passed.</span></p>
<h2><b>Friction and Uncertainty</b></h2>
<p><span>Clausewitz understood that war rarely unfolds in practice as envisioned in the original plans: &ldquo;War is the realm of uncertainty; three quarters of the factors on which action in war is based are wrapped in a fog of greater or lesser uncertainty&rdquo; (p. 101). He added, &ldquo;[e]verything in war is very simple, but the simplest thing is difficult. The difficulties accumulate and end by producing a kind of friction that is inconceivable unless one has experienced war&rdquo; (p. 119).&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Friction operates at all levels of war &ndash; strategic, operational, and tactical. It can stem from poor intelligence, incompetent leaders, flawed assumptions, unanticipated enemy action or adaptation, domestic and international political reactions, economic disruption, and many other factors. A sound strategy must therefore remain viable even when key planning assumptions prove wrong. To do so, political and military leaders and planners must be alert to the distinction between what they know and what they expect, consider alternative developments, and retain sufficient flexibility to adapt military and diplomatic lines of effort. Campaign plans cannot depend on optimistic assumptions proving correct; they must be resilient in the face of the friction of actual war.</span></p>
<p><span>Operation Epic Fury appears to have relied on precisely such a chain of optimistic assumptions: that killing Iran&rsquo;s supreme leader would destabilize the regime or spark popular revolt; that Iran&rsquo;s nuclear capability could be extinguished despite uncertainty about the location of its enriched uranium; that Iran would regard the operation as limited despite the decapitation campaign; that Iran would not close the Strait of Hormuz; that the conflict would not spread to the Gulf States; and that attrition of Iranian military capabilities would lead to diplomatic concessions. None proved correct.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The Clausewitzian lesson is not that the United States should have anticipated the precise course the conflict would take. Rather, it is that its strategic design proved fragile when its central assumptions encountered friction. OEF was optimized for the opening attack, when U.S. military superiority was greatest, rather than for the uncertain political and military struggle that followed.&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><b>The Paradoxical Trinity</b></h2>
<p><span>War, Clausewitz argues, is never a purely military phenomenon. Rather, it is always shaped by the so-called &ldquo;Paradoxical Trinity&rdquo; &ndash; three forces that together define its character: &ldquo;primordial violence, hatred, and enmity&rdquo;; the &ldquo;play of chance and probability&rdquo;; and its subordination to policy, which &ldquo;makes it subject to reason alone&rdquo; (p. 89). These forces correspond to the people, the commander and his army, and the government, respectively, and they must remain aligned throughout the conflict. As Clausewitz observes, a &ldquo;theory that ignores any one of them or seeks to fix an arbitrary relationship between them would conflict with reality to such an extent that for this reason alone it would be totally useless&rdquo; (p. 89).</span></p>
<p><span>Operation Epic Fury misaligned all three. At the level of the people, the regime change aspiration assumed that killing Khamenei would rupture Iranian society and spark popular revolt. It did not. His successor was in place within hours; the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps took charge in large part, and nationalist fervor grew in the face of U.S. and Israeli attacks on the Iranian leadership. On the U.S. side, popular support </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/05/01/poll-trump-iran-war-iraq/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>eroded</span></a><span> rapidly as the supposed objectives kept shifting, the House of Representatives </span><a href="https://www.cnn.com/2026/06/03/politics/house-iran-war-powers-vote" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>voted</span></a><span> to limit the president&rsquo;s war powers in Iran (a non-binding rebuke), and the war&rsquo;s economic </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2026/03/27/consumer-sentiment-economy-gas-prices/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>disruption</span></a><span> drove up consumer prices and rattled the stock market.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>At the level of the government, the U.S. political direction of the war was never coherent. As discussed above, regime change, nuclear denial, destruction of the Iranian armed forces, and Strait access were asserted, abandoned, and reasserted at different moments by different officials. The governmental element of the trinity requires that rational policy calculation govern the resort to force and execution of the campaign. When the government&rsquo;s setting of political objectives appeared uncertain, it was difficult for the other two elements to remain aligned. After all, a commander cannot confidently calibrate military means to unclear ends, while the people cannot be expected to continue supporting a war whose purpose keeps shifting at the whim of the government&rsquo;s leaders. Iran suffered no comparable failure at this level. Condemnable as Iran&rsquo;s policies and objectives are, its government maintained a consistent political purpose throughout: resist, impose costs, and negotiate from strength.</span></p>
<p><span>At the level of the commander and his army, the operational achievements were impressive amid this chaos, as the military instrument performed with skill and discipline. But as Clausewitz observed, military performance cannot compensate for failures at the other two levels.&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><b>Concluding Thoughts</b></h2>
<p><span>I have</span> <span>set forth my views on the lawfulness of the decision to attack Iran elsewhere. Simply put, there was no basis in international law for Operation Epic Fury (see my </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/132180/us-iran-war-strike/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>analysis</span></a><span> with Tess Bridgeman and Ryan Goodman and the international law experts&rsquo; </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/135423/professors-letter-international-law-iran-war/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>letter</span></a><span>).&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>But not only was the operation unlawful, the decision to launch it violated foundational principles of war that have guided strategic and operational decision-making for well over a century. I have highlighted six from Clausewitz&rsquo;s </span><i><span>On War</span></i><span>, although there are more that bring into question the strategic wisdom of the operation, such as those dealing with alliances and war termination. Given their prominence in strategic thinking, it would seem that this was a war decided upon and guided at the strategic level of war by those who lacked not only the training, experience, and understanding to apply them effectively, but also the wisdom to listen to professionals in the security community, in and out of uniform, who surely knew them well.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Ultimately, though, the most fundamental error was the most basic one &ndash; proceeding into war without clear political objectives, without understanding where Operation Epic Fury needed to take the United States strategically. I am reminded, in this regard, of the exchange between Alice and the Cheshire Cat in Lewis Carroll&rsquo;s </span><a href="https://www.gutenberg.org/files/11/11-h/11-h.htm" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Alice in Wonderland</span></i></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<blockquote><p><span>&ldquo;Would you tell me, please, which way I ought to go from here?&rdquo;</span><span><br>
</span><span>&ldquo;That depends a good deal on where you want to get to,&rdquo; said the Cat.</span><span><br>
</span><span>&ldquo;I don&rsquo;t much care where&ndash;&rdquo; said Alice.</span><span><br>
</span><span>&ldquo;Then it doesn&rsquo;t matter which way you go,&rdquo; said the Cat.</span><span><br>
</span><span>&ldquo;So long as I get SOMEWHERE,&rdquo; Alice added as an explanation.</span><span><br>
</span><span>&ldquo;Oh, you&rsquo;re sure to do that,&rdquo; said the Cat, &ldquo;if you only walk long enough.&rdquo;</span></p></blockquote>
<p><span>The United States will eventually get somewhere in this conflict, but I doubt the administration knows where. I certainly don&rsquo;t.</span></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/147675/clausewitz-operation-epic-fury/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Clausewitz on Operation Epic Fury</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-21T12:50:10+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Michael Schmitt</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-21T12:50:10+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="armed conflict"/>

	<category term="collection: iran"/>

	<category term="deterrence"/>

	<category term="featured articles"/>

	<category term="international law"/>

	<category term="iran"/>

	<category term="iran nuclear deal (jcpoa)"/>

	<category term="islamic revolutionary guard corps (irgc)"/>

	<category term="israel and the united states at war (2025-2026 operations)"/>

	<category term="law of armed conflict/ihl"/>

	<category term="military"/>

	<category term="military objective"/>

	<category term="operation epic fury/operation roaring lion"/>

	<category term="regime change"/>

	<category term="un charter"/>

	<category term="united states (us)"/>

	<category term="use of force"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-21:/294068</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148592/early-edition-july-21-2026/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=early-edition-july-21-2026" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Early Edition: July 21, 2026</title>
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A curated weekday guide to major news and de...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Signup to receive the Early Edition in your inbox <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/newsletter-signup/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">here</a>.</p>
<p>A curated weekday guide to major news and developments over the last 24 hours. Here&rsquo;s today&rsquo;s news:</p>
<p><b><i>IRAN WAR</i></b></p>
<p><b>The United States conducted its 10th consecutive night of strikes on Iran, as Iran attacked a tanker off the coast of Oman in the Strait of Hormuz early this morning.</b><span> U.S. Central Command said today that it had </span><span>targeted &ldquo;Iranian military command centers, maritime capabilities, missile and drone launch sites and air defense systems.&rdquo; </span><span>Tehran also hit U.S.-allied countries throughout the Middle East. Jordan&rsquo;s military said today that Iran targeted it with five drones and three missiles, all of which were shot down. The State Department issued a warning yesterday, saying &ldquo;Iran and groups supportive of Iran may target other U.S. interests overseas or at locations associated with the United States and Americans throughout the world.&rdquo; Jon Gambrell reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-hormuz-strait-war-july-21-2026-1664f6a4dad005a99771b2ad15213585" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has slowed to a crawl during the latest violence.</b><span> Lloyd&rsquo;s List Intelligence said only three ships transited the strait on Sunday.</span><span> Jon Gambrell reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-hormuz-strait-war-july-21-2026-1664f6a4dad005a99771b2ad15213585" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Iranian ballistic missile attack on a Jordanian air base last week that killed two U.S. servicemembers struck prefabricated housing units, </b><span>according to U.S. officials. </span><span>Iran has circulated satellite imagery on social-media accounts showing what it says is damage to the base, including what appears to be a housing area. The attack </span><a href="https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/two-u-s-servicemembers-killed-one-missing-in-iran-missile-attack-on-jordan-a59f9699?mod=article_inline" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>on Muwaffaq Salti Air Base</span></a><span> was one of three separate missile strikes on the base in 24 hours. </span><span>Michael R. Gordon, Lara Seligman, and Robbie Gramer report for the </span><a href="https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/iran-missile-struck-housing-for-u-s-troops-at-jordan-base-9f5b8120?mod=hp_lead_pos3" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Wall Street Journal</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b>The Pentagon said yesterday that nearly 100 U.S. troops have been injured in the war with Iran over the last two weeks.</b><span> The &ldquo;vast majority&rdquo; of those injuries, it said, were &ldquo;mild concussions,&rdquo; adding that 96% have returned to duty. Pentagon spokesperson Sean Parnell said further updates would be posted to an online Pentagon database that was stagnant for days if not weeks, showing 14 troops dead and 427 troops injured since February. Dan Lamothe, Joshua Yang, and Mary Illyushina report for the </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2026/07/20/iran-retaliates-against-us-strikes-gas-returns-4-gallon/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Washington Post</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Iran&rsquo;s government is unlikely to feel significant impact or soften its negotiating positions as a result of new rounds of U.S. military strikes, </b><span>according to a new intelligence assessment described by current and former U.S. officials. U.S. intelligence analysts have also concluded that Tehran and Washington are, for now, stuck in an indefinite limbo between peace and war, the officials said. Warren P. Strobel and John Hudson report for the </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2026/07/20/us-strikes-unlikely-move-iran-intelligence-reports-say/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Washington Post</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>IRAN WAR &ndash; POLITICAL RESPONSE&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Qatar, Egypt, Pakistan and other regional mediators have presented the U.S. and Iran with a proposal for a 10-day ceasefire, </b><span>two regional sources told </span><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/21/iran-war-ceasefire-proposal-trump-troops" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Axios</span></a><span>. &ldquo;We told the U.S. and Iran that we propose a cooling-off period,&rdquo; one of the regional sources said. Esmail Baghaei, the Iranian foreign ministry spokesman, said yesterday that mediators had sent Tehran proposals for de-escalating tensions, but declined to offer details. The Trump administration is exploring the proposal and has urged Israel to avoid steps that could close the diplomatic window, U.S. officials said. A senior U.S. official confirmed that talks are continuing but said Trump has yet to finish retaliating for Friday&rsquo;s missile strike in Jordan. Yan Zhuang reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/20/world/middleeast/rubio-us-iran-war-diplomacy.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>; Barak Ravid reports.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>IRAN WAR &ndash; LEBANON</i></b></p>
<p><b>Lebanese President Joseph Aoun will meet with President Trump today in Washington.</b><span> Kareem Chehayed reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/lebanon-president-hezbollah-trump-aoun-israel-e0364d0334c2f4d888d2b3970c9fe5b1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Lebanese army troops began deploying in the southern Lebanese town of Zawtar al-Gharbiyeh today after Israeli forces withdrew from the area,</b><span> a senior Lebanese security official said, in line with a U.S.-brokered plan. The plan foresees Lebanese forces confiscating weapons from Hezbollah in parts of southern Lebanon and phased withdrawals of Israeli troops. The Israeli military &#8203;said yesterday that the plan, dubbed the pilot zone programme, had begun. &#8203;</span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/lebanese-army-deploys-southern-town-after-israeli-withdrawal-official-says-2026-07-21/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>IRAN WAR &ndash; OTHER DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Israeli intelligence believes Iran moved thousands of uranium-enrichment centrifuges into tunnels deep inside Pickaxe Mountain last autumn,</b><span> according to U.S. and Israeli officials.&nbsp; Activity around Pickaxe has continued steadily for the past 15 months, with truck traffic, tunnel reinforcements, and a security perimeter springing up, the Institute for Science and International Security said. </span><span>&ldquo;It is plausible that Iran moved centrifuges into the tunnels&rdquo; in Pickaxe, said David Albright, the institute&rsquo;s president. </span><span>Laurence Norman, Anat Peled, and Alexander Ward report for the </span><a href="https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israel-believes-iran-moved-nuclear-centrifuges-into-pickaxe-mountain-d29d21c0?mod=hp_lead_pos2" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Wall Street Journal</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>YEMEN&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Yemen&rsquo;s Iran-backed Houthi rebels said yesterday that they would impose a blockade on Saudi ships passing through the Bab al-Mandab Strait, </b><span>the southern portal to the Red Sea. Yahya Saree, a Houthi military spokesman, said that the move came in response to what he called a &ldquo;continued Saudi siege&rdquo; on Yemen. A full closure of the Bab el-Mandeb strait would halt Saudi oil exports to Asia and could reduce global oil supply by 7%. Aaron Boxerman, Ismaeel Naar, and Sanam Mahoozi report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/07/20/world/iran-war-strikes-trump-hormuz" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>; Nayera Abdallah and Timour Azhari report for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/yemens-houthis-declare-naval-blockade-against-saudi-arabia-statement-2026-07-20/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>RUSSIA-UKRAINE WAR&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>A Russian cruise missile on Sunday hit a Guinea-Bissau-flagged ship off the coast of Odesa, killing at least 10 people, </b><span>Ukraine&rsquo;s seaports authority said. India confirmed that four of its citizens died in the attack. The Odesa region in Ukraine has come under sustained Russian attack in recent weeks. 28 people died in Russian strikes on the region in July, Odesa Governor Oleh Kiper said yesterday. Laura Gozzi reports for </span><a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c4gvpv3ewv2o" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>BBC News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Ukraine fired more than 400 drones toward Moscow yesterday, </b><span>Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin said. Moscow&rsquo;s regional governor said 10 people were wounded, while several residential buildings and civilian infrastructure were damaged. </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-drones-missiles-zelenskyy-f42baa61109fcb43b7efabf5334c4f50" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>ISRAEL-HAMAS WAR&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>An Israeli airstrike yesterday killed a father, his wife, and their four children in Gaza City,</b><span> health officials said. The Israeli military confirmed the strike, saying its target was a Hamas militant and it was still looking into the result of the attack. The latest deaths add to a toll of more than 1,150 Palestinians, mostly civilians, killed by Israeli attacks since an October ceasefire between Israel and Hamas took effect, according to Gaza health officials. Nidal Al-Mughrabi and Dawoud Abu Alkas report for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israeli-airstrike-kills-family-six-gaza-medics-say-2026-07-21/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Hamas has named Khalil Al-Hayya as its overall leader, </b><span>according to a statement yesterday. Hayya replaces Yahya Sinwar, who was killed in combat with Israeli forces in October 2024. Hayya is seen as more hardline than Khaled Meshaal, the head of the group&rsquo;s office in exile and the other frontrunner for the leadership. Nidal Al-Mughrabi and Eman Abouhassira report for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/hamas-names-khalil-al-hayya-new-leader-statement-says-2026-07-20/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Israeli military is quietly but quickly building a giant earthen barrier separating the over 50% of Gaza that it controls from the rest of the territory, </b><span>according to satellite imagery. The Israeli military confirmed to AP News that it has built a physical barrier in the area of the so-called yellow line. The line was envisioned in the U.S.-backed agreement as a temporary division of the territory pending a fuller Israeli withdrawal. Lee Keath and Julia Frankel report for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/israel-gaza-yellow-line-barrier-ceasefire-941ed80f6d4398ce88916f6b08753dd8" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b><i>OTHER GLOBAL DEVELOPMENTS</i></b><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>&ldquo;There will never be elections here again,&rdquo; Nicaraguan President Daniel Ortega said on Sunday at a rally marking the 47th anniversary of his leftist movement&rsquo;s revolution.</b><span> He accused his opponents of trying to use elections &ldquo;to seize the government, to seize power.&rdquo; Nicaragua had been expected to hold a presidential vote next year, a year later than promised after the nation&rsquo;s Congress extended Ortega and his wife and co-president Rosario Murillo&rsquo;s term. Jack Nicas and James Wagner report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/20/world/americas/nicaragua-ortega-abolish-elections.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Militants linked to al Qaeda and a Tuareg-led separatist group ambushed a military convoy in northern Mali over the weekend, killing more than 50 soldiers and allied Russian fighters,</b><span> a source said. </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/mali-insurgents-ambush-army-convoy-source-says-more-than-50-killed-2026-07-20/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The U.N. Secretary General&rsquo;s Special Representative for Children and Armed Conflict, Vanessa Frazier, told a Security Council meeting yesterday that children in Haiti have reported being jailed for years without appearing before a judge.</b><span> Sarah Morland reports for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/haitian-children-jailed-years-without-facing-judge-un-official-says-2026-07-20/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. FOREIGN AFFAIRS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>FBI Director Kash Patel is planning to visit Russia later this year, likely in mid-October, </b><span>according to a U.S. official and another source. The officials said Patel&rsquo;s host is likely to be the FSB, the Russian security service that is heir to the Soviet-era KGB. Nahal Toosi, Kyle Cheney, and John Sakellariadis report for </span><a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2026/07/20/kash-patel-fbi-russia-trip-01005078" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>POLITICO</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Trump administration said yesterday that it will impose an additional 50% tariff on certain Canadian goods.</b><span> The tariffs, which take effect next month, will be imposed under Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930 &ndash; a never-before-used authority. A senior administration official said the tariffs were not the wildfire tariffs that Trump had earlier threatened, though the official added that options on that front remain under consideration. Courtenay Brown reports for </span><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/20/trump-tariffs-canada-trade-war" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Axios</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Trump said yesterday that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu would not be arrested in the United States, &ldquo;in any way, shape, or form.&rdquo; </b><span>Trump&rsquo;s comments came after New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani said he was looking into whether he can arrest Netanyahu when he visits the U.N. headquarters in September. Ephrat Livni reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/20/world/middleeast/israel-un-mamdani-netanyahu-arrest.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Lockheed Martin is in talks with the U.S. government about building a new, lower-cost model of the Patriot missiles overseas, </b><span>according to Frank St John, the company&rsquo;s chief operating officer. Lockheed would look for European suppliers for everything from solid rocket motors to guidance electronics as part of the plan, St John told the </span><a href="https://www.ft.com/content/f567af77-801a-48b2-ba59-cf033f599701?syn-25a6b1a6=1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Financial Times</span></a><span> in an interview. The company could also look to produce the missiles in partnership with a European group, he said. Sylvia Pfeifer reports.</span></p>
<p><b>Eight sources told </b><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/diplomatic-efforts-seek-avert-trump-split-with-un-refugee-agency-sources-say-2026-07-20/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>Reuters</b></a><b> that the Trump administration has been considering cutting ties with the U.N. refugee agency, UNHCR.</b><span> Several sources said a decision had been expected last week, but no announcement was made, suggesting that the lobbying effort by diplomats and U.N. officials may have helped delay or avert the move. Emma Farge, Olivia Le Poidevin, Simon Lewis, and David Brunnstrom report.</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. DOMESTIC DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>A federal judge yesterday issued a temporary restraining order, pausing Paramount Skydance&rsquo;s $110 billion merger with Warner Bros. Discovery for 14 days.</b><span> Scott Nover reports for the </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2026/07/20/paramount-skydances-110b-merger-with-warner-bros-discovery-paused-by-judge/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Washington Post</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>A former U.S. Army soldier was detained yesterday after officials said he set off an incendiary device at 26 Federal Plaza in Lower Manhattan,</b><span> a federal building housing agencies including the Department of Homeland Security. Although officials have not established a motive for the attack, an FBI official said that the veteran made derogatory statements about ICE in an interview with investigators and said he planned to harm more people. Ashley Southall, Chelsea Rose Marcius, Nate Schweber, and Luis Ferre-Sadurni report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/20/nyregion/nyc-explosion-federal-plaza-manhattan.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Trump administration is negotiating directly with Senators Thom Tillis (R-NC) and John Cornyn (R-TX), whose votes are crucial to advancing Attorney General nominee Todd Blanche</b><span>, as both senators seek changes to a controversial settlement that created a potential $1.8 billion &ldquo;anti-weaponization fund&rdquo; and limited IRS audits of Trump and his family. Chris Marquette and Jordain Carney report for </span><a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2026/07/20/cornyn-tillis-blanche-confirmation-undecided-01005794" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>POLITICO</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Justice Department told the New York Times last week that it had issued subpoenas to third-party phone service providers seeking journalists&rsquo; phone and text messaging records</b><span> as part of a leak investigation into reporting about security concerns around Trump&rsquo;s new Air Force One. The New York Times is </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/07/20/us/letter-motion-in-response-to-government-letter-re-additional-subpoenas.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>challenging</span></a><span> the subpoenas in court, arguing they violate Justice Department guidelines and are an unusually broad effort to identify confidential sources and intimidate the press. Michael M. Grynbaum reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/20/business/media/new-york-times-subpoenas-phone-records.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>TRUMP ADMINISTRATION ACTIONS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said yesterday that Trump&rsquo;s new Air Force One will be taken out of service for about a month this fall for &ldquo;additional upgrades and enhancements.&rdquo; </b><span>Tyler Pager reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/20/us/politics/new-air-force-one-upgrades.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Trump quietly denied nearly 6,000 clemency applications this month, despite earlier expectations that a large wave of pardons might be issued around the U.S. 250th anniversary.</b><span> Kenneth P. Vogel and Alan Feuer report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/20/us/politics/trump-rejected-clemency-applications.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Chris Fall, director of the Center for AI Standards and Innovation, has resigned just three months after taking over the federal AI testing institute, </b><span>the Commerce Department confirmed yesterday. &ldquo;NIST Director Dr. Arvind Raman will continue to oversee CAISI and will serve as Acting CAISI Director,&rdquo; Commerce spokesperson Kristen Eichamer said in a statement to </span><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/20/trump-ai-security-agency-head-resigns" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Axios</span></a><span>. Maria Curi reports.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>TRUMP ADMINISTRATION LITIGATION</i></b></p>
<p><b>A federal judge yesterday dismissed the Trump administration&rsquo;s lawsuit challenging Minnesota&rsquo;s rules that limit cooperation with federal authorities seeking to deport people, </b><span>ruling that the laws regulate only the actions of state and local officials and do not interfere with federal authority. Mitch Smith reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/20/us/minnesota-immigration-lawsuit.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Did you miss this?</b>&nbsp;Stay up-to-date with our&nbsp;<a href="https://justsecurity.us7.list-manage.com/track/click?u=96b766fb1c8a55bbe9b0cdc21&amp;id=251d4342e4&amp;e=bd8778e5ec" aria-label="Litigation Tracker: Legal Challenges to Trump Administration Actions.- opens in new tab" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Litigation Tracker: Legal Challenges to Trump Administration Actions.</a></p>
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<p>If you enjoy listening, Just Security&rsquo;s analytic articles are also available in audio form on the justsecurity.org website.</p>
<p><strong>ICYMI: Yesterday on<em>&nbsp;Just Security</em></strong></p>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146665/courts-grand-juries-reject-trump-investigations/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">&ldquo;Zero Evidence&rdquo;: How Judges and Grand Juries Have Rejected the Trump Administration Efforts to Investigate and Prosecute</a></p>
<p>By <span>Dani Schulkin,&nbsp;Ryan Goodman, and Huzaifa Khan</span></p>
<div>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146064/merchant-mariners-forgotten-in-conflict/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Merchant Mariners: Unseen in Peacetime and Forgotten in Conflict</a></p>
<p>By <span>U.S. Coast Guard Rear Admiral (ret.) Melissa Bert</span></p>
<div>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/147878/state-departments-campaign-icc-misunderstanding/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">The State Department&rsquo;s Campaign Against the ICC Rests on a Misunderstanding of How the Court Actually Works</a></p>
<p>By <span>Nema Milaninia</span></p>
</div>
</div>
<div></div>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148592/early-edition-july-21-2026/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Early Edition: July 21, 2026</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-21T12:06:41+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Elisabeth Jennings</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-21T12:06:41+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="daily news roundup"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-20:/294026</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146665/courts-grand-juries-reject-trump-investigations/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=courts-grand-juries-reject-trump-investigations" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">“Zero Evidence”: How Judges and Grand Juries Have Rejected the Trump Administration Efforts to Investigate and Prosecute</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>The second Trump administration has tried to use the federal government&rsquo;s broad power to investigate...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p><span>The second Trump administration has tried to use the federal government&rsquo;s broad power to investigate alleged violations of law and gather evidence against a wide range of people, institutions, and activities. The administration&rsquo;s targets have included perceived political opponents and critics, journalists, as well as public institutions (e.g., an election office) and private institutions (e.g., hospitals). What stands out is not simply how the administration has aggressively tried to use these powers in novel ways against those targets. It is also that courts and grand juries have repeatedly refused and rejected the administration in their attempts to do so.</span></p>
<p><span>Below we document, in detail, the actions of the courts and grand juries that have blocked these efforts, which includes search warrants, grand jury subpoenas, administrative subpoenas, and criminal indictments.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The Tables are organized by the type of government action and the subject matter at issue. These cases include federal judges finding that government action was &ldquo;pretextual,&rdquo; &ldquo;retaliatory,&rdquo; &ldquo;vindictive,&rdquo; or &ldquo;abuse of prosecuting power.&rdquo; They also include instances where grand juries have rejected the government&rsquo;s actions (without public explanations for their decisions). The total number of cases is </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2014/11/24/the-rarity-of-a-federal-grand-jury-not-indicting-visualized/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>extraordinary</span></a><span> and also under-inclusive; it reflects only what is publicly known. Similar court and grand jury actions may never be disclosed. But what is clear is that judges across the ideological spectrum, including those appointed by President Donald Trump, and cross-sections of jurors have often been unwilling to allow the administration to use such tools &ndash; a remarkable development in the life of the rule of law in the United States.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Key statistics:</span></p>
<ul>
<li><b>In at least 18 publicly reported instances, grand juries have refused to indict (&ldquo;no bills&rdquo;)</b><span>. A no bill is almost unheard of for most career federal prosecutors.</span></li>
<li><b>Courts have blocked or prosecutors have withdrawn at least 16 grand jury subpoenas </b><span>&mdash; including two to hospitals providing gender-affirming care and 12 to perceived political opponents or opponents to Trump administration policies.&nbsp;</span></li>
<li><b>Nearly half of the cases nationwide brought against protesters and immigrants for assault against a law enforcement officer were dismissed by judges, withdrawn by prosecutors, </b><span><strong>or resulted in jury acquittals</strong> (see </span><i><span>New York Times</span></i> <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/18/us/ice-assaults-protesters.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>analysis</span></a><span>).&nbsp;</span></li>
<li><b>Federal courts have dismissed 16 DOJ lawsuits seeking state voter data &mdash; including seven rejections by Trump-appointed judges.</b><span> The </span><span>DOJ has sued 30 states and D.C. to obtain voter data and has not won in any case to date.</span></li>
<li><b>DHS has withdrawn at least seven requests to technology companies to identify ICE critics after the requests were challenged under the First Amendment.</b><span> Federal courts have blocked at least three FTC demands for information, calling them likely unconstitutional retaliation against the recipients.&nbsp;</span></li>
<li><b>Federal judges have dismissed, or prosecutors have withdrawn, thousands of misdemeanor charges against migrants crossing into &ldquo;National Defense Areas&rdquo;</b><span> (see</span><i><span> ProPublica</span></i><span> and </span><i><span>Texas Tribune </span></i><a href="https://www.propublica.org/article/immigration-military-trespassing-charges-pam-bondi" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>analysis</span></a><span>).</span></li>
<li><b>Courts have blocked or quashed nine administrative subpoenas to hospitals seeking patient-identifying information related to gender-affirming care.&nbsp;</b></li>
<li><b>Judges have dismissed or prosecutors have dropped at least 79 cases relating to ICE protests or federal law enforcement surges across D.C., Chicago, Minnesota, and Los Angeles.</b><span> According to one judge, in a period of two months, the U.S. Attorney&rsquo;s Office in D.C. dropped more cases than it had in the previous 10 years combined.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></li>
</ul>
<h2><b>I. Challenges to Pre-Trial Criminal Investigative Tools and Indictments</b><b></b></h2>
<p><span>Federal judges have rejected the Trump administration&rsquo;s use of tools in criminal investigations &mdash; grand jury subpoenas, administrative subpoenas, search warrants, and arrest warrants &mdash; a highly unusual repudiation especially given the low evidentiary standard that the government needs to satisfy. Similarly, grand juries, which are also </span><a href="https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2026/02/27/what-to-know-about-federal-grand-juries/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>typically highly deferential</span></a><span> to federal prosecutors, have in an unusually high number of instances rejected indictments brought under the second Trump administration. The government has </span><a href="https://www.propublica.org/article/immigration-military-trespassing-charges-pam-bondi" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>dropped or dismissed</span></a><span> thousands of misdemeanor charges against migrants for crossing into &ldquo;National Defense Areas&rdquo; after federal judges repeatedly ruled that the government failed to establish that defendants had the requisite mens rea for a charge to be brought. The courts have also taken other adverse actions against the government including the unusual step of granting a motion to dismiss an indictment on the basis of vindictive prosecution, and courts have found that the Trump administration illegally appointed U.S. Attorneys in </span><a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.cacd.983892/gov.uscourts.cacd.983892.56.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>California</span></a><span>, </span><a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.nvd.176581/gov.uscourts.nvd.176581.42.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Nevada</span></a><span>, </span><a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.nynd.149556/gov.uscourts.nynd.149556.50.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York</span></a><span>, </span><a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.ca3.125818/gov.uscourts.ca3.125818.87.2.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New Jersey</span></a><span>, and </span><a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.vaed.583341/gov.uscourts.vaed.583341.140.0_1.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Virginia</span></a><span>, impairing&nbsp; the ability of those offices to bring criminal cases.</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>These adverse actions by the courts and grand juries include a high percentage of cases brought against protesters and perceived political opponents of the Trump administration. But courts have also rejected government efforts based on prosecutorial misconduct in grand jury proceedings and incompetence in complying with proper procedure. As many of these proceedings are often sealed, the total number of times search warrants, arrest warrants, grand jury subpoenas, and indictments have been rejected by courts and grand juries is not publicly known.</span></p>
<h4><b>Grand Jury Subpoenas</b></h4>
<p><span>Federal prosecutors rely heavily on grand jury subpoenas in criminal investigations. Subpoenas are issued under the authority of a grand jury &mdash; a group of 16-23 U.S. citizens who can receive the testimony and documents of subpoenaed individuals in secret proceedings. Federal prosecutors have wide discretion in issuing grand jury subpoenas because they do not need to show probable cause. Non-compliance with a grand jury subpoena can result in civil and criminal penalties. A subpoenaed party, or a third party with a privilege or cognizable interest in the material subpoenaed, can move to quash a grand jury subpoena before a district court. Per the </span><a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/rules/frcrmp/rule_17" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Federal Rules of Criminal Procedure</span></a><span>, a judge can also quash a subpoena &ldquo;if compliance would be unreasonable or oppressive.&rdquo; As the Supreme Court </span><a href="https://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/498/292/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>established</span></a><span> in </span><i><span>R. Enterprises</span></i><span> (1991), grand jury subpoenas are presumed reasonable, and anyone who moves to quash faces the onerous burden of proving there is &ldquo;no reasonable possibility&rdquo; that the materials subpoenaed are relevant to an investigation. That is why the publicly-known amount of grand jury subpoenas quashed under the second Trump administration &mdash; at least 16 &mdash; is so striking.&nbsp;</span></p>
<h4><b>Grand Jury Indictments</b></h4>
<p><span>Under the Fifth Amendment of the U.S. Constitution, the federal government cannot try someone for a felony unless a grand jury issues an indictment (a formal finding that there is enough evidence to move to trial) or the defendant waives the requirement. Since a grand jury is used only in the early stages of a case, the standard for a prosecutor to convince a grand jury to indict is fairly low &mdash; only 12 members of the grand jury need to find probable cause for a felony. If the grand jury reviews the evidence and votes not to indict (a &ldquo;no bill&rdquo;), the government can not move forward with a trial on felony charges (unless the government were to make the unusual move of succeeding with another grand jury).&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Securing an indictment from a grand jury has historically been an easy bar to clear for the overwhelming majority of prosecutions, leading to the popularity of New York Court of Appeals Chief Judge Sol Wachtler&rsquo;s adage, &ldquo;[a]ny good prosecutor can get a grand jury to indict a ham sandwich.&rdquo; In 2016, the last time the DOJ publicly </span><a href="https://bjs.ojp.gov/content/pub/pdf/fjs16st.pdf#page=13" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>reported</span></a><span> these figures, the DOJ noted only 6 instances of a grand jury returning a no bill in more than 150,000 criminal matters (or roughly 0.004%). Against that backdrop, the 18 publicly known instances of grand juries refusing to indict are even more striking (see Table). Due to the remarkable rate of grand jury no bills, some federal courts have proposed or provisionally adopted rules requiring the federal government to notify judges every time a grand jury refuses to indict an individual. The </span><a href="https://www.dcd.uscourts.gov/sites/dcd/files/SO-No.%2026-09.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>District of Columbia</span></a><span> and the </span><a href="https://www.ilnd.uscourts.gov/_assets/_documents/_rules/General%20Order%2026-0011%20-%20LCRs%206.2%20and%206.2.1.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Northern District of Illinois</span></a><span> have adopted such requirements, and the </span><a href="https://www.mad.uscourts.gov/general/pdf/announce/070826%20Public%20Notice%20re%20LR%20116.2.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>District of Massachusetts</span></a><span> has proposed doing the same.</span></p>
<h4><b>Gender-Affirming Care Administrative Subpoenas for &ldquo;Fraud&rdquo; and &ldquo;False Statements&rdquo;</b></h4>
<p><span>The DOJ has publicly </span><a href="https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/department-justice-subpoenas-doctors-and-clinics-involved-performing-transgender-medical" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>announced</span></a><span> issuing more than 20 administrative </span><a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.cod.246314/gov.uscourts.cod.246314.1.4.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>subpoenas</span></a><span> to medical institutions under 18 U.S.C. &sect; 3486 to apparently criminally investigate &ldquo;healthcare fraud&rdquo; and &ldquo;false statements&rdquo; concerning &ldquo;transgender medical procedures for children.&rdquo; The DOJ&rsquo;s &ldquo;</span><a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.paed.640150/gov.uscourts.paed.640150.1.0_2.pdf#page=40" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>demands</span></a><span>&rdquo; included information &ldquo;sufficient to identify patients&rdquo; receiving gender-affirming care, patient intake records, communications with pharmaceutical manufacturers of puberty blockers, and hospital personnel files.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Under the Supreme Court&rsquo;s </span><a href="https://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/379/48/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Powell</span></i></a><span> test, federal courts assess administrative subpoenas for &ldquo;reasonableness&rdquo; and &ldquo;good faith&rdquo; by determining if the investigation serves a legitimate purpose and if the requested materials are relevant to that end. This is a less stringent standard than the Fourth Amendment probable cause test courts apply, for example, for search warrants. According to a 2002 </span><a href="https://www.justice.gov/archive/olp/rpt_to_congress.htm#1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>report</span></a><span> by the DOJ to Congress on the use of administrative subpoenas, federal prosecutors are internally instructed to rely on these factors in determining whether a subpoena should be issued, and for this reason, courts have been historically deferential to the government&rsquo;s requests.</span></p>
<p><span>In assessing recent challenges to these subpoenas, courts have compared the Trump administration&rsquo;s </span><a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2025/07/president-trump-promised-to-end-child-sexual-mutilation-and-he-delivered/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>public statements</span></a><span> concerning ending gender-affirming care against representations made by the DOJ about the purpose of the government&rsquo;s investigations. With one exception, no federal court has ruled in favor of the government in these cases. (In the exception, a federal court in Northern Texas found the subpoena of a Rhode Island hospital valid and required the hospital to submit anonymized information to the court in camera while the case is on appeal.)&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Federal prosecutors appear to have recently escalated their efforts to obtain information from hospitals with </span><a href="https://nyulangone.org/files/nyu-gj-subpoena.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>grand jury subpoenas</span></a><span>, and it is not publicly known how many such subpoenas have been issued.</span></p>

<table>
<thead>
<tr>
	<th><span>Case Name</span></th><th><span>Category</span></th><th><span>Tool / Type</span></th><th><span>Overview</span></th><th><span>Key Quotes</span></th><th><span>Group</span></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
	<td><p><strong>Grand Jury Subpoenas to the Office of the New York State Attorney General</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71844954/in-re-grand-jury-subpoenas-to-the-office-of-the-new-york-state-attorney/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">1:25-mc-00019</a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.nynd.149556/gov.uscourts.nynd.149556.50.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion and Order</a></p><p>N.D.N.Y. &mdash; Senior Judge Lorna G. Schofield (Obama) (sitting by designation)</p></td><td>Political Opponents &amp; Officials</td><td>Grand Jury Subpoena</td><td><p>On August 5, 2025, John Sarcone, purporting to serve as Acting U.S. Attorney for the Northern District of New York, personally directed two grand jury subpoenas to the office of New York Attorney General Letitia James to investigate the State of New York&rsquo;s two civil enforcement cases against President Trump and the National Rifle Association, and demanding all records relating to those cases, returnable to Sarcone personally. The State moved to quash on August 19, 2025, arguing the subpoenas intruded on state sovereignty and were retaliation for its suits against the President and his allies.</p><p>On January 8, 2026, Judge Schofield granted the motion to quash on a threshold ground without reaching the federalism or retaliation arguments. The court found Sarcone was not lawfully serving as Acting U.S. Attorney when the subpoenas were served so the subpoenas he directed were invalid. The court quashed both subpoenas and disqualified Sarcone from further involvement in the case.</p></td><td><p>&ldquo;The subpoenas here were issued through an official <strong>acting without lawful authority</strong>. The subpoenas therefore <strong>lacked the regularity required for a presumption of reasonableness</strong>. Three weeks after Mr. Sarcone claimed the title of Acting U.S. Attorney, he used that authority to subpoena a state law-enforcement office that the President had publicly cast as a political adversary.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.nynd.149556/gov.uscourts.nynd.149556.50.0.pdf#page=21" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p><p>&ldquo;The problem is not a lack of subpoena power in the abstract; it is the Federal Government's choice to invoke that power through a statutory end-run and then <strong>leverage that power against a perceived rival of the President</strong>.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.nynd.149556/gov.uscourts.nynd.149556.50.0.pdf#page=22" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p></td><td>Grand Jury Subpoena</td>
</tr>
<tr>
	<td><p><strong>Grand Jury Subpoenas to the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/72490330/in-re-grand-jury-subpoenas/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">1:26-mc-00012 </a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.288962/gov.uscourts.dcd.288962.23.0_6.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>D.D.C. &mdash; Chief Judge James E. Boasberg (Obama)</p></td><td>Political Opponents &amp; Officials</td><td>Grand Jury Subpoena</td><td><p>In early 2026, the U.S. Attorney&rsquo;s Office for the District of Columbia opened a grand jury investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and served two grand jury subpoenas on the Board of Governors &mdash; one seeking records about the years-long renovation of the Board&rsquo;s buildings, the other records related to Powell&rsquo;s Senate Banking Committee testimony that had briefly touched on those renovations. The Board moved to quash, contending the subpoenas were a pretext to pressure Powell into lowering interest rates or resigning.</p><p>On March 11, 2026, Chief Judge Boasberg granted the motion to quash, holding that the subpoenas&rsquo; dominant purpose was improper and pretextual, designed to harass and pressure Powell in service of the President&rsquo;s demand for lower rates and his stated wish to remove him.</p></td><td><p>&ldquo;There is abundant evidence that the <strong>subpoenas&rsquo; dominant (if not sole) purpose is to harass and pressure Powell</strong> either to yield to the President or to resign and make way for a Fed Chair who will. On the other side of the scale, the Government has offered no evidence whatsoever that Powell committed any crime other than displeasing the President. <strong>The Court must thus conclude that the asserted justifications for these subpoenas are mere pretexts.</strong>&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.288962/gov.uscourts.dcd.288962.23.0_6.pdf#page=2" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p><p>&ldquo;A mountain of evidence suggests that the Government served these subpoenas on the Board to pressure its Chair into voting for lower interest rates or resigning. On the other side of the scale, <strong>the Government has produced essentially zero evidence to suspect Chair Powell of a crime;</strong> indeed, its <strong>justifications are so thin and unsubstantiated that the Court can only conclude that they are pretextual.</strong> The Court therefore finds that the subpoenas were issued for an improper purpose and will quash them.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.288962/gov.uscourts.dcd.288962.23.0_6.pdf#page=26" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p></td><td>Grand Jury Subpoena</td>
</tr>
<tr>
	<td><p><strong>Grand Jury Subpoenas to Minnesota State Officials</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/73512670/in-re-subpoenas/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">0:26-mc-00043</a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.mnd.234490/gov.uscourts.mnd.234490.1.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Order</a></p><p>D. Minn. &mdash; Chief Judge Patrick J. Schiltz (Bush)</p></td><td>Political Opponents &amp; Officials</td><td>Grand Jury Subpoena</td><td><p>On June 17, 2026, Judge Schiltz quashed six grand jury subpoenas issued to Minnesota officials, including Gov. Tim Walz, Attorney General Keith Ellison, Mayor Jacob Frey of Minneapolis, by federal prosecutors demanding records relating to state cooperation with federal immigration enforcement, including all related communications, presentations, training manuals, and guides. Judge Schiltz relied on public statements by President Trump and senior Trump administration officials to determine the subpoenas were retributive. Judge Schiltz also noted the DOJ&rsquo;s stated purpose of forcing cooperation with immigration authorities violated the anti-commandeering doctrine.</p></td><td><p>&ldquo;Initiating a criminal investigation in order to harass political opponents or to coerce them into taking official action-particularly official action that the federal government cannot directly require those political opponents to take-is a <strong>blatantly unlawful and unethical use [of] the grand-jury process</strong> &hellip; The only question, then, is whether the challenged subpoenas were issued for one of these forbidden purposes. The Court has no doubt that they were.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.mnd.234490/gov.uscourts.mnd.234490.1.0.pdf#page=15" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p><p>&ldquo;&hellip;the Department's asserted investigatory purpose for the challenged subpoenas is <strong>risible</strong>.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.mnd.234490/gov.uscourts.mnd.234490.1.0.pdf#page=18" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p><p>&ldquo;And, of course, this campaign played out against the backdrop of the Trump administration's well-established history of <strong>using criminal investigations to retaliate </strong><strong>against and pressure the President's political and personal adversaries</strong>.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.mnd.234490/gov.uscourts.mnd.234490.1.0.pdf#page=18" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion)</a></p><p>&ldquo;... <strong>the public has a very strong interest in learning of this abuse of the grand-jury process </strong>by the Department.&rdquo;(<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.mnd.234490/gov.uscourts.mnd.234490.1.0.pdf#page=27" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p><p>&ldquo;The fact that connections between the information sought in the subpoenas and any possible criminal violation range from extremely weak to nonexistent only adds to the overwhelming evidence that these subpoenas were not issued to investigate, but to harass, coerce, and retaliate.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.mnd.234490/gov.uscourts.mnd.234490.1.0.pdf#page=25" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p></td><td>Grand Jury Subpoena</td>
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	<td><p><strong>Grand Jury Subpoenas to Washington Post and Wall Street Journal Journalists</strong></p><p>E.D. Va.</p></td><td>Journalists &amp; News Organizations</td><td>Grand Jury Subpoena</td><td><p>According to public reporting, in June 2026,  the DOJ issued and then withdrew grand jury subpoenas to reporters at the <em>Washington Post </em>and <em>Wall Street Journal </em>after the news outlets contested the subpoenas. The subpoenas, <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/23/us/subpoenas-wall-street-journal-washington-post.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">reportedly</a> pushed by Trump himself, were aimed at journalists offering critical coverage of the Iran War and allegedly sought &ldquo;documents related to the paper&rsquo;s coverage of the conflict in Iran.&rdquo;</p></td><td></td><td>Grand Jury Subpoena</td>
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	<td><p><strong>Coe v. Blanche</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/73428721/coe-v-blanche/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">1:26-cv-04641</a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.nysd.665317/gov.uscourts.nysd.665317.71.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Order</a> (June 24, 2026)</p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.nysd.665317/gov.uscourts.nysd.665317.71.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Order</a> (July 6, 2026)</p><p>S.D.N.Y. &mdash; Judge Katherine P. Failla (Obama) </p></td><td>Gender-Affirming Care</td><td>Grand Jury Subpoena</td><td><p>On May 7, 2026, NYU Langone Hospitals was among several New York City institutions served with a grand jury subpoena issued by the U.S. Attorney&rsquo;s Office for the Northern District of Texas demanding the identifying and detailed sensitive health information of every patient who received gender-affirming care as a minor from January 2020 through May 2026, along with their parents&rsquo; identities. NYU disclosed the subpoena under New York&rsquo;s Shield Law, and affected patients and parents sued in the Southern District of New York, moving for a temporary restraining order (TRO) and provisional class certification for gender-affirming care patients across New York City.</p><p>On June 24, 2026, Judge Failla <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.nysd.665317/gov.uscourts.nysd.665317.65.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">granted</a> the TRO and provisionally certified a class of NYC minor gender-affirming care patients (and an NYU subclass), and on July 6, 2026 she entered a preliminary injunction on the same reasoning. The injunction bars the DOJ from pursuing the information through these or substantially similar administrative or grand jury subpoenas.</p><p>The DOJ appealed the injunction to the Second Circuit.</p></td><td><p>&ldquo;But, more fundamentally, this Court will not blind itself to reality. And, in this case, reality is the timeline of DOJ&rsquo;s efforts and, in particular, its efforts to recast discredited civil administrative subpoenas as grand jury subpoenas from a hand-picked faraway jurisdiction in order to minimize judicial review of constitutional infirmities.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.cand.470905/gov.uscourts.cand.470905.89.0.pdf#page=11" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Bench Transcript</a>)</p><p>&ldquo;The subpoena, expressly targeting members of a particular and uniquely vulnerable group, both<strong> shocks the conscience and rises to the level of the most egregious official conduct </strong>under the <em>O&rsquo;Connor</em> case.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.cand.470905/gov.uscourts.cand.470905.89.0.pdf#page=25" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Bench Transcript</a>)</p></td><td>Grand Jury Subpoena</td>
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	<td><p><strong>Grand Jury Subpoenas in Investigation of Former CIA Director John Brennan</strong></p><p>D.D.C.</p></td><td>Political Opponents &amp; Officials</td><td>Grand Jury Subpoena</td><td><p>In June 2026, the Justice Department <a href="https://apnews.com/article/justice-department-cia-brennan-investigation-russia-trump-e6f29e0e084c72bb54de74466b3d4c5d" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">reportedly</a> withdrew &ldquo;a small handful of subpoenas&rdquo;* issued to potential witnesses in the investigation of former CIA Director John Brennan. Brennan is purportedly being investigated for his role in the Obama administration&rsquo;s assessment about Russia&rsquo;s involvement in the 2016 election and statements made to Congress. </p><p><em>[Authors&rsquo; note: we count these actions as at least two grand jury subpoenas withdrawn.]</em></p></td><td></td><td>Grand Jury Subpoena</td>
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	<td><p><strong>Z.A. v. Lucile Packard Children&rsquo;s Hospital </strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/73401094/za-v-lucile-salter-packard-childrens-hospital-at-stanford/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">5:26-cv-04998</a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.cand.470905/gov.uscourts.cand.470905.93.0_1.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Order</a></p><p>N.D. Cal. &mdash; Judge Patrick C. Pitts (Biden)</p></td><td>Gender-Affirming Care</td><td>Grand Jury Subpoena</td><td><p>In July 2025, the DOJ served Lucile Packard Children&rsquo;s Hospital at Stanford with a &sect; 3486 administrative subpoena for the records of minors who received gender-affirming care; Packard produced non-patient records and spent nine months negotiating over anonymizing the patient data. </p><p>On May 6, 2026, the DOJ withdrew its administrative subpoena and the next day served a grand jury subpoena of nearly identical scope &mdash; issued under seal of the Northern District of Texas &mdash; demanding documents identifying every minor who received such care from January 2020 to May 2026, the diagnoses and assessments behind it, and their informed-consent and parental-authorization records. Patients and parents sued in the Northern District of California and, hours before the subpoena&rsquo;s return date, moved for a temporary restraining order and provisional class certification.</p><p>On July 2, 2026, Judge Pitts provisionally certified a subclass of patients who received gender-affirming care at Packard and granted a preliminary injunction barring the DOJ from obtaining the patient-identifying and sensitive health records. The court held that plaintiffs were likely to succeed on their Fifth Amendment informational privacy claim, and the DOJ had at most a negligible need for the data because records about care provided in California bear no apparent relevance to any offense chargeable in the Northern District of Texas. The court added that the DOJ had manufactured its own forum-shopping problem by withdrawing the administrative subpoena and reissuing it as a grand jury subpoena from a forum it deemed friendlier, to avoid another loss.</p><p>The DOJ appealed the injunction to the Ninth Circuit.</p></td><td><p>&ldquo;The unavoidable conclusion is that DOJ issued its grand jury subpoena to avoid another loss and force Packard and its patients<strong> to pursue any challenge to DOJ&rsquo;s demands in a forum that DOJ deems friendlier. This is hardly DOJ&rsquo;s first such ploy.&rdquo;</strong> (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.cand.470905/gov.uscourts.cand.470905.93.0_1.pdf#page=30" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p></td><td>Grand Jury Subpoena</td>
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	<td><p><strong>Grand Jury Subpoena to Fulton County Board of Registration and Elections</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/73398742/in-re-grand-jury-subpoena/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">1:26-cv-02777</a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.gand.359862/gov.uscourts.gand.359862.37.0_3.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Order</a></p><p>N.D. Ga. &mdash; Judge William Ray II (Trump)</p></td><td>Elections &amp; Voter Data</td><td>Grand Jury Subpoena</td><td><p>On July 7, 2026,  Judge Ray granted the Fulton County Board of Registration and Elections&rsquo; motion to quash the DOJ&rsquo;s grand jury subpoena and denied the government&rsquo;s cross-motion to enforce it, finding that the subpoena &mdash; which sought the names, home addresses, personal phone numbers, and emails of thousands of 2020 election workers and volunteers &mdash; was &ldquo;staggering&rdquo; and an &ldquo;arbitrary fishing expedition.&rdquo; The court held the subpoena was &ldquo;unreasonable&rdquo; under Federal Rule of Criminal Procedure 17(c)(2). Applying the balancing approach from Justice Stevens&rsquo; concurrence in <em>R. Enterprises</em> (1991), Judge Ray found the DOJ&rsquo;s need for the information low because the five-year statute of limitations on any crime arising from the 2020 election had run, and the burden on Fulton County high given the likely chilling effect on election worker participation. The court directed the Clerk to terminate the case.</p></td><td><p>&ldquo;The Subpoena requests disclosure of personal identifying information of thousands of employees and volunteers who participated in activities related to the 2020 Election. Such a large disclosure of information <strong>threatens to chill participation in future elections</strong>, which will surely impact Fulton County.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.gand.359862/gov.uscourts.gand.359862.37.0_3.pdf#page=4" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p><p>&ldquo;So, is there anything wrong with the DOJ using the Grand Jury to subpoena these records from Fulton County? In this Court&rsquo;s view, yes. These records, even if they lead to the DOJ finding individuals who worked for Fulton County in the 2020 Election who support the theory that the 2020 Election was not fair, would not lead to information that could be used to charge anyone with anything, at least not any viable charge.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.gand.359862/gov.uscourts.gand.359862.37.0_3.pdf#page=4" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p><p>&ldquo;[T]he Court agrees with Fulton County that, in pursuing the Subpoena, the DOJ is engaged in an <strong>&ldquo;arbitrary fishing expedition,&rdquo; </strong>such that the Subpoena is unreasonable and must be quashed.&rdquo;(<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.gand.359862/gov.uscourts.gand.359862.37.0_3.pdf#page=16" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p><p>&ldquo;The <strong>DOJ essentially asks the Court to turn a blind eye to the DOJ&rsquo;s investigation of nonspecific allegations and/or crimes which have no possibility of a conviction</strong>.&rdquo; (<a href="http://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.gand.359862/gov.uscourts.gand.359862.37.0_3.pdf#page=22" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p></td><td>Grand Jury Subpoena</td>
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	<td><p><strong>National Defense Area Border Prosecutions</strong></p><p>D.N.M. &mdash; Chief Magistrate Judge Gregory B. Wormuth</p></td><td>Immigration &amp; Border Enforcement</td><td>Misdemeanor Charges</td><td><p>Since late April 2025, the DOJ has charged at least 4,700 migrants with violating security regulations under 18 U.S.C. &sect; 1382 by entering &ldquo;National Defense Areas&rdquo; in California, Arizona, New Mexico, and Texas. Starting May 2025, magistrate judges dismissed the military-zone charges for lack of probable cause that defendants knew they had entered the zone. According to <a href="https://www.propublica.org/article/immigration-military-trespassing-charges-pam-bondi" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><em>ProPublica</em> and <em>The Texas Tribune</em></a>, at least 60% of these cases have been either dismissed or withdrawn.&nbsp;</p></td><td><p>&ldquo;Beyond the reference to signage, <strong>the United States provides no facts from which one could reasonably conclude that the Defendant knew he was entering the NMNDA</strong>.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.nmd.520500/gov.uscourts.nmd.520500.5.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p></td><td>Charging-Stage / Grand-Jury Rejections and Dismissals</td>
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	<td><p><strong>United States v. Baraka</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/70242142/united-states-v-baraka/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">2:25-mj-11131</a></p><p>D. N.J. &mdash; Magistrate Judge Andre Espinosa</p></td><td>Prosecutorial Misconduct</td><td>Grand Jury Indictment</td><td><p>On May 21, 2025, then-Interim U.S. Attorney for New Jersey Alina Habba withdrew charges against Newark Mayor Ras Baraka after he was arrested at a protest outside an ICE facility.</p></td><td><p>&ldquo;The apparent rush in this case, culminating today in the <strong>embarrassing retraction of charges</strong>, suggests a failure to adequately investigate, to carefully gather facts, and to thoughtfully consider the implications of your actions before wielding your immense power.&rdquo;  (<a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/US-v-Baraka-Transcript.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Bench Transcript</a>) </p><p>&ldquo;An arrest, particularly of a public figure, is not a preliminary investigative tool. It is a severe action, carrying significant reputational and personal consequences, and it should only be undertaken after a thorough, dispassionate evaluation of credible evidence.&rdquo; (<a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/US-v-Baraka-Transcript.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Bench Transcript</a>)</p></td><td>Charging-Stage / Grand-Jury Rejections and Dismissals</td>
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	<td><p><strong>L.A. Federal Takeover and Central District of California Cases Dismissed</strong></p><p>C.D. Cal.</p></td><td>Protesters &amp; Prosecutorial Misconduct</td><td>Grand Jury Indictment</td><td><p>In June 2025, the Trump administration deployed roughly 2,100 National Guard troops and 700 Marines to Los Angeles in response to protests against ICE raids, and the U.S. Attorney&rsquo;s Office for the Central District of California &mdash; under Bill Essayli, later found to be <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.cacd.983892/gov.uscourts.cacd.983892.56.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">unlawfully appointed</a> to the office &mdash; brought a wave of felony charges against protesters and bystanders. </p><p>The cases reportedly failed at an unusual rate. Of at least 38 felony cases filed over the June protests, Essayli&rsquo;s office <a href="https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2025-07-23/protester-charges-essayli" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">reportedly</a> secured only 7 indictments, as grand juries repeatedly returned no bills.* As of July 2026, <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/CD-Cal-Cases-Dismissed.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">at least 24 federal takeover-related</a> charges were either dismissed or withdrawn by prosecutors. </p><p>According to an <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/jul/28/doj-la-protesters-false-claims" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">analysis</a> by <em>The Guardian</em>, prosecutors dropped at least eight felonies after immigration officers gave false or misleading testimony, and five demonstrators&rsquo; cases collapsed after DHS agents misstated the sequence of events and mischaracterized conduct captured on video.</p><p>Bloomberg Law <a href="https://news.bloomberglaw.com/us-law-week/trumps-la-prosecutor-orders-cases-his-staff-say-lack-evidence" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">reported</a> that U.S. Attorney Essayli overruled senior prosecutors&rsquo; recommendations, instructed staff to disregard the Justice Manual, and directed lawyers to re-present failed cases to new grand juries. </p><p><em>[Authors&rsquo; note: we count these actions as at least two grand jury no bills.]</em></p></td><td></td><td>Charging-Stage / Grand-Jury Rejections and Dismissals</td>
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	<td><p><strong>District of Columbia Cases Dismissed</strong></p><p>D.D.C. &mdash; Judge Sparkle Sooknanan (Biden)</p><p>Magistrate Judge Zia M. Faruqui</p></td><td>Protesters &amp; Prosecutorial Misconduct</td><td>Grand Jury Indictment</td><td><p>In August 2025, the Trump administration launched a federal law-enforcement surge in Washington, D.C., federalizing the Metropolitan Police Department and deploying National Guard troops. The U.S. Attorney&rsquo;s Office under Jeanine Pirro brought felony charges, mostly consisting of assaults on federal officers, against people arrested during the takeover. </p><p><strong>At least </strong><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/D.D.C.-Cases-Dismissed.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><strong>27 cases</strong></a><strong> charged during the surge were dropped by prosecutors or dismissed by judges.</strong> 11 of those cases were dismissed with prejudice &mdash; meaning prosecutors cannot press charges again due to severe misconduct, lack of merit, or threat of prosecutorial harassment.</p><p>In an <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.284383/gov.uscourts.dcd.284383.27.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">opinion</a> dismissing the cases against Donisha Butler and Terrance Wilson, Magistrate Judge Zia Faruqui had the clerk&rsquo;s office run the numbers: <strong>the government moved to dismiss 20 of the 95 cases it charged by criminal complaint over eight weeks, a 21% dismissal rate</strong>, against fewer than 20 dismissals out of more than 4,000 complaint-charged cases in the preceding decade, a statistic Magistrate Judge Faruqui called &ldquo;shocking.&rdquo; </p><p>Grand juries drove part of the collapse. By September 2025, grand jurors had refused to indict in at least eight surge prosecutions &mdash; including D.C. attorney <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71308839/united-states-v-bryant/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Paul Bryant</a>, <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71155726/united-states-v-dana/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Edward Dana</a>, <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71144710/united-states-v-jones/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Nathalie Jones</a>, and <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71136893/united-states-v-summers/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Alvin Summers</a> whose cases were then dismissed. <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71196710/united-states-v-reid/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Sidney Reid</a> and <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71223124/united-states-v-dunn/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Sean Dunn</a>, the man accused of throwing a sandwich at a federal agent, also received grand jury no bills, and both were later acquitted on misdemeanor charges at trial. </p><p>Judge Sparkle Sooknanan found that prosecutors had been charging and detaining people in Superior (local) Court while deciding whether to pursue federal charges &mdash; producing prolonged and unnecessary pretrial detention. </p><p>As of July 2026, at least 35 cases have been dismissed or withdrawn by federal prosecutors in the District of Columbia during the second Trump administration.</p></td><td><p>Judge Sparkle Sooknanan: &ldquo;For the last several weeks, judges in this District have seen case after case involving <strong>unprecedented prosecutorial action.</strong> In some cases, prosecutors have elected to pursue charges even after federal grand juries have refused to return an indictment.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.284617/gov.uscourts.dcd.284617.23.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p><p>Judge Sooknanan: &ldquo;In the last several months, prosecutors have been &lsquo;parking&rsquo; cases in D.C. Superior Court&mdash;i.e., charging individuals in D.C. Superior Court and detaining them while deciding whether to pursue federal charges&mdash;resulting in the prolonged and unnecessary pretrial detention of District residents.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.284833/gov.uscourts.dcd.284833.26.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p><p>Judge Sooknanan: &ldquo;<strong>The Office&rsquo;s seemingly cavalier approach to pretrial detention is alarming</strong>, particularly at a facility with a death rate that is three times the nationwide average.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.284833/gov.uscourts.dcd.284833.26.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p><p>Judge Sooknanan: &ldquo;The Court refuses to turn a blind eye to yet another example of the U.S. Attorney&rsquo;s Office choosing to <strong>exercise the power it wields without regard for the very individuals it serves</strong>.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.284833/gov.uscourts.dcd.284833.26.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p><p>Magistrate Judge Zia M. Faruqui: &ldquo;Specifically, <strong>the government has moved to dismiss 21% of all cases</strong> that have been charged by criminal complaint over the last eight weeks. This is a shocking statistic <strong>compared to the 0.5% of cases </strong>charged by criminal complaint that the government has <strong>dismissed</strong> <strong>over the last ten years.</strong>&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.283960/gov.uscourts.dcd.283960.11.0.pdf#page=14" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>) </p><p>Judge Faruqui: &ldquo;Arresting, charging, dismissing, re-charging, dismissing again, recharging again in another court, and dismissing again: <strong>this roller coaster is anything but normal</strong>.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.284383/gov.uscourts.dcd.284383.27.0.pdf#page=4" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p><p>Judge Faruqui: &ldquo;We don&rsquo;t just charge people criminally, throw them in the jail for a few weeks and then bring them in here and say, &lsquo;Oops, my bad&rsquo; ...  &ldquo;I have never ever in my life seen something close to the illegality of this search.&rdquo; (<a href="https://fox40.com/news/political-connection/ap-politics/ap-local-dc-cases-are-landing-in-federal-courts-a-judge-says-the-results-are-problematic/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">News Report of Transcript</a>)</p></td><td>Charging-Stage / Grand-Jury Rejections and Dismissals</td>
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<tr>
	<td><p><strong>United States v. Sidney Reid </strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71196710/united-states-v-reid/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">1:25-cr-00244</a></p><p>D.D.C. &mdash; Grand Jury</p></td><td>Protesters &amp; Prosecutorial Misconduct</td><td>Grand Jury Indictment and Misdemeanor Case</td><td><p>In August 2025, on <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.284133/gov.uscourts.dcd.284133.16.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">three separate occasions</a>, a grand jury refused federal prosecutors&rsquo; attempt to indict Sidney Reid for felony assault during an alleged altercation with federal officers who she was filming during an ICE arrest. Prosecutors under interim U.S. Attorney Pirro refiled the charge as a misdemeanor. </p><p>On October 17, 2025, a jury <a href="https://www.wusa9.com/article/news/legal/sidney-reid-trial-not-guilty-fbi-agent-ice-arrest-assault-charge-dc-jail/65-fa3b180e-e72f-43d2-ad36-bbcc91fad9d0" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">acquitted</a> Reid in under two hours.</p></td><td></td><td>Charging-Stage / Grand-Jury Rejections and Dismissals</td>
</tr>
<tr>
	<td><p><strong>United States v. Sean Charles Dunn </strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71223124/united-states-v-dunn/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">1:25-cr-00252</a></p><p>D.D.C. &mdash; Grand Jury</p></td><td>Protesters &amp; Prosecutorial Misconduct</td><td>Grand Jury Indictment and Misdemeanor Case</td><td><p>In August 2025, a grand jury <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/27/us/politics/trump-sandwich-assault-indictment-justice-department.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">reportedly</a> declined to return a felony assault indictment against Sean Dunn &ndash; an anti-government protester who allegedly threw a turkey sandwich at a federal officer. The DOJ <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71223124/united-states-v-dunn/#entry-7" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">refiled</a> the case as a misdemeanor, but Dunn was <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.284293/gov.uscourts.dcd.284293.52.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">acquitted</a> at trial on November 6, 2025.</p></td><td></td><td>Charging-Stage / Grand-Jury Rejections and Dismissals</td>
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	<td><p><strong>United States v. Kevontae Stewart</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71380896/united-states-v-stewart/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">1:25-mj-00225</a></p><p>Magistrate Judge <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/US-v-Stewart-Magistrate-Order.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Order</a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.285023/gov.uscourts.dcd.285023.38.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Order</a></p><p>D.D.C. &mdash; Grand Jury</p><p>Magistrate Judge Zia M. Faruqui</p><p>Chief Judge James E. Boasberg (Obama)</p></td><td>Prosecutorial Misconduct</td><td>Grand Jury Indictment</td><td><p>In September 2025, Kevontae Stewart was arrested in the District of Columbia for allegedly unlawfully carrying a firearm. <strong>After a federal grand jury refused to indict him, federal prosecutors obtained an indictment from a Superior Court (local) grand jury.</strong> Magistrate Judge Zia M. Faruqui refused to accept the local grand jury&rsquo;s indictment, arguing that prosecutors&rsquo; approach was contrary to the Federal Rules of Criminal Procedure.&rdquo;</p><p>Federal prosecutors appealed Judge Faruqui&rsquo;s decision to Chief Judge James Boasberg, who issued an order allowing the use of local grand juries to obtain federal indictments, owing to D.C.&rsquo;s special status.</p></td><td></td><td>Charging-Stage / Grand-Jury Rejections and Dismissals</td>
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	<td><p><strong>United States v. Letitia James</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71601419/united-states-v-james/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">2:25-cr-00122</a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.vaed.583341/gov.uscourts.vaed.583341.140.0_1.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>E.D. Va. &mdash; Senior Judge Cameron McGowan Currie (Clinton)</p></td><td>Political Opponents &amp; Officials</td><td>Grand Jury Indictment</td><td><p>In September 2025, federal prosecutors in the Eastern District of Virginia reportedly found insufficient evidence to charge New York Attorney General Letitia James over alleged mortgage fraud. </p><p>On October 9, 2025, after the U.S. Attorney who declined to prosecute the case resigned under alleged pressure from the White House, Lindsey Halligan &mdash; a former Trump personal attorney installed as interim U.S. Attorney &mdash; personally secured a grand jury indictment. </p><p>On November 24, 2025, Judge Currie dismissed the indictment without prejudice, holding that Halligan was unlawfully appointed. </p><p>The DOJ sought a fresh indictment, but <strong>grand juries </strong><a href="https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/justice-department-fails-twice-to-re-indict-new-york-attorney-general-james-ap-source-says" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><strong>reportedly</strong></a><strong> declined twice</strong> &mdash; on December 4, 2025 and on December 11, 2025. </p><p>The DOJ has filed an appeal at the Fourth Circuit arguing that Halligan was lawfully appointed and that the indictment should not have been dismissed.</p></td><td></td><td>Charging-Stage / Grand-Jury Rejections and Dismissals</td>
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<tr>
	<td><p><strong>United States v. James Comey</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71459120/united-states-v-comey/?page=2" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">1:25-cr-00272</a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.vaed.582136/gov.uscourts.vaed.582136.213.0_9.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>E.D. Va. &mdash; Senior Judge Cameron McGowan Currie (Clinton)</p></td><td>Political Opponents &amp; Officials</td><td>Grand Jury Indictment</td><td><p>On September 25, 2025, a federal grand jury indicted former FBI Director James Comey on two counts arising from his 2020 Senate Judiciary Committee testimony. <strong>The grand jury declined a third count</strong>. The charges came after career prosecutors reportedly found insufficient evidence, the U.S. Attorney who resisted charging was pushed out, and Trump installed his former personal attorney Lindsey Halligan as interim U.S. Attorney &mdash; she alone presented the case and signed the indictment, days before the five-year statute of limitations expired.</p><p>On November 24, 2025, Judge Currie dismissed the indictment without prejudice, holding that Halligan was unlawfully appointed, so all actions flowing from her defective appointment, including securing and signing the indictment, were void.</p><p>The DOJ has filed an appeal at the Fourth Circuit arguing that Halligan was lawfully appointed and that the indictment should not have been dismissed.</p></td><td><p>This case presents the unique, if not <strong>unprecedented, situation where an unconstitutionally appointed prosecutor, &lsquo;exercising power [she] did not lawfully possess</strong>,&rsquo; . . . acted alone in conducting a grand jury proceeding and securing an indictment.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.vaed.582136/gov.uscourts.vaed.582136.213.0_9.pdf#page=24" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p></td><td>Charging-Stage / Grand-Jury Rejections and Dismissals</td>
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	<td><p><strong>Operation Midway Blitz (Chicago ICE Surge) Cases</strong></p><p>N.D. Ill.</p></td><td>Protesters &amp; Prosecutorial Misconduct</td><td>Grand Jury Indictment</td><td><p>In September 2025, the Trump administration launched Operation Midway Blitz, a surge of federal law enforcement to aid in mass deportations in Chicago. The U.S. Attorney&rsquo;s Office for the Northern District of Illinois &mdash; under Andrew Boutros, appointed without Senate confirmation &mdash; charged 33 people with federal nonimmigration crimes arising from protests against it. </p><p>According to an <a href="https://chicago.suntimes.com/2026/tracker-federal-prosecutions-chicago-status-trumps-immigration-blitz-ice" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">analysis</a> by<em> the Chicago Sun-Times</em>, as of May 2026, 16 of the 26 felony cases &mdash; brought against 23 of the 33 defendants &mdash; had been dismissed, one individual was acquitted, and only two had pleaded guilty. In 3 cases, grand juries returned no bills, and other charges were dismissed after body-camera footage contradicted the charging affidavits. According to <a href="https://www.propublica.org/article/caught-in-crackdown-ice-cbp-doj-trump-arrests-convictions" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">ProPublica</a>, of 109 arrests of protesters in the Chicago area, charges were dropped in at least 75 cases.</p><p>In the most prominent case (&ldquo;the Broadview Six&rdquo;), six protesters were indicted in October 2025 for conspiring to impede a federal agent outside the Broadview ICE facility. The indictment came on the third grand jury presentation, after a no bill on the first presentation and the second presentation was cut short, and was obtained by a prosecutor who vouched for the case, excused a dissenting grand juror, and communicated with jurors outside the grand jury room. </p><p>After Judge April Perry took the rare step of <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.ilnd.488591/gov.uscourts.ilnd.488591.186.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">ordering</a> unredacted copies of the grand jury transcripts in the Broadview Six case, the government dropped the felony count and, on May 21, 2026, dismissed all remaining charges. Ten defendants in three unrelated cases handled by the same prosecutor have since had charges dismissed, and more than 1000 grand jury presentations in the Northern District of Illinois are <a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/chicago-broadview-six-federal-prosecutor-cases-under-review/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">reportedly</a> under review. </p><p>A <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.ilnd.488591/gov.uscourts.ilnd.488591.227.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">motion</a> by the Broadview Six defendants to appoint an outside special counsel to investigate the U.S. Attorney&rsquo;s Office for criminal contempt remains pending before Judge Perry.</p></td><td><p>Grand Juror in Broadview Six case: &ldquo;I heard this case like last week and I thought it was a crock of sh** then and still think it is.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.ilnd.488593/gov.uscourts.ilnd.488593.220.0.pdf#page=10" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Grand Jury Transcript</a>)</p><p>Judge April M. Perry (N.D. Ill. &mdash; Biden): &ldquo;[On Broadview Six case] I have read hundreds, if not thousands, of grand jury transcripts&hellip; <strong>I have never seen the types of prosecutorial behavior before a grand jury that I saw in those transcripts.</strong>&rdquo; (<a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/USA-v.-Rabbit-Transcript-May-21-2026.pdf#page=22" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Bench Transcrip</a>t)</p><p>Judge Perry: &ldquo;I do believe deeply in the presumption of regularity and that most government attorneys are doing the best they can to do the right thing. <strong>That trust has been broken.</strong>&rdquo; (<a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/USA-v.-Rabbit-Transcript-May-21-2026.pdf#page=23" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Bench Transcript</a>)</p></td><td>Charging-Stage / Grand-Jury Rejections and Dismissals</td>
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	<td><p><strong>Operation Metro Surge (Minnesota ICE Surge) Cases</strong></p><p>D. Minn. </p><p>Judge John Tunheim (Clinton)</p></td><td>Protesters &amp; Prosecutorial Misconduct</td><td>Grand Jury Indictment</td><td><p>In December 2025, the Trump administration launched Operation Metro Surge, an immigration enforcement operation in the Twin Cities that expanded statewide and detained roughly 3,000 people. </p><p>Federal prosecutors in the District of Minnesota charged roughly 36 Minnesotans in a first wave of cases alleging assault on or impeding of federal immigration agents. A <em>Star Tribune</em> <a href="https://www.startribune.com/tracking-federal-assault-cases-against-anti-ice-protesters/601853692" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">analysis</a> found that at least 15 cases against 16 defendants &mdash; nearly half of those charged &mdash; have been dismissed.  Several others were downgraded from felonies to misdemeanors. </p><p>In <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.mnd.230472/gov.uscourts.mnd.230472.48.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">two cases</a>, charges were dismissed with prejudice &mdash; meaning the government cannot attempt to recharge the defendant. In <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.mnd.230472/gov.uscourts.mnd.230472.48.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">one</a> of these cases, prosecutors disclosed newly discovered evidence materially inconsistent with the charges, and two ICE agents were suspended pending a criminal probe into whether they lied to the grand jury. In the <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/USA-v.-Ahmed-Order-June-12-2026.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">other</a>, when prosecutors moved to dismiss rather than produce court-ordered discovery, Judge John Tunheim dismissed with prejudice on June 12, 2026, finding the government gave no reasoned explanation, appeared to be using dismissal to evade its discovery obligations, violated the court's sealing order, and likely violated DOJ&rsquo;s own policies.</p></td><td><p>Judge John Tunheim (D. Minn. &mdash; Clinton): &ldquo;In short, <strong>the Government&rsquo;s actions in this case violated a Court order, likely violated the Department of Justice&rsquo;s own policies, and undermined the presumption of innocence that lies at the heart of our criminal justice system</strong>. For these reasons, the Court concludes that the dismissal with prejudice is necessary to protect Ahmed from <strong>prosecutorial harassment</strong>.&rdquo; (<a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/USA-v.-Ahmed-Order-June-12-2026.pdf#page=12" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p></td><td>Charging-Stage / Grand-Jury Rejections and Dismissals</td>
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	<td><p><strong>United States v. Parias</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71903684/united-states-v-parias/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">2:25-cr-00904</a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.cacd.995241/gov.uscourts.cacd.995241.76.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>C.D. Cal. &mdash; Judge Fernando M. Olguin (Obama)</p></td><td>Immigration &amp; Prosecutorial Misconduct</td><td>Grand Jury Indictment</td><td><p>On December 27, 2025, Judge Olguin dismissed the case against Parias with prejudice for prosecutor&rsquo;s failure to allow defendant timely access to counsel while in ICE custody, as well as failure to comply with discovery. The court also took note of misrepresentations and lack of coordination between the U.S. Attorney&rsquo;s Office and DHS.</p><p>The government has appealed to the Ninth Circuit.</p></td><td><p>"...the government&rsquo;s failure to coordinate the overlapping actions of its separate agencieswhile relentlessly pursuing Mr. Parias&rsquo;s criminal proceedings created a situation from which constitutional violations could &ndash; and did &ndash; occur." (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.cacd.995241/gov.uscourts.cacd.995241.76.0.pdf#page=21" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p><p>&ldquo;In short, because the deprivation of Mr. Parias&rsquo;s access to counsel during the critical period prior to his trial caused him actual and threatened prejudice, and because no other remedy could adequately cure his deprivation, the court agrees with defendant that dismissal of the indictment is warranted.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.cacd.995241/gov.uscourts.cacd.995241.76.0.pdf#page=26" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p></td><td>Charging-Stage / Grand-Jury Rejections and Dismissals</td>
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	<td><p><strong>Attempt to Indict Six Members of Congress for Video to Military Service Members</strong></p><p>D.D.C. &mdash; Grand Jury</p></td><td>Political Opponents &amp; Officials</td><td>Grand Jury Indictment</td><td><p>On February 10, 2026, a grand jury <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2026/02/10/politics/jury-declines-to-indict-lawmakers-illegal-orders-video" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">reportedly</a> declined to indict six lawmakers (Sens. Kelly and Slotkin; Reps. Crow, Goodlander, Deluzio, and Houlahan) over a November 2025 video informing military personnel of their ability to refuse illegal orders.</p></td><td></td><td>Charging-Stage / Grand-Jury Rejections and Dismissals</td>
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	<td><p><strong>United States v. Timberlake</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/70513043/united-states-v-timberlake/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">0:25-cr-00232</a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.mnd.225778/gov.uscourts.mnd.225778.32.0_3.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a> (Feb. 23, 2026)</p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.mnd.225778/gov.uscourts.mnd.225778.35.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a> (Apr. 7, 2026)</p><p>D. Minn. &mdash; Judge David S. Doty (Reagan)</p></td><td>Prosecutorial Misconduct</td><td>Grand Jury Indictment</td><td><p>On February 23, 2026, Judge Doty dismissed the indictment against Tavon Tarrell Timberlake with prejudice because prosecutors failed to commence trial within 70 days of taking Timberlake into custody, in violation of the Speedy Trial Act.</p><p>On April 7, 2026, Judge Doty denied federal prosecutors&rsquo; request to reconsider the dismissal, ruling that the government failed to provide any new evidence or demonstrate a manifest error of law. The court further ordered the government&rsquo;s motion and exhibits be completely stricken from the record for violating the court&rsquo;s procedural rules. </p></td><td></td><td>Charging-Stage / Grand-Jury Rejections and Dismissals</td>
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	<td><p><strong>In re Wyoming Felony Indictments (Darin Smith grand-jury misconduct)</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/73328416/united-states-v-hopper/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">1:26-cr-00028</a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.wyd.72797/gov.uscourts.wyd.72797.43.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>D. Wyo. &mdash; Chief Judge Kelly H. Rankin (Biden), Judge Alan B. Johnson (Reagan), Judge Scott W. Skavdahl (Obama)</p></td><td>Prosecutorial Misconduct</td><td>Grand Jury  Indictment</td><td><p>On May 15, 2026, a joint order issued by a three-judge panel in the District of Wyoming dismissed nine felony indictments without prejudice after finding U.S. Attorney Darin Smith made improper, inflammatory remarks to grand jurors (calling defendants &ldquo;murderers,&rdquo; telling them indictment &ldquo;won&rsquo;t take long&rdquo;). </p></td><td><p>[The three judges found Smith&rsquo;s] &ldquo;inflammatory and inappropriate&rdquo; comments gave the court &ldquo;grave doubt that the decision to indict was free from the substantial influence of such violations.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.wyd.72797/gov.uscourts.wyd.72797.43.0.pdf#page=8" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p></td><td>Charging-Stage / Grand-Jury Rejections and Dismissals</td>
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	<td><p><strong>United States v. Kilmar Abrego Garcia</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/70476164/united-states-v-abrego-garcia/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">3:25-cr-00115</a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.tnmd.104622/gov.uscourts.tnmd.104622.312.0_6.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>M.D. Tenn. &mdash; Judge Waverly D. Crenshaw (Obama)</p></td><td>Immigration &amp; Prosecutorial Misconduct </td><td>Grand Jury Indictment</td><td><p>On May 22, 2026, Judge Crenshaw dismissed federal prosecutors&rsquo; indictment of Kilmar Abrego Garcia &mdash; a Maryland resident the federal government illegally deported and was ordered to facilitate his return to the United States &mdash; for vindictive prosecution. Judge Crenshaw found Abrego Garcia would not have been prosecuted if he had not been successful in reversing his illegal deportation. </p><p>The DOJ appealed the dismissal to the Sixth Circuit. </p></td><td><p>&ldquo;[T]he timing of Agent VanWie&rsquo;s decision to reopen the closed HSI investigation of the November 2022 traffic stop and Blanche&rsquo;s now unrebutted public statements tying the reopened investigation to Abrego&rsquo;s successful lawsuit <strong>taints the investigation with a vindictive motive.</strong>&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.tnmd.104622/gov.uscourts.tnmd.104622.312.0_6.pdf#page=12" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion)</a></p><p>&ldquo;The evidence before this Court sadly reflects <strong>an abuse of prosecuting power</strong>.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.tnmd.104622/gov.uscourts.tnmd.104622.312.0_6.pdf#page=32" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p><p>&ldquo;The objective evidence here shows that, absent Abrego&rsquo;s successful lawsuit challenging his removal to El Salvador, the Government would not have brought this prosecution.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.tnmd.104622/gov.uscourts.tnmd.104622.312.0_6.pdf#page=32" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion)</a></p></td><td>Charging-Stage / Grand-Jury Rejections and Dismissals</td>
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	<td><p><strong>United States v. Fagan et al</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/73474175/united-states-v-fagan/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">1:26-cr-00291</a></p><p>N.D. Ill.  &mdash; Magistrate Judge Keri L. Holleb Hotaling</p></td><td>Prosecutorial Misconduct</td><td>Grand Jury Indictment</td><td><p>On June 14, 2026, federal prosecutors in the Northern District of Illinois dismissed charges against three defendants in an attempted robbery case after a video emerged inconsistent with FBI and ATF agent testimony. </p><p>Magistrate Judge Hotaling is <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/73474175/united-states-v-fagan/#entry-31" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">considering</a> whether to impose sanctions on the government for its conduct. </p></td><td><p>&ldquo;This court is very concerned that <strong>I cannot rely on the information that is provided to me &hellip; from the U.S. Attorney&rsquo;s Office</strong>.&rdquo; (<a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/26-cr-291-usa-v-fagan-et-al-061826-final-1.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Bench Transcript</a>)</p></td><td>Charging-Stage / Grand-Jury Rejections and Dismissals</td>
</tr>
<tr>
	<td><p><strong>Assault Cases Against Protesters and Immigrants Dismissed Nationwide</strong></p></td><td>Protests and Prosecutorial Misconduct</td><td>Grand Jury Indictment &amp; Misdemeanor</td><td><p>According to a July 2026 <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/18/us/ice-assaults-protesters.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">analysis</a> by<em> The New York Times</em>, federal prosecutors around the country have brought more than 550 charges against individuals related to protests or immigration enforcement for assaulting federal law enforcement officers under 18 U.S.C. &sect; 111. </p><p>Of those cases, at least 213 have resulted in judge-ordered dismissals, prosecutors dropping charges, or juries acquitting defendants (including a portion of the 79 cases dismissed or dropped relating to ICE protests or federal law enforcement surges in D.C., Chicago, Minnesota, and Los Angeles). In 65 cases, federal prosecutors dropped or downgraded charges before a deadline to secure an indictment. Due to the secrecy of grand jury proceedings, the exact number of refusals is publicly known. Of the cases that prosecutors won, almost all were the result of guilty pleas. </p><p>In at least 30 instances, judges admonished federal prosecutors or law enforcement for misconduct, such as withholding evidence, improper communications with jurors, and making false statements.</p></td><td></td><td>Charging-Stage / Grand-Jury Rejections and Dismissals</td>
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	<td><p><strong>In re Subpoena Duces Tecum No 25-1431-016 (Seattle Children&rsquo;s Hospital)</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/72027107/seattle-childrens-hospital-v-united-states-department-of-justice/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">2:25-mc-00041</a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.wawd.350048/gov.uscourts.wawd.350048.25.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>W.D. Wash. &mdash; Judge John H. Chun (Biden)</p></td><td>Gender-Affirming Care</td><td>DOJ &sect; 3486 Administrative Subpoena</td><td><p>On June 11, 2025, the DOJ served Seattle Children&rsquo;s Hospital (SCH) with an administrative subpoena under 18 U.S.C. &sect; 3486, reportedly to investigate off-label promotion of puberty blockers and hormone therapy under the FDCA and false claims to federal health programs, pursuant to Executive Order 14187 and a memo from Attorney General Bondi. Its 15 requests included the personnel files of nearly all SCH employees and the full medical records of gender-affirming care patients, including their Social Security numbers and home addresses. SCH moved to set aside the subpoena on July 8, 2025. </p><p>On September 3, 2025, Judge Chun granted the motion to set aside the subpoena, holding that the government&rsquo;s justification for issuing the subpoena was likely &ldquo;pretextual&rdquo; and that it actually sought to pressure the hospital to end gender-affirming care treatment. The court held the subpoena was unlawful due to improper purpose, since providing gender-affirming care for minors is not a &ldquo;federal healthcare offense.&rdquo; </p><p>The DOJ appealed to the Ninth Circuit.</p></td><td><p>&ldquo;[Seattle Children&rsquo;s Hospital] asserts that the DOJ issued the subpoena to further its broader goal of ending &lsquo;gender-affirming treatment&rsquo; in Washington state. The Court agrees.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.wawd.350048/gov.uscourts.wawd.350048.25.0.pdf#page=19" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p><p>&ldquo;Because the DOJ&rsquo;s prima facie case that the subpoena is issued to investigate a federal healthcare offense is <strong>threadbare</strong>, it is more likely that this justification is <strong>pretextual</strong>.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.wawd.350048/gov.uscourts.wawd.350048.25.0.pdf#page=19" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p></td><td>Administrative Subpoenas</td>
</tr>
<tr>
	<td><p><strong>In re Administrative Subpoena (Boston Children&rsquo;s Hospital)</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71301301/in-re-administrative-subpoena-no-25-1431-019/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">1:25-mc-91324 </a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.mad.286628/gov.uscourts.mad.286628.33.0_4.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>D. Mass. &mdash; Judge Myong J. Joun (Biden)</p></td><td>Gender-Affirming Care</td><td>DOJ &sect; 3486 Administrative Subpoena<br>
</td><td><p>On June 11, 2025, the DOJ served Boston Children&rsquo;s Hospital with an administrative subpoena under 18 U.S.C. &sect; 3486, reportedly to investigate off-label promotion of puberty blockers and hormone therapy under the FDCA and false claims to federal health programs, pursuant to Executive Order 14187 and a memo from Attorney General Bondi. Its 15 requests included the personnel files of nearly all BCH employees and the full medical records of gender-affirming care patients, including their Social Security numbers and home addresses. BCH moved to quash on July 8, 2025. </p><p>On September 9, 2025, Judge Joun granted the motion to quash, holding that the government failed to show proper purpose, that the requests were overbroad, and that, even if a prima facie showing had been made, BCH demonstrated the subpoena was issued in bad faith for an improper purpose: to interfere with Massachusetts&rsquo;s protection of GAC, harass BCH into stopping care, and dissuade patients from seeking it.</p><p>The DOJ appealed to the First Circuit.</p></td><td><p>&ldquo;It is abundantly clear that the <strong>true purpose of issuing the subpoena</strong> is to interfere with the Commonwealth of Massachusetts&rsquo; right to protect GAC within its borders, <strong>to harass and intimidate [Boston Children&rsquo;s Hospital] to stop providing such care</strong>, and to dissuade patients from seeking such care. &hellip; I find that the Government has failed to show proper purpose and, even if it had, that BCH has demonstrated that<strong> the subpoena was issued for an improper purpose, motivated only by bad faith</strong>.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.mad.286628/gov.uscourts.mad.286628.33.0_4.pdf#page=14" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p></td><td>Administrative Subpoenas</td>
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	<td><p><strong>QueerDoc, PLLC v. U.S. Department of Justice</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71783827/queerdoc-pllc-v-united-states-department-of-justice/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">2:25-mc-00042 </a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.wawd.350058/gov.uscourts.wawd.350058.27.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>W.D. Wash. &mdash; Judge Jamal N. Whitehead (Biden)</p></td><td>Gender-Affirming Care</td><td>DOJ &sect; 3486 Administrative Subpoena<br>
</td><td><p>On June 11, 2025, the DOJ served QueerDoc &mdash; a small telehealth provider offering gender-affirming care in ten states &mdash; with an administrative subpoena under 18 U.S.C. &sect; 3486, reportedly to investigate off-label promotion of puberty blockers and hormone therapy under the FDCA and false claims to federal health programs, pursuant to Executive Order 14187 and a memo from Attorney General Bondi. Its 15 requests included the personnel files of nearly all employees and the full medical records of gender-affirming-care patients, including their Social Security numbers and home addresses. QueerDoc moved to quash on July 8, 2025.</p><p>On October 27, 2025, Judge Whitehead granted the motion to quash, holding the subpoena was issued for an improper purpose in bad faith, stating that the administration&rsquo;s own repeated declarations that it sought to end gender-affirming care were direct evidence of improper purpose.</p><p>The DOJ appealed to the Ninth Circuit.</p></td><td><p>&ldquo;The <strong>mismatch</strong> between DOJ&rsquo;s stated investigation and QueerDoc&rsquo;s actual operations further reveals the <strong>subpoena&rsquo;s pretextual nature</strong>.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.wawd.350058/gov.uscourts.wawd.350058.27.0.pdf#page=13" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p><p>&ldquo;[W]hen a federal agency issues a subpoena not to investigate legal violations but to intimidate and coerce providers into abandoning lawful medical care, <strong>it exceeds its legitimate authority and abuses the judicial process</strong>.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.wawd.350058/gov.uscourts.wawd.350058.27.0.pdf#page=6" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p><p>&ldquo;It suggests that DOJ issued the subpoena first and searched for a justification second. <strong>No legitimate investigation would demand thousands of patient records</strong> from an entity that cannot, by definition, commit the violations being investigated.&rdquo;(<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.wawd.350058/gov.uscourts.wawd.350058.27.0.pdf#page=13" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p></td><td>Administrative Subpoenas</td>
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<tr>
	<td><p><strong>In re Administrative Subpoena No. 25-1431-014 (Children&rsquo;s Hospital of Philadelphia)</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/70918513/in-re-subpoena-no-25-1431-014/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">2:25-mc-00039</a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.paed.640150/gov.uscourts.paed.640150.43.0_2.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>E.D. Pa. &mdash; Judge Mark A. Kearney (Obama)</p></td><td>Gender-Affirming Care</td><td>DOJ &sect; 3486 Administrative Subpoena<br>
</td><td><p>On June 12, 2025, the DOJ served the Children&rsquo;s Hospital of Philadelphia (CHOP) with a &sect; 3486 administrative subpoena, reportedly investigating misbranding and off-label promotion of puberty blockers and hormone therapy under the FDCA. CHOP moved on July 8, 2025 to limit Requests 11&ndash;13, which demanded the identity of every patient prescribed those drugs (name, date of birth, Social Security number, address, and guardian information), along with their diagnoses and consent records; patients and their parents moved to limit the subpoena as well.</p><br>
<p>On November 21, 2025, Judge Kearney granted the motion, striking Requests 11&ndash;13 on two independent grounds &mdash; that the DOJ lacked statutory authority, because the children&rsquo;s records bear no relevance to a &ldquo;federal health care offense&rdquo; (the FDCA does not reach physicians&rsquo; off-label prescribing), and that, even if relevant, the Third Circuit&rsquo;s <em>Westinghouse</em> privacy-balancing test weighed overwhelmingly against disclosing records this sensitive, a harm underscored by the DOJ&rsquo;s stated intent to use the patients&rsquo; identities as investigative leads and their parents as witnesses.</p><br>
<p>The DOJ appealed to the Third Circuit, but then <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.ca3.127003/gov.uscourts.ca3.127003.24.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">withdrew</a> its appeal.&nbsp;</p></td><td><p>&ldquo;[DOJ&rsquo;s]<strong> wayward reasoning makes it difficult to identify a consistent statutory </strong><strong>basis or investigative target </strong>within the limits Congress imposed in Section 3486 and leaves uncertain whether the present three requests (for personally identifying and highly confidential and sensitive medical records of children) remains confined to the &lsquo;federal health care offense&rsquo; Congress authorized the Department of Justice to investigate for the stated purposes under the Food, Drug, and Cosmetics Act. <strong>This explanation is not credible.&rdquo; </strong>(<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.paed.640150/gov.uscourts.paed.640150.43.0_2.pdf#page=24" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p></td><td>Administrative Subpoenas</td>
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<tr>
	<td><p><strong>In re 2025 UPMC Subpoena </strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71443970/a/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">2:25-mc-01069 </a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.pawd.323516/gov.uscourts.pawd.323516.52.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Order</a> (Dec. 24, 2025)</p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.pawd.323516/gov.uscourts.pawd.323516.66.0_2.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Order</a> (Mar. 2, 2026)</p><p>W.D. Pa. &mdash; Chief Judge Cathy Bissoon (Obama)</p></td><td>Gender-Affirming Care</td><td>DOJ &sect; 3486 Administrative Subpoena<br>
</td><td><p>On June 11, 2025, the DOJ served University of Pittsburgh Medical Center (UPMC) with a &sect; 3486 administrative subpoena reportedly to investigate off-label promotion of puberty blockers and hormone therapy under the FDCA. Requests 11&ndash;13 demanded the name, date of birth, Social Security number, address, and guardian information of every minor prescribed those drugs, along with their diagnoses and consent records. Patients and former patients who received that care at UPMC as minors, together with their parents, moved to quash Requests 11-13.</p><p>On December 24, 2025, Chief Judge Bissoon granted the motion to quash, adopting Judge Kearney&rsquo;s parallel E.D. Pa. opinion by reference and holding that the investigation &ldquo;tramples&rdquo; Pennsylvania&rsquo;s authority to police and regulate medical care.</p><p>After the DOJ filed a premature notice of appeal, the court held on March 2, 2026 that it retained jurisdiction and rejected the DOJ&rsquo;s proposal for anonymized production, finding true anonymization unachievable and that any balancing of the patients&rsquo; privacy against the government&rsquo;s demands would over-legitimize a subpoena that exceeds DOJ&rsquo;s statutory authority and &ldquo;usurp[s]&rdquo; the States&rsquo; regulation of medicine &mdash; reaffirming the quash with what it now called closer to &ldquo;a stench&rdquo; of &ldquo;ill-intent.&rdquo;</p><br>
</td><td><p>[Dec. 24, 2025] &ldquo;[T]his Court joins the others in finding that the government&rsquo;s demand for deeply private and personal patient information carries more than a whiff of ill-intent. This is apparent from its rhetoric.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.pawd.323516/gov.uscourts.pawd.323516.52.0.pdf#page=3" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p><p>[Mar. 2, 2026] &ldquo;To the extent the DOJ has urged trust, moreover, it must understand why <strong>its assurances are cold comfort.</strong>&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.pawd.323516/gov.uscourts.pawd.323516.66.0_2.pdf#page=3" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p><p>&ldquo;The subpoena exceeds the DOJ&rsquo;s statutory authority. The DOJ would usurp the States&rsquo; regulation of the medical profession. Its rhetoric regarding gender-affirming care reflects callous indifference, if not abject cruelty. There is <strong>more than a &lsquo;whiff&rsquo; of ill-intent. Arguably, it is closer to a stench</strong>.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.pawd.323516/gov.uscourts.pawd.323516.66.0_2.pdf#page=3" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p></td><td>Administrative Subpoenas</td>
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<tr>
	<td><p><strong>In re 2025 Children&rsquo;s Hospital of Los Angeles Subpoena</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71946069/in-re-2025-childrens-hospital-of-los-angeles-subpoena/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">2:25-cv-11183 </a></p><p><a href="https://calmatters.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Notice-of-Dismissal.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Settlement Agreement</a></p><p>C.D. Cal. &mdash; Judge Michelle W. Court (Biden)</p></td><td>Gender-Affirming Care</td><td>DOJ &sect; 3486 Administrative Subpoena<br>
</td><td><p>On June 11, 2025, the DOJ served Children&rsquo;s Hospital Los Angeles with a &sect; 3486 administrative subpoena, reportedly to investigate off-label promotion of puberty blockers and hormone therapy under the FDCA. Requests 11&ndash;13 demanded the name, date of birth, Social Security number, address, and guardian information of every minor prescribed those drugs, along with their diagnoses and consent records. Parents and guardians of former patients at the hospital&rsquo;s Center for Transyouth Health and Development moved to quash the three requests, to proceed under pseudonym, and for class certification on Nov. 21, 2025.</p><p>On December 8, 2025, the DOJ withdrew Requests 11&ndash;13 in their entirety and instructed the hospital to redact all patient-identifying information, and on Jan. 22, 2026 the parties settled and the movants dismissed the action without prejudice. Under the settlement, the government agreed not to use any patient-identifying information it might receive, to require redaction to HIPAA de-identification standards, and to give the movants&rsquo; counsel 28 days&rsquo; advance notice before reissuing those requests or issuing any new subpoena seeking patient-identifying gender-care records from the hospital before February 2029.</p></td><td></td><td>Administrative Subpoenas</td>
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<tr>
	<td><span><p><strong>In re DOJ Administrative Subpoena No. 25-1431-030 (Children&rsquo;s Hospital Colorado)</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71924124/department-of-justice-administrative-subpoena-no-25-1431-030/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">1:25-mc-00063 </a></p><p>Magistrate <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.cod.246314/gov.uscourts.cod.246314.35.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Recommendation</a></p><p>D. Col. &mdash; Magistrate Judge Cyrus Y. Chung </p></span></td><td>Gender-Affirming Care</td><td>DOJ &sect; 3486 Administrative Subpoena<br>
</td><td><p>On July 14, 2025, the DOJ served Children&rsquo;s Hospital Colorado with a &sect; 3486 administrative subpoena, reportedly investigating off-label promotion of puberty blockers and hormone therapy under the FDCA. Requests 11&ndash;13 demanded the name, address, and Social Security information of every minor prescribed those drugs, along with their diagnoses and consent records.</p><p>On Jan. 5, 2026, Magistrate Judge Chung recommended the motion to quash Requests 11-13 be granted, finding the patient records bore little relevance to an FDCA investigation (which does not reach physicians&rsquo; off-label prescribing) and that the subpoena was issued for an improper purpose in bad faith &mdash; a pretext to pressure hospitals into ending gender-affirming care. </p><p>A final order by Judge Crews is still pending as of publication. </p></td><td><p>&ldquo;Taken together, then, the evidence &lsquo;carries <strong>more than a whiff of ill-intent</strong>.&rsquo; &hellip; It paints a compelling picture illustrating that the government&rsquo;s aim is not actually to investigate FDCA violations, but to use the FDCA as a smokescreen for its true objective of pressuring pediatric hospitals into ending gender-affirming care through commencing vague, suspicionless &lsquo;investigations.&rsquo; Every court to consider the issue agrees. &hellip; To countenance such a tactic would be an abuse of the Court&rsquo;s process.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.cod.246314/gov.uscourts.cod.246314.35.0.pdf#page=15" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p></td><td>Administrative Subpoenas</td>
</tr>
<tr>
	<td><span><p><strong>In re 2025 Subpoena to Children&rsquo;s National Hospital</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71928506/in-re-2025-subpoena-to-childrens-national-hospital/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">1:25-cv-03780 </a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.mdd.594434/gov.uscourts.mdd.594434.23.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>D. Md. &mdash; Judge Julie R. Rubin (Biden)</p></span></td><td>Gender-Affirming Care</td><td>DOJ &sect; 3486 Administrative Subpoena<br>
</td><td><p>On June 11, 2025, the DOJ served Children&rsquo;s National Hospital with an administrative subpoena under 18 U.S.C. &sect; 3486, reportedly to investigate off-label promotion of puberty blockers and hormone therapy under the FDCA and false claims to federal health programs. Its 15 requests included the personnel files of nearly all CNH employees and the full medical records of gender-affirming-care patients, including their Social Security numbers and home addresses. Eight families whose children received care through the hospital&rsquo;s Gender Development Program moved to quash on November 17, 2025.</p><p>On Jan. 21, 2026, Judge Rubin granted the motion to quash, holding that the subpoena lacked a proper investigative purpose. Against the backdrop of the executive order and DOJ memos, the court found the subpoena was a pretext to advance the Executive&rsquo;s policy of terminating gender-affirming care and only undertaken to intimidate and harass the hospital and patients.</p><p>The DOJ appealed to the Fourth Circuit.</p></td><td><p>&ldquo;[A]gainst the backdrop of Executive Order 14187, the April 2025 DOJ memorandum, and the June 2025 DOJ memorandum&mdash;<strong>the court finds the Subpoena is a pretext </strong>to fulfill the Executive&rsquo;s well-publicized policy objective to terminate and block gender affirming healthcare.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.mdd.594434/gov.uscourts.mdd.594434.23.0.pdf#page=15" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p><p>&ldquo;The <strong>Subpoena</strong> <strong>bears no credible connection to an investigation </strong>of any statutory violation by the Hospital &hellip; the Subpoena is the classic <strong>impermissible fishing expedition.</strong>&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.mdd.594434/gov.uscourts.mdd.594434.23.0.pdf#page=15" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>) </p></td><td>Administrative Subpoenas</td>
</tr>
<tr>
	<td><p><strong>In re Motion to Quash Administrative Subpoena to Rhode Island Hospital</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/73290254/in-re-motion-to-quash-administrative-subpoena-to-rhode-island-hospital/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">1:26-mc-00007 </a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.rid.62049/gov.uscourts.rid.62049.38.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion and Order</a></p><p>D.R.I. &mdash; Judge Mary S. McElroy (Trump)</p></td><td>Gender-Affirming Care</td><td>DOJ &sect; 3486 Administrative Subpoena<br>
</td><td><p>On July 3, 2025, the DOJ served Rhode Island Hospital with an administrative subpoena under 18 U.S.C. &sect; 3486, reportedly to investigate off-label promotion of puberty blockers and hormone therapy under the FDCA and false claims to federal health programs, pursuant to Executive Order 14187 and a memo from Attorney General Bondi. Its 15 requests included the personnel files of nearly all RIH employees and the full medical records of gender-affirming-care patients, including their Social Security numbers and home addresses. </p><p>On April 30, 2026, after alleged noncompliance, the DOJ filed a petition in the Northern District of Texas to force Rhode Island Hospital to comply. On the same day, Judge Reed O&rsquo;Connor (N.D. Tex. &mdash; Bush) <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.txnd.419013/gov.uscourts.txnd.419013.2.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">ordered</a> the hospital to comply with the subpoena. On May 12, 2026, the Fifth Circuit <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.ca5.230000/gov.uscourts.ca5.230000.34.2.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">denied</a> a motion to stay Judge O&rsquo;Connor&rsquo;s order to comply with the subpoena and, on May 18, 2026, Judge O&rsquo;Connor <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.txnd.419013/gov.uscourts.txnd.419013.26.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">ordered</a> the hospital to directly produce the subpoenaed records to him. Rhode Island&rsquo;s Child Advocate filed an emergency motion for an injunction at the First Circuit. Proceedings in the Fifth Circuit continue to move forward.</p><p>Separately, on May 6, 2026, Rhode Island Hospital and Rhode Island&rsquo;s Child Advocate moved to quash the subpoena in the District of Rhode Island, while concurrently appealing Judge O&rsquo;Connor&rsquo;s order to the Fifth Circuit. On May 13, 2026, Judge McElroy (D. R.I. &mdash; Trump) <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.rid.62049/gov.uscourts.rid.62049.38.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">quashed</a> the subpoena on three independent grounds: the subpoena lacked a congressionally authorized purpose, it was issued for an improper purpose in bad faith, and it demanded records that could not be produced consistent with the children&rsquo;s Fourteenth Amendment right to informational privacy. The DOJ appealed Judge McElroy&rsquo;s order to the First Circuit. </p><p>Judge McElroy <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/73290254/in-re-motion-to-quash-administrative-subpoena-to-rhode-island-hospital/#minute-entry-466454625" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><strong>referred</strong></a><strong> prosecutors involved in the case to a court discipline committee for misrepresentations</strong>. On May 19, 2026, the First Circuit <a href="https://www.ca1.uscourts.gov/sites/ca1/files/opnfiles/26-1568O-01A.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">declined</a> to block Judge O&rsquo;Connor&rsquo;s order for lack of jurisdiction. </p></td><td><p>Judge McElroy:&ldquo;[<strong>T]he discrepancy between the honorable conduct expected of federal prosecutors and DOJ&rsquo;s tactics in this case is unsettling</strong>.The Court cannot help but share the sentiment that &lsquo;<strong>[t]he presumption of regularity that has previously been extended to [DOJ] that it could be taken at its word&mdash;with little doubt about its intentions and stated purposes&mdash;no longer holds</strong>.&rsquo;&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.rid.62049/gov.uscourts.rid.62049.38.0.pdf#page=23" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p><p>Judge Mary S. McElroy (D.R.I. &mdash; Trump): &ldquo;<strong>DOJ has proven unworthy . . . at every point in this case</strong>&rdquo; [of the trust expected of prosecutors] and &ldquo;<strong>has</strong> <strong>misrepresented and withheld information</strong> <strong>to both this court and the United States District Court for the Northern District of Texas &hellip;</strong> in an obvious effort to<strong> shield its recent investigative tactics&mdash;</strong>previously rejected by every other court to review them&mdash;from [those courts&rsquo;] review, in favor of a distant forum that DOJ deems friendly to its political positions.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.rid.62049/gov.uscourts.rid.62049.38.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p><p>Judge McElroy: &ldquo;The subpoena lacks a congressionally authorized purpose, was issued for an improper purpose, and demands the production of records that cannot be obtained consistent with the constitutional privacy rights of Rhode Island children.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.rid.62049/gov.uscourts.rid.62049.38.0.pdf#page=23" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p><p>Judge McElroy: [On DOJ&rsquo;s claim to the N.D. Tex. court that the hospital had not communicated since February:] the assertion was &ldquo;<strong>clearly misleading, if not utterly false.</strong>&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.rid.62049/gov.uscourts.rid.62049.38.0.pdf#page=5" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p><p>Judge McElroy: &ldquo;<strong>This reckless disregard for the duty of candor owed to a federal court is appalling</strong>.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.rid.62049/gov.uscourts.rid.62049.38.0.pdf#page=6" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p></td><td>Administrative Subpoenas</td>
</tr>
<tr>
	<td><p><strong>In re Administrative Subpoenas to Children&rsquo;s Hospitals</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/73327527/in-re-administrative-subpoenas-to-childrens-hospitals/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">8:26-cv-01834</a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.mdd.605488/gov.uscourts.mdd.605488.28.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a> and <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.mdd.605488/gov.uscourts.mdd.605488.29.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Order</a></p><p>D. Md. &mdash; Judge Julie R. Rubin (Biden)</p></td><td>Gender-Affirming Care</td><td>DOJ &sect; 3486 Administrative Subpoena<br>
</td><td><p>On May 9, 2026, minor transgender patients and their parents from four hospitals &mdash; Children&rsquo;s National, Connecticut Children&rsquo;s, Michigan Medicine, and Rady Children&rsquo;s &mdash; moved to quash Requests 11&ndash;13 of the DOJ&rsquo;s &sect; 3486 subpoenas (demanding the identity of every gender-affirming care patient, including Social Security numbers and addresses, along with their diagnoses and consent records), to certify a nationwide class covering all such subpoenas, and to enjoin the DOJ&rsquo;s use of the data.</p><p>On June 9, 2026, Judge Rubin granted the motion in part, denying class certification but quashing the CNH subpoena in full for lack of a proper investigative purpose, holding it a pretext to advance the Executive&rsquo;s policy of terminating gender-affirming care and rejecting the government&rsquo;s offer to cure it by anonymizing the records.</p></td><td><p>&ldquo;The court concludes the CNH Subpoena was not issued for a legitimate governmental purpose, is not limited in scope to any legitimate purpose, and is oppressive in its breadth.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.mdd.605488/gov.uscourts.mdd.605488.28.0.pdf#page=23" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p><p>&ldquo;Nothing the Government submits plausibly explains the purported connection between the documents it demands and suspected FDCA violations by CNH.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.mdd.605488/gov.uscourts.mdd.605488.28.0.pdf#page=23" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p><p>&ldquo;Considering the<strong> patent disassociation of the scope of the CNH Subpoena from purported investigation</strong> of supposed FDCA violations &hellip; the court finds the CNH Subpoena is a <strong>pretext</strong> to fulfill the Executive&rsquo;s well-publicized policy objective to terminate and block gender affirming healthcare.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.mdd.605488/gov.uscourts.mdd.605488.28.0.pdf#page=23" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion)</a></p><p>&ldquo;The CNH Subpoena bears no credible connection to an investigation of any statutory violation by CNH. Rather, the CNH Subpoena appears to have no purpose other than to intimidate and harass Movants and those similarly situated. The Government seeks to fulfill its policy agenda through compliance born of fear. Moreover, in the view of the court, the CNH Subpoena is the classic impermissible fishing expedition.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.mdd.605488/gov.uscourts.mdd.605488.28.0.pdf#page=25" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p></td><td>Administrative Subpoenas</td>
</tr>
<tr>
	<td><span><p><strong>Seizure Warrant for Grants to Climate Non-Profits&nbsp;</strong></p><br>
<p>D.D.C &mdash; Unknown Magistrate Judge</p></span></td><td>Prosecutorial Misconduct</td><td>Seizure Warrant</td><td><p>In February 2025, according to public <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2025/02/27/trump-fbi-epa-grant-investigation/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">reporting</a>, then-Interim U.S. Attorney for the District of Columbia Ed Martin personally submitted a seizure warrant application for $20 billion in grant funds held at Citibank designated for climate non-profits. A federal magistrate judge allegedly refused to sign off on the warrant after finding the DOJ had failed to establish probable cause.</p></td><td></td><td>Search / Arrest-Warrant Rejections and Restrictions</td>
</tr>
<tr>
	<td><p><strong>Columbia Student Protest Investigation</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/70260522/unknown-case-title/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">1:25-mc-00218</a></p><p>S.D.N.Y. &mdash; Judge John G. Koeltl (Clinton)</p><p>Chief Magistrate Judge Sarah Netburn</p></td><td>Protesters (Campus Protests) </td><td>Search Warrant</td><td><p>In March 2025, on three occasions, Chief Magistrate Judge Sarah Netburn rejected a <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.nysd.642479/gov.uscourts.nysd.642479.12.1.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">search warrant application</a> submitted by prosecutors in an investigation of Columbia University student protesters for insufficient showing of probable cause. Then-Acting Deputy Attorney General Emil Bove <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2025/05/01/us/politics/columbia-protests-justice-department.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">reportedly</a> personally intervened to pressure reluctant federal prosecutors in the Southern District to apply for the search warrant.</p><p>The search warrant, among other requests, attempted to uncover the identity of users behind a pro-Palestinian Instagram account. Judge Netburn argued that the conduct being investigated was lawful expression under First Amendment and did not &ldquo;constitute a true threat.&rdquo; Chief Magistrate Judge Sarah Netburn <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.nysd.642479/gov.uscourts.nysd.642479.12.8.pdf#page=72" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">told</a> prosecutors to attach a transcript of her sealed proceedings with them if they submitted a similar application again. </p><p>When federal prosecutors <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.nysd.642479/gov.uscourts.nysd.642479.12.8.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">appealed</a> Judge Netburn&rsquo;s denial to district court Judge John G. Koeltl (S.D.N.Y. &mdash; Clinton), he also <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.nysd.642479/gov.uscourts.nysd.642479.12.9.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">rejected</a> the search warrant application, stating that Chief Judge Netburn had correctly identified constitutionally protected expression. </p></td><td></td><td>Search / Arrest-Warrant Rejections and Restrictions</td>
</tr>
<tr>
	<td><span><p><strong>Search Warrants for Phone in D.C. Gun Possession Case</strong></p><br>
<p>Docket: <a href="https://www.dcd.uscourts.gov/content/orders" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">25-sw-82</a></p><br>
<p>Magistrate <a href="https://www.dcd.uscourts.gov/sites/dcd/files/In%20Re%20Search%20of%20One%20Device%20and%20Two%20Individuals%20Under%20Rule%2041.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a> and Sealing Order <a href="https://www.dcd.uscourts.gov/sites/dcd/files/ECF%20Doc%20No.%2010.pdf#page=8" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Denial</a></p><br>
<p>D.D.C. &mdash; Magistrate Judge Zia M. Faruqui</p></span></td><td>Prosecutorial Misconduct</td><td>Search Warrant</td><td><p>In May 2025, Magistrate Judge Zia M. Faruqui denied federal prosecutors&rsquo; application for a search warrant to collect DNA samples via buccal swabs from two individuals and to search one smartphone. Judge Faruqui denied all three requests due to a lack of probable cause and an insufficient evidentiary nexus.</p><p>Four days after issuing his denial, Judge Faruqui then admonished and denied prosecutors&rsquo; attempt to seal his order denying the warrants. </p></td><td><p><strong>&ldquo;I have made over 1,000 probable cause findings in search warrants. Not once have I rejected a warrant. Until now.&rdquo;</strong></p><p>&ldquo;Blind deference to the government? That is no longer a thing. <strong>Trust that had been earned over generations has been lost in weeks.</strong> Numerous career prosecutors have had to resign instead of taking actions that they believe violated their oath of office, or worse, were fired for upholding that oath. . . .<strong> These norms being broken must have consequences</strong>. High deference is out; trust, but verify is in.&rdquo;</p></td><td>Search / Arrest-Warrant Rejections and Restrictions</td>
</tr>
<tr>
	<td><span><p><strong>In the Matter of Searches Related to Hannah Natanson</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/72167942/in-the-matter-of-the-search-of-the-real-property-and-premises-of-hannah/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">1:26-sw-00054 </a></p><p>Magistrate <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/72161902/62/in-the-matter-of-the-search-of-the-real-property-and-premises-of-hannah/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Order</a> (Feb. 24, 2026)</p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.vaed.588771/gov.uscourts.vaed.588771.122.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Order</a> (May 4, 2026)</p><p>E.D. Va. &mdash; Senior Judge Anthony J. Trenga (Bush)</p><p>Magistrate Judge William B. Porter</p></span></td><td>Journalists &amp; News Organizations</td><td>Search Warrant</td><td><p>In January 2026, the FBI raided the Virginia home of Washington Post reporter Hannah Natanson and seized her laptops, phone, and other devices. The government was reportedly investigating a defense contractor accused of leaking national secrets and believed he had been one of Natanson&rsquo;s sources. The devices held all of Natanson&rsquo;s notes, unpublished stories, and contacts with roughly 1,200 confidential government sources. Prosecutors had not informed the magistrate judge who granted the initial search warrant about the Privacy Protection Act (PPA), a federal law that limits when the government can search a journalist&rsquo;s work. Natanson and the Post asked the court to return the material and to block anyone from reviewing it in the meantime.</p><p>In February 2026, Magistrate Judge William Porter <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/72167942/in-the-matter-of-the-search-of-the-real-property-and-premises-of-hannah/#entry-62" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">rescinded</a> his earlier search warrant that had authorized the government access to the seized materials, determining that he would conduct an independent judicial review of the files and return everything unrelated to the leak investigation. He also criticized prosecutors for not raising the PPA, saying that had he known about it, he may have denied the warrant application entirely and that the government&rsquo;s failure to identify the PPA undermined the court&rsquo;s confidence in the government&rsquo;s disclosures in the proceeding. </p><p>In May 2026, Judge Anthony Trenga affirmed that ruling and went further, finding that the First Amendment entitles news reporters to some protection of their confidential sources and that the PPA barred the government from searching the protected material it had seized. The court affirmed the magistrate judge&rsquo;s decision to conduct an independent judicial review of the seized materials. </p></td><td><p>Magistrate Judge William B. Porter: [On DOJ&rsquo;s failure to disclose the Privacy Protection Act of 1980:] &ldquo;<strong>This omission has seriously undermined the Court&rsquo;s confidence in the government&rsquo;s disclosures in this proceeding. &hellip; </strong>Many government lawyers had multiple opportunities to identify the PPA as controlling authority and to include an analysis of it in the warrant application. None of them did.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.vaed.588772/gov.uscourts.vaed.588772.62.0_1.pdf#page=9" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>) </p><p>Judge Porter: &ldquo;In its day-to-day workings, this Court affords government attorneys a presumption of regularity, including by assuming that federal prosecutors have satisfied their obligation to disclose controlling and relevant authority. &hellip; The <strong>government&rsquo;s conduct has disturbed that baseline posture of deference.&rdquo;</strong> (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.vaed.588772/gov.uscourts.vaed.588772.62.0_1.pdf#page=10" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>) </p><p>Judge Porter: &ldquo;The <strong>government cannot pretextually label a reporter a suspect </strong>simply to gather evidence against the actual target.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.vaed.588772/gov.uscourts.vaed.588772.62.0_1.pdf#page=13" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>) </p><p>Judge Porter: &ldquo;The Court finds that seizing the totality of a reporter&rsquo;s electronic work product, including tools essential to ongoing newsgathering, <strong>constitutes a restraint on the exercise of First Amendment rights.&rdquo;</strong> (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.vaed.588772/gov.uscourts.vaed.588772.62.0_1.pdf#page=16" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>) </p><p>Senior Judge Anthony J. Trenga (E.D. Va. &mdash; Bush): &ldquo;The Government&rsquo;s expansive view of what is permissible under the Fourth Amendment entirely disregards Natanson&rsquo;s rights under the PPA and the First Amendment, which &lsquo;entitle[s] news reporters to some constitutional protection of the confidentiality of their sources.&rsquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.vaed.588771/gov.uscourts.vaed.588771.122.0.pdf#page=9" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>) </p></td><td>Search / Arrest-Warrant Rejections and Restrictions</td>
</tr>
<tr>
	<td><p><strong>In re Sealed (Cities Church/Don Lemon Arrest Warrant Denials)</strong></p><p>District Court Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/72181995/united-states-v-sealed/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">0:26-mj-00040</a></p><p>Appellate Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/72185493/in-re-united-states-of-america/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">26-1135</a></p><p>Chief Judge <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.ca8.113669/gov.uscourts.ca8.113669.00805439055.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Letter to Eighth Circuit</a></p><p>Eighth Circuit <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.ca8.113669/gov.uscourts.ca8.113669.00805439026.2.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>Magistrate <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.mnd.232141/gov.uscourts.mnd.232141.1.0_2.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>D. Minn. &mdash; Chief Judge Patrick Schiltz (Bush)</p><p>Magistrate Judge Douglas Micko</p><p>Magistrate Judge John Doherty</p><p>Eighth Circuit &mdash; Judges Jane L. Kelly (Obama), L. Steven Grasz (Trump), Jonathan A. Kobes (Trump)</p></td><td>Protesters (Immigration)</td><td>Arrest and Search Warrant</td><td><p>On January 20, 2026, the DOJ filed a criminal complaint seeking arrest warrants for eight people who had protested at Cities Church in St. Paul, MN two days earlier. Magistrate Judge Douglas Micko found probable cause to charge only three of the eight suspects and declined to issue arrest warrants for the other five &mdash; including former CNN anchor Don Lemon and his producer &mdash; directing the government to seek a grand jury indictment instead. </p><p>After the U.S. Attorney demanded immediate district court review of the declined warrants, Chief Judge Schiltz called the request unprecedented and set a meeting of the district judges; before he ruled, the DOJ filed an emergency petition in the Eighth Circuit seeking a writ of mandamus or issuance of the five arrest warrants.</p><p>On January 23, 2026, a three-judge panel on the Eighth Circuit unanimously denied the DOJ&rsquo;s petition to issue the arrest warrants. </p><p>On January 29, 2026, nine days after failing to obtain arrest warrants from a judge, the DOJ later did obtain <a href="https://d3i6fh83elv35t.cloudfront.net/static/2026/01/CASE-026-cr-00025-LMP-DLM.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">grand jury indictments</a> for the five individuals whose arrest warrants were rejected, including Don Lemon. </p><p>On February 24, 2026, Magistrate Judge John Doherty rejected five search warrant applications for the protestors submitted by prosecutors, ruling that &ldquo;[t]here is no showing of probable cause in any of the five search warrant applications.&rdquo; Federal prosecutors sought information from YouTube about defendants&rsquo; accounts and from Apple about defendants&rsquo; phones.</p></td><td><p>[Chief Judge Schiltz in a letter to the Eighth Circuit, speaking of Don Lemon and his producer, stated they were] &ldquo;not protesters at all&rdquo; and that (based on evidence initially submitted by prosecutors) &ldquo;<strong>[t]here is no evidence that those two engaged in any criminal behavior or conspired to do so</strong>.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.ca8.113669/gov.uscourts.ca8.113669.00805439055.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Letter to Eighth Circuit</a>)</p><p>[Schiltz called DOJ&rsquo;s emergency mandamus effort] &ldquo;<strong>unprecedented</strong>&rdquo; and wrote: &ldquo;<strong>There is absolutely no emergency.</strong>&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.ca8.113669/gov.uscourts.ca8.113669.00805439055.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Letter to Eighth Circuit</a>)</p></td><td>Search / Arrest-Warrant Rejections and Restrictions</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<!-- #tablepress-50 from cache -->
<h2><b>II. Challenges to Civil Investigative Tools</b><b></b></h2>
<p><span>In the first 18 months of the Trump administration, federal courts have blocked civil investigative tools used by the federal government to try to obtain medical information from hospitals, voter records from states, private social media content from critics of ICE, and, in one case, documents from a media organization. In some cases, judges have held the administration&rsquo;s investigations were a pretext for intimidation and acts of retaliation. Courts have also expressed distrust in the administration&rsquo;s motives by comparing representations made in court to public statements by senior government officials.&nbsp;</span></p>
<h4><b>DOJ&rsquo;s Voter Roll Demands</b></h4>
<p><span>The DOJ &mdash; purported to invoke authority under Title III of the Civil Rights Act (CRA), the Help America Vote Act (HAVA), and the National Voter Registration Act (NVRA) &mdash; has issued demands to </span><a href="https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/research-reports/tracker-justice-department-requests-voter-information" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>at least 48 states</span></a><span> and Washington, D.C. to submit voter registration lists to the federal government. After 30 states and D.C. rejected such demands, the DOJ sued under the three statutes in a bid to compel production of the requested voter rolls. Courts have thus far dismissed 16 of these suits, with some judges finding the DOJ acted under &ldquo;pretext&rdquo; and engaged in an unlawful attempt to build a national voter database. No federal court has ruled in favor of the government in these cases.</span></p>
<h4><b>FTC Civil Investigative Demands for &ldquo;Deceptive Practices&rdquo;</b></h4>
<p><span>The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) under the Trump administration has routinely deployed civil investigative demands (CIDs) &mdash; the Commission&rsquo;s equivalent of administrative subpoenas &mdash; pursuant to its authority under 15 U.S.C. &sect; 57b-1. These have included broad requests to </span><a href="https://www.ftc.gov/system/files/ftc_gov/pdf/2510061mediamattersorderdenyingptq.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>media organizations</span></a><span> on journalistic practices, as well as to trade groups representing clinicians on information on gender-affirming care for minors. The FTC purports to be exercising its authority to investigate &ldquo;deceptive practices&rdquo; in commerce under Section 57b-1. The statute requires the FTC to have &ldquo;reason to believe&rdquo; that the recipient has possession of materials &ldquo;relevant to deceptive practices.&rdquo; Recipients can petition the FTC directly to quash the CID and then challenge in district court if the Commission declines their petitions. Three of the FTC&rsquo;s CIDs have been successfully challenged in court as retaliation for protected speech. In all three cases, courts found a causal link between the organization&rsquo;s constitutional rights to freedom of expression and the government&rsquo;s retaliatory actions.&nbsp;</span></p>
<h4><b>DHS Administrative Subpoenas and Summonses</b></h4>
<p><span>The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) has issued civil administrative subpoenas and summonses to social media companies such as Meta, Google, and Reddit to identify critics of the agency and its practices, allegedly to investigate threats against federal officers. DHS contends these subpoenas are authorized by 8 U.S.C. &sect; 1225(d) and 19 U.S.C. &sect; 1509. Litigants claimed the DHS exceeded its statutory authority on the ground that Section </span><a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/8/1225" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>1225(d) </span></a><span>administrative subpoenas may only be used for investigations specifically related to immigration enforcement and that Section </span><a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/19/1509" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>1509</span></a><span> summonses can be used only in customs-related investigations, not general law enforcement investigations. In several cases where DHS subpoenas were challenged in court, the government decided to withdraw them.</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>

<table>
<thead>
<tr>
	<th><span>Case Name</span></th><th><span>Category</span></th><th><span>Tool / Type</span></th><th><span>Overview</span></th><th><span>Key Quotes</span></th><th><span>Group</span></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
	<td><p><strong>United States v. Weber</strong></p><br>
<p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71452580/united-states-v-weber/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">2:25-cv-09149</a></p><br>
<p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.cacd.988465/gov.uscourts.cacd.988465.128.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><br>
<p>C.D. Cal. &mdash; Judge David O. Carter (Clinton)</p></td><td>Elections &amp; Voter Data</td><td>Civil Enforcement Suit (compelled production of unredacted statewide voter file)<br>
</td><td><p>In July 2025, the DOJ demanded that California turn over its full, unredacted statewide voter registration list (including SSNs, driver&rsquo;s license numbers, addresses, and voting history for ~23 million voters) and sued the state after it refused to do so. </p><p>On Jan. 15, 2026, Judge Carter dismissed the suit without leave to amend, holding that the DOJ lacked the authority to demand such information, that its demands violated the federal privacy act, and that its stated purpose was pretextual. </p><p>The DOJ appealed to the Ninth Circuit.</p></td><td><p>&ldquo;The Court does not take lightly <strong>DOJ&rsquo;s obfuscation of its true motives </strong>in the present matter. Congress passed the NVRA, Civil Rights Act, and HAVA to protect voting rights. If the DOJ wants to instead use these statutes for more than their stated purpose, circumventing the authority granted to them by Congress, it cannot do so <strong>under the guise of a</strong> <strong>pretextual investigative purpose</strong>.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.cacd.988465/gov.uscourts.cacd.988465.128.0.pdf#page=19" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p><p>&ldquo;Even the federal government is not permitted to sue first, obtain discovery, and finalize its allegations later. This appears to be a telltale &lsquo;<strong>fishing expedition</strong>.&rsquo; District courts do not &ldquo;condone the use of discovery to engage in &lsquo;fishing expeditions&rsquo; when the Plaintiff has no basis other than &lsquo;gross speculation&rsquo; to support their claims.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.cacd.988465/gov.uscourts.cacd.988465.128.0.pdf#page=25" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p></td><td>Voter-Roll Civil Enforcement Suits </td>
</tr>
<tr>
	<td><p><strong>United States v. State of Oregon</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71363789/united-states-v-state-of-oregon/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">6:25-cv-01666</a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.ord.188997/gov.uscourts.ord.188997.73.0_2.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>D. Or. &mdash; Judge Mustafa T. Kasubhai (Biden)</p></td><td>Elections &amp; Voter Data</td><td>Civil Enforcement Suit (compelled production of unredacted statewide voter file)</td><td><p>In July 2025, the DOJ demanded that Oregon turn over its full, unredacted statewide voter registration list (including dates of birth, addresses, and driver&rsquo;s license numbers or SSNs) and sued the state after it refused to hand over the sensitive fields.</p><p>On Feb. 5, 2026, Judge Kasubhai dismissed the suit without leave to amend, holding that neither the NVRA, HAVA, nor Title III of the Civil Rights Act compelled disclosure, that the DOJ&rsquo;s demand stated no adequate factual basis, and that its stated purpose was likely pretextual.</p><p>The DOJ appealed to the Ninth Circuit.</p></td><td><p>&ldquo;<strong>The presumption of regularity that has been previously extended to Plaintiff that it could be taken at its word&mdash;with little doubt about its intentions and stated purposes&mdash;no longer holds</strong>.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.ord.188997/gov.uscourts.ord.188997.73.0_2.pdf#page=22" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p><p>&ldquo;The context of this demand within a letter about immigration enforcement casts serious doubt as to the true purposes for which Plaintiff is seeking voter registration lists in this and other cases, and what it intends to do with that data.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.ord.188997/gov.uscourts.ord.188997.73.0_2.pdf#page=22" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p></td><td>Voter-Roll Civil Enforcement Suits </td>
</tr>
<tr>
	<td><p><strong>United States v. Benson</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71453329/united-states-v-benson/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">1:25-cv-01148</a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.miwd.116977/gov.uscourts.miwd.116977.67.0_1.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>Sixth Circuit <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.ca6.157909/gov.uscourts.ca6.157909.6015951937.2.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>W.D. Mich. &mdash; Chief Judge Hala Y. Jarbou (Trump)</p><p>Sixth Circuit &mdash; Judge R. Guy Cole Jr. (Clinton) and Judge Ande Mathis (Biden)</p></td><td>Elections &amp; Voter Data</td><td>Civil Enforcement Suit (compelled production of unredacted statewide voter file)<br>
</td><td><p>In July 2025, the DOJ demanded that Michigan turn over its full, unredacted statewide voter registration list (including dates of birth, driver&rsquo;s license numbers, and last-four SSNs for every registered voter) and sued the state after it provided only the redacted public version.</p><p>On Feb. 10, 2026, Chief Judge Jarbou dismissed the suit. The court found no alleged violation of HAVA, and no statutory authority to obtain voter lists under NVRA or the CRA. The DOJ appealed to the Sixth Circuit, challenging only the dismissal of its Title III claim. </p><p>On June 24, 2026, the Sixth Circuit upheld the district court&rsquo;s decision and blocked the DOJ&rsquo;s appeal to obtain Michigan&rsquo;s voter rolls. In a 2-1 decision, the panel found that the DOJ lacked statutory authority under Title III of the Civil Rights Act to obtain the statewide voter registration list, and that DOJ&rsquo;s requests for the list were also defective for lacking a statement of purpose and basis for the demand.</p></td><td></td><td>Voter-Roll Civil Enforcement Suits </td>
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	<td><p><strong>United States v. Galvin</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/72026310/united-states-v-galvin/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">1:25-cv-13816</a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.mad.293151/gov.uscourts.mad.293151.92.0_1.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>D. Mass. &mdash; Judge Leo T. Sorokin (Obama)</p></td><td>Elections &amp; Voter Data</td><td>Civil Enforcement Suit (compelled production of unredacted statewide voter file)</td><td><p>In July 2025, the DOJ demanded that Massachusetts turn over its full, unredacted statewide voter registration list (including either driver&rsquo;s license numbers or SSNs for every registered voter) and sued the state after Secretary Galvin refused to hand it over.</p><p>On April 9, 2026, Judge Sorokin dismissed the case and found that the DOJ&rsquo;s demands for Massachusetts&rsquo; voter rolls was &ldquo;facially deficient&rdquo; because it failed to meet requirements imposed in Title III of the Civil Rights Act.</p><p>The DOJ appealed to the First Circuit.</p></td><td></td><td>Voter-Roll Civil Enforcement Suits </td>
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	<td><p><strong>United States v. Amore</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71982644/united-states-v-amore/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">1:25-cv-00639</a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.rid.60988/gov.uscourts.rid.60988.51.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>D.R.I. &mdash; Judge Mary S. McElroy (Trump)</p></td><td>Elections &amp; Voter Data</td><td>Civil Enforcement Suit (compelled production of unredacted statewide voter file)</td><td><p>In September 2025, the DOJ demanded that Rhode Island turn over its full, unredacted statewide voter registration list (including driver&rsquo;s license numbers and SSNs for every registered voter) and sued the state after Secretary Amore offered only the redacted public version.</p><p>On April 17, 2026, Judge McElroy dismissed the suit. The Court found that the DOJ&rsquo;s demand for Rhode Island&rsquo;s voter rolls lacked a legally sufficient factual basis and that its stated purpose falls outside the intended scope of Title III of the Civil Rights Act. </p><p>The DOJ appealed to the First Circuit.</p></td><td><p>&ldquo;Neither the NVRA nor HAVA authorize DOJ to conduct the kind of <strong>fishing</strong></p><p><strong>expedition</strong> it seeks here.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.rid.60988/gov.uscourts.rid.60988.51.0.pdf#page=14" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p></td><td>Voter-Roll Civil Enforcement Suits </td>
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	<td><p><strong>United States v. Fontes</strong></p><p>Docket<strong>: </strong><a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/72110941/united-states-v-fontes/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">2:26-cv-00066</a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.azd.1474383/gov.uscourts.azd.1474383.50.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>D. Ariz &ndash; Judge Susan Brnovich (Trump)</p></td><td>Elections &amp; Voter Data</td><td>Civil Enforcement Suit (compelled production of unredacted statewide voter file)<br>
</td><td><p> In July 2025, the DOJ demanded that Arizona turn over its full statewide voter registration list (including dates of birth, driver&rsquo;s license numbers, and SSNs for every registered voter) under Title III of the Civil Rights Act and sued the state after Secretary Fontes refused on state and federal privacy grounds.</p><p>On April 28, 2026, Judge Brnovich largely relied on Judge Jarbou&rsquo;s reasoning in <em>United States v. Benson</em> (W.D. Mich.) to dismiss what the court called an &ldquo;identical&rdquo; effort in this case to obtain the state&rsquo;s voter rolls, which it did not have authority for under Title III of the Civil Rights Act. </p><p>The DOJ appealed to the Ninth Circuit.</p></td><td></td><td>Voter-Roll Civil Enforcement Suits </td>
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	<td><p><strong>United States v. Bellows</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71367730/united-states-v-bellows/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">1:25-cv-00468</a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.med.68935/gov.uscourts.med.68935.114.0_1.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>D. Me &mdash; Chief Judge Lance E. Walker (Trump)</p></td><td>Elections &amp; Voter Data</td><td>Civil Enforcement Suit (compelled production of unredacted statewide voter file)<br>
</td><td><p>In July 2025, the DOJ demanded that Maine turn over its full, unredacted statewide voter registration list (including dates of birth, driver&rsquo;s license numbers, and last-four SSNs for every registered voter) and sued the state after Secretary Bellows refused to hand over the sensitive fields.</p><p>On May 21, 2026, Chief Judge Walker dismissed the United States&rsquo; attempts to obtain Maine&rsquo;s voter rolls. The court rejected the federal government&rsquo;s claimed authority to compel production based on the government&rsquo;s failure to allege any violations under HAVA or NVRA. </p><p>The DOJ appealed to the First Circuit.</p></td><td><p>&ldquo;At the hearing, the United States&rsquo; attorney was emphatic that &lsquo;this whole notion that somehow there&rsquo;s going to be a national database . . . &lsquo;is not true,&rsquo; and that &lsquo;there is no national database that&rsquo;s being created&rsquo; &hellip; <strong>his efforts to assuage these concerns were almost immediately undermined by the issuance of an executive order </strong>directing the Department of Homeland Security to compile a &lsquo;State Citizenship List.&rsquo;&rdquo; <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.med.68935/gov.uscourts.med.68935.114.0_1.pdf#page=7" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a></p></td><td>Voter-Roll Civil Enforcement Suits </td>
</tr>
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	<td><p><strong>United States v. Wisconsin Election Commission</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/72055967/united-states-v-wisconsin-elections-commission/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">3:25-cv-01036</a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.wiwd.55733/gov.uscourts.wiwd.55733.89.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>W.D. Wis. &mdash; Judge James D. Peterson (Obama)</p></td><td>Elections &amp; Voter Data</td><td>Civil Enforcement Suit (compelled production of unredacted statewide voter file)<br>
</td><td><p>In June 2025, the DOJ demanded that Wisconsin turn over its full, unredacted statewide voter registration list (specifying it wanted either the driver&rsquo;s license number or SSN for every voter) and sued the Commission and its members after they provided only the redacted public version, citing state privacy laws.</p><p>On May 21, 2026, Judge Peterson dismissed the suit and found that the DOJ&rsquo;s requests for Wisconsin&rsquo;s voter rolls fell outside the scope of authorized &ldquo;investigatory purposes&rdquo; under Title III of the Civil Rights Act. </p><p>The DOJ appealed to the Seventh Circuit.</p></td><td></td><td>Voter-Roll Civil Enforcement Suits </td>
</tr>
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	<td><p><strong>United States v. DeMarinis</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71980724/united-states-v-demarinis/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">1:25-cv-03934</a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.mdd.595538/gov.uscourts.mdd.595538.91.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>D. Md. &mdash; Judge Stephanie A. Gallagher (Trump)</p></td><td>Elections &amp; Voter Data</td><td>Civil Enforcement Suit (compelled production of unredacted statewide voter file)<br>
</td><td><p>In July 2025, the DOJ demanded that Maryland turn over its full, unredacted statewide voter registration list and sued the State Administrator of Elections after he directed the DOJ to the publicly available portions and then rejected the demand outright.</p><p>On June 18, 2026, Judge Gallagher dismissed the case with prejudice and found that DOJ&rsquo;s requests for Maryland&rsquo;s voter rolls fell outside the scope of authorized production demands under Title III of the Civil Rights Act. </p><p>The DOJ appealed to the Fourth Circuit. </p></td><td></td><td>Voter-Roll Civil Enforcement Suits </td>
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	<td><p><strong>United States v. Al Schmidt</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71453026/united-states-v-commonwealth-of-pennsylvania/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">2:25-cv-01481</a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.pawd.323558/gov.uscourts.pawd.323558.146.0_2.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>W.D. Pa. &mdash; Chief Judge Cathy Bissoon (Obama)</p></td><td>Elections &amp; Voter Data</td><td>Civil Enforcement Suit (compelled production of unredacted statewide voter file)<br>
</td><td><p>In June 2025, the DOJ demanded that Pennsylvania turn over its full, unredacted statewide voter registration list (including dates of birth, driver&rsquo;s license numbers, and last four SSNs for every registered voter) and sued Secretary Schmidt and other officials after they refused to hand over the sensitive fields.</p><p>On June 27, 2026, Chief Judge Bissoon dismissed the suit, adopting the Sixth Circuit&rsquo;s <em>Benson</em> reasoning and holding that the voter file is not a &ldquo;record&rdquo; subject to Title III, that the DOJ&rsquo;s demand stated no factual basis as &sect; 20703 requires, and that neither the NVRA nor HAVA entitles the government to voters&rsquo; personal identifiers. The NVRA and HAVA claims were dismissed with prejudice; the Civil Rights Act claim was dismissed without prejudice for lack of jurisdiction, since the DOJ had conceded the records and demand were located in the Middle District of Pennsylvania. The court denied transfer to the proper forum, determining that doing so would not promote justice &ldquo;given the defects suffered by the government&rsquo;s positions.&rdquo;</p><p>The DOJ appealed to the Third Circuit.</p></td><td><p>&ldquo;As this Court previously has intimated, &ldquo;[t]he <strong>presumption of regularity</strong> that has been</p><p>previously extended to the [government] that it could be taken at its word&mdash;with little doubt</p><p>about its intentions and stated purposes&mdash;<strong>no longer holds</strong>.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.pawd.323558/gov.uscourts.pawd.323558.146.0_2.pdf#page=5" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>) </p><p>&ldquo;To the extent the DOJ has urged trust, . . . it must understand why <strong>its assurances are cold comfort</strong>.&rdquo;(<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.pawd.323558/gov.uscourts.pawd.323558.146.0_2.pdf#page=5" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>) </p></td><td>Voter-Roll Civil Enforcement Suits </td>
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	<td><p><strong>United States v. Scanlan</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71453646/united-states-v-nh-secretary-of-state/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">1:25-cv-00371</a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.nhd.66250/gov.uscourts.nhd.66250.86.0_1.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>D. N.H. &mdash; Judge Joseph N. Laplante (Bush)</p></td><td>Elections &amp; Voter Data</td><td>Civil Enforcement Suit (compelled production of unredacted statewide voter file)<br>
</td><td><p>In June 2025, the DOJ demanded that New Hampshire turn over its full, unredacted statewide voter registration list (including dates of birth, driver&rsquo;s license numbers, and last four SSNs for every registered voter) and sued the state after Secretary Scanlan refused, citing state law.</p><p>On June 29, 2026, Judge Laplante granted defendant's motion to dismiss and denied the motion to compel as moot, holding that the voter list is not a record subject to Title III of the Civil Rights Act, that the DOJ&rsquo;s demand failed the Act&rsquo;s separate requirement of a factual basis, and that HAVA contains no disclosure provision and the DOJ had waived and failed to plead any substantive HAVA violation. The court did not reach the privacy or preemption arguments.</p><p>The DOJ appealed to the First Circuit.</p></td><td></td><td>Voter-Roll Civil Enforcement Suits </td>
</tr>
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	<td><p><strong>United States v. Board of Elections of the State of New York</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71457474/united-states-v-board-of-elections-of-the-state-of-new-york/?filed_after=&amp;filed_before=&amp;entry_gte=&amp;entry_lte=&amp;order_by=desc" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">1:25-cv-01338</a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.nynd.150197/gov.uscourts.nynd.150197.101.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>N.D.N.Y. &mdash; Judge Mae A. D&rsquo;Agostino (Obama)</p></td><td>Elections &amp; Voter Data</td><td>Civil Enforcement Suit (compelled production of unredacted statewide voter file)</td><td><p>In June 2025, the DOJ demanded that New York turn over its full, unredacted statewide voter registration list (including dates of birth, driver&rsquo;s license numbers, and last four SSNs for every registered voter) and sued the state after the Board of Elections only turned over a public version of the list following a partisan-split decision.</p><p>On July 10, 2026, Judge D&rsquo;Agostino granted defendants&rsquo; motions to dismiss with prejudice and denied the motion to compel as moot. The court held that a statewide voter registration list is not a record subject to production under Title III of the Civil Rights Act or NVRA. Furthermore, the court held that HAVA contains no disclosure provision, and the government cannot use the discovery process to find &ldquo;unpled&rdquo; substantive violations. The court explicitly did not reach the privacy arguments or the technical sufficiency of the DOJ&rsquo;s factual basis.</p><p>As of publication, the DOJ has not appealed the decision.</p></td><td></td><td>Voter-Roll Civil Enforcement Suits </td>
</tr>
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	<td><p><strong>United States v. Warner </strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/72335259/united-states-v-warner/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">2:26-cv-00156</a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.wvsd.243091/gov.uscourts.wvsd.243091.56.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>S.D. W. Va. &mdash; Judge Thomas E. Johnston (Bush)</p></td><td>Elections &amp; Voter Data</td><td>Civil Enforcement Suit (compelled production of unredacted statewide voter file)</td><td><p>In September 2025, the DOJ demanded that West Virginia turn over its full, unredacted statewide voter registration list (including dates of birth, driver&rsquo;s license numbers, and last four SSNs for every registered voter) under Title III of the Civil Rights Act. Secretary of State Kris Warner categorically refused, and DOJ sued to compel production of the lists in February 2026. </p><p>On July 13, 2026, the court granted the Secretary&rsquo;s motion to dismiss and denied DOJ&rsquo;s motion to compel the lists. The court held that Title III creates no &ldquo;special statutory proceeding&rdquo; limiting judicial review, and that DOJ&rsquo;s demand letter failed Title III&rsquo;s procedural requirements and thus failed to state a claim. The court found that DOJ could not deploy Title III outside of potential violations of individual voting rights, which it did not allege. Additionally, Judge Johnston argued that neither HAVA nor NVRA allow the federal government to conduct a line-by-line audit of a state&rsquo;s voter registration list. The court did not reach the privacy or state law arguments.</p><p>As of publication, the DOJ has not appealed the decision.</p></td><td><p>&ldquo;Given the lack of an adequate basis or purpose, one is left to wonder what the real purpose was for the Justice Department to go to the trouble of filing civil actions like this one all around the nation. Troubling though this question is, it is not before the Court at this time.&rdquo; (<a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.wvsd.243091/gov.uscourts.wvsd.243091.56.0.pdf#page=15" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a>)</p></td><td>Voter-Roll Civil Enforcement Suits </td>
</tr>
<tr>
	<td><p><strong>United States v. Koski</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/72156765/united-states-v-koski/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">3:26-cv-00042</a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.vaed.588843/gov.uscourts.vaed.588843.76.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>E.D. Va. &mdash; Judge Roderick C. Young (Trump)</p></td><td>Elections &amp; Voter Data</td><td>Civil Enforcement Suit (compelled production of unredacted statewide voter file)</td><td><p>In July 2025, the DOJ demanded that Virginia turn over its full, unredacted statewide voter registration list (including dates of birth, residential addresses, and driver&rsquo;s license numbers or last-four SSNs for every registered voter) under the NVRA, HAVA, and Title III of the Civil Rights Act. Then-Commissioner of the Virginia Department of Elections Susan Beals refused, and after Steven Koski succeeded her, DOJ sued and filed an amended complaint in March 2026 alleging a single Title III violation.</p><p>On July 14, 2026, Judge Young granted the motions to dismiss and denied DOJ&rsquo;s motion to compel, dismissing the suit with prejudice. The court held that Virginia&rsquo;s statewide voter registration list is not a &ldquo;record&rdquo; subject to production under Title III, and that DOJ&rsquo;s reading would put Title III on a &ldquo;collision course&rdquo; with the NVRA and HAVA by criminalizing routine list maintenance. The court also rejected DOJ&rsquo;s argument that a Title III demand is a &ldquo;special statutory proceeding&rdquo; exempt from the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure. The court did not reach the sufficiency of DOJ&rsquo;s written demand or the privacy and preemption arguments.</p><p>As of publication, the DOJ has not appealed the decision.</p></td><td></td><td>Voter-Roll Civil Enforcement Suits </td>
</tr>
<tr>
	<td><p><strong>United States v. Oliver</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71982149/united-states-v-oliver/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">1:25-cv-01193</a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.nmd.540413/gov.uscourts.nmd.540413.119.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>D.N.M. &mdash; Senior Judge Judith C. Herrera (Bush)</p></td><td>Elections &amp; Voter Data</td><td>Civil Enforcement Suit (compelled production of unredacted statewide voter file)</td><td><p>In September 2025, the DOJ demanded that New Mexico turn over its full, unredacted statewide voter registration list (including dates of birth, residential addresses, and driver&rsquo;s license numbers or last-four SSNs for every registered voter) under the NVRA, HAVA, and Title III of the Civil Rights Act. Secretary of State Maggie Toulouse Oliver offered only a redacted voter file, and DOJ sued to compel production, filing its complaint and motion to compel together in late 2025.</p><br>
<p>On July 14, 2026, Judge Herrera granted the motions to dismiss and denied DOJ&rsquo;s motion to compel as moot, dismissing the suit with prejudice. The court held that DOJ&rsquo;s initial demand letter was facially inadequate under Title III because it failed to state any factual basis for a violation of NVRA or HAVA, no pattern of noncompliance, and no explanation of why unredacted voter information was necessary. The court also rejected DOJ&rsquo;s &ldquo;special statutory proceeding&rdquo; theory, under which the court&rsquo;s role in considering the merits of the DOJ&rsquo;s suit would be curtailed, and instead applied the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure. Because the missing basis was independently fatal, the court did not reach whether the statewide voter registration list is a &ldquo;record&rdquo; under Title III, the sufficiency of the stated purpose, or the privacy and state-law arguments.</p><br>
<p>As of publication, the DOJ has not appealed the decision.</p></td><td></td><td>Voter-Roll Civil Enforcement Suits </td>
</tr>
<tr>
	<td><p><strong>United States v. Thomas</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/72110170/united-states-v-thomas/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">3:26-cv-00021</a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.ctd.168606/gov.uscourts.ctd.168606.109.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>D. Conn. &mdash; Judge Kari A. Dooley (Trump)</p></td><td>Elections &amp; Voter Data</td><td>Civil Enforcement Suit (compelled production of unredacted statewide voter file)</td><td><p>In December 2025, the DOJ demanded that Connecticut turn over its full, unredacted statewide voter registration list (including dates of birth, residential addresses, and driver&rsquo;s license numbers or last-four SSNs for every registered voter) under the NVRA, HAVA, and Title III of the Civil Rights Act. Secretary of State Stephanie Thomas refused, citing state privacy laws. The DOJ sued to compel production, filing its complaint and motion to compel together in January 2026.</p><br>
<p>On July 17, 2026, Judge Kari A. Dooley granted the motion to dismiss and denied the DOJ&rsquo;s motion to compel. Judge Dooley found that Connecticut&rsquo;s statewide voter registration list was not a &ldquo;record&rdquo; subject to production under Title III. The court further concluded that the DOJ&rsquo;s reading of Title III to include statewide voter registration lists as records would place the statute in conflict with NVRA and HAVA.</p><br>
<p>As of publication, the DOJ has not appealed the decision.</p></td><td></td><td>Voter-Roll Civil Enforcement Suits </td>
</tr>
<tr>
	<td><p><strong>Media Matters for America v. FTC</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/70612884/media-matters-for-america-v-federal-trade-commission/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">1:25-cv-01959 </a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.281859/gov.uscourts.dcd.281859.34.0_1.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>D.C. Circuit <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.cadc.42318/gov.uscourts.cadc.42318.01208788525.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>D.D.C. &mdash; Judge Sparkle L. Sooknanan (Biden)</p></td><td>Journalists &amp; News Organizations</td><td>FTC Civil Investigative Demand </td><td><p>In May 2025, the FTC issued a civil investigative demand (CID) to Media Matters demanding Media Matters&rsquo; brand-safety methodology, its communications with advertisers and other media-rating groups, all discovery from its X Corp. litigation, and every financial report it prepares. Media Matters sued to enjoin the CID as retaliatory.</p><p>On Aug. 15, 2025, Judge Sooknanan granted a preliminary injunction, holding that Media Matters was likely to succeed on First Amendment retaliation given the CID&rsquo;s timing, its pretextually overbroad scope, and the FTC&rsquo;s failure to explain why it believed Media Matters had any relevant information pertaining to a government investigation. The FTC appealed to the D.C. Circuit.</p><p>On October 23, 2025, the D.C. Circuit denied the government&rsquo;s motion to stay the district court&rsquo;s preliminary injunction, finding the FTC was unlikely to succeed on its claims and that it failed to demonstrate irreparable harm. </p><p>On May 1, 2026, the FTC withdrew its appeal at the D.C. Circuit. </p></td><td><p>&ldquo;&hellip; given the comments by Chairman Ferguson and his colleagues about Media Matters, the timing of the CID, and <strong>evidence of pretext,</strong> Media Matters is likely to show that <strong>retaliatory animus was the but-for cause</strong> of the FTC&rsquo;s CID.&rdquo; <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.281859/gov.uscourts.dcd.281859.34.0_1.pdf#page=3" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a></p></td><td>FTC Civil Investigative Demands </td>
</tr>
<tr>
	<td><p><strong>The Endocrine Society v. FTC</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/72288700/endocrine-society-v-federal-trade-commission/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">1:26-cv-00512 </a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.289479/gov.uscourts.dcd.289479.38.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>D.D.C. &mdash; Chief Judge James E. Boasberg (Obama)</p></td><td>Gender-Affirming Care</td><td>FTC Civil Investigative Demand</td><td><p>In January 2026, the FTC issued a civil investigative demand to the Endocrine Society demanding the Society&rsquo;s substantiation materials, all communications behind its clinical Guidelines, its educational and advocacy materials, and its financials, with an unlimited lookback for the 2017 Guidelines and 2020 Position Statement. The Society sued to enjoin the CID as retaliatory.</p><p>On May 7, 2026, Chief Judge Boasberg granted a preliminary injunction, holding  that the Society was likely to prove unconstitutional retaliation under the First Amendment. The court found it could discern no plausible connection between the CID and any commercial-speech violation within the FTC&rsquo;s authority and that the demand&rsquo;s sweep into protected academic and medical speech confirmed a likely retaliatory purpose. </p><p>On June 22, 2026, the FTC <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.289479/gov.uscourts.dcd.289479.40.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">withdrew</a> its CID. </p></td><td><p>&ldquo;Courts across the country have quashed civil subpoenas issued in furtherance of these <strong>investigations as a &lsquo;pretextual&rsquo; cover </strong>for the purpose of &lsquo;downsiz[ing] or eliminat[ing] all gender-affirming care.&rsquo; <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.289479/gov.uscourts.dcd.289479.38.0.pdf#page=25" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a></p><p>&ldquo;[E]ven in the Commission&rsquo;s own telling, <strong>the Court strains to discern a plausible connection between the CID and the suspected violations </strong>that concern the FTC.&rdquo; <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.289479/gov.uscourts.dcd.289479.38.0.pdf#page=28" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a></p></td><td>FTC Civil Investigative Demands </td>
</tr>
<tr>
	<td><p><strong>World Professional Association for Transgender Health v. FTC</strong></p><p>Docket: <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/72295218/world-professional-association-for-transgender-health-v-federal-trade/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">1:26-cv-00532 </a></p><p>District Court <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.289528/gov.uscourts.dcd.289528.41.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Opinion</a></p><p>D.D.C. &mdash; Chief Judge James E. Boasberg (Obama)</p></td><td>Gender-Affirming Care</td><td>FTC Civil Investigative Demand</td><td><p>In January 2026, the FTC issued a civil investigative demand to World Professional Association for Transgender Health (WPATH) demanding all communications with other organizations and individuals about the development of WPATH&rsquo;s Standards of Care, the studies and literature it relied on to call such treatment safe and effective, and its future communications. WPATH sued to enjoin the CID as retaliatory.</p><p>On May 7, 2026, Chief Judge Boasberg granted a preliminary injunction, incorporating the reasoning of his companion <em>Endocrine Society</em> opinion issued the same day and finding WPATH likely to succeed on First Amendment retaliation on materially the same record. Following the ruling, the FTC withdrew its CID. </p><p>On July 10, 2026, Chief Judge Boasberg <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.289528/gov.uscourts.dcd.289528.58.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">denied</a> WPATH&rsquo;s motion for a temporary restraining order against a separate enforcement <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/73495659/federal-trade-commission-v-world-professional-association-for-transgender/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">action</a> brought by the FTC against WPATH in the Northern District of Texas. Chief Judge Boasberg concluded that the FTC&rsquo;s suit in Texas is a separate matter that does not conflict with his earlier injunction on the CID, which the FTC had already withdrawn.</p></td><td><p>&ldquo;On this preliminary record, with extensive evidence of animus and <strong>wafer-thin justifications lacking evidentiary support</strong>, [the Court] finds that WPATH is likely to demonstrate a causal link between its protected speech and the FTC&rsquo;s issuance of the CID.&rdquo; <a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.289528/gov.uscourts.dcd.289528.41.0.pdf#page=9" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Opinion</a></p></td><td>FTC Civil Investigative Demands </td>
</tr>
<tr>
	<td><p><strong>DHS &sect; 1225(d) Subpoenas </strong></p><p>Docket: (<a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/72222842/doe-v-united-states-department-of-homeland-security/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">5:26-mc-80026</a>, <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71382731/in-the-matter-of-the-subpoena-number-fy25-elc-0105/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">3:25-mc-80284</a>, <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71386144/j-doe-v-united-states-department-of-homeland-security/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">3:25-mc-80286</a>, <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71398079/v-department-of-homeland-security/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">3:25-mc-80288</a>)</p><p>N.D. Cal.</p></td><td>Anonymous Speech (ICE/DHS Critics)</td><td>Administrative Subpoena under 8 U.S.C. &sect; 1225(d)<br>
</td><td><p>In September and October 2025, DHS issued administrative &ldquo;Immigration Enforcement Subpoenas&rdquo; under 8 U.S.C. &sect; 1225(d) to Google and Meta demanding identifying subscriber data (account-creation dates, phone numbers, IP logs) for accounts that had criticized ICE or DHS &ldquo;pursuant to an official, criminal investigation regarding officer safety.&rdquo; </p><p>Three users whose Instagram/Meta accounts had been subpoenaed and one individual whose Google account had been subpoenaed each moved to quash in the Northern District of California, arguing the subpoenas exceeded DHS&rsquo;s statutory authority and violate the First Amendment&rsquo;s protection against retaliation for protected speech, among other claims.</p><p>DHS has since withdrawn all four subpoenas. No court ruled on whether the subpoenas were lawful.</p></td><td></td><td>DHS Administrative Subpoenas for ICE Critics</td>
</tr>
<tr>
	<td><p><strong>DHS &sect; 1509 Summonses</strong></p><p>Docket: (<a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71672523/j-doe-v-united-states-department-of-homeland-security/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">3:25-mc-80325</a>, <a href="https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/72457933/j-doe-v-the-united-states-department-of-homeland-security/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">3:26-mc-80074</a>)</p><p>N.D. Cal.</p><p>D.D.C.</p></td><td>Anonymous Speech (ICE/DHS Critics)</td><td>Administrative Summons under 19 U.S.C. &sect; 1509</td><td><p>In September 2025, DHS issued two administrative summonses to Meta under 19 U.S.C. &sect; 1509 &mdash; the customs tool limited to third-party summonses for records pertaining to prohibited merchandise or other related requirements &mdash; demanding the identity of the users behind certain Facebook and Instagram accounts which document ICE activity, along with their email addresses, account-creation dates, registered phone numbers, sign-up IP addresses, and IP-access logs from Feb. 1, 2025 to the present. </p><p>After the individual moved, on First Amendment and statutory grounds, to quash and the court ordered Meta to withhold production, DHS withdrew the summonses on Jan. 28, 2026, with DHS agreeing not to reissue or issue materially similar ones. </p><p>A Reddit user who engages in political speech on the forum moved to quash a different &sect; 1509 summons issued to Reddit for his account on March 12, 2026 seeking identifying subscriber data. DHS withdrew its subpoena later that month.</p><p>On March 31, 2026, the U.S. Attorney&rsquo;s Office for D.C. issued a grand jury subpoena to Reddit demanding identifying  information on the Reddit user. In June 2026, Chief Judge Boasberg <a href="https://cldc.org/cldc-responds-to-federal-court-decision/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">denied</a> the Reddit user&rsquo;s motion to quash the subpoena. Judge Boasberg also reportedly denied a request to unseal the docket. </p></td><td></td><td>DHS Administrative Subpoenas for ICE Critics</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
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<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146665/courts-grand-juries-reject-trump-investigations/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">&ldquo;Zero Evidence&rdquo;: How Judges and Grand Juries Have Rejected the Trump Administration Efforts to Investigate and Prosecute</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-20T13:39:23+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Dani Schulkin</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-20T13:39:23+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="courts &amp; litigation"/>

	<category term="criminal trial"/>

	<category term="democracy"/>

	<category term="democracy &amp; rule of law"/>

	<category term="department of justice (doj)"/>

	<category term="executive branch"/>

	<category term="featured articles"/>

	<category term="federal courts"/>

	<category term="grand jury subpoena"/>

	<category term="indictment"/>

	<category term="law enforcement"/>

	<category term="litigation"/>

	<category term="other"/>

	<category term="rule of law"/>

	<category term="trackers"/>

	<category term="trump administration second term"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-20:/293986</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146064/merchant-mariners-forgotten-in-conflict/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=merchant-mariners-forgotten-in-conflict" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Merchant Mariners: Unseen in Peacetime and Forgotten in Conflict</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>For the first time since the U.S.&ndash;Israel war with Iran began on Feb. 28, someone tried to get the se...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>For the first time since the U.S.&ndash;Israel war with Iran began on Feb. 28, someone tried to get the seafarers out. Over several days in late June, the United Nations&rsquo; International Maritime Organization (IMO) <a href="https://www.un.org/en/stranded-hormuz-seafarers-begin-mass-evacuation-operation" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">launched an effort to evacuate</a> the commercial vessels carrying thousands of seafarers who had been trapped in the Persian Gulf for almost four months by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. With safety assurances in place, the operation brought <a href="https://news.un.org/en/story/2026/06/1167818" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">115 ships and about 2,500 crew</a> through the Strait.</p>
<p>Then, on June 25 &mdash; ironically, the International Day of the Seafarer &mdash; <a href="https://news.un.org/en/story/2026/06/1167818" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">a projectile struck the cargo ship <em>Ever Lovely</em> off Oman</a> as it followed the route the IMO had prescribed. No one aboard was hurt, but that single attack was enough to halt the operation: the organization could no longer promise that the next ship would not be fired upon. Less than two weeks later, explosions were reported on Kharg Island and at Bandar Abbas, Sirik, and Qeshm Island, and the United States <a href="https://www.rferl.org/a/iran-war-us-hormuz-oil-blockade-gulf-israel/33640284.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">revoked the waiver that had allowed Tehran to sell oil</a> under a June 17 interim agreement, reimposing sanctions on Iranian oil exports. <a href="https://www.rferl.org/a/iran-war-us-hormuz-oil-blockade-gulf-israel/33640284.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Some 6,000 sailors remain stranded</a> in the Strait of Hormuz. By the IMO&rsquo;s count, <a href="https://news.un.org/en/story/2026/06/1167818" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">at least 14 seafarers have been killed and more than 40 commercial vessels attacked</a> since the war began.</p>
<p>Modern technology makes a merchant fleet&rsquo;s neutrality more transparent than at any point in the history of naval warfare. Anyone with an iPhone can view global vessel data, because ships above a certain tonnage must keep an <a href="https://www.imo.org/en/ourwork/safety/pages/ais.aspx" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Automatic Identification System (AIS) transponder</a> activated whenever underway. AIS gives companies and governments a full picture of the maritime domain: a vessel&rsquo;s civilian or warship character, its registry history, current owner contact information, crewmember identities and nationalities, cargo manifests, and past and planned ports of call, to name only a few of the viewable data fields. The system was designed for the safety and security of shipping &mdash; and it also simplifies a warship&rsquo;s task of evaluating a vessel to determine its character.</p>
<p>Governments have even more data. <a href="https://www.imo.org/en/ourwork/safety/pages/lrit.aspx" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Long-Range Identification and Tracking (LRIT)</a> is an international, satellite-based system that lets authorities track ships worldwide in near real time with classified information; mandatory under the SOLAS Convention, it requires applicable vessels to transmit their identity and position at least four times a day. Combine LRIT with AIS and mandatory flag-state registration &mdash; searchable online worldwide &mdash; and suspicious activity surfaces quickly, arming a warship&rsquo;s captain with substantial information before deciding whether to board. Proximity close enough to board and ship-to-ship VHF radio contact provide a firmer basis still, either for boarding or for recognizing a vessel&rsquo;s neutrality. <a href="https://treaties.un.org/doc/Publication/UNTS/Volume%201226/volume-1226-I-18961-English.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">English is the international language of shipping</a> and is required aboard nearly every commercial vessel a warship would contemplate boarding in an armed conflict &mdash; that is, not small fishing or recreational craft.</p>
<p>During this conflict, the technology provides up-to-date details concerning shipping in the Strait of Hormuz: the stranded seafarers have overwhelmingly been aboard <a href="https://www.gosships.com/p/23000-sailors-from-87-countries-are" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">ships of neutral nations</a>, many with third-state crews and owners who have taken no part in any aspect of the U.S.&ndash;Iran confrontation.</p>
<p>In peacetime, what strands mariners is usually the opposite problem &mdash; deliberate opacity. A vessel&rsquo;s ownership or charter may be falsely broadcast on AIS, or the transponder switched off altogether, <a href="https://pulitzercenter.org/stories/what-dark-shipping-and-why-it-dangerous" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">a practice known as spoofing</a>. Ships registered by nations with lax safety and security laws are sometimes simply abandoned in bankruptcy. In either case, the crew can be left aboard with no viable recourse for rescue, repatriation, or wages.</p>
<h2><strong>The Law of the Sea</strong></h2>
<p>In the current armed conflict with Iran, the United States paused its naval blockade in the Strait of Hormuz to ease the backup of vessels and return them safely to their voyages. But the law of the sea should have guaranteed the <em>Ever Lovely</em>&lsquo;s safe transit regardless of any pause.</p>
<p><a href="https://imoa.ph/treaties/unclos/united-nations-convention-on-the-law-of-the-sea-of-10-december-1982/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Articles 37 through 44</a> of the <a href="https://www.un.org/depts/los/convention_agreements/texts/unclos/unclos_e.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">U.N. Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS)</a> establish the right of transit passage for all ships and aircraft through straits used for international navigation. All vessels &mdash; including warships and submarines &mdash; enjoy freedom of navigation and overflight for the purpose of continuous, expeditious, and unimpeded transit. The regime applies where a strait connects one part of the high seas or an Exclusive Economic Zone to another.</p>
<p><a href="https://imoa.ph/treaties/unclos/united-nations-convention-on-the-law-of-the-sea-of-10-december-1982/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Articles 17 through 26</a> govern innocent passage, a slightly more restrictive regime designed to protect the coastal state. To be innocent, passage must be continuous and expeditious; usually it involves ships traversing the territorial sea or proceeding to or from port. Warships also have this right and are covered by these provisions as well. Ships must keep moving, though stopping and anchoring are permitted when incidental to ordinary navigation, necessitated by force majeure, or undertaken to render assistance to persons or ships in distress. There are several ways passage can stop being innocent. More generally, they cite actions that are contrary to a coastal state&rsquo;s customs, fiscal, sanitization, or pollution laws. They also prohibit activities a warship may normally conduct on the high seas. For instance, a warship collecting intelligence from the coastal state or holding weapons training or launching devices, to name a few activities, stop innocent passage.</p>
<p>Coastal states also may not <a href="https://www.un.org/depts/los/convention_agreements/texts/unclos/part2.htm" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">hamper or suspend innocent passage</a> in their territorial seas, nor levy charges for the right of passage. They may take necessary steps to prevent passage that is not innocent and may temporarily suspend innocent passage in specified areas when essential to their security.</p>
<p>The Strait of Hormuz connects the Persian Gulf to the Gulf of Oman and the open ocean. At its narrowest, the strait is roughly 21 miles wide, so the territorial seas of Iran and Oman overlap completely: ships must pass through their territorial waters to fully transit the Strait. Even a wartime blockade &mdash;not in effect at the time of the <em>Ever Lovely</em> strike &mdash; should not have denied safe passage to any of the neutral merchant vessels waiting in the queue.</p>
<p>The <a href="https://www.ilo.org/international-labour-standards/maritime-labour-convention-2006" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Maritime Labour Convention</a>, in effect a bill of rights for seafarers, requires owners to repatriate their crews and forbids abandonment &mdash; but not in wartime. For companies that would ordinarily bring mariners ashore, the threat of attack looms. The&nbsp;<a href="https://www.marines.mil/Portals/1/Publications/MCTP%2011-10B.pdf?ver=9Qihccgl32_Cwik1rnU0oQ%3D%3D" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Commander&rsquo;s Handbook on the Law of Naval Operations</a>&nbsp;(NWP 1-14M) addresses the legal status, protection, and treatment of civilian mariners during armed conflict. While it does not provide exhaustive, day-to-day administrative instructions for repatriation, it outlines the overarching principles of international law regarding their release and repatriation. <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/09/us/politics/pentagon-boat-strike-survivors.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Operation Southern Spear</a>, the Trump administration&rsquo;s military strikes on vessels allegedly ferrying drugs in the Caribbean and eastern Pacific, has sparked new debates on the issue.</p>
<h2><strong>A Larger Problem</strong></h2>
<p>The problem is far larger than any single armed conflict. At the height of Somali piracy, in January 2011, <a href="https://2009-2017.state.gov/t/pm/rls/rm/199927.htm" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">710 seafarers were held hostage aboard 31 vessels</a>; the last were not freed until October 2016. At the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic, in September 2020, <a href="https://www.imo.org/en/mediacentre/pressbriefings/pages/crew-change-covid-19.aspx" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">roughly 400,000 were stranded at sea</a>, unable to be relieved or repatriated. In 2024 alone, owners <a href="https://www.itfglobal.org/en/news/2024-worst-year-record-seafarer-abandonment-says-itf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">abandoned 3,133 seafarers aboard a record 312 vessels</a> &mdash; nearly twice as many as the year before.</p>
<p>Whether the cause is disaster, blockade, or contagious disease, the effects are global and accelerate rapidly once shipping stalls. The joint IMO&ndash;International Labour Organization database on abandonment, maintained with the support of the International Ship Suppliers&rsquo; Association (ISSA), has <a href="https://safety4sea.com/itf-2024-saw-new-high-record-on-seafarer-abandonment/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">logged 1,145 such cases affecting 16,569 seafarers</a> over two decades &mdash; most in the past five years, as a growing <a href="https://theconversation.com/20-000-stranded-seafarers-in-the-strait-of-hormuz-face-missile-fears-exhaustion-and-isolation-281330" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">&ldquo;shadow fleet&rdquo;</a> of tankers gravitates to the registries that, not coincidentally, are least able to protect a crew. The flags that enable sanctions evasion are, predictably, the ones most willing to walk away from their mariners in a crisis. In the maritime industry, abandonment means a shipowner&rsquo;s failure to pay wages, leaving a crew without provisions, or refusing to pay for repatriation.</p>
<p>In the current war with Iran, many mariners have been underway since February, long past the end of their contracts. These are civilians caught in the crossfire, not combatants. According to maritime expert Sal Mercogliano, at least <a href="https://gcaptain.com/u-s-flagged-ships-stuck-in-persian-gulf-as-senator-demands-action-for-american-crews/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">five U.S.-flagged merchant vessels</a> remain in the region with more than 100 Americans aboard, facing mounting difficulty securing safe resupply, maintaining communications, and identifying a viable transit plan. Industry groups increasingly describe the situation as a humanitarian crisis, with thousands of seafarers across the region stranded aboard vessels as ports restrict access and security risks escalate. On one tanker diverted during the blockade, a young officer <a href="https://safety4sea.com/delayed-medical-evacuation-leaves-deceased-sailor-aboard-ship-for-over-2-days/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">died awaiting medical evacuation; his body lay aboard for two days</a>. He was stranded &mdash; and stranding, increasingly, is how the sea takes its toll on merchant mariners.</p>
<p>Though invisible to most Americans, merchant mariners are the labor behind the supply chain. The BIMCO/ICS Seafarer Workforce Report estimates the global workforce at <a href="https://www.ics-shipping.org/press-release/new-bimco-ics-seafarer-workforce-report-warns-of-serious-potential-officer-shortage/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">1.89 million seafarers operating more than 74,000 internationally trading merchant vessels</a>. <a href="https://unctad.org/publication/review-maritime-transport-2025" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">More than 80 percent of goods traded worldwide move by sea</a> &mdash; 12.7 billion tons in 2024 &mdash; and at that scale there is no alternative: the crude and refined fuel that run economies, the iron ore, coal, and grain that feed industry, and the containers of manufactured goods bound for store shelves all travel on commercial ships, worked by crews. The Strait of Hormuz alone carried some <a href="https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=65504" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">20 million barrels of oil a day before the war &mdash; more than a quarter of all seaborne oil trade and about a fifth of world oil consumption</a>, along with roughly a fifth of the world&rsquo;s liquefied natural gas.</p>
<p>When a ship is delayed, diverted, or disabled, the effect ripples through the system; within weeks, freight rates skyrocket, as do fuel prices and the cost of household goods. National and economic security rely on dependable supply chains. The people who move this cargo are indispensable to the global economy, yet largely invisible. When conflict erupts, their personal risk rises quickly. They face not only injury or death from missile and drone attacks but also future harms: being stranded with limited food and supplies, cut off from communications, unpaid, or abandoned outright by unscrupulous owners who leave the problem to authorities already scrambling to manage a wider crisis.</p>
<p>This is not principally an American fleet problem &mdash; which is precisely why it is an American problem. The United States owns or operates <a href="https://centerformaritimestrategy.org/publications/what-to-watch-2023-america-must-begin-growing-its-merchant-marine/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">roughly 2.5 percent of the world&rsquo;s carrying capacity</a> measured in deadweight tonnage, and the U.S. Merchant Marine now accounts for <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/how-america-quietly-lost-2700-ships-maritime-dominance-2021-6" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">about 0.2 percent of the world&rsquo;s vessels</a>. Some 97 percent of U.S. international maritime trade by volume moves on foreign-flagged ships. The mariners most in need of protection sail aboard the foreign-flagged vessels we rely upon for global trade to keep the economy strong.</p>
<h2><strong>The Minimal Role of Force</strong></h2>
<p>The IMO is responsible for securing and safeguarding the maritime domain and its seafarers, but it has no police force. Compliance depends on the leverage built into treaties and conventions and on the diplomacy that backs them. The <a href="https://www.ilo.org/international-labour-standards/maritime-labour-convention-2006" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Maritime Labour Convention</a> and the <a href="https://www.imo.org/en/about/conventions/pages/listofconventions.aspx" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">STCW Convention</a> (Standards of Training, Certification, and Watchkeeping) have protected seafarers in many respects &mdash; but not in stranding situations, and least of all in wartime.</p>
<p>Force is not a clean substitute. A military could in principle extract its own flagged vessels and mariners from the Strait, but this is not merely a matter of applying force. The U.S. military&rsquo;s Central Command for the broader Middle East, Central Asia, and parts of South Asia (CENTCOM) may have the capability to extract U.S. vessels and personnel; it would not be a simple mission, and the Navy has not done so as of this writing.</p>
<p>In some scenarios, carrying weapons and security personnel aboard civilian merchant vessels makes sense &mdash; combating piracy chief among them. Merchant ships have long carried weapons and trained <a href="https://www.imo.org/en/ourwork/security/pages/private-armed-security.aspx" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Privately Contracted Armed Security Personnel (PCASP)</a> to be aboard for the predictably dangerous transits, with weapons and regulations controlled by the coastal states&rsquo; domestic laws and interpretations. The IMO <a href="https://www.imo.org/en/ourwork/security/pages/maritimesecurity.aspx" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">recognized PCASP</a> as an option during an uptick in piracy in 2008-2009, when Navies could no longer protect their fleets from attack. Flag states manage their own PCASP regulations and requirements. The <a href="https://www.imo.org/en/mediacentre/meetingsummaries/pages/msc-default.aspx" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Maritime Safety Committee</a> (MSC) of the IMO has issued and still issues numerous advisories on safe PCASP employment, based upon usage data. Some Coastal states have procedures for the weapons and requirements for Security Team licensing. Other states prohibit them entirely&mdash; Egypt, Nigeria, and India among them. Their governments exercise strict sovereign jurisdiction to bar all private weapons from their territorial waters under any civilian circumstances. The UAE and Saudi Arabia stop short of an outright ban but impose extensive regulations and notification requirements that deter carriage.</p>
<p>To date, security has been arranged and paid for by the maritime industry for its own vessels. The U.S. military has not accepted a mission or obligation to arm the U.S. merchant fleet. <a href="https://www.msc.usff.navy.mil/Portals/43/Publications/Handbook/MSCHandbook2025.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Military Sealift Command</a> (an auxiliary to the U.S. Navy in times of war) cargo vessels are unarmed and would rely on PCASP if needed; other MSC vessels, also crewed by civilian mariners or contractors, carry small arms, shotguns, and/or rifles for self-defense, force protection, and to counter piracy, with special training for their crewmembers.</p>
<p>Arming merchant vessels &mdash; with private or military weapons, or with security teams &mdash; has proven most effective against pirates, and the hull insurance requirements in dangerous waters are effective motivators. But arming merchant ships would not have prevented the stranding caused by the closures of the Strait of Hormuz, nor would it help mariners left to fend for themselves. Stranding and abandonment cases are generally not violent.</p>
<p>There is ample authority to keep mariners safe during wars and in times of peace. Yet outside of piracy, the risk of stranding and abandonment persists &mdash; on armed and unarmed vessels &mdash; because enforcement is either not feasible, as in the Strait of Hormuz, or simply not attempted, which accounts for most cases.</p>
<h2><strong>Giving Mandates More &lsquo;Teeth&rsquo;</strong></h2>
<p>Three mechanisms could give the mandates already in place some teeth.</p>
<p>The first is pre-negotiated routing agreements. The IMO supports establishing pre-approved, legally binding routes through neutral waters before a crisis, rather than improvising them mid-conflict. Such blueprints set out exactly how trapped crews are processed, how routing data is shared, and how navigation systems are managed during a localized blockade. The clearest success came in the <a href="https://www.csis.org/analysis/ships-trains-and-trucks-unlocking-ukraines-vital-trade-potential" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Black Sea</a> after Russia&rsquo;s 2022 full-scale invasion of Ukraine: the European Union, Romania, and Bulgaria shifted trade away from the combat zone, used territorial seas where needed, and linked the Danube River to a safe ocean route into the deep-water ports of Constan&#539;a in Romania and Varna in Bulgaria. The Strait of Hormuz is the counterexample &mdash; the June <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2026/06/17/middleeast/us-iran-war-mou-text-intl" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">U.S.-Oman-Iran memorandum of understanding</a> is non-binding and has depended entirely on Iran&rsquo;s willingness to abide by it at any given moment.</p>
<p>The second potential mechanism for strengthening existing mandates would be coalitions rather than unilateral action. Unilateral self-defense is lawful but not always effective. <a href="https://www.iiss.org/online-analysis/online-analysis/2023/03/the-imperative-to-build-and-sustain-sanctioning-coalitions/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Formal regional or international coalitions</a> with firm commitments are easier to assemble before military action than after it. U.N. Security Council resolutions authorizing multinational naval coalitions supply a legitimacy no single nation&rsquo;s agenda can establish, and regional protocols for mine-clearing, drone defense, and vessel escorts &mdash; negotiated before violence erupts &mdash; mitigate the risk of escalation into a wider war.</p>
<p>The third is <a href="https://www.argusmedia.com/en/news-and-insights/latest-market-news/2795769-explainer-war-risk-insurance-and-awrp" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">compulsory war-risk insurance</a>. Adding provisions to existing safety and liability conventions that mandate war-risk coverage in commercial cargo and hull insurance would make compliance a commercial necessity. If a coastal state violated safe-corridor laws (i.e., transit and innocent passage), global insurers could collectively declare its waters an uninsurable zone &mdash; economically paralyzing that state&rsquo;s own shipping and trade. PCASP backed by separately issued short-term war coverage policies for dangerous waters do not have that kind of reach. Governments do not have the leverage to hold other countries or companies accountable for stranded mariners in the same way that they would be incentivized to do if compulsory war-risk insurance were included in current plans.</p>
<p>The machinery already exists in embryo. The <a href="https://lmalloyds.com/committee/joint-war-committee/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Joint War Committee</a> &mdash; underwriters from Lloyd&rsquo;s of London and other marine hull insurers in the London market, which receive independent advice on higher-risk regions &mdash; currently includes the Persian Gulf, Strait of Hormuz, Black Sea, and Red Sea as war-risk areas. Global insurers have, in practice, suspended underwriting for Hormuz during this crisis. The market can already render dangerous waters effectively uninsurable; the question is whether that power is ever pointed at the companies and states that strand crews.</p>
<p>These seafarers who move the world&rsquo;s commerce are virtually invisible; when they stop, Americans and others feel it soon enough &mdash; at the gas pump and on grocery shelves. The men and women who are the lifeblood of global trade should not be left stranded at sea indefinitely, the unseen and undeserving victims of other people&rsquo;s wars or financial disasters.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146064/merchant-mariners-forgotten-in-conflict/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Merchant Mariners: Unseen in Peacetime and Forgotten in Conflict</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-20T13:15:04+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>U.S. Coast Guard Rear Admiral (ret.) Melissa Bert</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-20T13:15:04+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="accountability"/>

	<category term="armed conflict"/>

	<category term="armed conflicts"/>

	<category term="civilian harm"/>

	<category term="diplomacy"/>

	<category term="high seas"/>

	<category term="international and foreign"/>

	<category term="international criminal law"/>

	<category term="international human rights law"/>

	<category term="international law"/>

	<category term="international law of the sea (itlos)"/>

	<category term="iran"/>

	<category term="law enforcement"/>

	<category term="law of armed conflict (loac)"/>

	<category term="law of armed conflict/ihl"/>

	<category term="law of the sea"/>

	<category term="maritime security"/>

	<category term="middle east wars"/>

	<category term="military"/>

	<category term="persian gulf"/>

	<category term="un convention on the law of the sea (unclos)"/>

	<category term="united nations"/>

	<category term="united nations (un)"/>

	<category term="united states (us)"/>

	<category term="us military"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-20:/293987</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/147878/state-departments-campaign-icc-misunderstanding/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=state-departments-campaign-icc-misunderstanding" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">The State Department’s Campaign Against the ICC Rests on a Misunderstanding of How the Court Actually Works</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>On July 13, Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced a &ldquo;sweeping campaign&rdquo; to dismantle what the Sta...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>On July 13, Secretary of State Marco Rubio <a href="https://www.state.gov/releases/office-of-the-spokesperson/2026/07/state-department-launches-campaign-to-dismantle-international-criminal-courts-threat-to-american-sovereignty" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">announced</a> a &ldquo;sweeping campaign&rdquo; to dismantle what the State Department characterized as the &ldquo;intolerable threat&rdquo; posed by the International Criminal Court to U.S. sovereignty. The announcement &mdash; delivered through a <a href="https://www.state.gov/releases/office-of-the-spokesperson/2026/07/state-department-launches-campaign-to-dismantle-international-criminal-courts-threat-to-american-sovereignty" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">press release</a>, a <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?si=UgYwkXBwblYnMUZj&amp;v=hgtCQOIV-Ys&amp;feature=youtu.be" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">video statement</a>, and an accompanying <a href="https://www.wsj.com/opinion/why-were-dismantling-the-icc-0af0a8a6" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">op-ed</a> &mdash; promised a &ldquo;whole-of-government response to systematically disable the ICC&rsquo;s ability to operate, target American servicemen or officials, or otherwise threaten American sovereignty.&rdquo; Among the measures under consideration: expanded sanctions on the Court and its affiliates, visa revocations and travel bans for ICC personnel, diplomatic pressure on States Parties to withdraw from the Rome Statute, and &ldquo;increased scrutiny&rdquo; of nations that rely on U.S. security assistance while declining to reject the Court&rsquo;s authority.</p>
<p>The announcement raises two questions worth taking seriously. The first is why now and what, precisely, prompted a campaign of this scale at this moment. The second is whether the threat the campaign purports to address actually exists in the form the administration describes. On both counts, the campaign appears premised on a misunderstanding of how the Court functions. And yet the announcement also taps into a genuine and increasingly bipartisan unease about the Court&rsquo;s trajectory, one that the Court&rsquo;s supporters, myself included, would be unwise to dismiss. Both halves of that picture deserve honest treatment.</p>
<h2><strong>Why Now?</strong></h2>
<p>The timing of the announcement is not self-evidently connected to any of the matters that most prominently shape American perceptions of the Court. It does not appear to be a response to the ICC&rsquo;s Afghanistan investigation or any recent developments in it. Nor does it appear to be driven by the Assembly of States Parties proceedings, taking place on July 24, concerning the allegations of sexual misconduct against ICC Prosecutor Karim Khan, or even by the Israel situation and the arrest warrants for senior Israeli officials that have dominated U.S.-ICC relations for the past two years. Though all of those matters certainly color the general atmosphere in which this campaign was conceived.</p>
<p>Rather, the most plausible proximate trigger is a set of recent efforts by civil society organizations: campaigns urging the Court to open investigations concerning U.S. conduct in the Caribbean, and parallel efforts to persuade the governments of Iran and Cuba to ratify the Rome Statute, or lodge declarations under Article 12(3), for the apparent purpose of creating a jurisdictional hook over U.S. personnel and operations.</p>
<p>If that is indeed what prompted the campaign, then the campaign rests on a basic misapprehension of how the Court works, in at least three respects.</p>
<p><em>First, there are no investigations of U.S. personnel.</em> None is pending, and there is no indication that any will be opened. The Afghanistan investigation, the situation most often invoked in American debates, was <a href="https://www.icc-cpi.int/news/statement-prosecutor-international-criminal-court-karim-khan-qc-following-application" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">deprioritized</a> with respect to alleged conduct by U.S. forces years ago, with the Office of the Prosecutor focusing its limited resources on crimes attributed to the Taliban and the Islamic State&ndash;Khorasan Province. A campaign to &ldquo;disable&rdquo; the Court&rsquo;s ability to &ldquo;target American servicemen&rdquo; is, in operational terms, a campaign against something that is not happening.</p>
<p><em>Second, Article 15 communications do not open investigations, and never have.</em> A number of organizations have announced that they will press for investigations of U.S. conduct through communications submitted under Article 15 of the Rome Statute. These announcements generate headlines, and they are frequently described &mdash; including, regrettably, by some who work extensively with the Court &mdash; as though they set an investigative process in motion. They do not. The Office of the Prosecutor receives thousands of Article 15 communications; they are inputs into the Office&rsquo;s preliminary assessment work, nothing more. There has never been an ICC investigation opened as a result of an Article 15 communication. The <em>proprio motu</em> pathway requires the Prosecutor&rsquo;s own independent determination that the statutory criteria are met, followed by judicial authorization from a Pre-Trial Chamber. In such cases, the Prosecutor&rsquo;s investigation is publicly announced, not disguised. The persistent misrepresentation of the Article 15 process, of both its mechanics and its practical value, has done real damage on both sides of this debate: it inflates expectations among advocates, and it inflates threat perceptions among governments. Treating an NGO press release announcing a &ldquo;filing&rdquo; as the opening salvo of a prosecution misunderstands the institution at the most elementary level.</p>
<p><em>Third, the Iran and Cuba scenario is fanciful. </em>It is highly unlikely that either government would ratify the Rome Statute or issue the declaration necessary to enable the Court&rsquo;s jurisdiction over their territory. Both governments would be perfectly aware that the first and foremost consequence of accepting the Court&rsquo;s jurisdiction would not be scrutiny of U.S. conduct, but scrutiny of their own, beginning with the mass acts of internal repression and violence each has carried out against its own population. Jurisdiction under the Rome Statute is not <em>&agrave; la carte</em>. A state cannot accept the Court&rsquo;s authority for its adversaries&rsquo; conduct while immunizing its own. Tehran and Havana understand this, which is precisely why the ratification campaigns directed at them are exercises in political theater rather than plausible jurisdictional strategy.</p>
<p>In short: the scenario likely animating the State Department&rsquo;s campaign &mdash; an ICC poised, or soon to be positioned, to prosecute Americans &mdash; does not correspond to how the Court operates, how its investigative machinery is actually triggered, or how the states supposedly conspiring to enable it would behave.</p>
<h2><strong>The Perception Behind the Campaign Deserves Serious Engagement</strong></h2>
<p>Having said all of that, it would be a mistake, and a disservice to the Court, to treat Rubio&rsquo;s statement as nothing more than a factual error to be corrected. Because beneath the campaign&rsquo;s inaccuracies lies a perception that is real and that is increasingly bipartisan: the perception that the Court has steadily expanded the ambit of its authority, including over nationals of countries that deliberately chose not to join it and never consented to its jurisdiction.</p>
<p>That perception is not confined to one party or one administration. Recall that just last year, <a href="https://www.congress.gov/votes/house/119-1/7" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">45 House Democrats</a>, including members of the party&rsquo;s progressive wing, joined every voting Republican to pass the Illegitimate Court Counteraction Act, legislation mandating sanctions against the Court. Prominent Senate Democrats were equally <a href="https://www.democrats.senate.gov/news/press-releases/leader-schumer-floor-remarks-on-senate-republicans-blocking-critical-revisions-of-icc-sanctions-legislation" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">supportive</a> of the measure, even if ultimately voting against it out of fear that U.S. companies would be injured. Whatever one thinks of that vote, it reflected something deeper than partisan positioning: a conviction, now held across much of the American political spectrum, that the Court has drifted from the institution the Rome Statute&rsquo;s drafters described and that U.S. administrations of both parties once engaged with, however warily.</p>
<p>That distrust reached its zenith not under President Donald Trump but during the Biden administration, and it is worth being candid about why. In the course of the Palestine situation, it was reported that Prosecutor Khan <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/icc-prosecutor-opted-warrants-over-visit-gaza-2024-07-05/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">made overtures</a> to U.S. government officials in Congress and the executive branch suggesting that he would delay or forgo certain arrest warrant applications if he were granted access to Israel, and then, after securing that access, announced the warrant applications in a televised and pre-planned about-face. For U.S. government officials who had extended good faith to the Office of the Prosecutor, many of them among the Court&rsquo;s most sympathetic interlocutors in Washington, the episode was corrosive in a way that no amount of legal argument about jurisdiction could repair. It confirmed, for many, every suspicion they had ever harbored about the institution.</p>
<p>But here, too, the conclusion being drawn misunderstands the Court. Prosecutor Khan is a singular figure. His conduct in those exchanges was his own, a reflection of one official&rsquo;s approach to his mandate, not of the institution&rsquo;s design or its jurisprudence. The Rome Statute system was built precisely on the premise that no single actor, including the Prosecutor, wields unchecked power: prosecutorial decisions are subject to judicial authorization and review by Pre-Trial Chambers; the Assembly of States Parties exercises oversight over the Court&rsquo;s officials; and the Office itself is now led day-to-day by deputy prosecutors while the allegations against Khan are addressed through the very accountability mechanisms the Assembly will take up on July 24. One can, and should, hold Khan&rsquo;s conduct to account without mistaking the man for the institution. Indeed, the fact that the Assembly is confronting allegations against its own sitting Prosecutor, publicly and through a formal process, is evidence that the system&rsquo;s internal checks function, however imperfectly and however slowly.</p>
<p>The same is true of the jurisdictional grievance. The Court&rsquo;s assertion of territorial jurisdiction over nationals of non-party states is neither novel nor lawless. It mirrors how domestic criminal jurisdiction has operated for centuries, and it is the same principle the United States invokes when it prosecutes foreign nationals for crimes committed on U.S. soil. Americans may reasonably debate whether the Court has exercised that authority prudently. But &ldquo;expansive&rdquo; is not the same as &ldquo;illegitimate,&rdquo; and the answer to imprudent exercises of lawful authority is engagement, argument, and reform, the tools the United States has used to shape every other international institution it has cared about, not a campaign to render the institution &ldquo;incapable&rdquo; of operating.</p>
<h2><strong>The Cost of Dismantlement</strong></h2>
<p>There is a final irony worth naming. The Court the State Department now seeks to dismantle is the same institution whose arrest warrant against Vladimir Putin the United States welcomed, whose work on Ukraine successive administrations have supported, and whose underlying premise &mdash; that individuals, not peoples, bear responsibility for atrocity crimes &mdash; is an American export, carried forward from Nuremberg through the tribunals the United States built for the former Yugoslavia and Rwanda. A campaign that pressures allies to abandon the Court, sanctions its personnel, and conditions U.S. security cooperation on rejecting its authority will not insulate Americans from a threat that does not exist. It will, however, weaken an institution that serves interests the United States has championed for 80 years, and hand a gift to precisely those governments, in Tehran, Havana, Moscow, and elsewhere, that have the most to fear from accountability.</p>
<p>Indeed, the reaction from Washington&rsquo;s closest partners has been immediate. The European Union called the threats against the Court &ldquo;<a href="https://www.euronews.com/2026/07/14/marco-rubio-launches-sweeping-campaign-to-dismantle-icc-threat-to-us-sovereignty" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">unacceptable</a>,&rdquo; and the campaign now asks allies to choose between their treaty obligations under the Rome Statute and their security relationships with the United States, a choice that strains the very partnerships the administration needs on every other file, from trade to collective defense, and one that most States Parties have already made clear they will resolve in favor of their legal commitments.</p>
<p>The Court has real problems: of leadership, of case selection, of the trust it has squandered with states whose cooperation it needs, and of internal governance. Those problems warrant scrutiny, candor, and pressure for reform, including from Washington. What they do not warrant is a campaign premised on a threat the Court is neither pursuing nor structurally capable of pursuing in the manner described. The United States has always been at its most effective when it has shaped international institutions rather than sought to break them. That remains true here.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/147878/state-departments-campaign-icc-misunderstanding/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">The State Department&rsquo;s Campaign Against the ICC Rests on a Misunderstanding of How the Court Actually Works</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-20T12:50:04+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Nema Milaninia</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-20T12:50:04+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="armed conflict"/>

	<category term="atrocities"/>

	<category term="civilian harm"/>

	<category term="diplomacy"/>

	<category term="executive branch"/>

	<category term="human rights"/>

	<category term="humanitarian"/>

	<category term="international and foreign"/>

	<category term="international criminal court (icc)"/>

	<category term="international criminal law"/>

	<category term="international human rights law"/>

	<category term="international justice"/>

	<category term="international law"/>

	<category term="law of armed conflict/ihl"/>

	<category term="marco rubio"/>

	<category term="rome statute"/>

	<category term="sanctions"/>

	<category term="trump administration second term"/>

	<category term="united states (us)"/>

	<category term="vessel"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-20:/293988</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148333/early-edition-july-20-2026/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=early-edition-july-20-2026" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Early Edition: July 20, 2026</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Signup to receive the Early Edition in your inbox here.
A curated guide to major news and developmen...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Signup to receive the Early Edition in your inbox <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/newsletter-signup/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">here</a>.</p>
<p>A curated guide to major news and developments over the weekend. Here&rsquo;s today&rsquo;s news:</p>
<p><b><i>IRAN WAR</i></b></p>
<p><b>The Pentagon said yesterday that a third member of the U.S. military had died over the weekend during the disposal of a downed Iranian attack drone in northern Iraq on Saturday. </b><span>On Friday, two soldiers were killed in an Iranian missile attack in Jordan, which left another soldier missing. U.S. Central Command said yesterday that the U.S. military had found the remains of the missing service member. The latest deaths bring the total number of U.S. service members killed since the war began in February to 18. Aaron Boxerman, Yan Zhuang, Hari Raj, and Eric Schmitt report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/07/19/world/iran-war-strikes-trump-hormuz" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>; Josh Boak reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/iran-war-us-deaths-59ecda1ccf1700bb6820b81ae7627bad" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>; Barak Ravid and Rebbeca Falconer report for </span><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/19/us-military-finds-service-member-remains-jordan" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Axios</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Iran carried out three other strikes against U.S. forces in Jordan last week, which injured dozens of U.S. service members and damaged several helicopters,</b><span> according to several U.S. officials. The Pentagon did not publicly disclose the attacks, casualties, or damage, citing operational security concerns, while Central Command said it is not required to release information about troops who are quickly able to return to duty. Eric Schmitt reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/20/us/politics/troops-injured-jordan-iran-war.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The U.S. military said yesterday evening Eastern Time that it had begun conducting a new wave of strikes against Iran for the ninth consecutive night. </b><span>A U.S. official said that the United States was sending more military jets to the Middle East. Others added that Air Force F-16 fighter jets from Germany and F-35 jets from Britain were being sent to the Middle East. An Israeli official said yesterday that Israel is preparing to receive more U.S. refuelling aircraft, adding that the United States has &ldquo;decided to adjust its force posture in the region.&rdquo; Jon Gambrell reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-hormuz-strait-war-july-20-2026-8b37952906cbec6351fdcc47a0fa6297" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>; Eric Schmitt reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/19/world/middleeast/us-warplanes-mideast-iran.html?smid=url-share" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>; Steven Scheer reports for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/israel-receive-more-us-refuelling-planes-iran-attacks-intensify-israeli-2026-07-19/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b>&nbsp;&ldquo;The U.S. is planning for a wider war,&rdquo; </b><span>a U.S. official told the </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2026/07/19/us-teeters-return-all-out-war-with-iran-after-more-troops-killed/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Washington Post</span></a><span>, pointing to the increase in U.S. military aircraft in the region. But the official cautioned that the expansion of U.S. operations will be limited by dwindling stockpiles of air defense and long-range munitions and constraints on the ability to surge more troops and aircraft into the area because of battle damage. &ldquo;We do not have enough to safely sustain operations, and I don&rsquo;t think the White House is aware of that,&rdquo; the official said. Karen DeYoung, Tara Copp, and Dan Lamothe report.</span></p>
<p><b>I</b><b>ran responded today by launching attacks across the region. </b><span>I</span><span>ran&rsquo;s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said that Iran had targeted U.S. aircraft at Jordan&rsquo;s Aqaba airport with ballistic missiles, as well as U.S. military assets and equipment at Kuwait&rsquo;s Al-Adiri camp and Ali Al Salem Air Base, and in Syria. Kuwait&rsquo;s government said a desalination plant was attacked for the second day in a row. Nayera Abdallah, Eman Abouhassira, and Enas Alashray report for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-launches-iran-strikes-ninth-day-another-american-confirmed-killed-2026-07-20/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The IRGC said today that two oil tankers had &ldquo;exploded and were forced to cease movement&rdquo; as they attempted to pass through the Strait of Hormuz via a route that Tehran has warned ships not to use. </b><span>The IRGC did not claim responsibility for strikes on the ships. Hari Raj reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/07/19/world/iran-war-strikes-trump-hormuz/17953fec-5ff9-5195-9408-8fd469d04e4d?smid=url-share" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>IRAN WAR &ndash; POLITICAL RESPONSE&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Iran&rsquo;s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei issued a statement on Saturday accusing President Trump of violating the U.S.-Iran agreement and pledging a strong response by Iran and its proxies.</b><span> Khamenei called the United States &ldquo;the great Satan&rdquo; in the statement, a term he has not used since assuming office. Barak Ravid reports for </span><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/18/iran-khamenei-trump-war" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Axios</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Secretary of State Marco Rubio said yesterday that the United States remained open to diplomacy with Iran.</b> <span>&ldquo;We&rsquo;ve tried multiple times with Iran, and we&rsquo;ll continue to try. If that door opens, we&rsquo;ll be happy to see it open,&rdquo; Rubio told reporters at Joint Base Andrews in Maryland.</span><span> Yan Zhuan reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/20/world/middleeast/rubio-us-iran-war-diplomacy.html?smid=url-share" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Energy Secretary Chris Wright said yesterday that despite renewed fighting with Iran, tankers continue to make it through the Strait of Hormuz. </b><span>Wright said, &ldquo;We&rsquo;re at a little under 14 million barrels a day from the Arabian Gulf region. That&rsquo;s two-thirds of pre-conflict traffic.&rdquo; Wright added that public reports indicating that most shipping traffic has stopped in recent days are not true. David Cohen reports for </span><a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2026/07/19/chris-wright-strait-hormuz-iran-01004359" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>POLITICO</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>IRAN WAR &ndash; OTHER DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>The war in Iran has worsened poverty and food insecurity in northern Nigeria by driving up fuel prices, causing job losses and making it harder for families to afford nutritious food,</b><span> according to local health and aid workers. Combined with Nigeria&rsquo;s existing economic challenges, the crisis has led to rising child malnutrition, with UNICEF warning that millions more children in Africa and Asia could fall into poverty if the conflict continues. Ope Adetayo reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/nigeria-strait-hormuz-iran-war-poverty-malnutrition-555a5d0099ddc68345386c50656fe25f" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b><i>RUSSIA-UKRAINE WAR&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Ukrainian drone strikes on warehouses belonging to Russia&rsquo;s largest online retailer, Wildberries, killed at least eight people and injured dozens on Saturday.</b><span> Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said Wildberries warehouses deliver sanctioned components used in drones and navigational equipment to Russia&rsquo;s military. He also framed the attacks as retaliation for Russian attacks on Ukraine&rsquo;s postal and civilian infrastructure. Matthew Luxmoore reports for the </span><a href="https://www.wsj.com/world/ukraine-escalates-air-war-with-deadly-strikes-on-russias-amazon-163ba241" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Wall Street Journal</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Hours later, on Sunday morning, Russia fired 41 ballistic missiles at Kyiv, one of the largest such barrages in the entire war, killing at least one person and injuring sixteen others.</b><span> Later on Sunday, a Russian attack on a postal facility near Kharkiv killed four people and wounded at least 19. </span><span>Matthew Luxmoore reports for the </span><a href="https://www.wsj.com/world/ukraine-escalates-air-war-with-deadly-strikes-on-russias-amazon-163ba241" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Wall Street Journal</span></a><span>; Dan Peleschuk and Sergiy Karazy report for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russian-ballistic-missiles-rock-kyiv-one-killed-officials-say-2026-07-19/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>ISRAEL-HAMAS WAR&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>An Israeli airstrike on Friday killed at least seven people and injured several others in central Gaza, </b><span>according to hospital officials. The Israeli military said the strike targeted members of Palestinian Islamic Jihad. The military added that it was aware of claims that several &ldquo;uninvolved individuals&rdquo; had been harmed in the attack and that the matter was under review. Adam Rasgon and Abu Bakr Bashir report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/17/world/middleeast/israeli-strike-gaza-kills-eight.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b>Israeli airstrikes on Saturday killed at least nine Palestinians in Gaza City,</b><span> hospital officials said. </span><span>A strike on an apartment in the Nasr neighborhood killed at least five people, including children between the ages of 8 and 18, the director of Shifa Hospital said. I</span><span>srael&rsquo;s military said it targeted Hamas infrastructure and had located Hamas militants in the area, without elaborating. Another Israeli strike hit a group of people in the Zeitoun neighborhood, killing four and wounding another critically, health officials said. </span><span>Palestinians have reported an increase in the scale of Israeli strikes across Gaza over the past few days.</span><span> Wafaa Shurafa reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/gaza-israel-hamas-palestinians-ceasefire-93191a56a12fb129d3f0ebefc593ae6c" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>OTHER GLOBAL DEVELOPMENTS</i></b><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Taiwan detected a sharp increase in Chinese coastguard and research vessel activity around the island in June, prompting Taipei to plan drills simulating Chinese escalations off its Pacific coast,</b><span> according to Taiwan Coast Guard data and officials. Taiwan reported 55 Chinese government vessel sightings in June, up from 30 in May, the data showed. Yimou Lee reports for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/china/taiwan-says-chinese-vessel-activity-jumps-raising-fears-pacific-supply-routes-2026-07-20/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Andy Burnham will replace Keir Starmer as the United Kingdom&rsquo;s prime minister today. </b><span>Jill Lawless reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/andy-burnham-uk-prime-minister-labour-starmer-a13602b93d8f045f1cffd2bd05bf8e2b" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>TECH DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>The Trump administration is considering plans for an independent regulator to vet the safety of AI models with industry input,</b><span> sources said. The proposal aims to appease both Wall Street Firms and Silicon Valley companies frustrated by what they see as an inconsistent approach from the administration, sources said. Trump has not yet reviewed the plan, one source said, however, officials have accelerated work to give the AI industry more clarity following the release of a new Chinese AI model last week. Maggie Eastland and Nancy Cook report for </span><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-07-17/us-considers-creating-finra-like-watchdog-to-vet-top-ai-models" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Bloomberg</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. FOREIGN AFFAIRS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>The Trump administration is preparing to unveil a series of grants in Europe and elsewhere to support MAGA-aligned initiatives. </b><span>The proposed grants include $2 million to &ldquo;counter censorship&rdquo; stemming from EU regulations, including the Digital Services Act and the Digital Markets Act, according to a copy of the State Department notice sent to lawmakers. The notice also details plans to provide $5mn to &ldquo;develop a civilizational alliance&rdquo; in Europe. Amy Mackinnon and Lucy Fisher report for the </span><a href="https://www.ft.com/content/1cb986a4-2428-4e64-a559-7867cfa1a3e3?syn-25a6b1a6=1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Financial Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The State Department said on Saturday that it did not renew an emergency declaration over Hong Kong, leading to the lifting of partial sanctions, but it said an </b><a href="https://trumpwhitehouse.archives.gov/presidential-actions/presidents-executive-order-hong-kong-normalization/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>executive order</b></a><b> that revoked Hong Kong&rsquo;s special trading status remained in place. </b><span>As the order states, Hong Kong is no longer sufficiently autonomous to justify differential treatment in relation to mainland China under certain laws and provisions, the State Department said.</span> <span>Kanis Leung reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/hong-kong-us-china-preferential-trade-b0a7e46fac0906bba975e3a1f52ebe7d" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Andrew Tate and his brother Tristan were arrested yesterday in Miami after British authorities issued 38 new charges, bringing the total against them to 59.</b><span> The U.K.&rsquo;s Crown Prosecution Service said Andrew was being charged with further counts of rape, as well as charges relating to sex trafficking and indecent images of a child. The U.K. authorities are preparing extradition proceedings. Kathryn Armstrong and Claire Keenan report for </span><a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cwymly9yd33o" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>BBC News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. IMMIGRATION DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Federal agents were told last week that the FBI would no longer investigate confrontations with ICE agents,</b><span> according to sources. Under the change, responsibility for investigating cases involving federal immigration officers would likely fall to Homeland Security Investigations, an arm of ICE, effectively leaving the agency to investigate itself, according to guidance circulated among FBI and ICE agents. A joint statement by the Justice Department and DHS denied the changes. Devlin Barrett and Hamed Aleaziz report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/19/us/politics/fbi-ice-agents-investigations-shootings.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>DHS has declined to release the names of immigration agents involved in fatal shootings, most recently this month in Maine and Texas</b><span>. </span><span>The department said on Friday that identifying officers would expose them and their families to serious danger from violent agitators.</span><span> This is despite years of federal guidance encouraging police departments to release officers&rsquo; names to improve transparency. Shaila Dewan reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/19/us/dhs-officer-names-shootings.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>A </b><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/19/us/politics/sanctuary-states-deportation-aid.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>New York Times review</b></a><b> of policies, statutes, and practices in the 18 states targeted by the Trump administration for failing to cooperate with federal immigration agencies shows extensive cooperation and coordination when it comes to people convicted of serious crimes.</b> <span>In 12 of them, the number of custodial arrests by ICE more than doubled since the beginning of Trump&rsquo;s second term, according to a Times analysis of ICE data obtained by the Deportation Data Project.</span><span> Jazmine Ulloa, Miriam Jordan, and Albert Sun report.</span></p>
<p><b>The </b><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/18/us/ice-assaults-protesters.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>New York Times</b></a><b> found that 213 out of more than 400 resolved federal cases accusing protesters and immigrants of assaulting or impeding ICE and Border Patrol agents have been dismissed, withdrawn, or ended in acquittals. </b><span>&ldquo;There seems to be a pattern of charges being filed without any merit,&rdquo; Jimmy L. Arce, a former federal prosecutor in Chicago, said.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Justice Department submitted the first-ever application to the Alien Terrorist Removal Court &ndash; which has lain dormant since it was established by law in 1996 &ndash; with little notice last week.</b><span> The details of the July 15 application are sealed, and an accompanying cover sheet indicates that the substance is classified. The chief judge of the court issued an </span><a href="https://www.atrc.uscourts.gov/docs/2026-TRC-1-Order.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>order</span></a><span> on Thursday asking the government to make a more &ldquo;thoughtful&rdquo; application. Kyle Cheney and Josh Gerstein report for </span><a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2026/07/18/trump-alien-terrorist-deportation-court-01004184" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>POLITICO</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. DOMESTIC DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>The Justice Department has moved away from charging companies over the wrongdoing of employees, recently closing several criminal investigations with lenient solutions or no charges at all. </b><span>Corporate investigations and prosecutions that were happening a few years ago &ldquo;have pretty much been dialed way back,&rdquo; said Evan T. Barr, a former federal prosecutor. &ldquo;So if you&rsquo;re in the world of financial services or a large public company, you can breathe a lot easier.&rdquo;</span><span> David Michaels and Sadie Gurman report for the </span><a href="https://www.wsj.com/finance/regulation/the-justice-department-is-pulling-back-on-prosecuting-corporate-crime-dabf95a2" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Wall Street Journal</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>A federal appeals court </b><a href="https://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000019f-7199-da70-abdf-f3fddf050000" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>ruled</b></a><b> on Friday that New Jersey&rsquo;s ban on assault weapons is unconstitutional, </b><span>upholding a lower court&rsquo;s ruling and broadening it to strike down larger pieces of the state&rsquo;s strict gun regulations that have been in place for decades. Joey Fox and Daniel Han report for </span><a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2026/07/17/new-jersey-assault-weapons-court-ruling-01003527" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>POLITICO</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>A </b><a href="https://www.reuters.com/investigations/trump-claims-voting-by-noncitizens-is-rampant-america-numbers-tell-another-story-2026-07-19/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>Reuters</b></a><b> data analysis shows that Trump&rsquo;s claims of widespread noncitizen voting are not supported by federal case data, </b><span>with only 129 prosecutions under the relevant law since 1996 and many cases appearing to involve confusion, administrative errors, or misunderstandings rather than coordinated fraud. Tom Hals, Peter Eisler, Ned Parker, and Luc Cohen report.</span></p>
<p><b><i>TRUMP ADMINISTRATION ACTIONS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Trump said yesterday that the new Air Force One jet, donated by Qatar and recently flown overseas to the NATO summit in Ankara, would soon be &ldquo;maxed out.&rdquo; </b><span>A reporter asked Trump, &ldquo;Mr. President, this plane does not have anti-missile defense systems on it. Why are you flying it?&rdquo; Trump replied, &ldquo;Well, it has &mdash; it has a lot, and you know it has a lot of capability, but as I understand it, in about a month or so, they&rsquo;re going to send it to have it be maxed out.&rdquo; Maggie Haberman reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/19/us/politics/trump-air-force-modifications.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Trump administration halted a two-year Labor Department civil rights investigation into BAE Systems that alleged workplace discrimination and sexual harassment, preventing a potential settlement and worker compensation, </b><span>the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/19/us/politics/trump-gutted-civil-rights-agency-stifling-us-scrutiny-of-workplace-bias.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span> reports. The move was part of a broader effort to dismantle the Office of Federal Contract Compliance Programs, reducing its role in investigating discrimination among government contractors. </span><span>Records show that the agency was scheduled to launch about 2,000 inquiries in 2025, all of which were derailed by Trump&rsquo;s </span><a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/ending-illegal-discrimination-and-restoring-merit-based-opportunity/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>executive order</span></a><span>.</span><span> Coral Davenport reports.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>TRUMP ADMINISTRATION LITIGATION</i></b></p>
<p><b>A federal judge on Friday ruled the Trump administration cannot use the &ldquo;Termination Clause&rdquo; in federal grant rules to make billions of dollars in funding cuts, </b><span>blocking efforts to cancel grants in areas such as crime prevention, food security, and scientific research. The decision followed a lawsuit by 23 states, which argued that the administration&rsquo;s use of the clause was an unlawful attempt to carry out widespread funding reductions. Michael Casey reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/doge-trump-administration-lawsuit-congress-d588e3824b5fb321744dde9e2b9a2618" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
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<p><strong>ICYMI: Last Week on<em>&nbsp;Just Security</em></strong></p>
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<p>By <span>Meg Satterthwaite&nbsp;and&nbsp;Sang-Min Kim</span></p>
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<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148333/early-edition-july-20-2026/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Early Edition: July 20, 2026</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-20T12:05:17+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Elisabeth Jennings</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-20T12:05:17+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="daily news roundup"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-20:/293989</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148285/the-alien-terrorist-removal-courts-first-case/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=the-alien-terrorist-removal-courts-first-case" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">The Alien Terrorist Removal Court’s First Case</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>For as long as I&rsquo;ve taught National Security Law, the Alien Terrorist Removal Court (&ldquo;ATRC&rdquo;), a spec...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>For as long as I&rsquo;ve taught National Security Law, the Alien Terrorist Removal Court (&ldquo;ATRC&rdquo;), a specialized national security court that <a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/8/chapter-12/subchapter-V" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Congress created in 1996</a>, has been a recurring curiosity of mine. Last week, it was activated for the first time in its 30 years of existence. Congress&rsquo; idea in creating the ATRC was to provide a judicial mechanism for removal proceedings that functions like the one provided by the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA), in which the government could simultaneously (1) obtain meaningful judicial review in a deportation case; while (2) keeping the (classified) evidence secret. Indeed, <a href="https://www.amazon.com/dp/1849462526?lv=shuf&amp;channelId=500&amp;plpRedirect=mhFallback" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">in a 2014 book chapter</a>, my now-colleague David Cole and I held out the ATRC procedure as a potentially useful illustration of the &ldquo;cleared counsel&rdquo; model of national security litigation&mdash;in which, instead of providing the subject of an enforcement proceeding with the classified information on which the proceeding depends, the government provides it to a lawyer <em>for</em> the subject (albeit in only a subset of cases before the ATRC). As the chapter reflects, the ATRC had remained an academic curiosity&mdash;because it had never actually been used&mdash;until last week.</p>
<p>On Friday, Seamus Hughes (the truly indispensable editor of &ldquo;<a href="https://www.courtwatch.news/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court Watch</a>,&rdquo; among many other things) <a href="https://www.courtwatch.news/p/alien-terrorist-removal-court-has-its-first-case" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">broke the news</a> that the Trump administration had filed the first-ever application before the ATRC, leading to <a href="https://www.atrc.uscourts.gov/docs/2026-TRC-1-Order.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">the first order in that court&rsquo;s 30-year history</a> (and its <a href="https://www.atrc.uscourts.gov/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">hasty creation of a website</a>). We don&rsquo;t know much beyond what Seamus has already reported (and what&rsquo;s now on the ATRC&rsquo;s website). We don&rsquo;t know the identity of the person subject to the proceedings, why the government believes this person is an &ldquo;alien terrorist,&rdquo; what evidence the government is relying on to make that case to the ATRC, or why it chose that route instead of the normal immigration removal process (other than, presumably, to keep the evidence secret). But as someone who has spent more time thinking about the ATRC than, I suspect, 99.99% of the population, now seems as good a time as any to introduce the court; to flag the constitutional questions its statutory structure raises; and to reflect on how alarming it is that the Trump administration has, after all this time, activated it.</p>
<p>Skipping to the punchline, much like the FISA Court, the ATRC reflects a series of imperfect compromises. And there are reasons to worry about some of the benefits that the ATRC process provides to the government. But&mdash;and this is the important part&mdash;it also has some <em>protections</em> baked into it that are not currently available (or, at least, not <em>immediately</em> available) to many non-citizens in the &ldquo;regular&rdquo; removal process, primarily the robust role of Article III district judges&mdash;as opposed to Justice Department immigration judges&mdash;in administering it.</p>
<p>I have at least <em>some</em> concerns about why the Trump administration is dusting it off now. But there&rsquo;s no universe in which the ATRC will allow the administration to pursue the kind of mass, summary deportations that it has thus far been unable to achieve through any other immigration authorities. If there&rsquo;s something nefarious afoot, it&rsquo;s meaningfully smaller than that in scale.</p>
<h3><strong>Unpacking the ATRC</strong></h3>
<p>In 1996, as part of the Antiterrorism and Effective Death Penalty Act (and as quickly amended in the Illegal Immigration Reform and Immigrant Responsibility Act), Congress created the ATRC&mdash;a tribunal largely modeled on the FISA Court, and which was intended to be able to handle individual deportation hearings in cases involving highly sensitive national security information. Although the statutory procedures are <a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/8/1533" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">quite</a> <a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/8/1534" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">complex</a>, the Federal Judicial Center <a href="https://www.fjc.gov/history/courts/alien-terrorist-removal-court-1996-present" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">has a helpful summary</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>The statute authorize[s] the Attorney General to draft an application for removal of a suspected alien terrorist [a term defined by statute], and to submit the application to the removal court under seal. A single judge may grant the application upon a finding that the alien in question has been identified correctly as an alien terrorist present in the United States and that removal under other available legal means would pose a risk to national security. Upon granting a removal application, the court must hold a public removal hearing at which the accused has the right to be represented by counsel and the government bears the burden of proving that the accused is an alien terrorist. To avoid the disclosure of classified information, the government must prepare an unclassified summary of such information which the judge must find to be sufficient for the alien to prepare a defense. If the government meets its burden of proof at the hearing, the court will order the alien removed from the United States.</p></blockquote>
<p>As for the judges, the ATRC is composed of five already-serving Article III district judges &ldquo;assigned&rdquo; by the Chief Justice to <em>also </em>serve on that court, the only criterion for which is that they come from five <em>different</em> circuits. (For more on the Chief Justice&rsquo;s assignment powers, see the trivia, below). <a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/8/1532" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Under the 1996 statute</a>, the Chief Justice <em>may</em> assign to the ATRC judges who are also serving on the FISA Court, but he doesn&rsquo;t have to (all five of the current ATRC judges are also FISA judges, but that hasn&rsquo;t always been true).</p>
<p>The Attorney General <a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/8/1535" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">can appeal</a> a judge&rsquo;s denial of an application under the statute, and either the Attorney General or the non-citizen at issue may appeal the decision of the judge after a removal hearing. Unlike the FISA process (where there&rsquo;s also a specialized appeals court&mdash;the FISA Court of Review), the 1996 statute gives the ordinary D.C. Circuit exclusive appellate jurisdiction over the ATRC.</p>
<p>I started with the judges and the appeals process because this is probably the most important point about the ATRC: The compromise it reflects is one in which the government&rsquo;s benefits involve the protection of classified information and the burden of proof (about which more shortly), but in which the costs sound almost entirely in <em>who</em> is reviewing these cases. (There are also some more pro-government rules respecting detention of the subject of the hearing both beforehand and afterwards, but the daylight between those rules and the rules in &ldquo;ordinary&rdquo; cases has shrunk quite a bit since 1996.) Unlike immigration judges housed within the Justice Department&rsquo;s Executive Office of Immigration Review (who are less and less independent by the day), the ATRC is staffed not just by Article III district judges, but (especially today) by those with experience handling the only comparable kind of litigation&mdash;classified applications and other proceedings brought under FISA.</p>
<p>The ATRC&rsquo;s Chief Judge, Judge Joan Ericksen (a senior judge on the District of Minnesota), made this abundantly clear in the order she publicly issued on Thursday. Here&rsquo;s the relevant text:</p>
<blockquote><p>On July 15, 2026, the United States filed an Application to the United States Alien Terrorist Removal Court pursuant to 8 U.S.C. &sect; 1531 et seq. to remove the respondent in the above-captioned matter from the United States. On July 16, 2026, the Court held a hearing as contemplated by &sect; 1533(c)(1), at which the Court heard attorney argument but no sworn testimony was taken. During the hearing the United States offered to supplement the record with information, and the Court had questions about the nexus that the government alleges between the actions of the respondent and the specific sections and subsections it invokes with respect to those actions. The answers persuaded the Court that the Government could benefit from the opportunity for more thoughtful consideration.</p></blockquote>
<p>In other words, the ATRC is not going to be a rubber stamp.</p>
<h3><strong>Constitutional Concerns with the ATRC</strong></h3>
<p>That said, it&rsquo;s also worth highlighting the constitutional concerns militating in the other direction, most of which were flagged (and carefully analyzed) in an <a href="https://scholarship.law.duke.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1366&amp;context=dlj" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">excellent 2008 student note in the <em>Duke Law Journal</em></a> by John Dorsett Niles. The biggest ones involve the evidence. If the cost to the government of the ATRC process is an Article III judge and a D.C. Circuit appeal, the benefit is the ability to rely entirely on evidence that will remain classified&mdash;and be presented in most cases only to the judge and only <em>in camera</em>.</p>
<p>If the judge, after considering the evidence on the record as a whole, finds that the government has met its burden (<em>i.e.</em>, that a preponderance of the evidence shows the non-citizen to be an &ldquo;alien terrorist,&rdquo; as that term is defined, rather broadly by <a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/8/1182#a_3" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">statute</a>), the judge shall order the alien removed and detained pending removal from the United States. If the alien was released pending the removal hearing, the judge shall order the Attorney General to take the alien into custody.</p>
<p>In other words, the statute authorizes the government to remove someone from the country based on evidence the person being removed never sees and doesn&rsquo;t meaningfully have an opportunity to contest. As Niles&rsquo;s note points out, this raises quite severe due process questions&mdash;<em>especially</em> for those non-citizens whose due process rights most closely approximate those of citizens, <em>i.e.</em>, lawful, permanent residents (LPRs, or &ldquo;Green Card&rdquo; holders).</p>
<p>Mindful of those concerns, Congress provided a special procedure for cases in which the subject of the proceeding is an LPR. Under <a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/8/1534" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">8 U.S.C. &sect; 1534(e)(3)(F)</a>, the court in such a case must appoint a &ldquo;special attorney to assist the alien,&rdquo; &ldquo;by reviewing in camera the classified information on behalf of the alien, and . . . by challenging through an in camera proceeding the veracity of the evidence contained in the classified information.&rdquo; In other words, an LPR is entitled to have a lawyer challenge the evidence being used against them, even if the lawyer can&rsquo;t actually consult with the subject of the proceeding. This approach is obviously not perfect, but it reflects at least a genuine attempt on Congress&rsquo;s part to balance the government&rsquo;s interest against that of the non-citizen.</p>
<p>At the other end of the spectrum from LPRs, for better or worse (my own view skews toward the latter), non-citizens with far weaker claims to comparable due process protections (including those who have never had lawful immigration status) can be removed from the country under this provision without ever being told why; other than the government, only the judge assigned to the case (and the D.C. Circuit if the judge&rsquo;s decision is challenged) would ever know the reasons. And in the middle, perhaps the hardest cases are those in which the subject is a non-citizen with substantial lawful connections to the United States, just not LPR status. Those individuals would have the strongest argument, in my view, that the statute fails to accord them the constitutionally required process&mdash;because they <em>don&rsquo;t</em> get the benefit of the &ldquo;special attorney&rdquo; even though they have substantial due process rights.</p>
<p>As Niles notes, the seriousness of these constitutional concerns is almost certainly a big part of <em>why</em>, across 30 years, the government had never previously utilized this procedure. And we have no way to know what it is that prompted the Trump administration to change course now. But it seems worth flagging three things that we <em>do</em> know&mdash;which ought to bear on both how big a story this is and how alarmed we should be by it.</p>
<h3><strong>What We Know and What to Watch For</strong></h3>
<p><strong><em>First</em></strong>, on its face, the statute contemplates a robust and meaningful role for the district judge&mdash;in lieu of the subject and their attorney in most cases. And Thursday&rsquo;s order by Chief Judge Ericksen is a promising sign that she, at least, takes that role seriously. Of course, a different judge could handle things differently &ndash; there is no track record yet, and it remains to be seen whether this case will be an outlier. Courts could do a lot, in this context, to mitigate the constitutional concerns by ensuring not only that the government is held to the statutory requirements in every particular, but that its evidence that the subject really <em>is </em>an &ldquo;alien terrorist&rdquo; is robust and substantial.</p>
<p><strong><em>Second</em></strong>, because of the meaningful (if secret) judicial review the statute contemplates, there is no universe in which the ATRC could become a vehicle for mass, summary deportations along the lines of what the Trump administration has already attempted&mdash;including through the <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/tag/alien-enemies-act/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Alien Enemies Act of 1798</a>. The ATRC is exactly what the executive branch-dominant process before immigration judges and the Board of Immigration Appeals is not&mdash;it&rsquo;s <em>insulated</em> from political pressure. However the ATRC&rsquo;s judges come out in individual cases, the substance and timing of the review the statute contemplates would be deeply antithetical to any attempt to use its procedures in a large number of cases at any one time. It&rsquo;s a scalpel, not a bazooka.</p>
<p><strong><em>Third</em></strong>, and militating in the other direction, the fact that the government had never previously <em>used</em> this process in the 30 years it&rsquo;s been on the books speaks to the discomfort that just about everyone who&rsquo;s ever looked carefully at the statute has come away with. Democratic legal systems abhor secret evidence&mdash;not just because of the grave fairness concerns it can create but because of the corrosive effects of having these kinds of decisions made out of the public eye, no matter how faithful to the relevant legal criteria they may be. The FISA process may <em>affect</em> a heck of a lot more people, but no one is being removed from the country based solely on a secret decision made by a FISA judge relying on secret and uncontested evidence.</p>
<p>Even in a world in which the five ATRC judges are doing their level best to put the government through its paces, and to look out for the interests of the non-citizen whose liberty is at issue, it is more than a little difficult to have faith in such a process&mdash;no matter <em>what</em> we think of the administration that&rsquo;s invoking it. All the more reason, in my view, for abolition of the ATRC&mdash;or, at the very least, substantial <em>reform</em>&mdash;to be added to the laundry list of lower court-directed measures that will be sorely needed the next time we have a Congress that cares. Until then, here&rsquo;s another envelope-pushing move by the Trump administration to which we&rsquo;ll have to pay close attention, and another example of Article III district judges serving as the principal and most meaningful check to hold the executive branch accountable.</p>
<h3><strong>Supreme Court Trivia: The Chief Justice&rsquo;s Assignment Power and the ATRC</strong></h3>
<p>One of the Chief Justice&rsquo;s more interesting statutory authorities is the power to &ldquo;assign&rdquo; (a verb that has intentionally different legal implications from &ldquo;appoint&rdquo;) already serving Article III judges (and justices) to temporary service on <em>other</em> courts. The ATRC is one of four distinct courts (or panels) staffed <em>entirely</em> by Chief Justice assignments; the FISA Court, the FISA Court of Review, and the Judicial Panel on Multidistrict Litigation are the other three. But the Chief Justice also has the (oft-used) authority to assign active and senior <a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/28/292" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">district</a> and <a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/28/291" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">circuit</a> judges (<a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/28/294" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">and retired justices</a>) to temporary service on <em>other</em> courts. (This practice is generally referred to as &ldquo;sitting by designation.&rdquo;)</p>
<p>Chief Justice Roberts&rsquo;s approach to these assignments has come under some fire in the past, including in a July 2013 <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2013/07/26/us/politics/robertss-picks-reshaping-secret-surveillance-court.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><em>New York Times</em> study by Charlie Savage</a> that raised questions about whether Roberts&rsquo;s assignments to the FISA Court had skewed toward judges appointed by Republican presidents to a meaningfully greater degree than the assignments made by his predecessors. I&rsquo;ll just say that, for all of the criticisms directed toward the Chief Justice these days, the current compositions of these courts reflect a pretty impressive cross-section of highly regarded judges appointed by presidents of both parties. There are plenty of problems with the ATRC (and the FISA Court, while I&rsquo;m at it). But in my view, the identity&mdash;and quality&mdash;of the judges is pretty far down the list.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/148285/the-alien-terrorist-removal-courts-first-case/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">The Alien Terrorist Removal Court&rsquo;s First Case</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-20T11:22:57+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Steve Vladeck</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-20T11:22:57+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="alien enemies act"/>

	<category term="article iii"/>

	<category term="civil liberties"/>

	<category term="courts &amp; litigation"/>

	<category term="d.c. circuit court of appeals"/>

	<category term="executive branch"/>

	<category term="featured articles"/>

	<category term="foreign intelligence surveillance act (fisa)"/>

	<category term="foreign intelligence surveillance court (fisc)"/>

	<category term="immigration"/>

	<category term="john roberts"/>

	<category term="judicial review"/>

	<category term="removal protections"/>

	<category term="rule of law"/>

	<category term="terrorism"/>

	<category term="terrorism &amp; violent extremism"/>

	<category term="trump administration second term"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-17:/293702</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/147642/trump-deportation-immigration-judges/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=trump-deportation-immigration-judges" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Key Trump Deportation Strategies: Removing, Replacing, and Pressuring Immigration Judges</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Many commentators have criticized the U.S. Supreme Court&rsquo;s June 29 ruling in Trump v. Slaughter for ...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p><span>Many </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/145132/lost-history-slaugther-cook-scotus/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>commentators</span></a><span> have </span><a href="https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/faithful-execution-and-the-removal-power" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>criticized</span></a><span> the U.S. Supreme Court&rsquo;s June 29 ruling in </span><a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-332_qn12.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Trump v. Slaughter</span></i></a><span> for dismantling protections that had historically insulated independent agencies from direct presidential control. The decision allows the president to remove principal officers in almost any federal agency at will. As critics had feared, within 10 days, President Donald Trump relied on the decision to </span><a href="https://www.votebeat.org/national/2026/07/09/trump-fires-election-assistance-commission-members-hicks-hovland-mccormick/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>remove</span></a><span> the three remaining members of the bipartisan </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146430/election-assistance-commission/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Election Assistance Commission</span></a><span>, including two Democrats who were dismissed and a Republican who was allowed to resign.</span></p>
<p><span>Although </span><i><span>Slaughter</span></i><span> may have emboldened the executive branch, the Trump administration had already begun exercising this type of unfettered executive control in another system: the U.S. immigration courts.</span></p>
<p><span>Since returning to office in January 2025, Trump&rsquo;s administration has </span><a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2026/04/era-of-amnesty-is-over-president-trump-restores-rule-of-law-to-immigration-courts/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>worked</span></a><span> to transform the immigration courts in pursuit of its </span><a href="https://rncplatform.donaldjtrump.com/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>deportation</span></a> <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2025/07/president-trump-has-kept-his-promises-and-then-some/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>objectives</span></a><span>. One of us, Meg Satterthwaite, as the United Nations Special Rapporteur on the independence of judges and lawyers, has received data and information demonstrating three interconnected strategies: the arbitrary removal of at least 130 immigration judges, the replacement of dismissed judges with newly recruited adjudicators dubbed &ldquo;deportation judges&rdquo; and with temporary judges drawn from the ranks of military lawyers, and the obstruction of meaningful, individualized adjudication by subjecting judges to threats of discipline and difficult working conditions if they don&rsquo;t contribute to the administration&rsquo;s deportation-heavy policy. Altogether, these strategies have created a climate of fear among judges akin to that familiar to peers in authoritarian judicial systems elsewhere in the world.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Patterns in other countries suggest these strategies &ndash; once they are carried out and refined &ndash; may be used far beyond the immigration courts, perhaps by adjudicators who handle veteran&rsquo;s benefits, patents, or other issues. Indeed, these changes appear to be part of an effort to transform the courts from an institution aiming to conduct individualized merits review of immigration cases to an enforcement agency carrying out the deportation policy of the executive branch. One of us, Satterthwaite, acting as Special Rapporteur, sent a formal communication, not yet public, to the U.S. government outlining these and other concerns under international human rights law.</span></p>
<h2><b>Unique Structure of U.S. Immigration Courts</b></h2>
<p><span>Immigration judges decide cases involving some of the most consequential issues, including whether a person should be protected from being returned to a country where they would be at risk of persecution, torture or other irreparable harm. The structure and independence of the courts in which these judges serve therefore matters a great deal.</span></p>
<p><span>Yet, unlike ordinary federal and state courts, U.S. immigration courts are housed not under the judicial branch but rather in the executive branch. The immigration courts are two tiered: trial-level courts and the Board of Immigration Appeals (BIA). Together, they are managed by an agency within the Department of Justice (DOJ) called the Executive Office for Immigration Review (EOIR).&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The Trump administration was able to reshape this system so rapidly and extensively because the system&rsquo;s design leaves immigration adjudication vulnerable to undue influence by the executive branch. U.S. immigration courts are largely creatures of federal regulation. To be clear, immigration judges are </span><a href="https://uscode.house.gov/view.xhtml?req=granuleid:USC-prelim-title8-section1229a&amp;num=0&amp;edition=prelim" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>authorized</span></a><span> by statute to &ldquo;conduct proceedings for deciding the inadmissibility or deportability of an alien.&rdquo; Federal statute also </span><a href="https://uscode.house.gov/view.xhtml?req=granuleid:USC-prelim-title8-section1103&amp;num=0&amp;edition=prelim" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>provides</span></a><span> the Attorney General (AG) broad authority to implement the Immigration and Nationality Act. However, it is under that authority where the AG and DOJ promulgated the principal regulations governing immigration judges and the BIA &ndash; </span><i><span>e.g.</span></i><span>, 8 C.F.R. &sect;&sect; 1003.1, 1003.9, 1003.10.</span></p>
<p><span>This legal framework, composed of federal regulations, gives the AG immense authority over the courts. After all, the AG and DOJ can add, delete, and modify federal regulations. Currently, the AG appoints </span><a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/cfr/text/8/1003.10" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>immigration judges</span></a><span> directly, decides whether probationary judges receive permanent appointments, and appoints key </span><a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/cfr/text/8/1003.0" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>EOIR</span></a><span> and </span><a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/cfr/text/8/1003.9" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>court leadership</span></a><span> either directly or indirectly. That leadership heavily influences or controls judges&rsquo; dockets, conducts judges&rsquo; training, and evaluates judges&rsquo; performance. Immigration judges therefore operate within a rigid hierarchy in the executive branch that controls many of the conditions under which they adjudicate.</span></p>
<p><span>The same design also places both prosecution and adjudication within the executive branch. Attorneys from the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) prosecute deportation cases, while immigration judges employed by the DOJ decide them. The executive branch, therefore, brings the case </span><i><span>and </span></i><span>controls the institution that adjudicates it.</span></p>
<p><span>Until recently, however, immigration judges enjoyed an important, albeit imperfect, level of civil service protection, allowing them to make principled, &ldquo;independent&rdquo; decisions in politicized environments, as federal regulations have </span><a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/cfr/text/8/1003.10" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>required</span></a><span>. Permanent immigration judges traditionally could be removed only &ldquo;for such cause as will promote the efficiency of the service.&rdquo;</span></p>
<p><span>The Trump administration substantially weakened the practical force of that protection by </span><a href="https://news.bloomberglaw.com/daily-labor-report/trump-avoids-supreme-court-review-of-merit-board-member-firing" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>removing</span></a><span> the sole Democratic member of the U.S. Merit Systems Protection Board, the agency responsible for adjudicating federal employment disputes. The Board later ruled in </span><a href="https://www.mspb.gov/decisions/precedential/Consolidation_Jackler_and_Jaroch_CF-0752-26-0069-I-1__O&amp;O.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Jackler and Jaroch Consolidation v. Department of Justice</span></i></a><span> that the Trump administration could remove immigration judges at will. (And one day after the </span><i><span>Slaughter </span></i><span>decision, the Supreme Court denied that Democratic Board member&rsquo;s petition for review.)</span></p>
<h2><b>Removing Immigration Judges</b></h2>
<p><span>With this built-in ability to influence the U.S. immigration court system, the Trump administration began making significant personnel changes from the very beginning of its second term, primarily removing &ndash; arbitrarily &ndash; immigration judges and EOIR leadership.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Data received by this Special Rapporteur provide a timeline illustrating the speed and scale of these personnel changes:</span></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1"><span>On the day of Trump&rsquo;s second inauguration, four senior career officials at the EOIR were </span><a href="https://spcommreports.ohchr.org/TMResultsBase/DownLoadPublicCommunicationFile?gId=29735" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>summarily dismissed</span></a><span>. They included the chief immigration judge, EOIR&rsquo;s acting director, its general counsel, and its head of policy.</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>In February 2025, 32 immigration judges, including seven assistant chief immigration judges (ACIJs) and nine appellate immigration judges (who sat on the BIA), were reportedly terminated.&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>In April 2025, eight immigration judges were reportedly terminated, all of whom were part of a cohort of immigration judges hired in April 2023. They were reportedly terminated just before completing their probationary periods.&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>In May 2025, one immigration judge was reportedly terminated.&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>In June 2025, one ACIJ was reportedly terminated.&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>In July 2025, 22 immigration judges, including two ACIJs, were reportedly terminated, 17 of whom were part of the July 2023 cohort of immigration judges. The 17 judges were reportedly terminated just before completing their probationary periods.&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>In August 2025, three immigration judges were reportedly terminated.&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>In September 2025, 26 immigration judges were reportedly terminated, one of whom was an ACIJ.&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>In November 2025, eight immigration judges were reportedly terminated.&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>In December 2025, 12 immigration judges were reportedly terminated, two of whom were ACIJs.&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>In January 2026, one immigration judge was reportedly terminated.&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>In February 2026, one immigration judge was reportedly terminated.&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>In April 2026, six immigration judges were reportedly terminated.&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>In May 2026, five immigration judges were reportedly terminated.</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>In June 2026, three immigration judges were reportedly terminated.</span></li>
</ul>
<h2><b>Connecting the Data Dots</b></h2>
<p><span>In total, the data show that, between January 2025 and June 2026, the administration terminated arbitrarily at least 130 immigration judges, consisting of at least 108 trial-level immigration judges, 13 ACIJs, and nine appellate immigration judges. Separately, at least 43 immigration judges and three ACIJs entered the administration&rsquo;s deferred-resignation program (familiar as the &ldquo;</span><a href="https://www.npr.org/2025/09/30/nx-s1-5545715/federal-employees-fork-deferred-resignation-trump" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Fork in the Road</span></a><span>&rdquo; offer by the Department of Government Efficiency &ndash; DOGE). For context, at least 721 immigration judges were </span><a href="https://ny1.com/nyc/all-boroughs/news/2025/10/28/data-indicates-close-to-20--drop-in-nyc-immigration-judges-since-trump-administration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>serving</span></a><span> on the bench the day before Trump took office.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Fired judges generally received an afternoon Friday email stating &ldquo;pursuant to Article II of the Constitution, the Attorney General has decided to remove you from your position as an excepted service Immigration Judge with the United States Department of Justice, Executive Office for Immigration Review.&rdquo; According to testimonies this Special Rapporteur&rsquo;s office collected, the letters gave no individualized explanation and identified no finding of misconduct or deficient performance.</span></p>
<p><span>This U.N. Special Rapporteur&rsquo;s office was able to confirm at least four trends in these removals.&nbsp;</span></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1"><span>Immigration judges with asylum grant rates above the national average and/or above their specific court&rsquo;s average were disproportionately removed. Among the 78 removed probationary and permanent judges for whom there is publicly available asylum data, 68 percent had grant rates exceeding both the national and their specific court&rsquo;s averages. Furthermore, 83 percent of these judges surpassed at least one of those benchmark averages.&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>Judges with professional experience in immigrant defense, legal aid, or humanitarian advocacy were disproportionately removed.&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>Judges appointed by the previous administration were disproportionately affected.</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>Probationary judges were dismissed in significant numbers shortly before completing their probationary periods.</span></li>
</ul>
<p><span>Judges hired in the April and July 2023 cohorts particularly illustrate how these patterns intersected. Of the 53 judges appointed in those two cohorts, 26 were terminated. Asylum data was available for 24 of the terminated judges: 14 had grant rates above both the national average and their own court&rsquo;s average, while 18 exceeded at least one of those benchmarks. By contrast, among the 20 judges from the same cohorts who remained on the bench, 15 had grant rates below both benchmarks.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The professional background trend followed a similar pattern: 16 of the 26 terminated judges had prior experience in immigrant defense, legal aid, or pro bono advocacy. In contrast, of the 20 judges who remain on the bench, only seven judges have immigrant defense backgrounds. Most of these seven judges had either higher than average asylum denial rates or had other DHS or prosecutorial experience. Because all members of these cohorts were appointed by the previous administration and many were removed shortly before the end of probation, the data also reinforces the apparent concentration of removals among prior-administration appointees and probationary judges.</span></p>
<p><span>The number of terminations varied by the states where the immigration judges were located, according to the data. California and New York had the highest numbers of removals: more than 30 and 20 terminations, respectively. At least 10 judges were removed in each of the states of Massachusetts and Texas. This reduction correlated with several immigration courts ceasing operations. For example, the San Francisco Immigration Court, which previously had 21 judges, has been completely </span><a href="https://www.npr.org/2026/06/10/g-s1-126345/san-franciso-court-immigration-closure-asylum-layoffs" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>shut down</span><span>. Furthermore,</span></a><span> two immigration courts (Oakdale, Louisiana, and Aurora, Illinois) </span><a href="https://www.npr.org/2026/02/23/g-s1-110911/trump-immigration-judges-dismissals-numbers" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>no longer have full-time judges</span></a><span>, and 12 immigration courts across nine states have lost more than half of their immigration judges.&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><b>Recruiting &ldquo;Deportation Judges&rdquo;</b></h2>
<p><span>The data suggest that the administration&rsquo;s objective with its overhaul was not merely to remove sitting judges. It appears to have been aimed at reshaping and capturing the courts by recruiting replacements willing to carry out its deportation agenda.</span></p>
<p><span>In November 2025, after terminating more than 80 adjudicators without meaningful explanation, the DOJ and DHS launched a new recruitment campaign. Rather than using the statutory title &ldquo;immigration judge,&rdquo; the campaign invites candidates to apply to be &ldquo;</span><a href="https://join.justice.gov/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>a deportation judge</span></a><span>.&rdquo; The campaign advertises bonus incentives of as much as 25 percent of base pay for positions in specific cities. The campaign appears to have produced substantial hiring: in May 2026, the DOJ </span><a href="https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/eoir-announces-77-immigration-judges-and-5-temporary-immigration-judges" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>announced</span></a><span> the swearing-in of at least 77 new immigration judges.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The administration also is seeking to fill vacancies with military lawyers. In August 2025, the Department of Defense </span><a href="https://www.nycbar.org/reports/condemning-the-use-of-military-lawyers-as-temporary-immigration-judges/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>authorized</span></a><span> up to 600 military lawyers to serve renewable six-month terms as temporary immigration judges, </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146560/involuntarily-mobilize-military-lawyers-wrong/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>reportedly</span></a><span> including through involuntary mobilization.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>This Special Rapporteur&rsquo;s office also received information that suggested the training for these judges is substantially problematic. One whistleblower&rsquo;s testimony we received a copy of that had been given to Congress said that &ldquo;military members [who] are being assigned to this program [receive] completely inadequate and highly biased training, being told to adjudicate cases in a manner that is not consistent with the law, and threatened with removal if they do not achieve the Trump Administration&rsquo;s stated goal of denying asylum or other relief in almost all cases.&rdquo;</span></p>
<p><span>The whistleblower also described several instances in which executive branch officials allegedly stated that they were &ldquo;watching new judges very carefully&rdquo; and warned that judges who failed to meet &ldquo;expectations&rdquo; would likely be &ldquo;bid farewell.&rdquo; The training also reportedly emphasizes how rarely asylum should be granted, suggesting that relief should be reserved for cases such as &ldquo;Alexei Navalny&rdquo; or &ldquo;[m]aybe if you were Jewish and escaping Nazi Germany in 1943.&rdquo;</span></p>
<h2><b>Pressure on Judges</b></h2>
<p><span>Although federal regulations </span><a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/cfr/text/8/1003.10" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>require</span></a><span> immigration judges to exercise &ldquo;independent judgment and discretion,&rdquo; EOIR leadership and the Trump administration have sought to pressure judges to move cases faster and limit individualized review, practices that favor deportations.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>EOIR leadership, for instance, have issued more than 50 </span><a href="https://www.justice.gov/eoir/policy-manual-eoir/part-V/memoranda/pm" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>policy memoranda</span></a><span> addressing judicial conduct, performance, and case management. Several such memoranda warned that judges could face scrutiny or discipline because of their adjudicative records, case management decisions, or perceived &ldquo;bias&rdquo; against DHS. </span><a href="https://www.justice.gov/eoir/media/1404956/dl?inline" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Policy Memorandum 25-33</span></a><span>, for example, stated that judges who showed &ldquo;bias or hostility&rdquo; toward a party, particularly DHS, could face corrective or disciplinary action or &ldquo;should consider transitioning to alternate career paths.&rdquo;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>EOIR leadership also issued procedural guidance that urged judges to resolve removal cases more quickly. One guidance </span><a href="https://www.justice.gov/eoir/media/1396411/dl?inline=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>encouraged</span></a><span> judges to reject incomplete asylum applications without a full hearing rather than allowing applicants an opportunity to cure the deficiencies, as judges were free to do before. Some judges also received instructions to issue removal orders </span><i><span>in absentia</span></i><span> when respondents failed to appear. Both such orders effectively close cases early before a full hearing on the merits, allowing DHS to otherwise deport the foreign national. Because the EOIR issued these communications during a period of widespread unexplained removals, many judges viewed them as messages to increase both the pace of cases and deportation orders.</span></p>
<p><span>Reports also show expanded use of &ldquo;mega&rdquo; master calendar hearings. In such a hearing, a judge could be required to hear 60 to 100 respondents in a single half-day session, even if they do not have legal representation. One recent study </span><a href="https://www.mobilepathways.org/post/mega-masters-tracking-a-system-under-strain" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>found</span></a><span> that the number of these hearings scheduled in May, for example, grew more than tenfold since 2020, from 51 to 544. It also found that, between January and May 2026, the number of sessions per month rose from 466 to 570, which had a corresponding increase in the number of respondents from about 37,300 to nearly 50,000, a 34 percent increase in five months. Many groups have argued that such a practice could </span><a href="https://nipnlg.org/news/press-releases/national-immigration-project-condemns-mega-master-hearings-mass-deportation" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>increase</span></a><span> the number of </span><i><span>in absentia </span></i><span>cases, thereby facilitating the administration&rsquo;s </span><a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2025/07/president-trump-has-kept-his-promises-and-then-some/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>goal</span></a><span> of mass deportations.</span></p>
<p><span>Information we received also indicates obstructions to judges&rsquo; control over scheduling. In some courts, the computer system blocked staff from setting hearings more than six months in advance. This restriction limited judges&rsquo; ability to grant continuances to give the immigrants before them appropriate time needed to secure counsel, collect evidence, or otherwise ensure a fair hearing. International standards </span><a href="https://www.ohchr.org/en/instruments-mechanisms/instruments/basic-principles-independence-judiciary" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>recognize</span></a><span> that judicial administration should be under judicial control, since changes to court procedures can substantially impact cases and their outcomes.</span></p>
<p><span>Altogether, these measures promote rapid case closure that ends in deportation while constraining the careful, individualized adjudication that removal proceedings and international law require.&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><b>The Need for Reform</b></h2>
<p><span>Through all these measures, the Trump administration has severely weakened and effectively captured the U.S. immigration court system. It replaced EOIR leadership and at least130 immigration judges, depleted courts across the country, recruited replacements that it is dubbing &ldquo;deportation judges,&rdquo; and assigned military lawyers to short, renewable terms. The Trump administration also is seeking to obstruct individualized adjudication of cases through threats of disciplinary action for alleged &ldquo;bias,&rdquo; and through guidance, instructions, or working conditions that lead to pretermission of cases or </span><i><span>in absentia </span></i><span>deportation orders.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>These measures are symptoms of a deeper structural failure. They expose the U.S. immigration court system&rsquo;s lack of institutional independence and leave judges vulnerable to political pressure from the same executive branch that prosecutes deportation cases. The United States must fundamentally redesign a court structure capable of delivering competent, independent, and impartial adjudication.</span></p>
<p><span>The administration&rsquo;s successful capture of the immigration court system should stand as a grave warning. According to a 2018 study, the United States </span><a href="https://georgialawreview.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Kent-Barnett-Russell-Wheeler-Non-ALJ-Adjudicators-in-Federal-Agencies-Status-Selection-Oversight-and-Removal-53-Georgia-Law-Review-1-2019.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>has</span></a><span> more than 1,931 administrative law judges (&ldquo;ALJ&rdquo;) and 10,831 non-ALJ adjudicators in federal agencies. These adjudicators decide consequential matters involving veterans&rsquo; benefits, patents, labor rights, and other interests that profoundly affect individual lives. This is not to mention the </span><a href="https://www.uscourts.gov/data-news/reports/annual-reports/directors-annual-report/annual-report-2023/federal-bench-annual-report-2023" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>860+</span></a><span> district, appellate, and other federal judges who serve under Article III of the Constitution. Although Article III judges are protected by life tenure and salary protections, even they rely on the executive branch for security, building administration, and more.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Two lessons follow from the capture of the immigration courts. First, the United States must examine whether every federal adjudicatory system contains safeguards strong enough to withstand determined political interference. This includes ensuring that Article III judges themselves control their own security and infrastructure. A good place to start would be to consider passing legislation such as the </span><a href="https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3607/all-actions" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>MARSHALS Act</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Second, Congress must address the immigration courts&rsquo; deeply flawed regulatory structure. Exercising its constitutional authority, Congress should legislate to establish an immigration court system that possesses genuine institutional independence and can provide impartial, individualized adjudication. There are multiple possible avenues forward; some scholars have </span><a href="https://www.researchgate.net/publication/228196522_Restructuring_Immigration_Adjudication" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>argued</span></a><span> for Article III courts dedicated to handling immigration cases. Others, such as the </span><a href="https://www.naij-usa.org/images/uploads/newsroom/Article_1_-_NAIJ_summary-of-salient-facts-and-arguments_2.20.2021.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>National Association of Immigration Judges</span></a><span> and </span><a href="https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7836/text" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>some lawmakers</span></a><span>, have called for creation of immigration courts under Congress&rsquo; Article I authorities with greater guarantees of independence.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/147642/trump-deportation-immigration-judges/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Key Trump Deportation Strategies: Removing, Replacing, and Pressuring Immigration Judges</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-17T13:32:44+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Meg Satterthwaite</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-17T13:32:44+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="administrative law"/>

	<category term="asylum"/>

	<category term="attorney general"/>

	<category term="board of immigration appeals (bia)"/>

	<category term="civil liberties"/>

	<category term="courts &amp; litigation"/>

	<category term="democracy &amp; rule of law"/>

	<category term="democratic backsliding &amp; solutions"/>

	<category term="department of defense (dod)"/>

	<category term="department of homeland security (dhs)"/>

	<category term="department of justice (doj)"/>

	<category term="executive branch"/>

	<category term="human rights"/>

	<category term="immigration"/>

	<category term="immigration and customs enforcement (ice)"/>

	<category term="immigration detention"/>

	<category term="in absentia"/>

	<category term="international human rights law"/>

	<category term="international human rights law (ihrl)"/>

	<category term="international law"/>

	<category term="rule of law"/>

	<category term="special rapporteur"/>

	<category term="trump administration second term"/>

	<category term="united nations"/>

	<category term="united nations (un)"/>

	<category term="whistleblowing"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-17:/293675</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/147662/congress-end-iran-war/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=congress-end-iran-war" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">How Congress Can End Trump’s Iran War and Prevent the Next One</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>In June, the Senate joined the House in voting for a concurrent resolution under the 1973 War Powers...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p><span>In June, the Senate joined the House in voting for a concurrent resolution under the 1973 War Powers Resolution directing President Donald Trump to remove U.S. armed forces from hostilities against Iran. The passage of House Concurrent Resolution 86 (</span><a href="https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-concurrent-resolution/86" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>H. Con. Res. 86</span></a><span>) by both chambers marked the first time that the legislature had successfully used this mechanism designed to halt unauthorized use of military force by the president.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Notwithstanding this historic directive by Congress, Trump refused to remove U.S. forces from hostilities. Instead, he has announced a fragile ceasefire to be &ldquo;over,&rdquo; reinstated a naval blockade, and </span><a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c151gdjwd10o" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>resumed bombing</span></a><span> Iran&mdash;continuing a war that one of us previously characterized as already &ldquo;</span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/137669/60-day-mark-iran-war-triply-illegal/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>triply illegal</span></a><span>.&rdquo; This unnecessary conflict has been a massive strategic blunder with tragic human consequences. Trump&rsquo;s </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/114556/collection-israel-iran-conflict/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Iran war</span></a><span> has thrown the region into disarray, perhaps eroding irrevocably freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz (possibly setting a pernicious precedent for other straits), causing disastrous economic ripple effects, and necessitating a deferral of nuclear negotiations in favor of prioritizing ending the conflict Trump began.</span></p>
<p><span>In ramping up hostilities without congressional authorization, the Trump administration seems to be relying on a theory that recent U.S. strikes constitute distinct &ldquo;hostilities&rdquo; from the bombing that began in February and thus are </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/137977/iran-hostilities-war-powers-restart-clock/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>not subject to the same 60-day clock</span></a><span> under the War Powers Resolution that requires termination of hostilities unless authorized by Congress. In short, the administration is suggesting this is a new war. This attempted end-run around the statute&rsquo;s requirements constitute what one of us has termed the &ldquo;salami-slicing&rdquo; approach &ndash; an interpretation previously relied on by administrations of both parties.</span></p>
<p><span>Trump&rsquo;s defiance of the people&rsquo;s representatives compounds his disregard for the constitutional and statutory constraints on the use of force and underscores the need for Congress to take firmer action&mdash;both to end the current war with Iran and prevent any U.S. president from launching the United States into a similar conflict in the future. Among other tools explained in this article, Congress needs to deploy the ultimate war power&mdash;the power of the purse&mdash;both to prohibit funding for any further hostilities with Iran and in structural reform legislation to bar funding for any other unauthorized, offensive hostilities.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><b>Why H. Con. Res. 86 Makes Plain the President Is Acting at the &ldquo;Lowest Ebb&rdquo; of His Authority</b></h2>
<p><span>Passage of H. Con. Res. 86 was possible because of procedures Congress codified in the </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/tag/war-powers-resolution/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>War Powers Resolution</span></a><span> allowing it to terminate unauthorized presidential uses of force, but those procedures are just one part of a statutory framework intended to police the slippery slopes that can lead to war. Enacted in 1973 over President Richard Nixon&rsquo;s veto, and in the context of an unauthorized bombing campaign in Cambodia (Operation Freedom Deal), the War Powers Resolution sought to restore the constitutional balance with respect to the use of military force by constraining unilateral military action by the president and forcing transparency. Consistent with an understanding of the Constitution in which the president&rsquo;s unilateral authority to use military force was limited to repelling sudden attacks, Congress specified in the War Powers Resolution that in the absence of congressional authorization, the president may only unilaterally introduce U.S. armed forces into hostilities in response to a &ldquo;national emergency created by attack upon the United States, its territories or possessions, or its armed forces.&rdquo;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>One means of restricting presidential unilateralism was a mechanism in the War Powers Resolution to allow members in either chamber to force a vote on a concurrent resolution requiring the president to remove U.S. armed forces from hostilities that had not been authorized by Congress. As a concurrent resolution, such a measure would not be presented to the president for his signature or veto &ndash; that is, it did not follow the procedures in the Presentment Clause of the Constitution.</span></p>
<p><span>Even prior to the enactment of the War Powers Resolution, there was </span><a href="https://www.fordlibrarymuseum.gov/sites/default/files/pdf_documents/library/document/0019/4520942.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>debate</span></a><span> in Congress on whether such a concurrent resolution would have the binding effect of law. Once the War Powers Resolution became law, the executive branch consistently objected to the provision as unconstitutional.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>In 1983, the Supreme Court &ndash; in a </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/133926/congress-war-power-give-back/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>separate context</span></a><span> &ndash; held that legislative vetoes were unconstitutional. The case, </span><i><span>INS v. Chadha</span></i><span>, is widely viewed as casting the WPR&rsquo;s concurrent resolution mechanism into further constitutional doubt. In response to </span><i><span>Chadha</span></i><span>, Congress amended the War Powers Resolution to provide for expedited procedures in the Senate (but not the House) for voting on a joint resolution&mdash;which would be presented to the president for signature, and is in turn also subject to presidential veto. As Professor Michael Glennon has </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/133926/congress-war-power-give-back/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>argued</span></a><span>, the Court could limit </span><i><span>Chadha </span></i><span>to its facts, or at least distinguish contexts like the War Powers Resolution in which Congress is exercising its own express constitutional authority (as one </span><a href="https://tile.loc.gov/storage-services/service/ll/usrep/usrep462/usrep462919/usrep462919.pdf#page=41" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>concurrence</span></a><span> in </span><i><span>Chadha</span></i><span> would have done). But the Court seems unlikely to do so in the near term.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Regardless of the status of the concurrent resolution after </span><i><span>Chadha</span></i><span>, H. Con. Res. 86 is a legally significant development. Having been approved by both houses, Congress as a body has now clearly expressed its opposition to Trump&rsquo;s war with Iran and directed its termination. Trump&mdash;acting in defiance of this clear congressional directive, is thus at his &ldquo;lowest ebb&rdquo; in Justice Robert Jackson&rsquo;s scheme of executive power in his </span><a href="https://scholar.google.com/scholar_case?case=14460863599772421355&amp;q=youngstown+sheet+%26+tube+co+v+sawyer&amp;hl=en&amp;as_sdt=2006" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Youngstown Sheet and Tube Co. v. Sawyer</span></i></a> <span>concurrence.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>To explain, in that opinion, which has become the dominant framework the judiciary uses in disputes regarding claimed executive authority, Jackson defined three categories of presidential power:&nbsp;</span></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1"><span>First, when the president is acting &ldquo;pursuant to an express or implied authorization from Congress,&rdquo; which makes presidential authority the strongest &ldquo;for it includes all that he possesses in his own right plus all that Congress can delegate;&rdquo;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>Second, the zone in which Congress has neither granted or denied authority and the president &ldquo;can only rely upon his own independent powers;&rdquo;&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>Third, when &ldquo;the </span><span>President takes measures incompatible with the expressed or implied will of Congress</span><span>.&rdquo; It is this third category in which presidential power &ldquo;is at its lowest ebb,&rdquo; because the president is relying on only his own constitutional authority &ldquo;</span><i><span>minus</span></i><span> any constitutional powers of Congress over the matter&rdquo; (emphasis added).&nbsp;</span></li>
</ul>
<p><span>The text of the War Powers Resolution itself should make plain that the president is already acting in a way that is &ldquo;incompatible with the expressed or implied will of Congress&rdquo; with his war in Iran. If there were any doubt, H. Con. Res. 86 removes it: by continuing the Iran war, the president is acting </span><i><span>against</span></i><span> the express &ldquo;will of Congress.&rdquo;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>In the </span><i><span>Youngstown</span></i><span> framework, we must then subtract Congress&rsquo;s substantial constitutional authority over war powers from any authority the president has independently. In the context of the Iran war, which is not even in legitimate self-defense let alone necessary to repel a sudden attack, it is clear that the president simply does not have </span><i><span>independent</span></i><span> authority in Article II on which to act (that is, whatever concurrent or even unilateral authority he may have to repel sudden attacks, or perhaps rescue U.S. nationals in peril or the like, it is not implicated here). From that baseline, Congress&rsquo;s considerable war powers, specifically enumerated in Article I, must be subtracted, putting Trump&rsquo;s executive authority in this case in the realm of negative numbers.</span></p>
<p><span>In sum, Trump, acting at his &ldquo;lowest ebb,&rdquo; is waging his war on Iran not only in violation of the Constitution and the United Nations Charter, but against the express will of the people&rsquo;s elected representatives in violation of the </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/137669/60-day-mark-iran-war-triply-illegal/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>War Powers Resolution</span></a><span> itself (the 60-day termination clock having long since run out) and H. Con. Res. 86.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><b>Reasserting Congress&rsquo;s Constitutional Prerogatives</b></h2>
<p><span>Although the vote on H. Con. Res. 86 was both historically and legally significant, it did not stop Trump from continuing his unauthorized war with Iran. To practically constrain his military adventurism, Congress will need to resort to other tools&mdash;in particular the power of the purse.</span></p>
<h3><b><i>Immediate Action: A Funding Prohibition</i></b></h3>
<p><span>Senators opposed to Trump&rsquo;s war on Iran succeeded in blocking a floor vote on the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/14/us/politics/senate-democrats-defense-bill.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>National Defense Authorization Act</span></a><span>. This congressional show of resolve is a laudable step to reinforce the message sent by the recent concurrent war powers resolution. There are other actions Congress should take as well.</span></p>
<p><span>In the near term, Congress should also include a funding prohibition on further unauthorized hostilities with Iran in any available legislation, including the supplemental appropriation the Trump administration </span><a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/24/iran-war-supplemental-trump-congress.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>requested</span></a><span> in connection with the Iran War.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The enactment of similar </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/133361/iran-war-powers-purse-leverage-legalization/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>funding prohibitions</span></a><span> beginning in 1973 were the mechanism by which Congress ultimately forced the Nixon administration to end its bombing campaign in Cambodia. With respect to a funding prohibition, it is noteworthy that the chair of the Senate Appropriations Committee, Susan Collins (R-ME), is up for re-election and may find herself under increased pressure to further oppose the president&rsquo;s unpopular war.&nbsp;</span></p>
<h3><b><i>Ongoing Action: Oversight, Transparency, and Public Attention</i></b></h3>
<p><span>Congress should also use all of the tools at its disposal to ensure the American people understand the costs of this war, to force transparency, and to hold administration officials accountable for the war and its consequences. This crucial oversight and legislative work should be done in a bipartisan manner whenever possible &ndash; the fundamental issue is vindicating Art. I prerogatives and reining in an errant executive engaging in unauthorized war. These are priorities that ought to be advanced by members of both political parties regardless of who is in the Oval Office. The vote on H. Con. Res. 86, and the upcoming midterm elections, could make at least some further bipartisan action possible.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>That said, members of Congress should act in as broad-based and coordinated a manner as possible even if they are only able to use the tools available to the </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/109454/congress-minority-toolbox/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>minority</span></a><span>. Members can, for example, so long as the unauthorized war continues: object to unanimous consent for legislation, resolutions, and nominees; place holds on bills and nominees; use the filibuster on the Senate floor; move to adjourn hearings; and invoke the &ldquo;</span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/109454/congress-minority-toolbox/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>two-hour rule</span></a><span>.&rdquo;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Members can also make requests for information from administration officials and agencies. Even if those go unanswered, they create a useful record of the information the Congress and the public will eventually need to ensure accountability. Shadow hearings can also be useful toward these ends, even if they are not as well publicized as formal committee hearings would be.</span></p>
<p><span>Of course, all of these actions are far more effective if they are coordinated and consistently tied to the demand that unauthorized hostilities be ended.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>In addition, members in both chambers can use the microphones that come with holding elected office to continue making the war&rsquo;s costs apparent to the American people. They can host town halls with their constituents, hold press conferences, and work with civil society groups in their jurisdictions and beyond to amplify a steady drumbeat of voices in opposition to unauthorized war.</span></p>
<h3><b><i>Future Action: Laying the Groundwork for Structural War Powers Reform</i></b></h3>
<p><span>More fundamentally, Trump&rsquo;s disastrous war on Iran underscores the need for structural reform to prevent this or any future president from unilaterally embarking on a similar military misadventure. Structural reform will entail an overhaul of the 1973 War Powers Resolution to close loopholes and give the law sharper teeth.</span></p>
<p><span>Fortunately, viable structural reform proposals already exist, having been introduced on a bipartisan basis in both chambers during the Biden administration. These bills are the </span><a href="https://www.murphy.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/National%20Security%20Powers%20Act%202021.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>National Security Powers Act in the Senate</span></a><span>, introduced by Senators Chris Murphy (D-CT), Mike Lee (R-UT) and Bernie Sanders (I-VT), and title I of the </span><a href="https://mcgovern.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=398752" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>National Security Reform and Accountability Act</span></a><span>, introduced in the House in 2021 and 2022 by Rep. Jim McGovern (D-MA) with bipartisan support.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>These bills substantially rewrite the War Powers Resolution. Though they have a few salient differences &ndash; and both are in need of some updating to take account of lessons learned in the second Trump administration&rsquo;s spate of </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/120753/collection-u-s-lethal-strikes-on-suspected-drug-traffickers/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>unauthorized</span></a> <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/114556/collection-israel-iran-conflict/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>wars</span></a><span> &ndash; they are essentially companion bills that share many features.&nbsp;</span></p>
<h4><strong><em>Funding cut-offs for stronger enforcement</em></strong></h4>
<p><span>First, these bills would bar funding for any non-defensive hostilities undertaken without congressional authorization. As one of us </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/77533/a-giant-step-forward-for-war-powers-reform/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>wrote</span></a><span> with Steve Pomper when the NSPA was first introduced in 2021, the automatic funds cut-off in these bills would go a long way toward remedying the current structural imbalance between the branches:</span></p>
<blockquote><p><span>This turns the Constitution&rsquo;s intended balance of powers on its head: &ldquo;instead of a majority of Congress having the power to authorize the President to initiate the use of force, a </span><a href="https://rules.house.gov/sites/democrats.rules.house.gov/files/HHRG-117-RU00-WState-BridgemanT-20210323.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>supermajority is required</span></a><span> to stop the President from doing so.&rdquo;</span></p>
<p><span>The NSPA rights this balance by including an automatic funds cut-off (section 108) for any activities by United States forces that do not comply with its terms. It links the enforcement mechanism to another core congressional power &mdash; the power of the purse &mdash; and does not require a vote, let alone a supermajority in both houses, to take effect. And a funding cut-off &ldquo;has the </span><a href="https://www.congress.gov/117/meeting/house/111374/witnesses/HHRG-117-RU00-Wstate-BridgemanT-20210323.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>added benefit</span></a><span> of being backed by the </span><a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/31/1341" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Anti-Deficiency Act</span></a><span>, which makes it illegal to &lsquo;make or authorize an expenditure or obligation exceeding an amount&rsquo; appropriated or funded for a specified purpose.&rdquo;</span></p></blockquote>
<h4><strong><em>Defining key terms</em></strong></h4>
<p><span>Second, both bills include definitions for key terms that were undefined in the text of the 1973 War Powers Resolution. Though legislative history should make clear that the executive&rsquo;s interpretations of these terms have been unduly self-serving (removing the statute&rsquo;s constraints on the president at the expense of Congress&rsquo;s authority), nailing down definitions of terms such as &ldquo;hostilities&rdquo; and making clear what it means to &ldquo;introduce&rdquo; U.S. armed forces into hostilities are needed reforms to overcome the </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/77533/a-giant-step-forward-for-war-powers-reform/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>statutory gymnastics</span></a><span> the executive has played across administrations since 1975.&nbsp;</span></p>
<h4><strong><em>Leaving intact necessary unilateral defense action but safeguarding against abuse</em></strong></h4>
<p><span>As former executive branch lawyers, we are aware that the president will sometimes need to use force in self-defense to repel an actual attack, or perhaps to rescue U.S. nationals from situations in which they face a concrete threat of imminent attack. These war powers reform bills </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/77533/a-giant-step-forward-for-war-powers-reform/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>recognize</span></a><span> and leave intact the ability to act in real emergency situations, but &ldquo;</span><span>without allowing the use of truly defensive force&hellip; to turn into long-term entanglements or merge into other missions absent congressional involvement.&rdquo;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Specifically, the </span><a href="https://mcgovern.house.gov/uploadedfiles/mcgove_017_xml.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>NSRAA</span></a><span> allows for short-term, defensive, unilateral military action by the president &ldquo;when necessary to repel a sudden attack, or respond to a concrete, specific, and immediate threat of such a sudden attack, upon the territory, airspace, or waters of the United States, United States forces, or United States citizens.&rdquo; (Very similar language is in section 102 of the </span><a href="https://www.murphy.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/National%20Security%20Powers%20Act%202021.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>NSPA</span></a><span>). In doing so, the legislation strikes a balance. It does not impinge on the president&rsquo;s long recognized constitutional authority to take truly defensive action in the immediate term. But it seeks to guard against unauthorized, elective operations merely characterized as defensive&mdash;actions that require congressional authorization&ndash;or those that might start out as defensive action but take on other missions over time. The automatic funds cut-off noted above ensures that the time limit for any such supposedly defensive action is adhered to.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>This approach is both constitutionally sound and prudent. The framers of the Constitution, as well as the Supreme Court since the </span><i><span>Prize Cases</span></i><span>, recognized that the president has inherent constitutional authority even in the absence of congressional authorization to &ldquo;repel sudden attack.&rdquo; This is not, however, an inherent constitutional authority to wage open-ended or offensive conflict, but rather the authority to use interim defensive action until Congress can respond. In enacting the 1973 War Powers Resolution with its 60-day clock, a supermajority of Congress reinforced the well-understood principle that there are temporal limits to even supposedly defensive military actions undertaken by the president.&nbsp;</span></p>
<h4><strong><em>Shortening the &ldquo;60-day termination clock&rdquo;</em></strong></h4>
<p><span>By now it is well understood that the War Powers Resolution&rsquo;s backstop requirement that the president terminate hostilities after 60 days unless authorized by Congress is not working as intended.</span><span> Both the NSPA and NSRAA shorten the </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/77533/a-giant-step-forward-for-war-powers-reform/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>time limit</span></a><span> for unilateral defensive action, creating a new 20-day default to &ldquo;&lsquo;</span><span>[r]emove the temptation for the Executive branch&rsquo; to engage in quick, unauthorized wars</span><span>.&rdquo;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Multiple factors militate toward reducing the window for unauthorized though ostensibly defensive action even further. Given the realities of modern transportation and telecommunications, the interval during which the president must act unilaterally to repel attack before Congress can respond should be brief.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>In situations in which truly defensive action is undertaken, past practice indicates that an interval of under a week would be adequate. The two categories of such incidents are: (1) defensive operations that have become large-scale wars that were quickly authorized by Congress, and (2) smaller defensive interventions closer to the core of the president&rsquo;s constitutional authority. Starting with the former, it is noteworthy that while U.S. armed forces at Pearl Harbor obviously acted in self-defense on Dec. 7, 1941 without waiting for any congressional action (literally to repel a sudden attack), Congress declared war on Imperial Japan the very next day. Similarly, Congress passed the 2001 Authorization for Use of Force within days of the 9/11 attacks&mdash;on Sept. 14, 2001.</span></p>
<p><span>In the second category, brief, defensive unilateral actions that are arguably comfortably within unilateral presidential authority have been undertaken by presidents of both parties in almost every administration since the enactment of the 1973 War Powers Resolution. These situations &ndash; operations such as evacuating embassies under threat when war breaks out or rescuing U.S. nationals from peril &ndash; necessitate truly rapid action by the executive, and sometimes within a specific window of operational opportunity that cannot be precisely predicted before it arises. But these operations tend to end as quickly as they begin.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>A comprehensive review of all unclassified 48-hour reports filed under the War Powers Resolution compiled and analyzed in</span><span> the </span><a href="https://warpowers.lawandsecurity.org/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>War Powers Resolution Reporting Project</span></a><span> at NYU&rsquo;s Reiss Center on Law and Security illustrates this with real data. Of the nearly 40 reports that constitute &ldquo;hostilities&rdquo; (or imminent involvement of hostilities), and for which the </span><i><span>purpose</span></i><span> of the operations was responding to a threat, protecting U.S. nationals, protecting U.S. citizens or property, or conducting a rescue or hostage recovery, 30 were completed within 1-2 days. That is, before the 48-hour report was even filed. Of the remaining reports, several were for activity that Congress had already authorized or moved quickly to authorize (the 1991 and 2003 Iraq wars and the war in Afghanistan), or for which the executive branch subsequently claimed congressional authorization already existed (counter-ISIL operations that began in 2014). The tiny handful that remain were unauthorized hostilities in Panama, Yemen, and Iran that arguably were not in fact related to a need to act in immediate self-defense but were described as such in the president&rsquo;s reports to Congress &ndash; these prove the point.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>At bottom, limiting the interval for unilateral defensive action is prudent to prevent abuse. By shrinking the interval for any unauthorized action, Congress may deter further presidents from placing U.S. armed forces in harm&rsquo;s way and thereby willfully creating the conditions under which self-defense might be invoked. (</span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/64179/bill-barrs-extreme-views-on-war-powers-mean-congresss-window-to-stop-war-with-iran-is-now/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Bill Barr</span></a><span>, then Deputy Attorney General, </span><a href="https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/bill-barr-war-powers-insights-his-2001-oral-history-interview" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>proposed</span></a><span> such a &ldquo;bootstrap&rdquo; legal theory to President George H.W. Bush to justify waging the Gulf War without congressional authorization.) More generally, future administrations operating under a reformed War Powers Resolution may be tempted to recast offensive military actions as defensive in order to shoehorn them into the residual self-defense carveout. Shortening the deadline for ostensibly defensive unilateral action may discourage such gamesmanship.</span></p>
<h4><strong><em>Increased Transparency</em></strong></h4>
<p><span>The transparency forcing functions of the War Powers Resolution remain important. Although the information provided to Congress is often brief, most presidents comply with these requirements most of the time, and they serve a crucial function. That said, as </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/77533/a-giant-step-forward-for-war-powers-reform/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>explained</span></a><span> in 2021, while there remains value in the current 48-hour reporting requirement, there is also a good deal of room for improvement that would strengthen the transparency-forcing functions of the WPR:</span></p>
<blockquote><p><span>The NSPA strengthens the reporting requirements for situations of hostilities, defining much more clearly and thoroughly the information the president must provide to Congress.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>It also fixes another problem with the current reporting framework, in which the Executive branch can essentially go dark after an initial 48-hour report (currently, no further reporting is required during the entire time period prior to the expiration of the termination clock). The NSPA solves this by requiring initial reporting within 48 hours of an introduction of U.S. forces into hostilities (or a situation where there is a serious risk of hostilities), followed by more thorough reporting within 7 calendar days unless the president certifies that the forces have been withdrawn (or the situation that triggered the requirement has otherwise ceased) and does not intend to reintroduce them.</span></p></blockquote>
<p><span>While some further updating of these reporting provisions in the NSPA and NSRAA may be warranted today, they remain a valuable baseline for legislators.</span></p>
<h4><strong><em>Judicial Review</em></strong></h4>
<p><span>Unlike its Senate counterpart, the NSRAA would create a mechanism to increase the likelihood of judicial intervention in war powers disputes between Congress and the White House. It is currently extremely challenging to use the courts to enforce the provisions of the War Powers Resolution. Legislative reform of the 1973 law could increase the likelihood that the courts play a meaningful role in policing exercises of war powers.&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><b>Conclusion</b></h2>
<p><span>The calamity of the Iran War is a stark reminder of why the Constitution assigns Congress the power to take the United States to war rather than leaving such momentous decisions to the whims of one person. Congress has taken a historic step to signal its opposition to Trump&rsquo;s unauthorized and rudderless hostilities with Iran in H. Con. Res. 86. Blocking a floor vote on the NDAA was another welcome step. But now Congress must do more to practically curtail these continued hostilities and to prevent future abuses of the military by presidents acting unwisely and well outside of their authority.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The legislative branch can rein in executive unilateralism in all the ways catalogued here &ndash; it needs structural war powers reform to do so sustainably. And while there may not be enough votes to override a veto on wholesale reform legislation now, it is the perfect time to make the case to the American people that these reforms are needed, indeed long overdue, and to lay the groundwork for their eventual enactment into law.</span></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/147662/congress-end-iran-war/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">How Congress Can End Trump&rsquo;s Iran War and Prevent the Next One</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-17T13:05:47+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Brian Finucane</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-17T13:05:47+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="appropriations"/>

	<category term="armed conflict"/>

	<category term="chadha"/>

	<category term="congress"/>

	<category term="congressional authorization"/>

	<category term="featured articles"/>

	<category term="house"/>

	<category term="iran"/>

	<category term="iran nuclear negotiations"/>

	<category term="national defense authorization act ndaa"/>

	<category term="senate"/>

	<category term="supreme court (scotus)"/>

	<category term="transparency"/>

	<category term="trump administration second term"/>

	<category term="use of force"/>

	<category term="war powers"/>

	<category term="war powers resolution"/>

	<category term="white house"/>

	<category term="youngstown"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-17:/293676</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/147767/early-edition-july-17-2026/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=early-edition-july-17-2026" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Early Edition: July 17, 2026</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Sign up to receive the Early Edition in your inbox&nbsp;here.
A curated guide to major news and developme...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Sign up to receive the Early Edition in your inbox&nbsp;<a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/newsletter-signup/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">here</a>.</p>
<p>A curated guide to major news and developments over the weekend. Here&rsquo;s today&rsquo;s news:</p>
<p><b><i>IRAN WAR</i></b></p>
<p><b>The United States launched a new set of attacks against Iran overnight, as fighting continued for a sixth straight day</b><span>. Iranian state media reported that strikes had hit two bridges in Bandar Khamir, killing at least seven people, as well as a railway junction near Bandar Abbas. Iran also launched new missile attacks against U.S.-allied nations in the Middle East, including Qatar, and its first direct attack in Syria. Iran&rsquo;s state media said the Revolutionary Guards had attacked a U.S. special operations command centre in al-Tanf, Syria, in retaliation for the killing of Iranian soldiers in Iranshahr. The escalation in attacks has once again largely halted traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. Max Bearak, Shirin Hakim, and Farnaz Fassihi report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/07/16/world/iran-war-trump-hormuz" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>; Jon Gambrell reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-hormuz-strait-war-july-16-2026-f98ff56554de2336f0e85bb5fdcae769" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>; </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/irans-irgc-say-they-targeted-us-command-centre-syria-state-media-reports-2026-07-17/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Iran has asked Yemen&rsquo;s Houthis to stand ready to close the Red Sea oil route if the United States strikes Iranian power infrastructure, </b><span>three sources told </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-tells-houthis-close-red-sea-gateway-if-us-hits-power-network-sources-say-2026-07-16/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> yesterday. Another source close to the Houthis said the group had completed preparations to attack shipping by deploying missiles and drones &#8203;near the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. Representatives of Iran&rsquo;s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps who are already in Yemen will control the decision on when to close the strait, the sources added. Parisa Hafezi, Samia Nakhoul, and Jonathan Saul report.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>YEMEN&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Yemen&rsquo;s Houthi leader Abdul Malik al-Houthi said yesterday that all Saudi oil and other vital facilities would be targets for the group&rsquo;s missiles and drones if Riyadh escalated its involvement in Yemen. </b><span>The warning came after the Houthis fired missiles at Saudi Arabia, accusing the kingdom of bombing an airport under their control &#8203;on Monday, marking a rupture in a four-year &#8288;truce between the two sides.</span> <span>&ldquo;The real equation is Sanaa airport for Riyadh airport, airports for airports, ports for ports, and blockade for blockade,&rdquo; al-Houthi said in a televised speech. </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/houthi-leader-threatens-saudi-oil-facilities-if-riyadh-escalates-yemen-2026-07-16/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> reports&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>RUSSIA-UKRAINE WAR&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Ukraine&rsquo;s ousted defense minister, Mykhailo Fedorov, defended his efforts to modernize the Ukrainian military and directly attacked the country&rsquo;s top general in a statement issued yesterday. </b><span>&ldquo;Instead of figuring out how to defeat Russia asymmetrically,&rdquo; Fedorov said, referring to the drone campaign, Syrskyi &ldquo;figured out how to split the country.&rdquo; Fedorov added that he had asked Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to remove Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi but that Zelenskyy declined. Cassandra Vinograd, Andrew E. Kramer, and Oleksandr Chubko report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/16/world/europe/ukraine-fedorov-protests.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Zelenskyy announced yesterday that he was appointing Yevhenii Khamara, acting head of Ukraine&rsquo;s SBU domestic security service, as acting defense minister</b><span> and would ask parliament to approve him permanently for the post. The SBU&rsquo;s Alpha team, which Khmara had previously led, has played a leading role in Ukraine&rsquo;s recent long-range strikes on Russia&rsquo;s oil infrastructure. Yuliia Dysa, Max Hunder, and Dan Peleschuk report for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraines-parliament-elect-new-government-amid-outcry-over-defence-chief-2026-07-16/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>ISRAEL-HAMAS WAR&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Israeli strikes killed at least five Palestinians in Gaza yesterday,</b><span> Palestinian health officials said. Conflict monitor ACLED, which tracks Israeli attacks in Gaza, said airstrikes &#8203;in Gaza increased to more than &#8288;40 in June, the highest monthly total since the ceasefire. Nidal al-Mughrabi reports for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/escalating-israeli-strikes-kill-five-people-gaza-medics-say-2026-07-16/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>OTHER GLOBAL DEVELOPMENTS</i></b><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>International Criminal Court judges yesterday ordered a suspect from Libya to stand trial on charges including murder, rape, and torture of detainees at the notorious Mitiga prison. </b><span>The unanimous decision confirmed 17 charges against Khaled Mohamed Ali El Hishri. Mike Corder reports for&nbsp; </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/icc-libya-trial-mitiga-prison-torture-rape-d18ef8e2565ef6feaf9adbd519a10055" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Council of Europe yesterday warned Austria, Denmark, Germany, Greece, and the Netherlands that proposed EU &ldquo;return hubs&rdquo; for rejected asylum seekers in third countries could pose serious human rights risks, including arbitrary detention and ill-treatment.</b><span> It urged governments to adopt strict safeguards. </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/council-europe-warns-five-eu-states-rights-risks-return-hub-plans-2026-07-16/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters </span></a><span>reports.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>TECH DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Chinese AI startup Moonshot AI yesterday unveiled Kimi K3, a massive open-weight AI model that early benchmarks suggest rivals or surpasses leading U.S. systems in coding and general language tasks, </b><span>while combining a 1-million-token context window with competitive pricing. Madison Mills reports for </span><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/16/moonshot-kimi-ai-china-model-openai-anthropic" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Axios</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>In a speech at the opening ceremony of the World AI Conference in Shanghai today, Chinese President Xi Jinping positioned China as the leader of a new global AI order, </b><span>promoting open-source AI, greater support for developing countries, and the China-led World AI Cooperation Organisation as an alternative to U.S.-led AI initiatives. Laurie Chen, Casey Hall, and Eduardo Baptista report for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/chinas-xi-promotes-chinas-commitment-ai-access-speech-shanghai-conference-2026-07-17/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. FOREIGN AFFAIRS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu&rsquo;s office announced plans this week for him to travel to Washington and meet President Trump on Monday,</b><span> even preparing his aircraft and sending an advance team, but White House officials told </span><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/16/netanyahu-mystery-trump-meeting" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Axios</span></a><span> that no meeting had ever been scheduled, and Netanyahu&rsquo;s trip was later cancelled. The officials added that Trump was angered last week when Netanyahu publicly criticized Trump&rsquo;s plan to sell F-35 jets to Turkey. Barak Ravid reports.</span></p>
<p><b>Secretary of State Marco Rubio hosted representatives from more than 65 countries at the State Department yesterday, hoping to rally support against what he said was the resurgence of far-left political terrorism, such as the antifa movement. </b><span>Rubio was joined by FBI Director Kash Patel, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, and Trump&rsquo;s deputy chief of staff Stephen Miller. </span><span>After the conference ended, the State Department announced visa restrictions that it said would block the &ldquo;entry of foreign nationals who finance, recruit, incite, or otherwise enable terrorist, violent, and criminal Far-Left Terrorist networks.&rdquo; </span><span>Adam Taylor reports for the </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2026/07/16/rubio-hosts-conference-rally-global-opposition-left-wing-terrorism/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Washington Post</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Seven U.S. aid workers who had been in the Democratic Republic of the Congo to fight the Ebola outbreak are in quarantine at a new isolation facility in Kenya, </b><span>according to Samaritan&rsquo;s Purse, the charity that employed them. They are the first known people to quarantine at the facility, which has sparked huge opposition in Kenya and is at the heart of a legal case in which a court has ordered work to be suspended. A State Department official said the aid workers had &ldquo;voluntarily moved to the Kenya facility for precautionary monitoring and isolation.&rdquo; Emma Farge reports for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/aid-group-says-seven-americans-quarantining-kenya-ebola-facility-after-us-travel-2026-07-17/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>China today urged the United States to withdraw its new &ldquo;discriminatory&rdquo; visa regulations and said it reserves the right to take reciprocal measures. </b><span>The Department of Homeland Security yesterday moved to tighten visa durations for foreign students, cultural exchange visitors, and journalists, including reducing the period for Chinese journalists to 90 days. </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/china/china-calls-us-visa-regulations-discriminatory-threatens-countermeasures-2026-07-17/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. IMMIGRATION DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>The Department of Homeland Security also announced yesterday that it was reviving a policy that gives immigration officers wide authority to deny green cards to people they deem likely to rely on public assistance.</b> <span>The Trump administration </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/22/us/politics/immigrants-green-card-public-aid.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>first moved</span></a><span> to restrict green cards for people receiving public assistance during the president&rsquo;s first term. But those efforts were met with </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/02/us/trump-immigration-public-charge.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>legal challenges</span></a><span> and were later reversed by the Biden administration.</span><span> Madeleine Ngo and Karoun Demirjian report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/16/us/politics/trump-green-cards-public-assistance.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>More than 25,000 federal law enforcement officers outside ICE were diverted to immigration enforcement at various points in 2025,</b><span> according to a new </span><a href="https://www.aclu.org/publications/agents-of-chaos-and-cruelty-how-the-trump-administrations-national-deportation-policing-force-has-attacked-american-communities" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>report</span></a><span> published by the ACLU. The administration has also focused on state agencies, including the Florida Highway Patrol and the Louisiana Department of Wildlife and Fisheries, which have begun conducting routine immigration sweeps, the ACLU found. Russell Contreras reports for </span><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/16/aclu-immigration-local-policing-deportations" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Axios</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Trump administration&rsquo;s removal of more than 100 immigration judges is undermining the independence of the courts and the U.S. justice system, </b><span>a panel of independent experts appointed to the U.N. Human Rights Council said yesterday. Jasper Ward reports for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/legal/government/un-experts-concerned-by-trumps-removal-immigration-judges-2026-07-16/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. DOMESTIC DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche met yesterday with survivors of Jeffrey Epstein&rsquo;s crimes </b><span>after Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC) made the meeting a condition of his support for advancing Blanche&rsquo;s nomination as attorney general. Tillis said on social media that &ldquo;he commend[ed] Todd Blanche for doing what all his predecessors over the last two decades never did.&rdquo; However, one victim who attended the meeting called it &ldquo;insufficient,&rdquo; adding that Blanche treated it as a &ldquo;check-the-box exercise intended to secure votes for his confirmation.&rdquo; Chris Marquette reports for </span><a href="https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2026/07/16/congress/blanche-listens-to-tillis-01002573" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>POLITICO</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>A National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine </b><a href="https://www.nationalacademies.org/read/28590" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>report</b></a><b>, published yesterday, </b><b>endorsed the growing field of extreme event attribution, which measures how much climate change has contributed to specific events like heat waves, floods, and wildfires.</b><span> The report says the science has become more reliable and could inform legal cases seeking damages from fossil fuel companies. Raymond Zhong reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/16/climate/national-academies-extreme-weather-attribution.html?smid=nytcore-android-share" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>TRUMP ADMINISTRATION ACTIONS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>&ldquo;Great damage has been done to our country,&rdquo; </b><span>Trump said yesterday in his prime-time address to the country. &ldquo;Our elections were left vulnerable to being rigged and stolen, and the trust of the American people was lost. This cannot be allowed to continue.&rdquo; However, the documents released by the White House yesterday to support Trump&rsquo;s claims do not back up his most aggressive statements about election security. One document states, &ldquo;We assess that vote tabulation systems would be difficult to manipulate on a wide enough scale to compromise election results.&rdquo; Julian E. Barnes and Maggie Haberman report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/17/us/trump-speech-elections-takeaways.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Trump used his speech to accuse U.S. intelligence agencies of covering up alleged Chinese efforts targeting the 2020 election. </b><span>Trump said that documents released by the White House show that dozens of significant CIA and NSA reports about China&rsquo;s election targeting and acquisition of voter files were kept out of the presidential briefing. His allegations on China&rsquo;s influence went beyond the conclusions reached by the intelligence community, which stated that China sought influence but did not interfere with election infrastructure. China said today that it has never interfered in U.S. elections and has no interest in doing so, urging Washington to stop making &ldquo;groundless accusations.&rdquo; Rebecca Falconer reports for </span><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/17/trump-china-election-interference-us-intelligence-claim" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Axios</span></a><span>; </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/china-us-trump-elections-xi-e4e9afe16a4e30123293c3f4ff6ed6bd" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Trump yesterday said TV networks that did not feature live coverage of his address on election security should have their broadcast licenses revoked. </b><span>CNN, ABC, and NBC opted against live coverage of the speech, with others such as CBS, MS NOW, and Fox News broadcasting parts of the speech. ABC and NBC did carry Trump&rsquo;s speech live on their streaming platform, with both platforms airing special reports that analyzed his claims about the safety of the U.S. voting system. Michael M. Grynbaum reports for the&nbsp; </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/16/us/politics/trump-speech-television-networks.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times.</span></a><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Treasury Department&rsquo;s top tax policy official, Kenneth Kies, was forced out of his job after warning the White House that it risked violating a federal law prohibiting senior officials&rsquo; involvement in IRS audits, </b><span>according to sources. The sources said that Kies repeatedly clashed with White House officials and that Trump had become increasingly frustrated with him. Brian Schwartz, Richard Rubin, and Josh Dawsey report for the </span><a href="https://www.wsj.com/politics/policy/top-treasury-tax-official-ousted-after-clashes-with-white-house-over-irs-audits-60d5b1df?mod=hp_lead_pos10" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Wall Street Journal</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Did you miss this?</b>&nbsp;Stay up-to-date with our&nbsp;<a href="https://justsecurity.us7.list-manage.com/track/click?u=96b766fb1c8a55bbe9b0cdc21&amp;id=251d4342e4&amp;e=bd8778e5ec" aria-label="Litigation Tracker: Legal Challenges to Trump Administration Actions.- opens in new tab" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Litigation Tracker: Legal Challenges to Trump Administration Actions.</a></p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXchCAluDft2LKA1wOLQ4i6pCzxIl0l-NcwpWXsODFsCUPu4amZ-9579JwGXy0dHUrxRzx7xqb2qETGLFJ1nxK5VHTcANGd2_preWoUqx5Ao8QjqEuWytBWhQsJDb8EB0dWQv-sVMg?key=3LGEnQeAgyeBawKRekdMORYu" referrerpolicy="no-referrer" loading="lazy"></p>
<p>If you enjoy listening, Just Security&rsquo;s analytic articles are also available in audio form on the justsecurity.org website.</p>
<p><strong>ICYMI: Yesterday on<em>&nbsp;Just Security</em></strong></p>
<div></div>
<div>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/147633/trump-election-interference-speech/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">An Initial Readout of Trump&rsquo;s Election-Interference Speech</a></p>
<p>By <span>Brian O&rsquo;Neill</span></p>
<div>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/147437/international-law-response-rubio-icc/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">In Context: Analyzing Secretary Rubio&rsquo;s International Criminal Court Op-Ed</a></p>
<p>By Tom Dannenbaum&nbsp;and&nbsp;Eliav Lieblich</p>
<div>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/145257/military-members-accountable-illegal-boat-strikes/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">How to Choose Which Military Members to Hold Accountable for Illegal Boat Strikes</a></p>
<p>By <span>Daniel Maurer</span></p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/147767/early-edition-july-17-2026/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Early Edition: July 17, 2026</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-17T12:16:56+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Elisabeth Jennings</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-17T12:16:56+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="daily news roundup"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-17:/293649</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/147633/trump-election-interference-speech/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=trump-election-interference-speech" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">An Initial Readout of Trump’s Election-Interference Speech</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>President Donald Trump used a nationally televised address Thursday evening to release intelligence ...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>President Donald Trump used a nationally televised address Thursday evening to release intelligence that he <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/election-integrity/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">said</a> showed American voting systems are vulnerable to foreign attack and that China acquired data on 220 million U.S. voters. He accused officials within the U.S. intelligence community of suppressing those threats and concealing the danger from him and the public.</p>
<p>Trump argued that the disclosures revealed an election system that could no longer be defended and urged Congress to pass the <a href="https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">SAVE America Act</a>, including voter-identification and proof-of-citizenship requirements. The speech marked the president&rsquo;s most significant effort since returning to office to use declassified intelligence to revisit the 2020 election and support changes in election law.</p>
<p>Whether those proposals deserve support depends on three questions. What does the intelligence establish? Does the way it was selected and declassified strengthen confidence in the White House&rsquo;s conclusion? And does the legislation address the problem the intelligence identifies?</p>
<h2>What the Released Intelligence Must Establish</h2>
<p>Because the White House released a large volume of material, much of it heavily redacted, any assessment offered immediately after the speech must be preliminary. The documents must also be read against the government&rsquo;s previous public findings. The 2017 Intelligence Community Assessment <a href="https://www.cia.gov/static/Tradecraft-Review-2016-ICA-on-Election-Interference-062625.pdf?utm_source=chatgpt.com" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">concluded</a> that Russia conducted an influence campaign during the 2016 election but did not assess that Russian activity altered vote counts. The bipartisan Senate Intelligence Committee later <a href="https://www.intelligence.senate.gov/2018/05/29/publications-russian-targeting-election-infrastructure-during-2016-election-summary-initial-findings/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">found</a> extensive Russian reconnaissance against election infrastructure but no evidence that votes were changed or voting machines manipulated.</p>
<p>The 2021 Intelligence Community assessment <a href="https://www.dni.gov/files/ODNI/documents/assessments/ICA-declass-16MAR21.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">reached</a> the same basic conclusion about the mechanics of the 2020 election. It found no indication that any foreign actor attempted to alter voter registration, ballot casting, vote tabulation, or the reporting of results. It assessed that Russia sought to damage Joe Biden and support Trump, while Iran worked to undercut Trump&rsquo;s reelection; China considered but did not deploy an operation intended to change the outcome. Hizballah, Cuba, and Venezuela undertook smaller influence efforts, but none was assessed to have interfered with the voting process itself.</p>
<p>The initial question, therefore, is whether the material posted by the White House overturns those earlier findings or documents a significant shift since 2021 in foreign actors&rsquo; intentions, capabilities, or operational activity. The issue is not only whether previous assessments were wrong, but whether subsequent intelligence shows that China or other adversaries moved from considering influence or collecting election-related data to pursuing a more aggressive effort against the voting process itself.</p>
<p>The documents reviewed so far do not include a new, coordinated intelligence assessment doing so. Instead, they include raw intelligence reports, several finished-intelligence products, including a President&rsquo;s Daily Brief item, an internal email recording an analytic disagreement, technical assessments, and a CIA summary prepared in June 2026. Those documents serve different purposes and do not carry the same evidentiary weight.</p>
<p>That distinction matters most with raw intelligence. Such reporting records what a source said or what a collection system obtained before analysts have fully tested it against other information. Raw intelligence can be important and sometimes decisive. Standing alone, however, it does not tell the reader whether an allegation was later corroborated, qualified, rejected, or incorporated into a broader assessment.</p>
<p>The redactions make an initial judgment more difficult. In many documents, source descriptions, surrounding discussion, qualifications, and substantial portions of the reporting remain concealed. The public can see that an allegation existed but often cannot determine how analysts evaluated it or what conclusion the intelligence community ultimately reached.</p>
<p>The material raises two distinct questions: whether foreign actors possessed or pursued capabilities that threatened U.S. elections, and whether intelligence officials suppressed reporting about those threats. The released documents provide some insight into both, but they do not settle either.</p>
<p>The Venezuela material illustrates the limits. A CIA note prepared in June 2026 summarizes selected reporting from 2004 through 2020 about Venezuelan efforts to manipulate that country&rsquo;s electronic elections. It describes a reported method for altering vote totals while attempting to defeat an audit. But the note states that it is not a comprehensive reassessment, identifies significant limits in the reporting, and concerns elections conducted in Venezuela. It does not establish that the method was used against a U.S. election.</p>
<p>The China documents also warrant caution. The reporting may raise serious questions about Chinese acquisition and exploitation of American voter data. Yet the documents reviewed thus far are too heavily redacted to show how the claim involving 220 million voter files was derived, how the data was obtained, how much came from protected election systems rather than public or commercial sources, or what China ultimately did with it.</p>
<p>Other documents make the allegation of a government-wide cover-up harder to sustain. A July 2020 assessment in the <a href="https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/intelligence-basics" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">CIA&rsquo;s World Intelligence Review, or WIRe</a>&mdash;a finished-intelligence product <a href="https://theintercept.com/snowden-sidtoday/5987467-cia-s-wire-is-now-online/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">distributed broadly</a> to appropriately cleared readers across the national-security community&mdash;reported Chinese cyber activity against campaign and election-related targets but assessed that Beijing did not then intend to interfere covertly to sway the election&rsquo;s outcome. Whatever disagreement later arose over its analysis, the reporting was not buried inside a small compartment or withheld from the wider intelligence community.</p>
<p>The same issue arises with the released President&rsquo;s Daily Brief item dated June 25, 2020. Titled &ldquo;Beijing Escalating Efforts to Shape U.S. Policies on China,&rdquo; its visible portion reported that Beijing possessed derogatory information about a White House official and might use it to pressure him to adopt a more restrained approach toward China; analysts judged the threat credible. Most of the document remains redacted, and the visible text does not address vote manipulation. It nevertheless shows that intelligence concerning Beijing&rsquo;s efforts to shape U.S. policy was placed in the channel designed to reach President Trump. Whether he read it or received an oral briefing cannot be determined from the document.</p>
<p>An internal December 2021 email shows that the National Intelligence Officer for Cyber believed similar Chinese activity had been characterized inconsistently and that the issue should be highlighted for congressional oversight. That is evidence of a genuine analytic dispute. It is not, by itself, evidence that the broader assessment was fraudulent or that the underlying reporting was suppressed.</p>
<h2>What This Means for the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI)</h2>
<p>The process behind Thursday&rsquo;s release offers a preview of ODNI&rsquo;s role for the remainder of Trump&rsquo;s term. Trump <a href="https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5949532-pulte-lacks-intelligence-experience/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">gave</a> Acting DNI Bill Pulte broad discretion to declassify election-related material, while press reporting <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/14/us/politics/trump-speech-voting-elections.html?eafs_enabled=false" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">indicates</a> that a White House review led by John Solomon assembled the intelligence for the address. Those facts do not establish that documents were altered or contrary reporting deliberately excluded. They do mean the release emerged from a political effort to revisit a conclusion Trump has rejected for years.</p>
<p>The administration&rsquo;s urgency also sits awkwardly beside its recent treatment of the threat. The public <a href="https://www.dni.gov/files/ODNI/documents/assessments/ATA-2026-Unclassified-Report.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">2026 Annual Threat Assessment</a> released in March did not identify foreign election interference as a major threat, even while cataloguing other cyber activity by China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea. ODNI in August 2025 had also <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/119653/wjh-dismantling-foreign-malign-influence-center/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">stripped</a> the Foreign Malign Influence Center of its separate operating role and dispersed its core functions, effectively dismantling the office that coordinated intelligence on foreign influence and election threats.</p>
<p>DNI nominee Jay Clayton would inherit this effort <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/15/us/politics/jay-clayton-confirmation-hearing-director-national-intelligence.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">if confirmed</a>. His first test will be whether ODNI provides Congress the complete record behind the release. He can treat Thursday&rsquo;s documents as pieces of a larger analytic history, or allow declassification authority to give institutional weight to the White House&rsquo;s preferred reading of selected intelligence.</p>
<h2>What Congress Should Examine Before Acting</h2>
<p>Congress should begin by sorting the release by document type. For raw reporting, members need to know whether the source was credible, whether independent reporting corroborated the allegation, and how analysts ultimately treated it. For finished intelligence, they should review confidence judgments, dissents, and later reporting. For technical assessments, the central distinction is among a vulnerability, evidence that someone exploited it, and evidence that the exploitation affected an election.</p>
<p>The intelligence committees should obtain less-redacted versions of the released documents, the reports underlying the June 2026 CIA note, the analytic record behind the China voter-data claim, and the assessments showing how that reporting was incorporated into the 2021 judgment. They should hear first from the analysts and technical specialists who evaluated the intelligence, not only the officials who selected it for release.</p>
<p>Only then should Congress consider whether the SAVE America Act responds to the threats identified. Foreign theft of voter data, cyber access to election systems, and vulnerabilities in voting equipment raise serious security questions. But voter identification and proof-of-citizenship requirements address different questions. A legitimate intelligence warning about foreign intentions to influence elections does not, by itself, establish that the administration&rsquo;s preferred legislation is the appropriate answer.</p>
<p>As I argued in a <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/108514/presidents-declassification-double-edged-sword/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">February 2025 article</a> in <i>Just Security</i>, the principal risk with the declassification of documents is not the action itself but its selective use. A document may be genuine yet misleading if separated from the coordinated assessment, dissenting views, confidence judgments, or subsequent reporting that gave it meaning. The immediate question is what else formed part of the analytic record and why that material was&mdash;or was not&mdash;released.</p>
<p>Declassification changes who may read intelligence. It does not decide whether the intelligence is reliable, what it proves, or how it should be used. Thursday&rsquo;s release raises issues Congress should examine, but it does not provide the complete record needed to sustain the White House&rsquo;s allegations.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/147633/trump-election-interference-speech/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">An Initial Readout of Trump&rsquo;s Election-Interference Speech</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-17T04:16:06+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Brian O&#039;Neill</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-17T04:16:06+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="2016 presidential elections"/>

	<category term="2020 presidential election"/>

	<category term="classification"/>

	<category term="classified information"/>

	<category term="democracy &amp; rule of law"/>

	<category term="donald trump"/>

	<category term="election interference"/>

	<category term="election law"/>

	<category term="elections"/>

	<category term="executive branch"/>

	<category term="featured articles"/>

	<category term="intelligence &amp; surveillance"/>

	<category term="intelligence activities"/>

	<category term="intelligence community"/>

	<category term="midterm elections"/>

	<category term="trump administration second term"/>

	<category term="united states (us)"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-16:/293628</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/147437/international-law-response-rubio-icc/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=international-law-response-rubio-icc" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">In Context: Analyzing Secretary Rubio’s International Criminal Court Op-Ed</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Earlier this week, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced in a Wall Street Journal op-ed, tog...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Earlier this week, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced in a <i>Wall Street Journal</i> <a href="https://www.wsj.com/opinion/why-were-dismantling-the-icc-0af0a8a6" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">op-ed</a>, together with <a href="https://x.com/SecRubio/status/2076671740407652582?lang=en" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">video</a> and <a href="https://www.state.gov/releases/office-of-the-spokesperson/2026/07/state-department-launches-campaign-to-dismantle-international-criminal-courts-threat-to-american-sovereignty" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">press</a> statements, that the United States would be undertaking an effort to dismantle the International Criminal Court (ICC), &ldquo;brick by brick if necessary.&rdquo; We and others responded to this statement <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/147012/trump-administration-statement-dismantling-icc/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">here</a>.</p>
<p>The separate purpose of this article is to address the specific statements in the op-ed (quoted <em>in</em> <em>italics</em> below). Writing from our positions as international law scholars, we address some of the factual claims or underlying assumptions in the article in a way that we hope will be helpful for the public, journalists, and others seeking to make sense of this announcement.</p>
<p><em><b>Why We&rsquo;re Dismantling the International Criminal Court by </b><b>Marco Rubio<br>
</b><b>Wall Street Journal, </b><b>Eastern edition; New York, N.Y..&nbsp;14 July 2026:&nbsp;A15.&nbsp;&nbsp;</b></em></p>
<p><em>Most of us would struggle to imagine a world in which U.S. soldiers, police officers, Border Patrol agents and elected leaders could be dragged before an international court, tried by judges from random countries across the globe, found guilty under international laws we neither consent to nor control, and then imprisoned thousands of miles from America.</em></p>
<p><em>But that is what the International Criminal Court now claims the power to do.</em></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">This is a rhetorical ploy meant to convince the public that something quite ordinary is outrageous. The International Criminal Court can exercise jurisdiction over U.S. persons only with respect to their conduct on the territory of a State that has accepted the Court&rsquo;s jurisdiction &ndash; in other words, a state that has a clear sovereign prerogative to enforce the law within its borders.&nbsp; Rubio himself has repeatedly emphasized this very point with respect to foreign nationals in the United States: when you are on another country&rsquo;s soil, you are subject to its criminal law and the jurisdiction of its courts. When the ICC exercises jurisdiction over the citizens of a State that is not party to the Rome Statute (the treaty establishing the Court) on the basis of those persons&rsquo; conduct on the territory of a State that <i>is</i> party to that system, it acts on an extension of this very elementary principle.</li>
<li aria-level="1">If anything, the ICC&rsquo;s basis for authority is even stronger. Contrary to Rubio&rsquo;s implication, its jurisdiction is limited to international crimes grounded in rules to which the United States <i>has </i>consented and that it has invoked to prosecute, or support the prosecution of, foreign nationals, as far back as <a href="https://www.amazon.com/dp/0817974814?lv=shuf&amp;channelId=500&amp;plpRedirect=mhFallback" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Nuremberg</a> <a href="https://history.state.gov/milestones/1945-1952/nuremberg" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">and</a> <a href="https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=2132&amp;context=ils" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Tokyo</a>, through the tribunals for crimes perpetrated in <a href="https://digitallibrary.un.org/record/198038?ln=en" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Rwanda</a>,<a href="https://digitallibrary.un.org/record/166567?ln=en" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"> former Yugoslavia</a>, and <a href="https://2009-2017.state.gov/r/pa/prs/ps/2010/11/151810.htm" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Sierra Leone</a> in the 1990s and 2000s, in <a href="https://www.justice.gov/archives/opa/pr/four-russia-affiliated-military-personnel-charged-war-crimes-connection-russias-invasion" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">domestic U.S. courts</a> today, and even in certain situations at the ICC itself, such as those relating to <a href="https://digitallibrary.un.org/record/698927?ln=en&amp;v=pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Libya</a>, <a href="https://digitallibrary.un.org/record/544817?ln=en&amp;v=pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Sudan</a>, and <a href="https://2021-2025.state.gov/ambassador-van-schaacks-remarks/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Ukraine</a>.</li>
<li aria-level="1">There are enduring debates about the status-based immunities of sitting foreign ministers and heads of state and government, but those are distinct from the territorial jurisdiction principle Rubio is attacking here. If he instead means to imply that all state officials are always immune from prosecution for their official acts by other states or international tribunals &ndash; as the U.S. has sometimes asserted on this issue &ndash; that implication <a href="https://www.legal-tools.org/doc/45f18e/pdf/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">would</a> <a href="https://www.legal-tools.org/doc/8bef6f/pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">contradict</a> <a href="https://www.justice.gov/archives/opa/pr/iranian-intelligence-officials-indicted-kidnapping-conspiracy-charges" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">decades</a> <a href="https://www.justice.gov/archives/opa/pr/us-charges-five-chinese-military-hackers-cyber-espionage-against-us-corporations-and-labor" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">of U.S.</a> <a href="http://justice.gov/archives/opa/pr/justice-department-announces-murder-hire-charges-against-islamic-revolutionary-guard-corps" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">practice</a> <a href="https://www.loc.gov/resource/llmlp.Law-Reports_Vol-1/?st=grid" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">regarding</a> <a href="https://www.voanews.com/a/a-13-a-2003-12-04-2-us-67452207/385141.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">crimes</a> <a href="https://www.rscsl.org/Documents/Press/OTP/prosecutor-051105.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">committed</a> by <a href="https://www.npr.org/2026/03/18/nx-s1-5749388/former-syrian-prison-chief-convicted-in-landmark-torture-trial-in-la" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">foreign officials</a>.</li>
</ul>
<p><em>The ICC was born at the turn of the century. At first, it was marketed as a narrow backstop to prosecute the gravest crimes. Now the ICC and its allies seek a standing world tribunal with near-unlimited reach, empowered to override the courts and constitutions of the U.S. and other sovereign States &mdash; and to prosecute and arrest our citizens.</em></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">The ICC was always agreed as a &ldquo;standing&rdquo; tribunal, and it is not claiming new powers now. The preamble to the <a href="https://www.icc-cpi.int/sites/default/files/2024-05/Rome-Statute-eng.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Rome Statute</a> expresses a determination to &ldquo;establish an independent <i>permanent</i> International Criminal Court in relationship with the United Nations system, with jurisdiction over the most serious crimes of concern to the international community as a whole.&rdquo;</li>
<li aria-level="1">The power to exercise jurisdiction over acts of nationals of non-State parties committed in the territories of State parties is not something that the ICC has just conjured up. The issue was <a href="https://opil.ouplaw.com/display/10.1093/law-mpeipro/e3227.013.3227/law-mpeipro-e3227" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">discussed</a> extensively in the <a href="https://www.icc-cpi.int/sites/default/files/RelatedRecords/CR2009_06602.PDF" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">negotiations</a> that led to the Court, and it has been in the Rome Statute from the beginning (Article 12(2)). The idea that this somehow contradicts what the ICC was originally set up to do is simply false.</li>
<li aria-level="1">Nor does the notion that the ICC is&nbsp; &ldquo; a narrow backstop to prosecute the gravest crimes&rdquo; contradict the idea of its territorial jurisdiction. The Court&rsquo;s jurisdiction <i>is </i>limited to categories &ndash; genocide, war crimes, crimes against humanity, and the crime of aggression (Article 5) &ndash; recognized as the gravest international crimes by the United States and invoked by it or by tribunals acting with its essential support to try perpetrators from States that did not consent to those tribunals&rsquo; jurisdiction. And the Court does function as a backstop. Under the principle known as &ldquo;complementarity&rdquo; (Article 17), it will not act if a State with jurisdiction (including a non-party) is investigating or prosecuting a case (or has done so) in a manner consistent with a genuine willingness and ability to bring perpetrators to justice, <a href="https://www.icc-cpi.int/news/statement-prosecutor-fatou-bensouda-conclusion-preliminary-examination-situation-iraq/united" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">whether or not</a> the ICC or its prosecutor agrees with the outcome of those investigations or prosecutions.</li>
<li aria-level="1">The ICC does not claim &ldquo;near-unlimited reach.&rdquo; It claims jurisdiction over acts that take place on the territory of a State Party or by that State&rsquo;s nationals. To claim that a State has no criminal jurisdiction over what takes place in its <i>own </i>territory contradicts the most basic principles of international law. Rubio does not, and would never, agree to the idea that the United States lacks criminal jurisdiction over acts by foreigners on its territory.</li>
</ul>
<p><em>Americans never agreed to any of this.&nbsp;</em></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">The criminal jurisdiction of other States over what takes place in their own territory does not require that Americans agree. There is no sovereign prerogative to commit crimes on the territory of another State. Imagine that Putin would say that Ukraine has no jurisdiction over crimes his forces commit in Ukraine because &ldquo;Russians never agreed to any of this.&rdquo;</li>
</ul>
<p><em>Both of our major political parties opposed the prospect of handing a distant global court the power to prosecute and jail our own citizens. President Clinton refused to submit the Rome Statute (the ICC&rsquo;s founding charter) to the Senate for ratification due to his &ldquo;concerns about significant flaws in the Treaty.&rdquo;&nbsp;</em></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">This is a very partial description of the U.S. &ldquo;bipartisan&rdquo; approach towards the Court. The United States supported ICC jurisdiction in <a href="https://digitallibrary.un.org/record/544817?ln=en&amp;v=pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Sudan</a> and <a href="https://digitallibrary.un.org/record/698927?ln=en&amp;v=pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Libya</a> on the basis of Security Council referrals overriding those states&rsquo; objections. It facilitated the transfer of wanted criminals <a href="https://2021-2025.state.gov/welcoming-the-verdict-in-the-case-against-dominic-ongwen-for-war-crimes-and-crimes-against-humanity/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">from</a> <a href="https://www.icc-cpi.int/news/dominic-ongwen-transferred-hague" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Uganda</a> <a href="https://www.icc-cpi.int/drc/ntaganda" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">and</a> <a href="https://2009-2017.state.gov/j/gcj/wcrp/206083.htm" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">the</a> <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-21868162" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">DRC</a> to ICC custody. And, most pertinently here, <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/26/us/politics/biden-russia-war-crimes-hague.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">it</a> <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-64998165" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">supported</a> the Court&rsquo;s arrest warrants for Vladimir Putin &ndash; a sitting president of a non-party State &ndash; as well as numerous other Russian officials, all on the basis of territorial jurisdiction over crimes committed in Ukraine.</li>
<li aria-level="1">Indeed, during his time in the U.S. Senate, Rubio himself co-sponsored&nbsp;<a href="https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/senate-resolution/546/text" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Senate Resolution 546</a>, which described the ICC as &ldquo;an international tribunal that seeks to uphold the rule of law,&rdquo; endorsed Ukraine&rsquo;s acceptance of ICC jurisdiction for the purpose of investigating crimes committed by Russian forces on its territory, and urged other states to petition the ICC or another appropriate tribunal to investigate war crimes committed at the direction of Putin, his subordinates, or their proxies. In short, just four years ago, Rubio strongly endorsed precisely the kind of ICC activity he now decries in a directly analogous situation. The contradictions speak for themselves.</li>
</ul>
<p><em>Two years later, a bipartisan Senate supermajority passed the American Servicemembers&rsquo; Protection Act, authorizing the president &ldquo;to use all means necessary&rdquo; &mdash; including military force &mdash; to prevent the ICC from detaining or arresting Americans.</em></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">There is no ICC police force that will enter the United States to arrest anyone. The ICC depends entirely on the cooperation of States for the arrest and transfer of wanted persons. States may only engage in arrest on their own territory or in cooperation with the State on whose territory the arrest occurs. Given that, a U.S. person could only conceivably be arrested or detained on the basis of an ICC warrant while abroad, on the territory of a cooperating State.</li>
<li aria-level="1">If a U.S. president were to use military force to prevent the lawful detention of an American citizen in a foreign country &ndash; on the basis that the individual committed crimes on the latter&rsquo;s territory or on the territory of a third state &ndash; this would entail a flagrant violation of international law.</li>
</ul>
<p><em>Americans found themselves in the crosshairs anyway: In 2020 the ICC launched an investigation into what chief prosecutor Fatou Bensouda of Gambia described as &ldquo;war crimes by members of the United States armed forces&rdquo; in Afghanistan, declaring that the U.S. government hadn&rsquo;t prosecuted enough American soldiers to satisfy the court. In effect, Ms. Bensouda was anointing herself the final judge of U.S. military policy and the entire U.S. justice system.</em></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">Prosecutor Bensouda&rsquo;s <a href="https://www.icc-cpi.int/Pages/record.aspx?docNo=ICC-02/17-7-Red" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">request</a> to launch the investigation relied heavily on the findings of the U.S. Senate Select Committee on Intelligence in identifying patterns of CIA torture. In other words, the investigation was substantially grounded in evidence from the United States&rsquo; own findings about its own conduct. That conduct qualifies straightforwardly as a war crime.</li>
<li aria-level="1">A prosecutor applying to open an investigation (and doing so with judicial approval) does not entail &ldquo;anointing herself the final judge&rdquo; of anything. The next step would have been to bring cases. Had Bensouda done this, the United States would have had an opportunity to object on the basis that it had investigated or prosecuted the relevant cases genuinely. If it had, the ICC would have been required to defer under the principle of complementarity. A panel of ICC judges would have reviewed that claim. Had an ICC case been approved, the prosecutor would then have needed to prove the case beyond a reasonable doubt before a panel of independent judges.</li>
<li aria-level="1">And yet, none of these steps took place because the investigations never materialized into actual cases. Indeed, Bensouda&rsquo;s successor, Karim Khan, <a href="https://www.icc-cpi.int/news/statement-prosecutor-international-criminal-court-karim-khan-qc-following-application" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">decided</a> to focus his &ldquo;Office&rsquo;s investigations in Afghanistan on crimes allegedly committed by the Taliban and the Islamic State &ndash; Khorasan Province (&lsquo;IS-K&rsquo;) <i>and to deprioritise other aspects of this investigation</i>&rdquo; (emphasis added). Despite Rubio&rsquo;s attempt to whip up alarm, no U.S. person has been charged, arrested, or tried. There is no immediate prospect that one will be.</li>
</ul>
<p><em>The Afghanistan investigation was only the opening move in the assault against American self-government. The ICC is backed and run by a powerful network of leftist nongovernment organizations, smug globalists, and hostile Third World governments united by their enmity toward the U.S.</em></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">For its first two decades, the <a href="https://www.icc-cpi.int/defendants" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Court did not issue</a> a single arrest warrant for a person outside of Africa. In the four years since, it has expanded its activities, but it remains focused <a href="https://www.icc-cpi.int/situations-under-investigations" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">almost exclusively</a> on situations in the Global South. The predominant critique of the ICC since its founding has come from exactly the constituencies Rubio claims are running it&nbsp; &ndash; Global South governments and human rights organizations &ndash; who have argued that the Court disproportionately targets those regions while ignoring Western conduct. Notably, the States providing most backing and financing to the ICC are America&rsquo;s key allies in NATO and other Western democracies.</li>
<li aria-level="1">Rubio&rsquo;s central complaint, stripped of its populist framing, appears to be that the Court would have the temerity to investigate Western crimes at all. In this respect, he is channeling the energy of the late Senator Lindsey Graham, who <a href="https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/karim-khan-describes-threats-and-pressure-david-cameron-lindsey-graham-new-interview" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">reportedly</a> exploded at the ICC Prosecutor for his investigation of Israeli officials, insisting the ICC is only &ldquo;for Africa and thugs like Putin.&rdquo;</li>
<li aria-level="1">Rubio appears also to be following Trump in contrasting cooperation through international organizations with &ldquo;self-government.&rdquo; However, states seek international cooperation precisely to protect their self-government against threats or global problems that they can&rsquo;t address alone. ICC States Parties have granted the Court territorial jurisdiction in large part to draw on that cooperation to enhance the protection of their people against atrocities, including when perpetrated by the agents of outside states.</li>
</ul>
<p><em>In the second Trump administration, these calls have continued to grow. Last year, major activist groups urged high-ranking international officials &ldquo;to take immediate and meaningful action&rdquo; against the Trump administration&rsquo;s deportations of violent criminals to El Salvador. Months later, a former ICC chief prosecutor declared that President Trump&rsquo;s strikes against narcoterrorists amounted to &ldquo;a crime against humanity&rdquo; and should be treated as such under international law &mdash; a line that was echoed by United Nations leaders, and major leftist nongovernmental organizations, Democratic Party officials and politicians. In March, the Washington-based Democracy for the Arab World Now urged the Iranian regime to request an ICC investigation of &ldquo;apparent war crimes&rdquo; committed by American personnel.</em></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">This passage portrays genuine and grave concerns regarding the Trump administration&rsquo;s policies as outrageous and not even worthy of debate. Those credibly characterizing the boat strikes as crimes against humanity include not only a former ICC prosecutor, but <a href="https://www.lawfaremedia.org/contributors/ctrumbull" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">also</a> a former attorney-adviser in the Office of the Legal Adviser at the U.S. Department of State. Hardly radical.</li>
<li aria-level="1">Rather than pursuing this rhetorical strategy, the administration should cease unlawful practices immediately and explain why it thinks any of the relevant actions are lawful.</li>
<li aria-level="1">Separately, it should be clarified that there is no indication that any of these situations is currently close to an ICC investigation. The fact that a credible case can be made for such an investigation is damning, as is only underscored by Rubio&rsquo;s failure to address the substantive allegations.</li>
</ul>
<p><em>U.S. efforts to push back against the ICC&rsquo;s illegitimate interventions have been framed as a further reason for the ICC to target Americans. When 12 U.S. senators wrote to the ICC prosecutor about their concerns, the prosecutor&rsquo;s office accused them of crimes. When Mr. Trump imposed sanctions against ICC personnel, a former head of Human Rights Watch said that &ldquo;all 125 ICC member states would have a legal duty to arrest him were he to show up.&rdquo;</em></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">This is again classic populist rhetoric, which intentionally exaggerates the power of international NGOs in order to entrench the narrative of unaccountable global elites that control the world. Plainly, a statement from Human Rights Watch creates no meaningful risk of arrest of a sitting U.S. president.</li>
</ul>
<p><em>It is only a matter of time before the ICC begins making good on these threats. Border Patrol agents working to remove violent criminals from our country, U.S. Marines risking their lives to restore order in the Western Hemisphere, federal prosecutors working to dismantle terror networks plotting attacks on the American homeland &mdash; all would face the constant risk of persecution for the &ldquo;crime&rdquo; of defending our country.</em></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">There is no crime of &ldquo;defending&rdquo; a country. The ICC has jurisdiction only over specific acts prohibited by international criminal law &ndash; conduct that rises to the level of war crimes, crimes against humanity, or genocide. A soldier or law enforcement officer who follows the laws of war has nothing to fear from the ICC.</li>
<li aria-level="1">Even for conduct that does violate international criminal law, the ICC has jurisdiction only where those crimes occur at least in part on the territory of a state that has consented to its jurisdiction, and where the defendant&rsquo;s own country is not already investigating or prosecuting.</li>
<li aria-level="1">The implication that everything is permitted just because you are purportedly defending your country runs counter to the very idea of international criminal law, which the United States has supported when applied to others. War crimes, crimes against humanity, and genocide are strictly prohibited, whether inflicted defensively or as part of aggression.</li>
</ul>
<p><em>The ICC&rsquo;s interfering with American military and law enforcement operations isn&rsquo;t only a grave overreach of its purported authorities. It would mean the death of the U.S. as a sovereign and independent nation.&nbsp;</em></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">Again, a State&rsquo;s territorial jurisdiction over acts committed by foreigners <i>in that State&rsquo;s own territory</i> has never been viewed as a violation of anyone&rsquo;s sovereignty and independence. It is an assertion of one of the most basic sovereign prerogatives&mdash;one the United States would never cede. Precisely on this basis, for example, the United States prosecuted German soldiers for unlawful conduct on American soil in the seminal <a href="https://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/317/1/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i>Ex Parte Quirin</i></a> case.</li>
</ul>
<p><em>Our decision and our people would be at the mercy of the ICC and its collaborators in the &ldquo;international community.&rdquo; To accept the ICC is to surrender control of our national destiny.</em></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">The quotation marks disclose the administration&rsquo;s hostility to the idea that nations share common interests and have to work together to address problems they cannot solve alone.</li>
</ul>
<p><em>Perhaps more polite and compliant nations could make their peace with that arrangement. But this is America. Our forefathers fought a revolution against a foreign power &ldquo;transporting us beyond Seas to be tried for pretended offences.&rdquo;&nbsp;</em></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">By the logic in this piece, the nascent United States would have had no jurisdiction against British soldiers committing crimes during the American Revolutionary War. The Founders would not have agreed.</li>
</ul>
<p><em>Independence is our birthright. We don&rsquo;t intend to trade it for rule by a self-appointed priesthood of &ldquo;international law.&rdquo;</em></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">Again, the quotation marks imply disdain towards the mere idea of international order. This approach diminishes the ability of the United States to condemn violations by others, such as Iranian violations in the Strait of Hormuz, Russian atrocities in Ukraine, or any future breaches of rules the United States may one day need to invoke in its own defense.</li>
</ul>
<p><em>The Trump administration will always protect American service members from this threat.&nbsp;</em></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">The way to protect service members from international liability is, first, to follow international law, and, second, to ensure that genuine domestic accountability exists in cases in which it is violated.</li>
</ul>
<p><em>The U.S. is launching a diplomatic campaign with a simple message &mdash; sovereign states over globalism. Those who benefit from American security must not stand idly by while those who provide that security are targeted. This is only the beginning. Using all the tools at our government&rsquo;s disposal, working beside every ally with whom we can make common cause, we will dismantle the ICC &mdash; brick by brick, if necessary.</em></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">This is unlikely to succeed in the long run, which would only enhance the perception of the United States&rsquo; declining global power. U.S. allies are likely to double down &ndash; <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jul/14/eu-rejects-trump-administration-claims-icc-threatens-us-sovereignty" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">and have been doing so</a> &ndash; as they see establishing and engaging with bodies such as the ICC as part of their <i>own </i>sovereign prerogative. Among other things, it is an important component of the response to Russian atrocities in Ukraine. Overstating one&rsquo;s objectives, as the Iran War shows, ends up exposing one&rsquo;s own weaknesses and vulnerabilities.</li>
</ul>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/147437/international-law-response-rubio-icc/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">In Context: Analyzing Secretary Rubio&rsquo;s International Criminal Court Op-Ed</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-16T15:38:47+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Tom Dannenbaum</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-16T15:38:47+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="armed conflict"/>

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	<category term="civilian harm"/>

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</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-16:/293607</id>
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	<title type="html">How to Choose Which Military Members to Hold Accountable for Illegal Boat Strikes</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Not long after beginning his second term in office, President Donald Trump addressed leaders in the ...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p><span>Not long after beginning his second term in office, President Donald Trump </span><a href="https://www.npr.org/2025/03/14/nx-s1-5328539/trump-vows-to-crack-down-on-crime-in-remarks-at-doj" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>addressed</span></a><span> leaders in the Department of Justice: &ldquo;So now as the chief law enforcement officer in our country, I will insist upon and demand full and complete accountability for the wrongs and abuses that have occurred.&rdquo;</span></p>
<p><span>He was, of course, referring to &ldquo;wrongs and abuses&rdquo; he believed were committed against him by that very Department during the interregnum Biden administration. To his critics, this was less a call for justice than it was for </span><a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c0q74pxx871o" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>retribution</span></a><span>. Sixteen months into his second tour of duty and </span><a href="https://abcnews.com/Politics/after-sweeping-scotus-presidential-immunity-ruling-trump-wields/story?id=131541033" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>confident</span></a><span> in his own </span><a href="https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/supreme-courts-presidential-immunity-ruling-undermines-democracy" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>criminal immunity</span></a><span>, Trump&rsquo;s unilateral use of military force domestically and abroad is </span><a href="https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2026/02/usa-aggression-against-venezuela-further-weakens-rules-based-order/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>widely</span></a> <a href="https://www.aclu.org/news/national-security/trumps-expanded-domestic-military-use-should-worry-us-all" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>believed</span></a><span> to be </span><a href="https://www.americanprogress.org/article/trumps-strikes-in-the-caribbean-are-a-dangerous-illegal-abuse-of-wartime-power-it-wont-stop-there/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>illegal</span></a><span> by </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/126802/expert-backgrounder-law-shipwrecked-survivors/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>most</span></a> <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/121167/us-servicemembers-liability-lethal-strikes/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>national</span></a> <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/125998/boat-strikes-shipwrecked-servicemembers/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>security</span></a> <a href="https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/the-administration-s-drug-boat-strikes-are-crimes-against-humanity" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>law</span></a> <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/142733/killing-tren-de-aragua-leaders-venezuela/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>experts</span></a> <a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2025/11/20/national-guard-washington-dc-00663137?ceid=%7b%7bContactsEmailID%7d%7d&amp;emci=77e81ab7-e6c6-f011-8196-6045bdfe8e9c&amp;emdi=ea000000-0000-0000-0000-000000000001" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>and</span></a> <a href="https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/court-finds-trumps-use-soldiers-los-angeles-illegal" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>courts</span></a><span>. This has made his call for &ldquo;full and complete accountability&rdquo; seem both hypocritical and possibly a </span><a href="https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2026/06/usa-four-months-after-horrific-minab-school-airstrike-accountability-delayed/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>dead-end</span></a><span>. The </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/26/magazine/lethality-us-military-pete-hegseth.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>message</span></a><span> to the force is clear: Secretary of Defense Hegseth&rsquo;s pithy </span><a href="https://www.vox.com/podcasts/485145/pete-hegseth-trump-defense-department-lethality-iran-war" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>refrain</span></a><span> of &ldquo;maximum lethality, not tepid legality&rdquo; serves as his strategic intent for managing the war in Iran and his lethal force against Latin American gangs and cartels. Presumably, this leaves accountability a moot or irrelevant point (if nobody&rsquo;s doing anything wrong, for what do we need accountability?).</span></p>
<p><span>Nevertheless, accountability remains an imperative if one subscribes to the rule of law. There is no presidential or wartime exception. The rule of law remains the bedrock constitutional constraint on the chief executive. The president has a constitutional duty to &ldquo;</span><a href="https://constitution.congress.gov/browse/essay/artII-S3-3-1/ALDE_00001160/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>take Care</span></i></a><i><span> that the Laws be faithfully executed</span></i><span>&rdquo; and, like other federal officials, swears an </span><a href="https://constitution.congress.gov/constitution/article-2/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>oath</span></a><span> to &ldquo;</span><i><span>preserve, protect and defend the Constitution</span></i><span>&rdquo; (emphases added).&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The question of accountability for the crimes committed </span><i><span>at the direction of a president</span></i><span> is a </span><a href="https://www.yalejreg.com/nc/even-if-the-president-is-immune-his-subordinates-are-not-by-zachary-s-price/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>difficult one</span></a><span>&nbsp;that has been </span><a href="https://www.hks.harvard.edu/centers/carr-ryan/our-work/carr-ryan-commentary/one-governments-efforts-dismantle-accountability" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>asked</span></a><span> regularly since Trump&rsquo;s second term began. Among those crimes, the military&rsquo;s </span><a href="https://news.usni.org/2026/03/25/4-killed-in-strike-on-suspected-narco-boat" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Operation Southern Spear</span></a> <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2025/12/07/politics/trump-immunity-drug-boat-strikes-hegseth" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>looms large</span></a><span> for those skeptical that accountability will find the </span><a href="https://thehill.com/policy/defense/5643557-hegseth-bradley-legal-liability/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>appropriate target</span></a><span>. These lethal strikes on alleged &ldquo;narco-terrorists&rdquo; in the Caribbean and eastern Pacific Ocean since September 2025 have been </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/120753/collection-u-s-lethal-strikes-on-suspected-drug-traffickers/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>thoroughly analyzed and roundly condemned</span></a><span> by national security and military law experts as unlawful on several levels: as murder and extrajudicial killings under domestic criminal law and international human rights law; as beyond the unilateral </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/121862/ask-bondi-cartel-strikes-judiciary-hearing/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Article II powers</span></a><span> of the president; as </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/128517/war-powers-venezuela-drug-boats-and-congress/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>violations</span></a><span> of the War Powers Resolution; and even the laws of war </span><a href="https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/trump-declares-u-s-in-non-international-armed-conflict-with-drug-cartels" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>assuming</span></a> <i><span>arguendo</span></i><span> that this is a legitimate armed conflict in which those laws apply (to be clear, it is </span><a href="https://opiniojuris.org/2025/12/18/the-war-on-drugs-is-not-a-war-part-i-foreign-military-interventions-against-drug-cartels/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>not</span></a><span>).</span></p>
<p><span>In the wake of the Supreme Court&rsquo;s</span><a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/23pdf/23-939_e2pg.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span> Trump v. United States</span></i></a><span> decision that created a rule for presidential criminal immunity, Trump is unlikely to face domestic prosecution in the future. But that decision says nothing about immunity for all the other subordinate government officials, including military servicemembers, involved in illegal acts. The uniformed personnel, the intelligence officers, and others who actively participated in these lethal strikes are subject to potential prosecution. This analysis focuses on military personnel, and asks the hard question any future U.S. administration committed to the rule of law will need to confront: if criminal prosecutions are ever to be used to hold participants in these unlawful uses of force to account, what transparent, reasoned, non-arbitrary standard should be used for deciding who in uniform should be subject to criminal liability for executing these patently illegal missions?&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The answer is found in the four &ldquo;requirements for exemplary conduct&rdquo; already encoded in </span><a href="https://uscode.house.gov/view.xhtml?req=granuleid:USC-prelim-title10-section8167&amp;num=0&amp;edition=prelim" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>federal law</span></a><span>. While traditional discretionary considerations remain relevant and useful, the additional considerations found in that legislative standard of conduct justify limiting prosecution to only certain commanders and &ldquo;others in authority&rdquo; in the relevant chain-of-command executing those strikes.&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><b>Prosecutions are Unlikely, But What If?</b></h2>
<p><span>Last September, not long after the Trump Administration began reporting on the military&rsquo;s lethal strikes on alleged drug-traffickers, I </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/121167/us-servicemembers-liability-lethal-strikes/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>described</span></a><span> how U.S. servicemembers could be held accountable under both the federal criminal code and the Uniform Code of Military Justice (</span><a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/10/subtitle-A/part-II/chapter-47" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>UCMJ</span></a><span>) &ndash; the military&rsquo;s specialized code for prosecuting and punishing offenses by court-martial. At the time, there had been three such strikes (there are now </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/124002/timeline-vessel-strikes-related-actions/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>more than 200</span></a><span>), and I was not confident in the prospects of holding anybody, least of all servicemembers, blameworthy. </span><span>I wrote: &ldquo;[t]here remain strong reasons to assess there will be no criminal accountability for these extrajudicial killings,&rdquo; pointing to the </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/12/06/venezuela-boat-strikes-legal-hegseth-bradley/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>possibility</span></a><span> that Trump will issue a blanket pardon before he leaves office, or &ndash; more likely &ndash; the reticence of any military prosecutor or DoJ prosecutor to charge a servicemember for carrying out an operation for which the current President and the DoJ&rsquo;s Office of Legal Counsel </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2025/11/12/trump-drug-boat-venezuela-legal/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>claim</span></a><span> servicemembers are immune from prosecution. To do otherwise would be to simultaneously admit the administration&rsquo;s wrongdoing and scapegoat those in uniform.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>I was less skeptical of a future prosecution in a Democratic administration. Yet, I continue to believe answering for the injustices committed by the American military at Trump&rsquo;s command is going to be a hard sell. First, DoJ&rsquo;s &ldquo;</span><a href="https://www.execfunctions.org/p/the-venezuela-boat-strikes-and-the" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>golden shield</span></a><span>&rdquo; policy purporting to effectively immunize executive branch agents who acted consistently with an Office of Legal Counsel (OLC) opinion, even if that opinion was later rescinded and condemned, is one reason why the probability of a federal murder trial or court-martial is improbable. A future DOJ </span><a href="https://bradwendel.substack.com/p/golden-shields" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>need not maintain</span></a><span> that policy, of course, and this analysis proceeds on the basis of that policy having been rescinded or otherwise not applied to potential prosecutions for the murders at sea.</span></p>
<p><span>Second, political supporters of the president will almost certainly argue that prosecutions for unlawful conduct he ordered is political retribution. And third, some might conclude that prosecutions for this conduct would essentially be scapegoating the military for Trump&rsquo;s and Hegseth&rsquo;s illegality. Putting the second and third concerns together, prosecutions could appear to be political retribution taken out on a nonpartisan military. The appearance of political retribution was a major reason the Justice Department under President Obama </span><a href="https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/the-press-office/statement-president-barack-obama-release-olc-memos" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>chose not</span></a><span> to pursue charges against military, private contractors, or intelligence agency officials who participated in what could only be described as torture of detainees during the preceding Bush Administration. &ldquo;At a time of great challenges and disturbing disunity, nothing will be gained by spending our time and energy laying blame for the past,&rdquo; Obama explained. The result, unfortunately, is a prosecutorial precedent of impunity even for grave crimes sanctioned by senior U.S. leaders and carried out by government actors.</span></p>
<p><span>Ironically, the more the military commits these murders at sea under the false legal reasoning of engaging in an armed conflict, the less likely any single member will be brought to justice. Even if a future Democrat-led DoJ or Pentagon were to acknowledge that these strikes were not lawful acts of war but rather extrajudicial killings and murder, and if either chooses to pursue criminal investigations, there is a follow-on choice to be made about </span><i><span>who</span></i><span> in the chain-of-command </span><i><span>ought</span></i><span> to be charged. As I explained in the earlier </span><a href="https://jsc.defense.gov/Portals/99/2024%20MCM%20files/MCM%20(2024%20ed)%20-%20TOC%20no%20index.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>article</span></a><span>, </span><i><span>everyone</span></i><span> from the four-star admiral commanding the unified Combatant Command down to the pilot or drone operator who pushed the button to release the munition (as well as all the intermediary staff personnel who participated in planning and the logistics for each mission) is culpable for each murder as a principal, under an accomplice theory, or as part of a conspiracy. But that is, conservatively, hundreds or even thousands of named defendants. It is both unrealistic and an inefficient use of government resources to cast such a wide net.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Moreover, the government would be open to the reasonable criticism that attempting to prosecute every individual involved in these missions will risk ignoring the differing degrees of culpability across that population of defendants. Not everyone did the same thing or with the same influence, control, or discretion: there were bit parts, cameos, uncredited appearances, supporting actors, co-stars, writers, choreographers, editors, directors, and production designers in this miniseries of multiple episodes. It would be unfair to expose them all to the same types of punishment.</span></p>
<p><span>If the government were to take up the challenge of holding those involved &ndash; even those in uniform &ndash; criminally liable for the boat strikes, choosing the targets of investigation and prosecution must not be (or even appear to be) opaque, unexplained, arbitrary, or capricious. The government needs some manner of smaller net &ndash; or a net with an appropriate mesh &ndash; to filter out those who are best left to other forms of accountability (like administrative reprimand, or perhaps in some cases simply their own consciences and professional stigma) rather than the full force of prosecution under criminal law.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>There are two viable contenders for that filtration system. Both are methods for deciding whose culpability deserves criminal sanction in the interests of justice reasonably, consistently, and fairly, and without susceptibility to claims of political retribution or retaliation.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><b>Standard Prosecution Factors</b></h2>
<p><span>The first contender for such a method is familiar to civilian and military prosecutors &ndash; the standards and regulations promulgated by a range of actors intending to guide prosecutorial discretion, some applicable across all prosecutorial contexts, and others tailored to the military in particular. First among these, the American Bar Association describes the &ldquo;prosecution function&rdquo; with several normative standards. </span><a href="https://www.americanbar.org/groups/criminal_justice/resources/standards/prosecution-function/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Standard 31.2(b)</span></a><span> (</span><i><span>Functions and Duties of the Prosecutor</span></i><span>) says:&nbsp;</span></p>
<blockquote><p><span>The primary duty of the prosecutor is to seek justice within the bounds of the law, not merely to convict. The prosecutor serves the public interest and should act with integrity and balanced judgment to increase public safety both by pursuing appropriate criminal charges of appropriate severity, and by exercising discretion to not pursue criminal charges in appropriate circumstances.</span></p></blockquote>
<p><span>That discretion is guided by </span><a href="https://www.americanbar.org/groups/criminal_justice/resources/standards/prosecution-function/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Standard 3-4.4</span></a> <span>(</span><i><span>Discretion in Filing, Declining, Maintaining, and Dismissing Criminal Charges</span></i><span>), which lists sixteen factors. Among them, the ABA identifies considerations like &ldquo;the background and characteristics of the offender;&rdquo; &ldquo;the extent or absence of harm caused by the offense;&rdquo; the &ldquo;unwarranted disparate treatment of similarly situated persons;&rdquo; and &ldquo;the fair and efficient distribution of limited prosecutorial resources.&rdquo; The standard warns: &ldquo;the prosecutor should not file or maintain charges greater in number or degree than can reasonably be supported with evidence at trial and are necessary to fairly reflect the gravity of the offense or deter similar conduct.&rdquo;</span></p>
<p><span>The National District Attorney Association&rsquo;s (NDAA) </span><a href="https://www.ndaa.org/news/national-prosecution-standards---fourth-edition-june-2024" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>&ldquo;Prosecution Standard&rdquo; 4-1.3</span></a><span> includes a longer, but very similar, list of pre-trial prosecutorial discretion factors, mirroring the ABA&rsquo;s consideration of evidence sufficiency; suitability of rehabilitative and diversion programs; impact of a prosecution on the victim; availability of civil remedies; treatment of similarly-situated defendants; undue hardship on the accused; and the extent of the harm caused.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The Department of Justice&rsquo;s standards for prosecutors, </span><a href="https://www.justice.gov/jm/jm-9-27000-principles-federal-prosecution" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Rule 9-27.220</span></a><span> (</span><i><span>Grounds for Commencing or Declining Prosecution</span></i><span>), state that charges are appropriate only when the prosecutor:</span></p>
<blockquote><p><span>believes that the person&rsquo;s conduct constitutes a federal offense, and that the admissible evidence will probably be sufficient to obtain and sustain a conviction,&nbsp;unless (1) the prosecution would serve no&nbsp;substantial federal interest; (2) the person is subject to effective prosecution in another jurisdiction; or (3) there exists an adequate non-criminal alternative to prosecution.</span></p></blockquote>
<p><span>Whether a prosecution serves a &ldquo;substantial federal interest&rdquo; is both critical to this disposition choice and extremely difficult to gauge without further guidance. </span><a href="https://www.justice.gov/jm/jm-9-27000-principles-federal-prosecution" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Rule 9-27.230</span></a><span> provides that guidance with a list of considerations analogous to the ABA and the NDAA&rsquo;s standards:&nbsp;</span></p>
<blockquote><p><span>&ldquo;In determining whether a prosecution would serve a substantial federal interest, the attorney for the government should weigh all relevant considerations, including: . . . [t]he nature and seriousness of the offense; . . . [t]he deterrent effect of prosecution; . . . [t]he person&rsquo;s culpability in connection with the offense; . . . [and] [t]he person&rsquo;s history with respect to criminal activity.&rdquo;</span></p></blockquote>
<p><span>These served as models for the military&rsquo;s own list of case disposition factors found in the </span><a href="https://jsc.defense.gov/Portals/99/2024%20MCM%20files/MCM%20(2024%20ed)%20-%20TOC%20no%20index.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Manual for Courts-Martial</span></i></a><span>, a collection of executive orders that include the Rules for Courts-Martial, the Military Rules of Evidence, and authoritative explanations of each criminal offense (and its elements) promulgated by Congress in the Uniform Code of Military Justice (UCMJ). </span><a href="https://jsc.defense.gov/Portals/99/Documents/A-2.1%20Non-Binding%20Disposition%20Guidance%20-%20SIGNED.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Appendix 2.1</span></a><span> of the </span><i><span>Manual</span></i><span> was added at the direction of Congress (see Pub. L. 114&ndash;32 (Dec. 23, 2016), 130 stat. 2907, sec. 5204, codified at </span><a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/10/833" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>10 U.S.C. &sect; 833</span></a><span>). Its purpose is to &ldquo;provide[] guidance regarding factors . . . with respect to the disposition of charges and specifications under the UCMJ, and to further promote the purposes of military law.&rdquo; Besides deterring misconduct and promoting good order and discipline, one of those &ldquo;purposes of military law&rdquo; is &ldquo;to facilitate appropriate accountability&rdquo; (see the </span><i><span>Manual</span></i><span>&rsquo;s Preamble and footnote 1 to </span><a href="https://jsc.defense.gov/Portals/99/Documents/A-2.1%20Non-Binding%20Disposition%20Guidance%20-%20SIGNED.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>App. 2.1, para. 1.1</span></a><span>).&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Like the ABA, NDAA, and DoJ standards and guidelines, the Secretary of Defense, in consultation with the Secretary of Homeland Security, have issued &ldquo;non-binding disposition guidance.&rdquo; That guidance </span><a href="https://jsc.defense.gov/Portals/99/Documents/A-2.1%20Non-Binding%20Disposition%20Guidance%20-%20SIGNED.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>articulates</span></a><span> more than a dozen disposition considerations and factors for &ldquo;how best to exercise&rdquo; prosecutorial discretion in a manner that is &ldquo;reasoned and structured.&rdquo;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Predictably, these considerations also include four factors that are relevant only in a military context:&nbsp;</span></p>
<blockquote><p><span>&ldquo;[t]he effect of the alleged offense on the morale, health, safety, welfare, and good order and discipline of the command; . . . [t]he extent to which the conduct tends to bring discredit upon the armed forces; . . . [w]hether the alleged offense occurred during wartime, combat, or contingency operations; . . . and [t]he mission-related responsibilities of the command.&rdquo;</span></p></blockquote>
<p><span>If there is one common theme threading all such lists of prosecutorial discretion factors it is that justice demands individualized case-by-case determinations in light of the totality of the circumstances, not merely the nature of the offense and gravity of the harm caused.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>However, a federal prosecutor, or a military judge advocate prosecutor, with the power to decide who among the chain-of-command to charge for the boat strike murders, should feel that these standards, factors, and considerations would still leave little more than mere intuition as to what &ldquo;in the interests of justice&rdquo; actually requires in these boat strike cases.&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><b>The Duty to Disobey &ldquo;Clearly Illegal&rdquo; Orders&nbsp;</b></h2>
<p><span>Of course, the gravamen of a prosecution for the boat strikes is the purposeful, premeditated unlawful killing of human beings without lawful excuse or justification &ndash; </span><a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/10/918" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>murder</span></a><span> &ndash; and reasonably interpreted as part of a &ldquo;</span><a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/10/881" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>conspiracy</span></a><span>&rdquo; to commit such acts under the direction of the President, Secretary of Defense, and each commanding officer between those civilian principals and the actual servicemember pulling the trigger or pushing the button. My earlier article explained that &ldquo;just following orders&rdquo; is not a viable defense in such a case because the orders in question are </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/125948/illegal-orders-shipwrecked-boat-strike-survivors/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>patently unlawful</span></a><span>. The affirmative duty to </span><i><span>disobey</span></i><span> such an order is </span><a href="https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/congress-must-define--unlawful-order--under-military-law" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>not made explicit</span></a><span> in the UCMJ, but it is </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/125948/illegal-orders-shipwrecked-boat-strike-survivors/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>clearly stated</span></a><span> in </span><span>the </span><a href="https://ogc.osd.mil/Portals/99/Law%20of%20War%202023/DOD-LAW-OF-WAR-MANUAL-JUNE-2015-UPDATED-JULY%202023.pdf?ver=Qbxamfouw4znu1I7DVMcsw%3d%3d" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Department of Defense&rsquo;s Law of War Manual (2023)</span><span>, which provides:</span></a></p>
<blockquote><p><span>18.3.2.1 </span><span>Clearly Illegal Orders to Commit Law of War Violations</span><span>. The requirement to refuse to comply with orders to commit law of war violations applies to orders to perform conduct that is clearly illegal or orders that the subordinate knows, in fact, are illegal. For example, orders to fire upon the shipwrecked would be clearly illegal.</span></p></blockquote>
<p><span>What&rsquo;s more, others have </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/125948/illegal-orders-shipwrecked-boat-strike-survivors/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>written</span></a><span> in these pages that </span><span>&ldquo;[a]s the </span><a href="https://jsc.defense.gov/Portals/99/2024%20MCM%20files/MCM%20(2024%20ed)%20(2024_01_02)%20(adjusted%20bookmarks).pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Manual for Courts-Martial </span></i></a><span>explains, the general presumption that an order can be inferred to be lawful &lsquo;does not apply to a patently illegal order, such as one that directs the commission of a crime.&rsquo;&rdquo; They went on to </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/125948/illegal-orders-shipwrecked-boat-strike-survivors/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>note</span></a><span> &ldquo;[a]n even more granular explanation of the duty to refuse unlawful orders is provided in the U.S. Navy/Marine Corps/Coast Guard </span><a href="https://stjececmsdusgva001.blob.core.usgovcloudapi.net/public/documents/NWP_1-14M.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Commanders Handbook on the Law of Naval Operations</span></i></a><span> (&sect; 6.1.3.2),&rdquo; which provides:</span></p>
<blockquote><p><span>All naval personnel have a duty to comply with the law of armed conflict in good faith; prevent violations by others to the utmost of their ability; and refuse to comply with clearly illegal orders to commit violations of the law of armed conflict. Naval personnel have an affirmative obligation to promptly report violations [of] which they become aware. [&hellip;] Commands and orders should not be understood as implicitly authorizing violations of the law of armed conflict where other interpretations are reasonably </span><span>available.</span></p></blockquote>
<p><span>These manuals and guidance should make clear that every individual from the top of the chain to the bottom </span><i><span>could</span></i><span> be held responsible for these murders at sea. The &ldquo;in the interests of justice&rdquo; standard described above could apply across those involved and could even be seen as an important reinforcement of the rule that &ldquo;following orders&rdquo; is no defense. But because those involved should not all be seen to have the same level of culpability morally, and because this would be casting the net too wide, another metric is needed.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>There is another, less-well-known, set of considerations that could be employed to help prosecutors sift the criminally culpable from those servicemembers best left out of the criminal justice system under the circumstances.</span></p>
<h2><b>&ldquo;Exemplary Conduct&rdquo; Expectations</b></h2>
<p><span>In 1775, John Adams drafted for the Continental Congress the first set of regulations governing the nascent unified Navy</span><span>. Article 1 of those regulations </span><a href="https://www.usni.org/magazines/proceedings/2003/september/officers-authority-and-responsibility" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>stated</span></a><span>:</span></p>
<blockquote><p><span>The Commanders of all ships and vessels belonging to the thirteen united colonies, are strictly required to shew [sic] in themselves a good example of honor and virtue to their officers and men, and to be very vigilant in inspecting the behaviour [sic] of all such as are under them, and to discountenance and suppress all dissolute, immoral and disorderly practices; and also, such as are contrary to the rules of discipline and obedience, and to correct those who are guilty of the same according to the usage of the sea.</span></p></blockquote>
<p><span>In 1956, almost identical language was enacted into law regulating commanding officers and &ldquo;others in authority&rdquo; in each of the armed services, not just the Navy. Revised slightly in 1997, </span><a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/10/7233" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>10 U.S.C. &sect; 7233</span></a><span>, covering the Army, states:&nbsp;</span></p>
<blockquote><p><span>All commanding officers and others in authority in the Army are required&mdash;</span></p>
<p><span>(1) to show in themselves a good example of virtue, honor, patriotism, and subordination;</span></p>
<p><span>(2) to be vigilant in inspecting the conduct of all persons who are placed under their command;</span></p>
<p><span>(3) to guard against and suppress all dissolute and immoral practices, and to correct, according to the laws and regulations of the Army, all persons who are guilty of them; and</span></p>
<p><span>(4) to take all necessary and proper measures, under the laws, regulations, and customs of the Army, to promote and safeguard the morale, the physical well-being, and the general welfare of the officers and enlisted persons under their command or charge.</span></p></blockquote>
<p><span>The </span><a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/10/9233" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Air Force</span></a><span> (including the Space Force) and the </span><a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/10/8167" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Navy</span></a><span> (including the Marine Corps) have substantively identical statutes.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>These sections of Title 10 are outside the UCMJ and therefore do not contain a criminal prohibition backed by threat of punishment &ndash; at least not directly. By establishing what amount to professional obligations and duties commensurate with having command or other leadership authority, violating any of these four &ldquo;requirements&rdquo; could be used as a basis for charging &ldquo;dereliction of duty&rdquo; under </span><a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/10/892" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Article 92(3) of the UCMJ</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The </span><i><span>Manual for Courts-Martial</span></i><span> (</span><a href="https://jsc.defense.gov/Portals/99/2024%20MCM%20files/MCM%20(2024%20ed)%20-%20TOC%20no%20index.pdf?ver=b7JVpxV5rbIHg0ENlCRVKQ%3d%3d" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Part IV, para. 18.c.(3)(a)</span></a><span>) explains that a &ldquo;duty&rdquo; can be &ldquo;imposed by treaty, </span><i><span>statute</span></i><span>, regulation, lawful order, standard operating procedure, or custom of the Service&rdquo; (emphasis added). Moreover, failing to meet these requirements could serve as the basis for a charge of &ldquo;conduct unbecoming an officer&rdquo; under </span><a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/10/933" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Article 133, UCMJ</span></a><span>, or conduct that is &ldquo;prejudicial to good order and discipline&rdquo; or &ldquo;service-discrediting&rdquo; under </span><a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/10/934" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Article 134, UCMJ</span></a><span>. The maximum punishment for the willful dereliction of duty &ldquo;resulting in death or grievous bodily harm&rdquo; is confinement for two years, forfeiture of pay, and a dishonorable discharge (a &ldquo;dismissal&rdquo; for officers) (</span><a href="https://jsc.defense.gov/Portals/99/2024%20MCM%20files/MCM%20(2024%20ed)%20-%20TOC%20no%20index.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>MCM, Part IV, para. 18.d.(3)(d)</span></a><span>).</span></p>
<p><span>In this light, the four requirements for exemplary conduct serve the additional tacit function of giving prosecutors a filter by which to screen for those servicemembers most culpable for these boat strikes: the commanders and &ldquo;others in authority&rdquo; under the circumstances. It is these leaders who, after receiving the order to strike these boats, do not disobey but rather engage in planning these strikes with their staffs, producing derivative orders that are sent down the chain-of-command ultimately issuing specific commands to the supervisor of the servicemember responsible for launching that missile &ndash; be it a pilot in an aircraft or a drone operator looking at a computer screen.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>A servicemember &ndash; especially those in command who have received additional training in complying with federal law and the laws of war &ndash; cannot be acting virtuously, or </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/136816/legal-foundations-honorable-military-service/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>honorably</span></a><span> when they obey an order to kill alleged criminals without due process outside of a lawful armed conflict, even if the Department of Justice now claims that such acts are legal because the President is engaged in an armed conflict with cartels (as a matter of international law, that is </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/121844/trump-notice-drug-cartels/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>wrong</span></a><span>; and the DoJ </span><a href="https://ccrjustice.org/home/press-center/press-releases/court-hears-arguments-releasing-memo-trump-administration-claims" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>refuses to publish</span></a><span> even a redacted version of the OLC opinion on the boat strikes).&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>That failure of backbone is a sad signal that commanders are disowning responsibility and avoiding accountability for the illegality of these strikes. Consider what the Senate Committee on the Armed Forces </span><a href="https://www.congress.gov/committee-report/105th-congress/senate-report/29/1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>wrote in its 1997 report</span></a><span> (section 554) preceding an update to Exemplary Conduct statute:</span></p>
<blockquote><p><span>The committee is disappointed to note that, in the past several years, some officers have shown reluctance to accept responsibility and accountability for their actions and the actions of their subordinates. This provision will . . . establish a very clear standard by which Congress and the nation can measure officers of our military services. The committee holds military officers to a higher standard than other members of society. . . [so] the [n]ation deserves complete integrity, moral courage, and the highest moral and ethical conduct.</span></p></blockquote>
<p><span>As a measuring stick purposely designed for gauging the professional integrity, moral courage, and ethical conduct of such leaders, these requirements for exemplary conduct provide a transparent, repeatable, non-arbitrary, non-capricious consideration for choosing which servicemembers should face federal prosecution for the boat strike murders, if any. Besides serving as a filter, the existence of these statutory requirements justifies limiting the scope of criminal prosecution to just those servicemembers spoken to by Congress in this law. Given that these requirements have been imposed by a statute and long pre-date these controversies, they are less likely to be criticized as enabling a campaign of political retaliation by a future Democratic administration against anyone executing Trump&rsquo;s commands.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Prosecutorial discretion over which military members ought to be charged for crimes related to Operation Southern Spear should </span><i><span>start </span></i><span>with these &ldquo;requirements for exemplary conduct.&rdquo; Who, specifically, is in that roster of commanders and &ldquo;others in authority&rdquo; involved in this campaign is uncertain beyond the Commander of U.S. Southern Command and any commander directly subordinate to him traced all the way down to the commanding officer of the person proximately responsible for firing the kill shots. To either cull that roster or to include hosts of subordinate staff officers is the function of the traditional discretionary factors listed in Appendix 2.1 of the</span><i><span> Manual for Courts-Martial</span></i><span>. The novelty of this approach is two-fold: (1) it includes consideration of Congress&rsquo;s prescribed standards of conduct; and (2) places that consideration </span><i><span>before </span></i><span>conventional factors like evidence availability, potential punishments, the accused&rsquo;s role in the misconduct and degree of culpability, and &ldquo;mission-related responsibilities.&rdquo;</span></p>
<h2><b>Conclusion&nbsp;</b></h2>
<p><span>If accountability for the unlawful boat strikes is to ever happen, and if that accountability involves criminal prosecution, the government will face the awkward but critical question of &ldquo;who exactly do we charge? Everyone? Only the most senior commander who clearly knew better? Only the drone operator or pilot who fired the missile? What about the hordes of planners in-between who did the necessary staff work to make the operation executable?&rdquo;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Traditional disposition considerations (like those from the DoJ and in the </span><i><span>Manual for Courts-Martial</span></i><span>) remain relevant, but their very nature demands a case-by-case discretionary assessment. There is a strategic question of whether certain servicemembers &ndash; by virtue of their involvement or rank or responsibility &ndash; should be the </span><i><span>only</span></i><span> criminal defendants.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>To make that judgment, the traditional considerations are necessary but insufficient. The government would benefit from a transparent, non-arbitrary, and non-capricious filter that avoids the hint of political retaliation. The &ldquo;requirement for exemplary conduct&rdquo; statute provides that nonpartisan filter and justification. When the planning and execution of these unlawful boat strikes is viewed against the framing of these &ldquo;exemplary conduct&rdquo; requirements alongside the traditional prosecutorial discretion factors noted above, these additional duties ought to help prosecutors decide which, if any, servicemembers deserve the criminal consequences of their choices to obey unlawful orders.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The exemplary conduct requirements imposed in these statutes are a direct message from the military&rsquo;s </span><i><span>other</span></i><span> civilian principal &ndash; Congress &ndash; about the high standards expected of those in uniform privileged to have responsibility for the actions of others in uniform.</span></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/145257/military-members-accountable-illegal-boat-strikes/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">How to Choose Which Military Members to Hold Accountable for Illegal Boat Strikes</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-16T13:04:19+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Daniel Maurer</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-16T13:04:19+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="civilian harm"/>

	<category term="courts &amp; litigation"/>

	<category term="democracy &amp; rule of law"/>

	<category term="executive branch"/>

	<category term="extrajudicial killing"/>

	<category term="featured articles"/>

	<category term="immunity"/>

	<category term="international humanitarian law (ihl)"/>

	<category term="judge advocates general (jags)"/>

	<category term="law enforcement"/>

	<category term="law of armed conflict (loac)"/>

	<category term="military"/>

	<category term="military justice"/>

	<category term="military law"/>

	<category term="murder"/>

	<category term="narco-trafficking"/>

	<category term="operation absolute resolve"/>

	<category term="operation southern spear"/>

	<category term="oversight"/>

	<category term="prosecution"/>

	<category term="prosecutorial discretion"/>

	<category term="rule of law"/>

	<category term="u.s. lethal strikes on suspected drug traffickers"/>

	<category term="uniform code of military justice"/>

	<category term="unlawful orders"/>

	<category term="venezuela"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-16:/293608</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146560/involuntarily-mobilize-military-lawyers-wrong/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=involuntarily-mobilize-military-lawyers-wrong" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Why It’s Wrong to Involuntarily Mobilize Reserve JAGs for Immigration Cases</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth plans to involuntarily mobilize military lawyers for duty as ...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p><span>U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth plans to </span><b><i>involuntarily mobilize</i></b><span> military lawyers for duty as immigration judges and to serve as government counsel in cases involving detained migrant children, according to </span><a href="https://news.bloomberglaw.com/us-law-week/hegseth-moves-to-order-military-lawyers-to-be-immigration-judges" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Bloomberg</span></a><span>. The Department of Defense is first seeking volunteers, but if too few people step forward, Hegseth has authorized involuntary activation. These Reserve judge advocates will be assigned cases involving unaccompanied children being held in custody by the Health and Human Services (HHS) Office of Refugee Resettlement in detention and deportation matters.</span></p>
<p><span>If Bloomberg&rsquo;s reporting is correct, this decision by Hegseth is simply wrong. Federal law specifies that involuntary mobilization is to be used for war or national emergencies. These authorities have been most recently relied upon to activate, and in many cases deploy, Reservists in support of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. Even in light of the broad deference given to the executive branch to respond to a variety of crises, using involuntary mobilization of Reserve military lawyers to prosecute cases against children in HHS custody, or to fix this administration&rsquo;s self-inflicted </span><a href="https://www.npr.org/2026/01/10/nx-s1-5672386/the-trump-administration-fired-nearly-100-immigration-judges-in-2025-whats-next" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>shortage</span></a><span> of </span><a href="https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/immigration-judge-says-trump-administrations-firings-and-policies-are-disheartening" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>immigration judges</span></a><span>, makes a mockery of the intent and importance of the mobilization statutes to the United States&rsquo; defense.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The proposal is fundamentally unfair to both the JAGs, who have no training or experience in immigration law, and to the immigrants involved in legal proceedings, who are entitled to meaningful due process. It would also wrongfully spend money appropriated for military activities for other governmental and political purposes completely unrelated to military actions. Finally, the second and third order effects of the plan would have near-term and long-term impacts to the perceptions of the U.S. armed forces, particularly the military&rsquo;s Reserve components.</span></p>
<h2><b>An Abuse of Authority</b></h2>
<p><span>Members of the military&rsquo;s Reserve components can be called to active duty under several provisions of Title 10 of the U.S. Code, which governs actions by the Department of Defense and military services.</span> <span>Reservists can </span><b>voluntarily</b><span> serve on active duty for specified periods of time under </span><a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/10/12301" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>10 U.S.C. 12301</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Reservists can be </span><b>involuntarily </b><span>called to active duty only under the following conditions for specific purposes and periods of time under the law:</span></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1"><b>For service on active duty for a war or national emergency</b><span> declared by Congress (or otherwise authorized by law) for the </span>duration of the war <span>plus six months. </span><a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/10/12301" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>10 U.S.C. 12301</span></a><span>.</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><b>For service on active duty in a time of national emergency</b><span> declared by the president (or when otherwise authorized by law) for </span>no more than 24 consecutive months<span>. </span><a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/10/12302" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>10 U.S.C. 12302</span></a><span>.</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><b>For service to augment the active forces</b><span> (or perform other specified duties not relevant here) for </span>no longer than 365 consecutive days. <a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/10/12304" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>10 U.S.C. 12304</span></a><span>.</span></li>
</ul>
<p><span>Reservists have civilian as well as military jobs, and are often some of their civilian employers&rsquo; best employees. The Uniformed Services Employment and Reemployment Rights Act (</span><a href="https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/USCODE-2017-title38/html/USCODE-2017-title38-partIII-chap43.htm" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>USERRA</span></a><span>) provides civilian job protections when they are called to active duty. </span></p>
<p><span>The U.S. government counts on employer support for the country&rsquo;s Reservists. Employers cannot discriminate against employees who are on reserves and are required to hold their jobs for them during their military service. Although these are strong legal requirements, Reservists and the military services depend on the good will of employers to support them as they perform their military duties. Misuse of the military through involuntary mobilization for non-military activities will destroy the goodwill of employers to support the country&rsquo;s military services now and in the future when Reservists are needed to participate in legitimate military actions in defense of the country.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Most Reserve judge advocates who were called up for active duty during the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan served on voluntary orders. The overwhelming majority enjoyed the enthusiastic support of their employers, many of whom even made up the difference between their civilian and military pay. Relatively few were involuntarily activated for these critical wartime duties. The proposed use by Hegseth of involuntary mobilization for purposes wholly unrelated to military actions is an abuse of the authority given to him. It will undermine the purpose and importance of Reserve Component military service. </span></p>
<p><span>If implemented, it would also adversely impact morale and the ability to attract and retain qualified Reserve judge advocates for the future. They signed up to continue their military service part-time and to be ready to be activated and deployed when needed. They did not sign up to serve as immigration judges or government counsel in immigration proceedings. If, as the </span><a href="https://news.bloomberglaw.com/us-law-week/hegseth-moves-to-order-military-lawyers-to-be-immigration-judges" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Bloomberg article</span></a><span> suggests, these judge advocates will be employed in their &ldquo;home area,&rdquo; their use as prosecutors or judges in their communities could undermine not only their own personal relationships but also their community&rsquo;s respect for the military.</span></p>
<p><span>The Reserve judge advocate force is a critical trained resource for the active-duty military and the nation&rsquo;s defense. It is not a fungible source of generic legal services for the government to use when it wants. The country cannot squander this valuable national resource for short-term, non-military ends.</span></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146560/involuntarily-mobilize-military-lawyers-wrong/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Why It&rsquo;s Wrong to Involuntarily Mobilize Reserve JAGs for Immigration Cases</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-16T12:39:39+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Andrew Turley</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-16T12:39:39+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="democracy &amp; rule of law"/>

	<category term="department of defense (dod)"/>

	<category term="emergency powers"/>

	<category term="executive branch"/>

	<category term="featured articles"/>

	<category term="immigration"/>

	<category term="judge advocates general (jags)"/>

	<category term="military"/>

	<category term="military reserves"/>

	<category term="national emergency"/>

	<category term="oversight"/>

	<category term="pentagon"/>

	<category term="pete hegseth"/>

	<category term="rule of law"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-16:/293609</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/147545/early-edition-july-16-2026/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=early-edition-july-16-2026" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Early Edition: July 16, 2026</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Sign up to receive the Early Edition in your inbox&nbsp;here.
A curated guide to major news and developme...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Sign up to receive the Early Edition in your inbox&nbsp;<a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/newsletter-signup/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">here</a>.</p>
<p>A curated guide to major news and developments over the weekend. Here&rsquo;s today&rsquo;s news:</p>
<p><b><i>IRAN WAR</i></b></p>
<p><b>The United States intensified its strikes on Iran overnight, hitting targets around Tehran and other areas in northern Iran, </b><span>Iranian state media said. U.S. Central Command said its fifth consecutive day of strikes aimed at Iranian command centers, air defense sites, and missile and drone capabilities. </span><span>U.S. </span><span>forces also yesterday fired on a Cura&ccedil;ao-flagged oil tanker, as it was accused of trying to break the blockade of Iranian ports. Iran retaliated this morning with missile and drone strikes targeting U.S. allies in the region and warned that attacks may escalate. Jon Gambrell reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-hormuz-strait-war-july-16-2026-f98ff56554de2336f0e85bb5fdcae769" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>; Eric Schmitt, Farnaz Fassihi, and Alan Yuhas report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/07/15/world/iran-war-trump-hormuz" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>President Trump is leaning toward expanding U.S. military operations in Iran after days of briefings from his top aides, </b><span>U.S. officials said. Options include stepping up airstrikes, sending ground forces to seize Iranian islands near the Strait of Hormuz, and bombing a fortified site at Pickaxe Mountain that could be used for covert nuclear work. The officials added that Trump has not made a final decision on next steps in the war. Three U.S. officials told </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-strikes-iran-strengthen-trumps-options-new-escalation-officials-say-2026-07-15/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> that the recent wave of U.S. strikes has targeted Iranian military capabilities that the United States would want to destroy before executing more complex operations against Iran. Alexander Ward and Laurence Norman report for the</span> <a href="https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/trump-leans-toward-expanding-u-s-military-operations-in-iran-6c230462?mod=hp_lead_pos2" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Wall Street Journal</span></a><span>; Phil Stewart and Idrees Ali report.</span></p>
<p><b>Iran&rsquo;s lead negotiator Brig. Gen. Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf said yesterday that Iran is &ldquo;in an essential and existential war with America,&rdquo; while signalling that the door to negotiations was not closed. </b><span>Ghalibaf issued a long statement saying Iran would defend itself on the battlefield, adding, &ldquo;We must also use the tools of diplomacy and negotiations to achieve and realize our national interest.&rdquo; Farnaz Fassihi reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/15/world/middleeast/iran-ghalibaf-us-talks.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b>In a statement published on social media this morning, Iranian army spokesman Brig. Gen. Mohammad Akraminia warned that if Trump carried out his threat to attack Iran&rsquo;s infrastructure, Iran would strike and crush all infrastructure across the Gulf region</b><span>. He added that &ldquo;under no circumstances and in no way will we allow America&hellip;to interfere in the Strait of Hormuz. This is Iran&rsquo;s invincible red line.&rdquo; Chloe Taylor reports for </span><a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/16/iran-warns-of-hormuz-red-line-retaliation-to-trumps-strike-threats.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>CNBC</span></a><span>; </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/iran-war-live-iran-says-it-targeted-bases-kuwait-jordan-after-new-wave-us-2026-07-16/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Trump said on social media yesterday that Tehran made a goodwill gesture by releasing an American citizen wrongly detained in Iran since 2024. </b><span>Human rights lawyer Jared Genser released a statement identifying the detainee as his client Dena Karari, a U.S.-Iranian citizen who runs a nonprofit and was charged with espionage.</span><span> Jon Gambrell reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-hormuz-strait-war-july-16-2026-f98ff56554de2336f0e85bb5fdcae769" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b>Crude oil loading was suspended at all Iraqi terminals today after a drone crashed into an oil tanker at the Basra terminal, </b><span>four Iraqi oil and security sources told </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/iran-war-live-iran-says-it-targeted-bases-kuwait-jordan-after-new-wave-us-2026-07-16/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.</span><span> It was not immediately clear who launched the drone. Aref Mohammed reports.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>IRAN WAR &ndash; LEBANON&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>After two days of U.S.-mediated talks in Rome, Israel and Lebanon took steps towards implementing &ldquo;pilot zones&rdquo; in southern Lebanon where Israeli forces would withdraw and turn over control to the Lebanese army, </b><span>the U.S. State Department said yesterday. The statement said that the talks were &ldquo;productive&rdquo; and the parties &ldquo;agreed on the structure and guidelines for the pilot zone process to be finalized and implemented in the coming days.&rdquo; Abby Sewell reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/lebanon-israel-rome-hezbollah-withdrawal-agreement-pilot-zones-3101eba31e8e7a67d3bcd2995f900377" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>RUSSIA-UKRAINE WAR&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Ukrainian Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov confirmed yesterday that he was leaving his role after just six months as defense chief. </b><span>Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has yet to provide a reason for Fedorov&rsquo;s departure. Some in Ukraine have linked the dismissal to tensions between Fedorov and the more conventionally minded Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi. Protests against Fedorov&rsquo;s departure erupted in several Ukrainian cities yesterday. &ldquo;This is the worst mistake Zelenskyy has made during his entire presidency,&rdquo; a Ukrainian soldier told </span><a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cdx76069n3do" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>BBC News</span></a><span>. Andrew E. Kramer reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/15/world/europe/ukraine-minister-of-defense-mykhailo-fedorov-zelensky-war-russia.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>; Laura Gozzi, Anastasiia Levchenko, and Sarah Rainsford report.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Ukraine said it has hit more than 110 Russian vessels in nine days in the Sea of Azov.</b><span> &ldquo;I cannot stress enough how unprecedented this is,&rdquo; a senior analyst at maritime security agency Ambrey said. &ldquo;We have never seen anything so concentrated on a global scale.&rdquo; </span><span>The </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/15/world/europe/ukraine-russia-crimea-azov-sea.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span> was unable to verify Ukraine&rsquo;s claim. Russia has acknowledged only a handful of attacks on its ships</span><span>. Alice Hancock and Christopher Miller report for the </span><a href="https://www.ft.com/content/6d5e952f-eb03-4277-a8b4-caae478a02d9?syn-25a6b1a6=1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Financial Times</span></a><span>; Nataliya Vasilyeva, Marc Santora, and Cassandra Vinograd report.</span></p>
<p><b><i>SUDANESE CIVIL WAR&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>A </b><a href="https://www.reuters.com/investigations/us-contractor-mystery-boeings-operating-sudan-paramilitary-supply-routes-2026-07-15/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>Reuters</b></a><b> investigation has found that companies owned by U.S. Army Special Forces veteran Steven Shaulis operated a fleet of ageing Boeing aircraft that flew to key logistics hubs used by the Sudanese Rapid Support Forces paramilitary during the war.</b><span> Alexander Dziadosz, Reade Levinson, and David Lewis report.</span></p>
<p><b><i>OTHER GLOBAL DEVELOPMENTS</i></b><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Venezuela&rsquo;s interim government announced yesterday that it will start holding formal talks with some members of the opposition from Aug. 1. </b><span>An opposition statement said the talks would lay down &ldquo;a route map towards democracy.&rdquo; Vanessa Buschschluter reports for </span><a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c1eye5320g5o" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>BBC News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>More than 500 people are feared dead after reports that two boats carrying Rohingya passengers have capsized in the Bay of Bengal, </b><span>U.N. officials said today. Kristen Gelineau reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/un-rohingya-myanmar-bangladesh-boats-migration-refugees-40aade57d92ab1828f86d82141ef884c" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>2,011 cases of Ebola have been confirmed in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, including 754 deaths, </b><span>according to data released yesterday. </span><span>Health workers at Bunia General Hospital, the region&rsquo;s largest medical center, went on strike yesterday over payment issues. </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/congo-ebola-outbreak-who-2000-cases-b0645a84c4f95c7101e343484edeac1b" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. FOREIGN AFFAIRS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Senior Pentagon officials have examined a range of options for possible action against Cuba in recent weeks, </b><span>including an Army-led air assault involving thousands of U.S. soldiers to be carried out by the 101st Airborne Division, according to multiple U.S. officials. Officials added that no decision has been made and that current military priorities remain focused on the renewed conflict with Iran. James LaPorta, Margaret Brennan, Jennifer Jacobs, and Eleanor Watson report for </span><a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cuba-military-options-pentagon/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>CBS News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Trump administration yesterday announced a new 25% tariff on many Brazilian imports, citing alleged unfair trade practices, </b><span>with exemptions for key exports such as oil, beef, coffee, oranges, and aircraft parts; the tariff will replace earlier measures that were struck down by the Supreme Court. Ana Swanson and Ana Ionova report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/15/business/economy/trump-brazil-tariffs.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>China is now viewed more positively than the United States in 25 out of 36 countries around the world,</b><span> according to a new study by the Pew Research Center, a U.S.-based think tank. Tessa Wong reports for </span><a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cd959q11g54o" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>BBC News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. IMMIGRATION DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Trump said yesterday that ICE must not abandon vehicle stops, a day after the agency temporarily paused the tactic in most cases following two killings by ICE agents. </b><span>&ldquo;Once we [halt the practice], we are playing right into the criminal&rsquo;s hands. The Radical Left Dumocrats would like to see this done, but it won&rsquo;t happen on my watch,&rdquo; Trump said on social media. </span><span>Myah Ward reports for </span><a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2026/07/15/trump-blasts-dhs-decision-to-pause-immigration-traffic-stops-00998510" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>POLITICO</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The FBI is investigating whether drugs were inside a van last week when ICE agents killed the driver, Lorenzo Sagado Araujo, in Houston,</b><span> according to a search warrant application signed by a federal judge on Tuesday. The warrant stated that the FBI is gathering all facts related to the incident, &ldquo;including what may have caused the occupants of the vehicle to flee.&rdquo; J. David Goodman reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/15/us/fbi-search-drugs-houston-ice-shooting.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Trump administration shared confidential information about Iranian asylum seekers with Iranian officials in Washington,</b><span> according to a court filing yesterday by the Iranian American Legal Defense Fund. A lawyer for the group said </span><span>an Iranian official reported receiving regular dossiers on Iranian detainees from ICE for months last year.</span><span> Zach Montague reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/15/us/politics/state-dept-ice-iran-deportation.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>A </b><a href="https://www.hrw.org/report/2026/07/15/youre-only-getting-out-deported-or-dead/abusive-us-immigration-detention-at-ft" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>report</b></a><b> by Human Rights Watch and the ACLU published yesterday says that detainees at the Camp East Montana ICE facility in Texas have experienced widespread physical abuse, poor living conditions, inadequate medical care, and restricted access to lawyers and family,</b><span> based on interviews with 71 detainees. Michael Biesecker reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/ice-camp-detention-trump-homeland-security-dhs-immigration-deaths-abuse-30ec92636a5601b0071895efa871b990" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. DOMESTIC DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>House Democrats split nearly evenly yesterday on an amendment to cut off U.S. aid to Israel. </b><span>The amendment failed 104-314-10, with 103 Democrats voting in favour. The vote reflects a significant shift in Democratic attitudes towards Israel. Emily Brooks reports for </span><a href="https://thehill.com/homenews/house/5970608-pelosi-clark-massie-israel-amendment/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>The Hill</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Todd Blanche&rsquo;s nomination as U.S. attorney general faces uncertainty after a contentious Senate confirmation hearing,</b><span> where Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) questioned his role in a $1.8 billion compensation fund and his independence from Trump. Following the hearing, Cornyn said he had not made up his mind yet on whether to support the nomination. Glenn Thrush, Devlin Barrett, Michael Gold, and Alan Feuer report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/15/us/politics/todd-blanche-attorney-general-confirmation.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Jay Clayton, Trump&rsquo;s choice to be the next director of national intelligence, was pressed yesterday by Democrats on election matters in his confirmation hearing before the Senate Intelligence Committee. </b><span>Clayton repeatedly declined to say that former President Joe Biden had won the 2020 election or to disagree with actions taken by Trump. Julian E. Barnes reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/07/15/us/trump-news" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>AIR FORCE ONE&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>The </b><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/15/business/media/new-york-times-subpoenas-quash.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>New York Times</b></a><b> filed a motion yesterday to quash subpoenas issued last week by the Trump administration to several of its journalists.</b><span> The subpoenas seek to compel the journalists to testify about their confidential sources following articles that disclosed security concerns about the new Air Force One jet. Michael M. Grynbaum reports.</span></p>
<p><b>The FBI has sought to speak with several people who traveled aboard the new Air Force One jet with Trump last week, including asking some to turn over their phones, </b><span>as part of a leak investigation into reporting by the New York Times, sources said. Maggie Haberman and Glenn Thrush report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/15/us/politics/air-force-one-lead-investigation-government-officials.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>TRUMP ADMINISTRATION ACTIONS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>The Pentagon will screen the testosterone levels of soldiers 30 and up,</b><span> Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth announced yesterday. Soldiers diagnosed with testosterone deficiency would be offered hormone therapy but would not be forced to undergo it, Hegseth added. He did not address whether women would also be subject to hormone testing. Gregory Svirnovskiy reports for </span><a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2026/07/15/pentagon-hegseth-soldiers-testosterone-00999625" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>POLITICO</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>&ldquo;I say this with all candor, like we absolutely screwed up the comms of the Epstein files, like we just did,&rdquo;</b><span> Vice President JD Vance said in a taping of &ldquo;The Joe Rogan Experience&rdquo; released yesterday. Vance pointed to then-Attorney General Pam Bondi as the official most responsible for inflating expectations surrounding the Epstein files, saying she &ldquo;overstated what we had and what we didn&rsquo;t have.&rdquo;</span><span> Ben Johansen reports for </span><a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2026/07/15/vance-trump-screwed-up-epstein-files-01000142" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>POLITICO</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Trump administration fired a federal prosecutor yesterday, less than an hour after he was appointed by federal judges to lead the U.S. attorney&rsquo;s office in Seattle.</b><span> Danny Hakim and Jonah E. Bromwich report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/15/us/trump-fires-prosecutor-roger-rogoff.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The White House is considering releasing sensitive intelligence related to China and its ability to interfere in U.S. elections, </b><span>according to four sources. The sources added that the intelligence did not show Beijing had manipulated or changed votes. Trump may disclose the intelligence in a speech that he is due to deliver this evening, which is expected to outline information about alleged vulnerabilities in U.S. voting infrastructure. Erin Banco, Jonathan Landay, and Phil Stewart report for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/legal/government/white-house-weighs-releasing-controversial-intel-china-us-elections-sources-say-2026-07-15/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>TRUMP ADMINISTRATION LITIGATION&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Two human rights groups filed a lawsuit yesterday against the Trump administration, arguing that sanctions against the International Criminal Court over its Gaza war investigations have unlawfully restricted their advocacy and interactions with Palestinian rights groups. </b><span>Eric Tucker reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/israel-icc-trump-gaza-war-lawsuit-588e29cf3d5e67ab28eb4ac8027e33ea" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
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<p><strong>ICYMI: Yesterday on<em>&nbsp;Just Security</em></strong></p>
<div>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146793/colombia-presidential-election-climate-human-rights/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">After Colombia&rsquo;s Presidential Election, What Next on Climate and Human Rights?</a></p>
<p>By <span>Camila Bustos</span></p>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146528/gorsuch-slaughter-opinion-threat-congress/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Justice Gorsuch&rsquo;s&nbsp;<i>Slaughter</i>&nbsp;Opinion is a Direct Threat to Congress</a></p>
<div>By <span>Jules Torti</span></div>
</div>
<div>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/147230/audition-attorney-general-blanche-prosecuting-please/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">To Audition for the Role of Attorney General, Blanche Is Prosecuting to Please</a></p>
<p>By <span>Grant Tudor&nbsp;and&nbsp;Kristy Parker</span></p>
</div>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/147545/early-edition-july-16-2026/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Early Edition: July 16, 2026</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-16T12:15:50+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Elisabeth Jennings</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-16T12:15:50+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="daily news roundup"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-15:/293554</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146793/colombia-presidential-election-climate-human-rights/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=colombia-presidential-election-climate-human-rights" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">After Colombia’s Presidential Election, What Next on Climate and Human Rights?</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Colombia last month elected Abelardo de la Espriella president, consolidating a right-wing wave acro...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Colombia last month elected Abelardo de la Espriella president, consolidating a right-wing wave across Latin America, now spanning Argentina, Bolivia, Chile, Ecuador, El Salvador, Honduras, and, more recently, Peru. The election was extremely close: de La Espriella <a href="https://resultados.registraduria.gov.co/v2/resultados/0/00" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>received</span></a> 49.66 percent of the votes (12,959,542) against leftist candidate Iv&aacute;n Cepeda Castro&rsquo;s 48.70 percent (12,708,712), less than one percent difference. But that small margin may have profound implications for climate and human rights.</p>
<p>In the days following the election, the results were contested and further reviewed before being finally <a href="https://escrutinios2vueltapresidente2026.registraduria.gov.co/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>confirmed</span></a> by the National Electoral Commission. Although there were rumors of <a href="https://www.dejusticia.org/narrativa-del-fraude-electoral-en-colombia/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>electoral fraud</span></a>, in part <a href="https://elpais.com/america-colombia/elecciones-presidenciales/2026-06-25/resultados-elecciones-colombia-2026-en-vivo.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>spread</span></a> by the current president and Cepeda ally Gustavo Petro, the consensus is that, although the margin is thin, de La Espriella legitimately <a href="https://resultados.registraduria.gov.co/v2/resultados/0/00" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>secured</span></a> more votes than Cepeda.</p>
<p>The two candidates couldn&rsquo;t be any more different. De la Espriella, a far-right candidate and political outsider, managed to secure a victory after rallying his supporters behind a campaign of &ldquo;<i>mano dura</i>&rdquo; (or &ldquo;tough on crime&rdquo;) policies and <a href="https://www.lasillavacia.com/silla-nacional/siguiendo-el-modelo-de-la-nueva-derecha-abelardo-llega-al-poder-con-ayuda-de-la-ia/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AI-created content.</span></a> Cepeda, the left-wing Senator supported by the current president and state-owned outlets, promised to continue the legacy of the current administration and focus on inequality and peace. Cepeda&rsquo;s father, a left-wing senator and journalist, was <a href="https://www.bbc.com/mundo/articles/c9d3glj965jo" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>murdered</span></a> in 1994, at the peak of violence against left-wing candidates and social leaders.</p>
<p>De La Espriella&rsquo;s campaign echoed positions and sentiments common among right-wing candidates: a rejection of &ldquo;wokeism&rdquo; and political correctness, an imperative to address violent crime through hardline measures, and a refusal to negotiate peace with armed actors and implement the contested peace accords adopted in 2016. De La Espriella tapped into voters&rsquo; fears over Colombia&rsquo;s &ldquo;Venezuelization&rdquo;&mdash;the notion that the Colombian left will guide the country into deep instability and financial strain&mdash;as well as the trajectory of the economy after a <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/colombia-hikes-2026-minimum-wage-by-nearly-23-2025-12-30/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>23 percent raise</span></a> in the minimum wage, and <a href="https://fca00126-f5d3-4f61-b905-d596c29588de.usrfiles.com/ugd/fca001_89476ffb19304d098a73f7b72938a931.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>increasing violence</span></a> amidst a fragile and contested peace. The campaign also promised to cut the administrative state by 40 percent, <a href="https://elpais.com/america-colombia/elecciones-presidenciales/2026-06-24/las-promesas-de-la-ultraderecha-que-de-la-espriella-imita-de-milei-bukele-bolsonaro-uribe-y-trump.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>inspired</span></a> by Javier Milei&rsquo;s campaign promise in Argentina, and borrowed the <a href="https://www.lasillavacia.com/podcasts/huevos-revueltos-con-politica/el-uso-politico-y-politiquero-de-la-camiseta-de-la-seleccion-colombia/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>idea</span></a> of wearing football jerseys from Jair Bolsonaro&rsquo;s campaign, rallying his supporters behind the campaign&rsquo;s message of patriotism, while appealing to Colombians&rsquo; love for football, particularly during the World Cup.</p>
<p>The close victory underscored the stark polarization in the country, forcing voters to choose between candidates at what seemed like political extremes. As with other contested elections around the world, the battle pitted relatives, friends, and co-workers against each other, with extreme rhetoric across social media platforms. De La Espriella&rsquo;s campaign slogan became &ldquo;<i>Defensores de La Patria</i>&rdquo; or &ldquo;Our Country&rsquo;s Defenders,&rdquo; evoking MAGAesque sentiments about &ldquo;reclaiming&rdquo; the country from its current leaders. His campaign has <a href="https://elpais.com/america-colombia/elecciones-presidenciales/2026-06-24/las-promesas-de-la-ultraderecha-que-de-la-espriella-imita-de-milei-bukele-bolsonaro-uribe-y-trump.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>publicly applauded</span></a> the efforts of Milei, Bolsonaro, and Nayib Bukele to combat crime in the region and received an <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/clye4ky2yzpo" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>endorsement</span></a> from President Donald Trump. De La Espriella is a U.S. citizen and has <a href="https://elpais.com/america-colombia/elecciones-presidenciales/2026-06-24/las-promesas-de-la-ultraderecha-que-de-la-espriella-imita-de-milei-bukele-bolsonaro-uribe-y-trump.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>donated</span></a> to the U.S. Republican party in the past.</p>
<p>Cepeda, on the other hand, campaigned under the &ldquo;Historic Pact,&rdquo; a coalition of left-leaning political groups and social movements, and chose an Indigenous senator, Aida Marina Quilcu&eacute; Vivas, as his vice-president. Both Cepeda and Quilcu&eacute; have been victims of <a href="https://www.bbc.com/mundo/articles/c9d3glj965jo" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>state violence</span></a> and have defended &ldquo;comprehensive peace&rdquo; and the implementation of the 2016 <a href="https://peaceaccords.nd.edu/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/Colombian-Peace-Agreement-English-Translation.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>peace agreement</span></a>. Post-election analyses noted that, to its detriment, their campaign only released its platform a few weeks before the election, and <a href="https://www.lasillavacia.com/silla-nacional/asi-perdieron-las-elecciones-presidenciales-ivan-cepeda-petro-y-el-pacto/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>refused to engage</span></a> with the savvy political marketing of its opponent.</p>
<p>De la Espriella, by contrast, was clear about his proposed policies. Although it is still too early to tell whether campaign promises will translate into policy changes, de la Espriella&rsquo;s platform on climate and human rights marks a stark departure from the Petro administration.</p>
<h2><b>Implications for Climate Policy</b></h2>
<p>In 2025, at the U.N. climate negotiations held in Brazil, the Netherlands and Colombia announced they would host the First Conference on Transitioning Away from Fossil Fuels in Santa Marta, Colombia. This was significant because Colombia became <a href="https://www.carbonbrief.org/qa-what-change-of-power-in-colombia-could-mean-for-worlds-fossil-fuel-transition/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>the first</span></a> major oil producer to announce it would halt new fossil-fuel expansion. Colombia&rsquo;s main exports include coal and oil.</p>
<p>Nearly 60 countries attended the meeting, representing 15 percent of global fossil fuel production. The largest producers in the meeting included Canada, Australia, Brazil, Mexico, Norway, and Nigeria&mdash;some of which are <a href="https://www.climatechangenews.com/2026/04/29/six-nations-at-santa-marta-could-shape-fossil-fuel-futures/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>making efforts</span></a> to decarbonize domestically through renewable energy sources and electric vehicles in some cases, but exporting significant amounts of coal, oil, or gas. Other participants have <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/may/01/could-key-climate-talks-mark-ground-zero-in-global-push-to-ditch-fossil-fuels?shem=dsdf,sharefoc,agadiscoversdl,,sh/x/discover/m1/4#img-7." rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>announced or appear to be planning</span></a> new exploration, such as the Netherlands and the UK.</p>
<p>While it remains to be seen how much progress can materialize following the first meeting of the coalition, the Santa Marta participants agreed to <a href="https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/at-shadow-climate-summit-on-phasing-out-fossil-fuels-scientists-are-center-stage/?shem=dsdf,sharefoc,agadiscoversdl,,sh/x/discover/m1/4." rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>create</span></a> an expert panel to advise on a transition, the Science Panel for the Global Energy Transition. During the meetings, a group of leading scientists also launched a report recommending a ban on new fossil fuel infrastructure and the phase-out of <a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-021-02847-2." rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>fossil fuel subsidies</span></a>, while guaranteeing financial incentives for clean-energy sources.</p>
<p>The Petro administration has also <a href="https://publicservices.international/resources/news/colombia-leads-global-south-countries-exit-from-isds?id=16480&amp;lang=en" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>decried</span></a> the current investor-state dispute settlement mechanism and <a href="https://www.climatechangenews.com/2026/04/03/colombia-pledges-to-exit-investment-protection-system-after-fossil-fuel-lawsuits/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>pledged</span></a> to exit, arguing it remains an <a href="https://www.jstor.org/stable/resrep72611?seq=1." rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>obstacle</span></a> to decarbonization and the phase-out of fossil fuels by protecting private investments and entrenching fossil fuels. Under Petro, Colombia <a href="https://www.climatechangenews.com/2026/06/24/did-colombias-energy-transition-just-come-to-a-halt/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>joined</span></a> coalitions seeking to move beyond oil and coal, hosted the U.N. biodiversity meeting in 2024, and oversaw efforts to reduce coal exports and expand renewable energy. However, some commentators <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/may/21/colombia-climate-crossroads-trumpism-casts-shadow-presidential-election" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>criticize</span></a> these positions as merely &ldquo;rhetoric&rdquo; that is not backed by significant domestic improvements.</p>
<p>With Colombia&rsquo;s leadership change, the coalition behind rethinking investment protection and a fossil fuel phase-out will lose an important ally. Colombia&rsquo;s economy&rsquo;s reliance on oil and coal exports will likely continue and deepen under the new administration.</p>
<p>De La Espriella has promised to review the delimitation of environmental conservation areas (including <i>p&aacute;ramos</i>) and to prioritize fossil fuel exploration, including fracking, which the current administration <a href="https://elpais.com/america-colombia/2026-04-20/la-colombiana-yuvelis-natalia-moreno-blanco-gana-con-25-anos-el-premio-goldman-por-oponerse-al-fracking.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>has opposed</span></a>. He has also expressed <a href="https://news.mongabay.com/2026/06/whats-at-stake-for-the-environment-in-colombias-upcoming-election/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>support</span></a> for other extractive industries, such as mining for gold, copper, silver, and rare-earth minerals, alarming environmental defenders who already navigate one of the deadliest countries for environmental activists. Indigenous consultation processes and environmental review may also suffer setbacks under the new government.</p>
<p>The elections in Colombia mirror similar results in Peru, where voters elected Keiko Fujimori in a close vote, and may have <a href="https://apnews.com/article/amazon-politics-election-colombia-rainforest-brazil-3041d8ba00cce976b894db254d645c1c" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>lasting consequences</span></a> for deforestation in the Amazon.</p>
<h2><b>The Obstacles of Peace</b></h2>
<p>Colombia&rsquo;s armed conflict <a href="https://www.ictj.org/sites/default/files/ICTJ-Colombia-Conflict-Facts-2009-English.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>has been described</span></a> as the longest-running conflict in the Western hemisphere. While its history and current iteration are too complex to explore here, some context is essential to explore the implications of the recent elections.</p>
<p>The conflict began with left-wing, Marxist guerrillas in the 1950s, who originally sought the redistribution of wealth and land for the people, but later turned to more lucrative, illegal means to acquire power and control over land, resources, and drug-trafficking routes. The largest faction, organized as the <i>Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia</i> or FARC, entered into a peace agreement with the Colombian government in 2016 after years of negotiations.</p>
<p>Since then, the implementation of the agreement has <a href="https://insightcrime.org/colombia-organized-crime-news/ex-farc-mafia/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>faced resistance</span></a> by FARC dissidents that refused to sign the agreement and other armed groups or criminal bands seeking to continue to profit from war and drug trafficking. The agreement also <a href="https://www.elespectador.com/colombia-20/paz-y-memoria/que-pasara-con-la-jep-y-el-acuerdo-de-paz-en-el-gobierno-de-abelardo-de-la-espriella-los-obstaculos-para-desmontarlos/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>faces resistance</span></a> from those who oppose its contents, arguing it provided &ldquo;amnesty&rdquo; for criminals and failed to punish them. The Petro administration has faced <a href="https://www.las2orillas.co/petro-le-esta-entregando-el-pais-a-las-guerrillas/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>significant criticism</span></a> for failed negotiations with other armed groups, which has allowed them to gain strength without any real concessions to the public.</p>
<p>Interestingly, the areas most affected by war&mdash;often those in the &ldquo;periphery,&rdquo; rural areas far removed from the capital and other main cities&mdash;have consistently voted in favor of the peace agreements or the parties supporting them, including in the <a href="https://cnnespanol.cnn.com/2016/10/03/colombia-los-departamentos-con-mas-victimas-votaron-mayoritariamente-si-en-el-plebiscito" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>2016 referendum</span></a>, the <a href="https://www.bbc.com/mundo/articles/ckg4j88d17mo" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>2022 elections</span></a>, and the most recent elections.</p>
<p>While Cepeda&rsquo;s campaign sought to continue implementing the agreements, de La Espriella vowed to destroy them, proposing to dismantle the Special Jurisdiction for Peace (or JEP), the main transitional justice mechanism, and undermine the recommendations from the <a href="https://www.elespectador.com/colombia-20/informe-final-comision-de-la-verdad/comision-de-la-verdad-advierten-que-abelardo-de-la-espriella-va-en-contravia-del-informe-final-y-del-acuerdo-de-paz/#goog_rewarded" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Truth Commission.</span></a> However, the JEP&rsquo;s future may ultimately <a href="https://www.infobae.com/colombia/2026/06/23/experto-aclaro-que-abelardo-de-la-espriella-no-podra-desmontar-la-jep-requeriria-una-reforma-constitucional/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>depend</span></a> on a constitutional reform approved by Congress, and the incoming administration may encounter judicial challenges to reverse the process.</p>
<p>De La Espriella&rsquo;s praise for the former Colombian President &Aacute;lvaro Uribe Velez, particularly in light of the <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-67005102" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>false-positives scandal</span></a> under his administration, whereby military officials dressed campesinos in guerrilla clothing and claimed they were guerrilla members killed in combat, raises concerns about the future president&rsquo;s respect for human rights. Furthermore, de la Espriella&rsquo;s comments about building mega-prisons and adopting hardline policies, as he aims to follow what Bukele <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/d4742b43-0bc3-4d01-824f-c6e6760e53f2?syn-25a6b1a6=1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>has done</span></a> in El Salvador, might give a sense of what may come. It is possible that under the new government, aerial fumigations of coca crops with glyphosate to combat drugs may return, which environmental and human rights organizations have <a href="https://www.crisisgroup.org/latin-america-caribbean/andes/colombia/87-deeply-rooted-coca-eradication-and-violence-colombia" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>denounced</span></a> in the past because of their severe health and environmental impacts on affected populations, which mostly comprise campesinos.<i> </i></p>
<p>***</p>
<p>De la Espriella adopted a more moderate tone after winning, calling for unity and assuring his government would respect dissent and uphold Constitutional guarantees. He named a renowned marine <a href="https://elpais.com/america-colombia/2026-07-02/fabio-arjona-sera-el-ministro-de-ambiente-y-desarrollo-sostenible-en-la-era-del-tigre.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>biologist</span></a> as Minister of the Environment, although he also picked an <a href="https://bsky.app/profile/guywhedwards.bsky.social/post/3mq7cxej24s2i" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>alleged</span></a> climate denier as Minister of Foreign Affairs. Some commentators believe his extreme rhetoric was mostly a strategic choice to appeal to his voters. But even if he takes a more moderate route, the landscape for climate and human rights matters seems fraught.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146793/colombia-presidential-election-climate-human-rights/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">After Colombia&rsquo;s Presidential Election, What Next on Climate and Human Rights?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-15T13:15:13+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Camila Bustos</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-15T13:15:13+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="armed groups/organized armed groups"/>

	<category term="climate change"/>

	<category term="climate policy"/>

	<category term="colombia"/>

	<category term="elections"/>

	<category term="environment"/>

	<category term="environmental justice"/>

	<category term="farc"/>

	<category term="fossil fuels"/>

	<category term="human rights"/>

	<category term="international and foreign"/>

	<category term="latin america"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-15:/293533</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146528/gorsuch-slaughter-opinion-threat-congress/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=gorsuch-slaughter-opinion-threat-congress" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Justice Gorsuch’s Slaughter Opinion is a Direct Threat to Congress</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>&ldquo;[T]his Court has some work to do,&rdquo; writes Justice Neil Gorsuch in his whiplash-inducing concurring ...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p><span>&ldquo;[T]his Court has some work to do,&rdquo; writes Justice Neil Gorsuch in his whiplash-inducing concurring opinion in </span><a href="https://protect.checkpoint.com/v2/r01/___https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-332_qn12.pdf___.YzJ1OnByb3RlY3RkZW1vY3JhY3k6Yzpnb29nbGVfbWFpbF9hdHRhY2htZW50OjM3YTA1Yjc2YmE5Mzk0MDI3ZGQ1YTdhYTgxMzlmYzIzOjc6N2FjMjoxOTgwMTU1YTNjYzBiOTk2OWMyZDE0YzQ5ODI1MTg0NTJmMDdiMmJkODc2NTMzNWRmNmMyYjVmMmEyNThjNWQ1OnA6VDpG" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Slaughter v. Trump</span></i></a><span>, in which the Supreme Court ruled 6-3 that presidents have the constitutional authority to fire the heads of independent federal agencies at will. Unlike his colleagues in the majority, Gorsuch seems to acknowledge that &ldquo;allowing so much . . . power to accumulate in the President&rsquo;s hands invites real risks,&rdquo; and that the Supreme Court &ldquo;bears responsibility&rdquo; for at least part of the overconcentration of power in a single person. But the lesson he takes is not, as one might have expected given the scale of the risks Gorsuch describes, that presidential power should be more limited or judicial power more restrained. Much the opposite.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Gorsuch envisions the Court as entering its &ldquo;white knight&rdquo; era, riding to rescue the victims of an imperial presidency by closely scrutinizing every congressional attempt to structure the government as it sees fit. In </span><i><span>Slaughter</span></i><span>, the Supreme Court held that the president could directly control heads of independent agencies by firing them, notwithstanding that Congress had granted sweeping authorities to those formerly independent agencies on the assumption that those powers </span><i><span>wouldn&rsquo;t</span></i><span> be directly controllable by the president. As Gorsuch himself writes, &ldquo;it is this Court that today allows the President to remove those agencies&rsquo; leaders and exercise effective control over all their powers.&rdquo;</span> <span>His suggested remedy, however, is not increased judicial restraint. Instead, he appears to conclude that the &ldquo;task of fixing a problem belongs to those who made it,&rdquo; that the Court has &ldquo;no shortage of tools&rdquo; to do so, and that it should &ldquo;begin subjecting [powers Congress granted to the executive branch] to the Constitution&rsquo;s constraints.&rdquo; But in the face of mounting presidential and judicial control, </span><i><span>Congress</span></i><span> should act now to forcefully assert the full extent of its authority over the federal bureaucracy.</span></p>
<p><span>A more assertive role for Congress may seem counterintuitive, given the </span><i><span>Slaughter</span></i><span> majority&rsquo;s apparent appetite for increasing presidential power vis-a-vis the bureaucracy. But though its rhetoric sweeps more broadly, the </span><i><span>Slaughter</span></i><span> decision itself concerns only presidential control </span><i><span>via removal of principal officers</span></i><span>. Other recent Supreme Court decisions indicate some consensus that Congress can constitutionally exercise authority over other aspects of overseeing the bureaucracy. (</span><i><span>See, e.g.</span></i><span>, </span><a href="https://protect.checkpoint.com/v2/r01/___https://www.oyez.org/cases/2009/08-861___.YzJ1OnByb3RlY3RkZW1vY3JhY3k6Yzpnb29nbGVfbWFpbF9hdHRhY2htZW50OjM3YTA1Yjc2YmE5Mzk0MDI3ZGQ1YTdhYTgxMzlmYzIzOjc6ZjA2ZDplZWQ1YmY3MDA2YmQ5MzNlZWFkNWE5MTJhOGY0NmI0ZTA1ODRhNWQ0ZDNmOGJjNDMyZDg1ZjM4YzBiOTEzNWRmOnA6VDpG" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Free Enterprise Fund v. PCAOB</span></i></a><span>, 561 U.S. 477 (2010); </span><a href="https://protect.checkpoint.com/v2/r01/___https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/20pdf/19-1434_ancf.pdf___.YzJ1OnByb3RlY3RkZW1vY3JhY3k6Yzpnb29nbGVfbWFpbF9hdHRhY2htZW50OjM3YTA1Yjc2YmE5Mzk0MDI3ZGQ1YTdhYTgxMzlmYzIzOjc6OTlkZjplOWI0NDFlM2E3NDg1YjRlOGE0NGVmNzY0YzQ4ZjU0NDE0YmVmMjNiNTBiZTBkMmNmNmE0ODVmYzM1ODQyNzM3OnA6VDpG" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>United States v. Arthrex</span></i></a><span>, 594 U.S. 1 (2021). In the wake of the </span><i><span>Slaughter </span></i><span>decision, Congress can no longer require that its laws be administered by politically insulated agency leadership, therefore it must assert </span><i><span>other</span></i><span> methods of congressional authority to oversee and regulate how the laws are administered.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Gorsuch himself laid out a compelling case for increased congressional control, although he seemed to settle on the conclusion that judicial intervention was the more likely and thus favored path. Given the expansion of the number of authorities at the president&rsquo;s disposal to advance the president&rsquo;s aims, Gorsuch expressed concern over the mechanisms of additional control over the civil service that Congress had given to the president in the Civil Service Reform Act: The consolidation of so much power &mdash; that of the &ldquo;fourth branch&rdquo; &mdash; in the president is made worse, Gorsuch opines, because presidents have so many &ldquo;ways to consolidate their influence over agencies.&rdquo; For example, he writes, &ldquo;Presidents can sometimes adjust the reach of the civil service laws,&rdquo; pointing to a statutory exception to the law that &ldquo;ordinarily afford[s] rank-and-file agency employees considerable protection against removal.&rdquo; Given the exception in that statute, Gorsuch points out, &ldquo;Presidents can seek to exert greater control over not just agency leaders but their subordinates as well.&rdquo; These are exactly the sorts of laws protecting the integrity of the bureaucracy that Congress can and should strengthen.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Gorsuch&rsquo;s response is not primarily that Congress take up the cause of rebalancing power, but that the Court act more aggressively in policing what it sees as the boundaries set by the separation of powers doctrine. &ldquo;Fortunately,&rdquo; Gorsuch opines in response to the problems this Court&rsquo;s jurisprudence have caused, &ldquo;this Court already has many doctrines&rdquo; at its disposal to solve them. He lists a number of doctrines, including the non-delegation doctrine, Major Questions Doctrine, vagueness, and adjudication-related doctrines stemming from constitutional principles including the Due Process Clause, Seventh Amendment, and Article III.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Gorsuch writes alone, but there is reason to think that he is simply the only one saying the quiet part out loud, and that many of his colleagues similarly favor increasingly assertive applications of those doctrines. For example, six justices invoked the Seventh Amendment to strike down the Security and Exchange Commission&rsquo;s ability to levy securities-fraud penalties after proceedings before an Administrative Law Judge in </span><a href="https://protect.checkpoint.com/v2/r01/___https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/23pdf/22-859_1924.pdf___.YzJ1OnByb3RlY3RkZW1vY3JhY3k6Yzpnb29nbGVfbWFpbF9hdHRhY2htZW50OjM3YTA1Yjc2YmE5Mzk0MDI3ZGQ1YTdhYTgxMzlmYzIzOjc6NzA4MjozYjU2YTI4ZGFiY2E0ZjE2MWVjZGU3YmI0ZTc4MGU2OTBhZjAwZjA2ZDVmOTQ3NWJmNjYyN2M3NmJkMjZiMTk3OnA6VDpG" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>SEC v. Jarkesy</span></i></a><span>, 603 U.S. 109 (2024). And there were six votes for invoking the Major Questions Doctrine to hold that the Environmental Protection Agency couldn&rsquo;t force a shift away from coal (</span><a href="https://protect.checkpoint.com/v2/r01/___https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/21pdf/20-1530_n758.pdf___.YzJ1OnByb3RlY3RkZW1vY3JhY3k6Yzpnb29nbGVfbWFpbF9hdHRhY2htZW50OjM3YTA1Yjc2YmE5Mzk0MDI3ZGQ1YTdhYTgxMzlmYzIzOjc6ODY1OTplNmY5MTQwOWRlNmI3Y2U1YjQxMDNlYTY5YTQ5MjE1Y2I5OTYxMDk5MTQxYWYyODhmYmFjNDA0NzVkOTgzM2M3OnA6VDpG" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>West Virginia v. EPA</span></i></a><span>, 597 U.S. 697 (2022)), and that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention couldn&rsquo;t issue a nationwide eviction moratorium (</span><a href="https://protect.checkpoint.com/v2/r01/___https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/20pdf/21a23_ap6c.pdf___.YzJ1OnByb3RlY3RkZW1vY3JhY3k6Yzpnb29nbGVfbWFpbF9hdHRhY2htZW50OjM3YTA1Yjc2YmE5Mzk0MDI3ZGQ1YTdhYTgxMzlmYzIzOjc6NWY4Zjo1ZjhmNDE3MGQ5OWZlMTY0NWVkZGMyZDg5NjUwOTA3YzllOTI3YjYwZDhhMmY5MTMwMjU2NThiMTYwYjgzOGZlOnA6VDpG" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Alabama Association of Realtors v. HHS</span></i></a><span>, 594 U.S. 758 (2021)) and the Occupational Safety and Health Administration couldn&rsquo;t issue a vaccine-or-test mandate (</span><a href="https://protect.checkpoint.com/v2/r01/___https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/21pdf/21a244_hgci.pdf___.YzJ1OnByb3RlY3RkZW1vY3JhY3k6Yzpnb29nbGVfbWFpbF9hdHRhY2htZW50OjM3YTA1Yjc2YmE5Mzk0MDI3ZGQ1YTdhYTgxMzlmYzIzOjc6Y2QxYToxMWM2Y2E0NTczZjM2MWZhZWYyNzQ5NDM4M2RmNmVjZjQ3ODg0ZDI4YjdlZDEzZjExYmEyNWEwMWQyNThhMGRhOnA6VDpG" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>NFIB v. Department of Labor</span></i></a><i><span>, OSHA</span></i><span>, 595 U.S. 109 (2022)) during the COVID-19 pandemic. Gorsuch&rsquo;s concurrence in </span><i><span>Slaughter </span></i><span>is a celebration of judicial interventionism in how Congress legislates to empower, structure, and oversee the bureaucracy. It is profoundly anti-democratic in its subjugation of the most politically responsive branch of government </span><span>to the least</span><span>.</span></p>
<p><span>Congress should read Gorsuch&rsquo;s concurrence for what it is: an explicit and direct threat to Congress&rsquo; role in American governance. There are a number of reasonable responses to this threat of judicial supremacy, including seriously considering court reform proposals, revisiting the president&rsquo;s emergency powers, or considering vesting authority outside the executive branch. But given that the immediate impact of </span><i><span>Slaughter</span></i><span> is to aggrandize the president&rsquo;s power over the government itself, Congress should pass a set of legislative reforms that reestablish Congress&rsquo; own authority over the bureaucracy.</span></p>
<h2><b>Congress Should Get Off the Sidelines&nbsp;</b></h2>
<p><span>The laws governing how government works suffer from a key vulnerability: They assume a president will act in good faith as a leader and steward of the bureaucracy. As a result, the Civil Service Reform Act (CSRA) grants expansive and ill-defined authority to the president in some places, creates somewhat vague standards for presidential regulation of the civil service in others, and &mdash; since the last of the Reorganization Acts expired in 1984 &mdash; has failed to make explicit its authority over the structure and organization of the government.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>To be clear: the meaning of the CSRA has been largely beyond question for decades, and Congress unquestionably has authority to regulate and structure federal agencies. But the Trump administration has exploited instances of allegedly ambiguous textual language &mdash; for example, by creating </span><a href="https://protect.checkpoint.com/v2/r01/___https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/hiring-information/hiring-authorities/schedule-policycareer/___.YzJ1OnByb3RlY3RkZW1vY3JhY3k6Yzpnb29nbGVfbWFpbF9hdHRhY2htZW50OjcyNjk4YjgwMTI0ZWFkNmI4ZDMxYTUyNzA3NDAzOTQ5Ojc6YTFkOTo2ZGNmMjVmZGRkNWM2Yjk0ZTNiZGNkZjVkZGE0MzkwNDA3OGE4YmVjNGY4ZTNmNTIyNTJmMWEwOGIwMjdmZWJlOnA6VDpG" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Schedule Policy/Career</span></a><span> regulations</span><span>, which strip tenure protections from some civil servants, or by promulgating a new </span><a href="https://protect.checkpoint.com/v2/r01/___https://www.ecfr.gov/current/title-5/chapter-I/subchapter-B/part-731___.YzJ1OnByb3RlY3RkZW1vY3JhY3k6Yzpnb29nbGVfbWFpbF9hdHRhY2htZW50OjcyNjk4YjgwMTI0ZWFkNmI4ZDMxYTUyNzA3NDAzOTQ5Ojc6MWUwNTo2ODQwNTkzYzViMjQ0NjA1MGEzYzBiNjY5NTUwOWJiZGQ0N2JiMGNiNmZmOGQ1ZWNlYWRjZjQxNTcwZWQxODhhOnA6VDpG" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Suitability and Fitness</span></a><span> regulation that circumvents statutory removal protections by creating a fast-track firing mechanism for some civil servants. And the administration stepped in to fill space left by congressional silence, including by </span><a href="https://protect.checkpoint.com/v2/r01/___https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/02/implementing-the-presidents-department-of-government-efficiency-workforce-optimization-initiative/___.YzJ1OnByb3RlY3RkZW1vY3JhY3k6Yzpnb29nbGVfbWFpbF9hdHRhY2htZW50OjcyNjk4YjgwMTI0ZWFkNmI4ZDMxYTUyNzA3NDAzOTQ5Ojc6NThiNjphNmMwNzFmMjc0Y2E2OGI4ODJlOTc2ZDM3OWUzN2RlYjlhNTlkZGUxNWY4MGUzNDhmNzczNDIzYzFkOWEwOTI3OnA6VDpG" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>ordering</span></a><span> a sweeping reduction and restructuring of federal agencies without congressional involvement or oversight. In light of this aggressive presidential stance, Congress must push back.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The good news is that Congress created these statutes, and it can legislate today based on the lessons taught by the Trump administration and the Roberts Court. Even the modern Court has affirmed Congress&rsquo;s &ldquo;plenary&rdquo; control over &ldquo;even [the] existence of executive offices.&rdquo; </span><a href="https://protect.checkpoint.com/v2/r01/___https://www.oyez.org/cases/2009/08-861___.YzJ1OnByb3RlY3RkZW1vY3JhY3k6Yzpnb29nbGVfbWFpbF9hdHRhY2htZW50OjM3YTA1Yjc2YmE5Mzk0MDI3ZGQ1YTdhYTgxMzlmYzIzOjc6ZjA2ZDplZWQ1YmY3MDA2YmQ5MzNlZWFkNWE5MTJhOGY0NmI0ZTA1ODRhNWQ0ZDNmOGJjNDMyZDg1ZjM4YzBiOTEzNWRmOnA6VDpG" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Free Enter. Fund v. PCAOB</span></i></a><span>, 561 U.S. 477, 500 (2010); </span><i><span>see also </span></i><a href="https://protect.checkpoint.com/v2/r01/___https://www.oyez.org/cases/1975/75-436___.YzJ1OnByb3RlY3RkZW1vY3JhY3k6Yzpnb29nbGVfbWFpbF9hdHRhY2htZW50OjM3YTA1Yjc2YmE5Mzk0MDI3ZGQ1YTdhYTgxMzlmYzIzOjc6MGYzZDpmMTk3Mzc4ZmU0NDk5OTYzMGJlNGE2OWJhMTNjNzk1ZGRmODM0MzhkOTVhODIxNGJlNTJiMzEzOGRjN2Y5NjEwOnA6VDpG" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Buckley v. Valeo</span></i></a><span>, 424 U.S. 1, 138&ndash;39 (1976); </span><a href="https://protect.checkpoint.com/v2/r01/___https://www.oyez.org/cases/1900-1940/272us52___.YzJ1OnByb3RlY3RkZW1vY3JhY3k6Yzpnb29nbGVfbWFpbF9hdHRhY2htZW50OjM3YTA1Yjc2YmE5Mzk0MDI3ZGQ1YTdhYTgxMzlmYzIzOjc6NjIwMjpiZTJmMWVlZWFiYTEwYjlkYjY3ZmFkMTEzMmM3YWU3NGUyZDg4NzYyNGJlYmYwMmRhODdjN2Y1ZGY5NzdkOWE2OnA6VDpG" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Myers v. United States</span></i></a><span>, 272 U.S. 52, 129 (1926). Congress should step more fully into its constitutional role.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The reforms proposed below do not seek to strip the president of the legitimate authority to set policy direction, reorganize priorities, or hold agencies accountable. What they do is restore the basic architecture that has allowed the civil service to function relatively effectively across administrations of both parties for over 100 years: a workforce hired on merit, protected from political retaliation, and subject to congressional and judicial oversight. Crucially, these proposed structural reforms do not foreclose other reforms sincerely focused on optimizing the civil service for efficiency and delivery of programs and services. If anything, they are a necessary precondition to such reform efforts.</span><span><br>
</span></p>
<h2><b>Rebalancing Authority Between the President and Congress</b></h2>
<p><span>Congress must take back open-ended grants of authority over the civil service to the president.</span> <span>Key provisions of Title 5 &mdash; including 5 U.S.C. &sect;&sect; 3301, 3302, and 7301 &mdash; vest expansive authority directly in the president to regulate the civil service, with few express criteria or guardrails by which to judge decisions. There are unique challenges to securing an injunction against the president, or review of his authority. Congress can take a number of approaches: It could transfer these authorities from the president to the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) or another agency, converting presidential action that is potentially more difficult to challenge into more readily judicially reviewable agency action. It could amend the statutes to add merit-system criteria that must guide all exercises of that power, which could also aid in judicial reviewability. Congress could require notice-and-comment rulemaking for certain changes to the people or structures of the bureaucracy. Finally, it could also consider adding a congressional approval mechanism for significant changes.&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><b>Reestablishing Effective Pathways for Judicial Oversight</b></h2>
<p><span>Courts have interpreted the CSRA as creating a near-exclusive remedial scheme for federal employment disputes, channeling most claims through the Merit Systems Protection Board &mdash; which is now slow, </span><a href="https://protect.checkpoint.com/v2/r01/___https://news.bloomberglaw.com/daily-labor-report/trump-avoids-supreme-court-review-of-merit-board-member-firing___.YzJ1OnByb3RlY3RkZW1vY3JhY3k6Yzpnb29nbGVfbWFpbF9hdHRhY2htZW50OjcyNjk4YjgwMTI0ZWFkNmI4ZDMxYTUyNzA3NDAzOTQ5Ojc6Mzk2NTo2OGZkYTdjZTQyOTdhZDc5ZTIzOWJiZjJkOGQ1YjEwZTNhMGE2MDM4ZTM5Yjg3M2EzMDU1MmIwMzg4ODA2NTBmOnA6VDpG" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>politically captured</span></a><span>, and no longer a meaningful path for most employees. Congress, of course, could do away with this &ldquo;channel&rdquo; entirely or effectively move the MSPB out of the executive branch. As a more modest alternative, it could amend 5 U.S.C. &sect; 7703(b) to add two new exceptions to MSPB exclusivity: one allowing challenges to civil service rules and policies of general applicability to be brought directly in federal district court under the Administrative Procedure Act, and one expressly allowing individual employees to bring constitutional claims in district court in the first instance. This would keep run-of-the-mill employment disputes before the MSPB while allowing meaningful judicial oversight of policy changes and constitutional issues.</span><span><br>
</span></p>
<h2><b>Personnel Policy Reform</b></h2>
<p><span>The Trump administration seems to have taken the old adage that &ldquo;personnel is policy&rdquo; to heart, focusing much of its energy on changing out or controlling the people who staff the government, significant congressional action on this point notwithstanding. The administration has exploited alleged loopholes in the CSRA&rsquo;s protections against politicized hiring and firing. It has sought to expand the share of federal employees without tenure protections through the creation of Schedule Policy/Career and Schedule G, categories of federal workers that don&rsquo;t have the ordinary &ldquo;tenure&rdquo; and other protections that the law grants to most civil servants; created a fast-track firing mechanism that sidesteps all legal protections; gathered data on the politics of applicants via &ldquo;loyalty&rdquo; questions; and eroded civil servants&rsquo; ability to advocate for themselves by stripping collective bargaining rights from many.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>In response to the increasing number of &ldquo;at will&rdquo; positions in government, Congress should clarify that 5 U.S.C. &sect; 7511(b)(2) &mdash; which lists an exception to tenure-protected positions &mdash; has always applied only to positions held by political appointees. It should also create a 1 percent cap for at-will positions government-wide, leaving ample room for political leadership while preventing a complete patronage system. To re-center the exclusivity of CSRA&rsquo;s scheme for removing federal employees, Congress should amend 5 U.S.C. &sect; 3301 to clarify that suitability authority applies only to fitness for </span><i><span>admission</span></i><span> to the civil service, and it should amend 5 U.S.C. &sect; 1104 to require agency involvement, written notice, and a reasoned decision before any OPM suitability action is taken against a tenured employee. Finally, President Donald Trump has invoked the national security exception in 5 U.S.C. &sect; 7103(b) to strip collective bargaining rights from employees at agencies ranging from the State Department to the Food and Drug Administration. Congress could limit that exception to agencies within the Intelligence Community, and it should create a congressional approval mechanism for any broader exclusions.</span><span><br>
</span></p>
<h2><b>Rebalancing Control Over Government Agencies and Offices</b></h2>
<p><span>Congress has meaningful constitutional authority over federal agencies and offices, but the Trump presidency has largely swept that aside, unilaterally ordering large-scale reductions in force (RIFs) that eliminated entire agency offices and functions without congressional involvement or meaningful public notice. At the same time, OPM modified RIF regulations to make RIFs easier to manipulate for political purposes or to target specific employees. Expertise has quite literally walked out the door with no oversight or congressional involvement.</span></p>
<p><span>For much of modern American history, Congress passed a series of Reorganization Acts that gave the president the ability to reorganize government with congressional approval. The clear implication of the existence of these statutes is that Congress has authority over the structure of agencies and offices, and that without a statutory delegation to the president he simply lacks the power to make those changes. Congress could reassert its authority with a similar statute, for example by creating a new 5 U.S.C. &sect; 3502b that requires agencies to publish a proposal &mdash; including continuity plans, skills assessments, and a certified justification &mdash; at least 90 days before any reduction affecting 50 or more employees, and a new &sect; 3502c requiring congressional approval before any such reduction takes effect. It could also ensure retention of skill and experience during RIFs by amending 5 U.S.C. &sect; 3502 to restore a mandatory descending order of retention priority (tenure, veterans&rsquo; preference, length of service, and then performance ratings) and establishing minimum standards for competitive area definitions that prevent artificially narrow areas designed to single out individual employees or functions.</span></p>
<p><span>Most of the recent significant changes to the civil service can be traced to the problem of too much power, centralized in a president who is acting in bad faith, and unchecked by Congress or the judiciary. The attacks on the personnel and structures of American bureaucracy have both been facilitated by this power overconcentration &mdash; and they have further entrenched this overconcentration of power by increasing direct political control over people and structures.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Particularly in light of the Supreme Court&rsquo;s signals that it will permit extreme versions of presidential control while closely policing congressional attempts to empower or oversee the bureaucracy, Congress must act now to reassert the authority it unquestioningly has over the people and structures of American government.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146528/gorsuch-slaughter-opinion-threat-congress/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Justice Gorsuch&rsquo;s &lt;i&gt;Slaughter&lt;/i&gt; Opinion is a Direct Threat to Congress</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-15T13:05:01+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Jules Torti</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-15T13:05:01+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="congress"/>

	<category term="courts &amp; litigation"/>

	<category term="democracy &amp; rule of law"/>

	<category term="democratic backsliding &amp; solutions"/>

	<category term="executive branch"/>

	<category term="executive power"/>

	<category term="government workforce"/>

	<category term="neil gorsuch"/>

	<category term="removal protections"/>

	<category term="rule of law"/>

	<category term="supreme court (scotus)"/>

	<category term="trump administration second term"/>

	<category term="unitary executive"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-15:/293534</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/147230/audition-attorney-general-blanche-prosecuting-please/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=audition-attorney-general-blanche-prosecuting-please" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">To Audition for the Role of Attorney General, Blanche Is Prosecuting to Please</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>On July 15, the U.S. Senate will consider President Donald Trump&rsquo;s nomination of Acting Attorney Gen...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p><span>On July 15, the U.S. Senate will consider President Donald Trump&rsquo;s </span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__www.nytimes.com_2026_06_08_us_politics_trump-2Dtodd-2Dblanche-2Dattorney-2Dgeneral.html&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=slrrB7dE8n7gBJbeO0g-IQ&amp;r=JZwLRYy5ohjDpu4XJL_Qf2hS3DNnVr4l09kSgpJmOOs&amp;m=s9VAr709kQffoWNtOv5k-Lsk21dAZlK1s9F8BoqxaNl5dC6PLsD9BU9VQuv8MaJw&amp;s=sj0M8rbtQZL5vy1fNFGP1GqGxo_fLKkwK73qOjW-dBg&amp;e=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>nomination</span></a><span> of Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche for the position permanently. Since taking over from Pam Bondi in April, Blanche has been busy. On April 14, he </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/14/us/politics/justice-dept-vacate-jan-6-convictions.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>moved to vacate</span></a><span> the convictions of Proud Boys and Oath Keepers leaders involved in the Jan. 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol. A week later he </span><span>held a </span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KS0TNiaqU4o" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>press conference</span></a><span> announcing an 11-count indictment of the Southern Poverty Law Center. In May,&nbsp;</span><span>he </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/trump-lawsuit-irs-leak-3729de38770b558be01712a143437bf8" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>proposed a $1.8 billion fund</span></a><span> to financially reward the president&rsquo;s political allies.</span></p>
<p><span>By conventional measures, his record is not especially impressive. A district court recently </span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__x.com_kyledcheney_status_2060503721612619968-3Fs-3D20&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=slrrB7dE8n7gBJbeO0g-IQ&amp;r=JZwLRYy5ohjDpu4XJL_Qf2hS3DNnVr4l09kSgpJmOOs&amp;m=s9VAr709kQffoWNtOv5k-Lsk21dAZlK1s9F8BoqxaNl5dC6PLsD9BU9VQuv8MaJw&amp;s=3F1vq6AJFgdBfPmIxEbkFFqromCATILR2wll7UD5yek&amp;e=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>pressed</span></a><span> the Justice Department to explain why dismissing the convictions of men found guilty of crimes including seditious conspiracy would serve the public interest&mdash;an unusual obstacle to a typically perfunctory exercise of prosecutorial discretion. The $1.8 billion fund generated a bipartisan </span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__www.nytimes.com_2026_05_21_us_republicans-2Dtrump-2Dloyalty.html&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=slrrB7dE8n7gBJbeO0g-IQ&amp;r=JZwLRYy5ohjDpu4XJL_Qf2hS3DNnVr4l09kSgpJmOOs&amp;m=s9VAr709kQffoWNtOv5k-Lsk21dAZlK1s9F8BoqxaNl5dC6PLsD9BU9VQuv8MaJw&amp;s=DBr5312FsMz6uqF8fkXNjV-zDcTkRVd2mVi01vEw7kM&amp;e=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>firestorm</span></a><span> and was </span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__www.nytimes.com_2026_06_02_us_politics_todd-2Dblanche-2Dhouse-2Dhearing.html&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=slrrB7dE8n7gBJbeO0g-IQ&amp;r=JZwLRYy5ohjDpu4XJL_Qf2hS3DNnVr4l09kSgpJmOOs&amp;m=s9VAr709kQffoWNtOv5k-Lsk21dAZlK1s9F8BoqxaNl5dC6PLsD9BU9VQuv8MaJw&amp;s=aEMjTKaQNXTIYl1fTME90UKnWC26oaPfXtKXf5lxWS4&amp;e=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>scrapped</span></a><span> within weeks, while a federal court later ruled that it was the product of improper </span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__www.nytimes.com_interactive_2026_07_13_us_judge-2Druling-2Dtrump-2Dirs-2Dlawsuit.html&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=slrrB7dE8n7gBJbeO0g-IQ&amp;r=JZwLRYy5ohjDpu4XJL_Qf2hS3DNnVr4l09kSgpJmOOs&amp;m=s9VAr709kQffoWNtOv5k-Lsk21dAZlK1s9F8BoqxaNl5dC6PLsD9BU9VQuv8MaJw&amp;s=y2ynZDY_I0NsAnzTZpE1ytmFobTPtpkI4U6L23knlzU&amp;e=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>self-dealing</span></a><span>. The SPLC indictment was so </span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__www.cbsnews.com_news_southern-2Dpoverty-2Dlaw-2Dcenter-2Djustice-2Ddepartment-2Dindictment-2Dlegal-2Dflaws_&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=slrrB7dE8n7gBJbeO0g-IQ&amp;r=JZwLRYy5ohjDpu4XJL_Qf2hS3DNnVr4l09kSgpJmOOs&amp;m=s9VAr709kQffoWNtOv5k-Lsk21dAZlK1s9F8BoqxaNl5dC6PLsD9BU9VQuv8MaJw&amp;s=-1TiMLlfGCSZRbWejskNYBwdboDfA4_bz1eKevbSRSo&amp;e=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>poorly constructed</span></a><span> that prosecutors have already had to </span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__www.cbsnews.com_news_southern-2Dpoverty-2Dlaw-2Dcenter-2Dsuperseding-2Dindictment_-3Futm-5Fsource-3Dchatgpt.com&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=slrrB7dE8n7gBJbeO0g-IQ&amp;r=JZwLRYy5ohjDpu4XJL_Qf2hS3DNnVr4l09kSgpJmOOs&amp;m=s9VAr709kQffoWNtOv5k-Lsk21dAZlK1s9F8BoqxaNl5dC6PLsD9BU9VQuv8MaJw&amp;s=lfR_Ar0aV_Vo4A3Z8pTM5u8ZPuRvi8jIxOxqLDgOZY0&amp;e=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>refile it</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><span>The capstone of Blanche&rsquo;s audition was an indictment announced this spring against former FBI Director James Comey&mdash;his second. The first case, brought by Bondi, charged Comey with lying to Congress and obstructing a congressional proceeding. The latest involves a photograph Comey posted of seashells arranged into the numbers &ldquo;86 47&rdquo; on a beach. &ldquo;86&rdquo; is </span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__www.nytimes.com_2026_04_29_opinion_james-2Dcomey-2Djimmy-2Dkimmel.html-3Feafs-5Fenabled-3Dfalse&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=slrrB7dE8n7gBJbeO0g-IQ&amp;r=JZwLRYy5ohjDpu4XJL_Qf2hS3DNnVr4l09kSgpJmOOs&amp;m=s9VAr709kQffoWNtOv5k-Lsk21dAZlK1s9F8BoqxaNl5dC6PLsD9BU9VQuv8MaJw&amp;s=OEq0isXP0FV6YrQaj-D7keXZ9qT1J8i_7P8j-tfRg5U&amp;e=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>restaurant slang</span></a><span> for removing something from the menu. The Department alleges the picture was a threat to kill the 47th president.</span></p>
<p><span>So far, the more revealing response to the Comey indictment has come from the right. &ldquo;If the seashell thing is the best the DOJ has on Comey, we&rsquo;re in </span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__x.com_glennbeck_status_2049580515041440136&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=slrrB7dE8n7gBJbeO0g-IQ&amp;r=JZwLRYy5ohjDpu4XJL_Qf2hS3DNnVr4l09kSgpJmOOs&amp;m=s9VAr709kQffoWNtOv5k-Lsk21dAZlK1s9F8BoqxaNl5dC6PLsD9BU9VQuv8MaJw&amp;s=M0e2wxmazAFBsQHuv_aDGBj1y_pJvj-V727EhN22m8A&amp;e=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>trouble</span></a><span>,&rdquo; said radio host Glenn Beck. Andy McCarthy</span><span>, a conservative former federal prosecutor, called the new charges &ldquo;even more </span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__www.nationalreview.com_corner_trump-2Ddoj-2Dbrings-2Da-2Dsecond-2Dbogus-2Dcomey-2Dindictment_&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=slrrB7dE8n7gBJbeO0g-IQ&amp;r=JZwLRYy5ohjDpu4XJL_Qf2hS3DNnVr4l09kSgpJmOOs&amp;m=s9VAr709kQffoWNtOv5k-Lsk21dAZlK1s9F8BoqxaNl5dC6PLsD9BU9VQuv8MaJw&amp;s=ctDn4ZHzTOpjJhSzetYnkrsIjOBsE9RuSMa1zOcEU9A&amp;e=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>absurd</span></a><span> than the previous.&rdquo; &ldquo;It doesn&rsquo;t matter if you despise Comey,&rdquo; wrote Billy Binion, a reporter at the right-leaning publication </span><i><span>Reason</span></i><span>. &ldquo;The indictment is an </span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__x.com_billybinion_status_2060786395438776549&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=slrrB7dE8n7gBJbeO0g-IQ&amp;r=JZwLRYy5ohjDpu4XJL_Qf2hS3DNnVr4l09kSgpJmOOs&amp;m=s9VAr709kQffoWNtOv5k-Lsk21dAZlK1s9F8BoqxaNl5dC6PLsD9BU9VQuv8MaJw&amp;s=DJ8WRN7aywb9kExAxCWjYXcJ9aQHhwcBVhtNxM71hIc&amp;e=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>embarrassment</span></a><span>.&rdquo; Jonathan Turley, a regular Trump defender, wrote for Fox News that he would &ldquo;prefer to crawl into one of Comey&rsquo;s </span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__www.foxnews.com_opinion_jonathan-2Dturley-2Dcomeys-2Dshell-2Dpost-2Dmay-2Dcrass-2Dcharging-2Dfree-2Dspeech-2Dtrap&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=slrrB7dE8n7gBJbeO0g-IQ&amp;r=JZwLRYy5ohjDpu4XJL_Qf2hS3DNnVr4l09kSgpJmOOs&amp;m=s9VAr709kQffoWNtOv5k-Lsk21dAZlK1s9F8BoqxaNl5dC6PLsD9BU9VQuv8MaJw&amp;s=A0-FN3DsjRYb4DNiSC2aCPcgHPBJcm-o-yGJ7NcZfwg&amp;e=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>conversational shells</span></a><span>&rdquo; than defend the prosecution. &ldquo;However, here we are.&rdquo;</span></p>
<p><span>The case does not seem designed to succeed. But </span><span>Blanche&rsquo;s nomination suggests that was never quite the point. What looks like prosecutorial incompetence is better understood as prosecutorial sycophancy: where the president&rsquo;s subordinates compete to demonstrate loyalty in hopes of being personally rewarded. Charges are brought primarily to please. The audience is not the court, or even, for that matter, the political opposition. It&rsquo;s the leader.</span></p>
<h2><b>Pleasing the Leader</b></h2>
<p><span>Sycophantic prosecutions are ancient. During the Roman Empire, informers brought charges against the Emperor&rsquo;s perceived enemies and were rewarded with gifts and political positions. The practice had a name&mdash;</span><i><span>delation</span></i><span>&mdash;and its corruption marked a shift from republican law in the Roman legal system toward an imperial one. These leader-pleasers&mdash;</span><i><span>delatores</span></i><span>&mdash;levied accusations of disrespect or threats that were often farcical. But the payoff required prostration, not seriousness. </span><span>Under Tiberius, whose reign became associated with the practice, </span><i><span>delatores</span></i><span> prosecuted capital crimes like carrying a coin bearing the Emperor&rsquo;s image into a bathroom, or changing clothes near his statue.</span></p>
<p><span>The distinction is important, because delator logic operates differently from other political prosecutions. For one, s</span><span>ubordinate loyalty-signaling tends to overreach,</span><span> because the cost of under-pleasing is higher than the cost of looking ridiculous. Nobody gets fired for being too zealous; people get fired for insufficient zeal.</span> <span>In the 1670-80s, what began as a genuine inquiry into poisonings among the Parisian aristocracy gradually escalated as officials competed to uncover ever-more-lurid conspiracies in an effort to impress King Louis XIV. Investigators eventually produced &ldquo;evidence&rdquo; implicating the King&rsquo;s own mistress in satanic rituals. (At that point the King shut the proceedings down and sealed the records for a century.)</span></p>
<p><span>Blanche has not been shy with his prostrations. According to reporting by </span><i><span>The New York Times</span></i><span>, Trump last year </span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__www.nytimes.com_2026_06_08_us_politics_justice-2Ddepartment-2Dtrump-2Dpatel-2Dconspiracy.html-3Funlocked-5Farticle-5Fcode-3D1.olA.Vlsr.rYa2-5F6EgZ4n8-26smid-3Dnytcore-2Dios-2Dshare&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=slrrB7dE8n7gBJbeO0g-IQ&amp;r=JZwLRYy5ohjDpu4XJL_Qf2hS3DNnVr4l09kSgpJmOOs&amp;m=s9VAr709kQffoWNtOv5k-Lsk21dAZlK1s9F8BoqxaNl5dC6PLsD9BU9VQuv8MaJw&amp;s=1MIP8j6liehDcADSfe8-vfp7I1DZUJdBrZ7-nFcZsnk&amp;e=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>declared</span></a><span> himself &ldquo;the hunter.&rdquo; Officials like Blanche &ldquo;came to believe that Mr. Comey was the president&rsquo;s most sought-after prey,&rdquo; and then scrambled to help catch him. As the </span><i><span>Times</span></i><span> reported, the seashell indictment was produced under sustained pressure from Blanche&rsquo;s office, overriding the objections of career prosecutors and FBI agents. One agent was </span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__www.reuters.com_world_us_fbi-2Dagent-2Drelieved-2Dduty-2Dover-2Drefusing-2Dcomey-2Dperp-2Dwalk-2Dfour-2Dpeople-2Dfamiliar-2Dsay-2D2025-2D10-2D03_&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=slrrB7dE8n7gBJbeO0g-IQ&amp;r=JZwLRYy5ohjDpu4XJL_Qf2hS3DNnVr4l09kSgpJmOOs&amp;m=s9VAr709kQffoWNtOv5k-Lsk21dAZlK1s9F8BoqxaNl5dC6PLsD9BU9VQuv8MaJw&amp;s=qME6Gah4N4PoMPoOheV_mHLAExaSsGJlIMEEDEs6Ky4&amp;e=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>reportedly fired</span></a><span> for refusing to cuff Comey for the cameras. (When Blanche announced the charges, he described them as the product of work by career prosecutors and agents.) Nor was Blanche discreet about his hoped-for reward. If Trump &ldquo;chooses to nominate me, that&rsquo;s an honor,&rdquo; he </span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__bsky.app_profile_atrupar.com_post_3miwfsgle3c2u&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=slrrB7dE8n7gBJbeO0g-IQ&amp;r=JZwLRYy5ohjDpu4XJL_Qf2hS3DNnVr4l09kSgpJmOOs&amp;m=s9VAr709kQffoWNtOv5k-Lsk21dAZlK1s9F8BoqxaNl5dC6PLsD9BU9VQuv8MaJw&amp;s=yxGf0zFpQXEvi-Y8Jupmaw6bRNjUVz0fQZ_aFeEabT4&amp;e=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>told reporters</span></a><span> in April. And if not? That&rsquo;s okay, too. &ldquo;I will say, &lsquo;Thank you very much. I love you, sir.&rsquo;&rdquo;</span></p>
<p><span>Delator logic is now increasingly visible in the Justice Department&rsquo;s legal filings. In recent months, motions have read like Trump&rsquo;s Truth Social posts, replete with rampant capitalization, erratic punctuation, abrupt digressions, personal grievances, familiar name-calling, and effusive praise for the president. In a </span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__storage.courtlistener.com_recap_gov.uscourts.dcd.287645_gov.uscourts.dcd.287645.79.0.pdf&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=slrrB7dE8n7gBJbeO0g-IQ&amp;r=JZwLRYy5ohjDpu4XJL_Qf2hS3DNnVr4l09kSgpJmOOs&amp;m=s9VAr709kQffoWNtOv5k-Lsk21dAZlK1s9F8BoqxaNl5dC6PLsD9BU9VQuv8MaJw&amp;s=N8qkSi0MmQScDRDBVe1It8eCNpV86tqwvHOSwQHaz18&amp;e=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>recent brief</span></a><span> seeking dismissal of a lawsuit challenging Trump&rsquo;s White House ballroom project, Justice Department lawyers, including Blanche, accused the plaintiff of suffering from &ldquo;TRUMP DERANGEMENT SYNDROME,&rdquo; described the plaintiff as &ldquo;very bad for our Country,&rdquo; and extolled Trump&rsquo;s unique abilities as a real-estate developer. In </span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__storage.courtlistener.com_recap_gov.uscourts.cadc.43300_gov.uscourts.cadc.43300.01208860277.0-5F1.pdf&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=slrrB7dE8n7gBJbeO0g-IQ&amp;r=JZwLRYy5ohjDpu4XJL_Qf2hS3DNnVr4l09kSgpJmOOs&amp;m=s9VAr709kQffoWNtOv5k-Lsk21dAZlK1s9F8BoqxaNl5dC6PLsD9BU9VQuv8MaJw&amp;s=J3W-QUYBoNc63qmaxDiwICrwWlGMJOwR-3aZFjCb-pQ&amp;e=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>another recent brief</span></a><span> to keep Trump&rsquo;s name on The Kennedy Center building, a Department lawyer argued that &ldquo;No one else other than President Trump&rdquo; could raise the money necessary to repair the building, which is at risk of &ldquo;total collapse!&rdquo; That the plaintiff, an </span><i><span>ex officio</span></i><span> trustee, has been &ldquo;a troublemaking appointment, from the beginning of her tenure!&rdquo; And that the Center &ldquo;will be the envy of the World, something that everyone, including this court, will be proud of.&rdquo; If the primary objective were to persuade a court, this would be a strange strategy. But it is not.</span></p>
<p><span>Authoritarians routinely prosecute opponents&mdash;an obvious way to increase the </span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__www.nytimes.com_2025_05_08_opinion_trump-2Dauthoritarianism-2Ddemocracy.html&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=slrrB7dE8n7gBJbeO0g-IQ&amp;r=JZwLRYy5ohjDpu4XJL_Qf2hS3DNnVr4l09kSgpJmOOs&amp;m=s9VAr709kQffoWNtOv5k-Lsk21dAZlK1s9F8BoqxaNl5dC6PLsD9BU9VQuv8MaJw&amp;s=RQwaSStAWq8hCapg4TRsWyngNtXpNH-oK7dfSoklzXY&amp;e=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>costs of opposition</span></a><span>. But doing so requires some calibration. Even when plainly political, these cases typically strive for some measure of plausibility. </span><span>A prosecutor who brings at least colorable charges maintains the judiciary&rsquo;s cooperation and retains the ability to bring future cases that can stick. At the very least, plausibility gives political allies some cover and a story for propagandizing to the public.</span><span> In 2003, Russian President Vladimir Putin had Mikhail Khodorkovsky, then Russia&rsquo;s richest man and a financier of opposition parties, arrested at gunpoint on a Siberian airstrip on charges of tax fraud and embezzlement. The case likely involved real financial improprieties even if the prosecution&rsquo;s purpose was obvious. This administration has sometimes appeared to model that approach. Errors on </span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__www.nytimes.com_2026_01_21_us_politics_lisa-2Dcook-2Dmortgage-2Dfraud-2Daccusation.html-3Feafs-5Fenabled-3Dfalse&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=slrrB7dE8n7gBJbeO0g-IQ&amp;r=JZwLRYy5ohjDpu4XJL_Qf2hS3DNnVr4l09kSgpJmOOs&amp;m=s9VAr709kQffoWNtOv5k-Lsk21dAZlK1s9F8BoqxaNl5dC6PLsD9BU9VQuv8MaJw&amp;s=GKrevUV9lxEdMI5_mZnfyk6LUCZ2Mk2Fs-DZyQ2fgD0&amp;e=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>mortgage applications</span></a><span> are the type of technical legal violations that other authoritarian regimes use to go after opponents. It&rsquo;s what&rsquo;s made the charges against New York Attorney General Letitia James (</span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__abcnews.com_US_criminal-2Dcase-2Dletitia-2Djames-2Dgarden-2Dvariety-2Dmortgage-2Dfraud_story-3Fid-3D127767471&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=slrrB7dE8n7gBJbeO0g-IQ&amp;r=JZwLRYy5ohjDpu4XJL_Qf2hS3DNnVr4l09kSgpJmOOs&amp;m=s9VAr709kQffoWNtOv5k-Lsk21dAZlK1s9F8BoqxaNl5dC6PLsD9BU9VQuv8MaJw&amp;s=_dbL-MKm1I0gqcIF1-gTV5wCvOslDJv4TWfnco16HNg&amp;e=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>bank fraud</span></a><span>) particularly chilling. The allegations may have been baseless and the motivation clear, but to some, they could have nonetheless sounded credible.</span></p>
<p><span>The </span><i><span>reindictment</span></i><span> of Comey might bring to mind Turkey under Recep Tayyip Erdo&#287;an, where serial reindictment is common. In 2018, when the European Court of Human Rights first ordered the release of Kurdish opposition politician Selahattin Demirta&#351;, Turkish prosecutors simply issued new charges covering the same underlying conduct.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>But on closer inspection, Comey&rsquo;s prosecution is a poor fit to the model. </span><span>Demirta&#351; was an elected member of parliament, the charismatic co-chair of Turkey&rsquo;s third-largest party, and a genuine rival to Erdo&#287;an. The prosecution was sized to that threat, neutralizing him as a political actor</span><span>. </span><span>Comey, meanwhile, is a retired official. Demirta&#351;&rsquo; ordeal also sent a signal to other opposition figures about the cost of challenging Erdo&#287;an; the prosecution was legible to his peers as a credible threat</span><span>. </span><span>The seashells case, meanwhile, has broadcast clownishness. It is more farce than menace, muddying any deterrent effect if any were intended. Laura Coates, CNN&rsquo;s chief legal analyst, asked how prosecutors could &ldquo;keep a </span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__www.cnn.com_2026_04_29_us_video_laura-2Dcoates-2Dthe-2Ddojs-2Dcase-2Dagainst-2Djames-2Dcomey-2Dis-2Dlaughable-2Dlcl&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=slrrB7dE8n7gBJbeO0g-IQ&amp;r=JZwLRYy5ohjDpu4XJL_Qf2hS3DNnVr4l09kSgpJmOOs&amp;m=s9VAr709kQffoWNtOv5k-Lsk21dAZlK1s9F8BoqxaNl5dC6PLsD9BU9VQuv8MaJw&amp;s=wF_XveiFWkxTblpIlfinJp9v0e19ONXdoneHNYmaUd8&amp;e=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>straight face</span></a><span> while writing&rdquo; it.</span></p>
<p><span>Strategic prosecutions calculate how much institutional degradation the system can absorb without generating counterproductive backlash&mdash;and stay just below that threshold, working to preserve </span><span>enough institutional legitimacy to remain useful for the regime. When the central goal is consolidating power by inhibiting the opposition, jeopardizing institutional credibility is unhelpful. This is in part what makes those prosecutions so dangerous&mdash;that they are in fact </span><i><span>strategic</span></i><span>. But</span><span> zealous subordinates in the Trump administration do not appear to be reliably making that calculation. They&rsquo;re optimizing for the leader&rsquo;s approval in the moment.</span></p>
<p><span>Blanche has curried Trump&rsquo;s favor, for now. But the</span><span> sycophantic model is fundamentally unstable. An impetuous leader dispensing rewards breeds insecurity, not stability. Rivals angling for the same slot are always circling. Trump was reportedly in </span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__www.bloomberg.com_news_articles_2026-2D04-2D07_trump-2Dholding-2Doff-2Don-2Dpermanent-2Ddoj-2Dpick-2Das-2Dblanche-2Dtakes-2Dreins-3Fsrnd-3Dphx-2Dtrump-2Dsecond-2Dterm-26utm-5Fsource-3Dchatgpt.com&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=slrrB7dE8n7gBJbeO0g-IQ&amp;r=JZwLRYy5ohjDpu4XJL_Qf2hS3DNnVr4l09kSgpJmOOs&amp;m=s9VAr709kQffoWNtOv5k-Lsk21dAZlK1s9F8BoqxaNl5dC6PLsD9BU9VQuv8MaJw&amp;s=fZiKbiIhQZlzo3T4-BMcWnCU90-gA3-HfBdYq74_PMk&amp;e=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>no hurry</span></a><span> to name a new attorney general after firing Bondi, preferring instead to watch subordinates compete. The </span><i><span>delator</span></i><span> offering a tribute today understands that it may not be enough tomorrow, and that the next in line is preparing his audition.</span></p>
<p><span>The resultant loyalty bidding can look ridiculous. Senior officials like Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio have begun wearing identical Florsheim leather wingtips because Trump likes them, even if the shoes </span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__www.vogue.com_article_marco-2Drubio-2Dtoo-2Dbig-2Dshoes&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=slrrB7dE8n7gBJbeO0g-IQ&amp;r=JZwLRYy5ohjDpu4XJL_Qf2hS3DNnVr4l09kSgpJmOOs&amp;m=s9VAr709kQffoWNtOv5k-Lsk21dAZlK1s9F8BoqxaNl5dC6PLsD9BU9VQuv8MaJw&amp;s=sbJ8SjYFAXuxYjCU8dOflANlWyety6vDbRX9UTogxcY&amp;e=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>clearly don&rsquo;t fit</span></a><span>. (According to </span><i><span>Vogue</span></i><span>, the gap in Rubio&rsquo;s shoes has at times appeared &ldquo;cavernous.&rdquo;) But comical slavishness still </span><span>does damage. Comey must still hire lawyers, appear in court, and live under indictment. Cases brought to flatter can also implausibly succeed, especially if the judiciary has been sufficiently compromised, if the jury pool is favorable or has been misled about the facts and law, or if the target makes a mistake. And they leave the institutions they have humiliated warped and disfigured. Each cycle&mdash;each charge, dismissal, and recharge&mdash;perverts the principle that prosecution should be based on evidence and law.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>There is some good news here for the opposition. While colorable charges offer an excuse to rationalize accommodation, the seashell case is almost impossible to present as anything other than what it is. The lack of ambiguity undermines an important authoritarian asset: the ability to preserve some measure of believability that institutions are still functioning normally. It makes it more difficult to sustain the this-is-normal narrative that autocrats depend upon to keep wavering elites and voters from defecting.</span></p>
<p><span>Judges, prosecutors, bar associations, and other legal institutions must respond to cases like this. A strategically calibrated prosecution offers those institutions some cover for acquiescence. Sycophants squander that advantage, forcing institutional actors to make a starker choice: either demonstrate independence and fidelity to the rule of law, or go along with the farce and reveal that the institution has been captured. The starkness is clarifying, eliminating shades of grey in which to hide.</span></p>
<p><span>Much of the legal system&rsquo;s deference to prosecutors rests on assumptions that no longer hold. Courts have long presumed regularity because prosecutors are ordinarily understood to be pursuing the law in good faith. Judges hesitate to pierce grand jury secrecy because the charging process itself is presumed fundamentally legitimate. Bar authorities move cautiously to discipline attorneys because proving intentional political abuse is often difficult when pretext remains at least somewhat believable. Each of these actors has tools for addressing abuse; they have simply been reluctant to use them. But that may be changing. Judges are indeed proving more willing to </span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__www.cbsnews.com_chicago_news_charges-2Ddismissed-2Dbroadview-2Dsix-2Dgrand-2Djury-2Dtranscript_&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=slrrB7dE8n7gBJbeO0g-IQ&amp;r=JZwLRYy5ohjDpu4XJL_Qf2hS3DNnVr4l09kSgpJmOOs&amp;m=s9VAr709kQffoWNtOv5k-Lsk21dAZlK1s9F8BoqxaNl5dC6PLsD9BU9VQuv8MaJw&amp;s=X3uW1Yi_vUOMI10MqdoCLeIerjJWJpvuj4rJM-ENDIo&amp;e=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>review grand jury transcripts</span></a><span> where there are strong indicia of prosecutorial misconduct. Comey&rsquo;s first prosecution collapsed after a magistrate judge took the rare step of releasing grand jury transcripts to the defense, which revealed &ldquo;a </span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__abcnews.com_US_judge-2Dcomey-2Dcase-2Draises-2Dalarm-2Dprofound-2Dinvestigative-2Dmissteps_story-3Fid-3D127594703&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=slrrB7dE8n7gBJbeO0g-IQ&amp;r=JZwLRYy5ohjDpu4XJL_Qf2hS3DNnVr4l09kSgpJmOOs&amp;m=s9VAr709kQffoWNtOv5k-Lsk21dAZlK1s9F8BoqxaNl5dC6PLsD9BU9VQuv8MaJw&amp;s=HwkXDr39BMizmMEY7xMfm0OOKzfKevgt_1-LfaiaR7A&amp;e=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>disturbing pattern</span></a><span> of profound investigative missteps,&rdquo; wrote the judge. The SPLC, among </span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__www.theatlantic.com_ideas_2026_06_trump-2Ddoj-2Djudges-2Dlawfare_687501_-3Fgift-3DTlXjN7MPDrnWSuuK5YQWIx60m2izz8Enwv3CNXychB8-26utm-5Fsource-3Dcopy-2Dlink-26utm-5Fmedium-3Dsocial-26utm-5Fcampaign-3Dshare&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=slrrB7dE8n7gBJbeO0g-IQ&amp;r=JZwLRYy5ohjDpu4XJL_Qf2hS3DNnVr4l09kSgpJmOOs&amp;m=s9VAr709kQffoWNtOv5k-Lsk21dAZlK1s9F8BoqxaNl5dC6PLsD9BU9VQuv8MaJw&amp;s=3aEO44b8DNxBdV2EoPeypWGZnXEI4AGmApMdKvgITj4&amp;e=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>others</span></a><span>, have cited the judge&rsquo;s ruling to access grand jury materials.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Courts should go further, adopting procedural safeguards like the </span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__www.nbcnews.com_politics_justice-2Ddepartment_federal-2Djudge-2Ddc-2Dissues-2Dnew-2Dgrand-2Djury-2Dpolicy-2Dfailed-2Dindictment-2Ddemocr-2Drcna263896&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=slrrB7dE8n7gBJbeO0g-IQ&amp;r=JZwLRYy5ohjDpu4XJL_Qf2hS3DNnVr4l09kSgpJmOOs&amp;m=s9VAr709kQffoWNtOv5k-Lsk21dAZlK1s9F8BoqxaNl5dC6PLsD9BU9VQuv8MaJw&amp;s=zbh89HdIa59LDOJyrMsj9M0KhfOwW0OnYcr1tJsZBps&amp;e=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>&ldquo;no true bill&rdquo; rule</span></a><span> devised by the Chief Judge of D.C.&rsquo;s district court, which would require prosecutors to disclose when a grand jury has previously declined to indict before re-presenting the matter elsewhere. State bars, meanwhile, should move promptly against prosecutors shown to have engaged in misconduct rather than treating such cases as ordinary disciplinary matters to be processed over years. Defendants targeted by </span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__protectdemocracy.org_work_retaliatory-2Daction-2Dtracker_&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=slrrB7dE8n7gBJbeO0g-IQ&amp;r=JZwLRYy5ohjDpu4XJL_Qf2hS3DNnVr4l09kSgpJmOOs&amp;m=s9VAr709kQffoWNtOv5k-Lsk21dAZlK1s9F8BoqxaNl5dC6PLsD9BU9VQuv8MaJw&amp;s=rJk50Ll0n5lz_L9Y76KdJbbXFbogcOheSKQZJiN2_rU&amp;e=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>retaliatory prosecutions</span></a><span> should more aggressively pursue attorneys&rsquo; fees under the </span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__uscode.house.gov_view.xhtml-3Freq-3Dgranuleid-3AUSC-2Dprelim-2Dtitle28-2Dsection2678-26num-3D0-26edition-3Dprelim&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=slrrB7dE8n7gBJbeO0g-IQ&amp;r=JZwLRYy5ohjDpu4XJL_Qf2hS3DNnVr4l09kSgpJmOOs&amp;m=s9VAr709kQffoWNtOv5k-Lsk21dAZlK1s9F8BoqxaNl5dC6PLsD9BU9VQuv8MaJw&amp;s=0hp_kJd_I5AA-X6vq4hHfOThXDM-nQnoP1szkOKJwAc&amp;e=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Hyde Amendment</span></a><span>, which permits fee awards against the government for prosecutions undertaken in bad faith. These measures are more difficult when the political nature of a prosecution remains genuinely contestable. But that is often </span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__www.theatlantic.com_ideas_2026_06_trump-2Ddoj-2Djudges-2Dlawfare_687501_-3Fgift-3DTlXjN7MPDrnWSuuK5YQWIx60m2izz8Enwv3CNXychB8-26utm-5Fsource-3Dcopy-2Dlink-26utm-5Fmedium-3Dsocial-26utm-5Fcampaign-3Dshare&amp;d=DwMFaQ&amp;c=slrrB7dE8n7gBJbeO0g-IQ&amp;r=JZwLRYy5ohjDpu4XJL_Qf2hS3DNnVr4l09kSgpJmOOs&amp;m=s9VAr709kQffoWNtOv5k-Lsk21dAZlK1s9F8BoqxaNl5dC6PLsD9BU9VQuv8MaJw&amp;s=3aEO44b8DNxBdV2EoPeypWGZnXEI4AGmApMdKvgITj4&amp;e=" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>no longer the case</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>There is another response available, as well. The reaction to the seashell indictment was revealing not because critics condemned it, but because so many observers&mdash;including some inclined to support the administration&mdash;openly mocked it. Although Comey will need to mount a serious defense, it may be helpful for the rest of us to laugh.</span></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/147230/audition-attorney-general-blanche-prosecuting-please/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">To Audition for the Role of Attorney General, Blanche Is Prosecuting to Please</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-15T12:50:08+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Grant Tudor</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-15T12:50:08+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="attorney general"/>

	<category term="congress"/>

	<category term="courts &amp; litigation"/>

	<category term="democracy &amp; rule of law"/>

	<category term="department of justice (doj)"/>

	<category term="donald trump"/>

	<category term="executive branch"/>

	<category term="featured articles"/>

	<category term="federal bureau of investigation (fbi)"/>

	<category term="indictment"/>

	<category term="james comey"/>

	<category term="prosecution"/>

	<category term="todd blanche"/>

	<category term="trump administration second term"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-15:/293535</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/147315/early-edition-july-15-2026/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=early-edition-july-15-2026" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Early Edition: July 15, 2026</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Sign up to receive the Early Edition in your inbox here.
A curated guide to major news and developme...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Sign up to receive the Early Edition in your inbox <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/newsletter-signup/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">here</a>.</p>
<p>A curated guide to major news and developments over the weekend. Here&rsquo;s today&rsquo;s news:</p>
<p><b><i>IRAN WAR</i></b></p>
<p><b>President Trump yesterday dropped plans to collect a 20% fee on ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz,</b><span> citing requests from allies in the Persian Gulf. Trump told reporters that the region&rsquo;s &ldquo;kings and emirs&rdquo; said &ldquo;we&rsquo;d love to do it a different way. We&rsquo;d love to invest in the United States with billions and billions of dollars.&rdquo; </span><span>Trump said he preferred that arrangement to charging tolls &ldquo;because I don&rsquo;t think anybody should be able to charge a fee for the strait.&rdquo;</span><span> Jon Gambrell reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-hormuz-strait-war-july-15-2026-b7c592f269d822407dd6b5641602bf25" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>; Barak Ravid reports for </span><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/14/trump-hormuz-toll-demand-trade-fee" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Axios</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b>The U.S. military reimposed its naval blockade on Iran and carried out a fourth round of overnight strikes that continued into this morning,</b><span> hitting an Iranian army barracks and killing at least seven troops while wounding 260 people across the country, Iranian officials said. Trump told reporters yesterday that more U.S. strikes were coming in the next few days and that bridges and power plants could be targeted by next week unless negotiations resume. Three sources told </span><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/15/trump-situation-room-iran-bombing" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Axios</span></a><span> that Trump held a Situation Room meeting yesterday to discuss a massive offensive in Iran that will be wider in scope than the current strikes around the Strait of Hormuz. Barak Ravid reports; Jon Gambrell reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-hormuz-strait-war-july-15-2026-b7c592f269d822407dd6b5641602bf25" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b>Iran said it responded this morning with strikes in Jordan, Bahrain, and Kuwait. </b><span>Missile alert warnings went out in Bahrain and Kuwait; authorities in Jordan said it shot down three incoming Iranian missiles; and the Kuwaiti army reported that its air defenses were repelling Iranian hostile drone assaults. </span><a href="https://www.euronews.com/2026/07/15/iran-launches-strikes-on-neighbours-as-us-resumes-blockade-and-trump-threatens-to-hit-powe" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Euronews</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Iran&rsquo;s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has threatened to close &ldquo;all other export corridors that benefit the U.S. and its allies,&rdquo;</b><span> Iranian state media reported today. &ldquo;Regional energy exports are either shared by all or denied to all,&rdquo; the IRGC said. Analysts have said Iran has been signalling it may use its Houthi allies in Yemen to shut the Bab el-Mandeb gateway to the Red Sea. Enas Alashray, Tala Ramadan, Kanishka Singh, and Samia Nakhoul report for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-threatens-block-more-vital-seaways-trump-orders-renewed-iran-blockade-2026-07-15/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Iranian cyberattacks exploited vulnerabilities in outdated network technology to locate the phones of U.S. personnel in the Middle East,</b><span> data released yesterday by the Mobile Surveillance Network showed. Zane Irwin reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/14/world/middleeast/iran-cyberattack-us-military-phones-tracking.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Former Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad yesterday denied that he was at the center of a secret Israeli operation to groom him as an intelligence asset, </b><span>according to a statement on his social media page. The statement followed a New York Times </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/13/us/politics/israel-mahmoud-ahmadinejad-iran.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>investigation</span></a><span> which reported that Israel had orchestrated a yearslong plan to install Ahmadinejad as Iran&rsquo;s new leader. Lynsey Chutel and Sanam Mahoozi report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/14/world/middleeast/mahmoud-ahmadinejad-iran-israeli-asset.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The United States is backing efforts by Iraq and Syria to restore the Kirkuk-Baniyas crude oil pipeline, </b><span>which could provide an alternative route for Middle Eastern oil exports and reduce reliance on the Strait of Hormuz, a State Department official said yesterday. The pipeline, damaged during the 2003 Iraq invasion and largely inactive since, is expected to involve American companies in its reconstruction. </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/us-supporting-efforts-revive-iraq-syria-crude-oil-pipeline-us-official-says-2026-07-14/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>IRAN WAR &ndash; LEBANON&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Israeli and Lebanese officials met yesterday for a new round of U.S.-mediated talks in Rome</b><span>. The two-day meetings follow a preliminary agreement reached last month aimed at ending the fighting in Lebanon. Abdi Latif Dahir reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/14/world/middleeast/israel-lebanon-peace-talks.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b>Trump told Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu during a phone call last week that Israel should start redeploying its forces out of Syria and urged him to do the same in Lebanon, </b><span>according to U.S. and Israeli officials. T</span><span>he call between Trump and Netanyahu took place a day after a meeting the president had with Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa on the sidelines of the NATO summit in Turkey.</span><span> Barak Ravid reports for </span><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/14/trump-netanyahu-syria-lebanon-redeploy" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Axios</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>RUSSIA-UKRAINE WAR&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Lithuania has intelligence that Russia is planning attacks on infrastructure, </b><span>Lithuanian President Gitana Nauseda said in an interview published today, adding that security around energy and transport sites will be tightened as a precaution. Nauseda said he had no information on when or where the attacks were planned. </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/lithuania-says-russia-is-planning-attacks-infrastructure-2026-07-15/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>A Russian drone and missile attack overnight killed at least three people in Odesa,</b><span> according to Ukrainian authorities. Russia&rsquo;s defence ministry said today that Moscow&rsquo;s forces continued overnight strikes on &#8203;Ukrainian ports it said were &#8203;handling cargoes for the &#8288;Ukrainian military. </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russian-attack-ukraines-odesa-kills-three-official-says-2026-07-15/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Ukrainian drones hit 20 Russian vessels in the Black Sea overnight, </b><span>Robert Brovdi, the commander of Ukraine&rsquo;s Unmanned Systems Forces, said today, adding that 116 vessels have been struck in the Sea of Azov this month. Three industry sources told </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/graphics/UKRAINE-CRISIS/RUSSIA-TANKER/zjpqgyxjgpx/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> that </span><span>shipping in the Sea &#8203;of Azov, the route for a quarter of Russia&rsquo;s grain exports, remained restricted yesterday for security reasons following the </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-says-ukraine-struck-tanker-sea-azov-2026-07-12/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Ukrainian attacks</span></a><span>. Russia has not formally announced the curbs, but yesterday it accused Ukraine of terrorism over its escalating attacks on shipping. </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russian-attack-ukraines-odesa-kills-three-official-says-2026-07-15/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> reports; Mariano Zafra and Jon McClure report for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/graphics/UKRAINE-CRISIS/RUSSIA-TANKER/zjpqgyxjgpx/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>ISRAEL-HAMAS WAR</i></b></p>
<p><b>An Israeli air strike today killed a man, his wife, and their six-year-old daughter in Gaza, </b><span>Palestinian health officials said. The Israeli military said the strike targeted a Hamas militant. Another strike in Gaza City killed one person, medics said. The Israeli military did not comment on this incident. Nidal Al-Mughrabi reports for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-kills-four-people-gaza-including-child-medics-say-2026-07-15/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b>An Israeli air strike on a post belonging to Gaza&rsquo;s police force yesterday killed at least seven people,</b><span> health and police officials said. Witnesses told </span><a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cqj1jqeyl5ro" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>BBC News</span></a><span> that an Israeli drone fired four missiles at the post near a busy market in northern Gaza. Gaza&rsquo;s interior ministry said the head of the local police station was killed in what it condemned as a &ldquo;massacre.&rdquo; The Israeli military said the police chief was the head of military security for Hamas&rsquo;s Central Jabalia Battalion, and that three other &ldquo;terrorists&rdquo; were killed alongside him. Another two people were also killed by Israeli fire in southern Gaza yesterday. David Gritten reports.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>WEST BANK VIOLENCE&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Israeli Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich announced yesterday that Israel&rsquo;s security cabinet approved a budget of 1.3 billion shekels ($434 million) for establishing 34 new settlements in the occupied West Bank. </b><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-allocates-434-million-34-new-west-bank-settlements-2026-07-14/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>SUDANESE CIVIL WAR&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>In a joint statement today, G7 foreign ministers and </b><b>EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Kaja Kallas</b><b> urged the Sudanese Rapid Support Forces paramilitary and allied armed groups to stop all actions that could lead to further atrocities or endanger civilians in El-Obeid.</b> <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/g7-urges-halt-attacks-sudans-el-obeid-calls-wider-arms-embargo-2026-07-15/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters </span></a><span>reports.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Sudan risks sliding backwards into deeper hunger as conflict, aid, funding cuts, and rising agricultural costs driven by disruption linked to the Iran war threaten to reverse gains made after famine took hold in parts of the country, </b><span>a senior World Food Programme official said yesterday. Olivia Le Poidevin reports for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/sudan-risks-deeper-hunger-crisis-due-war-aid-cuts-hormuz-disruption-says-wfp-2026-07-14/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The EU banned the purchase, import, and transfer of gold from Sudan on Monday</b><span>, saying the trade has become a key source of financing for the country&rsquo;s civil war. Wycliffe Muia reports for </span><a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ce3e3nqwr5do" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>BBC News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>OTHER GLOBAL DEVELOPMENTS</i></b><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The U.K&rsquo;s Bar Standards Board announced yesterday that it has upheld the suspension of ICC Chief Prosecutor Karim Khan over allegations of sexual misconduct, </b><span>preventing him from practising law in the United Kingdom while disciplinary proceedings continue. The ICC&rsquo;s oversight body will vote later this month on whether to remove Khan from office. </span><a href="https://abcnews.com/International/wireStory/uk-legal-watchdog-upholds-suspension-icc-prosecutor-karim-134739714" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>ABC News</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>At least 50 migrants, including women and children, are feared lost at sea, while 10 survived, &#8203;after their wooden boat capsized yesterday in the Mediterranean Sea off the eastern coast of Libya, </b><span>two security sources told Reuters. </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/fifty-migrants-feared-lost-mediterranean-10-survive-after-boat-capsizes-security-2026-07-14/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. FOREIGN AFFAIRS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Cuba&rsquo;s national power grid collapsed again yesterday, </b><span>according to Cuba&rsquo;s energy ministry, marking the third major blackout in nine days as a result of the U.S.-imposed oil blockade. Ayose Naranjo reports for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/cubas-national-electric-grid-collapses-third-time-july-state-media-says-2026-07-14/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Mexico has begun filing criminal complaints with state prosecutors in the United States over the deaths of its citizens in U.S. immigration custody and during enforcement operations, </b><span>the Mexican foreign ministry said yesterday. Mexico&rsquo;s government has also sent cease-and-desist letters to U.S. detention centers where Mexican nationals have died. </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/mexico-files-criminal-complains-us-over-migrant-deaths-custody-2026-07-14/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Over 100 flights were canceled yesterday and 300 delayed at Ronald Reagan National Airport due to security measures meant to protect the Iraqi prime minister during his visit to Washington, D.C.,</b><span> sources said. Jennifer Jacobs and Olivia Rinaldi report for </span><a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/washington-dca-flight-delays-iraq-pm-trump-security/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>CBS News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. IMMIGRATION DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Every ICE arrest team will have at least one law enforcement officer equipped with a body-worn camera going forward, </b><span>the Department of Homeland Security said yesterday, following two fatal shootings by agents in Houston and Biddeford who did not have cameras. Nicole Sganga and Joe Walsh report for </span><a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/ice-arrest-team-body-camera-dhs-says/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>CBS News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Trump administration has ordered ICE officers to halt most vehicle stops while carrying out operations across the country,</b><span> according to sources. White House Border Czar </span><span>Tom Homan downplayed the order yesterday, saying it was a temporary action that would not impede ICE&rsquo;s ability to conduct arrests. &ldquo;It&rsquo;s a short pause just to make sure we&rsquo;re doing the right thing,&rdquo; he said in an interview</span><span>. Madeleine Ngo, Hamed Aleaziz, and Zolan Kanno-Youngs report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/14/us/ice-agents-traffic-stops.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>A 28-year-old man running from an encounter with ICE agents at a gas station in St Augustine, Florida, was struck and killed by a tractor-trailer yesterday morning</b><span>, according to a state highway patrol spokesperson. The Department of Homeland Security provided limited information in a statement yesterday evening, saying only that agents had conducted an operation near St Johns County and that an incident had resulted in the death of a Mexican national. David Ovalle and Hamed Aleaziz report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/14/us/florida-ice-death-immigration.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>TECH DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis yesterday called for the United States to establish a new AI watchdog with the power to screen the world&rsquo;s most advanced models and coordinate an industry-wide slowdown if dangers mount, </b><span>according to his personal </span><a href="https://demishassabis.substack.com/p/a-framework-for-frontier-ai-and-the-dawning-of-a-new-age" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>manifesto</span></a><span> published yesterday. Mike Allen, Zachary Basu, and Madison Mills report for </span><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/14/demis-hassabis-ai-regulation-google-deepmind" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Axios</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>New York Governor Kathy Hochul (D) yesterday signed an executive order barring the construction of new &ldquo;hyperscaler&rdquo; data centers using 50 megawatts or more of power for up to one year.</b><span> It is the first statewide data center ban, though similar measures are being considered by other states. Paxton Honerkamp reports for </span><a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/14/new-york-ai-data-center-ban.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>CNBC</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Trump administration yesterday launched a new AI cybersecurity clearinghouse, dubbed &ldquo;Gold Eagle,&rdquo; </b><span>that officials say will help federal agencies, critical infrastructure owners and operators, and AI companies identify and patch software vulnerabilities discovered by advanced AI models. Dana Nickel reports for </span><a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2026/07/14/white-house-launches-gold-eagle-cybersecurity-clearinghouse-to-patch-software-flaws-discovered-by-ai-00998011" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>POLITICO</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. DOMESTIC DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Senate Democrats yesterday defeated a motion to proceed to the $1.15 trillion annual defense authorization bill. </b><span>The bill failed by a vote of 50 to 46, with senators voting strictly along party lines. Democrats cited the resumption of the military conflict with Iran and Trump&rsquo;s failure to ask Congress to authorize the war as significant reasons behind their opposition. Alexander Bolton reports for </span><a href="https://thehill.com/policy/defense/5967878-senate-democrats-block-ndaa/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>The Hill</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Justice Elena Kagan told the House Appropriations Committee yesterday that police expect threats against Supreme Court justices to rise nearly 40% this year. </b><span>The Court is requesting $18.9 million to expand personal protection, build an off-site security command post, and hire cybersecurity experts. Josephine Walker reports for </span><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/14/supreme-court-security-threats-kagan-barrett" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Axios</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Emails obtained by the watchdog group American Oversight and provided to</b> <b>the </b><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/14/us/politics/todd-blanche-trump-enemies-emails.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>New York Times</b></a><b> reveal that Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche previously helped oversee a Justice Department task force investigating alleged government &ldquo;weaponization,&rdquo; while managing conflicts with more aggressive Trump allies.</b><span> The documents, released ahead of Blanche&rsquo;s Senate confirmation hearing for attorney general today, have sparked debate over whether he supported Trump&rsquo;s efforts to target political opponents or acted as a check on those efforts. Glenn Thrush reports.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Justice Department has subpoenaed several major law firms that reached agreements with the White House after facing pressure from Trump&rsquo;s executive orders last year. </b><span>The subpoenas are part of a legal fight over a lawsuit brought by the American Bar Association, which is challenging the administration&rsquo;s actions and seeking records about how the agreements were negotiated, including the role of Trump&rsquo;s personal lawyer Boris Epshteyn. Michael S. Schmidt and Devlin Barrett report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/14/us/politics/trump-subpoenas-law-firms-epshteyn-aba.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>TRUMP ADMINISTRATION ACTIONS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth recently blocked the promotions of seven senior Navy officers, five of whom are women or people of color, to two-star admiral rank, </b><span>current and former defense officials said. Greg Jaffe reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/14/us/hegseth-blocks-navy-promotions.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>TRUMP ADMINISTRATION LITIGATION&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Trump has now paid E. Jean Carroll more than $5 million in damages three years after he was found liable for sexually abusing and defaming her in a civil case</b><span>, Carroll&rsquo;s lawyers confirmed yesterday. Max Matza reports for </span><a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c2dydj1wp93o" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>BBC News</span></a><span>.</span></p>
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<p><strong>ICYMI: Yesterday on<em>&nbsp;Just Security</em></strong></p>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146516/climate-multilateralism-un-cop/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">W(h)ither Climate &ldquo;Multilateralism&rdquo;?</a></p>
<p>By <span>Sue Biniaz</span></p>
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<p>By <span>Elly Page</span></p>
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<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/147012/trump-administration-statement-dismantling-icc/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">What does the Trump Administration Statement on Dismantling the ICC Really Mean?</a></p>
<p>By <span>Just Security</span></p>
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<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/147315/early-edition-july-15-2026/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Early Edition: July 15, 2026</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-15T12:22:08+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Elisabeth Jennings</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-15T12:22:08+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="daily news roundup"/>

	<category term="diplomacy"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-14:/293473</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146516/climate-multilateralism-un-cop/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=climate-multilateralism-un-cop" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">W(h)ither Climate “Multilateralism”?</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>June was a busy month in climate change world. The annual inter-sessional meetings of the Parties to...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>June was a busy month in climate change world. The annual inter-sessional <a href="https://unfccc.int/sb64" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">meetings</a> of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC)/Paris Agreement took place in Bonn. London hosted its annual <a href="https://londonclimateactionweek.org/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Climate Action Week</a>. The <a href="https://climate.ec.europa.eu/eu-action/international-action-climate-change/global-climate-action/ministerial-meetings-climate-action_en" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Ministerial on Climate Action</a> (&ldquo;MOCA&rdquo;), co-led by the European Union, Canada, and China, took place in Brussels. And the <a href="https://www.ouroceanconference.org/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Our Ocean Conference</a>, which was held this year in Mombasa, Kenya, focused in part on linkages between climate change and the ocean.</p>
<p>Formal and/or informal discussions covered the lofty (geopolitics), the scary (potential climate tipping points), the highly technical (adaptation indicators), the controversial (AI data centers), the sectoral (sustainable shipping), the essential (critical minerals), the financial (carbon markets), the cross-cutting (climate change and trade), and everything in between.</p>
<p>The state of climate &ldquo;multilateralism&rdquo; was also a frequent subject of panels, closed-door gatherings, and informal chats over coffee. Concerns these days about &ldquo;multilateralism&rdquo; are, of course, not limited to climate change but pervade all manner of subjects and international institutions. Yet the topic seems to raise particular issues in the climate space, given the very high bar for reaching agreement in the formal treaty process, the significant role of sub-national and private sector actors in climate action, and the vast array of cooperative activities among sub-sets of Parties to the UNFCCC/Paris Agreement.</p>
<p>Here I seek to unpack some of the key issues that the current discussions do or, perhaps, should address.</p>
<h2><strong>What is meant by &ldquo;multilateralism&rdquo; in the climate context?</strong></h2>
<p>One of the challenging aspects of discussing &ldquo;multilateralism&rdquo; is that people use the term in several different ways. We tend to know &ldquo;multilateral&rdquo; when we see it, but the &ldquo;ism&rdquo; introduces a wide variety of meanings and creates substantial confusion.</p>
<p>One question is whether the idea is more of a philosophical concept (such as general support for international agreements and institutions) or a matter of numbers (such as how many participating States in a given treaty/arrangement), and, if the latter, whether multilateralism stands in contrast to unilateralism/bilateralism (many versus one/two) or to plurilateralism (global versus numerous).</p>
<p>Another question is whether multilateralism has a distinct meaning in the climate field.&nbsp;If so, is the meaning stricter than elsewhere, given that the UNFCCC/Paris Agreement regime has nearly universal adherence and operates by consensus? Or is it looser, given that the achievement of global climate goals requires diverse cooperative efforts and a wide variety of actors, including, e.g., sub-national governments, the private sector, and sub-groups of interested Parties?</p>
<p>Given the confusion, one takeaway from recent discussions is the need to press speakers to define their terms. Otherwise, they are liable to talk past each other or to simply use the term as a proxy, describing processes they like as reflecting multilateralism and those they oppose as an attack on multilateralism.</p>
<h2><strong>Is the climate &ldquo;multilateralism&rdquo; issue new?</strong></h2>
<p>Discussions about &ldquo;multilateralism&rdquo; in the climate space are not new. However, they have evolved over time.</p>
<ul>
<li>The perceived failure of the 2009 Conference of the Parties (&ldquo;COP&rdquo;) in Copenhagen, which issued an accord that was significant but had no binding commitments and was not formally adopted, put extra pressure on the subsequent negotiation of the Paris Agreement as a critical test of &ldquo;multilateralism.&rdquo; In that context, the term was invoked as a high-level exhortation for the world to come together to address a matter of extreme global importance. In that same regard, the successful adoption of the Paris Agreement was hailed as a triumph of multilateralism.</li>
<li>The cooperative efforts among sub-national and non-State actors that emerged in support of the Paris Agreement goals raised the question whether they should be considered new modes of &ldquo;multilateralism.&rdquo; After all, these efforts involved actors from all over the world in pursuit of multilaterally agreed goals. There was not necessarily any notable conclusion from such discussions, but it is interesting to note that there did not appear to be any particular backlash to such efforts &mdash; likely because they did not involve States and were therefore not perceived as any kind of threat to the intergovernmental process.
<ul>
<li>
<ul>
<li>
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</ul>
<p>Current discussions concerning climate &ldquo;multilateralism&rdquo; generally focus on two distinct but related issues:</p>
<ul>
<li>The first issue relates to the COP, specifically formal decision-making by the Parties to the UNFCCC and Paris Agreement. The regime operates by consensus (or, in practice, something close to it). Given the difficulty of reaching consensus among nearly 200 Parties within the formal COP process, particularly recently, the question has arisen whether significant COP decision-making, perhaps the ultimate form of climate &ldquo;multilateralism,&rdquo; may have run its course.</li>
<li>The second issue is how to think about the many climate-related initiatives and coalitions among sub-sets of Parties that are not formally agreed as part of the COP process. Such &ldquo;informal,&rdquo; &ldquo;side,&rdquo; or &ldquo;outside&rdquo; efforts are technically multilateral, even if not global, yet continue to raise issues concerning how they fit into the climate multilateralism ecosystem.</li>
<li>
<ul>
<li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<h2><strong>Is COP &ldquo;multilateralism&rdquo; dead? Or at least endangered?</strong></h2>
<p>Taking the COP issue first, negotiated outcomes that reflect consensus among nearly 200 Parties have been an important tool for sending signals to the market, for responding to science, for mobilizing finance, for promoting accountability, and otherwise driving climate action.</p>
<p>However, one would be forgiven for worrying about the future ability of the Parties to make meaningful progress through consensus decisions. As difficult as it was before 2025 to galvanize nearly the entire world toward agreed outcomes, it has arguably become even more difficult. Between the absence of a climate-friendly United States, tumultuous geopolitics, climate backlash in some quarters, and the underwhelming COP 30 negotiated outcome, it would not be unreasonable to conclude that COP multilateralism, as reflected in significant consensus decisions such as the adoption of the Paris Agreement, the Glasgow Climate Pact, the first Global Stocktake (the assessment of aggregate progress under the Paris Agreement), or funding arrangements for responding to loss and damage, is a thing of the past.</p>
<p>At the same time, one could reasonably argue that it would be incorrect &mdash; or at least premature &mdash; to draw the conclusion that COP multilateralism is over.</p>
<ul>
<li>It is worth recalling, particularly for newer participants in climate processes, that it has always been very difficult to reach consensus. States have extremely different national circumstances relevant to climate change, sometimes seemingly irreconcilable ones, yet they have managed over and over again to converge on negotiated outcomes &mdash; through leadership, persistence, and a wealth of problem-solving tools. There is a tendency to look back at the creation of past significant outcomes, such as the Kyoto Protocol or the Paris Agreement, as somehow easy &mdash; because the conditions were less fraught &mdash; but, in the case of Paris, for example, it took about seven years of hard, frustrating work to get there, with many ups and downs along the way.</li>
<li>To the extent that commenters point to the weak COP 30 outcome negotiated in 2025 as evidence of a paradigm shift, it is not clear that COP 30 necessarily represents the new normal. Although it is true that the Parties did not reach consensus to develop a roadmap on &ldquo;transitioning away from fossil fuels,&rdquo; the proposal to do so was raised late in the game, without the necessary foundation being laid. Further, it was never quite realistic to assume that it would work to pluck out just one element (particularly the most contentious one) from a heavily negotiated paragraph in the Dubai COP&rsquo;s Global Stocktake decision. The fact that this specific proposal did not succeed does not necessarily mean that future COPs are doomed to failure.</li>
<li>
<ul>
<li>
<ul>
<li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>It can also be risky to draw overly broad conclusions from a single climate-related conference. In the case of the International Maritime Organization, for example, last fall&rsquo;s highly publicized divisive meeting on measures to promote decarbonization of the international shipping sector was greeted with alarm. However, the resumed session a few months later &mdash; which received far less attention &mdash; was quite constructive. And the much-maligned Copenhagen outcome was largely rescued the following year, in Cancun, and ultimately laid the groundwork for the Paris Agreement.</p>
<p>Finally, one of the dangers of declaring the demise of COP multilateralism is that it may become a self-fulfilling prophesy. The more Parties give up on even trying to secure consensus outcomes, because it seems hopeless, the truer it may become that one loses a key tool in driving climate action. It also runs the risk of letting key States off the hook, as some of the largest economies have been the most reluctant to join non-consensus initiatives/coalitions.</p>
<h2><strong>Would it help to get rid of consensus?</strong></h2>
<p>An issue worth mentioning, because it continues to be raised, is whether a change in COP procedure is in order.</p>
<p>Since the very beginning of the UNFCCC regime, many Parties and observers have supported super-majority voting in order to facilitate decision-making. However, because the rules of procedure themselves needed to be adopted by consensus, and not all Parties agreed with super-majority voting, the rules were provisionally adopted on all topics&nbsp;<em>except</em>&nbsp;for decision-making. As a result, the Parties have been operating for decades under a default rule of consensus or something very close to it.</p>
<p>Some continue to call for the UNFCCC/Paris regime to move from consensus to super-majority voting (e.g., 2/3 of the Parties) in order to make it much harder for a Party or group of Parties to block agreement. Setting aside the fact that one would need consensus of the Parties to move away from consensus (which seems highly unlikely), there is a deeper question whether super-majority voting would actually strengthen COP outcomes.</p>
<p>It would seem, at least on the face of it, that voting would be an advance over the current need to reach consensus.</p>
<ul>
<li>It would likely not only improve the prospects for securing negotiated outcomes but also enable those outcomes to be more ambitious &mdash; avoiding the &ldquo;least common denominator&rdquo; effect.</li>
<li>Parties on the defensive would presumably have to try harder to work out agreement lest they be out-voted, as opposed to simply saying no.</li>
<li>For those concerned about the proliferation of processes outside the COP (see below), facilitating agreement within the COP could cut down on the need for Parties to pursue outside processes. At a minimum, Parties looking to raise ambition might be more willing to at least try for a negotiated outcome before pursuing a smaller coalition of Parties.</li>
<li>
<ul>
<li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>On the other hand:</p>
<ul>
<li>One of the advantages of a consensus decision is the strength of the signal it sends. Even if it is weaker substantively than it might have been through a voting process, the fact that essentially the entire world has agreed on X can be powerful. Decisions taken by fewer than all the Parties could end up sending a weaker signal, particularly if the out-voted Parties included critically relevant ones.</li>
<li>Parties might be less willing to implement a decision that they voted against.</li>
<li>Parties might approach negotiations differently, i.e., directly work to achieve the super-majority, rather than at least try to address the issues and concerns of potential opponents.</li>
<li>
<ul>
<li>
<ul>
<li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>Moving to voting is likely a moot point, given that it takes consensus to move away from consensus. In any event, it would be helpful for discussions about &ldquo;consensus versus voting&rdquo; to dig more deeply into the various pros and cons.</p>
<h2><strong>How should we think about the &ldquo;outside&rdquo; initiatives/coalitions in relation to &ldquo;multilateralism&rdquo;?</strong></h2>
<p>Turning to the initiatives and coalitions launched outside the formal COP process (e.g., the Global Methane Pledge, the Beyond Oil and Gas Alliance, the Declaration to Triple Nuclear Energy, the Forest &amp; Climate Leaders&rsquo; Partnership, the Green Shipping Challenge), these efforts have proliferated in recent years. They generally involve some or many, but not all, Parties (and, in some cases, non-State actors as well) and focus on a particular gas, sector, or other slice of the climate challenge. Many view them as forms of multilateralism themselves or at least operating in support of COP multilateralism, given that they generally pursue globally agreed goals.</p>
<p>At the same time, there are those who not only consider COP decision-making the exclusive form of climate multilateralism but appear to think of initiatives/coalitions outside the formal COP process as somehow at odds with multilateralism, i.e., as end-runs around the COP and its legitimate consensus decision-making process.</p>
<p>In some cases, States may in fact be motivated to pursue informal approaches to climate cooperation because of the difficulty of securing consensus at a COP, but there are many other reasons why States have been pursuing alternative approaches.</p>
<ul>
<li>They may seek to implement a decision already taken through the COP process.</li>
<li>They may want to be able to include sub-national entities or the private sector.</li>
<li>They may consider that not all States are necessary or even appropriate for the pursuit or implementation of a particular goal (e.g., in a sector that involves some States more than others).</li>
<li>They may consider that the cooperation involves topics that are not yet ripe for bringing to the COP process, but could eventually go there if/when critical mass is achieved.</li>
<li>They may be interested in cooperation that straddles climate change and other topics that fall outside the COP mandate.</li>
<li>They may consider that informal cooperation is easier to manage and evolve than formal approaches.</li>
<li>Perhaps most importantly, given the high ambition level of the Paris goals, and the fact that the world is not yet on track to achieve them, informal climate cooperation is a necessary complement to formally agreed COP actions.</li>
<li>
</ul>
<p>Even if outside cooperation is motivated purely by the difficulty of securing consensus, that does not necessarily make it less than legitimate.</p>
<ul>
<li>It is a difficult position for a State to maintain that it should be able to block an outcome at a COP and also deem it less than legitimate if it takes place outside the COP.</li>
<li>Moreover, nowhere is it written that &ldquo;multilateralism&rdquo; must be viewed narrowly as cooperation agreed by consensus through the COP process.</li>
<li>
</ul>
<p>It should also be noted that, unlike the rigidly divided &ldquo;innie&rdquo; and &ldquo;outie&rdquo; in the TV show&nbsp;<u>Severance</u>, there is no such divide between the &ldquo;inside&rdquo; COP decisions and the &ldquo;outside&rdquo; initiatives/coalitions; rather, there has been an iterative, mutually reinforcing relationship between the two. For example:</p>
<ul>
<li>The &ldquo;inside&rdquo; Dubai COP decision on the first Global Stocktake identified various global efforts that would be needed to keep a 1.5 degree C limit on temperature rise within reach. Various &ldquo;outside&rdquo; initiatives seek to implement action related to such global efforts, e.g., the Global Offshore Wind Alliance, the Global Energy Storage and Grids Pledge.</li>
<li>The &ldquo;outside&rdquo; Global Methane Pledge, by raising awareness of the importance of reducing methane emissions, helped secure subsequent support for &ldquo;inside&rdquo; methane-related decisions at the COP, including encouraging the inclusion of all greenhouse gases in 2035 nationally determined contributions.</li>
<li>
</ul>
<p>In light of the above, the stronger arguments appear to favor those who consider informal/side/outside initiatives and coalitions forms of multilateralism or, at a minimum, in support of COP multilateralism. Many might even consider the relationship to &ldquo;multilateralism&rdquo; an irrelevant question, given the urgent need to enlarge, rather than restrict, the pursuit of climate action.</p>
<h2><strong>What about Brazil&rsquo;s concept of &ldquo;two-tier multilateralism&rdquo;?</strong></h2>
<p>COP 30 in Bel<strong>&eacute;</strong>m, Brazil, brought to a head the relationship between the difficulty of achieving consensus inside the COP process and the pursuit of cooperation outside the process. As noted above, the Parties could not agree to develop a roadmap on &ldquo;transitioning away from fossil fuels.&rdquo; As a result, the Brazilian COP Presidency announced its intention to pursue such a roadmap on the topic on its own initiative (in addition to one on combating deforestation). Further, Colombia and the Netherlands announced their intention to host a meeting on the transition away from fossil fuels, which took place in April in Santa Marta, Colombia. The &ldquo;Santa Marta&rdquo; initiative in particular catalyzed substantial positive energy around the idea of pursuing coalitions of the &ldquo;willing&rdquo; or &ldquo;doing,&rdquo; even on issues beyond transitioning away from fossil fuels.</p>
<p>Perhaps fearing a backlash to its own plans, the Brazilian Presidency put forward a concept of &ldquo;two tier multilateralism.&rdquo; The two tiers would operate at &ldquo;two complementary speeds,&rdquo; one remaining &ldquo;anchored in consensus,&rdquo; the other focused on &ldquo;implementation.&rdquo; Brazil speaks of the consensus COP process as, among other things, ensuring &ldquo;legitimacy.&rdquo;</p>
<p>The basic premise, i.e., that climate cooperation outside the formal COP process is a welcome and necessary form of multilateralism, is certainly helpful in relation to those contesting it. It acknowledges the reality that, in many areas, sub-groups of Parties are able to progress more quickly and/or more ambitiously than all Parties. If one were to take issue with the details, one might argue:</p>
<ul>
<li>that the consensus COP process does not have a monopoly on &ldquo;legitimacy&rdquo;;</li>
<li>that outside initiatives/coalitions have not only&nbsp;<em>just&nbsp;</em>become necessary, due to an increasing pivot to implementation, but have been serving an important complementary role for several years; and</li>
<li>that there is not a clean divide between policy direction and implementation. Some consensus COP outcomes are arguably forms of implementation, e.g., the Global Stocktake decision identifies various global efforts to implement the 1.5 degree C limit on warming, while some outside efforts arguably reflect policy direction &mdash; through new goals and/or commitments.</li>
<li>
<ul>
<li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>Nevertheless, the basic point &mdash; that there is a need for multiple approaches and that there is no contradiction between the formal and the informal, between the inside and the outside &mdash; coming, as it does, from the COP Presidency and a major developing country, is a useful contribution to the ongoing conversation.</p>
<h2><strong>Does that mean the current approach to &ldquo;outside&rdquo; initiatives/coalitions is ideal?</strong></h2>
<p>Even if climate cooperation outside the COP process passes the multilateralism test, it does not necessarily mean it is ideal. Among other things, there are far too many processes, they often overlap, and States frequently get political credit for announcing their participation in various initiatives with little or no follow-through. While some view the situation as helpfully diffuse (&ldquo;let a thousand flowers bloom&rdquo;), others view it as &ldquo;fragmented&rdquo; and/or in desperate need of improvement. Indeed, many current discussions are focused on ways to:</p>
<ul>
<li>better align the inside and outside tracks (such as Brazil&rsquo;s helpful harmonization of &ldquo;action&rdquo; topics with the topics reflected in the Dubai COP&rsquo;s Global Stocktake decision);</li>
<li>streamline outside efforts;</li>
<li>make such efforts more coherent;</li>
<li>promote greater accountability when it comes to the implementation of such efforts; and</li>
<li>otherwise make the most effective use of the enthusiasm among many States to go further and faster.</li>
<li>
</ul>
<p>The more conversations about &ldquo;multilateralism&rdquo; can focus on such practical issues, define terms more clearly, and consider whether the lens of &ldquo;multilateralism&rdquo; is even a fruitful way to think about international climate cooperation, the more likely such conversations will help point toward the best combination of &ldquo;inside&rdquo; and &ldquo;outside&rdquo; efforts to address a top global challenge of our time.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146516/climate-multilateralism-un-cop/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">W(h)ither Climate &ldquo;Multilateralism&rdquo;?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-14T13:25:43+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Sue Biniaz</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-14T13:25:43+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="climate change"/>

	<category term="climate emergency"/>

	<category term="climate finance"/>

	<category term="cop30"/>

	<category term="diplomacy"/>

	<category term="fossil fuels"/>

	<category term="international and foreign"/>

	<category term="multilateralism"/>

	<category term="un framework convention on climate change (unfccc)"/>

	<category term="united nations (un)"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-14:/293452</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146537/dangers-florida-new-terrorist-designations/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=dangers-florida-new-terrorist-designations" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">The Dangers of Florida’s New “Terrorist” Designations</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Florida Governor Ron DeSantis announced on July 1 his intent to designate certain Muslim and anti-fa...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Florida Governor Ron DeSantis <a href="https://www.flgov.com/eog/news/press/2026/governor-ron-desantis-announces-implementation-florida-law-combat-terrorist" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">announced</a> on July 1 his intent to designate certain Muslim and anti-fascist groups&mdash;including U.S. groups&mdash;as &ldquo;terrorist organizations.&rdquo; Using authorities granted to him in a new <a href="https://www.flsenate.gov/Session/Bill/2026/1471/?Tab=BillText" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Florida law</a>, which took effect earlier that day, DeSantis declared that he would seek designation of the Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR), the Muslim Brotherhood, and &ldquo;Antifa,&rdquo; among others. Within hours, the ACLU and Southern Poverty Law Center (SPLC) <a href="https://www.aclu.org/press-releases/muslim-civil-rights-nonprofits-sue-florida-officials-to-prevent-unconstitutional-designation-that-threatens-the-organizations-existence-in-the-state" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">sued</a> on behalf of CAIR, a leading U.S. Muslim civil rights nonprofit, to enjoin the designation and declare the new law unconstitutional under the First and Fourteenth Amendments.</p>
<p>DeSantis&rsquo; announcement followed an <a href="https://www.flgov.com/eog/sites/default/files/executive-orders/2025/EO%2025-244.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">executive order</a> he issued last year to designate CAIR as a &ldquo;terrorist organization,&rdquo; an action temporarily <a href="https://www.cair.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/DeSantis-Order-Granting-PI.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">halted</a> by a federal court. DeSantis has sought to justify the designation of CAIR by pointing to its <a href="https://charityandsecurity.org/litigation/summary_litigation_uncolist_hlf/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">inclusion</a> on a list of &ldquo;unindicted co-conspirators and/or joint venturers&rdquo; in a material support for terrorism case&mdash;even though CAIR was never charged. (Indeed, according to CAIR&rsquo;s latest <a href="https://www.aclu.org/documents/cair-v-desantis-complaint" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">lawsuit</a> against DeSantis, the organization &ldquo;has never been charged with or convicted of any crime, let alone one related to terrorism.&rdquo;) DeSantis has <a href="https://floridaphoenix.com/2026/07/01/desantis-announces-cair-florida-as-a-domestic-terrorist-group-under-new-law/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">said</a> that the new law, <a href="https://www.flsenate.gov/Session/Bill/2026/1471/?Tab=BillText" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">House Bill 1471</a>, was written specifically to give his earlier orders &ldquo;more of a legal structure&rdquo; and &ldquo;add teeth&rdquo; to the designations.</p>
<p>Florida is not alone. In 2026, lawmakers in <a href="https://www.icnl.org/our-work/us-program/state-terrorist-organization-designation-laws-us-nonprofits#note5" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">several states</a> introduced new laws authorizing state officials to designate domestic organizations as &ldquo;terrorist&rdquo; entities or &ldquo;affiliates&rdquo; of terrorist groups. But Florida&rsquo;s law is particularly far-reaching and catastrophic in its impact on designated organizations and their supporters. As described below, designation under HB 1471 essentially makes it illegal for an organization to continue to function: Among other consequences, working for, funding, or otherwise supporting the organization becomes a felony punishable by up to 30 years in prison.</p>
<p>These laws raise serious <a href="https://www.icnl.org/our-work/us-program/state-terrorist-organization-designation-laws-us-nonprofits#note5" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">constitutional concerns</a> explored below, including: sweeping criminal penalties that reach First Amendment speech and association; a designation regime that gives state officials broad discretion to make designations with little due process; and potential preemption by the existing <a href="https://www.icnl.org/federal-terrorism-law-and-u-s-civil-society-an-explainer" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">federal framework</a> for terrorism designations.</p>
<h2><strong>How are domestic groups designated under Florida&rsquo;s HB 1471? </strong></h2>
<p>HB 1471 authorizes Florida&rsquo;s&nbsp;<a href="https://www.fdle.state.fl.us/domestic-security" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Chief of Domestic Security</a> to recommend designating an organization as a &ldquo;domestic terrorist organization&rdquo; if the official &ldquo;finds&rdquo; that the group is &ldquo;engaging in terrorist activity&rdquo; that poses an ongoing security threat. The Chief must provide &ldquo;a summary of the basis for&rdquo; the designation, but the law does not require the findings to meet any evidentiary standard. Florida law also defines &ldquo;terrorist activity&rdquo;&nbsp;<a href="https://www.flsenate.gov/laws/statutes/2024/775.30" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">broadly</a>&nbsp;to include <em>any</em> violent crime&mdash;not just serious felonies such as murder, but also misdemeanor assault&mdash;if intended to &ldquo;intimidate&rdquo; a civilian population or &ldquo;influence the policy of a government by intimidation.&rdquo;</p>
<p>Once recommended, the designation must be confirmed by Florida&rsquo;s governor and Cabinet to take effect. DeSantis&rsquo; July 1 <a href="https://www.flgov.com/eog/news/press/2026/governor-ron-desantis-announces-implementation-florida-law-combat-terrorist" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">announcement</a> stated that, upon confirmation by Florida&rsquo;s Cabinet, his intended designations would &ldquo;carry the full force of state law.&rdquo;</p>
<h2><strong>What is the effect of designation under Florida&rsquo;s HB 1471? </strong></h2>
<p>Designation as a &ldquo;domestic terrorist organization&rdquo; under HB 1471 exposes an organization, its members and employees, donors, and supporters to an array of serious criminal and civil penalties. These include:</p>
<p><strong>Criminalizing &ldquo;support,&rdquo; including by donors, vendors, and staff. </strong>Under the law, knowingly providing or conspiring to provide &ldquo;material support&rdquo; to a designated group is a first-degree felony punishable by up to 30 years in prison, regardless of whether the support was intended to further unlawful activity. Florida statutes&nbsp;<a href="https://www.leg.state.fl.us/statutes/index.cfm?App_mode=Display_Statute&amp;Search_String=&amp;URL=0700-0799/0775/Sections/0775.33.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">define</a>&nbsp;&ldquo;material support&rdquo; broadly as &ldquo;any property &hellip; or service,&rdquo; such that the prohibition covers not just donations, but also any form of service, including &ldquo;financial services&rdquo; and &ldquo;expert advice or assistance.&rdquo; CAIR <a href="https://www.aclu.org/documents/cair-v-desantis-complaint" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">argues</a>, for instance, that the designation would bar lawyers, banks, vendors, accountants, and others from serving the organization. Indeed, the law makes an explicit exception only for &ldquo;medicine or religious materials.&rdquo; Because the law&rsquo;s material support provision additionally prohibits &ldquo;work[ing] under the direction and control&rdquo; of or &ldquo;manag[ing]&rdquo; a designated organization, staff and management could face felony charges if they continued to do their jobs.</p>
<p><strong>Prohibiting activities that advance an organization&rsquo;s interests. </strong>A designated &ldquo;domestic terrorist organization&rdquo; also qualifies as a &ldquo;criminal gang&rdquo; under&nbsp;<a href="https://www.leg.state.fl.us/Statutes/index.cfm?App_mode=Display_Statute&amp;URL=0800-0899/0874/0874.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Section 874</a>&nbsp;of Florida statutes. Among other implications, anyone who &ldquo;knowingly initiates, organizes, plans, finances, directs, manages, or supervises&rdquo; any activity &ldquo;committed with the intent to benefit, promote, or further the interests of&rdquo; a designated group commits a first-degree felony. As such, third parties who engage in any activity&mdash;even if lawful&mdash;that is intended to benefit a designated organization&rsquo;s interests could seemingly face prosecution.</p>
<p><strong>Barring public funding. </strong>The law prohibits state and local agencies from spending public funds &ldquo;to support &hellip; a domestic terrorist organization, or a member of such organization.&rdquo; This could affect public grants, contracts, and even employment for individual members of a designated group regardless of their role in any unlawful activity.</p>
<p><strong>Potential dissolution. </strong>A designated group has 30 days to challenge a terrorism designation in Florida state court. Once legal challenges have been exhausted, the state can move to dissolve the organization.</p>
<p><strong>Restrictions on private and public schools. </strong>The law bars public schools from funding programming that &ldquo;promotes&rdquo; a designated organization. The law also requires public colleges to expel students who &ldquo;promote&rdquo; designated groups in a way that is deemed to support violence and interfere with the rights of others. Private schools that receive state funds are barred from hiring or contracting with individuals &ldquo;affiliated with&rdquo; designated organizations&mdash;without defining what might constitute &ldquo;affiliation.&rdquo;</p>
<h2><strong>What are the constitutional implications of CAIR&rsquo;s designation under Florida HB 1471?</strong></h2>
<p>If Florida&rsquo;s Cabinet approves DeSantis&rsquo; <a href="https://www.flgov.com/eog/news/press/2026/governor-ron-desantis-announces-implementation-florida-law-combat-terrorist" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">planned</a> designation of CAIR, it will immediately threaten the group&rsquo;s ability to function and its members&rsquo; ability to engage in protected speech and association. Under HB 1471, CAIR&rsquo;s employees, directors, and volunteers will face the possibility of felony charges if they continue to work&mdash;charges that may be based solely on their association with a designated group, rather than any actual or intended crime.</p>
<p>The First Amendment protects the right to associate, and that protection does not disappear when a group is accused of pursuing unlawful ends. The Supreme Court <a href="https://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/357/449/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">held</a> nearly 80 years ago that &ldquo;freedom to engage in association for the advancement of beliefs and ideas is an inseparable aspect&rdquo; of free speech and other civil liberties. Even groups accused of advocating for unlawful ends retain First Amendment protection <a href="https://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/395/444/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">unless</a> their advocacy is aimed at and likely to produce &ldquo;imminent lawless action.&rdquo;</p>
<p>For individuals, the Court has repeatedly <a href="https://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/458/886/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">held</a> that the First Amendment limits the government&rsquo;s ability to impose criminal or civil liability based on mere association. In <a href="https://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/458/886/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><em>NAACP v. Claiborne Hardware</em></a> (1982), the Court noted that &ldquo;guilt by association is a philosophy alien to the traditions of a free society&hellip; and the First Amendment itself.&rdquo; In particular, individuals must know about and specifically <a href="https://www.icnl.org/our-work/us-program/state-terrorist-organization-designation-laws-us-nonprofits#note7" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">intend to further</a> a group&rsquo;s unlawful goals or activities before they can be held liable.</p>
<p>HB 1471 allows officials to designate and essentially ban a domestic group based on allegations that it engages in &ldquo;terrorist activity&rdquo; (broadly defined), among other things enabling the prosecution of anyone who provides &ldquo;material support&rdquo; to the designated group simply if they are aware of the designation.</p>
<p>Laws that give government officials unbridled discretion to regulate expressive conduct may <a href="https://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/486/750/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">violate</a> the First Amendment. CAIR has <a href="https://www.aclu.org/documents/cair-v-desantis-complaint" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">argued</a> that its designation is unlawful retaliation for speech, enabled by the discretion HB 1471 affords state officials to target lawful advocacy that the government doesn&rsquo;t like. The Supreme Court has <a href="https://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/515/819/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">held</a> viewpoint-based regulations of speech to be particularly offensive to the First Amendment, and presumptively unconstitutional.</p>
<p>Nor does HB 1471 provide meaningful procedural protection. The Fourteenth Amendment requires the government to <a href="https://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/397/254/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">provide</a>&nbsp;adequate notice and a meaningful opportunity to respond before it can deprive an organization of property. HB 1471 requires officials to <em>try</em> to notify an organization of impending designation, but not on any particular timeline and only if notice &ldquo;can be delivered&hellip; safely.&rdquo; The notice need not include the basis for the designation. Further, under <a href="https://www.flsenate.gov/Session/Bill/2026/1473" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">HB 1473</a>&mdash;enacted alongside HB 1471&mdash;evidence underlying a designation determination is exempted from Florida&rsquo;s public records law, limiting organizations&rsquo; access to it and undermining their ability to <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/139553/domestic-terrorism-nspm-7-counterterrorism-strategy/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">challenge the designation</a>.</p>
<p>These concerns are underscored by the Supreme Court&rsquo;s treatment of the <a href="https://www.icnl.org/federal-terrorism-law-and-u-s-civil-society-an-explainer#support-designated-terrorist-organization" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">federal material support statute</a> in <a href="https://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/561/1/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><em>Holder v. Humanitarian Law Project</em></a> (2010). There, the Court upheld the statute as applied to support for federally designated foreign terrorist organizations, but made clear that the prohibition did not apply to independent advocacy for a terrorist group or cause. The Court&nbsp;also <a href="https://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/561/1/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">expressly</a>&nbsp;did &ldquo;not suggest that Congress could extend the same prohibition on material support at issue here to domestic organizations.&rdquo;</p>
<h2><strong>What does it mean for &ldquo;Antifa&rdquo; and the &ldquo;Muslim Brotherhood&rdquo; to be designated under the Florida law? </strong></h2>
<p>The concerns described above are magnified when the designated organization isn&rsquo;t an &ldquo;organization&rdquo; at all. While CAIR is a 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization with directors, staff, offices, and so on, <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ced5gqn0p6jo" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">&ldquo;Antifa&rdquo; is not</a>. There is <a href="https://acleddata.com/qa/qa-antifa-not-single-group-so-what-it" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">no single, specific &ldquo;Antifa&rdquo; organization</a> in Florida or anywhere else in the United States, nor is there a national or global &ldquo;Antifa&rdquo; organization with chapters. As then-FBI Director Christopher Wray <a href="https://apnews.com/article/donald-trump-ap-top-news-elections-james-comey-politics-bdd3b6078e9efadcfcd0be4b65f2362e" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">testified</a> in 2020, Antifa is &ldquo;not a group or an organization. It&rsquo;s a movement or an ideology.&rdquo;</p>
<p>As such, if the Florida Cabinet confirms DeSantis&rsquo; intended &ldquo;Antifa&rdquo; designation, it would not be clear what or who would be designated. DeSantis did not shed much light on the matter during his July 1 <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c7XwYQDOltA" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">press conference</a>, during which he described &ldquo;Antifa&rdquo; as &ldquo;militant leftists&rdquo; whose &ldquo;ideas&rdquo; he doesn&rsquo;t like but whose &ldquo;conduct&rdquo; is the target of the designation. Without an actual organization to designate, the effects of designation threaten to fall on individuals and entities based on their politics or ideology.</p>
<p>Because the vagueness of a potential &ldquo;Antifa&rdquo; designation carries legal consequences, it risks chilling lawful conduct and sweeping in constitutionally protected speech and association, potentially reaching members or supporters of any group that identifies as anti-fascist regardless of whether they have broken a law. Because &ldquo;Antifa&rdquo; is arguably <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/fbi-director-says-antifa-is-an-ideology-not-an-organization/2020/09/17/6d333458-f915-11ea-85f7-5941188a98cd_story.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">more ideological</a> than organizational, its designation under HB 1471 could amount to impermissible viewpoint discrimination.</p>
<p>Similar problems arise with DeSantis&rsquo; planned domestic terrorist designation of the &ldquo;Muslim Brotherhood.&rdquo; Other than a small 501(c)(3) in Trenton, New Jersey, called &ldquo;<a href="https://app.candid.org/profile/7058335/international-muslim-brotherhood-incorporated-22-2351594?_gl=1*1qh4ry8*_gcl_au*MjQ1MzYwMDY0LjE3ODM2MjQ5NTM.*_ga*MTAwNTk1MTg5My4xNzgzNjI0OTU0*_ga_5W8PXYYGBX*czE3ODM3MDkyNTUkbzMkZzEkdDE3ODM3MDkyODckajI4JGwwJGgw" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">International Muslim Brotherhood Incorporated</a>,&rdquo; the IRS has no record of a &ldquo;Muslim Brotherhood&rdquo; organization in the United States. The Muslim Brotherhood is better known as a transnational Sunni Islamist <a href="https://apnews.com/article/muslim-brotherhood-political-islam-lebanon-jordan-egypt-9003258fa8f3c8713ad8804f2783324c" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">movement or network</a> with chapters mostly in the Middle East. Its potential designation as a domestic terrorist organization under HB 1471 threatens to chill First Amendment activity by Muslim community groups and advocates.</p>
<h2><strong>Is Florida the only state that designates domestic entities as terrorist organizations? </strong></h2>
<p>In 2026, Indiana enacted <a href="https://iga.in.gov/legislative/2026/bills/senate/256/details" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Senate Bill 256</a>, authorizing the governor to designate domestic groups and individuals as &ldquo;affiliates&rdquo; of a federally designated&nbsp;<a href="https://www.icnl.org/federal-terrorism-law-and-u-s-civil-society-an-explainer#designated-terrorist-organizations" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">foreign terrorist organization (FTO)</a>. The law&mdash;which also went into effect <a href="https://www.indianasenaterepublicans.com/new-laws-going-into-effect-july-1-2026" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">July 1</a>&mdash;defines &ldquo;affiliate&rdquo; broadly to include someone who &ldquo;acts or acted in any capacity at the order or request&rdquo; of an FTO or provided &ldquo;material support or resources to aid&rdquo; an FTO. Violations of the law are punishable by up to $10,000 per incident.</p>
<p>Lawmakers in several other states&mdash;<a href="https://apps.azleg.gov/BillStatus/BillOverview/84631" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Arizona</a>, <a href="https://www.legis.la.gov/legis/BillInfo.aspx?s=26RS&amp;b=SB388&amp;sbi=y" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Louisiana</a>, and <a href="https://www.oklegislature.gov/BillInfo.aspx?Bill=sb1784&amp;Session=2600" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Oklahoma</a>&mdash;introduced bills in 2026 that would authorize state officials to designate domestic organizations as &ldquo;terrorist&rdquo; entities. These bills failed to advance in the 2026 session.</p>
<p>In 2025, Texas Governor Greg Abbott issued an executive <a href="https://gov.texas.gov/uploads/files/press/PROC_declaring_Muslim_Brotherhood_and_CAIR_Transnational_Criminal_Organizations_IMAGE_11-18-2025.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">proclamation</a> that, like Governor DeSantis&rsquo; order in Florida, sought to designate CAIR as a terrorist organization, triggering serious <a href="https://law.stanford.edu/2026/02/03/red-state-governors-are-designating-civil-rights-groups-as-terrorists/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">legal consequences</a> under state law. As in Florida, CAIR <a href="https://ca.cair.com/press-release/breaking-cair-ldf-mlfa-sue-texas-governor-greg-abbott-to-block-enforcement-of-unconstitutional-defamatory-proclamation-targeting-cair-texas/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">sued</a>, alleging First Amendment violations; the litigation is ongoing.</p>
<p>Florida and Indiana&rsquo;s new laws (the former more pernicious than the latter) and those proposed in other states represent a significant shift. While 32 states and Washington, D.C. have <a href="https://www.icnl.org/resources/terrorism-laws-in-the-united-states" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">domestic terrorism laws</a>&nbsp;on the books&mdash;many&nbsp;<a href="https://www.icnl.org/wp-content/uploads/US-state-terrorism-laws-report-29-Aug-2024-update.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">already criticized as overbroad</a>&mdash;those laws generally criminalize individual conduct. The new state designation laws go further by allowing state officials to label entire domestic organizations as terrorist entities and impose sweeping civil and criminal consequences, often with limited procedural safeguards and based on vague definitions that can criminalize protected First Amendment activity.</p>
<h2><strong>How do these state designations relate to <u>federal</u> designations of foreign and domestic terrorist organizations, including President Donald Trump&rsquo;s designation of &ldquo;Antifa&rdquo;? </strong></h2>
<p>New state-level terrorism designation laws depart from the traditional&nbsp;<a href="https://www.icnl.org/federal-terrorism-law-and-u-s-civil-society-an-explainer" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">federal framework</a>&nbsp;for terrorism designations, allowing state officials to make designation determinations long reserved to federal authorities. Federal law provides, for example, for the designation of &ldquo;Specially Designated Global Terrorists&rdquo; and &ldquo;Foreign Terrorist Organizations&rdquo; (FTOs), and makes it a crime to provide &ldquo;material support&rdquo; to FTOs. Because federal law provides for an extensive, uniform national scheme for terrorism designations, state laws that provide for designation of domestic groups may be vulnerable to federal <a href="https://sgp.fas.org/crs/misc/R45825.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">preemption</a> challenges.</p>
<p>In September 2025, Trump issued an <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/09/designating-antifa-as-a-domestic-terrorist-organization/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">executive order</a> designating &ldquo;Antifa&rdquo;&nbsp;as a &ldquo;Domestic Terrorist Organization.&rdquo; The designation was not based in any underlying statutory authority and, as such, did not and does not trigger new criminal penalties for members of the designated &ldquo;entity&rdquo; or those who support it. However, together with <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/09/countering-domestic-terrorism-and-organized-political-violence/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">National Security Presidential Memo 7</a> (NSPM-7), issued shortly after, the executive order does direct federal executive agencies to investigate and prosecute unlawful conduct by &ldquo;Antifa,&rdquo; individuals claiming to act on behalf of &ldquo;Antifa,&rdquo; as well as those who fund such conduct. Following the Antifa order and NSPM-7, the Trump administration has linked numerous <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2026/06/trump-administration-delivers-another-crushing-blow-to-antifa-terrorist-network/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">prosecutions</a> to its ongoing &ldquo;campaign to eradicate Antifa&rsquo;s domestic terrorism threat.&rdquo;</p>
<p>[Editor&rsquo;s note: Readers may be interested in <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/author/joscelyntom/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Tom Joscelyn</a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/author/goodmanryan/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Ryan Goodman</a>, <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/129797/alex-pretti-nspm-7/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">The Smearing of Alex Pretti and NSPM-7</a>, Just Security (Jan. 26, 2026)]</p>
<h2><strong>Why does the new Florida law, and others like it, matter? </strong></h2>
<p>Anyone who cares about the freedoms of speech and association protected by the First Amendment should be concerned about HB 1471 and the spread of state-level terrorism designation laws. The laws provide officials with sweeping discretion to target groups and advocacy that the government doesn&rsquo;t like. Whether or not HB 1471 survives constitutional challenge remains to be seen, and that outcome will be critical to whether other states enact similar designation schemes. Courts should step in to protect civil liberties and ensure that states cannot use &ldquo;terrorist&rdquo; designations to punish disfavored speech and association.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146537/dangers-florida-new-terrorist-designations/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">The Dangers of Florida&rsquo;s New &ldquo;Terrorist&rdquo; Designations</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-14T13:12:37+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Elly Page</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-14T13:12:37+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="civil liberties"/>

	<category term="democracy &amp; rule of law"/>

	<category term="democratic backsliding &amp; solutions"/>

	<category term="domestic terrorism"/>

	<category term="domestic violent extremism"/>

	<category term="executive branch"/>

	<category term="florida"/>

	<category term="foreign terrorist organization (fto)"/>

	<category term="freedom of speech"/>

	<category term="law enforcement"/>

	<category term="ron desantis"/>

	<category term="rule of law"/>

	<category term="terrorism"/>

	<category term="terrorism &amp; violent extremism"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-14:/293453</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/147012/trump-administration-statement-dismantling-icc/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=trump-administration-statement-dismantling-icc" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">What does the Trump Administration Statement on Dismantling the ICC Really Mean?</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>On July 13, the Trump administration announced in an op-ed by Secretary of State Marco Rubio that it...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p><span>On July 13, the Trump administration announced in an op-ed by Secretary of State Marco Rubio that it would &ldquo;</span><a href="https://www.wsj.com/opinion/why-were-dismantling-the-icc-0af0a8a6" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>dismantle</span></a><span>&rdquo; the International Criminal Court (</span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/tag/international-criminal-court/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>ICC</span></a><span>), &ldquo;brick by brick, if necessary,&rdquo; using &ldquo;all the tools at our government&rsquo;s disposal.&rdquo; According to a State Department </span><a href="https://www.state.gov/releases/office-of-the-spokesperson/2026/07/state-department-launches-campaign-to-dismantle-international-criminal-courts-threat-to-american-sovereignty" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>press release</span></a><span>, the United States will undertake </span></p>
<blockquote><p><span>a sweeping campaign to dismantle the threat posed by the International Criminal Court to U.S. sovereignty. The campaign will feature a whole-of-government response to systematically disable the ICC&rsquo;s ability to operate, target American servicemen or officials, or otherwise threaten American sovereignty.</span></p></blockquote>
<p><span>We asked leading experts to consider: What does this announcement mean in practice for U.S. interests, for the Court, and for the cases it is pursuing? Is it simply more of what has come before from past U.S. administrations or is this a fundamental shift, and if so, what might be driving it? And what does it mean for international criminal law and its enforcement more broadly?</span></p>
<h2><b>Experts Respond</b></h2>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/author/whitingalex/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b><i>Alex Whiting</i></b></a><b><i>, </i></b><b><i>Member of the Just Security Editorial Board</i></b><b><i> and </i></b><b><i>Professor of Practice </i></b><b><i>at </i></b><b><i>Harvard Law School, and former Investigations and Prosecutions Coordinator at the ICC:&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><span>We have seen this movie before. Since the ICC opened its doors in 2002, the United States has at various times moved aggressively against the court, only to realize later that this approach was self-defeating and contrary to U.S. interests. The George W. Bush administration started off in a hostile posture toward the court, but then in 2005 supported a U.N. Security Council referral of the situation in Darfur, recognizing that the ICC was one of the few institutions that might address the massive crimes being committed there. The first Trump administration also went after the ICC in 2020, imposing sanctions on the Prosecutor at the time because of the court&rsquo;s investigations into potential international crimes in Afghanistan. But then after Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, there was bipartisan support in the United States for the ICC&rsquo;s investigations into potential war crimes and crimes against humanity in Ukraine. The late Senator Lindsay Graham sponsored a resolution in the Senate supporting the work of the ICC and </span><a href="https://www.lgraham.senate.gov/public/index.cfm/2022/3/graham-resolution-supports-ukraine-complaint-urging-investigation-of-putin-as-war-criminal" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>said</span></a><span> that &ldquo;[t]he ICC is a venue to bring bad actors to justice in those areas where the Rule of Law is absent &hellip;.&rdquo;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>In fact, despite these periods of hostility, and even though the United States has never signed up to the ICC, it has largely taken a position of constructive engagement with the Court, through both Democratic and Republican administrations. And this is not surprising. Although the ICC is an imperfect institution, and has struggled to succeed, it is today </span><i><span>the</span></i><span> international institution to prosecute war crimes, crimes against humanity, and genocide, following on the legacy of Nuremberg and the ad-hoc tribunals for the former Yugoslavia, Rwanda, Cambodia, Sierra Leone, and Kosovo. From the beginning, the United States has been critical to the success of the project of accountability for international crimes, playing an essential role in the creation of these tribunals as well as in their accomplishments.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Accountability for international crimes, including by the ICC, serves U.S. interests in at least three ways. First, American servicemembers and citizens can themselves be the victims of these horrific crimes. A commitment to accountability is an important step to deterring these crimes and ensuring that justice is done when they occur. Second, international crimes cause further instability in the world, threatening to unleash cycles of violence and retaliation, which can threaten U.S. interests, including by fomenting terrorist reprisals. Third, the commitment to accountability is an important part of the international fabric and a foundational principle for many of our allies. Currently there are 125 states in the world that are part of the ICC. With the exceptions of the United States and Turkey, all the other members of NATO are members of the Court, and other important allies in North and South America, Africa, and Asia are as well.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Secretary of State Rubio&rsquo;s newly announced policy to &ldquo;dismantle the ICC &ndash; brick by brick if necessary&rdquo; appears to be a dramatic escalation of hostility toward the court, with the apparent objective of destroying the institution. Putting aside that the Court is actually </span><a href="https://perkinswill.com/project/the-international-criminal-court-the-hague-the-netherlands/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>constructed of metal and glass</span></a><span>, and not bricks, Rubio justifies his policy by pointing to various imagined threats against U.S. servicemembers and citizens by the Court, even though there is no indication whatsoever that the Court is currently investigating any Americans or has any plans to do so. The administration&rsquo;s hostility to the Court is not new &ndash; it has imposed sanctions on the Prosecutor, Deputy Prosecutors, and numerous judges because of the Court&rsquo;s arrest warrants in the Palestine situation &ndash; but now the administration appears poised to increase the pressure on the Court dramatically, announcing that future measures could include additional sanctions and pressure on member states to leave the Court. Ultimately, these measures will undermine U.S. interests, emboldening the perpetrators of grave international crimes and further distancing the United States from its important allies in the world.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/author/vanschaackbeth/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b><i>Beth Van Schaack</i></b></a><b><i>, </i></b><b><i>Distinguished Fellow with Stanford&rsquo;s Center for Human Rights &amp; International Justice, served as U.S. Ambassador-at-Large for Global Criminal Justice:</i></b></p>
<p><span>Secretary Rubio&rsquo;s threat to launch an all-out assault on the International Criminal Court is as unnecessary as it is misguided. If you look at the </span><a href="https://www.icc-cpi.int/cases" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Court&rsquo;s docket</span></a><span>, it is singularly focused on delivering justice for genocide, war crimes, and crimes against humanity&mdash;including sexual violence and harm to children&mdash;in some of the worst atrocity situations around the world: </span><a href="https://www.icc-cpi.int/darfur" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Darfur, Sudan</span></a><span>; </span><a href="https://www.icc-cpi.int/situations/libya" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Libya</span></a><span>; </span><a href="https://www.icc-cpi.int/philippines" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>the Philippines</span></a><span>; </span><a href="https://www.icc-cpi.int/situations/ukraine" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Ukraine</span></a><span>; and </span><a href="https://www.icc-cpi.int/venezuela-i" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Venezuela</span></a><span>. By way of example, arrest warrants have been issued for </span><a href="https://www.icc-cpi.int/news/situation-ukraine-icc-judges-issue-arrest-warrants-against-vladimir-vladimirovich-putin-and" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>senior Russian figures</span></a><span> for deliberately attacking civilians in Ukraine, former </span><a href="https://www.icc-cpi.int/news/situation-philippines-rodrigo-roa-duterte-icc-custody" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>President Rodrigo Duterte</span></a><span> for launching a campaign of murder in the Philippines, and Senior General Min Aung Hlaing for the enduring persecution of Rohingya in </span><a href="https://www.icc-cpi.int/bangladesh-myanmar" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Myanmar</span></a><span>/Burma.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The ICC Prosecutor has also </span><a href="https://www.icc-cpi.int/situations-preliminary-examinations" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>closed a number of preliminary examinations</span></a><span>, including one involving U.S. allies in Iraq and one initiated by </span><a href="https://www.icc-cpi.int/venezuela-ii" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Venezuela in response to U.S. sanctions</span></a><span>. He also announced that any investigation of international forces in </span><a href="https://www.icc-cpi.int/afghanistan" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Afghanistan</span></a><span> would be deprioritized; instead, he has chosen to focus his prosecutorial resources on </span><a href="https://www.icc-cpi.int/news/situation-afghanistan-icc-pre-trial-chamber-ii-issues-arrest-warrants-haibatullah-akhundzada" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>systemic gender persecution</span></a><span> by the Taliban against women and girls. All these existing investigations are entirely consistent with U.S. foreign policy in these situations. To be sure, the United States has long opposed investigations of U.S. personnel in Afghanistan or of Israeli figures in connection with the war in Gaza or otherwise. But Rubio&rsquo;s aggressive approach will backfire vis-&agrave;-vis ICC actors and harden support for the Court among U.S. allies and adversaries.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The administration of George W. Bush launched a similar campaign against the ICC. Many of the measures pursued, such as bilateral agreements with a number of states not to refer each other&rsquo;s citizens to the Court, remain in place as does the American Servicemembers Protection Act (ASPA). However, many measures adopted at the time, such as conditioning military assistance on a rejection of the ICC, were abandoned when it was determined they were ultimately counterproductive to U.S. interests. Starting in </span><a href="https://www.cfr.org/articles/international-criminal-court-and-trump-administration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>President Bush&rsquo;s second term</span></a><span>, the United States went on to adopt a constructive case-by-case approach to providing critical assistance to the ICC Prosecutor&rsquo;s investigations and the work of the Court, including with respect to information sharing and </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/18901/icc-fugitive-u-s-custody/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>the capture and transfer</span></a><span> of </span><a href="https://iccforum.com/arrest#Van-Schaack" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>fugitives to The Hague</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><span>Much of this history is discussed </span><a href="https://asil.org/asil-icc-task-force/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>in the report issued by a bipartisan Task Force</span></a><span> convened by the American Society of International Law (ASIL) that I co-chaired. The Task Force of experts </span><a href="https://www.asil-us-icc-task-force.org/report/01-executive-summary/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>concluded</span></a><span> that the United States should work to ensure that situation-specific tensions in its relationship with the ICC do not overshadow, or stand in the way of, its pursuit of robust and effective atrocities prevention and response, including in areas where the ICC&rsquo;s work aligns with U.S. interests. The Task Force concluded that hostility toward the ICC has entailed, and will continue to entail, significant diplomatic costs. This more measured approach reflects that there exists within the United States&mdash;including </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/129675/america-alone-public-opinion/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>among the electorate</span></a><span>&mdash;deep and bipartisan support for the principle that those responsible for atrocities should be held to account. The ICC is part of a larger ecosystem that the United States helped to establish and should continue to support.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/author/lieblicheliav/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b><i>Eliav Lieblich</i></b></a><b><i>, </i></b><b><i>Member of the Just Security Editorial Board</i></b><b><i> and </i></b><b><i>Professor of Law at Tel-Aviv University&rsquo;s Faculty of Law:</i></b></p>
<p><span>What is striking to me is that the State Department&rsquo;s press release, as well as most of Secretary Rubio&rsquo;s speech, does not focus so much on alleged specific wrongdoings by the ICC as on the mere possibility that it would exercise jurisdiction over Americans. This in fact challenges the idea of international criminal law itself.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Rubio is concerned with the potential exercise of ICC jurisdiction over acts of Americans abroad. However, the ICC&rsquo;s jurisdiction over alleged crimes by nationals of non-states parties that take place in the territory of a state party stems from the well accepted principle that states have jurisdiction over international crimes committed in their territory, including by foreigners. State parties then transfer this jurisdiction to the Court. If, as the State Department implies, only a person&rsquo;s own state would have jurisdiction over their international crimes, it&rsquo;s hard to see what would remain of international criminal law altogether. According to this view, for example, if Ukraine decides to indict a Russian soldier for crimes committed on Ukrainian territory, that would be a violation of Russian sovereignty. This is obviously absurd. Moreover, recall that Russia is also not a state party to the ICC Statue. Is the State Department willing to say that the ICC arrest warrant against Russian President Vladimir Putin is invalid because Russia is not a state party? If not, the United States would be in a major consistency deficit.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>What is also concerning is the rhetoric, in Rubio&rsquo;s speech, that juxtaposes the ICC against the United States&rsquo; 250 years of sovereignty. This is part and parcel of the populist discourse that views international organizations &ndash; and perhaps international law at large &ndash; as hostile to state sovereignty, while in fact states need international cooperation precisely to safeguard their independence and sovereignty against problems and threats that they cannot confront alone.</span></p>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/author/haqueadil/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b><i>Adil Ahmad Haque</i></b></a><b><i>, </i></b><b><i>Executive Editor of Just Security and</i></b><b><i> Distinguished Professor of Law and </i></b><b><i>Judge Jon O. Newman Scholar at Rutgers Law School:</i></b></p>
<p><span>Under the ICC Statute, the Court may exercise its jurisdiction over international crimes committed on the territory of states parties, including by nationals of non-states parties. This is the basis of the Court&rsquo;s jurisdiction over crimes committed in Ukraine by Russian soldiers and officials.</span></p>
<p><span>The Trump administration is clearly concerned that its conduct in El Salvador and Venezuela, as well as some aspects of its support for Israel&rsquo;s conduct in Palestine, falls within the ICC&rsquo;s jurisdiction. However, there is no public indication that ICC prosecutors are actively investigating U.S. nationals. Moreover, any case against a U.S. national would be inadmissible if the United States conducts a good faith investigation of the same person for substantially the same conduct. The United States appears to be fighting a figment of its imagination.</span></p>
<p><span>It seems unlikely that the United States will successfully &ldquo;urge&rdquo; more than a few states to withdraw from the ICC. Even if El Salvador, Venezuela, or a few other states seek to withdraw, their withdrawal will not take effect for a full year. The Court will retain jurisdiction over any crimes committed on their territory during that period, and they will remain obligated to cooperate with the Court.</span></p>
<p><span>It is very unlikely that member states will repudiate the Court&rsquo;s jurisdiction over crimes committed on their territory by the nationals of non-states parties. Such jurisdiction is one of the main practical benefits of membership, as it serves as a deterrent against the commission of such crimes. It is unthinkable that Ukraine or its allies will repudiate the Court&rsquo;s jurisdiction over Russian nationals, notwithstanding that Russia is not a state party.</span></p>
<p><span>Increased sanctions against the ICC and &ldquo;affiliated organizations&rdquo; may impede their activities for a time. That said, if U.S. sanctions undermine the investigation or prosecution of crimes committed in Ukraine, it is possible that Europe will finally rediscover its self-respect and take strong action to protect the Court.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/author/milaninianema/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b><i>Nema Milaninia</i></b></a><b><i>, Partner at Freshfields, former Special Advisor to the U.S. Ambassador-at-Large for Global Criminal Justice and ICC Trial Attorney</i></b><b><i>:</i></b><b><i>&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><span>The administration&rsquo;s concerns about the ICC deserve a serious answer, but it is pursuing a counterproductive path if it is serious about addressing those concerns. The United States never ratified the Rome Statute, and a tribunal claiming jurisdiction over American service members could raise real questions under international law. The Court has also given its critics material to work with, as many of its supporters, this author included, have long argued: </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/109590/time-to-revisit-the-iccs-position-on-head-of-state-immunity/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>legal interpretations</span></a><span> that outrun the law, inconsistent charging decisions, and internal </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/125682/new-icc-prosecutor-regardless-un-report/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>dysfunction</span></a><span> its member states have struggled to correct.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>But the question is whether Secretary Rubio&rsquo;s current campaign will fix any of that or protect a single American. The record says no. In the Afghanistan investigation, the test case, no American was ever charged, and the prosecutor deprioritized the U.S. allegations after the first-term sanctions were lifted, not while they were in force. </span><a href="https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/lawfare-daily--should-the-u.s.-sanction-the-icc--with-nema-milaninia" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Sanctions</span></a><span> deterred no investigation and made reform harder, since no ally can be seen capitulating to coercion.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>And dismantling the Court has costs. It was the ICC that issued the arrest warrant for Putin, and administrations of both political parties in the United States have supported the Court in certain investigations precisely because it advances U.S. objectives without expending significant American resources. The Court&rsquo;s member states know it needs reform, and reform is far more likely with the United States engaged than with the United States at war with the institution. Demolition forfeits that influence; engagement is how Washington contributes to creating the Court it says it wants.</span></p>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/author/hamiltonrebecca/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b><i>Rebecca Hamilton</i></b></a><b><i>, </i></b><b><i>Executive Editor of Just Security and Professor of Law at American University Washington College of Law and and former prosecution lawyer at the ICC:&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><span>We have seen similar efforts by various U.S. officials to &ldquo;kill the court&rdquo; for over 20 years now. Yet, over that same period we have also seen how the United States also finds it useful for there to be an institution that can pursue accountability for grave crimes in places like Ukraine and Sudan, where the United States cares about justice.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Rubio is trying to shield the Trump administration&rsquo;s military campaigns from external scrutiny. He may be unhappy to learn that by pursuing a full court press on this, he is only attracting more attention to allegations of U.S. war crimes and crimes against humanity from Iran to the Caribbean.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/author/ingberrebecca/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b><i>Rebecca Ingber</i></b></a><b><i>, </i></b><b><i>Member of the Just Security Editorial Board and</i></b> <b><i>Professor of Law at Cardozo Law School and former Counselor on International Law at the State Department:</i></b></p>
<p><span>The administration&rsquo;s belligerent posturing toward the ICC is a continuing own goal. It is hard to imagine a more effective means of spotlighting allegations of U.S. abuses than an anticipatory crusade by the U.S. government against an international body charged with accountability for war crimes and other atrocities.</span></p>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/author/buchwaldtodd/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b><i>Todd Buchwald</i></b></a><b><i>, </i></b><b><i>served as Special Coordinator for the State Department&rsquo;s Office of Global Criminal Justice from 2015-2017, with the rank of Ambassador from 2016:</i></b></p>
<p><span>All this attention to such a phantom problem. Tell the Ukrainians that there should be no ICC pursuing the war crimes committed against them, or tell the victims of genocide in Darfur, or the women who have been been methodically raped and people whose societies have been destroyed in any number of other places. Meanwhile, no U.S. servicemembers are subject to any actual risk of investigation by the ICC that wasn&rsquo;t already a possibility in the courts of any of the world&rsquo;s more than 190 states that already exist. On those rare occasions when something actually comes up, we deal with it, and have always been successful.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>At the same time, the Justice Department of the United States has often prosecuted personnel from other countries &ndash; posing to them the same type of risk that this announcement says is impermissible under international law. So what is it that the administration is actually saying is illegal and sinister? At the end of the day, it seems hard to believe that all this time and energy would be diverted to this kind of phantom crisis when there are soccer players out there who are incorrectly being given red cards!</span></p>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/author/dannenbaumtom/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b><i>Tom Dannenbaum</i></b></a><b><i>, M</i></b><b><i>ember of the Just Security Editorial Board</i></b><b><i> and </i></b><b><i>Professor of Law at Stanford Law School</i></b><b><i>:</i></b><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The new U.S. posture regarding the International Criminal Court continues the administration&rsquo;s pattern of not merely violating international law, but assaulting the framework of international law as such. It entails a dangerous escalation that demands a clear and coordinated response.</span></p>
<p><span>At the same time, Secretary Rubio&rsquo;s </span><a href="https://www.wsj.com/opinion/why-were-dismantling-the-icc-0af0a8a6" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>op-ed</span></a><span> and the associated State Department </span><a href="https://www.state.gov/releases/office-of-the-spokesperson/2026/07/state-department-launches-campaign-to-dismantle-international-criminal-courts-threat-to-american-sovereignty" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>press release</span></a><span> serve two useful functions. First, they indicate that despite the crisis in international law generally, and international criminal law specifically, the ICC remains highly politically relevant, even to the most powerful states in the world. It would be almost impossible for the Court to secure the arrest and transfer of a U.S. official. One could imagine, therefore, a world in which a U.S. government hostile to the notion of international accountability would simply ignore the Court. Instead, the mere prospect of an ICC investigation carries implications for international legitimacy and standing that are apparently sufficient to activate a preemptive and severe political backlash, including in the form of an agenda that will demand significant diplomatic maneuvering. This itself evinces the importance of continuing to invoke the principles that Rubio seeks to disparage and to use them as focal points around which to mobilize in response to criminality and abuse by even the most powerful.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Second, Rubio&rsquo;s Op-Ed offers an opportune moment to reflect on the crimes in which the administration is currently involved. He notes both the deportations to El Salvador and the strikes against boats and crews in the Caribbean and Pacific. These plausibly implicate international crimes and ICC jurisdiction, given that El Salvador, Colombia, Trinidad &amp; Tobago, Ecuador, the Dominican Republic, and Venezuela are ICC States Parties and the crimes may well have occurred at least in part on one or more of these states&rsquo; territory (including their territorial sea or on vessels flagged to their state). He further notes, correctly, albeit highly unrealistically, that Iran could accept ICC jurisdiction under Article 12(3), thereby generating ICC jurisdiction over potential U.S. war crimes committed on Iranian territory (in addition, of course, to alleged Iranian crimes at home and abroad&mdash;a fact that Rubio deliberately omits and that guarantees that no such Iranian engagement with the ICC will take place under current political conditions). That there are plausible discussions regarding direct U.S. engagement in international crimes across these situations is damning and deserving of reflection, mobilization, and pressure.</span></p>
<p><span>Of course, even if the Court were operating in the best of institutional health, the political reality is that the Office of the Prosecutor has always been unlikely to seek arrest warrants for U.S. officials. In the only active investigation potentially implicating U.S. officials (the Afghanistan investigation), the Prosecutor deprioritized alleged U.S. war crimes to focus on alleged Taliban and IS-K crimes. Action on the former has seemed very unlikely, notwithstanding judicial admonitions to investigate crimes on their own terms, without reference to the affiliations of the perpetrators. In that sense, this latest move to attack the Court may be designed primarily to benefit Israeli officials, who, unlike their U.S. counterparts, are the subject of existing arrest warrants (and likely applications for more). Notably, however, in contrast to earlier rounds of sanctions, the goal of protecting Israeli officials plays no overt role in Rubio&rsquo;s arguments or the State Department press release.</span></p>
<p><span>In many respects, the depiction of the ICC, the hysterical characterization of it threatening the &ldquo;death of the U.S. as a sovereign and independent nation,&rdquo; and the call to aggressive preemptive action to quash that threat amount to a tired reprise of John Bolton&rsquo;s arguments of a quarter-century ago. The substance barely warrants response. The reality is that (absent Security Council authorization, over which the U.S. exercises a veto), when the Court exercises jurisdiction over nationals of states that have not ratified or acceded to the Court&rsquo;s Statute, it does so on the basis of their actions implicating war crimes, crimes against humanity, or genocide on the territory of a State Party or a state that has otherwise accepted ICC jurisdiction. It is, in that sense, an affirmation and protection of the latter&rsquo;s sovereignty and the most basic rights of its people, rather than an attack on the sovereignty of the state whose officials are, by definition, acting extraterritorially in one sense or another. The United States does not cede its criminal jurisdiction over foreign nationals when they commit crimes in the United States. It has no standing to suggest that its</span> <span>sovereignty precludes others from doing the same. Of course, state </span><i><span>officials </span></i><span>ordinarily have functional immunity for their official acts, even while acting abroad. However, such immunities are widely understood to be inapplicable in relation to international crimes. Although the United States has contested that point, it has </span><a href="https://www.justice.gov/archives/opa/pr/iranian-intelligence-officials-indicted-kidnapping-conspiracy-charges" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>also</span></a> <a href="https://www.justice.gov/archives/opa/pr/us-charges-five-chinese-military-hackers-cyber-espionage-against-us-corporations-and-labor" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>seen fit</span></a><a href="https://www.justice.gov/archives/opa/pr/justice-department-announces-murder-hire-charges-against-islamic-revolutionary-guard-corps" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>to</span></a><span> set aside such immunities in cases involving crimes against U.S. persons. Even when the ICC has jurisdiction, it will defer to the investigative and judicial processes of a state that undertakes investigations or prosecutions consistent with a genuine willingness and ability to bring perpetrators to account. That deference holds equally for states not party to the Court&rsquo;s Statute as for States Parties. And it applies even if the domestic state declines to prosecute the individual(s) in question, as long as the process was genuine.</span></p>
<p><span>None of this is news to Marco Rubio. In March of 2022, he co-sponsored </span><a href="https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/senate-resolution/546/text" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>S.Res.546</span></a><span>, which: (i) described the ICC as &ldquo;an international tribunal that seeks to uphold the rule of law, especially in areas where no rule of law exists, by investigating and trying individuals charged &lsquo;with the gravest crimes of concern to the international community: genocide, war crimes, crimes against humanity and the crime of aggression&rsquo;,&rdquo; (ii) noted that &ldquo;Ukraine has twice submitted to the jurisdiction of the ICC for the purposes of investigating alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity committed within its territory related to the Russian occupation of Ukraine&rdquo; (Russia being a non-party to the ICC),&nbsp; and (iii) sought to encourage &ldquo;member states to petition the ICC or other appropriate international tribunal to take any appropriate steps to investigate war crimes and crimes against humanity committed by the Russian Armed Forces and their proxies and President Putin&rsquo;s military commanders, at the direction of President Vladimir Putin.&rdquo; The contradictions speak for themselves.</span></p>
<p><span>Ultimately, there is a real prospect that Rubio&rsquo;s Op-Ed and the State Department announcement, which identifies items for consideration rather than firm policies, amount to little more than rhetoric, designed primarily for domestic political consumption, rather than international action. However, the actions listed as under consideration would pose a serious threat to the Court. Their mere articulation may inspire other states that are contemplating withdrawal or hostile action against the Court. The immediate impact would be on war crimes, crimes against humanity, and genocide investigations in Sudan, the trial of Rodrigo Duterte, and efforts to secure the arrest of Taliban leaders.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The institutional threat is starkest in relation to proposals to sanction the Court itself, a move that could bring the institution to a standstill. Such action would entail further U.S. offenses against the administration of justice and would demand a robust and coordinated response by ICC States Parties, if the Court is to have any chance of survival. The proposals to pursue diplomatic pressure through encouraging States Parties to withdraw and non-parties to join the U.S. in its attack on the Court are dangerous in different ways. Their impact will turn on how much leverage the United States seeks to invoke and whether other states are willing and able to band together in response. It is long past time for States Parties to stand up for the Court and act collectively in its defense.</span></p>
<p><em><strong><span tabindex="-1" role="gridcell" translate="no" aria-haspopup="dialog"><span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/author/lubandavid/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">David Luban</a>, Founding Editor of Just Security and University Professor in Law and Philosophy at Georgetown University Law Center:</span></span></strong></em></p>
<div>
<p>The Trump administration&rsquo;s hostility to the ICC is not a new story: its first sanctions order against the Court came in 2020. But Secretary Rubio&rsquo;s all-out declaration of war against the Court &ndash; unprovoked by any immediate actions &ndash; raises the question &ldquo;why now&rdquo;? It raises the suspicion that the United States may be planning further military adventures. To declare the ICC an attack or potential attack on U.S. sovereignty, as Secretary Rubio does, is a backhanded way of declaring that the United States has a sovereign right to do whatever it wants with impunity. The declaration of war against the ICC is also a direct affront to our allies. All NATO countries except the U.S. and Turkey are ICC members, and so are Australia, Canada, Japan, South Korea, Mexico, and New Zealand.</p>
<p>To call the Rome Statute &ldquo;international laws we neither consent to nor control&rdquo; is literally true, because the United States is not a state party. But denying consent ignores the fact that many of the Rome Statute crimes have domestic-law counterparts (for example, the war crimes statute 18 U.S.C. &sect;2441; the genocide statute, 18 U.S.C. &sect;1091); others are recognized in the DOD Law of War Manual as customary rules of war. The United States has never incorporated crimes against humanity into domestic law, but we should remember that the United States played a pivotal role in introducing crimes against humanity into the statutes of the Nuremberg and Tokyo tribunals. Bare weeks after the Nuremberg judgment, it was the United States that introduced the UN General Assembly resolution affirming the principles of international law in the Nuremberg Charter (<a href="https://legal.un.org/avl/pdf/ha/ga_95-i/ga_95-i_ph_e.pdf#:~:text=On%2010%20December%201946%2C%20in%20its%20report,of%20International%20Law%20and%20its%20Codification%20to" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">UNGA Res. 95(I))</a>, which surely included the criminalization of crimes against humanity.</p>
<p>Secretary Rubio&rsquo;s charge that the ICC is an affront to U.S. sovereignty has waxed and waned as<span>&#8203;&nbsp;</span>the official position of the U.S. government, but the supposed reason that outsiders should keep their hands off has previously been that we hold our own military personnel accountable. Unfortunately, we can no longer count on our own military justice system to hold U.S. personnel accountable for war crimes.&nbsp;The Justice Department&rsquo;s Office of Legal Counsel has provided top cover for&nbsp;<a href="https://www.justice.gov/olc/media/1423306/dl?inline" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">even the most legally dubious of Trump&rsquo;s military operations</a>. Among Pete Hegseth&rsquo;s first actions as Secretary of Defense was&nbsp;<a href="https://www.airandspaceforces.com/top-air-force-lawyer-fired-former-senior-jags/#:~:text=%E2%80%9CUltimately%2C%20we%20want%20lawyers%20who%20give%20sound,orders%20that%20are%20given%20by%20a%20commander%2Din%2Dchief.%E2%80%9D" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">to fire the heads of all the JAG Corps because they might pose &ldquo;roadblocks&rdquo; to the president&rsquo;s orders</a>. He has downgraded the TJAGs from three stars to two stars, diminishing their power, and&nbsp;<a href="https://www.militarytimes.com/news/pentagon-congress/2026/05/22/hegseth-orders-broad-review-of-military-legal-system/#:~:text=The%20military%20legal%20system%20previously%20had%20an,it's%20unclear%20what%20became%20of%20its%20recommendations." target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">disbanded the independent Military Justice Review Panel</a>&nbsp;to replace it with one under political control. Above all, he has made abundantly clear that he thinks legality is the enemy of lethality.</p>
</div>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/147012/trump-administration-statement-dismantling-icc/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">What does the Trump Administration Statement on Dismantling the ICC Really Mean?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-14T13:02:19+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Just Security</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-14T13:02:19+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="armed conflict"/>

	<category term="atrocities"/>

	<category term="civilian harm"/>

	<category term="diplomacy"/>

	<category term="donald trump"/>

	<category term="executive branch"/>

	<category term="featured articles"/>

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	<category term="rome statute"/>

	<category term="rule of law"/>

	<category term="sanctions"/>

	<category term="trump administration second term"/>

	<category term="united states (us)"/>

	<category term="vessel"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-14:/293454</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/147118/early-edition-july-14-2026/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=early-edition-july-14-2026" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Early Edition: July 14, 2026</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Signup to receive the Early Edition in your inbox&nbsp;here.
A curated guide to major news and developmen...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Signup to receive the Early Edition in your inbox&nbsp;<a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/newsletter-signup/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">here</a>.</p>
<p>A curated guide to major news and developments over the weekend. Here&rsquo;s today&rsquo;s news:</p>
<p><b><i>IRAN WAR</i></b></p>
<p><b>Over the weekend, President Trump formally notified Congress that fighting between the United States and Iran has resumed amid tit-for-tat attacks by both sides in recent days,</b><span> according to a letter obtained by the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/13/us/politics/trump-iran-ceasefire.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>. Both chambers have directed Trump to end the conflict or seek congressional approval to continue it, but Trump maintains he has the authority to proceed without it. Peter Barker reports.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p>[<i>Editor&rsquo;s note: </i>The first entry has been updated due to an error in the previously cited news report.]</p>
<p><b>U.S. forces conducted a third consecutive night of strikes against Iran, hours after Trump said Washington is reinstating a blockade on Iran in the Strait of Hormuz. </b><span>Trump separately announced that the United States will immediately start charging other ships a 20% fee for safe passage. &ldquo;We&rsquo;re protecting a very rich portion of the world,&rdquo; Trump said. &ldquo;We&rsquo;re spending money. And so, what we&rsquo;ve done is, we are going to be reimbursed for protection.&rdquo; In a radio interview, Trump dismissed the importance of the ceasefire agreement, saying that &ldquo;when you&rsquo;re dealing with sleazebags, [agreements] don&rsquo;t mean much.&rdquo;Jon Gambrell, Josh Boak, Konstantin Toropin, and Will Weissert report for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-hormuz-strait-war-july-13-2026-6c2c44cfdd089d6393d18fa5930ed620" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>; Peter Baker reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/13/us/politics/trump-iran-ceasefire.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>; Barak Ravid reports for </span><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/13/trump-iran-blockade-strait-hormuz" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Axios</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Trump&rsquo;s threat to impose fees on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz contradicts weeks of declarations by his top aides that no country can charge tolls or fees for passage through the waterway.</b> <span>Addressing the issue during a visit to the Middle East in late June, Secretary of State Marco Rubio said: &ldquo;No country is allowed to charge tolls or fees on an international waterway. That&rsquo;s existing international law. That&rsquo;s the way it is in international waterways all over the world, and that&rsquo;s the way we expect it&rsquo;ll be here.&rdquo;</span><span> Michael Crowley and Edward Wong report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/13/us/politics/trump-iran-hormuz-fees-vance-rubio.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Iran responded to the U.S. strikes today with attacks targeting Bahrain, Jordan, and two tankers associated with the UAE in the Strait of Hormuz, </b><span>killing one mariner and wounding eight others. </span><span>&ldquo;The UAE reserves its full right to respond to this escalation and to take all necessary measures to protect its territory, its citizens and residents,&rdquo; the Emirati Defense Ministry said today. </span><span>Jon Gambrell, Josh Boak, Konstantin Toropin, and Will Weissert report for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-hormuz-strait-war-july-13-2026-6c2c44cfdd089d6393d18fa5930ed620" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b>Iran&rsquo;s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said today that Iran targeted a U.S. air base in Jordan using ballistic missiles and called on Jordanians to dismantle U.S. bases in the kingdom.</b><span> Jordan&rsquo;s armed forces said they intercepted and shot down four missiles that entered Jordanian airspace from Iranian territory, according to the state news agency. Enas Alashray, Elwely Elwelly, Tala Ramadan, and Katharine Jackson report for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-says-it-struck-us-air-base-jordan-us-military-ends-five-hours-attacks-2026-07-14/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Former Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is currently in the custody of the IRGC&rsquo;s intelligence wing following a failed Israeli plan to install him as Iran&rsquo;s new leader, </b><span>four Iranian officials said. U.S. officials said that Israel spent years secretly cultivating Ahmadinejad as a candidate to lead Iran, with covert meetings in Budapest and secret payments for his housing and travel. </span><span>Mark Mazzetti, Julian E. Barnes, Farnaz Fassihi, and Ronen Bergman report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/13/us/politics/israel-mahmoud-ahmadinejad-iran.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>U.S. forces used unmanned boats in an attack on an Iranian naval installation on Sunday, </b><span>U.S. Central Command said yesterday, their first-ever offensive operation by sea drones. Nicholas Kulish and Eric Schmitt report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/13/world/middleeast/us-naval-drone-first-attack.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The U.K. government yesterday accused an arm of Iran&rsquo;s IRGC of directing a wave of attacks targeting Jewish communities in Europe in recent months and took steps to designate the IRGC as a terrorist organization</b><span>. Adam Goldman reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/13/world/europe/uk-iran-irgc-terrorist-antisemitic-attacks.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>YEMEN</i></b></p>
<p><b>Yemen&rsquo;s Houthis yesterday accused Saudi Arabia of bombing Yemen&rsquo;s main international airport in Sanaa. </b><span>Yemen&rsquo;s defense minister, Gen. Taher al-Aqili, said that the airport&rsquo;s runway was struck to stop an Iranian plane transporting the Houthi delegation from returning from the funeral of Iran&rsquo;s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. </span><span>The Houthis responded by firing ballistic missiles towards Saudi Arabia, a Saudi military coalition said. </span><span>The coalition statement said that Saudi air defenses had &ldquo;dealt with&rdquo; that threat.</span> <span>Hans Grundberg, the U.N. special envoy for Yemen, said he was &ldquo;deeply concerned about the risk of wider escalation.&rdquo; He called on involved parties to engage in dialogue that preserves the &ldquo;relative calm Yemen has experienced since 2022.&rdquo; </span><span>Shuaib Almosawa and Vivian Nereim report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/13/world/middleeast/yemen-houthis-saudi-arabia-iran-war.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>; Fatma Khaled reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/yemen-houthis-airport-saudi-strikes-7bddae3006304df8bf7f89e980006b33" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>In a phone call last week, Trump gave Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman his support for the military actions against the Houthis in Yemen yesterday,</b><span> according to two U.S. officials. Barak Ravid reports for </span><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/13/trump-bin-salman-houthis-yemen" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Axios</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b><i>RUSSIA-UKRAINE WAR&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>French President Emmanuel Macron said yesterday that Europeans were ready to defend their continent, &ldquo;with blood, if necessary,&rdquo; </b><span>as more than 25 leaders met in Paris to cement plans for a multinational force to be deployed in the aftermath of a ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia. Mark Landler reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/13/world/europe/macron-defend-blood-ukraine-europe.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b>Ukraine and nine other countries also announced they were forming a coalition to protect Europe from ballistic missiles.</b> <span>&ldquo;We believe that protecting Europe requires a comprehensive solution, in the form of an integrated missile defense architecture, to deter and neutralize future missile threats,&rdquo; the statement said. &ldquo;We recognize Ukraine&rsquo;s unique experience, gained through its defense against the war of aggression waged by Russia.&rdquo;</span><span> Emma Carmichael and Illia Novikov report for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-europe-coalition-putin-d813eb18fba24a57f7cb2000b302ef4d" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>ISRAEL-HAMAS WAR</i></b></p>
<p><b>Israeli attacks on Sunday killed at least six people in Gaza,</b><span> Palestinian health officials said. Medics said Israeli gunfire directed at a tent encampment on the eastern side of the Al-Bureij refugee camp killed 9-year-old Tala Abu Matar. The Israeli military said it was not aware of the &#8203;incident. Nidal Al-Mughrabi reports for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israeli-attacks-gaza-kill-three-people-including-girl-say-medics-2026-07-12/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The EU announced yesterday that it was pledging about $1 billion for projects to help rebuild infrastructure in Gaza.</b> <span>&ldquo;The ceasefire in Gaza remains fragile, and the situation on the ground for civilians is not getting better,&rdquo; EU Commissioner for the Mediterranean Dubravka &Scaron;uica said. She said the money will move through &ldquo;trusted partners&rdquo; but did not give details.</span><span> Sam McNeil reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/gaza-reconstruction-aid-european-union-funds-0011a988099b6f865259f4b14c8e4d59" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Ramiz Alakbarov, a U.N. humanitarian official in Jerusalem, accused armed personnel linked to Gaza&rsquo;s Hamas-run government of disrupting food aid operations by raiding a World Food Program distribution site on Saturday, </b><span>prompting the agency to suspend activities there. I</span><span>smail Thawabteh, a Hamas spokesman, said that Gaza police had raided the warehouse</span><span> as part of an anti-smuggling operation. Aaron Boxerman and Adam Rasgon report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/13/world/middleeast/un-says-hamas-forces-interfered-with-aid-distribution-at-a-gaza-site.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>SUDANESE CIVIL WAR&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>A Sudanese court on Sunday sentenced the leader of the Sudanese Rapid Support Forces paramilitary, Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo, to death for war crimes, crimes against humanity, and genocide over atrocities committed in the West Darfur region. </b><span>The Sudan Founding Alliance, which includes the RSF, told </span><a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cn4dk3kl0l4o" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>BBC News</span></a><span> it was a &ldquo;sham trial&rdquo; that &ldquo;does not even deserve a comment.&rdquo; This ruling is the first judicial conviction of the RSF&rsquo;s leadership since civil war broke out; however, its impact remains unclear as the RSF continues to control large parts of western Sudan and its leaders remain beyond the reach of the Sudanese army. Akisa Wandera reports.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>OTHER GLOBAL DEVELOPMENTS</i></b><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Hungary&rsquo;s parliament voted yesterday to pass a constitutional amendment to remove</b><b> President Tam&aacute;s Sulyok from office</b><b>. </b><span>The amendment, which had the stated purpose of &ldquo;restoring rule-of-law democracy,&rdquo; passed with 139 votes for and six against in the 199-member Parliament. Lawmakers from former Prime Minister Viktor Orb&aacute;n&rsquo;s far-right Fidesz party boycotted the parliamentary session.</span><span> Justin Spike reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/hungary-constitutional-amendment-remove-president-59620a0313e402be3b2cb6db2668f2ee" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. FOREIGN AFFAIRS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>&ldquo;To accept the [International Criminal Court] is to surrender control of our national destiny,&rdquo; </b><span>Rubio said yesterday in an opinion piece published in the </span><a href="https://www.wsj.com/opinion/why-were-dismantling-the-icc-0af0a8a6?mod=hp_opin_pos_2" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Wall Street Journal</span></a><span>. &ldquo;</span><span>Using all the tools at our government&rsquo;s disposal, working beside every ally with whom we can make common cause, we will dismantle the ICC&mdash;brick by brick, if necessary,&rdquo; Rubio concluded. In a statement yesterday, the State Department announced </span><a href="https://www.state.gov/releases/office-of-the-spokesperson/2026/07/state-department-launches-campaign-to-dismantle-international-criminal-courts-threat-to-american-sovereignty" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>plans</span></a><span> to roll out more sanctions against ICC court officials and vowed increased scrutiny on allies who were &ldquo;relying on U.S. assistance&rdquo; if they &ldquo;refuse to reject the ICC&rsquo;s false authority.&rdquo; </span><span>Jeanna Smialek, Amanda Taub, and Edward Wong report for the</span> <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/13/us/politics/trump-international-criminal-court.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b>The Trump administration said yesterday it is blocking U.S. citizens in the Democratic Republic of the Congo from traveling to the United States on commercial flights due to the widening Ebola outbreak,</b><span> according to a White House official. The &zwnj;order, which is being taken under a transportation authority known as Title 49, will place U.S. citizens in Congo or those who have recently left on a &ldquo;do-not-board&rdquo; list &#8203;until they have spent at least 21 days in a third &#8203;country, the source said. Trevor Hunnicutt reports for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/us-block-citizens-congo-immediate-travel-home-citing-ebola-2026-07-14/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Trump is welcoming Iraq&rsquo;s new Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi to the White House today,</b><span> with talks expected to focus on Iran&rsquo;s influence and Iraq&rsquo;s efforts to disarm Iran-backed militias, according to an administration official. Seung Min Kim and Qassim Abdul-Zahra report for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/donald-trump-alzaidi-iraq-iran-770f66fdda96ebfa7f45f32165e2b009" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. IMMIGRATION DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>An ICE agent yesterday shot and killed a Colombian national in a vehicle in Biddeford, Maine, </b><span>according to the Department of Homeland Security. DHS said that at about 7 a.m., a person left an address being monitored by ICE agents in a vehicle, adding, &ldquo;The vehicle attempted to flee the scene and, fearing for public safety, an officer discharged his weapon.&rdquo; In a separate communication, DHS said the driver had &ldquo;weaponized his vehicle toward law enforcement.&rdquo; </span><span>As of this morning, no video evidence confirming the government&rsquo;s version of events had emerged</span><span>. Jacey Fortin, Heather Beasley Doyle, Miriam Jordan, and Hamed Aleaziz report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/13/us/biddeford-maine-ice-shooting.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b>Federal prosecutors have turned over key evidence long sought by Minnesota investigators in their ongoing probe into the fatal shootings of Renee Good and Alex Pretti,</b><span> state prosecutors said yesterday. </span><span>Hennepin County Attorney Mary Moriarty said the evidence turned over included previously withheld hard drives containing statements, police body camera video, and other materials in the Minnesota killings. Federal prosecutors also turned over Good&rsquo;s badly damaged SUV, she said.</span><span> Philip Marcelo and Rebecca Boone report for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/immigration-enforcement-minnesota-alex-pretti-renee-good-21835226891f2a8d91710519b457031d" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>TECH DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Google has agreed to buy 100 percent of the initial output of Steel River Energy Center, a solar power project in Arkansas, when it becomes operational in 2029, to offset its fossil fuel emissions. </b><span>Martha Muir reports for the</span> <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/e9db6384-b295-4ab2-96bf-55025db9ee1d" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Financial Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>TRUMP ADMINISTRATION ACTIONS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Trump is supporting the late Sen. Lindsey Graham&rsquo;s (R-SC) Russia sanctions bill, </b><span>which proposes steep tariffs on countries buying Russian oil and gas, a White House official confirmed yesterday. </span><span>The confirmation comes amid a push on Capitol Hill led by Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH) to get members of Congress to pass the legislation in Graham&rsquo;s honor. </span><span>Julia Manchester reports for </span><a href="https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5966436-lindsey-graham-russia-sanctions/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>The Hill</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Trump administration has rescinded its $10 billion freeze on child care subsidies and social services funding for five Democratic states, including New York and California, </b><span>according to </span><a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.nysd.655886/gov.uscourts.nysd.655886.119.2.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>court documents</span></a><span> filed yesterday.</span><span> Minho Kim reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/13/us/politics/trump-health-dept-funding-freeze-democratic-states.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Defense Department and the Justice Department have created a joint task force to identify and prosecute what Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth described as unauthorized disclosure of sensitive information to news media, </b><span>Hegseth announced yesterday. </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/legal/government/us-creates-task-force-prosecute-leaks-news-media-hegseth-says-2026-07-13/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>TRUMP ADMINISTRATION LITIGATION&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>A federal judge yesterday </b><a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.flsd.706172/gov.uscourts.flsd.706172.106.0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>sanctioned</b></a><b> the lawyers behind Trump&rsquo;s settlement with the IRS,</b><span> deeming the lawsuit to have been &ldquo;improperly employed&rdquo; to justify the anti-weaponization fund. She said the suit was &ldquo;an attempt to use the Court to provide some legitimacy to an agreement to confer immunity to people and entities affiliated with the President and to earmark billions of dollars from American taxpayers to redress grievances not defined in the law.&rdquo; Avery Lotz and Andrew Pantazi report for </span><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/13/judge-trump-irs-settlement-anti-weaponization-fund" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Axios</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
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<p><strong>ICYMI: Yesterday on<em>&nbsp;Just Security</em></strong></p>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146544/civilian-protection-military-ai-congress/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Civilian Protection in the Age of Military AI: What Congress&rsquo;s New Legislative Proposals Reveal About Emerging Safeguards</a></p>
<p>By <span>Sarah Wilbanks&nbsp;and&nbsp;John Ramming Chappell</span></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/147118/early-edition-july-14-2026/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Early Edition: July 14, 2026</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-14T12:04:42+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Elisabeth Jennings</name></author>
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		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-14T12:04:42+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="daily news roundup"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-13:/293397</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146544/civilian-protection-military-ai-congress/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=civilian-protection-military-ai-congress" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Civilian Protection in the Age of Military AI: What Congress’s New Legislative Proposals Reveal About Emerging Safeguards</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>This year, the U.S. military&rsquo;s use of artificial intelligence (AI) in its targeting has burst into t...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p><span>This year, the U.S. military&rsquo;s use of artificial intelligence (AI) in its targeting has burst into the spotlight. In February, the <em>Wall Street Journal </em></span><a href="https://www.wsj.com/politics/national-security/pentagon-used-anthropics-claude-in-maduro-venezuela-raid-583aff17?eafs_enabled=false" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>reported</span></a><span> that the military used the Anthropic chatbot Claude in the raid that captured Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro. In the same month, Anthropic </span><a href="https://www.cfr.org/articles/anthropics-standoff-with-the-pentagon-is-a-test-of-u-s-credibility" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>objected</span></a><span> to the Pentagon&rsquo;s rejection of proposed safeguards in the company&rsquo;s Department of Defense contract, resulting in the Department designating Anthropic a supply chain risk and entering into a contract with Anthropic competitor OpenAI instead. After U.S.-Israeli airstrikes against Iran, CENTCOM commander Admiral Brad Cooper </span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xlTyju2XC3E" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>confirmed</span></a><span> that &ldquo;warfighters are leveraging a variety of advanced AI tools&rdquo; in the campaign. In a June 2026 filing for a lawsuit against Elon Musk&rsquo;s xAI, the Pentagon&rsquo;s Chief Digital and Artificial Intelligence Officer submitted a </span><a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.msnd.52261/gov.uscourts.msnd.52261.58.1.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>sworn declaration</span></a><span> stating that the government-oriented version of xAI&rsquo;s chatbot Grok had contributed to workflows in Palantir&rsquo;s Maven Smart System &ndash; the DoD&rsquo;s </span><a href="https://www.csis.org/analysis/what-maven-smart-system-and-what-does-it-do" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>flagship AI-enabled software platform</span></a><span> &ndash; to deploy &ldquo;over 2,000 munitions to 2,000 distinct targets within 96 hours&rdquo; during the Iran war.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>An earlier use of AI in targeting has also come to light. A book by Bloomberg journalist Katrina Manson published in March 2026 </span><a href="https://wwnorton.com/books/project-maven" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>revealed</span></a><span> that the US military has integrated AI into targeting through the Maven Smart System since at least 2019, when it used the system in the operation that killed ISIS leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi.</span></p>
<p><span>As military use of AI fills headlines, members of the Senate are taking steps to regulate and restrict how the Department of Defense develops and uses AI in its operations. In May and June 2026, five Senators with significant national security credentials introduced military AI bills ahead of the Senate&rsquo;s mark-up of the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA), the foremost defense policy bill passed every year. While differing substantially in scope and approach, the bills collectively represent one of the first serious congressional efforts to establish safeguards around military AI. As the NDAA moves forward, it appears increasingly likely that it will include substantive measures regarding the military use of AI.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Examining the proposed legislation together reveals an emerging framework for civilian protection in the age of AI, and also exposes remaining gaps. This article aims to outline areas of convergence among recently proposed bills, identify areas for future legislation, and outline the way forward for Congress&rsquo;s efforts to regulate military AI.&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><b>The Civilian Protection Challenges Created by Military AI</b></h2>
<p><span>Much of the public debate surrounding military AI has </span><a href="https://www.hrw.org/topic/arms/killer-robots" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>focused on</span></a><span> autonomous weapons systems (AWS). While the ethical, humanitarian, and legal challenges they present </span><a href="https://www.stopkillerrobots.org/stop-killer-robots/facts-about-autonomous-weapons/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>should not be diminished</span></a><span>, AWS are only one category of AI-enabled military applications that may affect civilians. Although AI may also offer opportunities to </span><a href="https://www.planet.com/pulse/hala-systems-and-planet-a-partnership-for-civilian-protection/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>reduce</span></a><span> civilian harm, this article focuses on the civilian protection risks and challenges associated with its military use. AI is increasingly </span><a href="https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4376420/war-department-launches-ai-acceleration-strategy-to-secure-american-military-ai/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>being integrated</span></a><span> across military functions, creating challenges for civilian harm mitigation and response. While many of these risks are not entirely new, AI amplifies them through greater speed, scale, and complexity. From a civilian protection perspective, they can be grouped into five broad categories: (1) accuracy and reliability, (2) human overreliance on AI, (3) increased operational tempo and scale, (4) accountability and transparency challenges, and (5) heightened exposure and surveillance.</span></p>
<p><i><span>Accuracy and Reliability</span></i></p>
<p><span>The first category concerns the performance and limitations of AI-enabled systems. Military AI systems, like AI more broadly, </span><a href="https://www.brennancenter.org/media/15340/download/bcj-167_business_of_military_ai_final.pdf?inline=1#page=19" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>continue to face</span></a><span> challenges related to accuracy. During early testing of Maven Smart System, the system </span><a href="https://www.brennancenter.org/media/15340/download/bcj-167_business_of_military_ai_final.pdf?inline=1#page=19" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>correctly identified tanks only 60%</span></a><span> of the time compared to human analysts&rsquo; 84%, with accuracy dropping to 30% in snowfall.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>AI systems may also perform poorly when deployed in conditions that differ from the data on which they were trained. Predictive systems analyzing imagery or drone footage </span><a href="https://www.usni.org/magazines/proceedings/2022/february/artificial-intelligence-too-fragile-fight" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>can struggle</span></a><span> to recognize unfamiliar terrain or environmental conditions, </span><a href="https://blogs.icrc.org/law-and-policy/2024/09/04/the-risks-and-inefficacies-of-ai-systems-in-military-targeting-support/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>leading to</span></a><span> false positives or missed threats. Generative AI introduces additional risks by occasionally </span><a href="https://mitsloanedtech.mit.edu/ai/basics/addressing-ai-hallucinations-and-bias/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>fabricating information or citations</span></a><span> while presenting them as authentic. Faulty, low-quality, or biased training data can further compound these problems by reinforcing existing distortions or misclassifying civilians based on characteristics such as gender, age, race, or religion.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>These limitations pose serious risks for civilians. Incorrect target identification, flawed civilian harm assessments, or </span><a href="https://blogs.icrc.org/law-and-policy/2024/03/14/falling-under-the-radar-the-problem-of-algorithmic-bias-and-military-applications-of-ai/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>biased outputs</span></a><span> may directly influence military decisions. At the same time, </span><a href="https://lieber.westpoint.edu/warification-illusion-precision-ai-targeting-increasing-civilian-harm/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>the opacity</span></a><span> of many AI systems can make it difficult for operators to understand how recommendations were generated or identify when the systems are producing unreliable outputs, particularly as AI-enabled systems are employed at greater speed and scale.</span></p>
<p><i><span>Human Overreliance on AI</span></i></p>
<p><span>Many current approaches to governing military AI assume that human control will provide a meaningful safeguard against these risks. But even with humans nominally in control, there is a danger that they may place excessive trust in AI systems. </span><a href="https://perryworldhouse.upenn.edu/news-and-insight/the-myth-of-the-human-in-the-loop-and-the-reality-of-cognitive-offloading/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Automation bias can lead</span></a><span> operators to defer to AI recommendations despite contradictory evidence, while confirmation bias and de-skilling may </span><a href="https://www.iaps.ai/research/ai-decision-support-systems" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>further erode</span></a><span> independent judgment, particularly in high-pressure or fast-paced operational environments.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Such overreliance threatens civilians because it undermines humans&rsquo; ability to ensure AI-enabled systems are used as intended and in compliance with IHL. Israel&rsquo;s reported use of the Lavender targeting system illustrates these concerns, with </span><a href="https://www.972mag.com/lavender-ai-israeli-army-gaza/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>reporting indicating</span></a><span> that operators often treated AI-generated recommendations as though they were human decisions. If operators increasingly defer to AI without retaining the expertise and confidence to critically evaluate its outputs, human oversight risks becoming a procedural formality rather than a meaningful safeguard, allowing inaccurate recommendations to contribute to civilian harm.</span></p>
<p><i><span>Increased Operational Tempo and Scale</span></i></p>
<p><span>AI-enabled systems can process vast quantities of information, identify patterns, and generate recommendations </span><a href="https://www.wired.com/story/project-maven-katrina-manson-book-excerpt/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>at speeds far beyond</span></a><span> human capacity. While these capabilities may improve military efficiency &ndash; including in ways that could help mitigate civilian harm &ndash; they also compress the time available for human review, deliberation, and civilian casualty assessments. As decisions are made more quickly and across larger numbers of targets, maintaining compliance with the </span><a href="https://casebook.icrc.org/a_to_z/glossary/fundamental-principles-ihl" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>principles</span></a><span> of distinction, precaution, and proportionality of international humanitarian law may become increasingly difficult.</span></p>
<p><span>These concerns are becoming more relevant in practice. The U.S. </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2026/03/11/us-strike-iran-elementary-school-ai-target-list/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>reportedly selected </span></a><span>more than 1,000 targets during the first 24 hours of Operation Epic Fury in Iran, a </span><a href="https://www.csis.org/analysis/what-maven-smart-system-and-what-does-it-do?utm_source=chatgpt.com" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>tenfold increase</span></a><span> over the number of targets that could be processed prior to the introduction of Maven. This dramatic shift in the pace of target generation raises questions about how much scrutiny could realistically be applied before strike decisions were made. Although not publicly attributed to an AI error, the </span><a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jun/21/iran-school-bombing-minab-fears-trump-hegseth-bury-truth-investigation-findings" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>strike on an elementary school</span></a><span> in Minab during this period illustrates the devastating consequences that can follow when safeguards fail. (The most recent reporting </span><a href="https://www.cnn.com/2026/07/07/politics/us-commanders-intelligence-iran-school" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>indicates</span></a><span> that commanders bypassed warnings about outdated intelligence ahead of the strike, but the Pentagon has not yet publicly completed its investigation.)</span></p>
<p><span>As military operations accelerate, errors, flawed assumptions, and unlawful decisions may become more common and amplified at scale. AI may also </span><a href="https://www.economist.com/insider/inside-defence/how-is-ai-changing-warfare?utm_medium=cpc.adword.pd&amp;utm_source=google&amp;ppccampaignID=17210591673&amp;ppcadID=&amp;utm_campaign=a.22brand_pmax&amp;utm_content=conversion.direct-response.anonymous&amp;gclsrc=aw.ds&amp;gad_source=1&amp;gad_campaignid=17210596221&amp;gbraid=0AAAAADBuq3IeCprhnV3BQn8wxizR_yqZj&amp;gclid=CjwKCAjwl97RBhBWEiwAa9rbXRSW7h413mG1bj0VdA4qtpl26zBuz1MPUDl-YAHVdT8_UoHEQIc9-hoC8RIQAvD_BwE" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>lower practical and political barriers</span></a><span> to the use of force while the growing availability of commercially developed AI technologies increases the likelihood that these </span><a href="https://www.iiss.org/online-analysis/charting-middle-east/2026/04/the-proliferation-of-ai-enabled-military-technology-in-the-middle-east/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>risks will spread</span></a><span> to a wider range of state and non-state actors.</span></p>
<p><i><span>Accountability and Transparency Challenges</span></i></p>
<p><span>Existing legal frameworks </span><a href="https://blogs.icrc.org/law-and-policy/2024/08/29/artificial-intelligence-in-military-decision-making-supporting-humans-not-replacing-them/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>remain</span></a><span> clear that responsibility for military operations rests with human actors. Command responsibility, state responsibility, and, where applicable, individual criminal responsibility continue to apply regardless of whether AI-enabled systems are used. However, AI may </span><a href="https://mwi.westpoint.edu/designing-lethal-decisions-ai-accountability-and-the-future-of-military-judgment/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>make accountability more difficult </span></a><span>to exercise in practice. When civilian harm results from flawed data, inaccurate outputs, operator error, inadequate oversight, or a combination of factors, determining responsibility may become significantly more complex. The growing volume of AI-enabled operations may further strain civilian harm assessments and after-action reviews, the resources for which have also been significantly </span><a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jun/21/iran-school-bombing-minab-fears-trump-hegseth-bury-truth-investigation-findings" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>curtailed</span></a><span> under the Trump administration.</span></p>
<p><a href="https://www.icrc.org/sites/default/files/document_new/file_list/ai_and_machine_learning_in_armed_conflict-icrc.pdf#page=10" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Opacity presents</span></a><span> an additional challenge. Human operators may receive recommendations, risk assessments, or target nominations without understanding how they were generated, making it harder to evaluate AI outputs before action is taken or reconstruct decisions afterward. This </span><a href="https://www.ohchr.org/sites/default/files/documents/issues/digitalage/artificial-intelligence-military-domain-briefer-1-en.pdf#page=4" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>could complicate</span></a><span> investigations, oversight, legal compliance, and efforts to provide explanations or remedies to affected civilians. These </span><a href="https://www.brennancenter.org/media/15340/download/bcj-167_business_of_military_ai_final.pdf?inline=1#page=21" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>challenges are compounded</span></a><span> by the classified nature of many military operations, reinforcing calls for AI systems to incorporate greater transparency, traceability, and auditability.</span></p>
<p><i><span>Heightened Exposure and Surveillance</span></i></p>
<p><span>Military AI affects civilians in ways that extend well beyond targeting. Many AI-enabled capabilities rely on collecting, integrating, and analyzing vast quantities of civilian data. As militaries use AI to identify individuals, analyze patterns of life, and assess threats in environments where civilians and combatants are intermingled, civilians may become subject to unprecedented levels of surveillance. Inaccurate outputs, biased data, flawed assumptions, and weakened human judgment </span><a href="https://lieber.westpoint.edu/israels-use-ai-dss-facial-recognition-technology-erosion-civilian-protection-gaza/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>may result in</span></a><span> civilians being misidentified as threats, subjected to heightened monitoring, restrictions on movement, detention, or targeting. AI&rsquo;s ability to operate rapidly and at scale may amplify both the number of civilians affected and the </span><a href="https://law.stanford.edu/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/Stanford-NYU-LIVING-UNDER-DRONES.pdf#page=vii" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>psychosocial harms associated</span></a><span> with persistent surveillance.</span></p>
<p><span>AI is also </span><a href="https://reutersinstitute.politics.ox.ac.uk/news/trolling-memes-and-deepfakes-how-ai-thickening-fog-war" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>reshaping the information environment</span></a> <span>on which civilians depend during conflict. The ability to generate convincing but false images, audio, and video has intensified concerns about misinformation and disinformation. Civilians rely on accurate information to decide whether to evacuate, seek shelter, or access humanitarian assistance. False information about military operations, humanitarian aid, or evacuation routes may place civilians in danger, </span><a href="https://theconversation.com/deepfakes-in-warfare-new-concerns-emerge-from-their-use-around-the-russian-invasion-of-ukraine-216393" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>undermine trust</span></a><span> in reliable sources, and make it increasingly difficult to distinguish authentic information from fabricated content during crises.</span></p>
<h2><b>Congress is Converging on Five Categories of Safeguards</b></h2>
<p><span>The consequences and mitigation of risks outlined above will depend largely on how AI-enabled systems are integrated into military decision-making and the safeguards governing their use. Recognizing this, U.S. lawmakers </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/02/us/politics/military-ai-laws-congress.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>have increasingly</span></a><span> turned to legislative proposals aimed at mitigating risks posed by military AI. These include:</span></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1"><span>The </span><a href="https://www.coons.senate.gov/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/BAG26B53.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Responsible Artificial Intelligence Defense</span></a><span> (RAIDA) Act, introduced by Senators Chris Coons and Jack Reed, which governs the acquisition, testing, and use of AI-enabled AWS through a focus on certification and assurance requirements;&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>The </span><a href="https://www.schiff.senate.gov/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/HALO-Act_Text.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Human Authority in Lethal Operations Act </span></a><span>(HALO), introduced by Senator Adam Schiff, which establishes an accountability framework for the use of semi-autonomous weapons and AWS, including mandating a clear chain of command;&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>The </span><a href="https://www.slotkin.senate.gov/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/DAV26485.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AI Guardrails Act</span></a><span>, introduced by Senator Elissa Slotkin, which prohibits certain military AI usages;&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>The </span><a href="https://www.gillibrand.senate.gov/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/20260529-SAM-AI-Bill.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Secure and Accountable Military AI Act,</span></a><span> introduced by Senator Kirsten Gillibrand, which creates a governance and oversight regime for the deployment, security, and operational use of military AI;&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>The </span><a href="https://www.kelly.senate.gov/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/Ultimate-Human-Responsibility-in-Defense-Systems-Act-FINAL-64.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Ultimate Human Responsibility in Defense Systems Act</span></a><span>, introduced by Senator Mark Kelly, which focuses on preserving human judgment and control over the use of force through system design and testing requirements; and</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>The </span><a href="https://www.kelly.senate.gov/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/Warfighter-AI-Readiness-and-Preparedness-WARP-Act-FINAL-64-1.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Warfighter AI Readiness and Preparedness </span></a><span>(WARP) Act, introduced by Senators Kelly and Tom Cotton, which requires the DoD to assess the impact and consequences of military AI adoption on human operators, and identify measures to mitigate potential harms.</span></li>
</ul>
<p><span>Although these proposals differ in scope and approach&mdash;ranging from testing and certification requirements to accountability mechanisms and prohibitions on particularly risky uses&mdash;they reveal growing consensus around five categories of safeguards: 1) preserving meaningful human judgment and control; 2) ensuring operator competence; 3) requiring rigorous testing and evaluation; 4) strengthening monitoring and accountability; and 5) prohibiting particularly high-risk applications. Together, these categories provide a useful framework for understanding how Congress is attempting to balance military innovation with civilian protection.</span></p>
<p><i><span>Human Judgement and Control</span></i></p>
<p><span>Most of these legislative proposals assume that human judgment is the primary safeguard against the risks posed by military AI. Human control is consistently treated as the mechanism through which AI-enabled systems remain subject to legal, ethical, and operational constraints, particularly in high-consequence applications involving the use of force. Nearly every proposal includes some form of human-control requirement &ndash; from override mechanisms and human authorization to designated accountable decision-makers &ndash; and requires humans to retain ultimate authority over the use of force. Yet none provides a comprehensive definition of &ldquo;meaningful human control.&rdquo; Senator Mark Kelly&rsquo;s Ultimate Human Responsibility in Defense Systems Act comes closest by establishing functional requirements for &ldquo;ultimate human responsibility&rdquo; (Sec. 2(3)), including requiring commanders or operators to understand the operational context of a weapons system through training and &ldquo;the integration of design and testing features that strengthen human understanding and effectiveness oversight.&rdquo;</span></p>
<p><span>Most proposals focus on preserving human authority, review, or intervention rather than defining the conditions necessary for humans to exercise informed and independent judgment alongside AI. Stronger provisions require uncertain or anomalous outputs to be elevated for additional human review (Gillibrand Sec. 4(c)(5)), categorize AI capabilities according to the level of human judgment needed to mitigate risks to life (Coons and Reed Sec. 2(c)(1)), and distinguish human and machine actions while requiring operators to be able to activate, terminate, or disable systems (Schiff Sec. 3(e)(1)-(2)).</span></p>
<p><span>The bills nevertheless leave important questions unanswered. For example: How much time, information, and independence do operators need for human involvement to function as an effective safeguard? If operators are expected to validate hundreds of AI-generated targeting recommendations under compressed timelines, can they meaningfully exercise independent judgment? Likewise, the proposals offer little guidance on where human judgment is most critical within the decision-making process. If operators approve only the final outputs of an AI-enabled decision-support system without scrutinizing the underlying data, assumptions, or intermediate steps, it is questionable whether meaningful human control is involved.</span></p>
<p><span>These safeguards will not succeed in mitigating harm unless humans remain skilled and capable of exercising informed, independent judgment when applying legal obligations in practice. US civilian harm mitigation and response (CHMR) policies and procedures were designed to help commanders and operators understand the civilian environment, identify potential risks to civilians, implement mitigation measures, assess and respond to civilian harm incidents, and incorporate learnings into future operations. If AI-enabled systems are being used to influence or make decisions throughout the stages of the targeting processes &ndash; including supporting target development and engagement decisions &ndash; meaningful human control cannot be understood only as a check over the use of force. It also depends on aligning AI-enabled systems with the existing CHMR processes designed to prevent and respond to civilian harm (and, ideally, rebuilding and strengthening those systems). For example, AI-enabled systems used to support target development should be evaluated not only for technical accuracy but their ability to effectively identify civilian presence, objects, or protected infrastructure, accurately analyze or flag patterns of civilian life, and generate outputs that enable operators to identify civilian risk and take mitigation measures.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><i><span>Operator Competence</span></i></p>
<p><span>The emphasis that lawmakers place on human judgment raises a related question: what technical expertise is required for operators to exercise judgment effectively? Human involvement alone cannot serve as a meaningful safeguard if operators do not understand system capabilities and limitations, lack the skills necessary to assess AI-generated recommendations, or become overly reliant on automated outputs.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Most proposals recognize this by establishing safeguards related to operator training and competence. These provisions seek to ensure personnel understand how AI-enabled systems function, that systems are sufficiently understandable and explainable, and that operators can identify errors, challenge recommendations, and intervene when necessary. Most proposals require commanders and operators to be trained on system capabilities and limitations, while some reference training in realistic operational environments (Kelly Sec. 7(b); Schiff Sec. 3(e)(4)). Others emphasize the ability of operators to understand and evaluate system outputs. Stronger provisions require operators to assess outputs for compliance with U.S. and international law (Schiff Sec. 3(b)(2)(B)) and provide specialized training in human-machine teaming (Kelly Sec. 7(b)).</span></p>
<p><span>The most robust provisions appear in Senators Kelly and Cotton&rsquo;s WARP Act, which focuses on how increasing AI integration may affect military personnel effectiveness, skill retention, readiness, and operational performance. The bill requires the Department of Defense to assess AI&rsquo;s effects on human performance, identify roles where those effects are most consequential, and determine the conditions under which AI enhances or degrades human capabilities (Sec. 2(c)). By focusing on the long-term effects of AI adoption on military personnel, WARP begins to address questions that are largely absent from the other proposals, including whether humans will retain the skills, confidence, and independent judgment needed to serve as meaningful safeguards.</span></p>
<p><span>With the exception of Sen. Slotkin&rsquo;s bill, all of the proposals seek to ensure some level of understanding among those responsible for employing AI-enabled systems, implicitly recognizing concerns about the opacity and limited explainability of some AI tools. Yet significant questions remain. The proposals do not describe what effective training should entail or how it should address automation bias, overreliance, cognitive offloading, and other effects of human-machine interaction. Aside from Sen. Schiff&rsquo;s requirement that operators assess outputs for compliance with international humanitarian law, they focus primarily on technical proficiency while devoting comparatively little attention to how operators should exercise legal judgment and independent decision-making when working alongside AI-enabled systems.</span></p>
<p><span>From a civilian protection perspective, operator competence extends beyond basic AI technical proficiency. Operators and commanders must understand system limitations, identify errors, exercise independent judgment, and apply legal obligations when AI-generated recommendations influence decisions affecting civilian life. This requires training not only on how AI-enabled systems function, but how to question their outputs and the conditions under which outputs are more or less reliable, how to recognize and elevate uncertainty, and how to assess civilian harm risk. While several proposals recognize the importance of operator competence, they provide little guidance on how these capabilities should be developed or assessed in practice.</span></p>
<p><i><span>Testing, Evaluation, and Validation</span></i></p>
<p><span>While the first two categories of convergence address who makes decisions and whether operators are capable of exercising independent judgment, the third focuses on whether AI-enabled systems are sufficiently reliable for their intended use. Testing, evaluation, and validation are among the strongest areas of convergence across the legislative proposals, with most seeking to identify and mitigate risks before systems reach operational use. The underlying assumption is that testing can assess system reliability, identify limitations, and determine whether AI-enabled capabilities are appropriate for military deployment.</span></p>
<p><span>Most bills require some combination of risk assessments, verification and validation procedures, operational testing, or ongoing evaluations designed to identify failures before they result in harm. Broad provisions require rigorous testing throughout the system lifecycle (Coons and Reed Sec. 2(a); Gillibrand Sec. 3(c)(1)), but don&rsquo;t necessarily specify what should be tested, the benchmarks against which performance should be measured, or who should conduct the evaluation and validation. Sen. Slotkin&rsquo;s bill goes further by requiring demonstration that error rates for AI-enabled use-of-force systems do not exceed those of trained human operators (Sec. 2(c)(3)(C)(vii)). Sen. Schiff&rsquo;s proposal provides the most comprehensive testing framework, requiring testing in operational environments with realistic civilian presence (Sec. 6(c)(1)), assessments of human-machine interaction, reviews during system development to identify compliance and risk concerns, and testing regardless of the acquisition pathway (Secs. 4, 6(a)-(c)).</span></p>
<p><span>Despite broad agreement that testing is essential, the proposals provide comparatively little guidance on what successful testing should demonstrate. Should systems be evaluated primarily for technical performance, military effectiveness, legal compliance, or civilian protection outcomes? While these objectives overlap, they may require different performance metrics, testing methodologies, and levels of independent validation. The proposals do little to clarify whether testing will adequately capture the risks most likely to result in civilian harm, including inaccurate outputs, biased data, degraded performance, or failures arising from human-machine interaction. Although all the bills position testing as a foundational safeguard, it remains uncertain whether the regimes they envision will be sufficient to identify and mitigate the risks that matter most from a civilian protection perspective.</span></p>
<p><i><span>Monitoring, Reporting, and Accountability</span></i></p>
<p><span>Recognizing that testing and evaluation cannot anticipate every failure that might emerge once an AI-enabled system is deployed, lawmakers have included safeguards intended to ensure that systems remain observable, traceable, and subject to oversight throughout their operational lifecycle. The proposals address a range of safeguards to establish mechanisms for ongoing monitoring, incident reporting, recordkeeping, and periodic review intended to identify failures, facilitate corrective action, and support accountability.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Most proposals rely on monitoring and reporting requirements to maintain oversight after deployment. These include combinations of continuous monitoring, incident reporting, audit logs, record repositories, periodic assessments, and reporting to Congress (Coons and Reed Sec. 2(a); Schiff Sec. 6(d); Gillibrand Sec. 3(c)(7)). The strongest provisions, particularly in the Schiff and Gillibrand proposals, treat monitoring as an ongoing governance function rather than a one-time compliance exercise. The proposals differ, however, in what should be monitored, how incidents should be documented, and what information should be preserved. Most focus on technical failures and operational incidents, while few specifically require monitoring or reporting of civilian harm or human-machine interaction failures, including from overreliance. As a result, the safeguards envisioned are better designed to detect system failures than to understand how those failures affect civilians or identify patterns that could inform future policy and operational practice.</span></p>
<p><span>Several proposals also seek to preserve accountability through documentation, recordkeeping, auditability, and clearly assigned human responsibility. Sen. Schiff&rsquo;s proposal requires a designated commander accountable under military and international law for each engagement or class of engagements (Sec. 3(b)(1)(B)), while Sen. Gillibrand requires documentation and audit mechanisms for high-consequence AI applications (Sec. 3(c)(6)). Sen. Kelly additionally requires retention of records relating to targeting decisions (Sec. 3(b)(5)), and Sen. Schiff establishes repositories for incidents and system failures (Sec. 6(f)(4)). These provisions recognize that meaningful oversight depends on preserving a clear chain of responsibility when AI informs military decisions. However, they provide comparatively little guidance on what information must be retained to reconstruct AI-assisted decisions, support investigations, explain outcomes to affected civilians, or assess compliance with legal obligations. From a civilian protection perspective, monitoring is valuable only insofar as it generates the information necessary to investigate civilian harm, assign responsibility, and prevent future harm. Whether the proposed mechanisms will achieve those objectives remains uncertain.</span></p>
<p><i><span>Prohibitions and Red Lines &ndash; and Exceptions&nbsp;</span></i></p>
<p><span>Prohibitions reflect the idea that certain military AI applications are too risky to govern through safeguards alone. Across the proposals, there is broad agreement on several red lines, including prohibitions against the use of AI-enabled systems in decisions to launch nuclear weapons; the monitoring, tracking, profiling, or targeting of individuals in the United States; and the use of lethal force without meaningful human judgment. Sen. Slotkin&rsquo;s AI Guardrails Act is distinct in relying almost exclusively on these three prohibitions rather than establishing a broader governance framework, adopting a narrower but potentially less disputed approach to regulating military AI.</span></p>
<p><span>The primary divergence is not which applications warrant prohibition, but the extent to which exceptional circumstances justify flexibility. The proposals range from limited waivers for specific applications to broader exemptions and procedural flexibilities. Sen. Slotkin&rsquo;s bill allows the Secretary of Defense to waive the prohibition on autonomous weapon systems employing lethal force without appropriate levels of human judgment and supervision, under &ldquo;extraordinary circumstances&rdquo; of national security, and if the error rate of the system does not exceed that of a human operator performing similar functions (Sec. 2(c)(1)-(3)). Sens. Coons and Reed&rsquo;s proposal exempts specified categories of systems from legal and review requirements, including weapons systems that the Secretary of Defense determines are &ldquo;safer and more reliable&rdquo; than alternative systems and involve continuous human supervision, provided that Congress is notified of their intended use and does not object. (Sec. 2(a). Sen. Gillibrand&rsquo;s bill takes a different approach in permitting delayed congressional notification for certain high-consequence AI capabilities when immediate disclosure could jeopardize national security (Sec. 3(d)(3)).</span></p>
<p><span>The prohibitions provide insight into which risks Congress considers fundamentally unacceptable. They address potentially catastrophic harm associated with nuclear weapons, violations of domestic civil liberties, and the removal of meaningful human judgment from lethal force. Most AI-enabled capabilities likely to affect civilian harm in conflict, including human decision-support systems used in target development, remain outside these prohibitions and instead depend on the safeguards discussed above. Ultimately, the success of Congress&rsquo;s approach to civilian protection will depend both on the red lines it draws in addition to whether broader governance mechanisms prove capable of managing the much wider range of military AI applications that remain permissible.</span></p>
<h2><b>Incorporation in the National Defense Authorization Act</b></h2>
<p><span>The NDAA, versions of which are expected to pass in the House and Senate in the next week, contain some of the most substantial legislation safeguards related to the military use of AI to date.</span></p>
<p><span>The </span><a href="https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/senate-bill/4784/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Senate NDAA</span></a><span> contains several sections dealing with safeguards around military AI covering the areas of convergence discussed above and appears to draw from most or all of the major Senate proposals. Drawing from Sens. Reed and Coons&rsquo; RAIDA Act, Section 1647 establishes a policy and oversight framework for AWS and military AI used in targeting that centers on human control. The bill requires that AWS or military AI used by the DoD are designed and used such that commanders and operators can exercise &ldquo;ultimate human responsibility over the use of force.&rdquo; It defines &ldquo;ultimate human responsibility&rdquo; as a commander or operator&rsquo;s ability to &ldquo;supervise, intervene in, or terminate the use of force by the system,&rdquo; ensure compliance with U.S. and international law, and &ldquo;understand the operational context of the weapon system.&rdquo; The Section further requires the review of AWS and military AI systems to categorize them based on the &ldquo;appropriate level of human judgment required to mitigate risks to life, safety and health of Department personnel or noncombatant civilian harm,&rdquo; establishing two risk-based tiers and corresponding levels of required human judgment.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Separately, Section 1653 directs the Secretary of Defense to issue regulations ensuring that the use of force remains subject to a clear, accountable human chain of command, and that no weapon system, whether autonomous or AI-enabled, eliminates human responsibility for its use.</span></p>
<p><span>The Senate NDAA also deals with operator competence, requiring operators to undergo proficiency training on autonomous weapon systems and AI capabilities. The bill also requires training personnel on their ability to question, override, or disengage military AI system outputs.</span></p>
<p><span>Section 1647 establishes a system for the testing and evaluation of military AI systems. Required review would ensure that system design accommodates human oversight and accounts for risk to &ldquo;nontargets,&rdquo; followed by a similar review before fielding and an updated legal review. More broadly, covered systems must undergo testing in realistic operational environments to confirm they function as intended and resist interference.</span></p>
<p><span>When it comes to monitoring of military AI performance, Section 1647 mandates the establishment of an incident repository to document failures of AWS and military AI with the objective of identifying risks and errors and continuously improving systems.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The Senate NDAA prohibits the same uses of military AI as Sen. Slotkin&rsquo;s bill: nuclear weapon launches or detonations, certain domestic surveillance activities, and the employment of lethal force by autonomous weapons without appropriate human judgment. However, the NDAA&rsquo;s prohibition is stronger, dispensing with the waiver provision.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The </span><a href="https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/8800" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>House&rsquo;s version</span></a><span> of the NDAA also contains some constraints and safeguards on the military use of AI, although they are less prescriptive and unified than the Senate&rsquo;s proposal. As with the Senate version, the House NDAA also contains provisions encouraging the adoption of more military AI applications. Section 1089 requires the Defense Autonomous Warfare Group to develop doctrine on the deployment of &ldquo;unmanned autonomous systems&rdquo; but prescribes no specific safeguards, requiring only &ldquo;Compliance with safety and legal requirements with respect to the use of such systems and formations.&rdquo; Section 1502, championed by Rep. Sara Jacobs, would </span><a href="https://federalnewsnetwork.com/artificial-intelligence/2026/05/house-ndaa-would-set-up-protected-disclosure-program-for-ai-incidents/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>require</span></a><span> DoD to establish an incident and vulnerability reporting program for AI systems with the aim of reducing weakness and addressing risks posed by such systems. Another Rep. Jacobs </span><a href="https://sarajacobs.house.gov/news/press-releases/rep-sara-jacobs-votes-against-ndaa-due-to-lack-of-constraints-on-weaponization-and-politicization-of-military" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>provision</span></a><span>, Section 1524, requires an update to Department of Defense Directive 3000.09 regarding autonomous weapons systems, semi-autonomous weapons systems, and AI-enabled systems &ldquo;intended to support, recommend, or materially influence operational decisions associated with the employment of force.&rdquo; The provision requires that the policy update include requirements dealing with human responsibility; auditability, traceability, and accountability; risk mitigation measures; testing, evaluation, and human training; human intervention; and measures to categorize AI systems to clarify constraints and uses for each category.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Once each chamber passes their respective bills, leaders from both major parties and both chambers will negotiate a compromise bill through a conference process. Civil society and legislators will engage in the process by making recommendations for provisions to retain or remove. That compromise bill typically passes through both chambers in December or January votes before proceeding to the president&rsquo;s desk for signature. Vetoes are relatively uncommon.</span></p>
<h2><b>What&rsquo;s Missing?&nbsp;</b></h2>
<p><span>The legislative debate around the military use of AI is still in its early days, with the introduction of competing proposals creating an opportunity for concrete action. While the bills converge on several important steps to address the military use of AI, they do not address other key areas. Those gaps may show the way forward for future legislation.</span></p>
<p><span>The interaction between military use of AI bills and existing DoD policy frameworks dealing with civilian harm mitigation and response remains largely unclear. Since 2021, the DoD has </span><a href="https://civiliansinconflict.org/tracking-implementation-of-the-civilian-harm-mitigation-and-response-action-plan-chmr-ap/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>developed</span></a><span> a set of tools and frameworks to mitigate and respond to civilian harm in its operations. While resources dedicated to these initiatives have drastically diminished since early 2025, the legal and policy frameworks for the tools remain intact on paper. If implemented properly, CHMR offers an analytical framework for understanding why civilian harm occurs and taking practical measures to prevent it. Many of those lessons remain applicable in the context of military AI, and in some cases the use of AI exacerbates or entrenches problems that already exist. Employing AI systems may also have potential for reducing civilian harm by allowing commanders to better understand the civilian environment and predict the foreseeable consequences of a military decision. However, current efforts to regulate military AI miss many of the lessons of CHMR. None of the current Senate bills systematically require AI-specific civilian harm assessments or pre-deployment civilian impact assessments. They do not deal with response to civilian harm to which AI systems contributed, such as post-strike reviews or investigations. Sen. Kelly&rsquo;s bill </span><a href="https://www.kelly.senate.gov/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/Ultimate-Human-Responsibility-in-Defense-Systems-Act-FINAL-64.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>codifies</span></a><span> a requirement for a Civilian Harm Mitigation and Response Office within the Office of the Secretary of Defense for Policy, protecting an important organ of the CHMR enterprise, but the provision is not specific to AI and does not interact with other parts of the bill.</span></p>
<p><span>Another framework missing from the current frameworks is international human rights law (IHRL). Although IHRL has significant bearing on both the data collection that informs military AI and on the employment of military AI outside of armed conflict, legislative proposals are so far focused on international humanitarian law. This leaves largely unaddressed the issue of how AI-enabled systems should be governed in contexts where IHRL provides the primary legal framework. One prominent example where IHRL governs the U.S. employment of lethal force is in the Pacific Ocean and Caribbean Sea, where SOUTHCOM has killed </span><a href="https://airwars.org/conflict/u-s-military-in-latin-america-and-the-caribbean/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>more than 200 civilians</span></a><span> outside of armed conflict on suspicion that they are trafficking drugs.</span></p>
<p><span>The bills do not fully address the use of AI tools across the targeting cycle. They deal largely with autonomous weapons systems, which are weapons systems that detect and target without human intervention, as well as the role of human judgment, control, and oversight in targeting decisions (which does not reflect the full cycle). As discussed above, few proposals clearly define what level of control humans must have over AI systems. The bills also do not deal with the ways in which AI may introduce risk </span><i><span>before</span></i><span> the decision to engage a target. Target development is often a lengthy process, and while the bills generally agree that a human should make the final decision to use lethal force, AI contributions earlier in the cycle may not trigger objections. For example, a geospatial intelligence analyst using an AI tool to assist in the analysis of large quantities of satellite imagery that they later review and verify would seem to raise few risks relative to a human-only targeting cycle, even though the former may also inform targeting. However, there are many AI use cases that fall between these relatively unambiguous hypotheticals, including AI-assisted target development and nomination, pattern-of-life analyses, and strike recommendation procedures.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The legislation proposed so far does not deal with the consequences of the pace and scale of AI-enabled military operations. The civilian harm watchdog Airwars </span><a href="https://airwars.org/the-human-cost-of-the-40-day-iran-war/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>found</span></a><span> that the pace of U.S. and Israeli strikes in Iran &ndash; 17,000 targets over 40 days &ndash; is &ldquo;near unprecedented in modern conflict.&rdquo; It is not possible to definitively conclude that the use of AI enabled that operational tempo, but U.S. commanders have </span><a href="https://defensescoop.com/2026/06/08/combatant-commands-generating-war-plans-faster-and-sooner-with-ai/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>asserted</span></a> <a href="https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4526862/dow-unleashes-agent-network-to-transform-ai-enabled-battle-management-and-targe/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>that</span></a><span> AI tools allow them to act more quickly and decisively. Non-governmental organizations have </span><a href="https://www.hrw.org/news/2026/06/14/addressing-artificial-intelligence-in-the-military-domain" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>raised</span></a> <a href="https://www.amnestyusa.org/blog/joint-statement-on-artificial-intelligence-ai-in-warfare/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>concern</span></a><span> that the pace of AI-enabled operations may prevent armed actors from taking all feasible precautions to prevent harm to civilians, as international humanitarian law requires. Systems that exceed the pace of meaningful human oversight raise serious concerns for civilian protection. The U.S. military tends to balk at the prospect of restrictions on the pace or scale of operations, but legislators should nevertheless consider how to ensure that faster, more extensive campaigns can meaningfully incorporate safeguards.</span></p>
<p><span>Another issue that remains unaddressed, so far, is transfers of military AI technology. The U.S. government has taken measures to limit competitors from developing advanced AI by restricting exports of chips necessary to enable large-scale data processing needed to train large-language models. However, the regulatory framework governing transfers of military AI remains largely unclear. Using existing export control regulations, the U.S. government </span><a href="https://www.anthropic.com/news/fable-mythos-access" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>prohibited</span></a><span> foreign nationals from accessing Anthropic&rsquo;s Fable 5 and Mythos 5 systems in June 2026, resulting in Anthropic removing access to the models for all users, regardless of nationality. However, broader export control frameworks and risk-based transfer standards akin to those in the </span><a href="https://jgjpp.regent.edu/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/Herding-Cats-%E2%80%93-JGJPP-Volume-9-1.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Conventional Arms Transfer policies</span></a><span> do not seem to exist in a manner specific to AI. Spyware, which has </span><a href="https://www.sipri.org/sites/default/files/2025-09/0925_export_controls_and_spyware.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>been</span></a><span> a focus of international export control conversations following revelations about abuses of systems like NSO Group&rsquo;s Pegasus, may offer a model to follow. Without developing robust civilian protection and human rights restrictions, military applications of AI may rapidly proliferate and pose significant protection challenges akin to those </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/123474/drones-are-changing-how-wars-harm-civilians/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>posed</span></a><span> by armed drone technology.</span></p>
<p><span>Congress is beginning to develop a framework of safeguards for military AI. Across the proposed bills, several common themes emerge: preserving human judgment, ensuring operator competence, monitoring performance after deployment, and strengthening accountability. Between the Senate and House versions of the NDAA, it is highly likely that provisions addressing at least some of these themes are signed into law later this year. Yet important gaps remain, particularly concerning guardrails around AI-enabled targeting, operational tempo, transparency, and civilian harm assessments. As military AI continues to evolve, the challenge for policymakers will be ensuring that safeguards evolve alongside it and that civilian protection remains at the center of the effort.</span></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146544/civilian-protection-military-ai-congress/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Civilian Protection in the Age of Military AI: What Congress&rsquo;s New Legislative Proposals Reveal About Emerging Safeguards</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-13T12:50:16+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Sarah Wilbanks</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-13T12:50:16+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="ai &amp; emerging technology"/>

	<category term="armed conflict"/>

	<category term="artificial intelligence (ai)"/>

	<category term="artificial intelligence and emerging technologies initiative"/>

	<category term="big tech"/>

	<category term="civilian casualties (civcas)"/>

	<category term="civilian harm"/>

	<category term="congress"/>

	<category term="cyber"/>

	<category term="department of defense (dod)"/>

	<category term="featured articles"/>

	<category term="law of armed conflict (loac)"/>

	<category term="law of armed conflict/ihl"/>

	<category term="military"/>

	<category term="pentagon"/>

	<category term="regulation"/>

	<category term="senate"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-13:/293398</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146893/early-edition-july-13-2026/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=early-edition-july-13-2026" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Early Edition: July 13, 2026</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Signup to receive the Early Edition in your inbox&nbsp;here.
A curated guide to major news and developmen...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Signup to receive the Early Edition in your inbox&nbsp;<a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/newsletter-signup/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">here</a>.</p>
<p>A curated guide to major news and developments over the weekend. Here&rsquo;s today&rsquo;s news:</p>
<p><b><i>IRAN WAR</i></b></p>
<p><b>President Trump announced on Friday that the ceasefire between the United States and Iran was &ldquo;OVER,&rdquo; though diplomatic talks will continue. </b><span>He also warned that thousands of missiles would be launched if the Iranian government tried to assassinate him. Gregory Svirnovskiy, Connor O&rsquo;Brien, and Nahal Toosi report for </span><a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2026/07/10/donald-trump-iran-ceasefire-over-00993123" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>POLITICO</span></a><span>; Eric Schmitt reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/10/us/politics/iran-war-escalation.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Trump administration demanded that Iran publicly acknowledge that the Strait of Hormuz is open and pledge to stop firing on commercial ships, </b><span>three U.S. officials said on Friday, adding that they expected a statement by Saturday. One of the officials said there would be harsh consequences if Iran refused. &ldquo;If it is not their position [on Saturday], it is not gonna be a great day for them,&rdquo; the official said. Officials told the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/10/us/politics/strait-hormuz-safe-passage.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span> that Iranian negotiators said the drone attacks in the strait last week had been conducted by rogue military units that were trying to undermine the memorandum of understanding. Barak Ravid reports for </span><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/10/iran-strait-hormuz-attacks-mou-deal" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Axios</span></a><span>; David E. Sanger reports.</span></p>
<p><b>The U.S. military said on Saturday that it launched a new round of strikes against Iran after the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps attacked a Cyprus-flagged container ship transiting the Strait of Hormuz. </b><span>The IRGC also on Saturday declared that the strait was &ldquo;closed until further notice.&rdquo; U.S. Central Command said on social media that U.S. forces hit approximately 140 Iranian military targets on Saturday in its third round of retaliatory strikes in a week. Iran responded by launching drones and missiles at Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, and Jordan. </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-says-it-struck-140-iranian-military-targets-saturday-2026-07-12/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> reports; Barak Ravid reports for </span><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/11/iran-strikes-cargo-ship-in-strait-of-hormuz-defying-us-ultimatum" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Axios</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The U.S. and Iran exchanged further strikes overnight into this morning. </b><span>The U.S. military said yesterday that it had completed its latest wave of strikes against Iran. U.S. Central Command said its forces had struck &ldquo;dozens of targets,&rdquo; without specifying how many strikes were carried out. Tehran said it targeted U.S. military assets across the Gulf. Kuwait&rsquo;s army said its air defenses were intercepting hostile aerial targets this morning. Eric Schmitt, Aaron Boxerman, Erica L. Green, Sanam Mahoozi, and Hari Raj report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/07/12/us/iran-war-trump-hormuz" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>; </span><span>Christina Anagnostopoulos, Kylie MacLellan, Estelle Shirbon, and Isabella Lapadula</span><span> report for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/iran-war-live-sirens-bahrain-iran-escalates-after-more-us-strikes-2026-07-13/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>&ldquo;Everything that has happened over the past several weeks, especially in the past few days, is the direct responsibility of the United States, because they cheated from the very first day,&rdquo;</b><span> Esmail Baqaei, a spokesperson for Iran&rsquo;s foreign ministry, said today.</span><span> Baqaei claimed that the United States did not allow Iran to carry out the work needed to make the Strait of Hormuz safe for transit, and instead created other routes in the waterway that Tehran claims are unsafe. Khaled Wassef reports for </span><a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/live-updates/us-iran-war-trump-ceasefire-attacks-strait-of-hormuz/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>CBS News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>RUSSIA-UKRAINE WAR&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Russian attacks on Ukraine killed eight people, including a child, and wounded 29, </b><span>officials said on Saturday. Ukraine&rsquo;s General Staff said that Ukrainian strikes damaged 21 Russian tankers in the Sea of Azov. Russian officials said one person was killed in the Ukrainian drone strikes and that only four ships had come under attack. </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-missiles-drones-kyiv-578044d589f94cc985b699ffcf301297" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span> reports; </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/uk-targets-russian-cyber-networks-with-new-sanctions-2026-07-13/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Western allies are meeting Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Paris today to secure additional air-defence support for Ukraine.</b><span> A French official said the focus would be anti-ballistic-missile cooperation, ranging from sourcing more U.S. Patriot interceptors and advancing the deployment of the Franco-Italian SAMP-T air defence system to looking at how the European and Ukrainian defence industries can develop alternatives. John Irish reports for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/allies-muster-more-air-defence-aid-ukraine-battlefield-momentum-shifts-2026-07-13/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Germany is funding 50,000 attack drones for Ukraine, </b><span>a source said. Auterion CEO Lorenz Meier confirmed the size of the contract, adding that it was worth</span><span> &euro;</span><span>90 million and was funded by a European country. Meier told Reuters some of the drones had already been delivered to Ukraine&rsquo;s government, with the rest due for dispatch this year. Skyfall, a Ukrainian manufacturer, confirmed Germany&rsquo;s involvement. Cassell Bryan-Low reports for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/germany-funds-50000-strike-drones-ukraine-source-says-2026-07-12/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The United Kingdom announced today a new package of sanctions targeting Russian cyber networks, </b><span>which it blamed for trying to sow chaos and division across Europe. The &#8203;sanctions were announced &#8203;in coordination with the European Union. </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/uk-targets-russian-cyber-networks-with-new-sanctions-2026-07-13/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>A </b><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/12/world/asia/russia-spies-japan-war-drones-electronics.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>New York Times</b></a><b> investigation found that Russia has used Japan&rsquo;s relatively weak espionage laws and advanced technology sector to secretly acquire sanctioned components for its weapons, </b><span>with military intelligence officers operating under commercial cover to procure and ship dual-use technology despite international sanctions. Jane Bradley, Michael Schwitz, and Adam Goldman report.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>WEST BANK VIOLENCE&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>U.S. Rep. Ro Khanna (D-CA) said on Saturday that he was stopped by settlers and the Israeli military during a visit to an abandoned Palestinian village in the occupied West Bank and released only after calls to the U.S. Embassy in Jerusalem.</b><span> The Israel Defense Forces denied detaining any visitors in the incident and said it dispersed the settlers. </span><span>Khanna said that when Israeli soldiers arrived, he was dispirited to see them interact in a friendly manner with the settlers and block his exit from the village.</span><span> Nicholas Riccardi reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/khanna-israel-military-west-bank-settlers-detained-59c6233f5b8935a62fd87b90696e6821" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>OTHER GLOBAL DEVELOPMENTS</i></b><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Japan is creating its first centralized intelligence agency since World War II, </b><span>working with partners including Germany, the United States, and Australia to strengthen intelligence sharing, cybersecurity, and counterespionage in response to threats from Russia, China, and North Korea, according to the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/13/world/asia/japan-intelligence-agency.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>. The Japanese government declined to comment on whether it was seeking help from foreign officials as it establishes the agency. </span><span>Javier C. Hern&aacute;ndez reports.</span></p>
<p><b>The South African government said yesterday that more than 53,000 foreign nationals have been deported or repatriated since launching a &ldquo;migration management&rdquo; campaign five weeks ago. </b><span>Most were from Malawi, Zimbabwe, and Mozambique, officials said, and the number is likely to rise as repatriations and deportations continue. Richard Kagoe reports for </span><a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cvgj2prd4p8o" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>BBC News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>TECH DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Meta last week appealed the verdict of a social media addiction lawsuit in Los Angeles, </b><span>challenging the jury&rsquo;s determination that the company designed its platform to hook young users without concern for their well-being. Kaitlyn Huamani reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/meta-verdict-appeal-social-media-addiction-f2fc62210b02f1945bfd416f5554dd5c" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Apple on Friday accused OpenAI of stealing trade secrets as it seeks to build its own hardware for ChatGPT.</b> <span>Apple said in the lawsuit filed in a California federal court that OpenAI encouraged Apple employees it was recruiting to share confidential information</span><span>. Kaitlyn Huamani and Matt O&rsquo;Brien report for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/apple-openai-lawsuit-trade-secrets-theft-6fff8833f5889d86406b89a02dd8fb16" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. FOREIGN AFFAIRS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>The U.S. on Friday loosened export controls on the United Arab Emirates, making it easier to export Nvidia AI chips, military equipment, commercial satellites, and spacecraft.</b><span> The Commerce Department said the more favorable treatment for certain exports came as the &ldquo;UAE played a key role [in] advancing U.S. interests during Operation Epic Fury,&rdquo; referring to the U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran. Karen Freifeld reports for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-makes-it-easier-export-certain-military-items-ai-chips-commercial-satellites-2026-07-10/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Secretary of State Marco Rubio now effectively controls Venezuela&rsquo;s finances, the distribution of its natural resources, and its government, </b><span>according to interviews with more than a dozen officials and other sources. </span><span>While Rubio has not visited Venezuela in person since the capture of former President Nicol&aacute;s Maduro, he is deeply involved in the country&rsquo;s day-to-day operations, keeping in close contact with President Delcy Rodr&iacute;guez, sources said.</span><span> Tyler Pager and Anatoly Kurmanaev report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/11/us/politics/how-marco-rubio-runs-venezuela.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>A former Afghan general and politician, Abdul Zahir Qadeer, was extradited from Kenya to the United States on Friday to face charges of conspiring to traffic heroin, methamphetamine, and military-grade weapons</b><span>, following an investigation involving an undercover DEA operation. </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/afghanistan-general-drug-charges-extradition-90553b12d409b8bfe0560b53cb65f2c1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. IMMIGRATION DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Surveillance footage obtained by the </b><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/11/us/houston-ice-video-shooting-salgado-araujo.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>New York Times</b></a><b> shows ICE agents driving aggressively in unmarked vehicles during the pursuit of Lorenzo Salgado Araujo,</b><span> who was fatally shot by ICE officers last week. The footage does not confirm whether Araujo rammed into an ICE vehicle, as DHS officials have claimed. </span><span>Robin Stein, Devon Lum, Sam Lerma, Mimi Dwyer, Alexander Cardia, Aric Toler, Dmitriy Khavin, Charlie Smart, and Allison McCann</span><span> report.</span></p>
<p><b>The ICE officers involved in Araujo&rsquo;s death were not wearing body cameras,</b><span> the Department of Homeland Security has said. Rebecca Santana reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/cameras-body-worn-houston-shooting-ice-immigration-trump-aa316992c75fcd919726afc4db6f4098" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Department of Homeland Security on Friday told employers to let go of workers whose Temporary Protected Status work permits expire later this month, </b><span>including more than 330,000 Haitians, 6,100 Syrians, and around 20,000 people from Ethiopia, Myanmar, Somalia, South Sudan, and Yemen. Repeated changes by U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services to the permit expiration dates have caused widespread confusion for employers, with some employers having already terminated workers by the time they were notified of Friday&rsquo;s latest extension. Miriam Jordan and Madeleine Ngo report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/10/us/politics/tps-workers-dismissals.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. DOMESTIC DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>A group of states is preparing to file a lawsuit to block Paramount&rsquo;s proposed $111 billion acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery as soon as this week, </b><span>four sources said. A draft of the lawsuit argues that the merger could reduce competition in the entertainment industry. The deal has drawn scrutiny over ties between Paramount owner David Ellison, his father Larry Ellison, and Trump&rsquo;s administration, including a high-profile CBS News dinner held while the Justice Department was reviewing the merger. The DOJ said last month it would not challenge the transaction. David McCabe, Benjamin Mullin, and Lauren Hirsch report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/12/business/state-ag-lawsuit-paramount-warner-bros.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Justice Department launched a grand jury investigation into allegations that UAW President Shawn Fain pressured union officials to provide financial benefits to his fianc&eacute;e and her sister,</b><span> according to internal communications. The grand jury has subpoenaed the union&rsquo;s court-appointed monitor as it probes the claims against Fain. Fain denied the allegations and accused Vice President Rich Boyer of trying to influence the upcoming UAW elections. David Welch reports for </span><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-07-12/doj-investigating-allegations-against-uaw-president-shawn-fain?embedded-checkout=true" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Bloomberg</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b>A federal judge on Friday </b><a href="https://ecf.dcd.uscourts.gov/cgi-bin/show_public_doc?2021cr0175-1098" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>granted</b></a><b> a Justice Department motion to drop the Jan. 6 seditious conspiracy case against Proud Boys leaders, </b><span>concluding that he had no power to overrule prosecutors. </span><span>&ldquo;No one should mistake the Court&rsquo;s granting of the Government&rsquo;s motion for its agreement with those decisions,&rdquo; the judge added.</span><span> Kyle Cheney reports for </span><a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2026/07/10/at-trump-dojs-demand-judge-reluctantly-drops-jan-6-case-against-proud-boys-00993884" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>POLITICO</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) died on Saturday evening.</b> <span>According to recordings of dispatcher calls obtained by the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/12/us/politics/lindsey-graham-dead.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>, emergency workers responded late Saturday to a call about a person experiencing chest pains at Graham&rsquo;s Capitol Hill address.</span><span> Robert Jimison, Zachary Wolfe, and Amelia Nierenberg report.</span></p>
<p><b><i>TRUMP ADMINISTRATION ACTIONS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>The White House on Friday directed FBI Director Kash Patel to oversee a leak investigation into reporting by the </b><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/11/us/politics/white-house-patel-investigation-times.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>New York Times</b></a><b> about security issues with the new Air Force One, </b><span>according to sources. One source said Patel had his own concerns about the type of information publicly disclosed about the plane. Another said Patel went to the White House of his own volition to oversee the investigation. By the end of Friday, reporters were served with subpoenas demanding that they provide evidence before a grand jury on July 15. </span><span>In some cases, the subpoenas were delivered by federal agents who showed up at reporters&rsquo; homes.</span><span> Devlin Barrett, Glenn Thrush, and Maggie Haberman report; Michael M. Grynbaum reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/11/business/media/new-york-times-trump-subpoenas.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b>The Defense Department announced on Friday that it has paid nearly $3 million in compensation to victims of the so-called Havana Syndrome. </b><span>The payments are the first to be made to U.S. agency staff in relation to the illness. Dearbail Jordan reports for </span><a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cr7xyl78vnko" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>BBC News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>TRUMP ADMINISTRATION LITIGATION&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>The New York Times is countersuing the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission, claiming the agency&rsquo;s discrimination lawsuit against it is politically motivated and violates its constitutional rights.</b><span> Olson reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/new-york-times-eeoc-countersuit-490dd435823853e6feae35457ad81b28" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
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<p><strong>ICYMI: Last Week on<em>&nbsp;Just Security</em></strong></p>
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<p><span>By</span>&nbsp;<span>Ehlimana Memi&scaron;evi&#263;</span></p>
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<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146893/early-edition-july-13-2026/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Early Edition: July 13, 2026</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-13T12:14:55+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Elisabeth Jennings</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-13T12:14:55+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="daily news roundup"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-11:/293208</id>
	<link href="https://blogdroitadministratif.net/2026/07/11/jouer-aux-echecs-avec-ladministration-ou-le-regime-de-la-preuve-devant-le-juge-administratif/" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Jouer aux échecs avec l’administration ou le régime de la preuve devant le juge administratif</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Un proc&egrave;s administratif, c&rsquo;est souvent jouer aux &eacute;checs contre un adversaire qui d&eacute;tient les pi&egrave;ces...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Un proc&egrave;s administratif, c&rsquo;est souvent jouer aux &eacute;checs contre un adversaire qui d&eacute;tient les pi&egrave;ces, les r&egrave;gles du jeu et pourquoi pas l&rsquo;&eacute;chiquier.</p>



<p>Si la formule a quelque chose d&rsquo;excessif, elle n&rsquo;en demeure pas moins juste. On le sait, le proc&egrave;s administratif pr&eacute;sente une profonde dissym&eacute;trie&nbsp;: le requ&eacute;rant &agrave; qui incombe la charge de la preuve (<em>actori incumbit probatio</em>) doit la rapporter au moyen d&rsquo;&eacute;l&eacute;ments que, le plus souvent, il ne poss&egrave;de pas.</p>



<p>Les pi&egrave;ces permettant d&rsquo;&eacute;tablir le bien-fond&eacute; de sa demande &mdash; les rapports, les diff&eacute;rentes autorisations administratives, les donn&eacute;es techniques d&rsquo;un dossier &mdash; dorment dans les services de la partie adverse. Le d&eacute;s&eacute;quilibre n&rsquo;est pas accidentel : il est structurel.</p>



<p>L&agrave; o&ugrave; l&rsquo;administration de la preuve dans le proc&egrave;s civil repose essentiellement sur la diligence des parties (et bien &eacute;videmment du demandeur) dont le juge devient au final l&rsquo;arbitre, le proc&egrave;s administratif assume l&rsquo;in&eacute;galit&eacute; de d&eacute;part. C&rsquo;est la raison pour laquelle est confi&eacute; au juge le soin de la compenser. Si le caract&egrave;re inquisitorial de l&rsquo;instruction est le propre du contentieux administratif c&rsquo;est parce qu&rsquo;il s&rsquo;agit de l&rsquo;instrument par lequel le requ&eacute;rant est suppos&eacute; retrouver une chance de gagner une partie qui, sur le papier, &eacute;tait perdue d&rsquo;avance</p>



<p>Encore faut-il savoir s&rsquo;en servir &mdash; et conna&icirc;tre les limites de ce r&eacute;&eacute;quilibrage.</p>



<p>Cet article, &agrave; la mani&egrave;re d&rsquo;un conte moderne commence par une histoire vraie (I.) dont la confidentialit&eacute; oblige de taire le nom des parties en cause mais qui conduit &agrave; rappeler les r&egrave;gles du jeu en mati&egrave;re de charge de la preuve (II.) et le lent r&eacute;&eacute;quilibrage auquel il a &eacute;t&eacute; proc&eacute;d&eacute; qui demeure, &agrave; notre sens, encore incomplet aujourd&rsquo;hui pour des raisons tenant parfois plus &agrave; la psychologie qu&rsquo;au droit (III.).</p>



<h2>I. Il &eacute;tait une fois, une administration de mauvaise foi</h2>



<p>Il &eacute;tait une fois un terrain qui disposait d&rsquo;un raccordement &agrave; un r&eacute;seau public. Son raccordement &eacute;tait particuli&egrave;rement ancien de l&rsquo;ordre d&rsquo;une cinquantaine d&rsquo;ann&eacute;es, et plusieurs propri&eacute;taires successifs avaient rachet&eacute; le bien en cause.</p>



<p>Ce r&eacute;seau fonctionnait parfaitement jusqu&rsquo;&agrave; ce que l&rsquo;administration en charge alors de la gestion du r&eacute;seau d&eacute;cide de remplacer l&rsquo;ancien r&eacute;seau par un nouveau r&eacute;seau.</p>



<p>Sauf qu&rsquo;au moment de r&eacute;aliser ces travaux, l&rsquo;administration oublie de raccorder le propri&eacute;taire au r&eacute;seau nouvellement cr&eacute;&eacute;&hellip;. Les installations situ&eacute;es sur ce terrain n&rsquo;&eacute;tant plus exploit&eacute;es &agrave; la date o&ugrave; les travaux de d&eacute;voiement du r&eacute;seau ont &eacute;t&eacute; r&eacute;alis&eacute;s, personne ne s&rsquo;est rendu compte que le raccordement avait &eacute;t&eacute; interrompu.</p>



<p>Jusqu&rsquo;&agrave; ce qu&rsquo;un nouveau propri&eacute;taire fasse l&rsquo;acquisition des installations en cause et s&rsquo;aper&ccedil;oive tr&egrave;s rapidement du probl&egrave;me.</p>



<p>Avertie de la situation, l&rsquo;administration en charge se contente de soutenir que le terrain n&rsquo;avait jamais &eacute;t&eacute; raccord&eacute; au r&eacute;seau ni davantage autoris&eacute;. Commence alors une premi&egrave;re bataille judiciaire devant le juge administratif destin&eacute;e &agrave; fixer les droits du propri&eacute;taire de ce terrain dont le branchement a &eacute;t&eacute; interrompu. Dans ce premier contentieux l&rsquo;administration soutient qu&rsquo;il n&rsquo;existe aucune mention du terrain dans les archives et que, par voie de cons&eacute;quence, le branchement n&rsquo;avait jamais &eacute;t&eacute; autoris&eacute;. Le requ&eacute;rant finit par &eacute;tablir que les archives relatives &agrave; cette &eacute;poque avaient &eacute;t&eacute; en r&eacute;alit&eacute; d&eacute;truites de sorte que l&rsquo;administration n&rsquo;&eacute;tait pas en mesure d&rsquo;affirmer quoi que ce soit, faute de preuve.</p>



<p>Malgr&eacute; les demandes de communication des bordereaux d&rsquo;archives auxquelles il n&rsquo;a &eacute;t&eacute; pas &eacute;t&eacute; fait droit, le juge administratif a consid&eacute;r&eacute; sur la foi des d&eacute;clarations de l&rsquo;administration en d&eacute;fense que le requ&eacute;rant &eacute;chouait, faute de preuves suffisantes, &agrave; d&eacute;montrer tout raccordement r&eacute;gulier et, partant, ne disposait d&rsquo;aucun droit &agrave; raccordement pour ce terrain.</p>



<p>Le temps passant, l&rsquo;administration g&eacute;rant initialement le service comp&eacute;tent vient &agrave; &ecirc;tre dissoute et ses archives dispers&eacute;es entre plusieurs &eacute;tablissements publics. Le requ&eacute;rant, n&rsquo;ayant pas perdu son opini&acirc;tret&eacute; d&eacute;cide de formuler une simple demande de consultation des archives sur place aupr&egrave;s du nouvel &eacute;tablissement public &agrave; qui la garde des archives avait &eacute;t&eacute; confi&eacute;e.</p>



<p>&Agrave; l&rsquo;occasion de ce d&eacute;placement, le requ&eacute;rant finit par retrouver l&rsquo;int&eacute;gralit&eacute; du dossier d&rsquo;origine autorisant le raccordement incluant l&rsquo;autorisation de raccordement et le paiement des taxes correspondantes.</p>



<p>Au final, l&rsquo;administration avait parfaitement connaissance des documents et s&rsquo;&eacute;tait bien gard&eacute;e de les produire devant le juge administratif en d&eacute;pit des demandes r&eacute;p&eacute;t&eacute;es du requ&eacute;rant de mesures d&rsquo;instruction &agrave; cet effet.</p>



<p>Si ce dossier pr&eacute;sente certes une configuration particuli&egrave;rement extr&ecirc;me, il n&rsquo;en illustre pas moins une &eacute;vidence trop souvent oubli&eacute;e : devant le juge administratif, la difficult&eacute; n&rsquo;est pas tant de d&eacute;montrer ce que l&rsquo;on avance que d&rsquo;obtenir ce que l&rsquo;administration s&rsquo;est gard&eacute;e d&rsquo;&eacute;crire &mdash; ou de produire.</p>



<h2>II. Le rappel des r&egrave;gles du jeu et leur asym&eacute;trie</h2>



<p>Tous les praticiens du contentieux administratif le savent, la premi&egrave;re singularit&eacute; du droit de la preuve en contentieux administratif est qu&rsquo;il ne repose sur aucun texte g&eacute;n&eacute;ral d&eacute;terminant la charge de la preuve.</p>



<p>Les r&egrave;gles applicables sont, pour l&rsquo;essentiel, d&rsquo;origine jurisprudentielle.</p>



<p>Le Conseil d&rsquo;&Eacute;tat le rappelle dans une formule synth&eacute;tique que c&rsquo;est &laquo; <em>en vertu des r&egrave;gles gouvernant l&rsquo;attribution de la charge de la preuve devant le juge administratif, applicables sauf loi contraire</em> &raquo; que se r&eacute;sout la question (CE, 20 octobre 2016, n&deg; 390639).</p>



<p>La r&eacute;serve &mdash; &laquo; sauf loi contraire &raquo; &mdash; n&rsquo;est pas anodine : certaines mati&egrave;res, au premier rang desquelles le contentieux fiscal, connaissent des r&egrave;gles l&eacute;gales de d&eacute;volution qui d&eacute;rogent au droit commun pr&eacute;torien. Mais le socle, lui, demeure construit par le juge.</p>



<p>Le point de d&eacute;part ne surprendra pas le civiliste. Selon la m&ecirc;me d&eacute;cision, &laquo; <em>s&rsquo;il incombe, en principe, &agrave; chaque partie d&rsquo;&eacute;tablir les faits n&eacute;cessaires au succ&egrave;s de sa pr&eacute;tention</em> &raquo; (CE, 20 octobre 2016, n&deg; 390639, pr&eacute;c.), chacun supporte la charge de ce qu&rsquo;il avance. Transpos&eacute;e du c&eacute;l&egrave;bre <em>actori incumbit probatio</em>, la r&egrave;gle para&icirc;t r&eacute;partir &eacute;quitablement le fardeau. Elle ne le fait pas. Car ce principe s&rsquo;applique &agrave; un contentieux o&ugrave; les faits d&eacute;cisifs sont concentr&eacute;s dans les mains d&rsquo;une seule partie. Affirmer que le requ&eacute;rant doit prouver ce qu&rsquo;il soutient revient souvent &agrave; lui demander de produire ce qu&rsquo;il ne d&eacute;tient pas. C&rsquo;est pr&eacute;cis&eacute;ment le point o&ugrave; la r&egrave;gle, appliqu&eacute;e m&eacute;caniquement, deviendrait un pi&egrave;ge.</p>



<p>Le m&ecirc;me consid&eacute;rant referme aussit&ocirc;t la trappe. &Agrave; la suite imm&eacute;diate du principe, le Conseil d&rsquo;&Eacute;tat pr&eacute;cise que &laquo; <em>les &eacute;l&eacute;ments de preuve qu&rsquo;une partie est seule en mesure de d&eacute;tenir ne sauraient &ecirc;tre r&eacute;clam&eacute;s qu&rsquo;&agrave; celle-ci</em> &raquo; (CE, 20 octobre 2016, n&deg; 390639, pr&eacute;c.). La charge bascule vers celui qui d&eacute;tient effectivement l&rsquo;&eacute;l&eacute;ment.</p>



<p>L&rsquo;application est &eacute;clairante. Dans cette affaire, une cour administrative d&rsquo;appel avait reproch&eacute; &agrave; un contribuable de ne pas &eacute;tablir que son nom figurait sur un fichier d&eacute;tenu par l&rsquo;administration &mdash; fichier que celle-ci n&rsquo;avait jamais contest&eacute; poss&eacute;der. En faisant ainsi peser sur le requ&eacute;rant la preuve d&rsquo;un document qu&rsquo;il n&rsquo;avait pas entre les mains, la cour avait, selon le Conseil d&rsquo;&Eacute;tat, &laquo; <em>m&eacute;connu les r&egrave;gles de d&eacute;volution de la charge de la preuve</em> &raquo; (CE, 20 octobre 2016, n&deg; 390639, pr&eacute;c.). On ne r&eacute;clame pas &agrave; une partie la preuve d&rsquo;un fait que seul son adversaire peut &eacute;tablir. Le Conseil d&rsquo;Etat a encore eu l&rsquo;occasion de le rappeler s&rsquo;agissant de la preuve d&rsquo;une notification qui incombe &agrave; la personne dont elle &eacute;mane (CE, 18 mars 2026, n&deg; 501850&nbsp;; solution constante&nbsp;: CE, Sect., 14 f&eacute;vrier 1968, <em>Bosquier, </em>Rec. CE, p. 44).</p>



<p>Cette d&eacute;volution n&rsquo;aurait aucune port&eacute;e si elle ne s&rsquo;inscrivait dans une instruction organis&eacute;e autour de l&rsquo;&eacute;change des pi&egrave;ces. L&rsquo;article L. 5 du code de justice administrative pose le principe : &laquo; <em>L&rsquo;instruction des affaires est contradictoire</em>. &raquo; Les modalit&eacute;s en sont fix&eacute;es par l&rsquo;article R.&nbsp;611-1 du m&ecirc;me code, qui pr&eacute;voit que la requ&ecirc;te, les m&eacute;moires et les pi&egrave;ces produites sont d&eacute;pos&eacute;s au greffe et communiqu&eacute;s aux parties.</p>



<p>C&rsquo;est sur ce terrain que se joue la partie probatoire : non pas dans la production spontan&eacute;e et loyale de tous les &eacute;l&eacute;ments par chacun &mdash; illusion civiliste &mdash;, mais dans la capacit&eacute; du requ&eacute;rant &agrave; provoquer, par le d&eacute;bat contradictoire, la mise au jour de pi&egrave;ces que l&rsquo;administration ne verserait pas d&rsquo;elle-m&ecirc;me. Encore le contradictoire ne suffit-il pas : si l&rsquo;administration choisit le silence, il faut un m&eacute;canisme pour l&rsquo;y contraindre.</p>



<p>Certes, le code de justice administrative pr&eacute;voit-il en son article R. 612-6 que le silence du d&eacute;fendeur vaut acquiescement aux faits. Toutefois, l&rsquo;acquiescement aux faits trouve une premi&egrave;re limite puisque si le juge administratif peut, si l&rsquo;affaire est en &eacute;tat d&rsquo;&ecirc;tre jug&eacute;e, statuer sans adresser de mise en demeure &agrave; l&rsquo;administration, c&rsquo;est &agrave; la condition qu&rsquo;il ne se fonde pas sur l&rsquo;acquiescement aux faits (CE, Ass., 8 f&eacute;vrier 1987, <em>T&ecirc;te</em>, Rec. CE, p. 144).</p>



<p>En outre, l&rsquo;acquiescement aux faits ne permet pas de passer outre cette fois non pas le silence de l&rsquo;administration mais de tirer les cons&eacute;quences de son &eacute;ventuelle mauvaise foi.</p>



<p>C&rsquo;est l&rsquo;objet de la partie qui suit.</p>



<h2>III. Le r&eacute;&eacute;quilibrage par le juge &mdash; et ses limites</h2>



<p>Le juge administratif n&rsquo;est pas l&rsquo;arbitre passif d&rsquo;un duel entre parties. Il dirige l&rsquo;instruction et dispose, &agrave; cette fin, de pouvoirs propres qu&rsquo;il exerce y compris d&rsquo;office et qui ne sont pas d&eacute;finis ou limit&eacute;s par le code de justice administrative (v. ainsi la formulation de l&rsquo;article R.  626-1 du code de justice administrative qui permet de commettre un membre de la juridiction par la formation de jugement afin de proc&eacute;der &agrave; &laquo;&nbsp;<em>toutes mesures d&rsquo;instructions autres que celles pr&eacute;vues aux chapitres Ier &agrave; IV du pr&eacute;sent titre</em>&nbsp;&raquo;).</p>



<p>Le juge ne se borne pas &agrave; appr&eacute;cier les preuves qu&rsquo;on lui apporte : il peut en susciter et parfois il en a m&ecirc;me le devoir.</p>



<p>Tel est le cas en mati&egrave;re disciplinaire o&ugrave; la charge de la preuve est tout simplement invers&eacute;e puisque la charge de la preuve incombe &agrave; l&rsquo;administration qui a inflig&eacute; la sanction&nbsp;: l&rsquo;exactitude des faits retenus &agrave; l&rsquo;encontre de l&rsquo;int&eacute;ress&eacute; doit se trouver &eacute;tablie dans les pi&egrave;ces du dossier soumis au juge (CE, 25 janvier 1950, <em>Ouli&eacute;</em>, Rec. CE, p. 54) ou ressortir de l&rsquo;instruction (CE, 2 mars 1951, <em>Mesure</em>, Rec. CE, p. 128).</p>



<p>Dans le contentieux g&eacute;n&eacute;ral o&ugrave; n&rsquo;existe pas une telle inversion, l&rsquo;office du juge mati&egrave;re d&rsquo;administration de la preuve remonte &agrave; une solution toute aussi v&eacute;n&eacute;rable qu&rsquo;actuelle, la jurisprudence <em>Couespel du Mesnil </em>(CE, Sect., 1<sup>er</sup> mai 1936, Rec. CE, p. 485&nbsp;; CE, 6 novembre 1936, Rec. CE, p. 965) aux termes de laquelle il appartient au juge &laquo;&nbsp;<em>d&rsquo;exiger de l&rsquo;administration comp&eacute;tente la production de tout document susceptible d&rsquo;&eacute;tablir sa conviction et de permettre la v&eacute;rification des all&eacute;gations du requ&eacute;rant</em>&nbsp;&raquo;.</p>



<p>Cet &eacute;difice fut compl&eacute;t&eacute; par le bien connu grand arr&ecirc;t <em>Barel</em> (CE, Ass., 28 mai 1954, n&deg; 28238, Rec. CE, p. 308 GAJA n&deg;63) par lequel le Conseil d&rsquo;&Eacute;tat affirme le &laquo;<em> pouvoir [&hellip;] d&rsquo;exiger de l&rsquo;administration comp&eacute;tente la production de tous documents susceptibles d&rsquo;&eacute;tablir la conviction du juge et de permettre la v&eacute;rification des all&eacute;gations des requ&eacute;rants</em> &raquo; et tire les cons&eacute;quences du refus du produire en sanctionnant l&rsquo;administration.</p>



<p>Le juge tire du silence la preuve que le requ&eacute;rant ne pouvait pas rapporter.</p>



<p>C&rsquo;est ici que se d&eacute;noue la m&eacute;taphore initiale. Le requ&eacute;rant joue contre un adversaire qui tient les pi&egrave;ces, mais le juge dispose du pouvoir de les faire mettre sur la table, et de tenir pour acquis ce que l&rsquo;administration refuse de montrer. L&rsquo;in&eacute;galit&eacute; des armes n&rsquo;est pas ni&eacute;e : elle est neutralis&eacute;e par l&rsquo;office du juge qui va pouvoir, si les faits sur laquelle repose l&rsquo;argumentation du requ&eacute;rant ne sont contredits ni par l&rsquo;administration ni par aucune des pi&egrave;ces dossiers les consid&eacute;rer comme &eacute;tablis (CE, 23 octobre 1957, <em>Chailloux</em>, Rec. CE, p. 548&nbsp;; CE, 9 janvier 1970, <em>Cohn-Bendit</em>, Rec. CE, p. 15&nbsp;; CE, 18 janvier 1974, <em>dame Soipteur</em>, Rec. CE, T., p. 1197).</p>



<p>Encore faut-il, pour le juge, activer ce pouvoir.</p>



<p>Or, le recours &agrave; une mesure d&rsquo;instruction &agrave; l&rsquo;instar d&rsquo;une demande de production de pi&egrave;ces &agrave; l&rsquo;administration est consid&eacute;r&eacute; comme relevant d&rsquo;un pouvoir propre du juge (CE, 23 mars 1923, <em>Desmoulins</em>, Rec. CE, p. 272), le Conseil d&rsquo;Etat consid&eacute;rant qu&rsquo;il n&rsquo;incombe pas au juge de motiver l&rsquo;usage de ses pouvoirs d&rsquo;instruction (CE, 29 juin 2011, <em>Mme Rouzaud</em>, n&deg; 335072) et que le refus d&rsquo;effectuer une mesure d&rsquo;instruction ne saurait &ecirc;tre utilement discut&eacute; en cassation (CE, 14 janvier 1994, <em>Mme Lartigau</em>, n&deg; 125232).</p>



<p>Le Conseil d&rsquo;Etat a &eacute;t&eacute; par la suite plus exigeant en consid&eacute;rant qu&rsquo;il incombait au juge de solliciter de l&rsquo;administration qu&rsquo;elle produise les pi&egrave;ces utiles &agrave; la solution du litige (CE, 12 novembre 2007, <em>SARL express bois de chauffe,</em> n&deg; 280199), ce d&rsquo;autant plus lorsque la production en cause est essentielle pour son r&egrave;glement (CE, 5 f&eacute;vrier 2018, <em>Soci&eacute;t&eacute; Roxim Management</em>, n&deg; 403029).</p>



<p>Aujourd&rsquo;hui, lorsque l&rsquo;administration n&rsquo;est pas en mesure de d&eacute;mentir s&eacute;rieusement les all&eacute;gations &eacute;tay&eacute;es du demandeur le juge doit faire usage de ses pouvoirs d&rsquo;instruction (CE, 26 novembre 2012, <em>Mme Cordi&egrave;re</em>, n&deg; 354108).</p>



<p>Dans cet &eacute;difice toujours en construction, deux nuances sont &agrave; formuler.</p>



<p>La premi&egrave;re est d&rsquo;ordre psychologique. Dans son cours de contentieux administratif, le pr&eacute;sident Odent indiquait que &laquo;&nbsp;<em>le juge ne doit &eacute;videmment pas &ecirc;tre plus exigeant &agrave; l&rsquo;&eacute;gard d&rsquo;une partie qu&rsquo;&agrave; l&rsquo;&eacute;gard de l&rsquo;autre partie&nbsp;: le d&eacute;fendeur peut faire &eacute;chec aux pr&eacute;tentions du demandeur en fournissant la preuve contraire ou en se bornant &agrave; des d&eacute;n&eacute;gations circonstanci&eacute;es&nbsp;&raquo; </em>(R. Odent, Contentieux administratif, R&eacute;ed. Dalloz 2004, t. 1, p. 718).</p>



<p>Dans la r&eacute;alit&eacute; de la pratique du contentieux administratif, force est de constater que l&rsquo;administration jouit d&rsquo;une mani&egrave;re g&eacute;n&eacute;rale d&rsquo;une forme de pr&eacute;somption de bonne foi. Ainsi, qu&rsquo;on le d&eacute;plore ou pas, le juge, probablement &agrave; cause de son passage oblig&eacute; en administration active, consid&eacute;rera plus facilement comme &eacute;tablis les faits tels qu&rsquo;ils ressortent des &eacute;critures de l&rsquo;administration plut&ocirc;t que de la pr&eacute;sentation qui en sera faite par le requ&eacute;rant.</p>



<p>Est-ce &agrave; dire pour autant que les requ&eacute;rants sont forc&eacute;ment tous de bonne foi&nbsp;et avan&ccedil;ant des all&eacute;gations s&eacute;rieusement &eacute;tay&eacute;es ? Sans doute que non.</p>



<p>Pour autant, il appara&icirc;t plus difficile pour le juge &ndash; et l&rsquo;ex&eacute;g&egrave;se de la jurisprudence administrative sur le sujet en t&eacute;moigne &ndash; d&rsquo;admettre la mauvaise foi de l&rsquo;administration que celle du requ&eacute;rant.</p>



<p>Pour sortir de ce prisme, il nous semble important, d&rsquo;une part, que les demandes de communication effectu&eacute;es dans le cadre des proc&eacute;dures puissent &ecirc;tre examin&eacute;es avec plus de mansu&eacute;tude (ce qui n&rsquo;est pas le cas aujourd&rsquo;hui), d&rsquo;autre part, que le refus d&rsquo;une mesure d&rsquo;instruction puisse faire r&eacute;ellement l&rsquo;objet d&rsquo;un contr&ocirc;le juridictionnel (aujourd&rsquo;hui largement insuffisant). Comme l&rsquo;indique un &eacute;minent auteur du contentieux administratif &laquo;&nbsp;<em>Si le juge administratif s&rsquo;av&egrave;re soucieux de sa propre image dans la conduite de l&rsquo;instruction, sans doute serait-il opportun qu&rsquo;il justifie son refus de mettre en &oelig;uvre une mesure d&rsquo;instruction demand&eacute;e par le justiciable. La transparence reste un moyen pertinent de contrecarre la critique de l&rsquo;arbitraire&nbsp;&raquo;</em> (A. Ciaudo, <em>Droit du contentieux administratif</em>, Dalloz 2023, n&deg;453, p. 520).</p>



<p>La seconde limite pourrait r&eacute;sider dans la formule suivante : la loyaut&eacute; ne neutralise pas la preuve et la preuve ne neutralise pas la loyaut&eacute;.</p>



<p>On pourrait tout d&rsquo;abord croire qu&rsquo;un &eacute;l&eacute;ment de preuve obtenu dans des conditions irr&eacute;guli&egrave;res devrait, par sym&eacute;trie, &ecirc;tre &eacute;cart&eacute; des d&eacute;bats. Le juge administratif ne raisonne pas ainsi.</p>



<p>Dans un litige fiscal, le Conseil d&rsquo;&Eacute;tat juge que &laquo; <em>la seule circonstance que [&hellip;] l&rsquo;administration aurait dispos&eacute; d&rsquo;informations relatives &agrave; ce contribuable issues de documents obtenus de mani&egrave;re frauduleuse par un tiers est, par elle-m&ecirc;me, sans incidence sur la r&eacute;gularit&eacute; de la proc&eacute;dure</em> &raquo; (CE, 20 octobre 2016, n&deg; 390639, pr&eacute;c). L&rsquo;origine frauduleuse de l&rsquo;information, imputable &agrave; un tiers, ne suffit pas &agrave; vicier l&rsquo;usage qu&rsquo;en fait l&rsquo;administration. Tel ne sera pas le cas lorsque l&rsquo;administration fiscale va se pr&eacute;valoir, pour &eacute;tablir l&rsquo;imposition, de pi&egrave;ces ou documents obtenus par une autorit&eacute; administrative ou judiciaire dans des conditions d&eacute;clar&eacute;es ult&eacute;rieurement ill&eacute;gales par le juge (CE, 15 avril 2015, n&deg; 373269).</p>



<p>La le&ccedil;on est importante pour la compr&eacute;hension d&rsquo;ensemble du r&eacute;gime. La loyaut&eacute; de la preuve ne fonctionne pas, devant le juge administratif, comme une cause d&rsquo;exclusion automatique. Le contr&ocirc;le se d&eacute;place : il porte moins sur la puret&eacute; de l&rsquo;origine de l&rsquo;&eacute;l&eacute;ment que sur la r&eacute;gularit&eacute; de la proc&eacute;dure dans laquelle il est mobilis&eacute; et sur le respect du contradictoire. Le juge pr&eacute;f&egrave;re soumettre la pi&egrave;ce au d&eacute;bat plut&ocirc;t que de la bannir.</p>



<p>Ensuite, la cons&eacute;cration d&rsquo;un principe de loyaut&eacute; proc&eacute;durale permettrait de &laquo;&nbsp;<em>sanctionner le comportement d&eacute;loyal de l&rsquo;administration lorsqu&rsquo;elle attend sciemment le dernier moment pour produire un m&eacute;moire en d&eacute;fense&nbsp;&raquo;</em> (A. Ciaudo, op.cit., n&deg; 447, p. 516). Sur le terrain de la preuve, l&rsquo;application d&rsquo;un tel principe permettrait de sanctionner de mani&egrave;re plus simple tant le refus que l&rsquo;impossibilit&eacute; pour l&rsquo;administration de r&eacute;futer l&rsquo;argumentation en demande.</p>



<p>S&rsquo;il n&rsquo;aura pas &eacute;chapp&eacute; &agrave; l&rsquo;auteur de ces lignes que des solutions jurisprudentielles existent (et qu&rsquo;elles ont m&ecirc;me &eacute;t&eacute; expos&eacute;es <em>supra</em>), il n&rsquo;en demeure pas moins qu&rsquo;elles sont rarement mises en &oelig;uvre au quotidien.</p>



<p>Le r&eacute;gime de la preuve en contentieux administratif n&rsquo;est pas un appendice technique de la proc&eacute;dure : c&rsquo;est le lieu o&ugrave; se joue, concr&egrave;tement, l&rsquo;&eacute;galit&eacute; des armes entre l&rsquo;administr&eacute; et la puissance publique. Le point de d&eacute;part est d&eacute;favorable au requ&eacute;rant &mdash; la partie adverse tient les pi&egrave;ces. Mais le caract&egrave;re inquisitorial de l&rsquo;instruction doit pouvoir rebattre le jeu : le juge peut (et devrait plus syst&eacute;matiquement) exiger la production des &eacute;l&eacute;ments, tirer les cons&eacute;quences du silence, et refuser de faire peser sur une partie la preuve de ce qu&rsquo;elle ne d&eacute;tient pas.</p>



<p>Ce r&eacute;&eacute;quilibrage a ses bornes &mdash; la loyaut&eacute; de la preuve n&rsquo;op&egrave;re pas comme un couperet &mdash; et il a ses conditions : il ne profite qu&rsquo;au plaideur (d&ucirc;ment accompagn&eacute;, cela va sans dire&hellip;) qui sait pr&eacute;senter des all&eacute;gations assez pr&eacute;cises pour justifier le d&eacute;clenchement d&rsquo;une mesure d&rsquo;instruction.</p>



<p>Aux &eacute;checs, celui qui ne tient pas les pi&egrave;ces peut encore gagner &mdash; &agrave; condition de savoir y jouer.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-11T07:55:43+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Benjamin HUGLO</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>http://blogdroitadministratif.net</id>
		<link rel="self" href="http://blogdroitadministratif.net"/>
		<updated>2026-07-11T07:55:43+00:00</updated>
		<title>Le blog Droit administratif</title></source>

	<category term="contentieux administratif"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-10:/293162</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146250/srebrenica-genocide-islamophobic-narratives/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=srebrenica-genocide-islamophobic-narratives" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Revived Islamophobic Narratives Pose Renewed Danger as Bosnia Commemorates the Srebrenica Genocide</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>The Srebrenica&ndash;Poto&#269;ari Memorial Center in Bosnia and Herzegovina will commemorate the 31st annivers...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>The Srebrenica&ndash;Poto&#269;ari Memorial Center in Bosnia and Herzegovina will commemorate the 31st anniversary of the Srebrenica Genocide on July 11. This year, the remains of 10 victims of the genocide, aged between 20 and 56 at the time of their deaths, will be <a href="https://detektor.ba/2026/07/02/u-srebrenici-ce-biti-ukopano-deset-zrtava-genocida/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">laid to rest</a> during the annual collective funeral. According to the joint Bosnian government and international <a href="https://icmp.int/the-missing/where-are-the-missing/bosnia-and-herzegovina/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Missing Persons Institute of Bosnia and Herzegovina</a>, the victims were innocent civilians killed in the areas of Vlasenica, Zvornik, Bratunac, and Srebrenica. Their remains were recovered years later from various mass graves. &ldquo;Once again, a father will be laid to rest beside his son, a brother beside his brother, a relative beside a relative,&rdquo; the Institute&rsquo;s spokesperson <a href="https://detektor.ba/2026/07/02/u-srebrenici-ce-biti-ukopano-deset-zrtava-genocida/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">said</a>, underscoring both the scale of the genocide and the enduring suffering of families who continue to bury their loved ones more than three decades after the crime.</p>
<p>At the same time, high-ranking officials in Serbia and Republika Srpska, together with politicians, journalists, and segments of the public, continue to <a href="https://www.haaretz.com/world-news/2020-07-09/ty-article-opinion/.premium/justifying-genocide-global-far-right-embraces-deadly-serb-demonization-of-muslims/0000017f-e4e0-d75c-a7ff-fced56c20000" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">deny</a> that the genocide was committed, and even celebrate crimes. They have called it a &ldquo;<a href="https://apnews.com/general-news-ba3e3d6495c545bab2592b8e197be030" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">fabricated myth</a>,&rdquo; questioned the <a href="https://srna.rs/novost/1341524/gravestones-for-those-who-have-not-been-found-with-the-aim-of-falsifying-history" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">reported number of victims</a>, and accused survivors of making &ldquo;<a href="https://www.srna.rs/en/novost/1215231/how-many-names-of-living-people-are-engraved-on-gravestones-in-poto%C4%8Dari-and-cips-has-no-record-of-them" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">tombstones in Poto&#269;ari for living people</a>,&rdquo; referring to the location of the Srebrenica Genocide memorial-cemetery.</p>
<p>To some, such rhetoric may appear to be little more than attempts to evade responsibility or examples of populist historical revisionism. For survivors of the Bosnian Genocide such as me, however, they represent a renewed process of dehumanization and targeting.</p>
<h2><strong>No `Safe Area&rsquo;</strong></h2>
<p>The Srebrenica Genocide is widely recognized as the <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/law/2010/jun/10/hague-bosnian-serb-srebrenica-genocide1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">worst atrocity committed in Europe since World War II</a>. In July 1995, after Bosnian Serb forces under the command of Ratko Mladi&#263; <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/politics/1995/07/12/bosnian-serbs-seize-safe-area/a1e38168-e47f-42a2-bc0f-d8cb8f428984/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">overran</a> the United Nations-designated &ldquo;safe area&rdquo; of Srebrenica, more than 8,000 Bosniak (Bosnian Muslim) men and boys were systematically separated from women and children, and executed over the course of several days.</p>
<p>Their bodies were dumped into <a href="https://balkaninsight.com/2023/01/16/watery-grave-the-bosnian-lake-that-still-hides-victims-of-war/btj/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">mass graves</a>, often using bulldozers, in an organized effort to dispose of the victims and <a href="https://balkaninsight.com/2023/02/15/how-bosnias-rocky-terrain-aided-wartime-massacre-cover-ups/btj/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">conceal the crime</a>. In the following months, Bosnian Serb forces systematically <a href="https://balkaninsight.com/2019/07/09/srebrenica-cover-up-the-search-for-secret-graves-continues/btj/btj-bosnia-and-herzegovina/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">excavated</a> many of the primary mass graves with heavy machinery and transported the remains by truck to numerous secondary and tertiary mass graves, often located dozens of kilometers away.</p>
<p>Victims of the Srebrenica <a href="https://www.irmct.org/specials/srebrenica/timeline/en" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Genocide</a> have been recovered from <a href="https://detektor.ba/2025/07/06/skoro-stotinu-masovnih-grobnica-srebrenice-i-dalje-neobiljezeno-i-nepristupacno-30-godina-nakon-genocida/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">87 mass graves</a> and nearly 1,000 secondary, tertiary, and individual graves. In many cases, the remains of a single victim have been <a href="https://icmp.int/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/ICMP-and-the-Srebrenica-Genocide-ENG.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">recovered</a> from three or four different mass graves, often located dozens of kilometers apart. Families often wait for years before consenting to burial, hoping that future excavations will recover additional remains and allow their loved ones to be laid to rest with more complete skeletal remains.</p>
<p>One particularly devastating example is Senad Beganovi&#263;, who was only 14 years old when he was murdered during the Srebrenica Genocide. His partial remains were first exhumed in 2000 from the primary mass grave at Glogova, near Bratunac, while additional remains were later recovered from the secondary mass graves at Zeleni Jadar (in 1998 and 2007) and Budak (in 2005). He was formally identified by his brother in 2013 and laid to rest at the Srebrenica&ndash;Poto&#269;ari Memorial Center in 2014, where he was buried beside his father. At the time of the burial, however, only about half of Senad&rsquo;s skeletal remains had been recovered. As his brother later <a href="https://www.klix.ba/vijesti/bih/najmladja-zrtva-djecak-senad-11-jula-ce-pronaci-svoj-smiraj-u-mezaru-pored-oca-rame/140708159" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">explained</a>, the family nevertheless decided to bury him, unwilling to wait any longer in the hope that additional remains might one day be found.</p>
<p>Like thousands of other Bosniak boys in 1995, Senad had joined what has become known as the <a href="https://www.dailymail.com/home/moslive/article-2021705/Death-March-The-Bosnians-walked-70-horrific-miles-escape-genocide.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Death March</a> (&ldquo;Put Smrti&rdquo; in Bosnian) &mdash; the desperate attempt by about <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2015/07/09/sunday-review/12SREBRENICA.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">15,000</a> Bosniak men and boys, and a small number of women and children, to reach Bosnian government-controlled territory around Tuzla by crossing forests and mountains after the fall of Srebrenica in July 1995. Senad fled together with his father, but neither survived the journey.</p>
<p>Those who did survive the Death March often spent days, weeks, and in some cases even months hiding in the wilderness to evade capture. Along the way, they <a href="https://balkaninsight.com/2019/07/08/escape-from-srebrenica-three-brothers-deadly-journey/btj/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">encountered</a> the bodies of hundreds of murdered Bosniaks &mdash; fathers, brothers, sons, relatives, friends, and neighbors. Many survivors later <a href="https://detektor.ba/2022/07/06/maloljetnici-na-putu-smrti-visok-za-potocare-nejak-za-sumu/?fbclid=IwAR1EOixkmCQu5aIdrOcvfebCyyR5JLMa_ASHmReVEvEwT2i-yginckj_Qc0" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">recalled</a> that one of the most painful moments came after reaching safety in Tuzla, when they had to tell waiting families that their loved ones would never return.</p>
<h2><strong>Fight for Truth and Memory </strong></h2>
<p>While many survivors, <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2023/4/5/in-bosnia-the-past-is-disappearing-and-the-future-is-bleak" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">including my own family</a>, continue to search for the remains of their loved ones, the struggle for truth and justice continues. More than 7,500 persons <a href="https://balkaninsight.com/2023/02/15/how-bosnias-rocky-terrain-aided-wartime-massacre-cover-ups/btj/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">remain missing</a> from the 1992&ndash;1995 war in Bosnia and Herzegovina, including around 1,000 victims of the Srebrenica Genocide.</p>
<p>And yet, outspoken proponents of genocide denial have flourished. The most prominent has been Bosnian Serb leader <a href="https://srebrenicamemorial.org/assets/photos/editor/_MCS_izvjestaj_2023_ENG%20-%20Copy%201.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Milorad Dodik</a>, one of the most influential political figures in Bosnia for more than two decades, serving at different times as prime minister and president of Republika Srpska (the majority Bosnian Serb entity created by the 1995 Dayton Peace Agreement that ended the war), as well as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Throughout his tenure in these offices<strong>,</strong> he has consistently denied, trivialized, or distorted the Srebrenica Genocide while simultaneously glorifying convicted war criminals and portraying Bosniaks as a threat to the Serbian people and to Europe.</p>
<p>An important effort to <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jul/24/genocide-denial-outlawed-bosnia-srebrenica-office-high-representative" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">confront</a> genocide denial and the glorification of war criminals came on July 23, 2021, when the Office of the High Representative (OHR) &mdash; the international institution responsible for overseeing the civilian implementation of the Dayton Agreement &mdash; <a href="https://www.ohr.int/hrs-decision-on-enacting-the-law-on-amendment-to-the-criminal-code-of-bosnia-and-herzegovina/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">amended</a> the Criminal Code of Bosnia and Herzegovina to criminalize the public approval, denial, gross trivialization, or justification of genocide, crimes against humanity, and war crimes.</p>
<p>Rather than curbing denial, however, the amendments <a href="https://www.rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/commentary/why-bosnia-brink-again" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">triggered</a> the most severe political and constitutional <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/109994/bosnia-dodik-defiance-arrest-warrant/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">crisis</a> in Bosnia since the end of the war, fueling a sustained campaign of institutional obstruction and renewed efforts by Dodik for the <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/bosnian-serb-leader-dodiks-journey-western-darling-pro-russian-separatist-2025-03-27/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">de facto</a> secession of Republika Srpska. Dodik, then the Serb member of Bosnia&rsquo;s tripartite presidency, <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2021/8/13/why-bosnias-ban-on-genocide-denial-was-a-necessity" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">rejected</a> the new legislation, declaring that it would &ldquo;never be accepted&rdquo; in Republika Srpska. He doubled down on his denial of the Srebrenica Genocide by <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-58001974" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">launching a petition</a> asserting that position. He described the law as &ldquo;<a href="https://n1info.ba/english/news/dodik-names-inzkos-decision-on-genocide-denial-the-last-nail-in-bihs-coffin/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">the final nail in the coffin of Bosnia and Herzegovina</a>&rdquo; and <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2021/8/13/why-bosnias-ban-on-genocide-denial-was-a-necessity" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">asserted</a> that Republika Srpska had &ldquo;no choice but to launch the process of dissolution.&rdquo;</p>
<p>Over the following years, Dodik and the National Assembly of Republika Srpska, dominated by his Alliance of Independent Social Democrats political party, undertook a series of legislative and political measures aimed at the de facto secession of Republika Srpska (also known as the RS) from Bosnia and Herzegovina. The confrontation escalated further in June 2023, when the RS National Assembly adopted legislation declaring that decisions of the High Representative would no longer be <a href="https://www.rferl.org/a/borsnia-srpska-high-representative-schmidt-decisions-/32469653.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">published</a> or implemented in the entity. Six days later, the Assembly effectively <a href="https://europeanwesternbalkans.com/2023/06/28/republika-srpska-has-adopted-a-law-that-bans-the-implementation-of-decisions-made-by-the-constitutional-court-of-bih/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">rejected the authority</a> of the country&rsquo;s Constitutional Court.</p>
<p>These measures directly challenged the constitutional order established by the Dayton Peace Agreement. As a consequence, Milorad Dodik was prosecuted before the Court of Bosnia and Herzegovina, which in February 2025 <a href="https://balkaninsight.com/2025/02/26/bosnian-serb-leader-dodik-convicted-of-defying-international-official/bi/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">found</a> him guilty of <a href="https://balkaninsight.com/2025/02/26/bosnian-serb-leader-dodik-convicted-of-defying-international-official/bi/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">defying</a> the rulings of the High Representative and sentenced him to one year of imprisonment, together with a six-year ban on holding the office of President of Republika Srpska.</p>
<p>During this persistent denial and trivialization of the Srebrenica Genocide, Dodik employed racist Islamophobic slurs against Bosniaks, <a href="https://balkans.aljazeera.net/news/balkan/2021/8/4/dodik-bosnjaci-su-konvertiti-i-podanicki-narod-a-ne-drzavotvorni" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">calling</a> them &ldquo;converts&rdquo; &ldquo;without the capacity and character,&rdquo; part of a &ldquo;subject nation&rdquo; not capable of &ldquo;nation building.&rdquo;</p>
<p>This rhetoric intensified significantly after Dodik&rsquo;s removal from office following a final judgment. During the campaign for a <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/bosnia-sets-early-election-serb-region-crisis-deepens-2025-08-28/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">snap presidential election</a> in Republika Srpska, called by the Central Election Commission for that November to fill his seat, even as he <a href="https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20250823-bosnia-s-serb-statelet-calls-referendum-on-verdict-against-leader" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">initially refused to step down</a>, he increasingly <a href="https://balkaninsight.com/2026/02/10/bosnian-serb-leader-accused-of-racist-rhetoric-in-election-victory-speech/bi/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">used</a> anti-Bosniak, Islamophobic, and dehumanizing language that he had <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/136681/bosnia-serb-secession-islamophobia/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">employed so often</a> in years prior and that, for many Bosniaks, closely <a href="https://www.degruyterbrill.com/document/doi/10.7312/qure12666-011/html?srsltid=AfmBOooY075AHwVzcgEvPQkjLAWPmZ-FJQrrBcbOgYq_mCTtOM7kTP6z" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">echoed</a> the narratives of hatred and incitement that preceded the atrocities of the 1990s.</p>
<h2><strong>Revival of the Islamic Threat Narrative </strong></h2>
<p>Throughout the campaign, Dodik repeatedly portrayed Bosnia and Herzegovina as an unviable state and warned against what he <a href="https://www.turkiyetoday.com/region/bosnia-election-body-probes-dodik-over-anti-muslim-remarks-at-campaign-rally-3209811" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">described</a> as the further &ldquo;Islamization&rdquo; of the country. Referring to Bosniaks purchasing apartments in majority-Serb East Sarajevo, he <a href="https://detektor.ba/2025/12/15/dodik-se-izvinio-bosnjacima-za-uvrede-tokom-kampanje-a-onda-ih-nastavio/?lang=en" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">called</a> them &ldquo;amoebas that multiply and spread uncontrollably.&rdquo;</p>
<p>By reviving dehumanizing and biologically essentialist depictions of Bosniaks, Dodik reproduced one of the central ideological tropes that had been used to legitimize exclusion, persecution, and ultimately genocide during the 1992&ndash;1995 war. In 1993, Biljana Plav&scaron;i&#263;, then serving as party vice president to wartime Bosnian Serb leader Radovan Karadzic, <a href="https://balkaninsight.com/2025/05/13/dehumanisation-as-strategy-bosnian-serb-leader-dodiks-rhetorical-warfare/bi/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">claimed</a> that Bosnian Muslims were &ldquo;originally Serbs&rdquo; but had become &ldquo;<a href="https://www.degruyterbrill.com/document/doi/10.1515/9781782381655-009/html?srsltid=AfmBOoqcyY7fBreGKflZ3o4bhJSGsk_LGCey34sJ8LuMeEJnmiPXaOTr" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">genetically deformed</a>&rdquo; through their conversion to Islam and that they are &ldquo;<a href="https://www.rferl.org/a/1086147.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">a genetic defect on the Serbian body</a>.&rdquo;</p>
<p>Though some of the Serbian nationalist leaders spewing such bile, including Karadzic, were later convicted by the International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia (ICTY) for genocide, crimes against humanity, and war crimes against Bosniaks, Dodik would later pick up and amplify their rhetoric. In April 2025, he<a href="https://sarajevotimes.com/dodik-sparks-outrage-with-sectarian-remark-urging-bosniaks-to-return-to-orthodox-faith/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"> declared</a> that &ldquo;Muslims should return to their old Orthodox faith,&rdquo; arguing that Bosniaks were originally Serbs who had converted to Islam under Ottoman coercion: &ldquo;Let the Bosniaks return to the Orthodox faith, and Bosnia and Herzegovina will become majority Serb. Then we can build a state together.&rdquo;</p>
<p>Throughout this period, Dodik consistently portrayed the serious legal and constitutional crisis he had&nbsp;<a href="https://www.jpost.com/opinion/article-852747" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">created</a> as <a href="https://www.politika.rs/sr/clanak/668831/dodik-srpsku-je-napao-muslimanski-nacionalizam-predvoden-partijama-iz-sarajevaDodik%20je%20u%20podkastu%20ameri%C4%8Dke%20novinarke%20Lare%20Logan%20istakao%20da%20gotovo%20nema%20dana,%20meseca%20ili%20godine%20bez%20pritiska%20od%20strane%20zapadnih%20zemalja%20i%20ameri%C4%8Dkih%20administracija,%20koji%20su,%20kako%20je%20naveo,%20motivisani%20%C5%BEeljom%20da%20se%20muslimanima%20omogu%C4%87i%20dominacija%20u%20Bosni%20i%20Hercegovini%20%22na%20%C5%A1tetu%20hri%C5%A1%C4%87ana%22.%20%22Muslimani%20u%20BiH%20ovde%20%C5%BEele%20da%20vide%20pripadnike%20svoje%20vere%20iz%20drugih%20zemanja%20koji%20u%20ovom%20trenutku%20tranzitiraju%20ka%20Evropi,%20ali%20Evropa%20%C5%BEeli%20da%20ih%20vrati%20ovde%20putem%20raznih%20programa%22,%20rekao%20je%20Dodik." rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">persecution</a> of Christians by Muslims. He <a href="https://dallasexpress.com/national/sovereignty-under-siege-lara-logan-with-bosnias-milorad-dodik/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">claimed</a> that Western governments sought to enable Muslims to dominate Bosnia and Herzegovina &ldquo;at the expense of Christians&rdquo; and <a href="https://www.jpost.com/international/article-806165#google_vignette" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">revived</a> wartime narratives depicting the country as a breeding ground for Islamic extremism and Bosniaks as an inherent <a href="https://www.degruyterbrill.com/document/doi/10.7312/qure12666-011/html?srsltid=AfmBOood9mLSokuJh-ttnMjbiqeneTq_zVU1MpzuZnEnObyVajFTHj6O" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">security threat to Europe and the West</a>. These claims are not supported by the <a href="https://www.jpost.com/opinion/article-806783" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">historical record</a>. Rather, they reproduce false narratives used during the 1992&ndash;1995 war to legitimize the persecution, ethnic cleansing, and ultimately the genocide of Bosniaks.</p>
<p>For instance, Radovan Karad&#382;i&#263; repeatedly <a href="https://www.degruyterbrill.com/document/doi/10.7312/qure12666-011/html?srsltid=AfmBOood9mLSokuJh-ttnMjbiqeneTq_zVU1MpzuZnEnObyVajFTHj6O" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">claimed</a> that &ldquo;the Muslims&rdquo; sought to transform Bosnia into &ldquo;a springboard for Islamic penetration into Europe.&rdquo; In a 1994 interview with the <em>Washington Times</em>, he claimed that the war had been &ldquo;imposed on the Serbs,&rdquo; who allegedly faced a choice between being &ldquo;submerged by the Muslims with their high birth-rate&rdquo; and seeing &ldquo;Serb Christian civilization collapse in the face of an ever-encroaching militant Islam,&rdquo; or &ldquo;fighting back.&rdquo; He similarly declared that &ldquo;the West will be grateful to us one day because we decided to defend Christian values and culture.&rdquo;</p>
<p>These narratives now have been incorporated into official documents issued by the authorities of Republika Srpska. In May 2026, Republika Srpska submitted to the United Nations Security Council what they <a href="https://vladars.rs/eng/Documents/35th%20RS's%20Report%20to%20the%20UNSC.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">portrayed as a report</a> on the situation in Bosnia and Herzegovina. Like previous submissions made in parallel with the reports of High Representative Christian Schmidt, the document challenges the legitimacy of the Office of the High Representative and reproduces narratives portraying Bosniaks as proponents of Islamic domination while depicting Republika Srpska as the last bulwark defending Christianity and Europe from an alleged Islamist threat. It &ldquo;<a href="https://vladars.rs/eng/Documents/35th%20RS's%20Report%20to%20the%20UNSC.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">warns</a>&rdquo; that &ldquo;the prospect of total Bosniak domination of BiH causes the Serbs and Croats great fear and anxiety &mdash; and indeed it should concern much of Europe, because there are significant pockets of radical Islam in the Bosniak community.&rdquo;</p>
<p>Particularly concerning is Dodik&rsquo;s promotion of these narratives on the <a href="https://www.jpost.com/international/article-806165#google_vignette" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">international stage</a>, including in the United States, seeking to <a href="https://dallasexpress.com/national/sovereignty-under-siege-lara-logan-with-bosnias-milorad-dodik/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">reverse the roles of victim and perpetrator</a>. He has claimed that &ldquo;thousands of Serbs were murdered in Srebrenica,&rdquo; while dismissing the well-established and documented death toll of more than 8,000 murdered Bosniak men and boys as &ldquo;a stereotype that no one has proven.&rdquo;</p>
<h2><strong>The Dangers of Reality Reversal</strong></h2>
<p>These denialist and celebratory narratives are not only deeply humiliating for survivors and the families of victims; they are also profoundly dangerous because they invert the historical record and portray the perpetrators as victims. The reality is precisely the opposite. Much of what is today the Republika Srpska entity consists of territories that were ethnically cleansed of their non-Serb, predominantly Bosniak Muslim population through systematic campaigns of persecution, mass killings, deportations, rape, and destruction, as in the case of Srebrenica and my hometown of Vi&scaron;egrad.</p>
<p>Before the war, Vi&scaron;egrad was an ethnically diverse town in eastern Bosnia and Herzegovina, where Bosniaks constituted approximately 63.5 percent of the population and Serbs about 33 percent. By the 2013 <a href="http://www.statistika.ba/?show=12&amp;id=20087" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">census</a>, the municipality&rsquo;s population had declined from 21,199 to 10,668. By then, Bosniaks accounted for only 9.8 percent of the population, while Serbs comprised 87.5 percent, illustrating the enduring demographic consequences of the campaign of ethnic cleansing carried out during the 1992&ndash;1995 war.</p>
<p>Vi&scaron;egrad was the site of some of the most brutal atrocities, including <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2005/aug/11/warcrimes.features11" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">murder</a>, <a href="https://press.umich.edu/Books/T/Torture-Humiliate-Kill" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">torture</a>, <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/av/world-europe-35992642" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">mass rape</a> and the <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2020/10/17/visegrads-rape-camps-denial-and-erasure" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">burning to death</a>&nbsp;of more than 120 civilians, mostly women and children, in June 1992. Of more than 13,000 Bosniaks who lived there before 1992, approximately 3,000 were killed, while nearly all the rest were expelled in what has become known as a campaign of ethnic cleansing. Many victims were executed on the town&rsquo;s iconic Mehmed Pa&scaron;a Sokolovi&#263; Bridge, the 16th-century Ottoman bridge immortalized in Ivo Andri&#263;&rsquo;s book &ldquo;<a href="https://www.google.ba/books/edition/The_Bridge_on_the_Drina/-sH5YiM7eKMC?hl=bs" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">The Bridge on the Drina</a>.&rdquo; Survivors recalled seeing bodies &mdash; some lifeless, others still barely alive &mdash; floating down the turquoise waters of the Drina River, <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2005/aug/11/warcrimes.features11" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">turning it</a> red with blood during the summer of 1992.</p>
<p>In July 2009, the ICTY <a href="https://www.icty.org/en/case/milan_lukic_sredoje_lukic" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">convicted</a> Milan Luki&#263; and his cousin, Sredoje Luki&#263;, of crimes against humanity and violations of the laws or customs of war committed in Vi&scaron;egrad, including the atrocities at Pionirska Street and Bikavac. The court sentenced Milan Luki&#263;, the leader of the <em>White Eagles</em> (also known as the <em>Avengers</em>), a Bosnian Serb paramilitary group operating in Vi&scaron;egrad that worked in coordination with local police and military units to carry out a campaign of terror against the Bosniak civilian population during the 1992&ndash;1995 war, to life imprisonment. In the case of Sredoje Luki&#263;, a police officer before and during the war and a member of his cousin&rsquo;s paramilitary group, the court found that he substantially contributed to the Pionirska Street house burning. He ultimately was sentenced to 27 years. Delivering the judgment, Presiding Judge Patrick Robinson observed, &ldquo;In the all too long, sad and wretched history of man&rsquo;s inhumanity to man, the Pionirska Street and Bikavac fires must rank high,&rdquo; emphasizing the exceptional brutality, premeditation, and cruelty of trapping defenseless civilians inside burning houses and leaving them to die in unimaginable agony.</p>
<p>Although Milan and Sredoje Luki&#263; were not charged directly with sexual violence, the judgment nevertheless <a href="https://ucr.irmct.org/LegalRef/CMSDocStore/Public/English/Judgement/NotIndexable/IT-98-32%231/JUD206R0000271893.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">documents</a> rape and sexual violence as integral components of the broader campaign of persecution, ethnic cleansing, and terror carried out against the Bosniak civilian population in Vi&scaron;egrad.</p>
<p>In a manner strikingly similar to the narratives later advanced by Dodik and other officials of Republika Srpska today, Milan Luki&#263; sought to reverse the roles of victim and perpetrator. While serving his life sentence, he published a <a href="https://search.worldcat.org/it/title/Confession-of-the-prisoner-of-the-Hague/oclc/820774736" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">book</a> in Serbia entitled &ldquo;Confession of the Prisoner of The Hague.&rdquo; In it, he portrayed the crimes he and members of his White Eagles unit in Vi&scaron;egrad committed &mdash; including murder, rape, and torture &mdash; as &ldquo;Muslim terror&rdquo; allegedly perpetrated against Serbs in another town, Gora&#382;de.</p>
<p>Despite the overwhelming body of evidence &mdash; judgments of the ICTY and the Court of Bosnia and Herzegovina, survivor and witness testimonies, admissions by members of Serbian paramilitary units, and the continued discovery of mass graves &mdash; the majority of Vi&scaron;egrad&rsquo;s Serb residents and local authorities continue to deny that murder, torture, and systematic rape were committed there.</p>
<p>As journalist Emma Graham-Harrison <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/jan/28/bosnia-hotel-rape-murder-war-crimes" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">observed</a> in <em>The Guardian</em> in 2018, they are &ldquo;bent on not only forgetting the campaign of death that transformed their town from one with a Muslim majority to one heavily dominated by ethnic Serbs, but erasing any trace that any of it ever happened.&rdquo;</p>
<p>After blocking repeated attempts by survivors to commemorate the victims and mark the sites of atrocities, the local authorities instead erected a <a href="https://balkaninsight.com/2017/04/12/bosnian-serbs-unveil-monument-to-russian-war-volunteers-04-12-2017/btj/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">monument</a> dedicated to Russian volunteers who fought on the side of Bosnian Serb forces during the war. They also continue to commemorate the &ldquo;Day of Russian Volunteers&rdquo; <a href="https://detektor.ba/2026/04/21/dan-ruskih-dobrovoljaca-u-visegradu-bez-prisustva-dobrovoljaca/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">each year on April 12</a>, marking the deaths of three Russian fighters killed near Vi&scaron;egrad in 1993.</p>
<h2><strong>Rhetoric Laying Groundwork for Even Worse?</strong></h2>
<p>For these reasons, and because genocide denial is widely <a href="https://www.genocidewatch.com/bs/tenstages" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">recognized</a> as one of the strongest indicators of the risk of renewed mass violence, confronting such narratives remains essential. Survivors like me know from lived experience how dangerous such rhetoric can be, because we remember where it led the last time it became widespread: persecution, ethnic cleansing, and ultimately genocide. These narratives, therefore, cannot be dismissed as mere political rhetoric. They revive the very ideas that once prepared the ground for mass atrocities.</p>
<p>As American <a href="https://religion.emory.edu/people/bios/lipstadt-deborah-e..html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">historian Deborah Lipstadt</a> observed in her <a href="https://shop.ushmm.org/products/denying-the-holocaust-the-growing-assault-on-truth-and-memory" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">seminal book on Holocaust denial</a>, one of the most damaging effects of such denial is that it &ldquo;plants seeds of doubt.&rdquo; Allowing falsehoods to go unchallenged gradually erodes the historical record and weakens society&rsquo;s ability to recognize and prevent future atrocities. Challenging denial is therefore not only a matter of historical accuracy but also a matter of moral responsibility.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146250/srebrenica-genocide-islamophobic-narratives/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Revived Islamophobic Narratives Pose Renewed Danger as Bosnia Commemorates the Srebrenica Genocide</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-10T13:05:08+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Ehlimana Memišević</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-10T13:05:08+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="accountability"/>

	<category term="anti-muslim discrimination"/>

	<category term="armed conflict"/>

	<category term="atrocities"/>

	<category term="bosnia-herzegovina"/>

	<category term="civilian harm"/>

	<category term="crimes against humanity"/>

	<category term="dayton peace agreement"/>

	<category term="democracy &amp; rule of law"/>

	<category term="democratic backsliding &amp; solutions"/>

	<category term="europe"/>

	<category term="european union"/>

	<category term="genocide"/>

	<category term="human rights"/>

	<category term="international and foreign"/>

	<category term="international criminal law"/>

	<category term="international justice"/>

	<category term="international law"/>

	<category term="islamophobia"/>

	<category term="local voices"/>

	<category term="nationalism"/>

	<category term="peace agreements"/>

	<category term="peacekeeping"/>

	<category term="persecution"/>

	<category term="rule of law"/>

	<category term="russia"/>

	<category term="srebrenica"/>

	<category term="treaties"/>

	<category term="united nations (un)"/>

	<category term="western balkans"/>

	<category term="yugoslavia"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-10:/293163</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/145132/lost-history-slaugther-cook-scotus/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=lost-history-slaugther-cook-scotus" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">“Lost to History”: Uses and Abuses of the Past in Slaughter and Cook</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>&#8203;&#8203;&#8203;&#8203;&#8203;&#8203;Last week, in&nbsp;&#8203;Trump v. Slaughter&#8203;, the Supreme Court gave the President sweeping new power to...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p><span>&#8203;</span><span aria-label="Rich text content control paragraph"><span>&#8203;</span><span aria-label="Rich text content control"><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>Last week, in&nbsp;</span><span>&#8203;</span><a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-332_qn12.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Trump v. Slaughter</span></i></a><span>&#8203;</span><span>, the Supreme Court gave the President sweeping new power to fire the officials who run federal agencies. By a vote of 6-3, the Court overruled </span><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span><i><span>Humphrey&rsquo;s</span></i><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>&nbsp;</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span><i><span>Executor v. United States</span></i><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span><span> (1935) and held that the President may remove the commissioners of the Federal Trade Commission at will, despite a statute permitting their removal only for &ldquo;inefficiency, neglect of duty, or malfeasance in office.&rdquo; In a companion case, </span><span>&#8203;</span><a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25a312_5468.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Trump v. Cook</span></i></a><span>&#8203;</span><span>, a 5-4 majority carved out a single exception, leaving in place a protection that shields the Governors of the Federal Reserve. Chief Justice John Roberts wrote for the majority in both, despite the </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/145707/slaughter-categorical-rule-cook-exception/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>obvious tension</span></a><span>&nbsp;between the two holdings.</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span></span><span>&#8203;</span></span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>&#8203;</span><span aria-label="Rich text content control paragraph"><span>&#8203;</span><span aria-label="Rich text content control"><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>&ldquo;For reasons that are now lost to history,&rdquo; Roberts&nbsp;</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span><a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-332_qn12.pdf#page=21" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>writes</span></a><span>&#8203;</span><span>&nbsp;in&nbsp;</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span><i><span>Slaughter</span></i><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>, President Woodrow Wilson fired an Oregon-based postm</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>aster, violating an 1876 statute that required Senate approval for such removals. The matter eventually resulted in the landmark Supreme Court case </span><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span><i><span>Myers v. United States</span></i><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span><span> (1926), the decision that the Court now treats as the source of a broad presidential power to fire the officials who run federal agencies. </span><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span></span><span>&#8203;</span></span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>&#8203;</span><span aria-label="Rich text content control paragraph"><span>&#8203;</span><span aria-label="Rich text content control"><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>&ldquo;Lost to history&rdquo; is a curious phrase. It seems to signal a gap in the evidence, but in fact, the evidence regarding Myers&rsquo; removal is abundant. The trouble, instead, is that the evidence points in different directions, one of which is that the decision to remove Myers without Senate consent was not in fact made by Wilson, who had recently suffered a debilitating stroke, but instead by his unelected, unappointed wife</span><span>&mdash;hardly the picture of a chief executive with what Roberts calls in&nbsp;</span><i><span>Slaughter</span></i><span> the &ldquo;&lsquo;vigor and activity&rsquo; necessary to preserve the Constitution&rsquo;s separation of powers.&rdquo; In the case of Myers&rsquo; removal, in other words, the problem is not a lack of evidence. Instead, the phrase &ldquo;lost to history&rdquo; signals a deeper problem: </span><span>the Roberts Court&rsquo;s worrisome tendency to bury historical disagreement and evade inconvenient answers. Confronted with a historical record that does not support its theory, the Court presents clear-cut answers where the sources supply none and disregards or ignores evidence that cuts the other way. The result is</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span><span> a folk history whose myths point in only one interpretive direction.</span></span></span></p>
<h2><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span><span role="group" aria-label="Rich text content control paragraph"><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span><span role="group" aria-label="Rich text content control"><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN"><span>The Court&rsquo;s Case</span></span><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span></span><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span></span><span>&nbsp;</span></h2>
<p><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span><span role="group" aria-label="Rich text content control paragraph"><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span><span role="group" aria-label="Rich text content control"><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span><span lang="EN-US" xml:lang="EN-US"><span>In&nbsp;</span></span><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span><span lang="EN-US" xml:lang="EN-US"><span>Slaughter</span></span><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span><span lang="EN-US" xml:lang="EN-US"><span>, Roberts builds the case for an unbounded Presidential removal power&nbsp;</span><span>from</span><span> two clauses of Article II and an account of what </span><span>early American legal and political actors</span><span>&nbsp;did and&nbsp;</span><span>said</span><span>. But the&nbsp;</span><span>key logical assumptions that undergird the Court&rsquo;s analysis come not from history, but from the Court itself. Consider the following passage</span><span>:</span><span>&nbsp;</span></span><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span></span><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span></span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<blockquote><p>The Constitution vests &ldquo;[t]he executive Power&rdquo; in a &ldquo;President of the United States of America&rdquo; and instructs that he &ldquo;take Care that the Laws be faithfully executed.&rdquo; Art. II, &sect;&sect;1, 3. To vest &ldquo;the whole executive power&rdquo; in just one person was not to suggest that he could execute the laws alone and unaided. The Federalist No. 47, at 303 (J. Madison). But it was to establish a hierarchy&mdash;a &ldquo;Chief Magistrate&rdquo; with whom the buck stops, and below him various &ldquo;assistants or deputies&rdquo; who &ldquo;derive their offices from his appointment&rdquo; and remain &ldquo;subject to his superintendence.&rdquo; Id., No. 72, at 436 (A. Hamilton). To remain accountable to the President, those officers must be removable by the President.</p></blockquote>
<p><span>To support its theory of presidential power and political accountability, the paragraph relies on text, history,&nbsp;and&nbsp;the&nbsp;structure&nbsp;of&nbsp;</span><span>the Constitution&rsquo;s&nbsp;Vesting and&nbsp;Take&nbsp;Care clauses&nbsp;as well as&nbsp;quotes from two key Founders, James&nbsp;Madison&nbsp;and Alexander Hamilton. All evidence points in the same direction: presidential removal is an essential element of the Constitution&rsquo;s design</span><span>.&nbsp;</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>But a closer look at the load-bearing elements of this passage &mdash;&ldquo;hierarchy,&rdquo; &ldquo;with whom the buck stops,&rdquo; the equation of &ldquo;superintendence&rdquo; with firing &mdash; reveals they are all Roberts constructions. The first two phrases do not appear in the cited sources, the Constitution and </span><i><span>The</span></i><span>&nbsp;</span><i><span>Federalist Papers&nbsp;</span></i><span>(itself a tendentious, if venerated, source of legal meaning), and the third is taken out of context. </span><span aria-label="Rich text content control"><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span></span><span>Alexander Hamilton </span><a href="https://journals.law.harvard.edu/jlpp/wp-content/uploads/sites/90/2010/01/bailey.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>did not</span></a><span>, in fact, endorse an unfettered presidential removal authority, and while many Founding Era actors did argue that a solitary executive would be easier to hold accountable than a plural executive (a five-man Board, or a President tied to a Council of Advisors without whose approval he could not act at all), no one tied this argument to the President&rsquo;s power to fire whomever he wanted.</span></p>
<h2><strong><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span><span role="group" aria-label="Rich text content control paragraph"><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span><span role="group" aria-label="Rich text content control"><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN"><span>The&nbsp;</span><span>So-Calle</span><span>d&nbsp;</span><span>Decision of 1789</span></span><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span></span><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span></span><span>&nbsp;</span></strong></h2>
<p><span>&#8203;</span><span aria-label="Rich text content control paragraph"><span>&#8203;</span><span aria-label="Rich text content control"><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>The Court treats the so-called &ldquo;Decision of 1789&rdquo;&mdash;a several-day debate over the removability of the Secretary of Foreign Affairs&mdash;as the moment the first Congress embraced the President&rsquo;s constitutional power to remove at will. But while Madison and a handful of colleagues pressed a maximalist Article II version of removal, </span><a href="https://scholarship.law.bu.edu/faculty_scholarship/3584/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Jed Shugerman</span></a><span> has shown that their view never commanded a majority of the House, let alone the Senate. The statute&rsquo;s curious final language (&ldquo;when ever [sic] the said principal officer shall be removed from office by the president of the United States, or in any other case of vacancy&rdquo;), it turns out, is not a ringing Founding Era endorsement of the Unitary Executive Theory but instead the result of Madison&rsquo;s ingenious </span><span>&#8203;</span><span>legerdemain and successful backroom dealing to secure a narrow legislative majority</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>.</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span></span><span>&#8203;</span></span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Moreover, and even more important, the question of whether Congress could create secure officer tenures by conditioning removal on discrete causes&mdash;the question at issue in </span><i><span>Slaughter</span></i><span>&mdash;was not even on the table. The question up for debate was simply whether the Senate had to consent to a principal officer&rsquo;s removal, just as it had to consent to his appointment. Many members had assumed this &ldquo;symmetry rule&rdquo; because that was </span><a href="https://www.yalejreg.com/nc/slaughter-the-symmetry-rule-and-what-the-decision-of-1789-actually-decided-by-jane-manners-lev-menand/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>how eighteenth century removals worked</span></a><span>, in a practical sense: unless a statute specified a fixed term or some other limitation, the way to remove an officer was for the person or persons in charge of appointing to appoint someone new. Hamilton himself had written in the Federalist 77 that the </span><a href="https://avalon.law.yale.edu/18th_century/fed77.asp" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Senate&rsquo;s consent</span></a><span>&nbsp;&ldquo;would be necessary to displace as well as to appoint,&rdquo;&nbsp;</span><a href="https://scholarship.law.bu.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=4558&amp;context=faculty_scholarship" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>as one member of the House reminded his colleagues during the&nbsp;debate</span></a><span>.&nbsp;(In his&nbsp;</span><a href="https://en.wikisource.org/wiki/Commentaries_on_the_Constitution_of_the_United_States/Book_3/Chapter_37#cite_note-93" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Commentaries on the Constitution</span></i></a><i><span>,&nbsp;</span></i><span>Joseph Story writes that it was Hamilton&rsquo;s &ldquo;earnest[]&rdquo; endorsement of this principle in </span><i><span>The Federalist</span></i><span>&nbsp;that&nbsp;had&nbsp;quieted &ldquo;</span><span>the just alarms of the &hellip; arbitrary exercise of this prerogative of the executive, which might prove fatal to&hellip;the public liberties of the country,&rdquo; and that it was only after ratification that anyone suggested that the Constitution might be read differently&mdash;a bait and switch that Story condemns.) </span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>In this sense, the 1789 debate&nbsp;</span><i><span>was</span></i><span> consequential&mdash; not because it embraced an unlimited Article II power to remove, but because it altered this default understanding: when it came to removing Cabinet officers jointly appointed by the President and Senate, the first Congress decided that the Senate&rsquo;s signoff was not required. This is what figures such as Richard Bland Lee, John Marshall, and Chancellor James Kent meant when they said that Congress had &ldquo;determined&rdquo; or &ldquo;settled&rdquo; the issue: the first Congress had decided to abandon the default rule of removal for principal officers. They did </span><i><span>not&nbsp;</span></i><span>mean, as Roberts repeatedly implies, that Congress had embraced a vision of Article II that included an inviolable power to remove any executive officer at pleasure. The first Congress did not say anything about giving up its own power to set the tenure of offices it created, a power that </span><a href="https://avalon.law.yale.edu/18th_century/fed39.asp" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Madison himself had endorsed</span></a><span>&nbsp;in Federalist 39.&nbsp;</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>All of this is&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/25/25-332/384548/20251114134357642_25-332%20Amici%20Brief%20for%20Profs%20Katz%20and%20Gienapp.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>amply covered in well-known recent scholarship</span></a><span>. But Roberts buries any evidence of controversy and disagreement, concluding simplistically and incorrectly that Madison&rsquo;s presidentialist alternative &ldquo;emerged victorious.&rdquo; As for Madison&rsquo;s inconvenient Federalist 39 endorsement of congressional power, he writes that it &ldquo;beggars belief&rdquo; to think that Madison&rsquo;s assertion that the &ldquo;tenure&rdquo; of &ldquo;ministerial offices &hellip; will be a subject of legal regulation&rdquo; actually meant what it appears to mean, since Madison would never have &ldquo;intended so obliquely to permit Congress to hem in the President.&rdquo; Probably, Roberts concludes, Madison&rsquo;s seemingly straightforward assertion in fact referred only to &ldquo;</span><span>a limited term for executive officers, subject to</span><span>&nbsp;</span><span>Presidential removal in the interim</span><span>,&rdquo; as Madison would suggest in June 1789, when he proposed that unlike the Secretary of Foreign Affairs, the Comptroller of the Treasury should &ldquo;hold his office during _________ years, unless sooner removed by the President.&rdquo; But Roberts&rsquo; reading of the evidence is unconvincing. Madison&rsquo;s Comptroller suggestion came seventeen months after Federalist 39, and when he made it, he felt the need to preface his proposal by assuring his colleagues that although such a strange combination&mdash;a term-of-years appointment plus mid-term removability&mdash;might be unfamiliar, it was not &ldquo;altogether novel&rdquo;&mdash;not, in other words, a tenure so obvious that it would have been the default assumption of readers of Federalist 39. The far more plausible reading is that Federalist 39 means exactly what it seems to: that Congress has the power to determine office tenure.</span></p>
<h2><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span><span role="group" aria-label="Rich text content control paragraph"><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span><span role="group" aria-label="Rich text content control"><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN"><span>The F</span><span>ram</span><span>ers and Early Practice</span></span><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span></span><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span></span><span>&nbsp;</span></h2>
<p><span>&#8203;</span><span aria-label="Rich text content control"><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>When the Court turns from 1789 to the Framers themselves and the presidents who followed, the same pattern holds: the figures it enlists in support of an at-will removal power neither argued for it nor exercised it.</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span></span><span> Roberts repeatedly quotes prominent figures out of context, portraying them as supporters of at-will presidential removal when in fact they were nothing of the sort. &ldquo;The power to remove at will was a necessary corollary of the Constitution&rsquo;s design,&rdquo; Roberts writes in </span><i><span>Slaughter</span></i><span>, before adverting to Hamilton for support: &ldquo;The &lsquo;unity&rsquo; of the Executive Branch would be &lsquo;destroyed,&rsquo; Hamilton wrote, if it were vested &lsquo;ostensibly in one man, subject in whole or in part to the control and co-operation of others, in the capacity of counselors to him.&rsquo;&rdquo; This sequence is deeply misleading. In </span><i><span>Federalist 70</span></i><span>, Hamilton did indeed write about &ldquo;unity&rdquo; in the executive, but he was defending the Constitution&rsquo;s choice to reject a plural executive</span><i><span>, not&nbsp;</span></i><span>foreclosing the building of a professionalized administrative state. After all, it was Hamilton himself who </span><a href="https://avalon.law.yale.edu/18th_century/fed72.asp" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>wrote that</span></a><span> a &ldquo;disgraceful and ruinous mutability&rdquo; in government would follow if presidents continually entered, exited, and fired all their predecessors&rsquo; choices. Moreover, so far as we know, Hamilton never connected &ldquo;superintendence&rdquo; with the power to remove at will, although that is how the Court reads him.</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Roberts&rsquo; appeal to Supreme Court Justice James Iredell is similarly misplaced. &ldquo;Only if the President&rsquo;s deputies were removable at will,&rdquo; Roberts writes, &ldquo;could the Constitution live up to James Iredell&rsquo;s boast that &lsquo;the president&rsquo; would &lsquo;be </span><i><span>personally responsible&nbsp;</span></i><span>for everything.&rsquo;&rdquo; What Roberts does not note is that when Iredell made this assertion in a 1788 pamphlet, he was not making the case for unfettered presidential removal. Instead, he was assuring his audience that they needn&rsquo;t fear the concentrated power of a single executive because </span><a href="https://en.wikisource.org/wiki/Answer_to_Mason" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>the&nbsp;President would be held to account</span></a><span>.&nbsp;That same year,&nbsp;</span><span>Iredell elaborated on presidential accountability at the North Carolina ratifying convention: </span><span>&ldquo;If [the President] commits any crime,&rdquo; </span><a href="https://docsouth.unc.edu/nc/conv1788/conv1788.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Iredell explained</span></a><span>, &ldquo;he is punishable by the laws of his country, and in capital cases may be deprived of his life.&rdquo; Iredell was, in other words, assuring his colleagues that the President&rsquo;s power would be constrained by criminal law&mdash;the very remedy that the Court foreclosed in </span><a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/23pdf/23-939_e2pg.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><i><span>Trump v. United States</span></i></a><span> (2024) when it held that a President cannot be prosecuted for official acts. No wonder Roberts omitted such useful context.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>This misleading treatment extends to early American presidents, whom Roberts portrays, to a man, as adherents of the Unitary Executive Theory. Jefferson and Adams, Roberts writes, both agreed with Washington that it was their &ldquo;&lsquo;indispensable duty&rsquo;&rdquo; to remove officers who&mdash;in Roberts&rsquo; words, not Washington&rsquo;s&mdash;&ldquo;failed to live up to [their] expectations.&rdquo; Why might Roberts have chosen to substitute his own words for those of our first chief executive? Perhaps because what Washington actually wrote was that removal of an officer was an &ldquo;indispensable duty&rdquo; when that officer &ldquo;</span><a href="https://babel.hathitrust.org/cgi/pt?id=mdp.39015052603050&amp;seq=274" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>is f[oun]d incompetent, remiss in his duty, or pursuing wrong courses&rdquo;</span></a><span>&mdash;a list strikingly similar to the &ldquo;inefficiency, neglect of duty, or malfeasance in office&rdquo; for which President Trump was permitted, under the terms of the Federal Trade Commission Act, to remove Rebecca Slaughter. In fact, as Joseph Story explained nearly two hundred years ago, the few removals Washington made were for cause, a model of &ldquo;</span><a href="https://en.wikisource.org/wiki/Commentaries_on_the_Constitution_of_the_United_States/Book_3/Chapter_37" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>moderation and forbearance</span></a><span>&rdquo; that was followed up until Andrew Jackson&rsquo;s presidency.&nbsp;</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Early presidents, in fact,&nbsp;</span><span>barely used the firing power. Even Thomas Jefferson, whose removals are often cited as evidence of an early unitary view, </span><a href="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=6156786&amp;__cf_chl_f_tk=OPxWVUm0fKbDlGdxw_tXWhx3RnxsPldudiuwkEQvk_c-1783128246-1.0.1.1-Ef7d6rc7aBT5X36MW8.m1MfBLK8WEgHBQtB9fsz4VQI" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>never asserted a power of at-pleasure removal over officers with statutory tenure protections.</span></a><span> James Monroe refused to exercise the power explicitly given him in an 1820 statute to replace certain at-pleasure officers at the end of their four-year terms, choosing instead to adhere to &ldquo;</span><a href="https://babel.hathitrust.org/cgi/pt?id=hvd.32044013644018&amp;seq=441&amp;q1=%22necessarily+the+pleasure%22" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>the principle</span></a><span> of renominating every officer at the expiration of his commission, unless some charge of misdemeanor should be adduced and proved against him.&rdquo; (This is the &ldquo;principle&rdquo; that John Quincy Adams approvingly attributes to Monroe in his diary and which he himself followed as president&mdash;not, as Roberts wrongly implies, the &ldquo;view that &lsquo;the tenure of all subordinate executive offices&rsquo; is necessarily the pleasure of the chief by whom they were commissioned.&rsquo;&rdquo;) No early President challenged his inability to remove members of the </span><a href="https://download.ssrn.com/26/03/05/ssrn_id5628110_code2627472.pdf?response-content-disposition=inline&amp;X-Amz-Security-Token=IQoJb3JpZ2luX2VjEEgaCXVzLWVhc3QtMSJIMEYCIQDcyZmPM5HZ3oWjC5GZQREnjYyDyrVCC7NRqtt%2Fk59i%2FAIhANvTGV%2Bzsi7E1Y7pXv5FxYHP66ClK4MEMB%2BawoKBcwuvKr4FCBEQBBoMMzA4NDc1MzAxMjU3IgzEelpEiYn%2BzT4ZUiQqmwWxrhFTWhdb2vtTp1dYbJPUcjenOhCmR1MYfC2P2fVssBNUnz7uGVL3eN%2FFpnHd1QPQ0Elej9GXDnDfZ3%2BGL3T43nZvS0dkdEx1jjqRezLXYa4gqV%2B%2BMdn2xDYgxGgETHQfb2RvR564sGAI%2BjRZW6MPRuhuZ9TEEpErLVMo2W%2Fvu064pkr7QwM0QG94nEoK6ZWu1%2FMsZirVxL1XO0E7WLQ5tWvVcG%2BGmFBJTRVKP2yYfU%2FFMOsxErzHS5V3VNxkkn4luIbLiw5HPmOi%2F7f3LMiqrNgPZ9PogYXw%2Ff%2FXo2UJVspd70cGiNz6tpm8rcl%2BduRN%2BxTCNOgj%2Ftf1cWVGYJBZ4LbbPubNhTUp3Om%2F4arKOphvQk%2BXd8rgv0cJVx6LT267rUqbRCphNS6BBv9SWtBOAtuF1IMf%2BZ%2FYPXkbM6qEgF5KND0K1ZKUaKUASDm0k9qV8F5Jirq%2FsmecJqYfHdluTZrtdlqDjDfOdtzaFwNchV%2F5XZKJTrhZzfI2vVrE1%2FBZST%2FTvHwG0e9BmrdwnIsLO3ImPmsjn2ncNN6eo80mry%2FxiolJ6buFUX9NMvuFGk8R69a3bZcCul%2B%2BRzCRJIQAql9BYZ%2BBBEeD%2FSwloQX8%2FxEFkr4CP9F3rz1ZDVkyqf7V62lab0MdqqcUg0e2bSVxuJe%2Bbg5cVfW9QAtggl8Z9psfRHQqpMREU1wIQJQWuAWq8Gu8kAMWodKFgBvQu3rJ7%2FCY35mRVzbGmFa%2BQvQYyyYIGZzu36yfODLjmscpb%2F31OvOXuMnxiWtosc6SN81yWsTN53JVRLRgpsNGJWgBlMTTTUMqLVvpu458FREuPSCxydp7gKoiAv9WflAqfivjtdegfJxGfJDYzCl2xsHYcsj9TSCt61NZxgVoMJe6n9IGOrAB1Xost6ee8IfA1EMSeTL5noxXlrGoLii7rna7zxrK9CMyyJqsoBB%2BknMzBulvTXRVP4%2FOvyOXDhmGkeFPU%2FKjZmY1nfJkqbexZUAYTXO6bdRpZX6qinSa6NRaltUAbP%2FUL1WwEYiKfFgu%2FrQdH4TsneBEncs%2FXVEYFcVGpLPAX%2B%2BQxA3XdJ89B5GPnEh13vlyXxDNX4KaeiS0rxUS9SqYtHWS2wfW8c90xu%2F9CoosZaA%3D&amp;X-Amz-Algorithm=AWS4-HMAC-SHA256&amp;X-Amz-Date=20260703T162749Z&amp;X-Amz-SignedHeaders=host&amp;X-Amz-Expires=300&amp;X-Amz-Credential=ASIAUPUUPRWEQN5JVQ6H%2F20260703%2Fus-east-1%2Fs3%2Faws4_request&amp;X-Amz-Signature=571cdacae299f534211d85745fb297fcd196abe4eec41895e4a161f933c88712&amp;abstractId=5628110" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Revolutionary War Debt Commission</span></a><span>&nbsp;or the&nbsp;</span><a href="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=6156786&amp;__cf_chl_f_tk=FZRFuk1I22U4L76VPsU9Ng2.SWTj12U2we5vpDrGo8E-1783095717-1.0.1.1-bfdrbKrb1xOrJTXmGtnliH1JNzmnm5HpaALEUKEvQoQ" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Sinking Fund Commission</span></a><span>, whose ranks included such unremovable officers as the Chief Justice and the Vice President. Early presidential practice, in other words, does supply useful evidence of historical understandings of presidential power&mdash;but that evidence does not support the conclusion the Court draws from it.</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span><span role="group" aria-label="Rich text content control paragraph"><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span><span role="group" aria-label="Rich text content control"><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN"><span>A Rule and A Carveout</span></span><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span></span><span lang="EN" xml:lang="EN">&#8203;</span></span><span>&nbsp;</span></h2>
<p><span>&#8203;</span><span aria-label="Rich text content control"><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>Decided&nbsp;the same day,&nbsp;</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span><i><span>Slaughter</span></i><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>&nbsp;and&nbsp;</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span><i><span>Cook</span></i><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>&nbsp;cannot both rest on the history the Court invokes.</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>&nbsp;</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span></span><span>The first</span><i><span>&nbsp;</span></i><span>dismantles the independent FTC in service of an unmodifiable &ldquo;rule&rdquo; of removal; the second carves out a flexible exception for the Federal Reserve, preserving its independence with a </span><a href="https://ir.lawnet.fordham.edu/flr/vol94/iss6/2/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>contrived</span></a><span>&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/21/opinion/supreme-court-federal-reserve-independence.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>origin story</span></a><span> about the Fed&rsquo;s &ldquo;unique&rdquo; status and its roots in the First and Second Banks of the United States (1791-1811, 1816-1836). </span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>To see the tension between the two decisions, one need look no further than the opinions of the Court&rsquo;s own conservative bloc. As Justice Barrett devastatingly put it, &ldquo;How can history support both a categorical rule and a carveout?&rdquo;</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Justice Thomas, meanwhile, tells a very different history of the Fed&rsquo;s origins. Thomas&rsquo;s 1913 Federal Reserve Act is not rooted in a proud American history of banking independence, but is instead the result of an alliance between Paul Warburg, a German-born Jew who &ldquo;ridiculed&rdquo; the American tradition, and Senator Nelson Aldrich, an &ldquo;influential figure&rdquo; who, like Warburg, wanted to bring European banking to America. Together with &ldquo;representatives of three extremely significant New York banks,&rdquo; Thomas tells us, Warburg and Aldrich devised the plan for the Fed under a pledge to total &ldquo;secrecy.&rdquo; The plan had the backing of Woodrow Wilson, since Wilson &ldquo;disliked the American system of government because it ultimately depended on the will of the people.&rdquo; To those who spend time in certain conspiratorial corners of the internet, </span><a href="https://www.splcenter.org/resources/reports/margins-mainstream/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>this rendering of the story no doubt has a familiar ring</span></a><span>. But it is </span><a href="https://scholarship.law.columbia.edu/faculty_scholarship/3900/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>wrong</span></a><span>, and it is&nbsp;not an account to which Supreme Court justices ought&nbsp;lend&nbsp;their imprimatur.&nbsp;</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>&#8203;</span><span aria-label="Rich text content control paragraph"><span>&#8203;</span><span>Historical disputes aside, the doctrinal tensions&nbsp;between&nbsp;</span><i><span>Slaughter&nbsp;</span></i><span>and&nbsp;</span><i><span>Cook&nbsp;</span></i><span>are already starting to produce fissures among the justices. The majority both faults independent agencies for their &ldquo;subservience&rdquo; to Congress and calls them &ldquo;a headless fourth branch.&rdquo;</span><span>&nbsp;</span><span>Which is it? Similarly, although the Court usually describes at-will removal as essential for democratic accountability, it sometimes justifies unfettered removal as a protection for &ldquo;constitutionally promised liberties&rdquo;&mdash;as if a President who can fire whomever he wants and individual freedom were the same thing. Meanwhile, Justice Gorsuch&rsquo;s </span><i><span>Slaughter&nbsp;</span></i><span>concurrence reads as a manifesto for destroying the government altogether. Having acknowledged that </span><i><span>Slaughter&nbsp;</span></i><span>could result in a dangerous concentration of legislative, judicial, and executive power in the President and that Congress will, in all likelihood, be unable to reel that power back in, Gorsuch concludes that it&rsquo;s up to the Court to fix the problem. &ldquo;From here,&rdquo; he exhorts, &ldquo;the only sure path is to finish the journey we start today and restore legislative and judicial powers to where they belong: in Congress and the courts&rdquo;&mdash;a project the Court can achieve by using such &ldquo;tools&rdquo; as the major questions doctrine and the nondelegation doctrine. </span></span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span aria-label="Rich text content control paragraph"><span>&#8203;</span><span>The concession is clarifying and alarming. Rendering power accountable to the people by placing </span></span><span aria-label="Rich text content control paragraph"><span>agencies under presidential control, the Unitary Executive Theory&rsquo;s raison d&rsquo;etre, seems no longer to be enough. Instead, it&rsquo;s the exercise of government power itself that must be stopped. </span><span>&#8203;</span></span></p>
<p><span>&#8203;</span><span aria-label="Rich text content control paragraph"><span>&#8203;</span><span aria-label="Rich text content control"><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>The history of removal law is not lost. Instead, copious evidence shows that from the Founding Era through the 21</span><span>st</span><span> century, Congress&rsquo;s power to create secure offices was largely unquestioned. For a Court both wedded to originalism and determined to locate an unfettered presidential removal power in the Constitution, such facts are a significant obstacle. And so the Court loses history, misreading evidence where it can and ignoring it where it can&rsquo;t with an unmistakable result: two fundamentally irreconcilable decisions. As the questions the Court leaves unanswered rise to the surface, the fissures between the formalist </span><i><span>Slaughter&nbsp;</span></i><span>and the functionalist&nbsp;</span><i><span>Cook&nbsp;</span></i><span>will&nbsp;only deepen. Does&nbsp;</span><i><span>Slaughter&nbsp;</span></i><span>apply to non-Article III judges? Do any other agencies warrant a Fed-like carveout? What do we do with a century&rsquo;s worth of agency law where the independent structure of those agencies is now presumptively unconstitutional? The Court favored an ideological vision of the Executive Branch that simply cannot be reconciled with the historical record. What we&rsquo;re left with is a contorted doctrine and open questions that will reverberate for years to come.</span><span>&#8203;</span><span>&#8203;</span></span><span>&#8203;</span></span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><em><span lang="EN-US" xml:lang="EN-US"><span>Author&rsquo;s Note: Both authors&nbsp;</span><span>submitting</span><span> amici briefs on this topic. Justice Sotomayor&rsquo;s dissent captures many similar historical errors.</span></span><span>&nbsp;</span></em></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/145132/lost-history-slaugther-cook-scotus/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">&ldquo;Lost to History&rdquo;: Uses and Abuses of the Past in &lt;i&gt;Slaughter&lt;/i&gt; and &lt;i&gt;Cook&lt;/i&gt;</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-10T12:50:08+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Andrea Scoseria Katz</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-10T12:50:08+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="administrative law"/>

	<category term="congress"/>

	<category term="courts &amp; litigation"/>

	<category term="democracy &amp; rule of law"/>

	<category term="democratic backsliding &amp; solutions"/>

	<category term="executive branch"/>

	<category term="litigation"/>

	<category term="rule of law"/>

	<category term="supreme court (scotus)"/>

	<category term="trump administration second term"/>

	<category term="unitary executive"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-10:/293164</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146455/early-edition-july-10-2026/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=early-edition-july-10-2026" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Early Edition: July 10, 2026</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Signup to receive the Early Edition in your inbox&nbsp;here.
A curated weekday guide to major news and de...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Signup to receive the Early Edition in your inbox&nbsp;<a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/newsletter-signup/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">here</a>.</p>
<p>A curated weekday guide to major news and developments over the last 24 hours. Here&rsquo;s today&rsquo;s news:</p>
<p><b><i>IRAN WAR</i></b></p>
<p><b>Qatar, Pakistan, and other regional mediators conducted multiple phone calls on Wednesday with both U.S. and Iranian officials in an attempt to de-escalate tensions and revive negotiations on a nuclear deal, </b>according to two sources from mediating countries and a U.S official. One source said the mediators believe the recent Iranian attacks in the Strait of Hormuz were initiated by a faction inside the Iranian regime that opposes the U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding and wants to undermine it. Barak Ravid reports for <a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/09/us-iran-nuclear-deal-mediators-qatar-pakistan" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Axios</a>.</p>
<p><b>Several Iranian media outlets reported explosions in southern Iran yesterday. </b>U.S. officials said the military did not conduct any new strikes following those announced by U.S. Central Command late on Wednesday. Barak Ravid reports for <a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/09/us-iran-nuclear-deal-mediators-qatar-pakistan" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Axios</a>.</p>
<p><b>Israel shared new intelligence with the United States that it said indicated a fresh Iranian plan to kill President Trump, </b>sources told the <a href="https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/iran-hatched-fresh-plot-to-kill-trump-israel-told-u-s-1511d9d2" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Wall Street Journal</a>. One source told <a href="https://edition.cnn.com/2026/07/09/politics/trump-assassination-plot-iran-israel" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">CNN</a> that the warning came this week, with another adding that the latest Israeli tip-off concerned a new, specific plot. When asked for comment, the White House referred to Trump&rsquo;s comments made on Wednesday. &ldquo;They want to take out the U.S. leader &ndash; me,&rdquo; Trump told reporters. &ldquo;I&rsquo;m on every list. I saw this morning, I&rsquo;m on every single one of their lists.&rdquo; Anat Peled, Alexander Ward, and Marianne LeVine report; Pamela Brown and Kevin Liptak.</p>
<p><b>While the Trump administration has yet to directly accept the blame or formally release findings of a Pentagon investigation into the bombing of an Iranian primary school on Feb. 28, </b><a href="https://apnews.com/article/iran-school-strike-baluch-trump-2a134a5c74d80db763db4c3eb6d0d847" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>AP News</b></a><b> has reconstructed the story of the attack using open-source information, video footage, human rights reports, and interviews. </b>Many details remain unknown, such as the number of munitions that hit the school and a complete list of those killed. Julia Frankel reports.</p>
<p><b><i>RUSSIA-UKRAINE WAR&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Ukraine&rsquo;s military has intensified its attacks near Russian-annexed Crimea in recent days. </b>Ukraine&rsquo;s drone force commander, Robert Brovdi, said at least 25 ships have been hit and set on fire in the past four days in the Sea of Azov. Ilya Abishev, Paul Brown, and Paul Kirby report for <a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c70yd1g67z5o" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">BBC News</a>.</p>
<p><b>Russian President Vladimir Putin is rejecting calls to negotiate peace with Kyiv, </b>three sources close to the Kremlin told <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/putin-likely-escalate-ukraine-war-despite-trump-peace-push-sources-say-2026-07-09/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Reuters</a>, with Ukraine&rsquo;s recent drone strikes on Russia&rsquo;s oil refineries and ports strengthening his resolve to keep fighting. Two of the sources added that Putin was instead likely to escalate the conflict as he believes Russia will soon capture the Donbas region. One source said Putin recently rebuked a group of advisers for suggesting a compromise based on a ceasefire along the current front lines. Reuters reports.</p>
<p><b>Russian strikes killed at least 265 civilians and injured 1,816 in Ukraine in June,</b> a top U.N. official told the Security Council yesterday. This is the highest combined casualty count since the first months of Moscow&rsquo;s invasion in Feb. 2022. <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/un-agency-says-russian-strikes-killed-least-265-civilians-ukraine-june-2026-07-09/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Reuters</a> reports.</p>
<p><b><i>ISRAEL-HAMAS WAR</i></b></p>
<p><b>An Israeli airstrike on Tuesday killed Mohammed al-Waheidi, a Palestinian aid worker who facilitated deliveries of humanitarian aid and organized World Cup watch parties in Gaza.</b> The Israeli military said it had struck a Hamas militant in the attack on northern Gaza, but did not identify that person or say whether they had been killed. It said in a statement that it was aware of &ldquo;the claim that uninvolved civilians were harmed as a result of the strike&rdquo; and &ldquo;regrets any harm&rdquo; to such people. More than 1,000 people have been killed in Gaza since the October cease-fire, including children, according to the Gaza health ministry. Adam Rasgon and Abu Bakr Bashir report for the <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/09/world/middleeast/aid-worker-killed-israeli-strike.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">New York Times</a>.</p>
<p><b><i>WEST BANK VIOLENCE&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Incidents of Jewish settler terrorism and nationalist crimes against Palestinians in the occupied West Bank have increased by more than 560 percent since 2019, but only 6.6% of cases resulted in an indictment,</b> according to data from the Israeli police. National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir&rsquo;s bureau delayed the release of the data for about six months, and agreed to release it only after an NGO, The Movement for Freedom of Information in Israel, petitioned for its release in court. Josh Breiner reports for <a href="https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/israel-crime/2026-07-08/ty-article/.premium/jewish-nationalist-crime-in-west-bank-up-by-560-since-2019-police-data-shows/0000019f-421a-d085-a3ff-4a7e30840000" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Haaretz</a>.</p>
<p><b><i>SUDANESE CIVIL WAR&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>In the first year since the Sudanese army recaptured the capital, Khartoum, from the Sudanese Rapid Support Forces paramilitary, more than 2 million of the 5 million people who fled their homes in the city have returned. </b>Although the authorities promised a quick restoration to normal life, power is still mostly out, buildings remain damaged, and workers are going unpaid. Some people say they have come back only as a last resort, fleeing a crackdown on refugees in neighbouring Egypt. El Tayyeb Siddig reports for <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/sudanese-return-home-capital-unready-welcome-them-2026-07-10/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Reuters</a>.</p>
<p><b>The Sudanese army has conditioned any broad acceptance of a U.S. proposal for ending the civil war on the full withdrawal by the RSF from cities it has occupied, </b>according to documents seen by <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/sudan-army-says-us-peace-plan-must-call-full-rsf-withdrawal-cities-documents-2026-07-09/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Reuters</a>. The documents show that a U.S. proposal last month had called for a U.N. led mechanism to support limited withdrawals by the RSF, prioritizing North Darfur and North Kordofan, as well as an immediate 90-day humanitarian truce. Khalid Abdelaziz reports.</p>
<p><b><i>OTHER GLOBAL DEVELOPMENTS</i></b></p>
<p><b>Russia and China have formed a model of military cooperation in which Moscow shares experience gained during the war against Ukraine, while Beijing provides electronics, semiconductors, and equipment</b>, according to a report in Der Spiegel. The two nations are also focused on countering Starlink, which they view as a serious military threat. Der Spiegel&rsquo;s investigation says the sides are discussing measures up to and including the destruction of satellites. <a href="https://sfg.media/en/a/russia-china-secretly-expand-military-cooperation-starlink/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">SFG reports</a>.</p>
<p><b>China announced today that it successfully landed a reusable rocket for the first time in a breakthrough for the country&rsquo;s space programme, </b>according to state media. It signals that China may be able to challenge U.S. dominance in reusable rockets after successful landings by Elon Musk&rsquo;s SpaceX and Blue Origin. Peter Hoskins reports for <a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cm2rmmx86pdo" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">BBC News</a>.</p>
<p><b>Ousted Bangladeshi Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina, who is facing a death sentence in Bangladesh, told </b><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/bangladeshs-hasina-plans-december-return-with-party-colleagues-surrender-2026-07-10/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>Reuters</b></a><b> she and senior party colleagues plan to return from exile in India in December and surrender.</b> Krishna N. Das reports.</p>
<p><b><i>TECH DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>State actors in China, Russia, and Iran have recently published images, comic strips, and videos about the spread of AI data centers in the United States,</b> amplifying an existing public debate over issues such as electricity use, environmental impacts, and AI development. &ldquo;Foreign actors aren&rsquo;t manufacturing American debates over the future of AI, they are exploiting them,&rdquo; Jessia Brand, a former official with the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, said. Steven Lee Myers and Dustin Volz report for the <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/09/business/china-russia-ai-data-centers.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">New York Times</a>.</p>
<p><b>OpenAI and Google confirmed to the </b><a href="https://www.ft.com/content/5d6aafa1-5d47-4585-aa95-6ec06a6cd20f" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>Financial Times</b></a><b> that they have been supplying AI services to Singapore-based subsidiaries of Alibaba, Baidu, and Tencent,</b> which the U.S. government has accused of working with China&rsquo;s military. OpenAI said it had last month suspended Alibaba-affiliated users&rsquo; access to its API, the software interface that lets developers remotely access AI models, over concerns about illicit use. Madhumita Murgia reports.</p>
<p><b><i>U.S. FOREIGN AFFAIRS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum said yesterday that her government plans to file criminal complaints in the United States regarding Mexican citizens who have died in immigration custody or while being targeted in anti-immigrant operations. </b>14 Mexican nationals have died in ICE custody, and three more have died in arrest operations, the government said. Aida Pelaez-Fernandez and Raul Cortes report for <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/mexico-file-criminal-complaints-us-over-deaths-immigration-custody-2026-07-09/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Reuters</a>.</p>
<p><b>Nobel Prize-winning chemist Omar Yaghi has left the University of California, Berkeley, to join Tsinghua University in China,</b> where he will lead a new institute using artificial intelligence to accelerate the discovery of advanced materials. His move reflects China&rsquo;s growing investment in science and talent recruitment amid concerns over U.S. research funding and immigration policies. William J. Broad reports for the <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/09/science/nobel-winning-us-chemist-will-move-to-china-to-lead-ai-institute.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">New York Times</a>.</p>
<p><b><i>U.S. IMMIGRATION DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>ICE agents who killed Lorenzo Salgado Araujo during a traffic stop in Houston on Tuesday had been searching for a different person,</b> according to a Department of Homeland Security spokeswoman. The targets of the ICE investigation were two people from Guatemala, one of whom the agents believed was in the white van being driven by Araujo, according to two sources. Edgar Sandoval and Hamed Aleaziz report for the <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/09/us/witnesses-houston-ice-shooting.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">New York Times</a>.</p>
<p><b>The three men who were arrested during the operation that resulted in Araujo&rsquo;s death said a federal officer fired at them almost immediately after exiting his vehicle and that at no point did Araujo veer in his direction.</b> The men dispute DHS&rsquo;s position that Aurajo had &ldquo;weaponized&rdquo; his van &ldquo;in an attempt to run over an ICE law enforcement officer.&rdquo; Arelis R. Hernandez reports for the <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/immigration/2026/07/10/migrants-who-saw-man-killed-by-ice-houston-say-he-did-not-ram-officers/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Washington Post</a></p>
<p><b>One year after ICE introduced its mass detention policy, federal courts have overwhelmingly ruled against it, with more than 15,000 decisions finding the policy unlawful or unconstitutional and only a small minority upholding it</b>, according to <a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2026/07/09/trump-immigration-detention-courts-judges-00990836" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">POLITICO</a>. Kyle Cheney reports.</p>
<p><b><i>U.S. DOMESTIC DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>A South Florida airport officially changed its name yesterday to President Donald J. Trump International Airport.</b> <a href="https://apnews.com/article/trump-airport-florida-palm-beach-ab184b710cac13b1555255140ef6b4d5" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">AP News</a> reports.</p>
<p><b><i>TRUMP ADMINISTRATION ACTIONS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Trump yesterday removed the two Democratic members of the Election Assistance Commission, while a Republican was allowed to resign, </b>according to a White House official and three other sources, leaving the agency without leadership. &ldquo;The President, and head of the Executive Branch, reserves the right to remove individuals who may not be totally aligned with the important task of securing America&rsquo;s elections and ensuring every legal vote is counted,&rdquo; said the official. Aaron Pellish and Zach Montellaro report for <a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2026/07/09/trump-ousts-members-of-bipartisan-election-commission-ahead-of-midterms-00992783" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">POLITICO</a>.</p>
<p><b>The new Air Force One, which Trump flew on earlier this week to Turkey, lacks the same defensive countermeasures that were security features of the old model, including its advanced anti-missile capabilities</b>, according to multiple officials. Tyler Pager, Eric Lipton, Adam Goldman, Eric Schmitt, and Julian E. Barnes report for the <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/09/us/politics/new-air-force-one-defensive-countermeasures.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">New York Times</a>.</p>
<p><b><i>TRUMP ADMINISTRATION LITIGATION&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>The Justice Department yesterday </b><a href="https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1451931/dl" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>filed </b></a><b>a lawsuit against Maryland over the state&rsquo;s so-called sanctuary policies that the Trump administration alleged were interfering with the federal government&rsquo;s immigration crackdown.</b> Kanishka Singh reports for <a href="https://reut.rs/44izkRR" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Reuters</a>.</p>
<p><b>Did you miss this?</b>&nbsp;Stay up-to-date with our&nbsp;<a href="https://justsecurity.us7.list-manage.com/track/click?u=96b766fb1c8a55bbe9b0cdc21&amp;id=251d4342e4&amp;e=bd8778e5ec" aria-label="Litigation Tracker: Legal Challenges to Trump Administration Actions.- opens in new tab" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Litigation Tracker: Legal Challenges to Trump Administration Actions.</a></p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXchCAluDft2LKA1wOLQ4i6pCzxIl0l-NcwpWXsODFsCUPu4amZ-9579JwGXy0dHUrxRzx7xqb2qETGLFJ1nxK5VHTcANGd2_preWoUqx5Ao8QjqEuWytBWhQsJDb8EB0dWQv-sVMg?key=3LGEnQeAgyeBawKRekdMORYu" referrerpolicy="no-referrer" loading="lazy"></p>
<p>If you enjoy listening, Just Security&rsquo;s analytic articles are also available in audio form on the justsecurity.org website.</p>
<p><strong>ICYMI: Yesterday on<em>&nbsp;Just Security</em></strong></p>
<div>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/145562/effective-export-controls-semiconductor-equipment/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">It Takes More Than Two to Tango: Creating Effective Export Controls on Semiconductor Manufacturing Equipment</a></p>
<p>By Sylvia Chen&nbsp;and&nbsp;Peter Tozzi</p>
</div>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146455/early-edition-july-10-2026/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Early Edition: July 10, 2026</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-10T12:09:05+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Elisabeth Jennings</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-10T12:09:05+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="daily news roundup"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-10:/293165</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146430/election-assistance-commission/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=election-assistance-commission" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">What is the Election Assistance Commission With No Commissioners?</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Last night, President Donald Trump effectively relieved all three serving commissioners of the Elect...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Last night, President Donald Trump effectively <a href="https://www.votebeat.org/national/2026/07/09/trump-fires-election-assistance-commission-members-hicks-hovland-mccormick/?utm_source=vbnewsletters.votebeat.org&amp;utm_medium=newsletter&amp;utm_campaign=trump-fires-all-election-assistance-commission-members-leaving-agency-unable-to-act&amp;_bhlid=f46bdeb8b1e378f0a42235be6785257f46aeabb4" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">relieved</a> all three serving commissioners of the Election Assistance Commission (EAC) of their positions. According to <a href="https://www.propublica.org/article/federal-election-assistance-commission-trump-dismantled" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">media reports</a>, the Commission&rsquo;s two Democratic members, Thomas Hicks and Benjamin Hovland, were fired by email, while the one Republican member, Christy McCormick, was allowed to resign. All three commissioners were <a href="https://www.eac.gov/about/commissioners" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">unanimously confirmed</a> by the Senate &ndash; Hicks and McCormick in 2015 and Hovland in 2019. The EAC&rsquo;s fourth commissioner and other Republican member, Don Palmer, previously resigned on <a href="https://www.eac.gov/news/2026/04/29/eac-announces-commissioner-donald-palmer-departing-agency" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">April 29</a>. In a <a href="https://x.com/BoKnowsNews/status/2075395590704259302" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">statement to media</a>, the White House referenced last week&rsquo;s Supreme Court decision in <a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-332_qn12.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><em>Trump v. Slaughter</em></a>, stating: &ldquo;The President, and head of the Executive Branch, reserves the right to remove individuals that may not be totally aligned with the important task of securing America&rsquo;s elections and ensuring &#8203;every legal vote is counted. The <em>Slaughter</em> decision gives the President precedence to do so.&rdquo;</p>
<p>The EAC is a bipartisan, independent commission that was established by the <a href="https://www.eac.gov/sites/default/files/eac_assets/1/6/HAVA41.PDF" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Help America Vote Act (HAVA)</a> in 2002. It requires an affirmative vote by at least three of its commissioners to conduct official business or establish policy. Historically, the EAC has operated for extended periods without a quorum and for several years had zero sitting commissioners.</p>
<p>Since the EAC was created, the commissioners have worked in partnership with state and local election officials to advance the professionalization and integrity of the election profession. A fully functioning EAC is critical for promulgating the <a href="https://www.eac.gov/voting-equipment/voluntary-voting-system-guidelines" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Voluntary Voting System Guidelines (VVSG)</a> to certify voting equipment, serving as a clearinghouse of best practices and training support, disbursing <a href="https://www.eac.gov/grants/hava-grant-programs" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">HAVA Election Security Grants</a>, and compiling the biennial <a href="https://www.eac.gov/research-and-data/studies-and-reports" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Election Administration and Voting Survey (EAVS) report</a>.</p>
<p>So what does it mean for this Commission to have no commissioners? In the absence of the Senate confirming new commissioners &ndash; <a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/52/20923" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">by law</a> the EAC must have partisan balance and congressional leaders are tasked with making recommendations to the President &ndash; some business can and will continue.</p>
<p>Significantly, the EAC staff has authority to continue disbursing Election Security Grants to states &ndash; the primary source of federal election funding &ndash; and to continue certifying voting equipment under current standards. Below is an overview of who holds the remaining limited EAC authority and what that authority does and does not encompass.</p>
<h2><strong>Who is Left With Authority When the EAC Has No Commissioners?</strong></h2>
<p>With no commissioners, the agency&rsquo;s authority will go to the <a href="https://www.eac.gov/news/2024/03/12/us-election-assistance-commission-announces-appointment-brianna-schletz-executive" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">EAC Executive Director</a>, who has limited authority to continue running EAC operations as outlined in the <a href="https://www.eac.gov/sites/default/files/eac_assets/1/1/EAC%20Roles%20and%20Responsibilites.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">EAC&rsquo;s Roles and Responsibilities polic</a>y. If there is no Executive Director, the staff line of succession under law and <a href="https://www.eac.gov/sites/default/files/eac_assets/1/28/EAC%20Organizational%20Management%20Policy%20Statement%20-%20Adopted%202-24-15.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">policy</a> is as follows:</p>
<ul>
<li>General Counsel</li>
<li>Chief Operating Officer</li>
<li>Chief Financial Officer</li>
</ul>
<p>Career agency staff generally are given delegated authority to maintain existing programs, manage administrative duties, and carry out strictly routine tasks.</p>
<h2><strong>What CAN Happen Now?</strong></h2>
<p>Despite the lack of commissioners, the agency remains functional under the leadership of career staff. Actions that can continue include the following:</p>
<p><strong>Disbursing Existing Funds</strong>: Congress has appropriated election security grant funding in recent years under the existing statutory language of HAVA and previous appropriations language. <a href="https://electioninfrastructure.org/project-for-election-infrastructure-highlights-new-letter-from-nearly-90-election-officials-urging-400-million-in-fy27-election-security-funding/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Though insufficient to meet state needs</a>, <a href="https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/IF11961" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Congress appropriated</a> $45 million in FY2026 funding earlier this year, down from a high of $425 million in 2020 through the CARES Act and $380 million in FY2018. Agency staff can continue to disburse appropriated HAVA grant funds to states, including future congressional appropriations, provided those appropriations follow the parameters of the existing grant program.</p>
<p><strong>Voting System Certification</strong>: The staff is explicitly authorized in the EAC Roles and Responsibilities policy to continue managing the testing and certification of voting systems based on the existing guidelines. This means states that replace equipment to be in alignment with <a href="https://www.eac.gov/sites/default/files/TestingCertification/Voluntary_Voting_System_Guidelines_Version_2_0.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">VVSG 2.0</a> in advance of the 2028 election will still be able to source certified, new equipment.</p>
<p><strong>Clearinghouse Duties</strong>: The EAC can maintain its role as a national clearinghouse for election administration. Staff can continue to maintain websites, publish best practices, conduct research, and administer the <a href="https://www.eac.gov/voters/national-mail-voter-registration-form" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">National Voter Registration form</a>.</p>
<p><strong>Public Meetings</strong>: The EAC can still hold public meetings and hearings without a quorum to gather information or hear from experts, though they cannot execute any votes during these meetings.</p>
<p><strong>Functioning Advisory Boards:</strong> The <a href="https://www.eac.gov/about/advisory-boards" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">EAC&rsquo;s advisory boards</a> &ndash; the Standards Board, the Board of Advisors, and the Technical Guidelines Development Committee (TGDC) &ndash; can remain active and functional without commissioners.</p>
<h2><strong>What CANNOT Happen Now?</strong></h2>
<p>When the EAC lacks the necessary three members to vote as a board, staff authority is frozen at the outer limit of the last valid Commission approval. Staff may execute existing programs but may not expand their scope, change standards, or create new programs absent renewed three-member approval.</p>
<p>The following EAC actions cannot happen without EAC commissioners:</p>
<p><strong>Establishing New Programs, Policies, or Guidelines</strong>: The EAC cannot adopt, update, or fully approve new updates to Commission guidelines such as the VVSG (for example, establishing VVSG 2.1 standards). The EAC also cannot generally establish new programs or modify the scope of existing policies or programs, such as by adding additional conditions on HAVA grants or changing the National Voter Registration Form. Staff and working groups can still collect data and draft recommendations, but they would be stalled without a commissioner vote.</p>
<p><strong>Decertification Appeals</strong>: While staff can handle the routine certification and decertification of voting systems, they cannot process formal voting system decertification appeals.</p>
<p><strong>Hiring Executive Leadership</strong>: A quorum of commissioners is legally required by HAVA to hire a new executive director or general counsel.</p>
<h2><strong>What Does This Mean for 2026 and Beyond?</strong></h2>
<p>The EAC, like the rest of the federal government, does not administer U.S. elections. The President&rsquo;s summarily firing the bipartisan EAC commissioners is unprecedented, but this action gives the federal government no more authority over elections than it had before. State and local elections administrators across more than 10,000 jurisdictions are working to ensure there are safe and secure elections this fall and in the future. The President&rsquo;s decision &ndash; coupled with <a href="https://www.nextgov.com/cybersecurity/2026/04/federal-drawdown-election-support-destroyed-ongoing-relationships-experts-say/413181/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">previous administration action</a> to severely scale back election security resources from the DHS Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency &ndash; will further deprive these hardworking and under-resourced offices, but they will continue to do what they must to get the job done.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146430/election-assistance-commission/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">What is the Election Assistance Commission With No Commissioners?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-10T11:26:44+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Aaron Blacksberg</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-10T11:26:44+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="2026 election protection"/>

	<category term="cybersecurity"/>

	<category term="democracy"/>

	<category term="democracy &amp; rule of law"/>

	<category term="elections"/>

	<category term="executive branch"/>

	<category term="expert backgrounder"/>

	<category term="trump administration second term"/>

	<category term="unitary executive"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-09:/293086</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/145562/effective-export-controls-semiconductor-equipment/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=effective-export-controls-semiconductor-equipment" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">It Takes More Than Two to Tango: Creating Effective Export Controls on Semiconductor Manufacturing Equipment</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Export controls on semiconductor manufacturing equipment, the machinery needed to fabricate, test, a...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Export controls on semiconductor manufacturing equipment, the machinery needed to fabricate, test, and package semiconductors, are the most decisive instruments for constraining China&rsquo;s ability to produce advanced and foundational chips. Yet, policy blind spots and the <a href="https://www.cfr.org/articles/protecting-foundation-strengthening-export-controls-semiconductor-manufacturing-equipment" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">inconsistent implementation</a> of export controls in the United States have left loopholes that China has exploited to accelerate its drive to undermine American <a href="https://www.rand.org/pubs/commentary/2025/05/chinas-ai-models-are-closing-the-gap-but-americas-real.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">compute advantage</a> and dominate key industries, including the foundational chip market, which produces the &ldquo;workhorses&rdquo; of modern life, such as the chips found in cars and refrigerators. China is now poised to <a href="https://dset.tw/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/The-Great-Siege-1-1.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">surpass Taiwan</a> as the world&rsquo;s leading foundational chip producer by 2027.</p>
<p>The effectiveness of export controls increases significantly when a concert of like-minded countries coordinates, implements, and enforces common objectives. This type of cooperation is called <a href="https://www.cnas.org/publications/commentary/export-controls-will-become-more-effective-when-they-include-plurilateral-controls" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">plurilateralism</a>, and it <a href="https://coin.wne.uw.edu.pl/sledziewska/wyklady/Goode%202003%20Dictionary%20of%20Trade%20Policy%20Terms.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">involves</a> a small group of participants (more than two, but fewer than most multilateral arrangements) targeting a narrow set of issues. During the Cold War, the Western bloc harmonized export controls via a <a href="https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/GPO-CRPT-105hrpt851/html/ch9bod.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">plurilateral regime</a> to prevent dual-use technologies from flowing to the Soviet Union and its satellite states. Today, the United States must rally semiconductor <a href="https://chinaselectcommittee.house.gov/sites/evo-subsites/selectcommitteeontheccp.house.gov/files/evo-media-document/selling-the-forges-of-the-future.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">toolmaking</a> allies and partners to pursue plurilateral controls that prevent China from accessing semiconductor manufacturing equipment (SME) critical for its capacity to conduct economic coercion, achieve global technological dominance, and militarily threaten democratic neighbors such as Taiwan.</p>
<p>The foundation for a new plurilateral regime is emerging in the U.S. Congress. In late April, the House Foreign Affairs Committee advanced the <a href="https://docs.house.gov/meetings/FA/FA00/20260422/119191/BILLS-119-6058-H001058-Amdt-86.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Semiconductor Technology Resilience, Integrity, and Defense Enhancement Act</a> (H.R. 6058, &ldquo;STRIDE Act&rdquo;), along with <a href="https://foreignaffairs.house.gov/news/press-releases/chairman-mast-hfac-advances-match-act" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">21 export control bills</a>. The STRIDE Act would require the State Department to coordinate with allies and partners on aligning export controls across the semiconductor supply chain.</p>
<p>If enacted, the STRIDE Act would codify an American obligation to work with allies and partners on harmonizing export controls. It would also grant the United States the flexibility to employ complementary instruments of statecraft to incentivize cooperation.</p>
<h2><strong>Current Gaps in Allied and American SME Export Controls</strong></h2>
<p>The <a href="https://www.wassenaar.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Wassenaar Arrangement</a>, established in 1996, is the primary <a href="https://www.csis.org/analysis/rethinking-wassenaar-minus-one-strategy" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">multilateral export control regime</a> for dual-use technologies. It is largely ineffective at controlling emerging technologies because of the obstructionism of adversarial members and the overly burdensome consensus-based process. Wassenaar comprises 42 members, including Russia but not China. Consensus is required to update the control list, which is implemented through each member state&rsquo;s legislative process. Member states have the ultimate discretion to approve or deny the license application, and since 2022, Russia has <a href="https://www.csis.org/analysis/rethinking-wassenaar-minus-one-strategy" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">vetoed</a> updates to the regime, blocking the addition of controls on emerging technologies. Critically, Wassenaar sets a regulatory floor, not a ceiling: member states may impose unilateral controls beyond the regime&rsquo;s list for dual-use goods and technologies, as the United States has done extensively through the <a href="https://www.ecfr.gov/current/title-15/subtitle-B/chapter-VII/subchapter-C" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Export Administration Regulations</a> (EAR).</p>
<p>Each member state&rsquo;s discretionary licensing policies create a regulatory gap that adversarial nations exploit to access controlled technologies. Moreover, Wassenaar&rsquo;s <a href="https://www.csis.org/analysis/toward-new-multilateral-export-control-regime" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">inability</a> to keep up with the pace and scope of today&rsquo;s strategic competition has pushed the United States and key allies toward unilateral and bilateral controls outside the multilateral framework in an attempt to close loopholes that China can exploit. For example, the United States tried to close <a href="https://static.cfr.org/sites/default/files/report_pdf/McGuire%20Testimony%20-%20HFAC%20Hearing%2011%2020%2025.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">SME loopholes</a> through the EAR&rsquo;s Foreign Direct Product Rule (&ldquo;FDP Rule&rdquo;), but enforcement remained limited without coordination and regulatory alignment with allies. The FDP Rule extends U.S. export controls over foreign items containing technology of American origin. Beyond extraterritorial jurisdiction, the United States struck a <a href="https://www.csis.org/analysis/clues-us-dutch-japanese-semiconductor-export-controls-deal-are-hiding-plain-sight" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">deal</a> with the Netherlands and Japan to harmonize a countrywide ban of the most advanced models of deep ultraviolet immersion (DUVi) lithography machines in 2023, while requiring <a href="https://rhg.com/research/all-in/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">licenses</a> to sell older models of DUVi equipment. DUVi machines are essential for <a href="https://www.aei.org/research-products/report/the-lithography-loophole-how-china-is-printing-its-way-to-chip-self-sufficiency/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">fabricating</a> logic and memory chips, the &ldquo;brains&rdquo; and &ldquo;filing cabinets&rdquo; of modern electronic devices.</p>
<p>As a result of the lag between the announcement of the deal and the Netherlands&rsquo; amendment of its own rules to align with U.S. export controls on DUVi, Chinese firms rushed to stockpile <a href="https://chinaselectcommittee.house.gov/sites/evo-subsites/selectcommitteeontheccp.house.gov/files/evo-media-document/selling-the-forges-of-the-future.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">older generation models</a>. In effect, these machines remained unlicensed until the Netherlands <a href="https://www.trendforce.com/news/2024/09/09/news-netherlands-expands-export-control-over-asmls-two-duv-machines-effective-on-september-7th/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">extended controls</a> to cover them in September 2024. Armed with this inventory, Chinese firms have employed a process called <a href="https://www.semi.org/en/changes-and-challenges-abound-multi-patterning-lithography" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">multi-patterning</a> on older DUVi lithography machines to manufacture more advanced chips than would otherwise be physically possible.</p>
<h2><strong>An Export Control Regime for Today&rsquo;s Advanced Technology</strong></h2>
<p>During the Cold War, the United States and 16 allies erected a voluntary and <a href="https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/GPO-CRPT-105hrpt851/html/ch9bod.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">informal</a> export control regime called the Coordinating Committee for Multilateral Export Controls (CoCom) to <a href="https://www.hoover.org/sites/default/files/research/docs/SiliconTriangle_Chapter%207.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">restrict the sale</a> of arms and dual-use technologies to the Soviet bloc. CoCom enabled participating countries to review and update tailored export control lists periodically and to coordinate licensing policies. It <a href="https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/GPO-CRPT-105hrpt851/html/ch9bod.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">dissolved</a> after the fall of the Soviet Union and was succeeded by the Wassenaar Arrangement. But Wassenaar&rsquo;s design is inadequate for today&rsquo;s geopolitical environment. What like-minded countries need now is a new plurilateral export control regime that is nimble and sectoral-focused to supplement a ponderous and broadly scoped Wassenaar.</p>
<p>Therefore, the United States and its allies and partners should strive to achieve a new plurilateral export control regime&mdash;one that enhances supply chain resilience and counters China&rsquo;s <a href="https://cset.georgetown.edu/wp-content/uploads/WorldECR-109-pp24-28-Article1-Wolf-Weinstein.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">objectives</a> to dominate global supply chains and advance its military modernization agenda. This could materialize in a sector-based &ldquo;<a href="https://www.hoover.org/sites/default/files/research/docs/SiliconTriangle_Chapter%207.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">CoCom 2.0</a>,&rdquo; providing a platform for the United States, Japan, the Netherlands, Germany, South Korea, and Taiwan to implement targeted controls on SME as a starting point, with the goal of eventually expanding controls across the semiconductor supply chain.</p>
<p>The House Foreign Affairs Committee&rsquo;s recent advancement of the STRIDE Act demonstrates a viable path toward a CoCom 2.0. If passed and signed into law, the STRIDE Act would effectively <a href="https://docs.house.gov/meetings/FA/FA00/20260422/119191/BILLS-119-6058-H001058-Amdt-86.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">establish</a> a core coordinating mechanism among techno-democracies. The law would direct the U.S. Secretary of State to identify a &ldquo;shared set of objectives&rdquo; with allies and partners to align export controls across the semiconductor value chain, including SME, materials, electronic design automation, and human resources. Critically, the bill aims to extend export control coordination over upstream chemical inputs, such as photoresists, specialty gases, and advanced substrates, highlighting a significant gap in the current EAR. This broad inclusion would work to prevent China&rsquo;s current <a href="https://dset.tw/en/publication-en/dset-latest-report-the-great-breakout-advanced-packaging-and-chinas-race-for-ai-compute-parity/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">circumvention of export controls</a> by also targeting inputs rather than just finished equipment.</p>
<p>Introducing a way to coordinate on export controls for SME could be paired with incentives for cooperation. Where the STRIDE Act would initiate the platform for member states to achieve common goals, treaty-level commitments, such as the <a href="https://ustr.gov/trade-agreements/agreements-reciprocal-trade" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Agreements on Reciprocal Trade</a> (ART), could be used to incentivize alignment on export controls. For example, the U.S.-Taiwan ART offers preferable trading terms and access to the U.S. market in exchange for export control alignment. Under <a href="https://ustr.gov/sites/default/files/files/Press/Releases/2026/AIT-TECRO%20ART%20sanitized.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Article 5.2 of the ART</a>, Taiwan is obligated to amend its export control regulations to incorporate the FDP Rule. Article 5.2 positions Taiwan as a cooperating party to enforce export controls that match the EAR. The United States could similarly negotiate agreements with other allies and partners to harmonize controls.</p>
<p>Although membership in the new plurilateral regime would be voluntary, the United States could also compel export control alignment among allies and partners who do not cooperate. In fact, the first CoCom was backstopped by the <a href="https://www.congress.gov/bill/82nd-congress/house-bill/4550" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Mutual Defense Assistance Control Act of 1951</a> (also known as the &ldquo;Battle Act&rdquo;), which threatened to terminate &ldquo;all military, economic, or financial assistance&rdquo; to any country that permitted the exports of controlled technologies to the Soviet bloc. The <a href="https://docs.house.gov/meetings/FA/FA00/20260422/119191/BILLS-1198170ANSih-U1.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Multilateral Alignment of Technology Controls on Hardware Act</a> (H.R. 8170, &ldquo;MATCH Act&rdquo;), which advanced alongside the STRIDE Act, would be the &ldquo;sticks&rdquo; to STRIDE&rsquo;s &ldquo;carrots.&rdquo; The MATCH Act would direct the Department of Commerce to assert extraterritorial jurisdiction over SME exported by allies that fail to align with U.S. regulatory restrictions on Chinese chipmaking firms within the statutory 240-day deadline. In doing so, the United States would telegraph to non-compliant allies and partners that continued SME exports to China are unacceptable.</p>
<p>Some allies are objecting to the proposed legislation. The Dutch Cabinet recently expressed <a href="https://www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2026/05/15/kabinet-maakt-bezwaar-tegen-amerikaans-wetvoorstel-dat-asml-kan-treffen-a4927965?utm_source=clipboard&amp;utm_medium=clipboard&amp;utm_campaign=share&amp;utm_term=share-modal&amp;gift_token=4927965~1781094475~U7Pecp0IEeKfgABQVoV_mg~yMlGE-Vdy_KgPUllzSQrqWdgopyhw3g5SItGIJcLQBo" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">opposition</a> to the MATCH Act because it views the bill&rsquo;s employment of the FDP Rule over Dutch SME exports as an infringement on its sovereignty. The Netherlands also fears that aligning with U.S. controls would complicate its relationship with China, which is increasingly confident in its tools of economic retaliation. The Chinese government promulgated its <a href="https://www.gov.cn/zhengce/content/202604/content_7065398.htm" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Regulations on Countering Improper Extraterritorial Jurisdiction by Foreign States</a> in April, which empowers it to prohibit foreign companies operating in China from complying with &ldquo;unjustified&rdquo; exercises of extraterritorial jurisdiction. These regulations would effectively enable Chinese authorities to deem compliance with the United States&rsquo; FDP Rule as illegal, placing businesses such as ASML, the Dutch company that manufactures photolithography machines, under contradictory legal obligations across two jurisdictions.</p>
<h2><strong>Regulatory, Economic, and Strategic Gains&nbsp; </strong></h2>
<p>A new plurilateral export control regime on SME would usher in significant benefits to participating countries who <a href="https://www.cnas.org/publications/commentary/export-controls-will-become-more-effective-when-they-include-plurilateral-controls" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">enforce</a>, administer, and update controls. Moreover, it would marshal the United States and its allies and partners behind a common objective of limiting China&rsquo;s access to technologies central to its drive for strategic dominance.</p>
<p>For example, this new type of export control regime would reduce regulatory friction between countries by providing consistency and predictability in the enforcement and administration of export controls. When regulations and licensing policies are harmonized, cooperation between countries and firms across jurisdictions can flourish without triggering risks of violations in another jurisdiction&mdash;which, in turn, fosters technological innovation and development. Further, harmonizing allied export controls with U.S. restrictions would render the FDP Rule moot, eliminating China&rsquo;s basis for invoking its regulations against foreign firms. For techno-democracies, this would be an assertion of sovereignty, not an abdication of it.</p>
<p>A new regime would also level the playing field among firms. American, Japanese, and Dutch companies would be subject to the same compliance, licensing, and restriction standards, evening out asymmetries in compliance costs and market access. Furthermore, companies in Taiwan, South Korea, and Japan would not have to <a href="https://www.hoover.org/sites/default/files/research/docs/SiliconTriangle_Chapter%207.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">compete</a> with Chinese firms for shipments of ASML&rsquo;s deep ultraviolet lithography machines.</p>
<p>Plurilateral controls on SME would also promote supply chain resilience among like-minded countries by restraining China&rsquo;s surge toward dominating certain industries, especially foundational semiconductor manufacturing. Dependencies on China for the very chips that power a wide range of technologies from <a href="https://www.martenscentre.eu/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Strategic-Autonomy-Requires-a-Strategic-Partner.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">cars</a> to advanced weapon systems pose significant risks to the security of the United States and its allies and partners. Thus, it is imperative to deny China the opportunity to conduct economic coercion by fortifying an <a href="https://en.mofa.gov.tw/News_Content.aspx?n=1575&amp;s=121217" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">alternative</a> semiconductor supply chain.</p>
<p>The United States is needed to lead a complex and coordinated export control effort. Congress should pass the STRIDE Act, the MATCH Act, and the other bills supporting the U.S. Commerce Department&rsquo;s enforcement capabilities. It will then be incumbent on the executive branch to demonstrate the political will to use export controls as a durable instrument of national power, and on allies and partners to match the commitment of the United States with equivalent enforcement standards.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/145562/effective-export-controls-semiconductor-equipment/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">It Takes More Than Two to Tango: Creating Effective Export Controls on Semiconductor Manufacturing Equipment</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-09T12:50:17+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Sylvia Chen</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-09T12:50:17+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="ai &amp; emerging technology"/>

	<category term="ai chips"/>

	<category term="artificial intelligence (ai)"/>

	<category term="china"/>

	<category term="congress"/>

	<category term="congressional authorization"/>

	<category term="cyber"/>

	<category term="department of commerce"/>

	<category term="diplomacy"/>

	<category term="economy"/>

	<category term="emerging technology"/>

	<category term="executive branch"/>

	<category term="export controls"/>

	<category term="featured articles"/>

	<category term="great power competition"/>

	<category term="international and foreign"/>

	<category term="law enforcement"/>

	<category term="rule of law"/>

	<category term="taiwan"/>

	<category term="technology"/>

	<category term="trade"/>

	<category term="trump administration second term"/>

	<category term="united states (us)"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-09:/293087</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146314/early-edition-july-9-2026/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=early-edition-july-9-2026" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Early Edition: July 9, 2026</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Signup to receive the Early Edition in your inbox&nbsp;here.
A curated weekday guide to major news and de...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Signup to receive the Early Edition in your inbox&nbsp;<a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/newsletter-signup/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">here</a>.</p>
<p>A curated weekday guide to major news and developments over the last 24 hours. Here&rsquo;s today&rsquo;s news:</p>
<p><b><i>IRAN WAR</i></b></p>
<p><b>The United States and Iran traded fresh strikes overnight into this morning and accused each other of violating the terms of their deal, </b><span>hours after President Trump said he thought the cease-fire was over. U.S. forces struck around 90 targets in Iran, including missile and drone storage sites, according to U.S. Central Command. Iran&rsquo;s military said it had responded with drone and missile strikes at U.S. bases in Kuwait, Bahrain, and Qatar. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said in a statement published by Iranian state media that if U.S. forces launched more strikes, the retaliation would expand to other U.S. bases in the region. Qasim Nauman, Tyler Pager, and Shirin Hakim report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/07/09/world/iran-war-us-trump" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>; Kay Johnson and Neha Mustafi report for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/iran-war-live-tehran-retaliates-kuwait-bahrain-after-second-day-us-strikes-2026-07-09/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b>For the first time since April, U.S. strikes appeared to target Iranian bridges. </b><span>Iranian state media reported a strike on a railway bridge in Iran&rsquo;s northeastern Golestan province, and the IRGC said two bridges were attacked on the route to Mashhad, where officials plan to bury the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei today. Jon Gambrell reports for </span><span>&nbsp;</span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-israel-war-oil-july-9-2026-0472764b119d7aa204de4f7f5e44a9bf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b>Iran&rsquo;s health ministry said today that U.S. strikes over the past two days had killed at least 14 people and wounded 78 others.</b><span> Euan Ward and Leily Nilounazar report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/07/09/world/iran-war-us-trump/cc1a15c9-5226-5cd6-903c-c6ed1da6bb3e?smid=url-share" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b>In Kuwait, the military said falling debris wounded one person as it shot down three ballistic missiles, a cruise missile, and 10 drones. </b><span>Bahrain said it shot down incoming fire, without providing further details.</span><span> J</span><span>on Gambrell reports for</span> <a href="https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-israel-war-oil-july-9-2026-0472764b119d7aa204de4f7f5e44a9bf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b>A U.S. official told </b><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/09/trump-iran-strait-hormuz-battle" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>Axios</b></a><b> that the current escalation could last a day or two, a week, or a month, depending on whether Iran continues its attacks on commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz. </b><span>&ldquo;We&rsquo;re going to slap them a bit so they understand we&rsquo;re not f*cking around,&rdquo; the U.S. official added. Trump signaled last night that the United States was ready to de-escalate, telling reporters on Air Force One that Iranian officials had &ldquo;called a little while ago&rdquo; and &ldquo;want to make a deal.&rdquo; Iranian officials have not confirmed this. Barak Ravid reports.</span></p>
<p><b>Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian </b><b>was attacked on Monday by a crowd of supporters of a hard-line faction that opposes any deal with the United States, </b><span>who tried to tackle him while shouting &ldquo;death to the appeaser,&rdquo; as he attended Khamenei&rsquo;s funeral procession, according to videos on social media and shared by his office. Another government official, Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, was assaulted with a rock on Monday as he was chased down an alley during the funeral. </span><span>Farnaz Fassihi reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/08/world/middleeast/iran-divisions-us-leaders.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>NATO SUMMIT&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Emerging from a closed-door meeting of NATO leaders yesterday, Trump told reporters, &ldquo;There was a lot of love in that room, a lot of unity.&rdquo; </b><span>A source said Trump had not repeated his earlier criticisms behind closed doors and instead told leaders that he wanted to keep the United States in NATO. French President Emmanuel Macron also said he did not hear any gripes from Trump, while Rutte said the alliance was &ldquo;more together than ever.&rdquo; The summit ended with a message of solidarity, as NATO allies, including Trump, affirmed their &ldquo;ironclad commitment&rdquo; to collective defence under the alliance&rsquo;s Article 5 pact in a </span><a href="https://www.nato.int/en/about-us/official-texts-and-resources/official-texts/2026/07/08/the-ankara-summit-declaration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>summit declaration</span></a><span>. Sabine Siebold, Gram Slattery, and Tuvan Gumrukcu report for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/nato-leaders-meet-ankara-after-trump-rekindles-disputes-over-iran-greenland-2026-07-08/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>; Steven Erlanger reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/08/world/europe/nato-summit-trump-declaration.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Trump also told reporters, while sitting alongside Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, that the United States would grant Ukraine the license to manufacture Patriot air-defense systems. </b><span>It remains unclear whether Trump meant that Ukraine would be allowed to produce Patriot batteries, interceptor missiles, or both. Carlotta Gall, Stanislav Kozliuk, and Cassandra Vinograd report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/08/world/europe/ukraine-nato-zelensky-trump.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Trump flew out of Turkey last night on the old Air Force One instead of his new Qatari-donated Boeing 747-8 as a security precaution related to the presumption of hostilities with Iran, </b><span>according to sources who said the change came at the urging of the Secret Service. Trump denied that the swap was made because of security concerns, claiming instead that it was so the new jet could leave early and make stops at U.S. military bases to show it off to troops because the aircraft is &ldquo;magnificent.&rdquo; Tyler Pager, Julian E. Barnes, Eric Schmitt, and Eric Lipton report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/08/us/politics/trump-air-force-one-security.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>RUSSIA-UKRAINE WAR</i></b><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Ukrainian drones today struck more Russian oil facilities and set two oil tankers ablaze in the Sea of Azov. </b><span>Russia&rsquo;s Defense Ministry said that air defenses downed 73 Ukrainian drones from late last night into this morning. Ukraine&rsquo;s Air Force said that Russia fired 94 long-range strike drones and two ballistic missiles at Ukraine last night. While 72 drones were jammed or intercepted, 19 drones and both missiles inflicted damage at 13 locations, it said.</span> <span>Illia Novikov reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-oil-trump-zelenskyy-putin-6cb5602f1cf309533ed0cf5c734e19d8" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Ukraine&rsquo;s prosecutor general today denied Kyiv&rsquo;s involvement in blowing up the Nord Stream gas pipelines in 2022 and proposed forming a joint investigation team with Germany.</b><span> German prosecutors allege that Serhii K., &#8288;an &#8203;active Ukrainian army officer in 2022, collaborated with &#8203;other military personnel to plan and execute the pipeline attacks to permanently disrupt gas deliveries and &#8203;curtail financing for Russia&rsquo;s war effort. </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraines-top-prosecutor-says-no-signs-kyiv-being-behind-nord-stream-blasts-2026-07-09/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Ukrainian police earlier this week raided the drone manufacturer Vyriy and the home of its owner, Oleksii Babenko, citing an investigation into alleged military contract overpricing, </b><span>but the timing has prompted concerns because Babenko also co-owns Babel, an independent news outlet that recently exposed alleged abuse and noncombat deaths of conscripted soldiers. Ukrainian journalists and press freedom groups argue the raids fit a broader pattern of increasing pressure on independent media during the war. Andrew E. Kramer reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/08/world/europe/ukraine-police-raid-media.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>ISRAEL-HAMAS WAR</i></b></p>
<p><b>Israeli airstrikes and gunfire killed at least nine Palestinians, including two children aged 10 and 6, in Gaza yesterday, </b><span>according to health officials. Medics said an Israeli airstrike killed one person near a school in Gaza City. Another airstrike hit a tent for displaced people in the Mawasi area in Khan Younis, killing four people. Later on Wednesday, Palestinian health officials said a 6-year-old boy was killed by Israeli gunfire, and &#8203;two separate strikes in other parts of Gaza City killed three people and &zwnj;wounded &#8288;several others. </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israeli-fire-kills-five-people-including-child-gaza-medics-say-2026-07-08/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Trump&rsquo;s Board of Peace is planning a pilot humanitarian zone for Gazans as a way to kickstart the stalled peace plan, </b><span>regardless of whether a deal is reached with Hamas on the plan&rsquo;s second phase, a board official said. The official did not specify the location, but said the board had identified secure areas that could host tens of thousands of Gazans, where goods and services could be scaled up to meet the humanitarian needs of those willing to move there. Maggie Michael and Nidal Al-Mughrabi report for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/trumps-board-peace-planning-pilot-humanitarian-zone-gaza-official-says-2026-07-08/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The U.N. &zwnj;Independent International Commission of Inquiry on the Occupied Palestinian Territory yesterday called for the immediate release of Hussam Abu Safiya, </b><span>the director of Kamal Adwan Hospital in Gaza. Rights groups and Abu Safiya&rsquo;s &#8203;lawyer have said his life is in imminent danger, and he continues to be &#8203;held without charge. Olivia Le Poidevin reports for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/un-inquiry-urges-release-gaza-doctor-held-by-israel-since-december-2024-2026-07-08/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>SUDANESE CIVIL WAR&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>The International Criminal Court has &ldquo;concrete evidence&rdquo; linking leaders of the Sudanese Rapid Support Forces paramilitary to recent war crimes in Darfur, </b><span>ICC Deputy Chief Prosecutor Nazhat Shameem Khan told </span><a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c9928zr2m5xo" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>BBC News</span></a><span>. Khan said the ICC had reached a &ldquo;breakthrough&rdquo; in its investigation into the massacres of civilians in el-Fasher and el-Geneina, adding, &ldquo;it may take time for justice to develop, to be brought to court, but we will get there.&rdquo; Thomas Mukhwana and Kaleb Moges report.</span></p>
<p><b><i>OTHER GLOBAL DEVELOPMENTS</i></b><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>An internal International Criminal Court report seen by the </b><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/08/world/europe/internal-file-finds-icc-prosecutor-engaged-in-sexual-harassment.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>New York Times</b></a><b> concluded that Chief Prosecutor Karim Khan abused his authority by engaging in a sexual relationship with a junior staff member</b><span> and attempting to discourage her from pursuing misconduct allegations. ICC member states are set to vote on July 24 on whether to remove him from office. Amanda Taub reports.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>TECH DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Meta announced yesterday that it will invest more than $9.1 billion to build its first AI data center in Canada and its largest outside the United States. </b><span>The data center will use a closed-loop cooling system that will not draw water from surrounding sources, Meta added.</span> <a href="https://apnews.com/article/meta-ai-data-center-canada-922a7d15ab730ec53b934269fc00a0fa" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. FOREIGN AFFAIRS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Trump yesterday informed Syrian President Ahmed &#8203;al-Sharaa that he had decided to remove Syria from the &zwnj;U.S. list of designated state sponsors of terrorism. </b><span>&ldquo;I promised to remove all barriers stopping you from rebuilding your country, and very soon, you will finally be able to do &#8203;so,&rdquo; Trump wrote in a letter to Sharaa seen by </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-says-he-thinks-he-will-remove-syria-us-terrorism-sponsor-list-2026-07-08/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>. Trump said he had notified Congress, which will now conduct a 45-day review before the decision can take effect. Gram Slattery, Bo Erickson, and Steve Holland report.</span></p>
<p><b>Secretary of State Marco Rubio has invited senior ministers from more than 60 countries to a meeting next week about the &ldquo;resurgence of transnational far-left terrorism,&rdquo;</b><span> according to documents reviewed by the </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2026/07/09/rubio-tries-enlist-other-nations-antifa-fight-some-allies-recoil/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Washington Post</span></a><span>. The planned meeting has faced skepticism from U.S. officials, allies, and terrorism experts. Critics argue the effort risks politicizing counterterrorism tools, noting that many governments do not view antifa as a major terrorist threat and warning that such measures could be used against political opponents in the future. Ellen Nakashima, John Hudson, and Adam Taylor report.</span></p>
<p><b>Deputy Secretary of State Chris Landau is suspected of having twice miscommunicated U.S. policy to two countries about Venezuela&rsquo;s exiled opposition leader, Maria Corina Machado,</b><span> according to seven senior administration officials. Sources said that Landau gave foreign officials the impression that Washington supported Machado&rsquo;s plans to return to Venezuela after the recent earthquake. &ldquo;There&rsquo;s a widespread belief that Landau went rogue,&rdquo; one of the sources told </span><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/08/state-department-official-machado-venezuela" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Axios</span></a><span>. &ldquo;And the evidence supports that belief.&rdquo; Marc Caputo reports.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Mexican attorney general&rsquo;s office said yesterday that it was investigating a recent report by the online news site Pie de Nota that connected the FBI to the notorious drug lord Ismael &ldquo;El Mayo&rdquo; Zambada Garc&iacute;a&rsquo;s arrest in Mexico in 2024.</b><span> The report included a statement that it attributed to the FBI, claiming that its special agents had &ldquo;carried out the arrest and transfer of one of the United States government&rsquo;s top targets.&rdquo;</span><span> U.S. officials have long maintained that U.S. agents played no role in the transfer. Paulina Villegas reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/09/world/americas/mexico-el-mayo-fbi-us-cartel.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. IMMIGRATION DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum yesterday vowed to respond to the killing of Lorenzo Salgado Araujo by ICE this week with &ldquo;legal measures&rdquo; that would &ldquo;go beyond&rdquo; complaining to international bodies or releasing a diplomatic statement. </b><span>&ldquo;We cannot permit the mistreatment of our brothers in the United States,&rdquo; Sheinbaum said. &ldquo;So we are preparing measures.&rdquo;</span><span> Sheinbaum&rsquo;s spokesperson declined to clarify precisely what sort of legal response the president intended. Terrence McCoy reports for the </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2026/07/08/mexicos-president-pledges-take-ice-court-after-slaying-mexican-immigrant/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Washington Post</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The family of Lorenzo Salgado Araujo is calling for an independent and transparent investigation into his death, </b><span>arguing that key details remain unclear and that authorities have not released evidence supporting their account that he used his vehicle as a weapon. The Department of Homeland Security&rsquo;s inspector general&rsquo;s office has announced an investigation, and the FBI&rsquo;s Houston office is focusing its investigation on what ICE called an assault on a federal law enforcement officer. Edgar Sandoval reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/08/us/houston-ice-shooting.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. DOMESTIC DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>A member of a federal crime-fighting task force in Memphis fatally shot a person while serving a drug warrant yesterday, </b><span>marking the second deadly shooting involving the Memphis Safe Task Force in four days. Travis Loller reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/memphis-shooting-task-force-federal-eea039cff91552f547359dd4acd32e04" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The former Wisconsin judge, Hannah C. Dugan, was fined $5,000 yesterday but spared prison time,</b><span> months after a federal jury convicted her of obstructing federal immigration agents from arresting an undocumented migrant. Mitch Smith reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/08/us/hannah-dugan-judge-sentencing-milwaukee.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Graham Platner, the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine, suspended his campaign yesterday under intense pressure from all corners of his party after a woman accused him of rape.</b> <span>Bayliss Wagner, Lisa Lerer, and Katie Glueck report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/08/us/politics/graham-platner-maine-senate.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>TRUMP ADMINISTRATION ACTIONS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Trump said yesterday on social media that he will ask the Supreme Court to reconsider its decision to strike down his executive order that aimed to revoke birthright citizenship. </b><span>The last time the justices granted a rehearing request after a case decision was in 1965. The court has only once reversed itself after rehearing a case.</span><span> Erica L. Green and Abbie VanSickle report.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>TRUMP ADMINISTRATION LITIGATION&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>A federal appeals court yesterday </b><a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.cadc.43300/gov.uscourts.cadc.43300.01208867258.0_3.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>denied</b></a><b> a request from the Kennedy Center&rsquo;s board to restore Trump&rsquo;s name to the institution while the board appeals an earlier ruling that said the name change was illegal and had it rescinded.</b><span> Jesse Bedayn reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/trump-kennedy-center-name-lawsuit-5ee3073d3df9549fcd27b597df8c1ed4" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>A federal judge ruled yesterday that E. Jean Carroll can collect $5.8 million held in escrow since a jury found that Trump sexually abused and defamed her. </b><span>Trump&rsquo;s lawyers immediately appealed but were denied an emergency order to block the payment from being made.</span><span> Michael R. Sisak and Larry Neumeister report for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/trump-e-jean-carroll-sexual-abuse-defamation-fe911fa64d58b03b4d96a628a5cdccb0" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
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<p><strong>ICYMI: Yesterday on<em>&nbsp;Just Security</em></strong></p>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/143447/transitional-justice-after-trump/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Breaking the Cycle:&nbsp;Transitional Justice in&nbsp;America&nbsp;After&nbsp;Trump</a></p>
<p>By <span>D. Wes Rist&nbsp;and&nbsp;Alka Pradhan</span></p>
<div>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146038/middle-powers-international-order/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">A Path For Middle Powers and a Rules-Based International Order: A Functional Perspective</a></p>
<p>By <span>Kai Ambos&nbsp;and&nbsp;Abdi Scheybani</span></p>
<div>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/145569/vetting-foreign-ai-talent-security-without-exclusion/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Vetting Foreign AI Talent: Security Without Exclusion</a></p>
<p>By Joe Khawam&nbsp;and&nbsp;Tim Schnabel</p>
</div>
</div>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146314/early-edition-july-9-2026/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Early Edition: July 9, 2026</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-09T12:09:49+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Elisabeth Jennings</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-09T12:09:49+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="daily news roundup"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-08:/293031</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/143447/transitional-justice-after-trump/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=transitional-justice-after-trump" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Breaking the Cycle: Transitional Justice in America After Trump</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Eighteen months&nbsp;into the second Trump administration, many of the president&rsquo;s directives have been c...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p><span>Eighteen months&nbsp;into the second Trump administration, many of the president&rsquo;s directives have been challenged as not just&nbsp;unprecedented, but as&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a/the-brazen-illegality-of-trumps-venezuela-operation" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>illegal</span></a><span>, unconstitutional, and&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/133689/accountability-us-crimes-caribbean-pacific/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>even criminal</span></a><span>.&nbsp;Resistance to Trump&rsquo;s blatantly unlawful actions, including the targeted </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/120753/collection-u-s-lethal-strikes-on-suspected-drug-traffickers/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>killing</span></a><span> of suspected drug traffickers at sea, explicit&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/108596/timeline-politicization-weaponization-justice-department/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>manipulation</span></a><span> of the&nbsp;Department of Justice&nbsp;for </span><a href="https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/is-trump-s--anti-weaponization--slush-fund-dead--or-is-it-undead" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>political and personal financial gain</span></a><span>, the&nbsp;misuse of congressionally allocated funds to reshape federal institutions, the removal of federal civil servants, and the&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/what-congressional-resolutions-mean-for-the-war-in-iran" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>use of force against foreign countries</span></a><span> and</span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/120753/collection-u-s-lethal-strikes-on-suspected-drug-traffickers/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>&nbsp;kidnapping</span></a><span> of foreign heads of state, go beyond the disagreements inherent in how to govern a nation as powerful and globally active as the United States. A string of court </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/107087/tracker-litigation-legal-challenges-trump-administration/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>decisions</span></a><span>, ranging from trial judges at the district level all the way up to the U.S. Supreme Court, have&nbsp;</span><a href="https://reason.com/volokh/2025/12/25/thoughts-on-the-supreme-court-ruling-against-trump-in-the-illinois-national-guard-case/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>repudiated</span></a> <a href="https://conservativebrief.com/supreme-court-immigrat-101949/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">many</a> of<span>&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.business-standard.com/world-news/us-refunds-22-bn-in-tariffs-after-court-setback-to-trump-s-trade-policy-126061100133_1.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>these policies</span></a><span>. The Trump administration has reacted to those decisions with vitriol,&nbsp;threats of impeachment, and </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/09/us/politics/vance-trump-federal-courts-executive-order.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>threats</span></a><span> to ignore judicial decisions.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Let&rsquo;s be clear, many of the flaws exposed by the Trump administration were baked into the American system, if not actively encouraged by previous administrations and Congresses of both political parties. Americans often accepted the premise that unwritten, extralegal norms would serve as abiding checks on unlawful actions. Given the prominence that the Constitution plays in America&rsquo;s self-mythologizing, it is somewhat surprising that so many fundamental gaps in governance were permitted to continue. However, the judiciary&rsquo;s reliance on those same norms &ndash; primarily under the guise of </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/113589/political-question-alien-enemies-act/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>deference</span></a><span> &ndash; to avoid contentious decisions involving political issues contributed to a culture where it was seemingly impossible to fathom certain politically salient issues could be resolved in front of judges. What&rsquo;s more, there has been insufficient political will in Congress to address these issues through legislation or effective oversight. In too many contexts, non-binding norms </span><i><span>within</span></i><span> the executive branch were left as the only &ldquo;check&rdquo; on&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/131538/trump-war-powers-venezuela-olc-memo/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>ascendant presidential power</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>It is in this context of unparalleled assaults on the rule of law in the United States&nbsp;that&nbsp;we&nbsp;must discuss how to address these failures in&nbsp;a post-Trump America.&nbsp;The bad news is that America has a history of trying to &ldquo;turn the page&rdquo; on its institutional failures, going all the way back to&nbsp;the original sin of&nbsp;slavery and&nbsp;</span><a href="https://msa.maryland.gov/lynching-truth-reconciliation/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>race-based&nbsp;violence</span></a><span>,&nbsp;segregation,&nbsp;and&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.rsfjournal.org/content/10/3/114" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>discrimination</span></a><span>, but also encompassing intentional wrongful acts against Native American populations, gender-based discrimination, anti-LGBTQIA+ policies and laws, war crimes against civilians (in almost every conflict the United States has engaged in), the officially-authorized&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2012/aug/31/obama-justice-department-immunity-bush-cia-torturer" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>torture programs</span></a><span> in the post-9/11 era (including at Guantanamo Bay and in Abu Ghraib), and&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2019/03/22/iraq-war-wmds-an-intelligence-failure-or-white-house-spin/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>negligent or even intentional misleading</span></a><span> of congressional or judicial bodies by the executive branch over issues of national security and foreign policy. America&rsquo;s national sense of identity has always embraced a &ldquo;moving forward&rdquo; narrative (for good and for ill) and &ndash; outliers like Watergate and Iran Contra aside &ndash; voters have very rarely found a fault so foul that U.S. leaders couldn&rsquo;t survive justifying avoiding the uncomfortable task of facing up to government failures.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The good news is that&nbsp;tools to address the U.S. government&rsquo;s most recent failures don&rsquo;t&nbsp;have to be invented from whole cloth &ndash; they exist in the field of </span><a href="https://www.ictj.org/what-transitional-justice" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>transitional justice</span></a><span>. Often seen as a post-conflict mechanism, transitional justice tools can be useful outside of that context, such as when nations grapple with competing narratives about what &ldquo;really happened.&rdquo;</span></p>
<p><span>In fact, America has&nbsp;contributed to the development&nbsp;of transitional justice tools in myriad ways, including through&nbsp;numerous&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.nesl.edu/practical-experiences/center-for-international-law-policy/transitional-justice-in-the-usa-project" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>local, state, and regional programs</span></a><span>, direct support for&nbsp;</span><a href="https://2021-2025.state.gov/transitional-justice-policy-paper-series/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>research and study of best practices</span></a><span>, developing the capacity to&nbsp;</span><a href="https://2021-2025.state.gov/funding-opportunities-office-of-global-criminal-justice" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>support transitional justice</span></a> <span>efforts in countries and communities important to U.S. national interests, and training a robust cadre of professional civil servants who dedicated far more than their &ldquo;40 hours a week&rdquo; to wrestling with these challenges and exploring the best ways to move forward. That doesn&rsquo;t mean the work will be easy. But it does mean useful tools already exist, and the United States has </span><a href="https://thurgoodmarshallcenter.howard.edu/transitional-justice-mechanisms" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>significant&nbsp;experience</span></a><span>, inside of government and in the robust&nbsp;</span><a href="https://civiliansinconflict.org/publications/research/unaccountable-rethinking-us-security-sector-accountability-across-the-domestic-international-divide/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>civil society community</span></a><span>,&nbsp;in&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.nesl.edu/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/TJ-in-the-USA-Trends-Report-2026.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>applying them</span></a><span>.&nbsp;What Americans must find is a willingness to apply these tools to ourselves, possibly for the first time in a substantive way since the failed experiment of Reconstruction.&nbsp;</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Transitional justice as a field of practice&nbsp;incorporates four pillars or key principles:&nbsp;(1) truth seeking;&nbsp;(2)&nbsp;justice and accountability;&nbsp;(3)&nbsp;reparations; and&nbsp;(4)&nbsp;institutional reform. Each of these poses&nbsp;real challenges&nbsp;and could&nbsp;be the subject of&nbsp;an entire article about what might be necessary to pursue them&nbsp;in the current moment. But all of them have been&nbsp;used&nbsp;by the United States in response to internal failures in the past, although rarely in combination.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><b>Past Attempts at Applying Transitional Justice in America</b></h2>
<p><span>Examination of the transitional justice model in the context of post-9/11 violations illustrates the U.S. path to its current democratic challenges. The feeble attempts at accountability seemed designed for token reference, rather than delivery of justice. Regarding truth-seeking, the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence spent six years investigating the CIA torture program and then assembling a 6700-page report that </span><a href="https://www.intelligence.senate.gov/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/sites-default-filesations-crpt-113srpt288.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>found</span></a><span>, definitively, what some have known for </span><a href="https://exhibits.library.cornell.edu/witchcraft/catalog/188-12782" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>hundreds</span></a><span> of years &ndash; that torture is neither effective nor legal. When a highly redacted executive summary of the report was released in 2014, it was lauded as a first step of transparency that would lead to closing a shameful chapter in U.S. history. But there was no next step &ndash; the full report remains classified, including to </span><a href="https://www.law.upenn.edu/live/blogs/27-guantanamo-military-commissions-wading-through" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>security-cleared</span></a><span> lawyers for the torture victims at Guantanamo Bay. Without further declassification of the full torture program, the American public remains </span><a href="https://politicalviolenceataglance.org/2022/03/28/stop-trying-to-convince-americans-that-torture-doesnt-work/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>conflicted</span></a><span> on the use of torture, even as </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2022/06/03/us/politics/cia-gina-haspel-black-site.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>former officials</span></a><span> who initiated and enabled the program have been promoted in successive administrations.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Justice via prosecutions hit early walls under the George W. Bush administration. The prosecution of low-ranking military service-members for the torture and murders at Abu Ghraib and in Afghanistan entirely avoided examining the </span><a href="https://www.hrw.org/report/2011/07/12/getting-away-torture/bush-administration-and-mistreatment-detainees" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>orders from&nbsp;Secretary Rumsfeld</span></a><span> through the chain of command for criminal responsibility. The highly limited Durham investigation into the CIA torture program closed </span><a href="https://www.justice.gov/archives/opa/pr/statement-attorney-general-eric-holder-closure-investigation-interrogation-certain-detainees" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>without a single indictment</span></a><span>, despite evidence that CIA personnel&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/jan/25/some-folks-were-tearful-cia-waterboarding-on-trial-in-guantanamo" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>committed grave crimes</span></a><span> beyond the purported legal authorization provided for the torture program. And when the International Criminal Court decided to investigate alleged U.S. crimes in Afghanistan, the first Trump administration hit the Court with sanctions. (Biden took his time lifting those sanctions, but they were </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/trump-administration-imposes-new-sanctions-four-icc-judges-prosecutors-2025-08-20/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>imposed</span></a><span> again under the second Trump administration).</span></p>
<p><span>The idea that Americans are above the law when it comes to overseas harm has, predictably, been expanded exponentially by recent administrations, with executive </span><a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/president-trump-navy-seal-eddie-gallagher-60-minutes-2020-03-01/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>meddling</span></a><span> in the Eddie Gallagher murder case as a prime example. Not only are U.S. officials immune to consequences, but the perpetrators tend to &ldquo;fail up.&rdquo; Many advocates, imploring the incoming Biden administration for accountability in 2021, highlighted how </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/55855/diplomats-speak-opposition-gina-haspels-nomination-head-cia/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Gina Haspel</span></a><span>, who destroyed evidence of torture at the black sites, became CIA director. Judge Jay Bybee, then Assistant Attorney General for DOJ&rsquo;s Office of Legal Counsel, </span><a href="https://time.com/archive/6914445/jay-bybee-the-man-behind-waterboarding/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>signed off</span></a><span> on the so-called Torture Memos in his official capacity. He was later nominated and confirmed to the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals, prior to the public disclosure of the memos. After their revelation, the </span><a href="https://www.law.com/article/almID/1202443963173/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>DOJ under President Obama</span></a><span> cleared him of any wrongdoing, </span><a href="https://ccrjustice.org/home/press-center/press-releases/opr-report-out-ccr-calls-impeachment-and-criminal-investigation" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>squashing</span></a><span> calls for his impeachment.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Without a willingness to implement the first two pillars and admit wrongdoing, reparations and institutional reform&nbsp;may&nbsp;seem distant.&nbsp;America&rsquo;s history with reparations is tense, to put it mildly. But there was a concrete example in the&nbsp;</span><a href="https://history.house.gov/Exhibitions-and-Publications/APA/Historical-Essays/Exclusion-to-Inclusion/Redress/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Civil Liberties Act of 1988</span></a><span>, which granted $20,000 and a formal presidential apology to each surviving internee of the&nbsp;Japanese-American&nbsp;internment camps.&nbsp;State </span><a href="https://thedailyrecord.com/2025/12/16/maryland-override-moore-veto-reparations-climate-studies/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>legislators in Maryland</span></a><span> recently overrode Governor Wes Moore&rsquo;s veto of the Reparations Commission to authorize a study into the appropriate form of reparations related to Maryland&rsquo;s history of enslavement.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Institutional reform is&nbsp;perhaps what&nbsp;America likes best, as, in the way America has implemented the principle,&nbsp;it removes the focus from the individual and instead says &ldquo;the system was at fault.&rdquo; One&nbsp;very relevant&nbsp;such institutional reform followed the Vietnam War, when Congress&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/tag/war-powers-resolution/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>passed the War Powers Resolution</span></a><span> in 1973. However, even that&nbsp;groundbreaking&nbsp;legislation, which was enacted by a Congress sufficiently&nbsp;in lock step to override a presidential veto, has been weakened by the judiciary&nbsp;(</span><i><span>INS v. Chadha</span></i><span> essentially neutered its crucial concurrent resolution mechanism for terminating illegal wars)&nbsp;and&nbsp;sidestepped, dissembled&nbsp;against, or&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/congress-hasnt-officially-declared-war-since-wwii-heres-how-presidential-war-powers-have-played-out-since-then" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>flat out ignored by the current administration</span></a><span>. There have been other institutional reform efforts that have made a meaningful difference but failed in the long-term to prevent serious abuses of executive authority.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Perhaps most&nbsp;disturbing, neither party&nbsp;during the past two presidential administrations has&nbsp;seemed particularly interested in </span><a href="https://www.aei.org/op-eds/we-have-to-deal-with-presidential-power/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>strengthening safeguards against the executive</span></a><span> when their party is in power.&nbsp;In fact, the corrosive culture of impunity that has risen over a generation now seems to prevent institutional reform; Trump wears&nbsp;it&nbsp;as armor as he destroys the&nbsp;procedures by which any such reform would take place.&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><b>Transitional Justice in a Future America</b></h2>
<p><span>Applying these principles in a post-Trump U.S. government that actively&nbsp;seeks&nbsp;to repair, rather than ignore, the structural flaws this administration has highlighted&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.techpolicy.press/why-documenting-ices-violent-raids-is-only-half-the-accountability-battle/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>will not be easy</span></a><span>. It will take dedicated political pressure from Congress, a willingness to act outside of political party self-interest, an honest assessment of past failures by administrations of both parties, and a willingness to put unpopular but necessary actions over the chance of re-election.&nbsp;Some might argue that there&rsquo;s little evidence that American political leadership of any party is willing to take on those kinds of risks,&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.theadvocatesforhumanrights.org/MNTruthCouncil" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>at least at a federal level</span></a><span>. Which is why we write this now &ndash;&nbsp;because&nbsp;such an undertaking&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/133689/accountability-us-crimes-caribbean-pacific/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>will require active engagement by Americans</span></a><span>&nbsp;of all political stripes who&nbsp;are tired of our democratic processes being manipulated for theater or personal gain, or simply to whitewash the past and press forward.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>We have seen political actors rise to the challenge in the past. Reform efforts and censure of bad actors in response to </span><a href="https://hls.harvard.edu/today/watergate-era-reforms-50-years-later/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Watergate</span></a><span>, </span><a href="https://millercenter.org/issues-policy/foreign-policy/iran-contra-affair" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Iran Contra</span></a><span>, and the </span><a href="https://www.senate.gov/about/powers-procedures/censure/133Joseph_McCarthy.htm" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>abuses by Senator McCarthy</span></a><span> all took place in a bipartisan manner and offer hope of the possibility of such actions in the future. If the American experiment is to continue, it requires that new actors do so again, and </span><a href="https://ilac.illinois.gov/commission-updates/gov--pritzker-signs-executive-order-to-establish-the-illinois-ac.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>in new ways</span></a><span>. We have to be those actors, or put those actions in motion ourselves. We have seen some small but significant steps, like the </span><a href="https://ilac.illinois.gov/content/dam/soi/en/web/ilac/documents/final-report/IAC-Final-Report-April-2026.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Illinois Accountability Commission</span></a><span> (which aims to keep an independent public record of federal immigration enforcement actions during &ldquo;Operation Midway,&rdquo; grounded in evidence, testimony, and investigative review), in this direction already. Others have </span><a href="https://internationalpolicy.org/publications/we-need-accountability-from-venezuela-to-minnesota/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>called attention</span></a><span>&nbsp;to this need for national accountability.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>But we need more &ndash; a comprehensive willingness to engage in the idea that America&nbsp;isn&rsquo;t&nbsp;perfect and when it stumbles, the American people must address those failures before we try to move on.&nbsp;For the failures and fractures revealed in the past decade (and going back further) are not transitory, and they are cumulative. In the current administration, we can see the accumulated weight of these failures causing serious, systemic harm to the continued exercise of American governance.&nbsp;Addressing these failures is not, will not, and cannot be a simple process of returning to business as usual after a token nod to accountability.&nbsp;It will require sustained commitment and confronting uncomfortable truths.</span></p>
<p><span>Transitional justice tools also serve a broader function than just the critical need to address serious fractures in American rule of law. The international community has watched with dismay as American leadership attempts forceful export of unchecked executive power to international legal norms, revealing itself to be an inconsistent ally at best, and too often an outright adversary. The use of internationally recognized transitional justice tools at home will signal a serious and credible effort to repair the years of broken promises, failed policies, and intentional disengagement from collective international efforts. American Exceptionalism, currently an anachronistic form of national self-deception in a globalized world, must be re-conceived to reflect the values-driven leader that the United States could still become &ndash; with transparency, accountability, reparations, and reform.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><i><span>Author&rsquo;s Note: This article reflects the personal views of the authors and does not represent the opinion of the Department of Defense.</span></i></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/143447/transitional-justice-after-trump/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Breaking the Cycle:&nbsp;Transitional Justice in&nbsp;America&nbsp;After&nbsp;Trump</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-08T13:15:19+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>D. Wes Rist</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-08T13:15:19+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="abu ghraib"/>

	<category term="accountability"/>

	<category term="civil liberties"/>

	<category term="constitution"/>

	<category term="constitutional law"/>

	<category term="courts &amp; litigation"/>

	<category term="democracy &amp; rule of law"/>

	<category term="democratic backsliding &amp; solutions"/>

	<category term="department of justice (doj)"/>

	<category term="donald trump"/>

	<category term="executive branch"/>

	<category term="foreign policy"/>

	<category term="gina haspel"/>

	<category term="guantanamo"/>

	<category term="human rights"/>

	<category term="immigration and customs enforcement (ice)"/>

	<category term="impeachment"/>

	<category term="international justice"/>

	<category term="john yoo"/>

	<category term="lgbtq+"/>

	<category term="reparations"/>

	<category term="rule of law"/>

	<category term="supreme court (scotus)"/>

	<category term="transitional justice"/>

	<category term="trump administration second term"/>

	<category term="war crimes"/>

	<category term="war powers resolution"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-08:/293013</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146038/middle-powers-international-order/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=middle-powers-international-order" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">A Path For Middle Powers and a Rules-Based International Order: A Functional Perspective</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>In recent years, criticism of international law &ndash; more precisely, of the law regulating the use of m...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p><span>In recent years, criticism of international law &ndash; more precisely, of the law regulating the use of military force &ndash; has intensified in parts of the media and political circles. The context of this criticism has varied considerably. During the Ukraine war, the lack of enforcement of international law was lamented; during the Gaza war, the focus on international law was criticized as misplaced &ndash; the protection of Israel was the predominant value to many, especially in Germany, more so than adherence to international humanitarian law; and with regard to Iran, international law was accused of being in the way of policies to punish the regime&rsquo;s crimes against its own population and to prevent its development of nuclear weapons. International law &ndash; as critics complain &ndash; ignores &ldquo;Realpolitik,&rdquo; thereby revealing its ineffectiveness to mitigate global crises.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>This criticism manifests itself in five narratives that repeatedly surface in one form or another and tend to dominate some important public debates:</span></p>
<p><span>International law</span></p>
<ol>
<li><span> is merely a facade for power politics</span></li>
<li><span> is worthless because it is constantly being violated</span></li>
<li><span> protects perpetrators instead of victims</span></li>
<li><span> is too dogmatic&nbsp;</span></li>
<li><span> primarily represents Western values</span></li>
</ol>
<p><span>We will analyze these five narratives in turn, showing that they are sometimes partially, sometimes fundamentally flawed. These narratives are neither mutually exclusive nor do they represent the entire spectrum of criticism directed at international law regulating the use of force. At their core, they all concern the relationship between interests and universal norms, or&mdash;more fundamentally&mdash;the relationship between power and law. They originate from different schools of thought and can therefore be partly contradictory (e.g., the claim that international law is powerless versus the claim it undercuts beneficial policies). The reason for our selection is empirical: many politicians and journalists consciously or unconsciously are influenced by these narratives in their assessment of international law in global conflicts.</span></p>
<h2><b>Narrative 1: International law is merely a facade of power politics</b></h2>
<p><span>In a nutshell, this narrative suggests that international legal institutions merely reflect power relations; they generally lack their own power base and therefore enforcement capacity, rendering the law largely ineffective.</span></p>
<p><span>In its clearest form, this narrative is espoused by proponents of </span><a href="https://wwnorton.com/books/9780393349276" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>offensive realism in political science</span></a><span>. This theory of international relations posits that, due to the anarchic nature of the international system and out of fear of other States, major powers inevitably strive for maximum material resources and regional hegemony. Tactical agreements can take the form of international treaties. However, these would be respected only as long as they serve the political interests of the parties involved. International law thus appears as a kind of superstructural phenomenon of material political structures. A change in the underlying basis, i.e., the balance of power, renders international agreements obsolete. This position, albeit in a weaker form, is also advocated, for example, by </span><a href="https://www.rowohlt.de/verlag/rights/book/herfried-muenkler-welt-in-aufruhr-9783737101608#:~:text=WORLD%20IN%20TURMOIL%20%E2%80%93%20The%20Order,Century%20%2D%20Herfried%20M%C3%BCnkler%20%7C%20Rowohlt%20Verlag" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Herfried M&uuml;nkler</span></a><span>. While he does not axiomatically assume a hegemonic drive among States, he points out that international law is ineffective without a power base. Don&rsquo;t these authors have a point when they refer to the impotence of international law?</span></p>
<p><span>First of all, it must be acknowledged that there is, indeed, no authority that can boast a monopoly of the legitimate use of force at the international level. There is no world police that apprehends criminals on behalf of a world government. While international courts do exist, in particular the International Court of Justice (ICJ) and the International Criminal Court (ICC), their judgments and decisions must ultimately be enforced by States, either through collective bodies (the UN Security Council, the ICC Assembly of States Parties) or through decentralized form by individual or ad hoc groups of States. Furthermore, the jurisdiction of these and other international courts is limited. States must, in principle, submit voluntarily to the ICJ (or recognize a treaty that establishes its jurisdiction, e.g., the Genocide Convention), and the ICC can, in essence, only act on crimes committed within the territory of its member States. For the latter that also means that nationals of major powers such as the United States, China, and Russia, but also those of India, Pakistan, and Israel, for example, are generally beyond its jurisdiction, and when they come within the jurisdiction, it is hard if not impossible to imagine the ICC actually exercising custody over them. It must also be acknowledged that the Security Council in its current form is dysfunctional because key decisions are repeatedly blocked by the veto power, especially of the P3 (China, Russia, United States) and its composition is no longer representative of today&rsquo;s world.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>At the same time, however, this line of criticism primarily concerns the law on the use of force, especially the fundamental prohibition on the use of force enshrined in the UN Charter, and applies only to a limited extent, or not at all, to the many other areas of international law. It is important to understand the enormous scope of international law: all regulations that are not purely national, but rather transnational in some way, fall under international law, such as a bilateral treaty between two States to settle border disputes. One does not need to be a systems theorist to understand that rules reduce complexity, create reliability, and thereby promote the smooth functioning of political and economic processes. This happens daily &ndash; in the most </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/145416/as-american-as-international-law/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>quotidian of ways</span></a><span> &ndash; and is in the interest of most, if not all, States involved.</span></p>
<p><span>Even with regard to the law on the use of force, a </span><a href="https://academic.oup.com/bybil/advance-article/doi/10.1093/bybil/brag001/8684934" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>recent study</span></a><span> shows that the respective prohibition has consistently served as a guideline for State action between 1945 and 2020. Despite disputes over interpretation and application, the law has remained the central normative framework, both for the States concerned and for international responses. What&rsquo;s more, </span><a href="https://www.jstor.org/stable/3181640?pq-origsite=summon&amp;seq=1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>compliance studies</span></a><span> show that a large proportion of the ICJ judgments are implemented, even though implementation cannot be enforced. The same is true for regional human rights courts, especially the European Court of Human Rights in Strasbourg. When it comes to trade, maritime law, or border regulations&mdash;to name just a few areas&mdash;international legal rules are fundamental to cooperation between States, including at the regional and bilateral level.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>There is currently much discussion of the </span><a href="https://www.amazon.de/Destined-War-Graham-Allison/dp/1911617303/ref=sr_1_1?crid=24J9JU7KXWUTX&amp;dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.9RFHsXSULOSvUDF9MJTMRRESzS4D20JZVljB8LcB3jzxRLaODCupJSKPVhVhjGFTnmBG3ik3vmVxIXFJjw9r7OW97ztw4DXggF_b0HwMVzW7r44PRCCLXAP3tGvDWyBM7Szv103Q51hfM4UFt5tZjyiwgAaFnIZsAdIq8ElV3zb-0cgNNXghEy1ELXZkVsWJbGXYblYKPBA_yY1u_r5LnEy3ifFla0cC903j0QKAKKs.n8WH5_4Xv4OjnYz4sgWIZ2QUAwxGa4JSj0ZtOBcF0zE&amp;dib_tag=se&amp;keywords=graham+allison+deutsch&amp;qid=1777479769&amp;sprefix=graham+allison%2Caps%2C173&amp;sr=8-1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Thucydides Trap</span></a><span>, that is the supposedly inevitable conflict between a rising superpower (China) and one in relative decline (the United States) (for a recent contextualization see </span><a href="https://reader.foreignaffairs.com/2026/07/03/the-strong-do-what-they-can-and-suffer-what-they-must/content.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>here</span></a><span>). Some observers interpret this as leading to a trend toward &ldquo;decoupling,&rdquo; i.e. the dismantling of international economic and financial interdependence between the two sides. Such efforts do indeed exist&mdash;not only since President Donald Trump, but also under his predecessors. It remains to be seen how realistic such neo-mercantilist plans are, given a world that has become significantly more economically and financially interconnected over the past 50 years. Mutual dependencies have deepened dramatically &mdash; both in terms of resource needs and the shared climate, for which decoupling is not an option. In the context of the </span><a href="https://www.amazon.de/Evolution-Cooperation-English-Robert-Axelrod-ebook/dp/B0FCMJP64H/ref=pd_ci_mcx_mh_mcx_views_0_image?pd_rd_w=xgHzC&amp;content-id=amzn1.sym.bbac26bb-3f7b-44dd-a8a5-c10fcfb1ed60%3Aamzn1.symc.30e3dbb4-8dd8-4bad-b7a1-a45bcdbc49b8&amp;pf_rd_p=bbac26bb-3f7b-44dd-a8a5-c10fcfb1ed60&amp;pf_rd_r=D7XV095N9AW6TZ7C2CCE&amp;pd_rd_wg=mRr8H&amp;pd_rd_r=feac2568-8bed-4d5e-857c-a5bae5fca99a&amp;pd_rd_i=B0FCMJP64H" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Prisoner&rsquo;s Dilemma</span></a><span>&mdash;which uses game theory to illustrate the challenges of cooperation and self-interest in strategic situations&mdash;the most powerful States can either continue trying to maximize their own advantage at the expense of others, or they can choose to realize the long-term advantages of a cooperative world. For the latter strategy, decentralized international law would still be an option, one that could also be in the well-understood self-interest of the major powers.</span></p>
<p><span>One might object that international law is not necessarily required for a cooperative approach. The major powers could&mdash;similar to 19th-century colonialism&mdash;divide the world into spheres of influence and then, unhindered by universal rules, act as they please within their respective spheres of influence. This is roughly how Carl Schmitt envisioned world order in his anti-universalist and hierarchical </span><a href="https://www.deutsche-digitale-bibliothek.de/item/LDFZRWVFUZWILX6MGDAF7LF4VAYT77HC" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>concept of large or regional spaces</span></a><span> (</span><i><span>Gro&szlig;r&auml;ume</span></i><span>), &ldquo;with a prohibition of intervention for powers outside the respective sphere&rdquo; (&ldquo;Interventionsverbot f&uuml;r raumfremde M&auml;chte,&rdquo; published in 1939). This vision also seems to be shared by Trump, Vladimir Putin, and&mdash;possibly&mdash;Xi Jinping. However, such cooperation would only partially realize the advantages of global economic integration, would likely not reduce the risk of armed resource conflicts, and would, at best, reduce the majority of the States to junior partners and, at worst, to vassals. In contrast, an order that guarantees State sovereignty would likely appear advantageous to many of the States involved, leading them to form alliances and thus support international law in an institutionally adapted form&mdash;because international law requires a base in power politics. That is the part of the narrative that holds true.</span></p>
<h2><b>Narrative 2: International law is worthless because it is constantly being violated</b></h2>
<p><span>It is undeniable that international law is repeatedly violated without these violations being punished &ndash; especially when major powers are involved. However, to conclude that international law is completely irrelevant is throwing the baby out with the bathwater. The same applies to the narrative that international law is </span><a href="https://verfassungsblog.de/tyrannys-useful-idiot/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>&ldquo;a tyranny&rsquo;s useful idiot,&rdquo;</span></a><span> As already mentioned, contrary to this claim, the law has instead served as a normative framework for evaluating State conduct (see again </span><a href="https://academic.oup.com/bybil/advance-article/doi/10.1093/bybil/brag001/8684934" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>here</span></a><span>). Massive violations of international law, such as those currently occurring in Ukraine, Gaza, Iran, Lebanon and Sudan, have occurred repeatedly since the founding of the United Nations, but they still represent the exception. For it is in the interest of the vast majority of States &ndash; especially small and medium-sized powers &ndash; that their sovereignty be guaranteed.</span></p>
<p><span>The global public&rsquo;s reaction to violations of international law in recent years has shown that international law profoundly shapes our expectations. If we considered it normal for States to attack one another, the public in Europe and beyond would not be so outraged and would not support the costly aid provided to Ukraine. It is worthwhile to recall the first vote of the U.N. General Assembly after the full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine (</span><a href="https://digitallibrary.un.org/record/3965290?v=pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Resolution ES-11/1 &ldquo;Aggression against Ukraine&rdquo;</span></a><span> of March 2, 2022). At that time, Russian aggression was condemned by an overwhelming majority of the U.N. member States (</span><a href="https://news.un.org/en/story/2022/03/1113152" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>141 votes</span></a><span> in favor, 5 against, and 35 abstentions) and the immediate withdrawal of Russian forces was demanded. While it is true that subsequent votes were less clear-cut this was partly a consequence of the Gaza war and the long period of Western silence on the matter.</span></p>
<p><span>At the same time, it is a fact that international law, on its own, is often unable to prevent violations of its norms in practice, nor can it restrain the perpetrator States and their human actors. For this, the support of the international community is needed. International law is a cooperative system, it depends on States&rsquo; engagement and compliance. It is also true that, despite the normative claim of equality among States, it makes a significant difference whether the violating State is strong or weak in regional and global terms.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Against this background, it must be emphasized that the effectiveness of international law can unfold only when its violation is acknowledged &ndash; regardless of potential consequences for the law-affirming and law-abiding State. In other words, the validity of a violated international legal norm&mdash;like that of any norm&mdash;depends, especially in a system with an enforcement deficit, on the confirmation of the underlying norm through communication. Remaining silent about violations of international law leads, in the medium to long term, to the gradual erosion and ultimately the invalidation of the violated norm and potentially broader aspects of the legal system itself. For example, failing to call out violations of the prohibition of the use of force leads to the erosion of the prohibition and, in the worst case&mdash;in the event of repeated, unchallenged violations &mdash;to a potential renaissance of the sovereign right to war (</span><i><span>liberum ius ad bellum</span></i><span>), as was prevalent in the period following Westphalia. In the 19th century, alternative views emerged in the legal community </span><a href="https://academic.oup.com/ejil/article/29/1/113/4993231" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>disputing the idea</span></a><span> that war is a legitimate political instrument per se (see </span><a href="https://www.ssoar.info/ssoar/handle/document/58723" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>here</span></a><span>). This ultimately led to our modern understanding that war needs to be legally justified.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>In view of this legal evolution, it is counterproductive for allies, as recently done by the German Federal Government with regard to the United States&rsquo; use of force in Venezuela and Iran, to refrain from a legal assessment or, even worse, to make such an assessment dependent on the identity of the violating State. If one then laments the ineffectiveness of international law or the United Nations, one may in reality be incriminating oneself, because one may be partly responsible for this ineffectiveness. In a well-informed world, any relativization of international law with regard to one&rsquo;s friends or allies gives rise to fair-minded accusations of double standards &ndash; undermining not just one&rsquo;s own position but international law in general.</span></p>
<h2><b>Narrative 3: International Law Protects Perpetrators Instead of Victims</b></h2>
<p><span>In a nutshell, this narrative suggests that the principle of sovereignty in international law de facto protects States that violate human rights as reflected, for example, in the fact that humanitarian intervention requires authorization by the Security Council which regularly fails given the veto power of the P5.</span></p>
<p><span>It cannot be denied that international law may protect States that commit human rights violations, because the respective State&rsquo;s sovereignty cannot simply be overridden such as by a decision of the Security Council authorizing a humanitarian intervention. This observation requires some differentiation and clarification however. Firstly, the U.N. Charter protects not only State sovereignty but also human rights, and this protection of human rights has been institutionalized by a number of subsequent instruments &ndash; from the Universal Declaration of Human Rights of 1948 to numerous human rights treaties with universal and regional application and their respective monitoring bodies. The conflict between sovereignty and the human rights protection is by no means always and without exception resolved in favor of the former; rather, with the inflection point of the </span><a href="https://www.un.org/en/conferences/environment/newyork2005" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>UN World Summit 2005</span></a><span>&rsquo;s adoption of the Responsibility to Protect doctrine, it has been recognized that sovereignty must yield to the protection of human rights under many circumstances. On this basis, the wrong of serious human rights violations under international law gives individual States or groups of States &ndash; outside the Security Council &ndash; the right to impose severe economic, criminal, and other sanctions on the violating State and its officials. The EU &ndash; itself an institution founded on international law &ndash; did so against Russia after the invasion of Ukraine, explicitly invoking international law. It also did so against Iran, but could have implemented tougher measures more quickly and consistently. Indeed, States possess an extensive toolbox of sanctions and other measures which they are entitled to use against States violating international law. However, the effectiveness of the sanctions regime depends on their consistent and comprehensive enforcement. This was already true during the time of the League of Nations at the beginning of the 20th century. Enforcement of sanctions was easier back then because it depended only on the few major powers at the time. While modern international law permits sanctions and other enforcement measures against law breakers, the use of military force is reserved for the U.N. Security Council due to the multilateral system enshrined in the Charter. It is for this reason that the Security Council must authorize a so-called humanitarian intervention of a military nature. It&rsquo;s a bargain struck in part to reduce the ability of States to engage in unilateral military predation under the pretext of humanitarian action. While such military action has still occurred under the Charter, we believe the situation would be far worse without the Charter rules in place.</span></p>
<h2><b>Narrative 4: International Law Is too dogmatic grounded in an &ldquo;ethics of conviction&rdquo;</b></h2>
<p><span>According to this narrative international law insists on compliance even in situations where pragmatic action is required. Recent examples are the following:</span></p>
<p><span>The defense of Israel, and consequently the destruction of Hamas, is more important than criticism of potential war crimes committed by the Israeli army. Regarding the Iran war, one should not anger the U.S. president with &ldquo;legalistic&rdquo; criticism, because otherwise the United States might completely withdraw its support for Ukraine, which would result in more damage for Ukraine and its European allies.</span></p>
<p><span>On a meta level this criticism is leveled at the supposed ethics of conviction&mdash;or deontological fundamentalism&mdash;of proponents of international law which fail to give due respect to national interests (based on </span><a href="https://campus.de/wissenschaft/politikwissenschaft/staatsraeson-nach-gaza/CAM52260?srsltid=AfmBOop0I0R-2VUrTds6siY7F69GIh5nBZilIW0wGVsb7jjuJTgEQI" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Staatsr&auml;son</span></a><span> or security objectives). If the institutions of international law&mdash;and here especially the functioning of the Security Council&mdash;are insufficient to protect one&rsquo;s own population, for example, from severe human rights violations or nuclear weapons in the hands of immoral dictators, then, from an ethics of responsibility&mdash;or from a consequentialist or utilitarian perspective&mdash;it is even necessary to disregard international legal norms, for example, the principle of sovereignty and the prohibition of the use of force.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>This argument carries considerable weight&mdash;if it holds true empirically, which one may justifiably doubt in the case of the Iran war: The Iranian regime has not only survived the attack, it is now a greater threat to the international community than before the war (see </span><a href="https://www.theatlantic.com/international/2026/05/iran-war-trump-losing/687094/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>here</span></a><span>). It controls the Strait of Hormuz and has gained absolute power within Iran, shattering the hopes of the Iranian opposition for democratic reforms. Furthermore, it is not at all clear whether the regime will really abandon its nuclear program. Given the erratic decision-making and negotiation style of the U.S. administration it is not even certain what a peace treaty would be worth.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Two lessons can be learned from the past few months: Discrediting the rules-based order can easily lead to ramifications that hurt all parties involved. In contrast, compliance with the international rulebook might not lead to immediate solutions, but can still be preferable to military adventures in a world that has become so intertwined that the unintended consequences of interventions are difficult to foresee and even more difficult to contain.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Against this backdrop, a central question is whether the interest for which international law is violated is truly so significant that the deliberate violation of the law, along with its associated systemic consequences, is worthwhile. At any rate, one must be aware that a conscious and continuous disregard for the international legal order entails a considerable weakening, perhaps even leading to the collapse of this order.</span></p>
<p><span>Those who draw a contrast between international law and realpolitik, that is, between honorable but ineffective idealism and the &ldquo;dirty work&rdquo; that needs to be done (as the German </span><a href="https://www.deutschlandfunk.de/merz-israel-macht-fuer-uns-im-iran-die-drecksarbeit-102.html?utm_source=chatgpt.com" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Chancellor Friedrich Merz put it</span></a><span>), should differentiate more precisely and with greater nuance between short-term and long-term interests. Is it truly in the long-term interest of the norm-breaking State and its supporters to distance themselves from principles of international law, only to potentially become victims of an aggression and legal violation themselves? Or should these principles not constitute the programmatic core of an alliance system in which the small and medium-sized powers of the North and South unite to form a counterweight to the aforementioned great power politics of the Carl Schmittian variety, where the law of the strongest prevails in spheres dominated by the great powers, where even medium-sized powers like Germany may ultimately be crushed?&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The self-proclaimed realists must also ask themselves what is actually realistic, in the positive sense of bringing about better conditions, about a pre-modern gunboat diplomacy &agrave; la Trump and Putin, in light of the humanitarian and economic devastation wrought by their wars. This realization seems to have finally taken hold within the German government as the Iran war has dragged on. However, its somewhat unprincipled stance gives cause for doubt: What if regime change had actually occurred, and Trump&rsquo;s gunboat diplomacy had &ldquo;succeeded&rdquo;? Would Merz have continued to justify the attack then? It is time for the German government to fundamentally address the question of whether prioritizing international legal principles is not, in both the medium and long term, in Germany&rsquo;s very best interest &ndash; especially with regard to the law of international peacekeeping. What can other States learn from the German attempt to navigate these waters?</span></p>
<p><span>Even if the pursuit of national interests and international law are not generally antagonistic, there are, of course, areas where this opposition exists. Consider, for example, the human rights violations committed in China. Should China be sanctioned for the crimes against the Uyghurs? Or should it be publicly condemned &ndash; as former German Foreign Minister Annalena </span><a href="https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2023-04/taiwan-annalena-baerbock-china-eskalation?utm_source=chatgpt.com" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Baerbock did</span></a><span>? It would certainly be wrong to deny, for the sake of political expediency, that the Chinese government is committing large-scale human rights violations. However, more far-reaching measures should primarily be undertaken within the framework of international institutions. There, this issue, which is uncomfortable for China because it damages its reputation and international standing, could be brought to the greater attention of the world (e.g., in the UN General Assembly) without individual States having to unduly expose themselves. This is a further argument for not undermining international institutions, but rather for actively supporting them and implementing the necessary reforms, in the ideal reorganizing the composition of the Security Council and weakening the current veto principle.</span></p>
<h2><b>Narrative 5: International legal norms are not universally valid</b></h2>
<p><span>The accusation expressed in this narrative, that the Global North is exporting its norms to the Global South through human rights and thus that any claim to universal validity is rooted in colonial thinking, is accurate insofar as especially features of international human rights do indeed have origins in the European Enlightenment. The concept of human dignity, in particular, is&mdash;despite its pre-Enlightenment roots&mdash;a product of this development (see </span><a href="https://www.chbeck.de/pfordten-menschenwuerde/product/35184834" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>here</span></a><span>). However, origin is not synonymous with validity.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>In the 20th century, human rights norms were disseminated to large parts of the world through global negotiation, anti-colonial appropriation, and codification in international law. Even the UN Charter, today recognized by practically all States, contains an admittedly very general reference to human rights. The aforementioned Universal Declaration of Human Rights was adopted by the U.N. General Assembly with zero votes against and eight abstentions, and substantial contributions from non-European States. It is now widely recognized as customary international law (see </span><a href="https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/ATAG/2018/628295/EPRS_ATA(2018)628295_EN.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>here</span></a><span>).</span></p>
<p><span>One might object that some non-European countries only agreed to these norms out of opportunism, while remaining sceptical or even opposed to them for cultural reasons. This may be the case in individual instances, for example, when it comes to non-discrimination. Cultures with a caste system, for example, are thus in conflict with human rights. Generally, however, it is more often repressive regimes that consider human rights problematic because these rights expose their violations against their own citizens.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Furthermore, the cultural relativist objection overlooks the fact that human rights do not necessarily require cultural uniformity. Cultural values &#8203;&#8203;are not synonymous with norms. Human rights merely represent minimum conditions that can be found in an elementary form in non-Western societies and are globally applicable.</span></p>
<h2><b>Conclusion</b></h2>
<p><span>Almost all narratives about international law discussed in this essay address real weaknesses of the law governing the use of force. What makes them questionable are the exaggerated expectations and false assumptions that are implicitly or explicitly embedded in these critiques. For example, the fact that international law cannot, on its own, establish peace, prevent crimes, and punish perpetrators is cited as evidence of its weakness, if not irrelevance. However, it has always been clear that international law depends on the political will and cooperation of States in order to be effective. International law is a cooperative agreement that naturally loses relevance to the extent that its signatories turn away from it. States make and break international law. This insight is trivial. To conclude from this that international law no longer plays a political role and can therefore be ignored is by no means compelling and, in any case &mdash; especially from the perspective of a middle power like Germany &mdash; shortsighted and counterproductive.</span></p>
<p><span>On the contrary, under these circumstances it is imperative that as many U.N. members as possible commit themselves to international law &ndash; not just in Sunday speeches, but when it matters, especially when friendly States violate it. This has little to do with impractical adherence to principles. It is, in fact, essential from a realpolitik perspective for all those States whose power is limited. International law, as the German President Frank-Walter Steinmeier </span><a href="https://www.bundespraesident.de/SharedDocs/Downloads/DE/Reden/2026/03/260324-75-Jahre-AA-ENGL.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>recently put it succinctly</span></a><span>, &ldquo;is not like an old glove that we should remove when others do so. On the contrary, it is vital for all those who cannot count themselves among the great powers.&ldquo; In a world increasingly characterized by the law of the jungle, it is therefore about building countervailing power through alliances of States that make central principles of international law part of their very DNA &ndash; not out of idealism, but because it is in the long-term political interest of these small and medium-sized powers. These entities should be able to enter into different alliances and, if necessary, switch between them as expedient &ndash; &#8203;&#8203;but on the basis of a common set of rules.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Concrete first steps toward reform within the UN framework could include a more active role for the General Assembly vis-&agrave;-vis the Security Council (see recently </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/138104/multilateral-powers-save-world-order/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>here)</span></a><span>. No matter how one approaches this complex task and to what extent it can be accomplished, the result will be preferable to a relapse into a neo-imperialist order where all players will most likely lose in the long term &ndash; the mighty as well as the less mighty. The globalized, non-linear interdependencies between states lead to a de facto veto position of medium powers as the Iran example currently shows with regard to the Strait of Hormuz. Thus, international law is not lacking &ldquo;Realpolitik&rdquo;, quite the opposite, it is indispensable for regulating conflicts and maintaining economic cooperation in an increasingly complex multipolar world.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146038/middle-powers-international-order/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">A Path For Middle Powers and a Rules-Based International Order: A Functional Perspective</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-08T13:05:07+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Kai Ambos</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-08T13:05:07+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="armed conflict"/>

	<category term="atrocities"/>

	<category term="civilian harm"/>

	<category term="courts &amp; litigation"/>

	<category term="diplomacy"/>

	<category term="featured articles"/>

	<category term="international court of justice (icj)"/>

	<category term="international criminal court (icc)"/>

	<category term="international criminal law"/>

	<category term="international human rights law"/>

	<category term="international law"/>

	<category term="law enforcement"/>

	<category term="law of armed conflict/ihl"/>

	<category term="rule of law"/>

	<category term="un charter"/>

	<category term="use of force"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-08:/293014</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/145569/vetting-foreign-ai-talent-security-without-exclusion/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=vetting-foreign-ai-talent-security-without-exclusion" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Vetting Foreign AI Talent: Security Without Exclusion</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Two recent Trump Administration actions have sent mixed messages about whether foreign-person employ...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p><span>Two recent Trump Administration actions have sent mixed messages about whether foreign-person employees can keep contributing to frontier AI development at U.S. companies.</span></p>
<p><span>On June 12, 2026, the Commerce Department&rsquo;s Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) </span><a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-06-16/read-the-lutnick-letter-that-led-anthropic-to-disable-mythos" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>informed Anthropic</span></a><span> that a license would be required to export, reexport, or transfer its Claude Mythos 5 and Fable 5 models to all destinations worldwide and all foreign persons, wherever located, including the release of the model to a foreign person in the United States. Unable to screen its users by nationality, Anthropic </span><a href="https://www.anthropic.com/news/fable-mythos-access" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>suspended global access to both models</span></a><span>, including preventing its own foreign-person employees from accessing the models. On June 30, after two weeks of negotiation, the Commerce Department </span><a href="https://thehill.com/homenews/5948719-anthropic-fable-mythos-models-restored/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>lifted the controls</span></a><span>, and Anthropic began restoring access. But the resolution was specific to those models. The threat of similar action against future models, from any lab, remains.</span></p>
<p><span>The Information </span><a href="https://www.theinformation.com/articles/anthropic-ban-stirs-concerns-openai-beyond-crackdown-foreign-ai-talent" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>reported</span></a><span> that the June 12 letter revived industry-wide concern over a crackdown on foreign AI talent, and that administration officials had earlier floated barring foreign employees at U.S. labs from frontier-model access before industry pushback kept the idea out of the June executive order.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>A week before the Anthropic letter, however, National Security Presidential Memorandum 11 </span><a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2026/06/national-security-presidential-memorandum-nspm-11/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>directed</span></a><span> the Pentagon, the Department of Energy, and the intelligence community to build partnerships with willing AI companies to secure the most advanced models, and it listed &ldquo;assisting with personnel vetting&rdquo; among the forms that assistance may take. Vetting assistance would be particularly valuable for ensuring that foreign-person employees can continue contributing to AI development efforts at U.S. frontier labs.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>In previous research, we have </span><a href="https://lawreforminstitute.org/report101425.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>shown</span></a><span> that frontier-model outputs can, in some cases, constitute export-controlled technology or technical data on a </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/126643/ai-model-outputs-export-control/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>transaction-by-transaction basis</span></a><span>. This risk is heightened for foreign-person employees in sensitive roles who have access to powerful unreleased models, model weights, source code, and evaluation workflows. For example, a pre-deployment chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear (CBRN) or cyber evaluation could release controlled information to whoever runs it. Thus, even if the model itself is not controlled, access to the model raises export control compliance questions. To the extent that the administration decides to control mere </span><i><span>access</span></i><span> to models, independent of particular outputs, access by foreign-person employees becomes even more central.</span></p>
<p><span>The right response is neither to wave the problem away nor to bar foreign talent. U.S. labs can keep recruiting the world&rsquo;s best researchers while safeguarding national security. For decades, firms that handle export-controlled technology in other sectors have managed foreign-person access through technology control plans (TCPs), and frontier labs can adapt that template.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Personnel vetting is a key element of a TCP for ensuring that foreign-person employees can continue to do their jobs. Robust implementation of the administration&rsquo;s pledge to provide the private sector with assistance in vetting employees would help ease the challenges of conducting it confidentially. This article describes the guidance BIS and DDTC already provide on personnel vetting, the employment and privacy constraints that complicate it, and a calibrated approach to address the national security risks. With TCPs anchored in risk-based personnel vetting, labs can manage such risks while competing for the world&rsquo;s best AI talent.</span></p>
<h2><b>Foreign Talent Built America&rsquo;s AI Lead</b></h2>
<p><span>The United States leads in AI partly because it attracts the people who build the best models, and many of them come from abroad. The Center for Security and Emerging Technology </span><a href="https://cset.georgetown.edu/publication/voices-of-innovation/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>determined</span></a><span> that, as of July 2023, roughly 70 percent of leading U.S.-based AI researchers were foreign-born or foreign-educated. Company-level figures are not public, but Anthropic, OpenAI, and other labs have all </span><a href="https://www.theinformation.com/articles/anthropic-ban-stirs-concerns-openai-beyond-crackdown-foreign-ai-talent" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>recruited heavily</span></a><span> from this pool. MacroPolo&rsquo;s Global AI Talent Tracker </span><a href="https://archivemacropolo.org/interactive/digital-projects/the-global-ai-talent-tracker" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>found</span></a><span> that 38 percent of researchers who published at NeurIPS 2024 and other leading AI conferences received their undergraduate education in China, up from 29 percent five years earlier, and that 72 percent of China-educated AI researchers now work at U.S. institutions.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The competition for these researchers is global, and China is the principal alternative destination. Beijing recruits actively through programs such as </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/technology/china-quietly-recruits-overseas-chip-talent-us-tightens-curbs-2023-08-24/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Qiming</span></a><span> and has </span><a href="https://www.rebuilding.tech/posts/launching-project-paperclip-2-0-to-recruit-top-scientists" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>targeted</span></a><span> top international researchers with no ties to China. President Xi Jinping has declared a national goal of achieving &ldquo;competitive advantages in talent competition&rdquo; by 2035, and China&rsquo;s targets likely include defense-relevant fields like AI. Policies that make U.S. labs unwilling to hire foreign persons, or that signal to prospective researchers that their work here will be hemmed in, will push talent abroad. A vetting regime that treats every foreign national as a presumptive risk would undercut the advantage it was meant to protect.</span></p>
<h2><b>Deemed-Export Risk Is Not a New Problem</b></h2>
<p><span>Releasing controlled technology or source code to a foreign person inside the United States is itself an </span><a href="https://www.ecfr.gov/current/title-15/subtitle-B/chapter-VII/subchapter-C/part-734/section-734.13" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>export</span></a><span> under the U.S. government&rsquo;s Export Administration Regulations (EAR), treated as an export to that person&rsquo;s country of nationality. Defense contractors, semiconductor manufacturers, aerospace firms, and research universities have lived with this </span><a href="https://www.bis.gov/media/documents/deemed-exports-faqs.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>deemed-export</span></a><span> rule for decades. To employ foreign persons while reducing the risk of uncontrolled technology transfer and insider threats, they use TCPs, documented procedures governing who may access controlled technology and under what conditions.</span></p>
<p><span>BIS&rsquo;s deemed-export </span><a href="https://www.bis.gov/media/documents/deemed-exports-faqs.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>guidance</span></a><span> lists the elements it looks for in a TCP: management commitment, physical security, information security, personnel screening, training, and self-evaluation. Done well, a TCP gives most employees the access their work requires while isolating the narrow cases that require a license or other control.</span></p>
<p><span>We have </span><a href="https://lawreforminstitute.org/report101425.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>argued</span></a><span> that frontier labs can and should use TCPs to manage their internal deemed-export risks. At times, these risks may look somewhat different than in other contexts. For example, a foreign-person employee working with an internal AI model&mdash;typically more capable and less constrained than the public version&mdash;could elicit outputs that themselves qualify as controlled technical data or technology. Information security must therefore adapt. In other industries, access logs track who reached stored files. Because internal models can generate controlled information on demand, AI labs should instead log model inputs and outputs. Logging deters misuse, helps detect violations, and creates the records needed for any voluntary disclosures. Yet most employees will never need to access or generate controlled information.&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><b>Risk-Based Personnel Vetting</b></h2>
<p><span>Personnel vetting is a standard TCP element that determines which employees can be given access to sensitive information. Using risk-based vetting should let U.S. labs preserve their ability to employ top talent while managing the risk that the most sensitive access can be misused.</span></p>
<p><span>As with other elements of TCPs, decades of export-control practice provide useful models for what personnel vetting should cover, focusing on questions of access and diversion risk. The International Traffic in Arms Regulations (ITAR) </span><a href="https://www.ecfr.gov/current/title-22/chapter-I/subchapter-M/part-126/section-126.18" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>section 126.18</span></a><span>, for example, provides that nationality alone does not prohibit access to defense articles, including technical data. Instead, it permits certain transfers only where the entity uses a host-government clearance or screens employees for &ldquo;substantive contacts&rdquo; with certain countries: regular travel to those countries, continuing contact with their agents or nationals, ongoing business or financial ties, or other conduct signaling a diversion risk. DDTC&rsquo;s compliance </span><a href="https://www.pmddtc.state.gov/ddtc_public?id=ddtc_kb_article_page&amp;sys_id=KB0010123" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>guidelines</span></a><span> likewise advise organizations that possess technical data to screen any foreign-person employees involved in ITAR-controlled activities.</span></p>
<p><span>How much vetting is needed for a particular individual depends on the harm that could be caused by that person&rsquo;s access. The government&rsquo;s own personnel vetting </span><a href="https://www.ecfr.gov/current/title-5/chapter-IV/part-1400/subpart-B/section-1400.201" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>already works this way</span></a><span>, grading positions by potential damage and scaling investigations to match. Labs can use this same approach, scaling vetting to the sensitivity of an employee&rsquo;s access. Most need no more than status and list screening; those who query unreleased models or run CBRN or cyber evaluations warrant a deeper substantive-contacts review; and the few who could move raw model weights or disable a model&rsquo;s safeguards warrant even more rigorous scrutiny. For the most sensitive roles, labs can adapt the government&rsquo;s </span><a href="https://www.dni.gov/files/NCSC/documents/Regulations/SEAD-4-Adjudicative-Guidelines-U.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>SEAD-4 adjudicative guidelines</span></a><span>, weighing factors such as foreign influence, foreign preference, and financial vulnerability, backed by a detailed questionnaire and </span><a href="https://www.dcsa.mil/Personnel-Vetting/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>continuous vetting</span></a><span>. The Security Level 5 (SL5) Task Force&rsquo;s </span><a href="https://standard.sl5.org/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>SL5 Standard for AI Security</span></a><span> similarly proposes graduated vetting, monitoring, and access controls.</span></p>
<h2><b>The Employment Law Hurdle, and How to Overcome It</b></h2>
<p><span>State employment law can complicate security vetting. Tensions arise because employment-screening rules are focused on ordinary positions, not those with national security implications. Employers </span><a href="https://www.dlapiperdataprotection.com/?t=law&amp;c=US" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>face a patchwork</span></a><span> of state privacy, consumer-reporting, and automated-decision rules. Because most frontier labs have their headquarters in California, the state&rsquo;s Investigative Consumer Reporting Agencies Act (ICRAA) is especially relevant. If an employer uses a third-party &ldquo;investigative consumer report&rdquo; for employment purposes, ICRAA </span><a href="https://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/codes_displayText.xhtml?division=3.&amp;part=4.&amp;lawCode=CIV&amp;title=1.6A.&amp;article=2." rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>requires</span></a><span> the employer to provide written disclosure of the nature and scope of the inquiry, obtain written authorization, and provide the right to request a copy of the report. Tom Lyons of the 2430 Group, a nonpartisan organization focused on countering economic espionage, </span><a href="https://www.judiciary.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/bd86374a-060c-a5e4-b533-d54311487456/2026-04-22_Testimony_Lyons1.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>testified</span></a><span> to the Senate Judiciary Committee that ICRAA&rsquo;s requirements can prevent companies from conducting foreign-influence checks, as &ldquo;a counterintelligence assessment is not something that should be shared with the employment candidate.&rdquo;</span></p>
<p><span>If </span><a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2026/06/national-security-presidential-memorandum-nspm-11/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>NSPM-11</span></a><span> results in the federal government assisting AI companies with personnel vetting, such assistance could help reduce the friction with state procedural requirements. Counterintelligence-sensitive information could remain with the government, with the labs receiving recommendations regarding access. Congress could also enact narrow preemption of ICRAA and analogous laws, focused on the relevant state procedural requirements for defined sensitive AI roles and leaving those protections otherwise untouched.&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><b>When a License Is Still Required</b></h2>
<p><span>Personnel vetting will not resolve every case. Some roles reach controlled material, and a </span><a href="https://www.ecfr.gov/current/title-15/subtitle-B/chapter-VII/subchapter-C/part-734/section-734.13" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>deemed-export license</span></a><span> may be required. Existing </span><a href="https://www.ecfr.gov/current/title-15/subtitle-B/chapter-VII/subchapter-C/part-740/section-740.20" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>license</span></a> <a href="https://www.ecfr.gov/current/title-15/subtitle-B/chapter-VII/subchapter-C/part-740/section-740.6" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>exceptions</span></a><span> under the EAR allow release of certain controlled technology to nationals of partner countries without a license. But no comparable exception covers nationals of China, the largest source of foreign-trained elite AI researchers. Those hard cases will require license applications. Each </span><a href="https://www.bis.gov/media/documents/guidelines-preparing-export-license-applications-involving-foreign-persons" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>application</span></a><span> covers a single foreign person and includes a resume assessed for diversion risk, and approvals can be conditioned on TCP safeguards. The process takes time and resources, and while an application is pending, the employee must be kept from the controlled work. But a risk-based TCP confines that cost to a small set of roles.</span></p>
<p><span>The ITAR raises a harder problem. A lab cannot always know in advance whether an output will be EAR technology or ITAR technical data, and for Chinese nationals, the ITAR has a licensing </span><a href="https://www.ecfr.gov/current/title-22/chapter-I/subchapter-M/part-126/section-126.1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>policy of denial</span></a><span>. Labs may need to wall off certain employees from the risk entirely. In practice, that would likely mean excluding them from work designed to elicit weapons-related outputs, such as certain CBRN evaluations, rather than from model access generally. A TCP&rsquo;s access tiers and logging can help manage any residual risk.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>For everything else, agencies should allow an individual&rsquo;s contacts and conduct to drive the outcome. That is far preferable to a policy that effectively bars foreign persons from frontier-model access outright.&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><b>Match the Burden to the Risk</b></h2>
<p><span>The risk created by sensitive foreign-person access to controlled or potentially controlled technology is not new. The standard tool to manage that risk is a TCP that includes risk-based personnel vetting. Every frontier lab with foreign-person employees who might access controlled or potentially controlled AI information should have one. Vetting should be graduated, scaling with the sensitivity of an employee&rsquo;s access, so the burden on any given hire tracks the risk of that person reaching a given asset.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The Anthropic letter showed that foreign-person access to models can become an export-control problem overnight. The U.S. government should not leave labs to infer from company-specific directives alone when that access requires a license. Nor should it respond by shutting foreign talent out of American AI, which would push the field&rsquo;s best researchers toward foreign competitors. The better course is to publish a clear, risk-based framework for vetting sensitive foreign-person access, built on the TCP template the agencies already use and the partnerships between the government and industry that NSPM-11 envisions.</span></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/145569/vetting-foreign-ai-talent-security-without-exclusion/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Vetting Foreign AI Talent: Security Without Exclusion</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-08T12:50:21+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Joe Khawam</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-08T12:50:21+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="ai &amp; emerging technology"/>

	<category term="anthropic"/>

	<category term="artificial intelligence (ai)"/>

	<category term="artificial intelligence and emerging technologies initiative"/>

	<category term="china"/>

	<category term="cyber"/>

	<category term="department of commerce"/>

	<category term="department of defense (dod)"/>

	<category term="department of energy"/>

	<category term="executive branch"/>

	<category term="export controls"/>

	<category term="featured articles"/>

	<category term="intelligence &amp; surveillance"/>

	<category term="regulation"/>

	<category term="technology"/>

	<category term="trump administration second term"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-08:/293015</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146142/early-edition-july-8-2026/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=early-edition-july-8-2026" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Early Edition: July 8, 2026</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Signup to receive the Early Edition in your inbox&nbsp;here.
A curated weekday guide to major news and de...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Signup to receive the Early Edition in your inbox&nbsp;<a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/newsletter-signup/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">here</a>.</p>
<p>A curated weekday guide to major news and developments over the last 24 hours. Here&rsquo;s today&rsquo;s news:</p>
<p><b><i>IRAN WAR &ndash; RENEWED STRIKES&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Iran and the United States traded strikes yesterday into this morning after Iranian attacks on three commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz. </b><span>Iran did not claim yesterday&rsquo;s attacks in the strait, but its state broadcaster said at least one vessel had ignored warnings from Iranian forces. In retaliation, President Trump ordered a series of strikes on Iran late last night, and the Treasury Department revoked a sanctions waiver that had allowed Iran to sell oil on the world market for 60 days. U.S. Central Command said on social media that it had hit more than 80 targets with precision munitions. Jon Gambrell, Fatima Hussein, and Konstantin Toropin report for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-israel-war-oil-4732228810c9839a1258309ad43b8289" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>; Eric Schmitt reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/07/us/politics/us-strikes-iran-tanker-attacks.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>; Jenny Gross reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/07/world/middleeast/iran-war-oman-hormuz-tanker.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Iran&rsquo;s central military command warned it &ldquo;will respond decisively to this aggression and terrorist act.</b><span>&rdquo;</span> <span>In a statement this morning, Iran&rsquo;s military said its combat drones had struck U.S. positions at Sheikh Isa Air Base in Bahrain and targets in Kuwait, adding that &ldquo;all U.S. bases in the region will be legitimate targets.&rdquo; </span><span>Jon Gambrell, Fatima Hussein, and Konstantin Toropin report for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-israel-war-oil-4732228810c9839a1258309ad43b8289" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>; Hari Raj reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/07/08/world/iran-war-us-trump/81580d1b-13ce-5a6e-b5c4-0d955a7936f0?smid=url-share" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b>Hours later, Iran&rsquo;s foreign ministry released a statement today saying that U.S. actions, including the revocation of Iran&rsquo;s oil sales license and the new military strikes, have rendered parts of the current ceasefire &ldquo;ineffective.&rdquo; </b><span>Iran said that interference in its arrangements for clearing passage in the Strait of Hormuz is making the interim truce deal unworkable. Tala Ramadan reports for Reuters. Christina Anagnostopoulos, Farouq Suleiman, Estelle Shirbon, and Isabella Lapadula report for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/iran-war-live-us-military-resumes-strikes-iran-after-attacks-hormuz-strait-2026-07-07/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>&ldquo;To me, I think it&rsquo;s over. I don&rsquo;t want to deal with them. They&rsquo;re scum. They&rsquo;re sick people. They&rsquo;re led by sick people,&rdquo;</b><span> Trump said today when asked at the NATO summit whether the interim deal between Washington and Tehran was over. Trump added, &ldquo;As far as I&rsquo;m concerned, it&rsquo;s just a waste of time dealing with them.&rdquo; Christina Anagnostopoulos, Farouq Suleiman, Estelle Shirbon, and Isabella Lapadula report for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/iran-war-live-us-military-resumes-strikes-iran-after-attacks-hormuz-strait-2026-07-07/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>World oil prices soared more than 5% today after Trump said the ceasefire with Iran was over. </b><span>International benchmark Brent North Sea crude jumped 5.3 percent to $78.09 a barrel, while the main U.S. contract, West Texas Intermediate, advanced 5.4 percent to $74.23 a barrel.</span> <a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/live-updates/us-iran-war-trump-says-ceasefire-over/#post-update-e0d391d7" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>CBS News</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>IRAN WAR &ndash; OTHER DEVELOPMENTS</i></b></p>
<p><b>Senior U.S. military commanders bypassed warnings in critical databases that intelligence about potential targets in Iran was severely out of date and approved some strikes &ndash; including one that hit a school, killing nearly 200 children and adults,</b><span> according to three sources. The decision by senior commanders to ignore the warnings was made for &ldquo;expediency,&rdquo; two of the sources said, but it also directly contributed to the strike on the school. U.S. military officials &ldquo;knew within days [of the strike on the school] how the mistake happened,&rdquo; one of the sources added. Zachary Cohen reports for </span><a href="https://www.cnn.com/2026/07/07/politics/us-commanders-intelligence-iran-school" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>CNN</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>NATO SUMMIT&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte told reporters at the NATO summit this morning that the new U.S. attacks on Iran were &ldquo;absolutely necessary,&rdquo;</b><span> adding, &ldquo;when you have a ceasefire and Iran is basically violating the ceasefire, I think it is totally crucial that the U.S. forcefully react.&rdquo; </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/new-us-attacks-iran-were-absolutely-necessary-nato-chief-says-2026-07-08/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Rutte also emphasized this morning that NATO has been truly transformed, pointing in particular toward European and Canadian defense spending. </b><span>&ldquo;If you look at it from the United States&rsquo; perspective, you will have European allies which are much more capable to, with the U.S., work together in NATO to keep 1 billion people safe,&rdquo; Rutte said. Lara Jakes reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/07/08/world/nato-summit-turkey-trump-ukraine/3f9b3476-f3dd-5167-af96-48d8ed6b42a0?smid=url-share" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Sitting alongside Rutte, Trump told reporters, </b><b>&ldquo;I&rsquo;m not happy with NATO because of what they did with Greenland, and I&rsquo;m not happy with NATO because of the fact that they didn&rsquo;t want to help us with the number one state sponsor of terror.&rdquo; </b><span>A NATO diplomat said, &ldquo;We&rsquo;re all doing exactly what the Americans demanded,&rdquo; but announcements on defense spending are &ldquo;now overshadowed by complaints over Greenland.&rdquo; Tyler Pager reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/07/08/world/nato-summit-turkey-trump-ukraine/38b4a2b6-c4d7-556a-943c-29b867151ae4?smid=url-share" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>; Felicia Schwartz, Paul McLeary, and Jack Detsch report for </span><a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2026/07/07/nato-summit-trump-europe-00989402" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>POLITICO</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b>Trump went on to say that he wants to cut all trade ties with Spain, while calling other European allies &ldquo;hopeless.&rdquo; </b><span>The Spanish prime minister&rsquo;s office has responded that Madrid was taking Trump&rsquo;s comments calmly and treating them as &ldquo;business as usual.&rdquo; Lili Bayer, Andrew Gray, and Humeyra Pamuk report for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/nato-leaders-meet-ankara-after-trump-rekindles-disputes-over-iran-greenland-2026-07-08/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>; Tyler Pager reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/07/08/world/nato-summit-turkey-trump-ukraine/38b4a2b6-c4d7-556a-943c-29b867151ae4?smid=url-share" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><b>.</b></p>
<p><b>Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen said today that Denmark is &ldquo;ready to defend every inch of NATO, including our own territory&rdquo; in the event of an attack</b><span> and would rely on NATO allies to honor their commitment to defend each other. Frederiksen&rsquo;s comments came after Trump again insisted that the United States should control Greenland, saying at the summit that the territory &ldquo;is very important for the United States, but it&rsquo;s not important for Denmark.&rdquo; Trump added that he might pull U.S. troops from Europe if Denmark refused to relinquish the territory. Lorne Cook and Seung Min Kim report for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/nato-trump-iran-ukraine-turkey-d393e8ef6103e32c984c4337a82930b1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>; John Vandiver reports for </span><a href="https://www.stripes.com/theaters/europe/2026-07-07/trump-troops-europe-nato-22201323.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Stars and Stripes</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The alliance is expected to issue a short </b><b>communiqu&eacute;</b><b> today restating its commitment to collective defense and its support for Ukraine, promising $80 billion a year this year and next from Europe and Canada,</b><span> according to NATO country officials. It is also expected to restate opposition to Iran ever obtaining a nuclear weapon and will call for freedom of navigation. Steven Erlanger reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/07/08/world/nato-summit-turkey-trump-ukraine/55ae639b-a67f-539e-92a1-2e37ee1737d3?smid=url-share" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The United Kingdom has announced a new &pound;37 billion long-range missile programme involving twelve NATO countries, called Deep Precision Strike,</b><span> which aims to strengthen Europe&rsquo;s defence capabilities over the next decade and deter threats, particularly from Russia. The project is due to be discussed later today at the summit. Frank Gardner and Patrick Jackson report for </span><a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ckg4e3lwzqzo" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>BBC News</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b><i>RUSSIA-UKRAINE WAR</i></b><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Russia fired drones and missiles at Kyiv again overnight,</b><span> officials said today. While Ukraine&rsquo;s air defences intercepted 139 of the 169 drones during the strikes, they were again unable to down any of the five &#8288;ballistic missiles used by Russia, air force data showed. A woman was killed and two people were wounded in the &#8203;overnight attack on Kyiv, authorities said. Gleb Garanich and Valentyn Ogirenko report for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/ukrainian-capital-kyiv-under-missile-attack-two-injured-mayor-says-2026-07-07/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b>Ukrainian drones struck three Russian oil refineries, Russian tankers on the Sea of Azov, and pipeline pumping stations overnight,</b><span> Ukrainian and Russian officials said today. </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/ukrainian-drones-kill-one-person-damage-two-empty-oil-tankers-russia-says-2026-07-08/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Russian forces are trying to counter Ukrainian &ldquo;mid-strike&rdquo; drone attacks by camouflaging cargoes and installing powerful jamming systems to disrupt Elon Musk&rsquo;s Starlink satellite internet system</b><span>, Ukrainian drone commanders and pilots told </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/russia-tries-jam-musks-starlink-systems-counter-ukrainian-drones-2026-07-08/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>. Max Hunder reports.</span></p>
<p><b><i>ISRAEL-HAMAS WAR</i></b></p>
<p><b>Israeli strikes and gunfire yesterday killed at least seven Palestinians in Gaza in several different incidents, </b><span>health officials said. Al-Mughrabi reports for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israeli-strikes-kill-two-people-gaza-medics-say-2026-07-07/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The lawyer for Dr Hussam Abu Safiya, a Palestinian medic from Gaza who has been detained by Israeli authorities for over 18 months without charge, told </b><a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c07yy3pgrlmo" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>BBC News</b></a><b> he fears for his client&rsquo;s life. </b><span>Nasser Odeh said that when he visited Dr Hussam Abu Safiya last week at an interrogation facility called Rakefet, his client was so badly beaten that he could not recognise him. In a statement to the BBC, the Israel Prison Service rejected the account as false. Israel&rsquo;s Supreme Court has ordered the government to respond by Tuesday to a petition calling for the release of Abu Safiya and 13 other Palestinian doctors from Gaza held without charge in Israel. Caroline Davies reports for </span><a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c07yy3pgrlmo" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>BBC News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>OTHER GLOBAL DEVELOPMENTS</i></b><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Healthcare workers at the epicenter of the Democratic Republic of the Congo&rsquo;s Ebola outbreak told </b><a href="https://apnews.com/article/congo-ebola-healthworkers-ituri-bunia-strike-pay-159288cd2a4be74e6cd61255e0f12044" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>AP News</b></a><b> that they are going on strike because they have not been paid their wages and bonuses since the outbreak was declared on May 15. </b><span>In an official notice to national and provincial authorities over the weekend, front-line workers in Ituri threatened to strike if their wages were not paid in 24 hours. By Tuesday, some had already stopped working, although no official strike had been declared. </span><span>Prosper Heri Ngorora reports.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Ghana has postponed bilateral meetings with South Africa planned for next month because of a surge in anti-migrant violence in South Africa,</b><span> Ghana&rsquo;s government spokesperson said yesterday. Ghana repatriated &#8203;hundreds of its citizens ahead of a June 30 &ldquo;deadline&rdquo; set by a South African anti-migrant &zwnj;movement for undocumented foreigners to leave. </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/ghana-delays-south-africa-meetings-over-anti-migrant-violence-2026-07-07/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Marine Le Pen, the French far-right leader, announced yesterday that she will run for president, hours after a court upheld an embezzlement conviction against her but lifted a ban on her seeking public office.</b><span> The court&rsquo;s decision means that she may have to wear an electronic bracelet that limits her movement, something which Le Pen previously said would make her candidacy impossible. Mark Landler and </span><span>S&eacute;gol&egrave;ne Le Stradic report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/07/world/europe/marine-le-pen-verdict-election-ban-appeal.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b>Hungary&rsquo;s public television channel M1 and Kossuth radio station temporarily halted transmission yesterday afternoon, </b><span>with the former displaying a message that read: &ldquo;Public media should not lie. We are sorry for doing it for so long.&rdquo; Reforms to the media were a key campaign promise of Hungary&rsquo;s new Prime Minister P&eacute;ter Magyar, who described the announcement as &ldquo;the end of propaganda broadcasts.&rdquo; Amy Walker reports for </span><a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cgevwq1pndgo" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>BBC News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. FOREIGN AFFAIRS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Rahm Emanuel, the former Chicago mayor and Democrat considering a 2028 presidential run, is giving a speech in Tel Aviv today, in which he will demand that Israel make major changes if it wants to retain U.S. backing. </b><span>Emanuel will say that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his government have isolated Israel and led it &ldquo;into a dead end.&rdquo; David M. Halbfinger reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/07/us/politics/rahm-emanuel-speech-israel.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. IMMIGRATION DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>An ICE officer yesterday shot and killed a man in Houston after he attempted to evade arrest in his vehicle during an operation,</b><span> the agency said. </span><span>The Department of Homeland Security said in a statement that Lorenzo Salgado Araujo, a Mexican national, ignored commands and attempted to ram an agent who fired his weapon in self-defense. J</span><span>ack Brook and Hallie Golden report for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/ice-houston-shooting-lorenzo-salgado-araujo-b716621b52f7acea3cac0b7ea43fcc37" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The private prison company CoreCivic has sold two of the largest immigration detention facilities in California to the Department of Homeland Security in a deal worth $1.5 billion,</b><span> the company announced Monday.</span><span> Wendy Fry and Nigel Duara/Calmatters report for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/corecivic-california-sold-immigration-detention-facilities-dhs-78fe5f3d486ee2c803c44f2302b936b3" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>U.S. DOMESTIC DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>The Senate Intelligence Committee will hold a confirmation hearing on July 15 on Jay Clayton&rsquo;s nomination to serve as director of national intelligence.</b><span> Jordain Carney reports for </span><a href="https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2026/07/07/congress/clayton-save-trump-fisa-surveillance-00989667" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>POLITICO</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Justice Department sent letters to all 50 states and the District of Columbia yesterday threatening criminal prosecution of top election officials if ballots cast by noncitizens were counted in upcoming elections.</b> <span>The letters asked the election officials to respond to the DOJ&nbsp; &ldquo;within five days&rdquo; with details on how their states intended to comply &ldquo;with these federal laws both at the state and local level and how the Department can assist in those efforts.&rdquo; It is unclear what would happen if a state does not respond in five days, as the letters are not subpoenas requiring a response.</span><span> Nick Corasaniti reports for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/07/us/politics/justice-department-elections-noncitizen-voting.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b>The dean of Yale Law School and some members of its faculty are urging Yale&rsquo;s leadership not to settle with the Trump administration over federal investigations into its admissions practices,</b><span> arguing that doing so before any legal findings could undermine the university&rsquo;s independence, academic freedom, and reputation, sources said. One source added that Yale&rsquo;s leaders have continued to move forward with the negotiations, privately contending that they need to strike a deal to ensure federal funding. Alan Blinder and Michael S. Schmidt report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/07/us/yale-law-school-dean-trump-deal.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>TECH DEVELOPMENTS&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>The Department of Commerce has approved a broad public release of OpenAI&rsquo;s GPT-5.6 after additional testing and discussions with government officials,</b> <a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/08/openai-gpt-trump-ban-lifted" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Axios</span></a><span> learned yesterday. Testing was done by the Center for AI Standards and Innovation within the Department of Commerce, with OpenAI sending technical experts who have remained in D.C. to address potential questions, the source said. Ashley Gold and Ina Fried report.</span></p>
<p><b><i>TRUMP ADMINISTRATION ACTIONS</i></b></p>
<p><b>Katherine Scarlett, a top environmental policy adviser in the White House, has departed, </b><span>an official confirmed to </span><a href="https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957787-ceq-white-house-environment/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>The Hill</span></a><span>. </span><span>Scarlett chaired the White House Council on Environmental Quality, where she led a rollback of federal environmental standards for new infrastructure projects. According to </span><a href="https://news.bgov.com/bloomberg-government-news/trump-white-house-environmental-council-chair-exits-for-k-street" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Bloomberg</span></a><span>, which first reported her exit, Scarlett is headed to consulting firm CGCN Group. The firm&rsquo;s clients include companies and groups seeking to speed up permits for data centers and oil and gas pipelines. </span><span>Scarlett Rachel Frazin reports.</span></p>
<p><b>The Treasury Department has scrapped plans for Harriet Tubman to be on the $20 bill, </b><span>Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Monday. </span><span>The Biden administration attempted to speed up the release of $20 bills with the famous abolitionist after the first Trump administration shelved the move first kicked off by the Obama administration.</span><span> Tara Suter reports for </span><a href="https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5957729-harriet-tubman-20-dollar-bill-treasury-scott-bessent/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>The Hill</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>TRUMP ADMINISTRATION LITIGATION&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>A federal judge yesterday </b><a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.gand.359862/gov.uscourts.gand.359862.37.0_3.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>ruled</b></a><b> that the Justice Department may not subpoena the names and contact information of those who worked during the 2020 election in Georgia&rsquo;s Fulton County.</b><span> Cheyanne M. Daniels reports for </span><a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2026/07/07/judge-rules-against-doj-atlanta-2020-election-00989217" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>POLITICO</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>A federal judge in Florida yesterday </b><a href="https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.flnd.527782/gov.uscourts.flnd.527782.45.0_1.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>ordered</b></a><b> the Department of Homeland Security to restore four Republican-led states&rsquo; access to federal citizenship data to help screen their voter rolls. </b><span>The ruling contradicts a recent Washington ruling that ordered DHS to withdraw such access nationally. Zach Montague and David Ovalle report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/07/us/politics/florida-judge-dhs-citizenship-data.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Justice Department settled a second lawsuit against the government brought by former National Security Adviser Michael Flynn, </b><span>agreeing to pay the conservative activist and Trump ally to resolve his claim that the U.S. Army wrongly withheld approximately $38,000 from his retirement pay several years ago. Zoe Tillman reports for </span><a href="http://bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-07-07/trump-ally-michael-flynn-reached-a-second-settlement-with-doj?srnd=undefined" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Bloomberg</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Iranian American Legal Defense Fund yesterday filed a lawsuit alleging the Trump administration has been sharing confidential information about Iranian asylum seekers with the Iranian government. </b><span>Laura Romero reports for </span><a href="https://abcnews.com/US/administration-sharing-info-asylum-seekers-iranian-government-lawsuit/story?id=134547340" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>ABC News</span></a><span>.</span></p>
<p><b>Did you miss this?</b>&nbsp;Stay up-to-date with our&nbsp;<a href="https://justsecurity.us7.list-manage.com/track/click?u=96b766fb1c8a55bbe9b0cdc21&amp;id=251d4342e4&amp;e=bd8778e5ec" aria-label="Litigation Tracker: Legal Challenges to Trump Administration Actions.- opens in new tab" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Litigation Tracker: Legal Challenges to Trump Administration Actions.</a></p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXchCAluDft2LKA1wOLQ4i6pCzxIl0l-NcwpWXsODFsCUPu4amZ-9579JwGXy0dHUrxRzx7xqb2qETGLFJ1nxK5VHTcANGd2_preWoUqx5Ao8QjqEuWytBWhQsJDb8EB0dWQv-sVMg?key=3LGEnQeAgyeBawKRekdMORYu" referrerpolicy="no-referrer" loading="lazy"></p>
<p>If you enjoy listening, Just Security&rsquo;s analytic articles are also available in audio form on the justsecurity.org website.</p>
<p><strong>ICYMI: Yesterday on<em>&nbsp;Just Security</em></strong></p>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/145577/venezuela-earthquake-end-us-sanctions/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">To Help Venezuelans After the Quake, End U.S. Sanctions</a></p>
<p>By Francisco R. Rodr&iacute;guez&nbsp;and&nbsp;George A. Lopez</p>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/145707/slaughter-categorical-rule-cook-exception/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">The Federal Reserve Exception to the&nbsp;<i>Slaughter</i>&nbsp;Rule</a></p>
<p>By <span>Lev Menand</span></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/146142/early-edition-july-8-2026/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Early Edition: July 8, 2026</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-08T12:20:32+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Elisabeth Jennings</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-08T12:20:32+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="daily news roundup"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-08:/293016</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/128953/collection-us-greenland-nato/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=collection-us-greenland-nato" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Collection: U.S., Greenland, and NATO</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Editor&rsquo;s note: In light of development at the NATO 2026 summit in Ankara, we are providing the...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p><em><span>Editor&rsquo;s note: In light of development at the NATO 2026 summit in Ankara, we are providing these essays as a collection.</span></em></p>
<p><span>Greenland has recently become the subject of significant interest by the Trump administration. In 2026, the United States has threatened the use of military force to seize the territory, over which NATO member Denmark has long had sovereignty.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>In this collection, experts examine the legal, political, and security dimensions of U.S. policy towards Greenland, including with respect to U.S.-NATO relations, congressional oversight, and broader geopolitical implications.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">Michael Carpenter, <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/139028/transatlantic-relations-autonomy-cooperation/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">The Transatlantic Dilemma: How to Pursue Autonomy Without Foreclosing Future Cooperation</a> (May 15, 2026)</li>
<li aria-level="1">Michael Schiffer, <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/135071/trump-admin-sabotage-arctic-strategy/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">The Trump Administration Is Sabotaging Its Own Arctic Strategy</a> (April 1, 2026)</li>
<li aria-level="1">Neil Weare and Adi Mart&iacute;nez Rom&aacute;n, <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/130478/greenland-denmark-shortcomings-us-territory/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">How Greenland&rsquo;s Relationship with Denmark Exposes the Shortcomings of Being a &ldquo;U.S. Territory&rdquo;</a> (Feb. 3, 2026)</li>
<li aria-level="1">Alberto J. Mora, <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/130395/greenland-davos-22usc1928f-nato-trump/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Greenland Post-Davos: Enforcing 22 USC 1928f to Save NATO and Contain Trump&rsquo;s Lawless Foreign Policy</a> (Feb. 2, 2026)</li>
<li aria-level="1">Michael Schmitt and Tess Bridgeman, <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/129374/legal-obstacles-us-greenland/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">The Insurmountable Legal Obstacles to U.S. Acquisition of Greenland</a> (Jan. 22, 2026)</li>
<li aria-level="1">Daniel Maurer, Steven J. Lepper, Eugene R. Fidell and Alberto J. Mora, and Frank Rosenblatt, <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/129410/hypothetical-legal-review-us-military-greenland/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Hypothetical Legal Review of Use of the U.S. Military in Greenland</a> (Jan. 22, 2026)</li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>Alberto J. Mora, <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/128930/preserving-nato-prohibiting-military-action-greenland/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">How Congress Can Preserve NATO: Using 22 USC 1928f to Protect the Peace in Greenland</a> (Jan. 16, 2026)&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>Frank A. Rose, </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/128707/trump-right-greenland-wrong-secure/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Trump Is Right About Greenland &mdash; Wrong About How to Secure It</span></a><span> (Jan. 13, 2026)&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>Michael Schmitt, </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/128581/the-north-atlantic-treaty-and-a-u-s-attack-on-denmark/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>The North Atlantic Treaty and a U.S. Attack on Denmark</span></a><span> (Jan. 13, 2026)&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1"><span>Ambassador Daniel Fried, </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/128167/trump-foreign-policy-bold-bad-constructive/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Trump&rsquo;s New Year Foreign Policy: The Risk that the Bold and the Bad Outweigh the Constructive</span></a><span> (Jan. 8, 2026)&nbsp;</span></li>
<li aria-level="1">Kal Raustiala, <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/108031/more-territory-problems-greenland/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">More Territory, More Problems: Can Trump Seize Greenland?</a> (Feb. 19, 2025)</li>
</ul>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/128953/collection-us-greenland-nato/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Collection: U.S., Greenland, and NATO</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-08T11:53:40+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Just Security</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-08T11:53:40+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="arctic"/>

	<category term="collections"/>

	<category term="congress"/>

	<category term="congressional oversight"/>

	<category term="denmark"/>

	<category term="diplomacy"/>

	<category term="europe"/>

	<category term="foreign policy"/>

	<category term="greenland"/>

	<category term="international law"/>

	<category term="military"/>

	<category term="nato"/>

	<category term="north atlantic treaty organization (nato)"/>

	<category term="rule of law"/>

	<category term="series"/>

	<category term="trump administration second term"/>

	<category term="u.s./greenland/and nato"/>

	<category term="un charter"/>

	<category term="use of force"/>

	<category term="war powers"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-07:/292828</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/145577/venezuela-earthquake-end-us-sanctions/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=venezuela-earthquake-end-us-sanctions" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">To Help Venezuelans After the Quake, End U.S. Sanctions</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Venezuelans are growing increasingly angry about the inability of their government to provide the pe...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p><span>Venezuelans are growing </span><a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c5yzd18dxzxo" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>increasingly angry</span></a><span> about the inability of their government to provide the person power and rescue equipment needed to cope with the deadly back-to-back earthquakes that hit the country on June 24.</span></p>
<p><span>Venezuela was in a vulnerable position even before this tragedy. The country had already been devastated by years of economic collapse and authoritarian governance. Now, it is grappling with natural disaster. The extent of the damage from the quakes remains uncertain, but official tallies on Monday recorded </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/death-toll-venezuela-quakes-rises-3342-2026-07-05/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>3,342</span></a><span> deaths, 16,470 injured, and </span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kpN-MCjaD-E" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>tens of thousands</span></a><span> still missing.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>To their credit, various neighboring States and international agencies </span><a href="https://www.unicefusa.org/stories/venezuela-earthquakes-children-need-help-now" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>such as UNICEF</span></a><span> have been quick to respond. The United States </span><a href="https://ve.usembassy.gov/update-on-the-trump-administrations-robust-and-rapid-delivery-of-life-saving-u-s-assistance-to-venezuela/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>pledged</span></a><span> $300 million to relief agencies, mobilized civilian and military teams to Venezuela that are trained on disaster relief, and issued a limited sanctions waiver for earthquake relief activities. But these measures are far from enough. The United Nations </span><a href="https://www.undrr.org/publication/documents-and-publications/analytical-estimate-damages-caused-june-24-2026-earthquakes" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>estimates</span></a><span> the losses from the quakes stand at $37 billion, or 32 percent of Venezuela&rsquo;s GDP. To respond adequately to this crisis, the United States should spearhead a major reconstruction effort and lift all remaining sanctions on the Venezuelan economy.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The quakes hit a country deeply scarred by corruption, mismanagement, and years of U.S. sanctions. Between 2012 and 2020, Venezuela suffered the largest economic contraction ever documented outside of war. The sector that shrank the most during that period was </span><a href="https://x.com/frrodriguezc/status/2070936657453531506?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>construction,</span></a><span> precisely the one most needed now for rebuilding.</span> <span>As the economy collapsed, so did state capacity: government revenues </span><a href="https://franciscorodriguez.net/2026/07/06/social-policy-in-venezuelas-bolivarian-revolution-from-universalism-to-politicized-targeting/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>fell</span></a><span> by a staggering 98 percent and most qualified workers left government employment. Now this disaster has </span><a href="https://reliefweb.int/report/venezuela-bolivarian-republic/venezuela-crisis-humanitarian-conditions-baseline-review-13-january-2026" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>completely overwhelmed</span></a><span> the already inadequate response capacity of the Venezuelan state.</span></p>
<p><span>Since the United States carried out its Jan. 3 military operation to extract the country&rsquo;s authoritarian leader, Nicol&aacute;s Maduro, it has treated Venezuela as a virtual protectorate, directly </span><a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2026/01/safeguarding-venezuelan-oil-revenue-for-the-good-of-the-american-and-venezuelan-people/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>selling</span></a><span> the country&rsquo;s oil and overseeing Caracas&rsquo; use of funds from these sales. The United States has </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/13/world/americas/tren-de-aragua-leader-killed-us-venezuela.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>carried out</span></a><span> military operations with Venezuelan forces and President Donald Trump </span><a href="https://www.reutersconnect.com/item/trump-praises-great-relationship-with-venezuela-says-we-are-taking-out-tremendous-amounts-of-oil/dGFnOnJldXRlcnMuY29tLDIwMjY6bmV3c21sX1ZBMTQ0OTIyMDYyMDI2UlAx" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>regularly boasts</span></a><span> of the strength of the relationship between the two countries.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Despite this new treatment by the United States, the returns to Venezuela&rsquo;s economy and its people, three-quarters of whom still live in poverty, have been limited. In fact, economic growth </span><a href="https://x.com/frrodriguezc/status/2069120017296490984?s=20" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>slowed</span></a><span> in the first quarter of the year to its lowest level since 2021, and public opinion surveys </span><a href="https://elpais.com/america/2026-05-09/venezuela-a-traves-de-las-encuestas-los-venezolanos-confian-mas-en-chevron-que-en-su-propia-presidenta.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>show</span></a><span> Venezuelans increasingly frustrated with the lack of visible improvement in economic conditions.</span></p>
<p><span>The U.S. rollback of the maximum pressure sanctions against the Venezuelan government has been slow, inadequate, and has failed to facilitate the participation by foreign investors and banks needed to revitalize the economy. For example, the country&rsquo;s central bank remains under sanctions, operating under a</span><a href="https://ofac.treasury.gov/media/935516/download?inline" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span> limited license</span></a><span> that restricts its capacity to adequately conduct the foreign exchange operations necessary for the economy to recover. Washington has also failed to address fundamental flaws that endure in Caracas&rsquo; </span><a href="https://www.newyorker.com/news/the-lede/the-hole-in-donald-trumps-venezuelan-oil-strategy#rid=96ac379c-0a7e-44d6-bf85-a9e6e87f54df&amp;q=stephania+taladrid" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>management of its oil industry</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Tragically, the earthquakes now confront the Trump administration with the responsibility it took on last January: to repair an economy that U.S. sanctions helped damage. The single most important move that the administration could take would be to lift all remaining economic sanctions on the country. It could do so while maintaining where appropriate the personal sanctions on regime officials who have played a part in corruption or human rights violations. </span><a href="https://www.nrc.no/globalassets/pdf/briefing-notes/overcoming-derisking-of-humanitarian-payment-channels-to-regions-impacted-by-sanctions-and-counterterrorism-measures/new-pdf-oct.2025/enhancing-humanitarian-payment-channels-nrc-2025.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Evidence</span></a><span> shows that limited waivers are insufficient to deal with major emergencies, as humanitarian organizations often face insurmountable obstacles to carry out relief activities in sanctioned environments.</span></p>
<p><span>Even if the United States does not lift all its sanctions on Venezuela, there is much that it could do to improve earthquake response efforts. For example, the U.S. Treasury Department could extend the </span><a href="https://ofac.treasury.gov/media/936396/download?inline" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>license</span></a><span> for earthquake relief issued June 25 to cover reconstruction activities for at least two years, instead of the four-month period for which it was issued. A few months of relief is not a serious response to an emergency of this scale.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Even when food and medicine are formally exempt from sanctions, banks routinely refuse to process the payments, fearing they could be penalized for an inadvertent violation, causing the exempt goods to still fail to reach the country. To address this risk, the U.S. Treasury should specify in a memo from its Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) the dedicated and approved banking channels for humanitarian payments that provide pre-approved financial pathways for food, medicine, and medical devices. These channels would rely on vetted Venezuelan financial institutions operating under explicit written assurances from OFAC that transactions conducted within the framework will not trigger U.S. sanctions enforcement. The United States should assist the Venezuelan government with access to </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/138192/overcoming-crime-corruption-post-sanctions-states/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>recent models</span></a><span> for building enduring, rule-of-law-based, international financial transactions.</span></p>
<p><span>Given the massive reconstruction needs faced by the country, the United States and European countries should allow Venezuela to regain full access to its own funds. Despite the issuance of a license to Venezuela&rsquo;s central bank in mid-April, at least $10 billion in </span><a href="https://www.foxnews.com/world/uk-keeps-billions-venezuelan-gold-reserves-frozen-bank-england-maduro-arrest" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>holdings</span></a><span> of cash and special drawing rights continue to be blocked by sanctions and foreign policy directives. These funds need to be immediately unblocked and directed toward reconstruction spending.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>International institutions and other countries, plus the private sector, also need to step up. The International Monetary Fund should disburse additional funds through its Rapid Financing Instrument, free of any policy conditionality &ndash; as it did with Ecuador after an earthquake in 2016. Russia and China, the country&rsquo;s largest creditors, should declare a debt moratorium to permit monies for Venezuela&rsquo;s debts to be channeled to the country&rsquo;s urgent reconstruction needs. The U.S. Treasury Department should establish a currency swap between the U.S. and Venezuelan Central Bank to provide access to liquidity to the Venezuelan government and strongly support efforts to stabilize prices and the exchange rate.</span></p>
<p><span>A serious commitment to Venezuelan political reconciliation must be prioritized. This tragedy should prompt deep reflection and action for the country&rsquo;s dueling political factions to put their political differences aside and work jointly to address the emergency. Prior to the earthquakes, a </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/us-hails-initial-meeting-between-venezuelan-government-opposition-2026-06-18/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>meeting</span></a><span> between the top opposition and government lawmakers suggested the start of a new cooperative approach. The United States should assist the formation of a joint task force to oversee and coordinate reconstruction efforts. Such cooperation should come alongside institutional reforms and guarantees offered by all sides that lead to free and fair elections.</span></p>
<p><span>Shortly after Venezuela was hit by an earthquake of similar magnitude in 1812, independence leader Sim&oacute;n Bol&iacute;var famously </span><a href="https://web.seducoahuila.gob.mx/BIBLIOWEB/upload/manifiesto_de_cartagena.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>warned</span></a><span> about the perils of building &ldquo;republics in the air,&rdquo; governments incapable of addressing the real needs of their constituencies. Hugo Ch&aacute;vez and Maduro, who claimed to be inspired by Bol&iacute;var&rsquo;s ideas, instead left Venezuelans with a corrupt and incompetent regime unable to protect or rescue them.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>In January, Trump and U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio eagerly took on the role of Venezuela&rsquo;s de facto leaders. Let us hope, in the wake of this national crisis, they fulfill their responsibilities and leave a different legacy than Chavez and Maduro.</span></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/145577/venezuela-earthquake-end-us-sanctions/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">To Help Venezuelans After the Quake, End U.S. Sanctions</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-07T13:05:05+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Francisco R. Rodríguez</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-07T13:05:05+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="corruption"/>

	<category term="democratic backsliding &amp; solutions"/>

	<category term="diplomacy"/>

	<category term="disaster response"/>

	<category term="economy"/>

	<category term="foreign aid/foreign assistance"/>

	<category term="governance"/>

	<category term="human rights"/>

	<category term="humanitarian"/>

	<category term="humanitarian assistance"/>

	<category term="international and foreign"/>

	<category term="natural disasters"/>

	<category term="office of foreign assets control (ofac)"/>

	<category term="rule of law"/>

	<category term="sanctions"/>

	<category term="treasury department"/>

	<category term="trump administration second term"/>

	<category term="venezuela"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-07:/292829</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/145707/slaughter-categorical-rule-cook-exception/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=slaughter-categorical-rule-cook-exception" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">The Federal Reserve Exception to the Slaughter Rule</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>&ldquo;When an agency executes a congressional mandate against private parties, it exercises executive pow...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<blockquote><p><em>&ldquo;When an agency executes a congressional mandate against private parties, it exercises executive power &ndash; no ifs, ands, or quasis.&rdquo; &ndash; Trump v. Slaughter</em></p>
<p><em>&ldquo;We see no reason, however, why our central bank ought to be trapped in amber any more than any other aspect of our constitutional scheme.&rdquo; &ndash; Trump v. Cook</em></p></blockquote>
<p>Last week, on the second-to-last day of the Supreme Court&rsquo;s 2025 term, Chief Justice John Roberts delivered two opinions that read like they had been written by two different people. In <a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-332_qn12.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><em>Trump v. </em></a><a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-332_qn12.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><em>Slaughter</em></a>, Roberts overruled <a href="https://www.oyez.org/cases/1900-1940/295us602" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">bedrock precedent</a> and held unconstitutional the structure of much of the federal government. In <a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25a312_5468.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><em>Trump v. Cook</em></a>, a case arising from President Donald Trump&rsquo;s attempt to fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, Roberts carved out an exception for the Federal Reserve System (the Fed) &mdash; &ldquo;as currently structured and with its existing enforcement authorities.&rdquo; Although the Chief wrote for majorities in both cases, only one other justice, Brett Kavanaugh, wholly endorsed his approach.</p>
<p>The three justices appointed by Presidents Obama and Biden (Kagan, Sotomayor, and Jackson) joined the Chief in <em>Cook</em> but dissented in <em>Slaughter</em>. On their view, the design of the Fed is constitutional for the same reason that the design of the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) is constitutional: because Congress has the power to create offices and set the terms by which they are held, and the President <a href="https://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/5/137/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">has to follow those laws</a>.</p>
<p>Justice Clarence Thomas, by contrast, joined Chief Justice Roberts in <em>Slaughter</em>, striking down congressional limits on the President&rsquo;s power to remove government officials, but derided Roberts for not seeing that ruling through to its logical conclusion. &ldquo;The Court makes many policy arguments for an &lsquo;independent&rsquo; banking agency,&rdquo; he wrote in his dissent in <em>Cook</em>, &ldquo;but those are ultimately arguments <em>against</em> the Constitution&rdquo; (emphasis added).</p>
<p>Justices Samuel Alito and Neil Gorsuch were elliptical. They objected that the question of whether Fed officials were covered by the Court&rsquo;s theory of presidential power, while &ldquo;indeed important and sensitive,&rdquo; was not properly before the justices and so should be left unaddressed (and Lisa Cook, at least temporarily, unemployed). As they explained, President Trump had not challenged the constitutionality of the statutory restrictions in the Federal Reserve Act and so the case concerning the removal of Lisa Cook could be decided in a hypothetical world in which <em>Slaughter</em> had not been decided.<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn1" name="_ftnref1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><sup>[1]</sup></a></p>
<p>Justice Amy Coney Barrett, meanwhile, described the Chief&rsquo;s reasoning about the exceptional nature of the Federal Reserve Act as &ldquo;conclusory.&rdquo; &ldquo;Even assuming that the Court is right on the merits,&rdquo; she wrote, &ldquo;the issue warrants much more than a few paragraphs.&rdquo; There are many unresolved issues. For example: &ldquo;How can history support both a categorical rule and a carveout?&rdquo; &ldquo;Do all the Federal Reserve&rsquo;s existing regulatory powers have the requisite connection to monetary policy? If not, are they grandfathered in?&rdquo; &ldquo;And is the Federal Reserve unique, or might history sanction other exceptions too?&rdquo;</p>
<p>This essay begins to work through these questions. It argues that the Court&rsquo;s carveout for the Federal Reserve fails on its own terms. With one hand, Roberts cuts down the <em>Humphrey&rsquo;s Executor </em>&ldquo;exception&rdquo; to the categorical rule of <em>Myers </em>(grounded in functionalism) and declares: &ldquo;<em>Humphrey&rsquo;s Executor </em>is dead!&rdquo; With the other hand, Roberts manufactures a new exception to this same rule (now grounded in &ldquo;history and tradition&rdquo;), proclaiming in effect: &ldquo;Long Live <em>Trump v. Cook</em>!&rdquo; The dissonance is jarring, and the history, faulty. The result is a <a href="https://www.jstor.org/stable/1119047" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">judicial brick without straw</a>.</p>
<h2><strong>From Functionalism to History and Tradition</strong></h2>
<p>Last May, in a case called <a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/24pdf/24a966_1b8e.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><em>Trump v. Wilcox</em></a><em>, </em>the Court indicated that it was seeking a way to save the Fed from the Unitary Executive. But the justices left open how exactly they would justify treating central bankers differently, writing only that the &ldquo;Federal Reserve is a uniquely structured, quasi-private entity that follows in the distinct historical tradition of the First and Second Banks of the United States.&rdquo;</p>
<p>Now we know that the Court is going with &ldquo;<a href="https://ir.lawnet.fordham.edu/flr/vol94/iss6/2/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">the Historical Practice Exception</a>&rdquo;&mdash;a route initially suggested by Professor Daniel Tarullo in his law review article, <a href="https://southerncalifornialawreview.com/2024/05/14/the-federal-reserve-and-the-constitution/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><em>The Federal Reserve and the Constitution</em></a>. In so doing, the Court walked away from some of the <a href="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5266613" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">most dubious aspects</a> of the <em>Wilcox</em> dicta. For example, in <em>Cook</em>, Chief Justice Roberts dropped the term &ldquo;quasi-private,&rdquo; perhaps because he and many of his colleagues have long scorned the concepts of &ldquo;quasi-legislative&rdquo; and &ldquo;quasi-judicial&rdquo; power that undergirded the Court&rsquo;s reasoning in <em>Humphrey&rsquo;s Executor</em>. (Indeed, Roberts ridiculed these terms again in <em>Slaughter</em>, proclaiming that the President&rsquo;s power to remove executive officials is illimitable, &ldquo;no ifs, ands, or quasis about it.&rdquo;)<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn2" name="_ftnref2" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><sup>[2]</sup></a></p>
<p>Instead, <em>Cook</em> doubles down on &ldquo;history and tradition.&rdquo; The Federal Reserve, the Court explains, &ldquo;follows in [the] lineage&rdquo; of the First and Second Banks of the United States. How? In <em>Slaughter</em>, Roberts gives us one sentence: both the Bank and the Board &ldquo;influence[d] monetary policy,&rdquo; while not being &ldquo;subject to plenary Presidential control.&rdquo; And this is sort of true&mdash;at least, if by &ldquo;monetary policy&rdquo; we mean the price and quantity of money in circulation. (If by &ldquo;policy,&rdquo; we mean &ldquo;public policy,&rdquo; then it is not true&mdash;the Bank had no influence over the <em>government&rsquo;s </em>monetary policy, over which Congress retained almost total control.)</p>
<p>In <em>Cook</em>, Roberts gives us a bit more. He recognizes that the Board is &ldquo;more powerful than its predecessors, managing a vastly more complex economy in a vastly more complex world,&rdquo; while nonetheless insisting that &ldquo;[w]hat matters is that the Federal Reserve remains &lsquo;consistent with the <strong>principles</strong> that underpin&rsquo; the First and Second Banks&mdash;namely, that monetary policy should not be subject to political interference&rdquo; (emphasis added). This last bit about political interference in monetary policy is also true in many respects. In the judgment of Roberts (and Kavanaugh), &ldquo;the Federal Reserve maintains the &lsquo;balance struck by the founding generation&rsquo; under &lsquo;modern circumstances.&rsquo;&rdquo; While this final point is debatable, it is not obviously wrong.</p>
<p>In addition to these sentences, the Court adds citations to case law. The language about &ldquo;principles&rdquo; quoted above comes directly from <em>U.S. v.</em> <em>Rahimi</em>.<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn3" name="_ftnref3" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><sup>[3]</sup></a> (So does the &ldquo;trapped in amber&rdquo; language quoted initially.) <em>Rahimi</em> concerns the scope of Second Amendment rights and when they can be limited by the government. The test involves identifying some restrictions in the eighteenth century and analogizing them to restrictions today. Apparently, the idea in <em>Cook </em>is that the design of the Bank restricted the President&rsquo;s removal power in a way that is sufficiently related to the restrictions on the President&rsquo;s removal power found in the Federal Reserve Act.</p>
<p>But the opinion does not grapple with any of the problems raised by invoking <em>Rahimi</em>. Consider a few. First, if history and tradition is the appropriate way to identify constitutionally permissible limits on the President&rsquo;s &ldquo;right&rdquo; to fire government officials, why did the Court fail to conduct such an analysis for the Federal Trade Commission, the agency at issue in <em>Slaughter</em>? Second, what is the appropriate level of generality at which to compare the Banks to the Board and why? Third, and relatedly, if the Bank is a sufficient analog for insulating administration from partisan politics in the case of &ldquo;monetary policy,&rdquo; shouldn&rsquo;t it also be good enough to underwrite the structure of the FTC? In other words, why should monetary policy be any different from competition policy, capital markets policy, or telecommunications policy? Because Alexander Hamilton wrote about the benefits of separating the power to expand the money supply from the government and its fiscal requirements? Isn&rsquo;t the relevant <em>Rahimi</em> &ldquo;principle&rdquo; that some public policy goals require some measure of non-partisan administration and that Congress gets to decide (subject to Presidential veto) what those goals are?</p>
<h2><strong>A Closer Look at the History</strong></h2>
<p>The trouble deepens once you engage further with the actual history of the Bank of the United States. For example, the Court fails to address the reasons why the Bank might not be an appropriate analog for purposes of identifying exceptions to the (purported) demands of Article II. The most obvious problem, which Justice Thomas emphasizes in his dissent, is that the Bank is not an abridgement, in any way, of the President&rsquo;s right to fire government officials. It is <em>not </em>inconsistent with <em>Slaughter&rsquo;s</em> interpretation of Article II. After all, the Bank is a private enterprise like JPMorgan Chase or Amazon (depending on your level of generality). It was incorporated by the government, but it was not owned or controlled by the government. The Bank had non-governmental shareholders, many of whom were not even U.S. citizens. (See <a href="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=6092066" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">here</a> and <a href="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5266613&amp;__cf_chl_f_tk=ux0wBP0vdJUWW5ZUdMu2v0iVnaP8onCVgxu.3.6kExw-1783018565-1.0.1.1-0o0Dt00DqhpEQF.QgF2ZTor8eHtrPI3GAybnp_z1h3A" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">here</a>.)</p>
<p>In other words, even assuming that it is proper to apply <em>Rahimi</em> to the structural Constitution, the Banks do not even enter a formalist analysis. Using them to justify restrictions on the President&rsquo;s power to remove members of the Fed&rsquo;s Board would be like justifying a restriction on the ownership of rifles today by reference to a law restricting the ownership of poison in 1790. It&rsquo;s apples and giraffes.</p>
<p>The Court also plays fast and loose with the meaning of words. For example, it uses the term &ldquo;central bank&rdquo; to describe eighteenth century corporations that were not &ldquo;central banks.&rdquo; &ldquo;Our Nation&rsquo;s first <em>de facto</em> central bank predates even our Constitution,&rdquo; the Chief writes on the first page of his opinion in <em>Cook</em>. But he offers no citation for this claim. The Bank of North America (BNA), to which he is referring, <em>was</em> the nation&rsquo;s first <em>chartered</em> bank (it was chartered by the Continental Congress). But it could hardly be described as a <em>central</em> bank, de jure or otherwise. A central bank is a bank for banks that oversees the banking system. At the time the Bank of North America was established, there were no other chartered banks in the country at all. And even after that changed, the BNA did not play a meaningful role in banking the banks that were added.<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn4" name="_ftnref4" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><sup>[4]</sup></a></p>
<p>The Bank of the United States, meanwhile, which is frequently described in the secondary literature as a proto central bank,<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn5" name="_ftnref5" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><sup>[5]</sup></a> is properly analogized not to the Federal Reserve&rsquo;s Board of Governors but to its twelve Federal Reserve Banks. They are <a href="https://chicagounbound.uchicago.edu/uclrev/vol92/iss2/2/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">the bank-part</a> of the country&rsquo;s current central banking system. And they are private&mdash;outside of the government&mdash;just like the Bank of the United States. The Board of Governors, by contrast, is not a bank. It has no balance sheet. It cannot lend. It cannot buy assets. It is a public, multi-member commission and a <em>bank regulator</em>. It regulates the Federal Reserve Banks, federally chartered national banks, state chartered banks, and companies that own and control banks (bank holding companies).</p>
<p>Obscuring this distinction, the <em>Cook</em> opinion also conflates the legal meaning of the word &ldquo;regulate&rdquo; with its colloquial meaning. For example, to rebut Justice Thomas&rsquo;s point that the Banks &ldquo;served no regulatory function&rdquo; (Roberts&rsquo; words), Roberts cites Eric Lomazoff&rsquo;s <a href="https://www.bibliovault.org/BV.landing.epl?ISBN=9780226579597" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Reconstructing the National Bank Controversy</a> (2018), which explains that the Banks &ldquo;serve[d] as the &lsquo;great regulating wheel&rsquo; of the early American financial system.&rdquo; (Lomazoff is himself quoting the Bank&rsquo;s first president, Thomas Willing.)</p>
<p>But Lomazoff isn&rsquo;t using the word in the same way as Justice Thomas. And while Lomazoff&rsquo;s <em>is</em> probably the best analysis of the first Bank&rsquo;s role in the country&rsquo;s monetary system, a fuller examination of his history only raises more problems for the Court&rsquo;s application of <em>Rahimi</em>. For example, Lomazoff points out that most scholars &ldquo;who have treated the subject [of how the Bank evolved into an instrument of both fiscal and monetary policy] explicitly identify the Bank&rsquo;s monetary role as an <em>unexpected</em> post-1791 development&rdquo; (p. 52 citing examples). And on Lomazoff&rsquo;s account, the Bank&rsquo;s transformation into a &ldquo;regulator&rdquo; was not intended and was greatly <em>contested</em> (pp.&nbsp; 53-55). More important still, what Lomazoff and Willing are talking about is not legal regulation. The Bank &ldquo;regulated&rdquo; the money supply through its commercial activity in the market. Their description of &ldquo;a great regulating wheel&rdquo; is even in the form of a metaphor. Indeed, the Bank did not exercise any governmental authority&mdash;it had no such authority. Put another way, the Bank regulated the money supply in much the same way that Apple regulates the applications firms can sell in its App Store or the Union Pacific Railroad regulated the flow of trains from St. Louis to California. Congress established the Board of Governors, by contrast, to regulate the money supply in an entirely different way, the way the Interstate Commerce Commission regulated train traffic: with the force of law.</p>
<p>The Chief&rsquo;s use of Alexander Hamilton&rsquo;s <a href="https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/title/report-secretary-treasury-alexander-hamilton-subject-a-national-bank-3677" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><em>Report on a National Bank</em></a> is one of the opinion&rsquo;s most thoughtful uses of history, nicely explaining <a href="https://scholarship.law.vanderbilt.edu/vlr/vol74/iss4/5/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">eighteenth century concerns</a> with government management of monetary expansion, but even then, two important points are overlooked.</p>
<p>First, Hamilton was very concerned about accountability, just like the Court purports to be in <em>Slaughter</em>. But Hamilton thought that accountability to investors was the way to go. Only people with their own capital and livelihoods at stake, he argued, would have the proper incentives not to overexpand the money supply. And importantly, today&rsquo;s monetary system continues in this tradition. Monetary expansion, in many respects, <a href="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4031875&amp;__cf_chl_f_tk=e_.slvVNjK5s3wY_HahdiWXBBrxvhE6mXL3blyUniY4-1783035291-1.0.1.1-.btQgAWsZoM7OrMGBMxAKlrciUcb4h3o9Ncpa0dGbO0" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">remains in the hands</a> of investor-owned banks. What has changed is <a href="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4031875&amp;__cf_chl_f_tk=e_.slvVNjK5s3wY_HahdiWXBBrxvhE6mXL3blyUniY4-1783035291-1.0.1.1-.btQgAWsZoM7OrMGBMxAKlrciUcb4h3o9Ncpa0dGbO0" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">the addition</a> of government regulation of this activity, in particular via the Federal Reserve System.</p>
<p>Second, and relatedly, Hamilton was concerned with government oversight. He thought that the Secretary of the Treasury should supervise the Bank. &ldquo;[T]he government owes to itself and to the community &hellip; to reserve to itself a right of ascertaining, as often as may be necessary, the state of the Bank,&rdquo; he explained. &ldquo;[T]he Government should possess the means of ascertaining, whenever it thinks fit, that so delicate a trust [as is made by the government in the Bank] is executed with fidelity and care.&rdquo; Although the powers that Congress granted the Secretary in 1791 were quite limited&mdash;a whole lot narrower than the Board&rsquo;s&mdash;they are arguably the founding-era analog for the Board&rsquo;s powers, and they belonged to an officer who served at the president&rsquo;s pleasure. In other words, dig a bit deeper and the history and tradition of the Bank suggests that the Board falls under <em>Slaughter</em>&rsquo;s categorical rule, not outside of it.</p>
<p>Dig deeper still, and the history of the Bank starts to collapse the entire premise of <em>Slaughter </em>itself. After all, when the First Congress created the Treasury Department, it intentionally declined to label it an &ldquo;executive department&rdquo;&mdash;unlike the Department of War and the Department of State&mdash;a fact that goes unmentioned in both <em>Cook</em> and <em>Slaughter.</em><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn6" name="_ftnref6" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><sup>[6]</sup></a> And none other than James Madison <a href="https://press-pubs.uchicago.edu/founders/documents/a2_2_2-3s42.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">argued on the floor of Congress</a>&ndash;on June 29, 1789&ndash;that aspects of the Treasury&rsquo;s role in the government were not &ldquo;executive&rdquo; in nature but &ldquo;judicial&rdquo;:</p>
<blockquote><p>Several arguments were adduced to show the Executive Magistrate had constitutionally a right to remove subordinate officers at pleasure. Among others it was urged, with some force, that these officers were merely to assist him in the performance of duties, which, from the nature of man, he could not execute without them, although he had an unquestionable right to do them if he were able; but I question very much whether he can or ought to have any interference in the settling and adjusting the legal claims of individuals against the United States. The necessary examination and decision in such cases partake too much of the judicial capacity to be blended with the executive. I do not say the office is either executive or judicial; I think it rather distinct from both, though it partakes of each, and therefore some modification, accommodated to those circumstances, ought to take place. I would, therefore, make the officer responsible to every part of the Government.</p></blockquote>
<p>We are left with the distinct impression that <em>Cook</em> is &ldquo;policy as history&rdquo; and what is motivating Chief Justice Roberts and Justice Kavanaugh is a concern with the consequences of extending the <em>Slaughter </em>Rule to the Federal Reserve. &ldquo;Even temporary uncertainty about the status of the Federal Reserve could spark political upheaval,&rdquo; Justice Kavanaugh wrote in his concurrence, &ldquo;including confusion about whether the President could immediately remove multiple Governors at will, as well as turmoil in the U.S. and world economies.&rdquo; Or as the Chief puts it, &ldquo;We see no reason to &hellip; sow doubt as to the status of one of our Nation&rsquo;s (and the world&rsquo;s) most important financial institutions.&rdquo;</p>
<p><strong>What&rsquo;s Next?</strong></p>
<p>Where does this leave us? Probably not with a stable doctrinal equilibrium that could rival the <em>Humphrey&rsquo;s Executor</em> Era (1935-2020) or the <em>Marbury</em> Era before it (1803-1899).<a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftn7" name="_ftnref7" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><sup>[7]</sup></a> Although the rest of the <em>Cook</em> opinion correctly interprets the words &ldquo;for cause&rdquo; in the Federal Reserve Act and applies the relevant precedent (see <a href="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=6303960&amp;__cf_chl_f_tk=WwLIVMRAeOFC25feBNBD8DPXAUk4SlFc4uljDlxvTTU-1783040925-1.0.1.1-qWTQY5HtXAnRA6GP_dpJ5C1dlOLm38kVpQdsMjaHC1Q" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">here</a>)&mdash;President Trump is <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/29/us/politics/trump-fire-fed-governor-cook.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">likely to pursue</a> removal of Lisa Cook once again. In other words, <em>Cook II </em>beckons. Meanwhile, whenever the Federal Reserve next promulgates a rule that isn&rsquo;t directly related to overnight interest rate policy, regulated parties may well bring suit on the ground that the relevant statutory authority is not sufficiently connected to monetary policy under <em>Cook</em> and is therefore improperly delegated to an agency not subject to the appropriate control by the President (<em>cf.</em> <a href="https://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/478/714/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Bowsher v. Synar</a>). And this could force some tough issues to the fore (such as whether the Federal Reserve can continue to <a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/12/5467" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">regulate financial market utilities</a>).</p>
<p>Although Roberts and Kavanaugh have indicated how they will vote in such cases (see <a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25a312_5468.pdf#page=28" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">note 6</a>), the Court&rsquo;s composition will eventually change. When that happens, will new justices try to narrow the <em>Cook</em> exception? Could the peculiar 5-4 majority in favor of the current vision give way to a 5-4 majority against it? Might the overarching <em>Slaughter</em> theory, in other words, <a href="https://chicagounbound.uchicago.edu/uclrev/vol83/iss4/11/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">work itself &ldquo;pure&rdquo;</a>? Might the Court eventually reject the power of Congress to insulate monetary policy from partisan politics? Perhaps the purification proceeds in stages: first the Federal Reserve loses some or all of its enforcement authorities; then maybe it loses some or all of its rulemaking powers; and at last the &ldquo;for cause&rdquo; limit drops out, &ldquo;unworkable&rdquo; and &ldquo;ill-conceived.&rdquo; We&rsquo;ve seen this show before. See <a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/23pdf/22-451_7m58.pdf#page=107" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><em>Loper Bright v. Raimondo</em></a>, 603 U.S. __ (2024) (Kagan J., dissenting) (the way it works is you &ldquo;[s]top applying a decision where one should; throw some gratuitous criticisms into a couple of opinions; issue a few separate writings questioning the decision&rsquo;s premises; give the whole process a few years . . . and voila!&mdash;you have a justification for overruling the decision&rdquo;) (cleaned up).</p>
<p>But there is also another possibility. The theory might work itself <a href="https://chicagounbound.uchicago.edu/uclrev/vol83/iss4/11/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">more </a><a href="https://chicagounbound.uchicago.edu/uclrev/vol83/iss4/11/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><em>impure</em></a>. <em>Cook</em> could be expanded. It could be read to protect not just independent monetary policy but all those government functions that require some measure of nonpartisan administration. This might start with new majorities deciding that the <em>Cook</em> exception can cover predominantly adjudicatory bodies. They might then extend <em>Cook</em> to the Federal Communications Commission or the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission. One day perhaps the exception could even come to swallow the rule, and <em>Cook</em> could be invoked to <em>reverse</em> the holding in <em>Slaughter</em> itself. Could not a future majority hold that, notwithstanding the President&rsquo;s illimitable power to remove executive officers per <em>Slaughter</em>, the Federal Trade Commission is, in fact, &ldquo;consistent with the principles that underpin&rdquo; the independence of the Bank of the United States? The justices, after all, have not had a chance to consider such an argument. Besides, the Court has already changed its mind once on this very issue. Perhaps the third time&rsquo;s the charm.</p>
<p>&ndash; &ndash; &ndash; &ndash; &ndash; &ndash; &ndash; &ndash; &ndash; &ndash; &ndash; &ndash; &ndash;</p>
<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref1" name="_ftn1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><sup>[1]</sup></a> Although it is possible that Alito and Gorsuch will eventually endorse a carveout from the <em>Slaughter </em>Rule along the lines proposed by Roberts and Kavanaugh, as a practical matter their vision of independence would be independence in name only, as they would have had the Court grant the President&rsquo;s stay application in <em>Cook</em>, which would have allowed removal during the pendency of the litigation.</p>
<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref2" name="_ftn2" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><sup>[2]</sup></a> The Court essentially ignores the fact that <a href="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5858002&amp;__cf_chl_f_tk=RSq5J1eYgrKTrNiFP7QGpMXBm8HS1GdDFjB_KLPaT40-1783351169-1.0.1.1-C_PftKAKgOVq3QblAjw4.eVW3iN4EmjlsniiBjJ4OGk" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">these terms</a> <a href="https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/research-reports/historians-amicus-brief-trump-v-slaughter-1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">long predate</a> <em>Humphrey&rsquo;s Executor </em>and reflect how the founding generation thought about government power. <em>See, e.g.</em>, <a href="https://repository.law.upenn.edu/Documents/Detail/the-indecisions-of-1789-inconstant-originalism-and-strategic-ambiguity/156701" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">here</a>.</p>
<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref3" name="_ftn3" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><sup>[3]</sup></a> The Court, mystifyingly, also cites Justice Stephen Breyer&rsquo;s majority opinion in <a href="https://www.oyez.org/cases/2013/12-1281" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><em>NLRB v. Noel Canning</em></a>, 134 S. Ct. 2550 (2014) as well as Justice Antonin Scalia&rsquo;s concurrence. But Roberts does not acknowledge that these opinions employ very different historical practice theories and ones that are different from what the Court applied in <em>Rahimi</em>. <em>See</em> Ash Ahmed, <em>Historical Practice Theories</em>, 127 Colum. L. Rev. (forthcoming 2027). Scalia&rsquo;s historical practice theory applies only if the text and structure of the Constitution are &ldquo;ambiguous,&rdquo; 134 S. Ct. at 2594, something that Kavanaugh and Roberts flatly deny is the case in <em>Slaughter, </em>Slip. Op. at 4, 8. Meanwhile, Breyer&rsquo;s historical practice theory (a &ldquo;gloss&rdquo; theory) looks to practice over time, <em>id.</em> at 2573, and, if it applied to the Federal Reserve Act, it would certainly demand a contrary result in <em>Slaughter</em>.</p>
<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref4" name="_ftn4" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><sup>[4]</sup></a> This phrase &ldquo;de facto central bank&rdquo; is used to describe the Bank of North America primarily in two places: <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bank_of_North_America" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Wikipedia</a> (&ldquo;the country&rsquo;s first <em>de facto</em> central bank&rdquo;), and <a href="https://www.aba.com/about-us/our-story/aba-history/1782-1799" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">a website</a> about the history of the American Bankers&rsquo; Association maintained by the ABA, the country&rsquo;s primary bank lobbyist (&ldquo;Congress charters the Bank of North America &hellip; [a] de facto central bank&rdquo;). The ABA cites no sources. Wikipedia cites page 87 of Jerry Markham&rsquo;s <a href="https://www.routledge.com/Financial-History-of-the-United-States/book-series/FHUS" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Financial History of the United States</a> (2002), which says that &ldquo;[i]n addition to being the first state bank to be officially chartered, this institution was America&rsquo;s initial attempt at creating a central bank that would become a counterpart to the Bank of England.&rdquo; Markham, who himself is being a bit loose with language here, does not claim that the Bank of North America ever achieved the status of &ldquo;de facto&rdquo; central bank. To the contrary, Markham explains how the Bank actively competed with the Bank of New York (which was established in 1784) for business in New York City and quickly fell out of favor with many government officials (pp. 87&ndash;88). The Bank of North America never closed its doors; it is today part of Wells Fargo.</p>
<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref5" name="_ftn5" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><sup>[5]</sup></a> As Bray Hammond explains, it is clear that the Bank was &ldquo;not simply another commercial bank.&rdquo; Bray Hammond, <a href="https://archive.org/details/bankspoliticsina0000bray_e6m7" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Banks and Politics in America from the Revolution to the Civil War</a> 114 (1957). Still, neither Hammond nor any of the other leading historians of American banking would say Congress chartered the Bank to be a &ldquo;central bank.&rdquo; As the economic historian Richard Timberlake explained: &ldquo;The First Bank was not intended to be a central bank; it was not to control the quantity of money. Nor was it to act as a centralized depository, an office of discount for commercial banks, or a lender of last resort. &hellip; [T]he four banks in existence in 1791 did not need a central bank in any of its manifestations. In fact, each of these banks approached the model of a single isolated banking system.&rdquo; <a href="https://archive.org/details/originsofcentral0000timb" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">The Origins of Central Banking in the United States</a> 4 (1978).</p>
<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref6" name="_ftn6" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><sup>[6]</sup></a> The history also shows that the First Congress created <a href="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=6156786" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">at least </a><a href="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=6156786" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">two</a> <a href="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5628110" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">independent commissions</a> that are wholly inconsistent with <em>Slaughter&rsquo;s</em> Article II theory&mdash;the Revolutionary War Debt Commission, whose members were granted secure tenures by Congress, and the Sinking Fund Commission, which included the Vice President and the Chief Justice of the United States. Both are unconvincingly dismissed by the majority in <em>Slaughter</em> and go unmentioned in <em>Cook</em>.</p>
<p><a href="https://vifa-recht.de#_ftnref7" name="_ftn7" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><sup>[7]</sup></a> Prior to <em>Humphrey&rsquo;s Executor</em>, <em>Marbury </em>underwrote Congress&rsquo;s power to limit the President&rsquo;s grounds for removing term-tenured officers. 1899 arguably marks the end point of this doctrinal stability, as that year the President fired a member of the Board of General Appraisers without cause, notwithstanding a statutory provision limiting removal to cases of &ldquo;inefficiency, neglect of duty, or malfeasance in office.&rdquo; This termination was upheld on (dubious) statutory grounds, but the constitutional claim was eventually vindicated in <em>Myers v. United States </em>in 1926.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/145707/slaughter-categorical-rule-cook-exception/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">The Federal Reserve Exception to the &lt;i&gt;Slaughter&lt;/i&gt; Rule</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-07T12:50:07+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Lev Menand</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-07T12:50:07+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="administrative law"/>

	<category term="courts &amp; litigation"/>

	<category term="featured articles"/>

	<category term="litigation"/>

	<category term="supreme court (scotus)"/>

	<category term="unitary executive"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-07:/292830</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/145903/early-edition-july-7-2026/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=early-edition-july-7-2026" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Early Edition: July 7, 2026</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Signup to receive the Early Edition in your inbox&nbsp;here.
A curated weekday guide to major news and de...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p>Signup to receive the Early Edition in your inbox&nbsp;<a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/newsletter-signup/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">here</a>.</p>
<p>A curated weekday guide to major news and developments over the last 24 hours. Here&rsquo;s today&rsquo;s news:</p>
<p><b><i>NATO SUMMIT&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>&ldquo;We will announce tens of billions in new contracts that will provide the crucial kit we need to deter and defend,&rdquo; </b><span>NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte told reporters yesterday ahead of the </span><span>NATO summit in Ankara, Turkey. &ldquo;We are now creating an alliance which is sustainable, where the U.S. knows it is a fair deal,&rdquo; Rutte added. At an event today, dubbed the &ldquo;big reveal,&rdquo; several leaders are due to announce these new deals with defense companies, many of them in the United States. The announcements are intended to reassure President Trump that allies are sharing more of the defense burden, sources said. Lorne Cook, Suzan Fraser, and Abby Sewell report for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/nato-defense-trump-contracts-spending-turkey-summit-bede50a5b5e734b9705ffb480463f7ce" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>; Andrew Gray reports for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/nato-unveil-big-arms-deals-ankara-before-summit-with-trump-2026-07-07/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Trump is scheduled to arrive in Ankara today and will meet with Turkish President Recep Tayyip </b><b>Erdo&#287;an </b><b>before having dinner with fellow NATO leaders, </b><span>according to White House spokeswoman Anna Kelly. The summit&rsquo;s substantive meeting will be held tomorrow morning. Trump then plans to meet with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa. While NATO leaders hope to avoid confrontation and reaffirm support for Ukraine, they remain concerned that Trump&rsquo;s unpredictable approach could overshadow the summit, according to several sources. Michael Birnbaum and Ellen Francis report for the </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/07/06/nato-summit-allies-prepare-manage-an-unpredictable-trump/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Washington Post</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Trump is expected to tell </b><b>Erdo&#287;an </b><b>that he is prepared to restore Turkey to a program that would allow it to purchase F-35 fighter jets, </b><span>according to four senior administration officials. Trump said last week he was preparing to bring a gift to the NATO summit in Ankara that would make </span><span>Erdo&#287;an </span><span>&ldquo;very happy.&rdquo; The move would reverse a ban that Trump imposed seven years ago, though it could still face opposition in Congress. Tyler Pager and David E. Sanger report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/07/06/us/trump-news" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu asked Trump on Friday to refrain from selling weapons systems to Turkey that would help it modernize its air force</b><span>, according to Israeli and U.S. officials. Netanyahu also complained to Trump about </span><span>Erdo&#287;an&rsquo;s escalating anti-Israel rhetoric. &ldquo;Netanyahu made an ask, and the president heard him. So the president might pass on the message like, &lsquo;Hey, can you go just a little easy on this?&rsquo; But it is what it is,&rdquo; a U.S. official said. </span><span>Barak Ravid and Marc Caputo report for </span><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/06/trump-nato-netanyahu-erdogan-israel" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Axios</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>RUSSIA-UKRAINE WAR</i></b><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Zelenskyy plans to use the NATO meeting this week to urge Kyiv&rsquo;s allies to deliver the air defense systems it urgently needs to protect it from escalating Russian attacks,</b><span> he said yesterday. &ldquo;It is simply absurd that, in today&rsquo;s world, production [of Patriot defense missiles] has still not been scaled up to the level actually required to protect people from ballistic terror,&rdquo; Zelenskyy said. Ukraine was unable to stop a single ballistic missile during Russia&rsquo;s attack yesterday, which killed at least 28 people. Sarah Rainsford reports for </span><a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c9d227e5zj6o" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>BBC News</span></a><span>; Valentyn Ogirenko and </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/authors/vladyslav-smilianets/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Vladyslav Smilianets</span></a><span> report for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/ukrainian-capital-kyiv-under-missile-attack-officials-say-2026-07-05/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Ukrainian drones yesterday struck Russia&rsquo;s largest oil refinery in Omsk, Siberia, in what was one of Ukraine&rsquo;s longest-range attacks of the war,</b><span> Ukraine&rsquo;s military said in a statement. Local Russian authorities confirmed the strike. </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/ukrainian-drones-hit-russias-largest-refinery-one-deepest-strikes-yet-2026-07-06/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> reports.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Russia risks an &ldquo;explosive&rdquo; banking crisis because lenders are shouldering much of the burden of Russia&rsquo;s war economy,</b><span> a European state intelligence report seen by </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/war-threatens-russian-banking-crisis-european-intelligence-report-says-2026-07-06/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span> warned. The intelligence &#8288;report said banks have been pushed to give subsidised loans to defence companies, homebuyers and others. It noted that state-backed credit &#8203;programmes, loan restructurings and government support masked the banks&rsquo; vulnerability. &ldquo;The situation creates the illusion of a dynamic economy that, in reality, conceals an explosive situation which an economic shock, such as an ambitious package of &#8203;sanctions against banks&hellip; could trigger,&rdquo; said the report. John Irish and John O&rsquo;Donnell report.</span></p>
<p><b><i>IRAN WAR &ndash; STRAIT OF HORMUZ&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>A tanker travelling off the coast of Oman in the Strait of Hormuz caught fire this morning after being struck by a projectile, </b><span>the U.K. Maritime Trade Operations center said. Iranian state television said the tanker came under attack after ignoring warnings, but Iranian officials have not directly claimed the assault.</span><span> Two U.S. officials told </span><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/07/iran-resumes-hormuz-attacks-us-officials" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Axios</span></a><span> that Iran&rsquo;s military fired at least two missiles at commercial ships transiting the strait last night. Iran warned last week that all oil tankers must use its approved routes. However, the Joint Maritime Information Center, a body overseen by the U.S. Navy, told shippers yesterday that the route around Oman &ldquo;has been expanded and remains available for traffic.&rdquo; John Gambrell reports for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-israel-war-oil-4732228810c9839a1258309ad43b8289" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>; Barak Ravid reports.</span></p>
<p><b><i>IRAN WAR &ndash; LEBANON&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>An Israeli strike on a vehicle in southern Lebanon yesterday killed at least four people, </b><span>Lebanon&rsquo;s health ministry said. The Israeli military said it had struck a vehicle carrying four people it said were approaching what &#8203;it calls a &ldquo;security zone&rdquo; in southern Lebanon and posing a threat to its forces. The health ministry identified the victims as school &#8203;principal Esperanza Ghandour, her mother, a female domestic worker, and a male foreign labourer. Ghandour had been checking &#8288;on repairs at her war-damaged home in Nabatieh and was on her way back when the vehicle was struck, a local source &#8203;and Lebanon&rsquo;s state news agency said. Jana Choukeir and Tala Ramadan report for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/four-people-killed-an-israeli-strike-nabatieh-southern-lebanon-2026-07-06/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>ISRAEL-HAMAS WAR&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Hamas said yesterday that it had dissolved its government in Gaza and is preparing to transfer power to a technical committee as part of the U.S.-brokered ceasefire deal.</b><span> It was unclear if the move, announced by a lower-level official, would lead to any significant change in Gaza.</span> <span>Hamas did not say whether it planned to disarm or hand over security to an international force. Wafaa Shurafa and Samy Magdy report for </span><a href="https://apnews.com/article/israel-gaza-palestinians-hamas-war-government-146f9a609580d4c8c42ab35fbe60d5b3" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>AP News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>WEST BANK VIOLENCE&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>Israeli police have opened an investigation after CCTV footage emerged yesterday of an Israeli Border Police officer throwing a stun grenade into a car in Qalandia in the occupied West Bank. </b><span>The two passengers escaped from the car and survived, according to the B&rsquo;Tselem rights group. Police told Israeli media that the officer had not acted &ldquo;in accordance with procedure.&rdquo; Caroline Davies reports for </span><a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c1eyyyl8ye0o" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>BBC News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>In a separate incident in Qalandia on Sunday, Israeli forces shot and killed a 16-year-old boy, </b><span>according to the Palestinian health ministry. Two other children suffered gunshot wounds to their lower limbs. Israeli authorities told </span><a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c1eyyyl8ye0o" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>BBC News</span></a><span> that Israeli forces perceived an imminent threat to their lives after &ldquo;a riot erupted during which [they] came under a massive barrage of stones.&rdquo; Caroline Davies reports.</span></p>
<p><b><i>OTHER GLOBAL DEVELOPMENTS</i></b></p>
<p><b>French President Emmanuel Macron arrived in Syria yesterday, in the first visit to Damascus by an EU head of state since Bashar al-Assad was ousted in 2024. </b><span>&ldquo;I am here to affirm France&rsquo;s commitment to the Syrian people. For a sovereign Syria, united in its diversity and at peace with its neighbours,&rdquo; Macron said on social media. A French presidential official said that Macron had made it very clear to Sharaa that Syria should under no circumstances send forces into Lebanon, and that Sharaa had said he would not do so, regardless of any requests or pressure. Clotaire Achi and John Irish report for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/frances-macron-visits-syria-first-trip-by-an-eu-head-state-since-assad-toppled-2026-07-06/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>A court in Vienna yesterday found two former Syrian officials guilty of charges related to their roles in a brutal crackdown against the Arab Spring uprising and </b><b>sentenced them to eight years in prison. </b><span>This case is one of the first that Austria has brought under the principle of universal jurisdiction and one of the first dealing with extreme and systematic torture. </span><span>Carlotta Gall and Hussam Hammoud report for the </span><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/06/world/middleeast/syrian-torture-verdict-vienna.html" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>New York Times</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney announced yesterday that the Canadian government had chosen the German defense company, ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems (&ldquo;TKMS&rdquo;), to build its navy&rsquo;s new submarine fleet. </b><span>This is the largest procurement deal in Canadian history. TKMS has said its bid, a joint partnership with Norway, offered &ldquo;Canada a low-risk, NATO-aligned, and economically transformative solution.&rdquo; Madeline Halpert reports for </span><a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cn4ddppz3jqo" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>BBC News</span></a><span>.&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>TRUMP ADMINISTRATION ACTIONS</i></b></p>
<p><b>A White House </b><a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/Smithsonian-Report-Saving-Americas-Story.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><b>report</b></a><b> published on Saturday accused the Smithsonian&rsquo;s National Museum of American History of &ldquo;extreme political activism&rdquo; and blamed museum leaders for erasing America&rsquo;s heritage. </b><span>The report, titled &ldquo;Saving America&rsquo;s Story,&rdquo; is the result of Trump&rsquo;s March 2025 </span><a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/03/restoring-truth-and-sanity-to-american-history/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>executive order</span></a><span> demanding that &ldquo;improper ideology&rdquo; be eliminated from the Smithsonian&rsquo;s museums. Amy B. Wang and Ethan Beck report for the </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/style/2026/07/06/white-house-report-accuses-smithsonian-museum-extreme-political-activism/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Washington Post</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>The Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency is using Anthropic&rsquo;s AI model Mythos to audit government software,</b><span> three sources said yesterday, despite Anthropic&rsquo;s ongoing standoff with the White House. CISA is using Mythos to scan government code repositories for bugs that could leave the door open for foreign spies and cybercriminals, the sources said. Two of the sources said the audits had already uncovered a large number of vulnerabilities, but did not elaborate. Raphael Satter reports for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/us-cyber-agency-is-using-anthropics-mythos-audit-government-code-sources-say-2026-07-06/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b>Trump said yesterday that Sikorsky, a Lockheed Martin subsidiary that builds Marine One helicopters, would spend about $5 to $6 million on a granite landing pad on the White House South Lawn, </b><span>saying their most powerful helicopters have damaged the lawn during landings. &ldquo;They didn&rsquo;t tell us how powerful &#8203;these helicopters were, and they felt a little bit guilty,&rdquo; Trump &#8203;told reporters in the Oval Office. Bo Erickson and Jarrett Renshaw report for </span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/trump-says-sikorsky-fund-white-house-helicopter-landing-pad-2026-07-06/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Reuters</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><b><i>TRUMP ADMINISTRATION LITIGATION&nbsp;</i></b></p>
<p><b>David Streever yesterday filed a lawsuit against the Department of Homeland Security after ICE agents visited his home and tracked him to a hotel because he sent a strongly worded email criticizing former acting ICE Director Todd M. Lyons.</b><span> Streever argues that the department&rsquo;s actions violate the First Amendment, while DHS says it was investigating what it considered to be a credible threat. Joanna Slater reports for the </span><a href="http://washingtonpost.com/nation/2026/07/06/he-wrote-scathing-message-ice-federal-agents-showed-up-his-door/?itid=hp-top-table-main_p001_f009" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Washington Post</span></a><span>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
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<p><strong>ICYMI: Yesterday on<em>&nbsp;Just Security</em></strong></p>
<p><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/144167/forest-trees-historical-commissions-syria/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Not Seeing the Forest for the Trees: Historical Commissions Are Crucial for Syria</a></p>
<p>By Noha Aboueldahab</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/145903/early-edition-july-7-2026/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Early Edition: July 7, 2026</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-07T11:52:53+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Elisabeth Jennings</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-07T11:52:53+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="daily news roundup"/>

	<category term="other"/>


</entry>

<entry>
	<id>tag:vifa-recht.de,2026-07-06:/292763</id>
	<link href="https://www.justsecurity.org/144167/forest-trees-historical-commissions-syria/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=forest-trees-historical-commissions-syria" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>
	<title type="html">Not Seeing the Forest for the Trees: Historical Commissions Are Crucial for Syria</title>
	<summary type="html"><![CDATA[<p>The atrocities Syrians suffered did not take place in a 14-year vacuum of civil war, spurred by the ...</p>]]></summary>
	<content type="html"><![CDATA[<p><span>The atrocities Syrians suffered did not take place in a 14-year vacuum of civil war, spurred by the anti-government uprising that started in 2011. They spanned many decades from late Ottoman and French rule, through the reign of Hafez Al Assad and under the subsequent rule of his son, Bashar Al Assad. </span><span>A transitional justice process that neglects to address these deeper, pre-2011 historical legacies of injustice risks producing &ndash; and reproducing &ndash; social and sectarian divisions that have long marked the country&rsquo;s&nbsp;history. The historical legacies of injustice in Syria that continue to play out today have thus left a colossal task of reckoning with such a complex past.</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>It is critical, then, that transitional justice approaches in Syria refrain from isolating periods of oppression from the broader contexts that enabled them. Historical contextualization through historical commissions, for instance, can help unpack legacies of injustice in ways that strengthen the prospects for longer-term remedy and reconciliation in Syria. Syrian and international expert historians could work together to design and implement such commissions, and the role of donors will be important in carrying them forward and sustaining them.&nbsp;</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><b><span>The&nbsp;Need for&nbsp;Historical&nbsp;Commissions in Syria&nbsp;</span></b><span>&nbsp;</span></h2>
<p><a href="https://link.springer.com/rwe/10.1007/978-3-030-61493-5_173-1" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Historical commissions</span></a><span>&nbsp;and&nbsp;</span><a href="https://international-review.icrc.org/sites/default/files/irrc_862_4.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>truth commissions</span></a><span>&nbsp;share similarities, but they also have key differences. While truth commissions&nbsp;can often&nbsp;focus on more recent episodes of violence, historical commissions pursue a mandate that addresses a much longer history.&nbsp;</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>One of the main goals of&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.ictj.org/sites/default/files/ICTJ-Book-Truth-Seeking-Chapter2-2013-English.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>truth commissions</span></a><span>&nbsp;is usually&nbsp;to&nbsp;establish&nbsp;responsibility, including criminal responsibility,&nbsp;for crimes of the past.&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.routledge.com/History-Memory-and-State-Sponsored-Violence-Time-and-Justice/Bevernage/p/book/9780415822985" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Historical commissions</span></a><span>, on the other hand,&nbsp;focus on uncovering, building, sharing, and documenting narratives about&nbsp;distant&nbsp;past events and their impact on societies.&nbsp;While both historical and truth commissions can capture intergenerational trauma through victim and survivor testimonies,&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.taylorfrancis.com/chapters/edit/10.4324/9781315613208-21/interactions-history-memory-historical-truth-commissions-reconciliation-eva-clarita-pettai" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>historical commissions</span></a><span>&nbsp;also&nbsp;play&nbsp;an important role&nbsp;in providing the space for&nbsp;interaction between history experts and those who lived and inherited that history to help navigate the complexities of such legacies and situate them within broader contexts.&nbsp;</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>As with many contexts, the&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/rule-of-violence/36D072750CF7996E58330B7E997B9564" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>legacy of atrocities</span></a><span> in Syria extends back many decades. They include: mass killings and enforced disappearances such as those that the Hafez Al Assad government pursued in the </span><a href="https://snhr.org/blog/2026/02/02/hama-massacre-of-1982-the-need-to-uncover-the-truth-and-achieve-justice-for-the-victims/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>1982 Hama massacre</span></a><span>; socio-economic injustices as a result of&nbsp;</span><a href="https://stj-sy.org/en/syria-facts-and-recommendations-on-the-arab-belt-project-52-years-later/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>demographic engineering</span></a><span> dating back to the 1930s and resulting in nearly a century of related land theft grievances and social tensions that persist today; and&nbsp;a&nbsp;</span><a href="https://medium.com/@f.fakhoury83/syrias-civil-society-must-not-become-the-soft-face-of-a-new-order-bbc88733c1f8" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>legacy of authoritarian control</span></a><span>&nbsp;over&nbsp;Syrian civil society, especially since the emergence of Ba&rsquo;athist emergency rule in 1963.</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>As&nbsp;Fadel Abdul Ghany, a&nbsp;Syrian transitional justice expert&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/transitional-justice-english_web.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>told me</span></a><span>&nbsp;in 2018,&nbsp;&ldquo;preservation of history is a type of accountability.&rdquo;&nbsp;This is especially critical in the Syrian context, where there is a pervasive&nbsp;legacy of&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/17400201.2024.2325493#abstract" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>politicized</span></a><span> and polarizing history textbooks used in its primary and secondary education systems. As a result, both state and opposition groups have weaponized education at the primary, secondary, and tertiary levels to serve their narratives, further exacerbating social tensions and expanding the space within which power politics enforces selective memory. As Nisreen Al Sakbani and Juline Beaujouan </span><a href="https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/17400201.2024.2325493#d1e435" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>explain</span></a><span>,&nbsp;school curricula&nbsp;went as far as to redefine Syria in various ways, including through redrawing national borders, reshaping Syrian students&rsquo; identity by pushing&nbsp;polarizing&nbsp;narratives that promote a&nbsp;&ldquo;good Syria&rdquo; versus &ldquo;evil opposition and their supporters,&rdquo; and through allowing Russian and&nbsp;Turkish&nbsp;influence in educational curricula reform in Syria.</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>The rehabilitation of education through a focus on reforming revisionist history textbooks is&nbsp;thus&nbsp;a fundamental part of longer-term reconciliation.&nbsp;Without honest&nbsp;discussions and dialogue about how Syria&rsquo;s history has and continues to&nbsp;impact&nbsp;multiple communities in Syria, the risk of perpetuating divisions will remain high. One or more&nbsp;historical commissions&nbsp;would be uniquely well-positioned to address this, especially&nbsp;if they provide&nbsp;Syrians&nbsp;a safe space to share their testimonies and their lived experiences in ways that help clarify intergenerational traumas and the inextricability of the past with the present.&nbsp;As I explain further below, Syrian universities could eventually become spaces within which such&nbsp;story-telling&nbsp;would take place, but they will require internal reform and support to prevent them from becoming weapons of polarization.</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><b><span>The&nbsp;Long (Re)view of&nbsp;Historical&nbsp;Reckoning in Syria</span></b><span>&nbsp;</span></h2>
<p><span>Without&nbsp;a concerted and consistent effort to contextualize&nbsp;more distant&nbsp;historical events and their resulting injustices, transitional justice&nbsp;practitioners&nbsp;risk not seeing the forest for the trees in Syria.&nbsp;Intergenerational trauma would be inadequately&nbsp;addressed&nbsp;and the complexities of contemporary sectarian and socio-economic strife would be severed from their structural roots.&nbsp;</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>It is never too late to address deeper historical legacies that span generations.&nbsp;For instance, the&nbsp;</span><i><span>hibakusha&nbsp;</span></i><span>(survivors of the atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki in 1945)&nbsp;continue to share testimonies and&nbsp;</span><a href="https://abombtribunal.campaignus.me/about" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>call for accountability</span></a><span>&nbsp;and&nbsp;</span><a href="https://nuclear-justice.net/law/japan/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>reparations</span></a><span>, more than 80 years later. The&nbsp;</span><a href="https://academic.oup.com/ijtj/article-abstract/15/3/510/6406461?redirectedFrom=fulltext" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>United&nbsp;States</span></a><span> has multiple local truth and reconciliation commissions to address legacies of slavery. A 2013 people&rsquo;s </span><a href="https://irantribunal.com/hamid-noury-iri-perpetrator-given-life-sentence-in-sweden-for-being-involved-in-1988-mass-executions/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>tribunal</span></a><span> revealed the role of the Iranian state in a massacre and enforced disappearances that took place in 1988 (which subsequently helped inform the trial of one of the perpetrators, </span><a href="https://www.ohchr.org/en/press-releases/2022/07/iran-un-expert-welcomes-historic-verdict-universal-jurisdiction-case" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>Hamid Nouri</span></a><span>, in Sweden). Tunisia&rsquo;s Truth and Dignity Commission </span><a href="https://asf.be/dealing-with-colonial-legacy-through-transitional-justice-the-case-of-tunisia/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>addressed</span></a><span> crimes committed under French colonial rule in the 1950s. In South Africa, an inquest into the death of anti-apartheid activist Ahmed Timol was </span><a href="https://www.ahmedtimol.co.za/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>re-opened</span></a><span>&nbsp;46 years later.&nbsp;</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Such examples are important, as they offer a critical opportunity to address intergenerational trauma while contextualizing present experiences through visiting the past. Given the extensive historical legacies of violence and the complexities of victimization in Syria that extend far deeper than the rule of Bashar Al Assad, the establishment of historical commissions would provide an appropriate venue not only to document the broader context within which such violence occurred, but to also underscore the persistence of unaddressed pain and suffering that is carried across multiple generations. Left unaddressed, polarization &ndash; whether economic, social, racial, sectarian, or other &ndash; will mar prospects for genuine and longer-term reconciliation. </span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Oppressive and authoritarian rule in Syria devolved into multi-layered violence stemming from sectarian, political, and socio-economic discrimination and injustices that were also fueled by legacies of </span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/136468/urgent-call-break-cycle-division-exclusion-syria/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>patronage networks</span></a><span>. Transitional justice is an attempt to address these complex historical legacies, but it can also inadvertently &ndash; or intentionally, depending on the motivations of the transitional justice actors involved &ndash;&nbsp;exacerbate&nbsp;and/or create new divisions. While leaders can be removed, their cronies apprehended, and national commissions for transitional justice&nbsp;established, deeply embedded distrust and polarization remain and, as several events in Syria have shown, can worsen&nbsp;(see&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.hrw.org/news/2026/06/22/syria-mob-violence-against-groups-linked-to-assad-era" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>here</span></a><span>,&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.ohchr.org/en/press-releases/2025/08/un-syria-commission-finds-march-coastal-violence-was-widespread-and" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>here</span></a><span>, and&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/sectarian-violence-risks-dividing-syria-despite-sharaas-diplomacy-2025-09-15/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>here</span></a><span>). This is in part due to a compartmentalized approach to transitional justice that prioritizes certain&nbsp;time&nbsp;periods over others, leaving&nbsp;vast parts&nbsp;of the past unaddressed and undermining present and future attempts at reconciliation and peace building.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Understandably,&nbsp;Syrian&nbsp;and international transitional justice actors have focused on the urgency of seeking justice for the atrocities committed during the 14 years since the 2011 uprising and the ensuing civil&nbsp;(though heavily regionalized and internationalized)&nbsp;war. These calls have already seen some efforts underway to address them, such as through the establishment of Syria&rsquo;s&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.facebook.com/SyTransitionalJustice/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>National Commission for Transitional Justice</span></a><span>&nbsp;and the&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.facebook.com/SyrMissing/?locale=ar_AR" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>National Commission for&nbsp;Missing Persons</span></a><span>.&nbsp;This is already an enormous undertaking, especially given the fragile transitional period Syria is experiencing.&nbsp;</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Much has been written about the importance of judicial and legal reform in Syria to conduct fair, transparent, and efficient prosecutions for serious international crimes such as crimes against humanity&nbsp;and for strengthening the current government&rsquo;s approach to transitional justice more broadly&nbsp;(see&nbsp;</span><a href="https://syriaaccountability.org/the-state-of-justice-in-syria-2026/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>here</span></a><span>,&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/134921/transitional-justice-syria-domestic-efforts-cannot-function-isolation/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>here</span></a><span>, and&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.arab-reform.net/publication/mainstreaming-transitional-justice-in-syria/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>here</span></a><span>, for example). Others have also pointed to the necessity of reparations and the role that international actors, such as&nbsp;</span><a href="https://redress.org/storage/2025/10/Repurposing-Assets-for-reparation-for-Syrian-Survivors-Web.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>EU member states</span></a><span>, should play in directing funds retrieved from stolen and illicit assets to victims.&nbsp;</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>This is all important, but it is not enough.&nbsp;Historical commissions&nbsp;that prioritize the&nbsp;more distant&nbsp;periods of oppression in Syria&rsquo;s history can incorporate and uncover&nbsp;historical&nbsp;archives, produce&nbsp;additional&nbsp;documentation, and provide a safe space for storytelling, whether through art or oral history. Multiple historical commissions across Syria&rsquo;s governorates may make the process more manageable, but a national-level&nbsp;historical commission&nbsp;would also be important, given the thus far centralized process of transitional justice that has been led via the state. As I have argued&nbsp;</span><a href="https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/07/24/united-states-racism-truth-commission-televise-south-africa-tunisia/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>elsewhere</span></a><span>, live televised or radio broadcasts of the testimonies can engage a society&rsquo;s diverse communities in powerful ways that prosecutions and truth commissions focused only on the recent past cannot. Syria&rsquo;s long-term stability would benefit greatly from a historical commission that provides this level of access and transparency.</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<h2><b><span>Donors Should Direct Funds Toward Deeper Historical Reckoning in Syria</span></b><span>&nbsp;</span></h2>
<p><span>One of the challenges, however,&nbsp;regarding&nbsp;these more historically distant episodes of atrocities is that those who drive transitional justice efforts, especially civil&nbsp;society&nbsp;and survivors, have limited resources to address them. Throughout my research interviews with Syrians, many point to the urgency of addressing&nbsp;</span><a href="https://snhr.org/blog/2024/12/20/summary-of-the-assad-regimes-crimes-against-the-syrian-people-over-the-last-14-years/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>more recent</span></a><span>&nbsp;and&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.globalr2p.org/countries/syria/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>ongoing</span></a><span>&nbsp;atrocities, especially since documenting them has been significantly&nbsp;facilitated&nbsp;through&nbsp;open source&nbsp;investigations, citizen journalism, and other digital means.&nbsp;As a result, these more recent episodes are better-documented and easier&nbsp;to surface with fewer resources&nbsp;than older violations; without more resourcing, it is&nbsp;simply&nbsp;harder&nbsp;in many cases for Syrian civil society&nbsp;to undertake the&nbsp;complex&nbsp;work of going further back in time.</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>A&nbsp;related&nbsp;challenge is that donors focus on timebound and outcome-oriented activities as a way to demonstrate that funding generates short-term results.&nbsp;A reckoning with&nbsp;deeper pasts takes longer and is a concerted effort that is different from addressing more recent&nbsp;or even&nbsp;ongoing crimes. It requires engagement with historians&nbsp;of Syria, archives,&nbsp;oral history,&nbsp;the&nbsp;elderly&nbsp;and their successors.&nbsp;Donor programs should evolve to&nbsp;facilitate&nbsp;this.&nbsp;</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>While the final outcome of such&nbsp;historical commissions&nbsp;could&nbsp;emerge in different forms&nbsp;such as multi-volume reports&nbsp;that&nbsp;are&nbsp;made publicly accessible, audio-visual live testimonies, or memorialization, what remains important is the impact of such outcomes on generating society-level dialogues that unfold in safe spaces and avoid inflaming divisions further. This is much easier said than done, but one place to start is through careful&nbsp;selection&nbsp;of venues, such as Syrian&nbsp;</span><a href="https://www.arab-reform.net/publication/process-over-outcome-rethinking-transitional-justice-in-syria/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span>universities</span></a><span>&nbsp;or similar academic institutions where such dialogue is (or at least should be) encouraged and protected. Donors could then, to an extent, mitigate the fallout from having to navigate the&nbsp;difficult task&nbsp;of&nbsp;avoiding&nbsp;the politicization of&nbsp;funding of&nbsp;certain entities over others.&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span>&nbsp;</span></p>
<p><span>Historical commissions and donor involvement are not risk-free, as they can be selective and politicized. As with any other transitional justice mechanism, such as prosecutions, truth commissions, and memorialization, expectations of inclusivity must be managed in ways that acknowledge the limits of capital: resources and capacity. A fraught process of institutional reform can also present significant challenges to a meaningful reckoning with the recent and more distant past. Donors often articulate conflict mediation and resolution as key objectives. To fulfill such goals, they should prioritize longer-term investments in historical commissions as a way to help cultivate a culture of acknowledgement of multiple narratives and truths. Such a deeper historical reckoning must not be managed solely by the central authorities and instead make use of university and other academic venues as ideal spaces for learning, unlearning, and relearning how Syria&rsquo;s deeper history shapes its present and future. Without this, Syria risks perpetuating societal distrust, polarization, and anger that could extend to the transitional justice process itself.</span></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/144167/forest-trees-historical-commissions-syria/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Not Seeing the Forest for the Trees: Historical Commissions Are Crucial for Syria</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Just Security</a>.</p>]]></content>
	<updated>2026-07-06T15:41:54+00:00</updated>
	<author><name>Noha Aboueldahab</name></author>
	<source>
		<id>https://www.justsecurity.org</id>
		<link rel="self" href="https://www.justsecurity.org"/>
		<updated>2026-07-06T15:41:54+00:00</updated>
		<title>Just Security</title></source>

	<category term="armed conflict"/>

	<category term="atrocities"/>

	<category term="atrocity prevention/atrocities prevention"/>

	<category term="bashar al-assad"/>

	<category term="civil war"/>

	<category term="civilian harm"/>

	<category term="courts &amp; litigation"/>

	<category term="democracy &amp; rule of law"/>

	<category term="featured articles"/>

	<category term="human rights"/>

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	<category term="middle east"/>

	<category term="middle east wars"/>

	<category term="peacebuilding"/>

	<category term="rule of law"/>

	<category term="syria"/>

	<category term="transitional justice"/>


</entry>


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